Patriots for Europe

Members registered from 16 countries:

AT, BE, CZ, DK, EE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, LV, NL, PL, PT, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 84 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 99 seats (+15 seats)

At least one member in 14 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, CZ, DK, EE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, LV, NL, PL, PT

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Patriots for Europe EU 84 99 94–104 92–106 91–107 89–109
Rassemblement national FR   32 29–36 28–39 27–39 26–39
Vox ES   12 10–13 10–14 10–14 10–15
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt HU   10 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–12
ANO 2011 CZ   8 8 8 8 8
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs AT   8 7–8 7–9 7–9 7–9
Lega Nord IT   7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
Chega PT   5 4–6 3–6 3–6 3–7
Partij voor de Vrijheid NL   5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Ruch Narodowy PL   3 2–4 2–4 1–4 0–5
Vlaams Belang BE-VLG   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Dansk Folkeparti DK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond EE   1 1 1 1 1
Latvija pirmajā vietā LV   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Motoristé sobě CZ   1 1 1 1 1
Φωνή Λογικής GR   1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Chez Nous BE-FRC   0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha CZ   0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA SK   0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka SI   0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenská národná strana SK   0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Patriots for Europe.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100% Last Result
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.7%  
90 0.8% 99.4%  
91 1.5% 98.6%  
92 2% 97%  
93 4% 95%  
94 5% 91%  
95 7% 85%  
96 8% 78%  
97 9% 70%  
98 10% 61%  
99 10% 51% Median
100 9% 42%  
101 8% 33%  
102 7% 25%  
103 5% 18%  
104 4% 13%  
105 3% 9%  
106 2% 6%  
107 1.5% 3%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.5% 1.0%  
110 0.3% 0.5%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%