Patriots for Europe

Members registered from 17 countries:

AT, BE, CZ, DK, EE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, LT, LV, NL, PL, PT, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 84 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 98 seats (+14 seats)

At least one member in 15 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, CZ, DK, EE, ES, FR, GR, HU, IT, LT, LV, NL, PL, PT

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Patriots for Europe EU 84 98 94–102 92–103 91–104 89–106
Rassemblement national FR   32 29–35 29–35 28–35 27–36
Vox ES   13 12–15 12–15 11–15 11–16
ANO 2011 CZ   9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs AT   9 8–9 8–9 8–10 7–10
Chega PT   6 5–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt HU   5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Lega Nord IT   5 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–8
Partij voor de Vrijheid NL   5 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Vlaams Belang BE-VLG   4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Ruch Narodowy PL   3 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
Dansk Folkeparti DK   2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Nemuno aušra LT   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond EE   1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2
Latvija pirmajā vietā LV   1 1 1 1 1
Φωνή Λογικής GR   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Chez Nous BE-FRC   0 0 0 0 0
Motoristé sobě CZ   0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Přísaha CZ   0 0 0 0 0
SME RODINA SK   0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka SI   0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana SK   0 0 0 0–1 0–1

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Patriots for Europe.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100% Last Result
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.7% 99.4%  
91 1.4% 98.7%  
92 3% 97%  
93 4% 95%  
94 6% 91%  
95 8% 84%  
96 10% 76%  
97 12% 65%  
98 12% 54% Median
99 11% 42%  
100 10% 31%  
101 8% 21%  
102 6% 14%  
103 4% 8%  
104 2% 4%  
105 1.2% 2%  
106 0.6% 1.0%  
107 0.2% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%