Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Members registered from 27 countries:
AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 147 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 137 seats (-10 seats)
At least one member in 25 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 147 | 137 | 131–142 | 130–143 | 129–145 | 126–147 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | ES | 18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | |
| Partito Democratico | IT | 16 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | DE | 15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | |
| Parti socialiste | FR | 12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | |
| Partidul Social Democrat | RO | 9 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | SE | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | |
| Partido Socialista | PT | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | AT | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
| Partij van de Arbeid | NL | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Socialdemokraterne | DK | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Demokratikus Koalíció | HU | 3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | SK | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | LT | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Nowa Lewica | PL | 3 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | |
| Partit Laburista | MT | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | FI | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | GR | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei | LU | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Parti Socialiste | BE-FRC | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond | EE | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | |
| Българска социалистическа партия | BG | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Lietuvos regionų partija | LT | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Socialni demokrati | SI | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | LV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vooruit | BE-VLG | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα | CY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Labour Party | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt | HU | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| PRO România | RO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parti radical de gauche | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parti radical de gauche–La Convention | FR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Partidul Puterii Umaniste (social-liberal) | RO | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Social Democrats | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Česká strana sociálně demokratická | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 96% | |
| 131 | 4% | 93% | |
| 132 | 5% | 90% | |
| 133 | 7% | 84% | |
| 134 | 8% | 78% | |
| 135 | 9% | 70% | |
| 136 | 10% | 61% | |
| 137 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 138 | 9% | 42% | |
| 139 | 8% | 32% | |
| 140 | 7% | 24% | |
| 141 | 6% | 17% | |
| 142 | 4% | 12% | |
| 143 | 3% | 7% | |
| 144 | 2% | 5% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |