European Conservatives and Reformists
Members registered from 14 countries:
BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, IT, LT, LU, NL, SE, SK
Seats
Last result: 78 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 48 seats (-30 seats)
At least one member in 13 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, GR, IT, LT, LU, NL, SE, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 48 | 45–50 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–54 |
| Fratelli d’Italia | IT | 23 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | NL | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | |
| Občanská demokratická strana | CZ | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | |
| Sverigedemokraterna | SE | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Perussuomalaiset | FI | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Ελληνική Λύση | GR | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | |
| Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei | LU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
| Danmarksdemokraterne | DK | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Eesti Keskerakond | EE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | LT | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Nacionalinis Susivienijimas | LT | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο | CY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Движение за права и свободи | BG | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Debout la France | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kresťanská únia | SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European Conservatives and Reformists.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 5% | 97% | |
| 45 | 8% | 92% | |
| 46 | 13% | 84% | |
| 47 | 17% | 71% | |
| 48 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 49 | 16% | 36% | |
| 50 | 10% | 20% | |
| 51 | 6% | 10% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |