Partei des Fortschritts (*)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.8% |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.4–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.9% |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | 0.4–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.3% |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partei des Fortschritts (*).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 14% | 14% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partei des Fortschritts (*).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 24% | 24% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |