Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Members registered from 26 countries:
AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI
Seats
Last result: 136 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 124 seats (-12 seats)
At least one member in 22 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, IE, IT, LT, LU, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 136 | 124 | 119–130 | 118–131 | 117–133 | 115–136 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | ES | 20 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 16–27 | |
| Partito Democratico | IT | 19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | DE | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 | |
| Parti socialiste–Place Publique | FR | 10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | |
| Partido Socialista | PT | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | |
| Partidul Social Democrat | RO | 7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | SE | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | |
| Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | FI | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
| Nowa Lewica | PL | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–6 | |
| Socialdemokraterne | DK | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | AT | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Partij van de Arbeid | NL | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Partit Laburista | MT | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | GR | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | LT | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | |
| Parti Socialiste | BE-FRC | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Social Democrats | IE | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Vooruit | BE-VLG | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei | LU | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Socialni demokrati | SI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
| Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond | EE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα | CY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Demokratikus Koalíció | HU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Labour Party | IE | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Lietuvos regionų partija | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sociální demokracie | CZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| БСП – обединена левица | BG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 117 | 2% | 98% | |
| 118 | 3% | 96% | |
| 119 | 5% | 92% | |
| 120 | 7% | 87% | |
| 121 | 8% | 81% | |
| 122 | 10% | 72% | |
| 123 | 10% | 63% | |
| 124 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 125 | 9% | 43% | |
| 126 | 8% | 33% | |
| 127 | 6% | 26% | |
| 128 | 5% | 19% | |
| 129 | 4% | 14% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 2% | 5% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |