Renew Europe

Members registered from 24 countries:

AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 77 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 67 seats (-10 seats)

At least one member in 18 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, BG, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, LV, NL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Renew Europe EU 77 67 62–74 61–76 60–78 58–81
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons FR   15 12–22 11–23 11–24 10–25
Democraten 66 NL   4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Freie Demokratische Partei DE   4 3–4 2–5 2–5 2–6
Gibanje Svoboda SI   4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Uniunea Salvați România RO   4 3–6 3–7 3–7 3–8
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie NL   4 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Fianna Fáil IE   3 2–4 2–4 2–4 1–5
Progresívne Slovensko SK   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Demokratesch Partei LU   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Keskerakond EE   2 2 2 2 1–2
Freie Wähler DE   2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Les Engagés BE-FRC   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Mouvement Réformateur BE-FRC   2 2 2 2 1–2
Suomen Keskusta FI   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната BG   2 2 2 2 2
Centerpartiet SE   1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Reformierakond EE   1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Independent Ireland IE   1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Iniciativa Liberal PT   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis LT   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Moderaterne DK   1 1 1 1 1–2
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum AT   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Radikale Venstre DK   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Venstre DK   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība LV   1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Anders BE-VLG   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Azione IT   0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Centar HR   0 0 0 0 0
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario ES   0 0 0 0 0
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți RO   0 0 0 0 0
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco ES   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Fokus na bitno HR   0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati HR   0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka HR   0 0 0 0 0
Independents IE   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Istarski demokratski sabor HR   0 0 0 0 0
Italia Viva IT   0 0 0 0 0–4
Kustība Par! LV   0 0 0 0 0
Laisvės partija LT   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai LV   0 0 0 0 0
Liberalerna SE   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partidul Mișcarea Populară RO   0 0 0 0 0
Partito Liberaldemocratico IT   0 0 0 0 0
Più Europa IT   0 0 0 0 0
Polska 2050 PL   0 0 0 0 0
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României RO   0 0 0 0 0
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland FI   0 0 0 0 0
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη CY   0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο GR   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη CY   0 0 0 0 0
Алианс за права и свободи BG   0 0 0 0 0

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renew Europe.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 0.9% 99.4%  
60 2% 98%  
61 3% 97%  
62 5% 93%  
63 7% 88%  
64 9% 81%  
65 10% 72%  
66 10% 62%  
67 9% 52% Median
68 8% 43%  
69 7% 35%  
70 5% 28%  
71 5% 23%  
72 4% 18%  
73 3% 15%  
74 3% 11%  
75 2% 8%  
76 2% 6%  
77 1.4% 4% Last Result
78 1.0% 3%  
79 0.7% 2%  
80 0.4% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%