European People’s Party
Members registered from 27 countries:
AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 187 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 180 seats (-7 seats)
At least one member in 27 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Confidence Intervals
Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
European People’s Party | EU | 187 | 180 | 174–186 | 173–187 | 171–188 | 168–191 |
Partido Popular | ES | 25 | 23–27 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 21–29 | |
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | DE | 22 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–25 | |
Platforma Obywatelska | PL | 17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | |
Partidul Național Liberal | RO | 9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 | |
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern | DE | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | |
Forza Italia | IT | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 | |
Νέα Δημοκρατία | GR | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | |
Aliança Democrática | PT | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | |
Les Républicains | FR | 6 | 5–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 | |
Tisztelet és Szabadság | HU | 5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | |
Граждани за европейско развитие на България | BG | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | |
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica | HR | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
Kansallinen Kokoomus | FI | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | |
Moderata samlingspartiet | SE | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | PL | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | |
Slovenska demokratska stranka | SI | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | |
Österreichische Volkspartei | AT | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei | LU | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
Fine Gael | IE | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | |
Partit Nazzjonalista | MT | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl | NL | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Forța Dreptei–Partidul Mișcarea Populară | RO | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | LV | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová | CZ | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Liberal Alliance | DK | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Starostové a nezávislí | CZ | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | |
TOP 09 | CZ | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai | LT | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός | CY | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
BoerBurgerBeweging | NL | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | BE-VLG | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Christlich-Soziale Partei | BE-DEG | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Det Konservative Folkeparti | DK | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Erakond Isamaa | EE | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Familienpartei Deutschlands | DE | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt | HU | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | SK | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | LV | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Les Engagés | BE-FRC | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Nieuw Sociaal Contract | NL | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | SI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
Да, България! | BG | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
ChristenUnie | NL | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Erakond Parempoolsed | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kristdemokraterna | SE | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Kristillisdemokraatit | FI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom | HU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Přísaha | CZ | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | SK | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Slovenska ljudska stranka | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
Slovensko–Za ľudí | SK | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | SK | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | RO | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
Демократична България | BG | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European People’s Party.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
165 | 0% | 100% | |
166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
167 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
168 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
169 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
170 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
171 | 1.1% | 98% | |
172 | 2% | 97% | |
173 | 2% | 96% | |
174 | 3% | 93% | |
175 | 4% | 90% | |
176 | 6% | 86% | |
177 | 7% | 80% | |
178 | 8% | 73% | |
179 | 9% | 65% | |
180 | 9% | 56% | Median |
181 | 9% | 47% | |
182 | 9% | 38% | |
183 | 8% | 30% | |
184 | 6% | 22% | |
185 | 5% | 16% | |
186 | 4% | 11% | |
187 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
188 | 2% | 4% | |
189 | 1.1% | 2% | |
190 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
191 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
192 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
195 | 0% | 0% |