European People’s Party

Members registered from 23 countries:

AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, MT, NL, PT, SE, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 188 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 132 seats (-56 seats)

At least one member in 23 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, MT, NL, PT, SE, SI, SK

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
European People’s Party EU 188 132 126–136 125–138 123–139 120–141
Partido Popular ES   23 20–24 15–25 15–25 15–26
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands DE   15 13–17 13–18 13–19 13–19
Tisztelet és Szabadság HU   14 13–15 13–15 13–15 13–15
Les Républicains FR   7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Νέα Δημοκρατία GR   7 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Aliança Democrática PT   5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Forza Italia IT   5 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Starostové a nezávislí CZ   5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern DE   4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–6
Moderata samlingspartiet SE   4 4 4 4 4
Österreichische Volkspartei AT   4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Christen-Democratisch Appèl NL   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Fine Gael IE   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Kansallinen Kokoomus FI   3 3 3 3 2–3
Partit Nazzjonalista MT   3 3 3 3 3
Slovenska demokratska stranka SI   3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Граждани за европейско развитие на България BG   3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei LU   2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Erakond Isamaa EE   2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Slovensko SK   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai LT   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός CY   2 2 2 2 2
50Plus NL   1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Christlich-Soziale Partei BE-DEG   1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti DK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie SK   1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kristdemokraterna SE   1 1 1 1 1
Liberal Alliance DK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Демократична България BG   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
BoerBurgerBeweging NL   0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie NL   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati SI   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Demokrati SK   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Eesti 200 EE   0 0 0 0 0
Erakond Parempoolsed EE   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Kristillisdemokraatit FI   0 0 0 0 0
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová CZ   0 0 0 0 0
Magyar Szövetség SK   0 0 0 0 0–1
Noi Moderati IT   0 0 0 0 0
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati SI   0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka SI   0 0 0 0 0
TOP 09 CZ   0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí SK   0 0 0 0 0

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European People’s Party.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.9%  
120 0.3% 99.7%  
121 0.5% 99.4%  
122 0.8% 98.8%  
123 1.1% 98%  
124 2% 97%  
125 2% 95%  
126 3% 93%  
127 4% 90%  
128 6% 85%  
129 8% 79%  
130 10% 71%  
131 11% 62%  
132 11% 51% Median
133 10% 40%  
134 9% 30%  
135 7% 21%  
136 5% 14%  
137 4% 9%  
138 2% 5%  
139 1.4% 3%  
140 0.8% 2%  
141 0.4% 0.8%  
142 0.2% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0% Last Result