Renew Europe
Members registered from 25 countries:
AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 77 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 69 seats (-8 seats)
At least one member in 20 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renew Europe | EU | 77 | 69 | 65–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 61–78 |
| Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons | FR | 13 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 8–19 | |
| Democraten 66 | NL | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | NL | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | |
| Progresívne Slovensko | SK | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | |
| Uniunea Salvați România | RO | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | |
| Fianna Fáil | IE | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | DE | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | |
| Gibanje Svoboda | SI | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Suomen Keskusta | FI | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Demokratesch Partei | LU | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Eesti Keskerakond | EE | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Freie Wähler | DE | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | |
| Mouvement Réformateur | BE-FRC | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | AT | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Venstre | DK | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | |
| Продължаваме промяната | BG | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 | |
| .Nowoczesna | PL | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | |
| Centerpartiet | SE | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Eesti Reformierakond | EE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Iniciativa Liberal | PT | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | |
| Les Engagés | BE-FRC | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis | LT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | BE-VLG | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | LV | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη | CY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | |
| Azione | IT | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | |
| Centar | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario | ES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți | RO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | ES | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Independent Ireland | IE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Independents | IE | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Istarski demokratski sabor | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Italia Viva | IT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kustība Par! | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Laisvės partija | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Latvijas attīstībai | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liberalerna | SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Moderaterne | DK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Momentum Mozgalom | HU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Partidul Mișcarea Populară | RO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Partito Liberaldemocratico | IT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Più Europa | IT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Polska 2050 | PL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Radikale Venstre | DK | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | FI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
| Zeleni Slovenije | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας | GR | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Алианс за права и свободи | BG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renew Europe.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 7% | 91% | |
| 66 | 9% | 85% | |
| 67 | 10% | 76% | |
| 68 | 10% | 66% | |
| 69 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 46% | |
| 71 | 10% | 35% | |
| 72 | 8% | 26% | |
| 73 | 7% | 17% | |
| 74 | 5% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |