European Conservatives and Reformists
Members registered from 19 countries:
BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK
Seats
Last result: 78 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 81 seats (+3 seats)
At least one member in 18 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 81 | 76–85 | 75–86 | 74–87 | 72–89 |
| Fratelli d’Italia | IT | 23 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–26 | |
| Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | RO | 14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | |
| Zjednoczona Prawica | PL | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–18 | |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | NL | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | |
| Občanská demokratická strana | CZ | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | |
| Sverigedemokraterna | SE | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | BE-VLG | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | |
| Perussuomalaiset | FI | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Rozwój Plus | PL | 3 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | |
| Ελληνική Λύση | GR | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | |
| Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei | LU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
| Danmarksdemokraterne | DK | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Eesti Keskerakond | EE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | LT | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Most nezavisnih lista | HR | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | LV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο | CY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Движение за права и свободи | BG | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Debout la France | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dom i Nacionalno Okupljanje | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Domovinski pokret | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drito | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hrvatski suverenisti | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kresťanská únia | SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Partidul Oamenilor Tineri | RO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European Conservatives and Reformists.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 4% | 94% | |
| 77 | 7% | 90% | |
| 78 | 9% | 83% | Last Result |
| 79 | 11% | 74% | |
| 80 | 12% | 64% | |
| 81 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 82 | 11% | 40% | |
| 83 | 10% | 28% | |
| 84 | 7% | 19% | |
| 85 | 5% | 11% | |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |