Renew Europe

Members registered from 24 countries:

AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 77 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 79 seats (+2 seats)

At least one member in 19 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, BG, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Renew Europe EU 77 79 74–84 73–85 72–86 70–89
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons FR   21 19–25 18–25 18–26 17–27
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie NL   6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Uniunea Salvați România RO   5 4–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Fianna Fáil IE   4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Progresívne Slovensko SK   4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Freie Demokratische Partei DE   3 3–4 2–5 2–5 2–5
Polska 2050 PL   3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Democraten 66 NL   2 2 2 2 2–3
Freie Wähler DE   2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Gibanje Svoboda SI   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Mouvement Réformateur BE-FRC   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum AT   2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Suomen Keskusta FI   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre DK   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало BG   2 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Продължаваме промяната BG   2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
.Nowoczesna PL   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Centerpartiet SE   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokratesch Partei LU   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Keskerakond EE   1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Reformierakond EE   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Iniciativa Liberal PT   1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Les Engagés BE-FRC   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis LT   1 1 1 1 1–2
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība LV   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Алианс за права и свободи BG   1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Azione IT   0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Centar HR   0 0 0 0 0
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario ES   0 0 0 0 0
Dreptate și Respect în Europa Pentru Toți RO   0 0 0 0 0
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco ES   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Fokus na bitno HR   0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati HR   0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka HR   0 0 0 0 0
Independent Ireland IE   0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Independents IE   0 0 0 0 0
Istarski demokratski sabor HR   0 0 0 0 0
Italia Viva IT   0 0 0 0 0–3
Kustība Par! LV   0 0 0 0 0
Laisvės partija LT   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai LV   0 0 0 0 0
Liberalerna SE   0 0 0 0 0
Moderaterne DK   0 0 0 0 0–1
Momentum Mozgalom HU   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten BE-VLG   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partidul Mișcarea Populară RO   0 0 0 0 0
Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ LT   0 0 0 0 0
Più Europa IT   0 0 0 0 0
Radikale Venstre DK   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României RO   0 0 0 0 0
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland FI   0 0 0 0 0–1
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη CY   0 0 0 0 0

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renew Europe.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.7%  
71 1.1% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 4% 96%  
74 5% 92%  
75 7% 87%  
76 9% 80%  
77 10% 71% Last Result
78 11% 61%  
79 10% 50% Median
80 9% 40%  
81 8% 30%  
82 7% 22%  
83 5% 16%  
84 4% 10%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%