European People’s Party

Members registered from 22 countries:

AT, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, MT, NL, PL, RO, SE, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 188 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 150 seats (-38 seats)

At least one member in 22 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, MT, NL, PL, RO, SE, SI, SK

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
European People’s Party EU 188 150 145–155 143–157 142–158 139–160
Partido Popular ES   22 17–24 16–25 16–25 16–26
Platforma Obywatelska PL   20 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–22
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands DE   19 17–21 16–21 16–22 16–22
Tisztelet és Szabadság HU   11 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–13
Forza Italia IT   7 6–8 5–8 5–8 5–9
Νέα Δημοκρατία GR   7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Partidul Național Liberal RO   6 5–7 5–7 4–8 4–8
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern DE   5 4–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Hrvatska demokratska zajednica HR   5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Christen-Democratisch Appèl NL   4 4 4 4 3–4
Moderata samlingspartiet SE   4 4 4 4 3–5
Slovenska demokratska stranka SI   4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Österreichische Volkspartei AT   4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Граждани за европейско развитие на България BG   4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Fine Gael IE   3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–5
Kansallinen Kokoomus FI   3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Partit Nazzjonalista MT   3 3 3 3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí CZ   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Erakond Isamaa EE   2 2 2 2 2–3
Liberal Alliance DK   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai LT   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokrati SI   1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Demokrati SK   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Det Konservative Folkeparti DK   1 1 1 1 0–1
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie SK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Kristdemokraterna SE   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovensko SK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός CY   1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Да, България! BG   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
50Plus NL   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
BoerBurgerBeweging NL   0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie NL   0 0 0 0 0–1
Eesti 200 EE   0 0 0 0 0
Erakond Parempoolsed EE   0 0 0 0 0–1
Inicjatywa Polska PL   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Kristillisdemokraatit FI   0 0 0 0 0
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová CZ   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szövetség SK   0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Noi Moderati IT   0 0 0 0 0
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati SI   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe PL   0 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka SI   0 0 0 0 0
TOP 09 CZ   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România RO   0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Za ľudí SK   0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България BG   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European People’s Party.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.8%  
139 0.4% 99.6%  
140 0.6% 99.2%  
141 1.0% 98.6%  
142 2% 98%  
143 2% 96%  
144 3% 94%  
145 4% 91%  
146 6% 86%  
147 7% 81%  
148 8% 74%  
149 9% 65%  
150 10% 56% Median
151 10% 46%  
152 9% 37%  
153 8% 28%  
154 6% 20%  
155 5% 14%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.4% 3%  
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.4% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0% Last Result