Renew Europe

Members registered from 24 countries:

AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Seats

Last result: 77 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)

Current median: 57 seats (-20 seats)

At least one member in 17 countries have a median of 1 seat or more:

AT, BE, BG, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, NL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK

Confidence Intervals

Party Area Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Renew Europe EU 77 57 53–61 52–62 51–64 50–66
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons FR   13 11–15 11–15 11–16 9–16
Freie Demokratische Partei DE   4 2–5 2–6 2–6 2–6
Progresívne Slovensko SK   4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Democraten 66 NL   3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Fianna Fáil IE   3 2–3 2–4 1–4 1–4
Gibanje Svoboda SI   3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Uniunea Salvați România RO   3 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie NL   3 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Freie Wähler DE   2 1–2 1–2 1–3 1–3
Mouvement Réformateur BE-FRC   2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Suomen Keskusta FI   2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната BG   2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Anders BE-VLG   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Centerpartiet SE   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei LU   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Keskerakond EE   1 1 1 1 0–1
Eesti Reformierakond EE   1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Iniciativa Liberal PT   1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Les Engagés BE-FRC   1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis LT   1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Moderaterne DK   1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum AT   1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Radikale Venstre DK   1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Venstre DK   1 1 1 1 0–1
Azione IT   0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Azione–Partito Liberaldemocratico IT   0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Centar HR   0 0 0 0 0
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario ES   0 0 0 0 0–1
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco ES   0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati HR   0 0 0 0 0
Hrvatska socijalno-liberalna stranka HR   0 0 0 0 0
Independent Ireland IE   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Independents IE   0 0 0 0 0–1
Istarski demokratski sabor HR   0 0 0 0 0
Italia Viva IT   0 0 0 0 0–4
Laisvės partija LT   0 0 0 0 0–1
Latvijas attīstībai LV   0 0 0 0 0
Liberalerna SE   0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partito Liberaldemocratico IT   0 0 0 0 0
Più Europa IT   0 0 0 0 0
Più Europa–Italia Viva IT   0 0 0 0 0
Polska 2050 PL   0 0 0 0 0
Reînnoim Proiectul European al României RO   0 0 0 0 0
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland FI   0 0 0 0 0–1
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība LV   0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije SI   0 0 0 0 0
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη CY   0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο GR   0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη CY   0 0 0 0 0

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renew Europe.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.7% 99.6%  
51 2% 98.9%  
52 3% 97%  
53 5% 94%  
54 8% 89%  
55 11% 81%  
56 13% 70%  
57 13% 57% Median
58 12% 44%  
59 10% 32%  
60 8% 22%  
61 6% 14%  
62 4% 9%  
63 2% 5%  
64 1.3% 3%  
65 0.7% 1.3%  
66 0.3% 0.6%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0% Last Result