Renew Europe
Members registered from 26 countries:
AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Seats
Last result: 98 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Current median: 83 seats (-15 seats)
At least one member in 23 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:
AT, BE, BG, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renew Europe | EU | 98 | 83 | 78–88 | 76–89 | 75–90 | 73–93 |
| La République en marche–Mouvement démocrate | FR | 17 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 | |
| ANO 2011 | CZ | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | |
| Progresívne Slovensko | SK | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | |
| Fianna Fáil | IE | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | DE | 4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 | |
| Freie Wähler | DE | 4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | |
| Polska 2050 | PL | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | |
| Stati Uniti d’Europa | IT | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | |
| Uniunea Salvați România | RO | 4 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–7 | |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | NL | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | |
| Gibanje Svoboda | SI | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Продължаваме промяната | BG | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | |
| Democraten 66 | NL | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| Eesti Reformierakond | EE | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Mouvement Réformateur | BE-FRC | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | AT | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Suomen Keskusta | FI | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Venstre | DK | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Движение за права и свободи | BG | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | |
| .Nowoczesna | PL | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Centerpartiet | SE | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Coalición por Europa | ES | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Demokratesch Partei | LU | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eesti Keskerakond | EE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Iniciativa Liberal | PT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | |
| Latvijas attīstībai | LV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis | LT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | |
| Moderaterne | DK | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Momentum Mozgalom | HU | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | BE-VLG | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | |
| Azione | IT | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | |
| Centar | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía | ES | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Eesti 200 | EE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hrvatska seljačka stranka | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Istarski demokratski sabor | HR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Konkretno | SI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kustība Par! | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Laisvės partija | LT | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Liberalerna | SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | |
| Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ | LT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Radikale Venstre | DK | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | RO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | FI | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Δημοκράτες | GR | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη | CY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renew Europe.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 5% | 91% | |
| 79 | 6% | 86% | |
| 80 | 8% | 80% | |
| 81 | 9% | 72% | |
| 82 | 10% | 64% | |
| 83 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 84 | 10% | 44% | |
| 85 | 9% | 34% | |
| 86 | 7% | 25% | |
| 87 | 6% | 18% | |
| 88 | 4% | 12% | |
| 89 | 3% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |