Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 27 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) LINKE Tierschutz GRÜNEN Volt PIRATEN SPD FDP FW CDU CSU FAMILIE ÖDP AfD PARTEI BSW dieBasis PDF
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 8–12%
7–11
1–2%
1–2
10–14%
10–13
0–2%
0–1
N/A
N/A
13–18%
13–17
2–5%
2–5
1–3%
1–3
19–25%
18–24
5–7%
4–7
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20–25%
18–24
0–1%
0–1
3–6%
3–6
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
21–24 March 2025 YouGov 9–11%
8–10
1–2%
1–2
11–14%
11–12
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
13–17%
12–16
2–4%
2–4
1–2%
1–2
19–22%
18–21
5–7%
4–6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22–26%
21–24
0–1%
0–1
4–6%
4–6
0%
0
N/A
N/A
21–24 March 2025 INSA and YouGov
BILD
9–12%
9–11
1%
1
11–13%
10–13
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
13–16%
13–15
3–4%
3–4
1–2%
1–2
20–23%
19–22
5–7%
5–6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22–25%
21–24
0–1%
0–1
4–6%
4–5
0%
0
N/A
N/A
18–24 March 2025 Forsa
RTL n-tv
9–11%
8–11
1–2%
1–2
11–13%
10–13
1%
1
N/A
N/A
14–16%
13–16
3–5%
3–5
2–3%
1–3
19–22%
17–22
5–6%
4–6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
21–25%
20–24
0–1%
0–1
3–5%
3–5
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
18–20 March 2025 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
ZDF
8–12%
8–11
1–2%
1–2
10–14%
10–13
1–2%
1–2
N/A
N/A
14–18%
14–17
3–5%
3–4
1–3%
1–3
19–24%
19–22
4–7%
4–6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
20–24%
19–23
0–1%
0–1
2–4%
2–4
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
4–5 March 2025 Infratest dimap 8–11%
7–10
1–2%
1–2
10–14%
10–13
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
14–18%
14–18
2–4%
2–4
1–3%
1–2
21–25%
20–24
5–8%
5–7
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19–23%
17–22
0–1%
0–1
4–6%
4–6
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
28 February–1 March 2025 Ipsos 7–11%
7–10
1–2%
1–2
10–14%
10–13
0–2%
0–1
N/A
N/A
13–17%
13–16
3–5%
3–5
1–3%
1–3
20–25%
19–25
5–8%
4–8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19–24%
19–23
0–1%
0–1
4–7%
4–7
0–1%
0–1
N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Die Linke (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 9.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.1–11.3% 7.8–11.5% 7.2–12.1%
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 9.9–14.4%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.4–1.7%
Piratenpartei Deutschland (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0.0% 15.2% 14.0–16.7% 13.6–17.2% 13.3–17.6% 12.7–18.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.5–5.0% 2.2–5.5%
Freie Wähler (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–3.1%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) 0.0% 21.4% 19.9–23.6% 19.5–24.2% 19.2–24.7% 18.6–25.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.2% 4.3–7.8%
Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0.0% 22.7% 20.5–24.5% 20.0–24.9% 19.6–25.3% 18.8–26.0%
Die PARTEI (NI) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) 0.0% 4.5% 3.2–5.6% 2.8–5.9% 2.6–6.1% 2.2–6.6%
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8%
Partei des Fortschritts (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0.3% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 4% 99.7%  
13.5–14.5% 21% 96%  
14.5–15.5% 36% 74% Median
15.5–16.5% 25% 38%  
16.5–17.5% 10% 13%  
17.5–18.5% 3% 3%  
18.5–19.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Die PARTEI (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die PARTEI (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 41% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 59% 59% Median
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 95% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 5% 5%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0.3% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 2% 99.7%  
19.5–20.5% 8% 98%  
20.5–21.5% 15% 90%  
21.5–22.5% 22% 75%  
22.5–23.5% 26% 53% Median
23.5–24.5% 19% 28%  
24.5–25.5% 7% 9%  
25.5–26.5% 1.4% 2%  
26.5–27.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 2% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 14% 98%  
3.5–4.5% 35% 84%  
4.5–5.5% 39% 50% Median
5.5–6.5% 10% 11%  
6.5–7.5% 0.6% 0.6%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Die Linke (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 1.2% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 10% 98.8%  
8.5–9.5% 28% 89%  
9.5–10.5% 40% 61% Median
10.5–11.5% 19% 21%  
11.5–12.5% 2% 2%  
12.5–13.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0.4% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 5% 99.5%  
19.5–20.5% 19% 94%  
20.5–21.5% 28% 75% Median
21.5–22.5% 22% 47%  
22.5–23.5% 14% 24%  
23.5–24.5% 7% 10%  
24.5–25.5% 2% 3%  
25.5–26.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
26.5–27.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 2% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 36% 98%  
5.5–6.5% 49% 62% Median
6.5–7.5% 12% 13%  
7.5–8.5% 1.1% 1.1%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.7% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 99.3% Median
1.5–2.5% 11% 11%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.2% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 4% 99.8%  
10.5–11.5% 25% 96%  
11.5–12.5% 46% 71% Median
12.5–13.5% 22% 26%  
13.5–14.5% 4% 4%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 25% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 70% 75% Median
2.5–3.5% 5% 5%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 8% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 91% 92% Median
1.5–2.5% 2% 2%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 4% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 42% 96%  
3.5–4.5% 46% 54% Median
4.5–5.5% 8% 9%  
5.5–6.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Die Linke (GUE/NGL) 0 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–11
Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) 0 12 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–13
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Piratenpartei Deutschland (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0 14 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) 0 3 3–4 2–5 2–5 2–5
Freie Wähler (RE) 0 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) 0 21 19–22 19–23 18–24 17–25
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) 0 6 5–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0 21 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–24
Die PARTEI (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) 0 4 3–5 3–6 3–6 2–7
Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partei des Fortschritts (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Die Linke (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 5% 99.9%  
8 26% 95%  
9 36% 69% Median
10 19% 33%  
11 14% 14%  
12 0.5% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 87% 99.7% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 100%  
10 17% 99.3%  
11 29% 82%  
12 35% 54% Median
13 18% 19%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 92% 94% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Piratenpartei Deutschland (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartei Deutschland (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 1.1% 100%  
13 26% 98.9%  
14 30% 73% Median
15 16% 43%  
16 21% 27%  
17 5% 6%  
18 1.4% 1.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 50% 94% Median
4 37% 44%  
5 8% 8%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Freie Wähler (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Wähler (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 29% 100%  
2 60% 71% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 1.0% 100%  
18 4% 99.0%  
19 12% 95%  
20 32% 83%  
21 21% 51% Median
22 21% 30%  
23 5% 9%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.6% 0.6%  
26 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 7% 100%  
5 40% 93%  
6 48% 54% Median
7 5% 6%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.6% 100%  
18 4% 99.4%  
19 7% 96%  
20 19% 88%  
21 27% 69% Median
22 20% 42%  
23 17% 22%  
24 5% 5%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  

Die PARTEI (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die PARTEI (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100% Last Result
1 62% 62% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.1% 100%  
3 15% 98.8%  
4 38% 84% Median
5 41% 46%  
6 4% 5%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Basisdemokratische Partei Deutschland (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Partei des Fortschritts (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei des Fortschritts (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) – Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP) – Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP) 0 26 0% 24–29 24–29 24–29 22–31
Alternative für Deutschland (ESN) 0 21 0% 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–24
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 0 14 0% 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI) 0 5 0% 4–6 3–6 3–7 2–8
Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE) 0 5 0% 4–7 4–7 3–7 3–7

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (EPP) – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) – Familienpartei Deutschlands (EPP) – Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 1.1% 100%  
23 1.3% 98.9%  
24 12% 98%  
25 17% 85%  
26 30% 69%  
27 16% 39% Median
28 12% 23%  
29 8% 11%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.6% 0.7%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.6% 100%  
18 4% 99.4%  
19 7% 96%  
20 19% 88%  
21 27% 69% Median
22 20% 42%  
23 17% 22%  
24 5% 5%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 1.1% 100%  
13 26% 98.9%  
14 30% 73% Median
15 16% 43%  
16 21% 27%  
17 5% 6%  
18 1.4% 1.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (NI) – Die PARTEI (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 100%  
3 9% 99.4%  
4 19% 91%  
5 42% 72% Median
6 27% 30%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei (RE) – Freie Wähler (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 19% 96%  
5 37% 77% Median
6 23% 39%  
7 16% 16%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Technical Information