Parties currently not represented in the EP
Members registered from 18 countries:
BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, EE, ES, FR, GR, HR, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 12 seats (+11 seats)
At least one member in 4 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
BG, GR, IE, LV
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parties currently not represented in the EP | EU | 1 | 12 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| Прогресивна България [BG] (*) | BG | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα [GR] (*) | GR | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Ξεκινάμε [GR] (*) | GR | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | |
| Aontú [IE] (*) | IE | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus [LV] (*) | LV | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai [LV] (*) | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland [DE] (*) | DE | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| DENK [NL] (*) | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
| De Nederlandse Alliantie [NL] (*) | NL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| DéFI [BE-FRC] (*) | BE-FRC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Déi Konservativ [LU] (*) | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem [SI] (*) | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fokus [LU] (*) | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Glas upokojencev [SI] (*) | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka [HR] (*) | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hrvatska stranka umirovljenika [HR] (*) | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Independents [IE] (*) | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg [LU] (*) | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Koos [EE] (*) | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| La France humaniste [FR] (*) | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | |
| Liberté – Fräiheet! [LU] (*) | LU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lutte Ouvrière [FR] (*) | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mi, socialisti! [SI] (*) | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nacionalinis Susivienijimas [LT] (*) | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
| Naše Česko [CZ] (*) | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nezavisna Platforma Sjever [HR] (*) | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Partito Progressista [IT] (*) | IT | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Platforma 21 [LV] (*) | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Právo Respekt Odbornost [CZ] (*) | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Právo na pravdu [SK] (*) | SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stranka antikorupcije, razvoja i transparentnosti [HR] (*) | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unión del Pueblo Navarro [ES] (*) | ES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Česká strana národně sociální [CZ] (*) | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών [CY] (*) | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Σήκου πάνω! [CY] (*) | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Σπαρτιάτες [GR] (*) | GR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Величие [BG] (*) | BG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Морал, Единство, Чест [BG] (*) | BG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parties currently not represented in the EP.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 19% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 35% | 80% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 45% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 16 | 4% | 30% | |
| 17 | 9% | 27% | |
| 18 | 9% | 18% | |
| 19 | 6% | 9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |