Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 1–31 October 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0.0% | 31.2% | 29.6–32.9% | 29.2–33.4% | 28.8–33.8% | 28.0–34.6% |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0.0% | 16.6% | 15.3–18.0% | 15.0–18.4% | 14.7–18.7% | 14.1–19.4% |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.7–13.1% | 9.2–13.7% |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.2–9.1% | 5.8–9.6% |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6.4–8.2% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.9–8.7% | 5.5–9.2% |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.7–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.3–6.3% |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.5–5.2% |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.1–3.1% |
| Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–3.0% |
| Strana svobodných občanů (NI) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.3% |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANO 2011 (PfE) | 0 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Motoristé sobě (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| TOP 09 (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Naše Česko (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana svobodných občanů (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moravané (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ANO 2011 (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.6% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 97% | 99.5% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 38% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Motoristé sobě (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
TOP 09 (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy–Spojení demokraté - Sdružení nezávislých–Stačilo! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Naše Česko (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naše Česko (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana svobodných občanů (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Česká strana národně sociální (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká strana národně sociální (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Moravané (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moravané (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Naše Česko () – Právo Respekt Odbornost () – Česká strana národně sociální (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sociální demokracie (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 41% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Naše Česko () – Právo Respekt Odbornost () – Česká strana národně sociální (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociální demokracie (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: STEM
- Commissioner(s): CNN Prima News
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 October 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1332
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.35%