European United Left–Nordic Green Left
Members registered from 18 countries:
AT, BE, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, IE, IT, LU, NL, PL, PT, SE, SI
Seats
Last result: 46 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 57 seats (+11 seats)
At least one member in 11 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
BE, CY, DE, DK, ES, FI, FR, GR, IE, IT, SE
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| European United Left–Nordic Green Left | EU | 46 | 57 | 54–61 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
| La France insoumise | FR | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | |
| Movimento 5 Stelle | IT | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | |
| Die Linke | DE | 10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | |
| Sinn Féin | IE | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | |
| Parti du Travail de Belgique | BE-FRC | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | |
| Podemos | ES | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | |
| Sinistra Italiana | IT | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | |
| Vänsterpartiet | SE | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | DK | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Independents | IE | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida | ES | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | BE-VLG | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Vasemmistoliitto | FI | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού | CY | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | GR | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | GR | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
| Bloco de Esquerda | PT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coligação Democrática Unitária | PT | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Eesti Vasakliit | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Euskal Herria Bildu | ES | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Independents 4 Change | IE | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | AT | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Levica | SI | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Lewica Razem | PL | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | |
| Pace Terra Dignità | IT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parti communiste français | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | |
| Partij voor de Dieren | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Socialistische Partij | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Solidarity–People Before Profit | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| déi Lénk | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Νέα Αριστερά | GR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for European United Left–Nordic Green Left.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 95% | |
| 54 | 8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 11% | 83% | |
| 56 | 13% | 72% | |
| 57 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 46% | |
| 59 | 11% | 34% | |
| 60 | 8% | 23% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |