European United Left–Nordic Green Left
Members registered from 18 countries:
AT, BE, CY, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, IE, IT, LU, NL, PT, SE, SI
Seats
Last result: 39 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 42 seats (+3 seats)
At least one member in 14 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, CY, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FI, FR, GR, IE, NL, PT, SE
Confidence Intervals
Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
European United Left–Nordic Green Left | EU | 39 | 42 | 38–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 32–48 |
La France insoumise | FR | 7 | 5–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | |
Sinn Féin | IE | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | |
Die Linke | DE | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | |
Movimiento Sumar–Podemos–Izquierda Unida | ES | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | GR | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | |
Parti du Travail de Belgique | BE-FRC | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Partij van de Arbeid van België | BE-VLG | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Partij voor de Dieren | NL | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Vänsterpartiet | SE | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού | CY | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Bloco de Esquerda | PT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | |
Coligação Democrática Unitária | PT | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | DK | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
Euskal Herria Bildu | ES | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | AT | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Socialistische Partij | NL | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Stačilo! | CZ | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
Vasemmistoliitto | FI | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
Νέα Αριστερά | GR | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Independents 4 Change | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | |
Levica | SI | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Pace Terra Dignità | IT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Parti animaliste | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Parti communiste français | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Radnička fronta | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sinistra Italiana | IT | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | |
Solidarity–People Before Profit | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
déi Lénk | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | GR | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European United Left–Nordic Green Left.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
32 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
33 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
34 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
35 | 1.3% | 98% | |
36 | 2% | 96% | |
37 | 3% | 95% | |
38 | 5% | 92% | |
39 | 7% | 87% | Last Result |
40 | 11% | 80% | |
41 | 14% | 69% | |
42 | 15% | 55% | Median |
43 | 14% | 40% | |
44 | 11% | 26% | |
45 | 8% | 15% | |
46 | 4% | 8% | |
47 | 2% | 3% | |
48 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
51 | 0% | 0% |