Non-Inscrits
Members registered from 15 countries:
BG, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, LT, LV, NL, PL, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 29 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 48 seats (+19 seats)
At least one member in 10 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
BG, DE, ES, GR, HU, IT, LT, LV, PL, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-Inscrits | EU | 29 | 48 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 44–53 | 42–55 |
| Movimento 5 Stelle | IT | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | |
| Fidesz | HU | 10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | |
| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | DE | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 | |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | SK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Възраждане | BG | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Die PARTEI | DE | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Nowa Nadzieja | PL | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | GR | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | |
| Darbo Partija | LT | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā | LV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lewica Razem | PL | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom | HU | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | ES | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| REPUBLIKA | SK | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Stabilitātei! | LV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ | GR | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Centra partija | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forum voor Democratie | NL | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Inicjatywa Polska | PL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
| Jobbik | HU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Les Patriotes | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nye Borgerlige | DK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Strana svobodných občanů | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Non-Inscrits.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 4% | 98% | |
| 45 | 7% | 94% | |
| 46 | 10% | 88% | |
| 47 | 14% | 77% | |
| 48 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 49 | 16% | 47% | |
| 50 | 13% | 32% | |
| 51 | 9% | 19% | |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |