Opinion Poll by Kantar for Bild am Sonntag, 19–25 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.7–23.3% 20.3–23.6% 20.0–24.0% 19.4–24.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.4–22.7% 19.1–23.0% 18.6–23.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.9–17.2% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.8% 13.8–18.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.6–16.5% 13.4–16.8% 12.9–17.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.4–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 165 155–175 153–178 150–181 147–185
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 158 149–168 146–170 144–172 140–178
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 112–130 109–132 107–133 104–138
Alternative für Deutschland 94 112 104–121 103–124 101–126 96–130
Die Linke 69 60 54–66 54–68 52–71 49–74
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 53 47–59 45–61 44–63 42–66
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 33–44 32–45 31–47 29–49

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.5% 99.5%  
149 0.6% 98.9%  
150 2% 98%  
151 0.4% 97%  
152 0.5% 96%  
153 0.9% 96%  
154 1.5% 95%  
155 4% 93%  
156 3% 89%  
157 1.3% 86%  
158 2% 85%  
159 2% 83%  
160 9% 81%  
161 2% 72%  
162 6% 70%  
163 5% 64%  
164 8% 59%  
165 3% 51% Median
166 5% 47%  
167 1.4% 42%  
168 10% 41%  
169 5% 31%  
170 5% 26%  
171 4% 21%  
172 1.2% 17%  
173 1.0% 16%  
174 4% 15%  
175 2% 11%  
176 3% 10%  
177 1.1% 6%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 0.7% 4%  
180 0.6% 4%  
181 0.8% 3%  
182 0.6% 2%  
183 0.8% 2%  
184 0.2% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.2% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.5% 99.7%  
141 0.3% 99.2%  
142 1.0% 98.9%  
143 0.2% 98%  
144 1.2% 98%  
145 1.0% 97%  
146 2% 96%  
147 0.8% 94%  
148 3% 93%  
149 3% 90%  
150 5% 87%  
151 1.3% 83%  
152 3% 81%  
153 2% 78%  
154 5% 76%  
155 2% 70%  
156 8% 68%  
157 3% 61%  
158 10% 58% Median
159 3% 48%  
160 7% 45%  
161 7% 38%  
162 6% 31%  
163 2% 25%  
164 6% 23%  
165 1.0% 17%  
166 2% 16%  
167 3% 14%  
168 2% 10%  
169 1.5% 8%  
170 2% 6%  
171 0.3% 5%  
172 2% 5%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.2% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.2% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.2% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.3% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.5%  
105 0.3% 99.4%  
106 0.8% 99.0%  
107 1.1% 98%  
108 0.7% 97%  
109 2% 96%  
110 1.3% 94%  
111 1.4% 93%  
112 2% 92%  
113 2% 89%  
114 4% 87%  
115 4% 83%  
116 2% 79%  
117 7% 77%  
118 4% 71%  
119 6% 66%  
120 3% 61%  
121 4% 57%  
122 10% 53% Median
123 6% 42%  
124 4% 37%  
125 8% 32%  
126 4% 25%  
127 5% 20%  
128 1.3% 15%  
129 3% 14%  
130 5% 11%  
131 0.9% 6%  
132 2% 5%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.5% 2%  
135 0.7% 2%  
136 0.3% 1.2%  
137 0.4% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.2% 0.3%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.3% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.5%  
98 0.2% 99.3%  
99 0.4% 99.1%  
100 1.0% 98.8%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 2% 97%  
103 3% 96%  
104 4% 93%  
105 3% 88%  
106 3% 85%  
107 5% 82%  
108 3% 77%  
109 4% 74%  
110 3% 70%  
111 7% 67%  
112 12% 61% Median
113 7% 49%  
114 4% 42%  
115 8% 37%  
116 5% 30%  
117 4% 25%  
118 3% 21%  
119 4% 18%  
120 2% 15%  
121 4% 13%  
122 2% 9%  
123 2% 7%  
124 1.1% 5%  
125 2% 4%  
126 0.5% 3%  
127 0.3% 2%  
128 0.2% 2%  
129 0.7% 2%  
130 0.4% 0.8%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.6%  
50 0.8% 99.2%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 1.1% 98%  
53 1.3% 97%  
54 7% 96%  
55 5% 88%  
56 6% 83%  
57 5% 77%  
58 4% 72%  
59 14% 68%  
60 8% 54% Median
61 5% 47%  
62 3% 42%  
63 14% 39%  
64 6% 25%  
65 5% 19%  
66 4% 14%  
67 1.4% 10%  
68 3% 8%  
69 1.4% 5% Last Result
70 0.9% 3%  
71 0.4% 3%  
72 1.1% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.4% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.4% 99.6%  
43 1.0% 99.2%  
44 2% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 3% 94%  
47 3% 91%  
48 6% 88%  
49 4% 82%  
50 11% 78%  
51 5% 67%  
52 4% 62%  
53 15% 58% Median
54 10% 44%  
55 6% 33%  
56 8% 28%  
57 3% 19%  
58 4% 16%  
59 4% 12%  
60 2% 8%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.1% 4%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.6% 1.3%  
65 0.2% 0.8%  
66 0.3% 0.5%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.7%  
30 0.9% 99.1%  
31 2% 98%  
32 3% 96%  
33 5% 93%  
34 8% 88%  
35 9% 79%  
36 6% 70%  
37 6% 65%  
38 10% 58% Median
39 7% 49%  
40 8% 42%  
41 12% 34%  
42 3% 22%  
43 4% 19%  
44 9% 15%  
45 2% 6%  
46 2% 5% Last Result
47 2% 3%  
48 0.5% 1.4%  
49 0.5% 0.9%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 483 100% 472–493 469–498 466–499 461–503
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 415 100% 403–426 401–429 398–431 392–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 378 99.3% 366–389 362–393 358–393 354–400
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 369 96% 360–380 356–385 353–387 346–393
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 363 81% 350–373 347–376 343–379 339–384
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 340 4% 329–349 324–353 322–356 316–363
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 334 1.1% 318–339 316–342 314–351 311–355
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 325 0% 312–336 310–339 306–341 301–347
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 315 0% 307–328 304–332 300–334 294–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 281 0% 267–289 263–291 261–296 258–303
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 257 0% 246–267 243–271 240–273 236–279
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 173–192 169–194 167–195 162–201
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 174 0% 164–185 162–187 158–188 154–194

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0.1% 99.9%  
459 0.1% 99.8%  
460 0.1% 99.7%  
461 0.5% 99.6%  
462 0.1% 99.1%  
463 0.2% 99.0%  
464 0.2% 98.8%  
465 0.9% 98.6%  
466 0.4% 98% Last Result
467 1.3% 97%  
468 0.8% 96%  
469 0.8% 95%  
470 1.4% 94%  
471 3% 93%  
472 2% 90%  
473 1.2% 88%  
474 3% 87%  
475 1.5% 84%  
476 4% 83%  
477 3% 79%  
478 5% 75%  
479 2% 71%  
480 2% 69%  
481 11% 66%  
482 3% 55%  
483 3% 52% Median
484 5% 49%  
485 5% 44%  
486 5% 39%  
487 3% 34%  
488 8% 31%  
489 4% 24%  
490 1.0% 19%  
491 1.4% 18%  
492 3% 17%  
493 4% 13%  
494 2% 10%  
495 2% 8%  
496 0.2% 6%  
497 0.3% 6%  
498 2% 6%  
499 2% 3%  
500 0.2% 1.1%  
501 0.1% 0.9%  
502 0.2% 0.8%  
503 0.2% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0.1% 0.2%  
506 0.1% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
386 0.1% 100%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.2% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
394 0.1% 99.2%  
395 0.5% 99.1%  
396 0.5% 98.6%  
397 0.6% 98%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.6% 97%  
400 1.3% 97%  
401 2% 95%  
402 1.3% 93%  
403 2% 92%  
404 2% 90%  
405 4% 88%  
406 1.2% 84%  
407 2% 83%  
408 3% 81%  
409 9% 78%  
410 2% 70%  
411 5% 68%  
412 2% 62%  
413 5% 60%  
414 3% 55% Median
415 6% 52%  
416 3% 46%  
417 2% 43%  
418 8% 41%  
419 3% 33%  
420 6% 30%  
421 2% 25%  
422 0.6% 22%  
423 5% 21%  
424 3% 17%  
425 4% 14%  
426 2% 10%  
427 1.3% 8%  
428 2% 7%  
429 0.8% 5%  
430 2% 4%  
431 0.5% 3%  
432 0.4% 2%  
433 0.4% 2%  
434 0.5% 2%  
435 0.2% 1.1%  
436 0.3% 0.8%  
437 0.1% 0.6%  
438 0.2% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.3% 99.6%  
355 0.1% 99.3% Majority
356 0.3% 99.2%  
357 0.4% 99.0%  
358 1.2% 98.5%  
359 0.2% 97%  
360 1.2% 97%  
361 0.3% 96%  
362 0.9% 96%  
363 0.7% 95%  
364 0.7% 94%  
365 3% 93%  
366 0.6% 90%  
367 3% 90%  
368 3% 86%  
369 2% 84%  
370 1.1% 82%  
371 6% 81%  
372 0.9% 74%  
373 3% 73%  
374 5% 70%  
375 3% 66%  
376 7% 63%  
377 5% 56%  
378 2% 50% Median
379 10% 49%  
380 1.2% 38%  
381 4% 37%  
382 3% 34%  
383 3% 31%  
384 5% 28%  
385 3% 23%  
386 6% 20%  
387 1.3% 14%  
388 2% 13%  
389 0.9% 11%  
390 3% 10%  
391 0.9% 7%  
392 0.3% 6%  
393 3% 5%  
394 0.8% 2%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.4% 1.5%  
397 0.2% 1.1%  
398 0.2% 0.8%  
399 0.1% 0.6%  
400 0.2% 0.6%  
401 0.2% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0.1% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.3% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.1% 99.5%  
347 0.2% 99.4%  
348 0.2% 99.3%  
349 0.2% 99.1%  
350 0.3% 98.9%  
351 0.5% 98.6%  
352 0.2% 98%  
353 0.9% 98%  
354 0.9% 97%  
355 0.3% 96% Majority
356 3% 96%  
357 0.8% 93%  
358 0.6% 92%  
359 1.0% 92%  
360 5% 91%  
361 2% 86%  
362 2% 84%  
363 12% 81%  
364 1.4% 69%  
365 3% 68%  
366 4% 65%  
367 4% 61%  
368 6% 57% Median
369 4% 52%  
370 5% 48%  
371 5% 43%  
372 7% 38%  
373 5% 31%  
374 2% 26%  
375 3% 24%  
376 3% 22%  
377 4% 19%  
378 0.7% 15%  
379 1.3% 14%  
380 3% 13%  
381 0.9% 10%  
382 2% 9%  
383 0.9% 7%  
384 0.7% 6%  
385 2% 6%  
386 0.3% 4%  
387 0.8% 3%  
388 0.5% 2%  
389 1.1% 2%  
390 0.1% 0.9%  
391 0.1% 0.8%  
392 0.2% 0.8%  
393 0.2% 0.5%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.1% 99.4%  
341 0.4% 99.3%  
342 1.3% 99.0%  
343 0.2% 98%  
344 0.6% 97%  
345 0.7% 97%  
346 0.5% 96%  
347 1.0% 96%  
348 0.9% 95%  
349 2% 94%  
350 5% 92%  
351 2% 87%  
352 1.0% 85%  
353 2% 84%  
354 2% 82%  
355 3% 81% Majority
356 8% 78%  
357 2% 70%  
358 6% 68%  
359 3% 63%  
360 3% 60%  
361 2% 57% Median
362 2% 55%  
363 4% 53%  
364 13% 49%  
365 5% 36%  
366 2% 31%  
367 2% 29%  
368 2% 27%  
369 3% 25%  
370 4% 22%  
371 2% 18%  
372 4% 16%  
373 2% 11%  
374 3% 9%  
375 0.8% 6%  
376 0.8% 6%  
377 1.3% 5%  
378 0.2% 3%  
379 1.2% 3%  
380 0.4% 2%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.1%  
383 0.3% 1.0%  
384 0.3% 0.7%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0.1% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.2% 99.7%  
317 0.2% 99.5%  
318 0.1% 99.2%  
319 0.1% 99.2%  
320 1.1% 99.1%  
321 0.5% 98%  
322 0.8% 98%  
323 0.3% 97%  
324 2% 96%  
325 0.7% 94%  
326 0.9% 94%  
327 2% 93%  
328 0.9% 91%  
329 3% 90%  
330 1.3% 87%  
331 0.7% 86%  
332 4% 85%  
333 3% 81%  
334 3% 78%  
335 2% 76%  
336 5% 74%  
337 7% 69%  
338 5% 62%  
339 5% 57%  
340 4% 52% Median
341 6% 48%  
342 4% 43%  
343 4% 39%  
344 3% 35%  
345 1.4% 32%  
346 12% 31%  
347 2% 19%  
348 2% 16%  
349 5% 14%  
350 1.0% 9%  
351 0.6% 8%  
352 0.8% 8%  
353 3% 7%  
354 0.3% 4%  
355 0.9% 4% Majority
356 0.9% 3%  
357 0.2% 2%  
358 0.5% 2%  
359 0.3% 1.4%  
360 0.2% 1.1%  
361 0.2% 0.9%  
362 0.2% 0.7%  
363 0.1% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.5%  
365 0.3% 0.4%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0.1% 99.8%  
311 0.2% 99.7%  
312 0.2% 99.5%  
313 0.9% 99.3%  
314 2% 98%  
315 0.5% 97%  
316 3% 96%  
317 3% 94%  
318 2% 90%  
319 4% 88%  
320 2% 84%  
321 0.8% 83%  
322 1.1% 82%  
323 0.9% 81%  
324 0.3% 80%  
325 0.3% 80%  
326 0.1% 79%  
327 0.5% 79%  
328 0.6% 79%  
329 2% 78%  
330 3% 76%  
331 2% 73%  
332 5% 71%  
333 7% 67% Median
334 10% 60%  
335 9% 49%  
336 10% 40%  
337 12% 29%  
338 5% 18%  
339 4% 13%  
340 2% 9%  
341 1.4% 7%  
342 1.2% 5%  
343 0.3% 4%  
344 0.1% 4%  
345 0% 4%  
346 0% 4%  
347 0.1% 4%  
348 0.4% 4%  
349 0.2% 3%  
350 0.5% 3%  
351 0.4% 3%  
352 0.4% 2%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.3% 1.4%  
355 0.7% 1.1% Majority
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.2% 0.3%  
358 0.1% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0.1% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.2% 99.6%  
302 0.2% 99.4%  
303 0.2% 99.2%  
304 0.3% 99.1%  
305 0.5% 98.7%  
306 1.0% 98%  
307 0.7% 97%  
308 0.7% 97%  
309 0.7% 96%  
310 2% 95%  
311 0.7% 94%  
312 3% 93%  
313 2% 90%  
314 2% 88%  
315 3% 87%  
316 1.5% 84%  
317 6% 83%  
318 1.3% 77%  
319 1.5% 76%  
320 3% 74%  
321 5% 71%  
322 3% 66%  
323 7% 63%  
324 4% 56%  
325 7% 52% Median
326 2% 44%  
327 6% 42%  
328 2% 36%  
329 5% 35%  
330 3% 30%  
331 4% 28%  
332 3% 23%  
333 4% 20%  
334 2% 16%  
335 2% 14%  
336 3% 13%  
337 0.5% 10%  
338 4% 9%  
339 0.3% 5%  
340 0.9% 5%  
341 2% 4%  
342 0.1% 2%  
343 0.6% 2%  
344 0.2% 1.1%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.2% 0.7%  
347 0.2% 0.5%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.2% 99.6%  
295 0.8% 99.4%  
296 0.2% 98.6%  
297 0.1% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.8% 98%  
301 0.5% 97%  
302 0.4% 97%  
303 0.6% 96%  
304 1.3% 95%  
305 0.9% 94%  
306 2% 93%  
307 1.5% 91%  
308 4% 89%  
309 3% 86%  
310 8% 83%  
311 5% 75%  
312 2% 70%  
313 8% 67%  
314 6% 59%  
315 6% 54% Median
316 2% 48%  
317 7% 46%  
318 8% 39%  
319 3% 31%  
320 2% 28%  
321 2% 26%  
322 2% 24%  
323 4% 22%  
324 1.3% 19%  
325 1.4% 17%  
326 2% 16%  
327 3% 14%  
328 2% 11%  
329 0.4% 10%  
330 1.3% 9%  
331 2% 8%  
332 2% 6%  
333 0.3% 5%  
334 2% 4%  
335 0.3% 2%  
336 0.8% 2%  
337 0.5% 1.4%  
338 0.4% 0.9%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
341 0.2% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0.1% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.1% 99.7%  
257 0.1% 99.6%  
258 0.3% 99.5%  
259 0.3% 99.2%  
260 0.7% 99.0%  
261 2% 98%  
262 0.5% 97%  
263 2% 96%  
264 1.4% 94%  
265 1.1% 93%  
266 1.1% 92%  
267 2% 91%  
268 1.3% 89%  
269 2% 88%  
270 2% 86%  
271 0.5% 83%  
272 1.5% 83%  
273 0.9% 81%  
274 2% 80%  
275 7% 78%  
276 2% 71%  
277 6% 69%  
278 4% 64%  
279 2% 60%  
280 5% 58% Median
281 9% 53%  
282 3% 44%  
283 15% 40%  
284 2% 26%  
285 3% 24%  
286 4% 21%  
287 5% 17%  
288 2% 12%  
289 3% 10%  
290 2% 7%  
291 0.6% 5%  
292 0.2% 5%  
293 1.1% 4%  
294 0.4% 3%  
295 0.2% 3%  
296 0.9% 3%  
297 0.2% 2%  
298 0.3% 2%  
299 0.3% 1.3%  
300 0.1% 1.0%  
301 0.1% 0.9%  
302 0.3% 0.8%  
303 0.1% 0.5%  
304 0.2% 0.4%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0.1% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.6%  
236 0.4% 99.5%  
237 0.3% 99.1%  
238 0.2% 98.8%  
239 0.3% 98.6%  
240 2% 98%  
241 0.4% 96%  
242 0.5% 96%  
243 2% 95%  
244 0.9% 93%  
245 0.6% 92%  
246 1.2% 91%  
247 2% 90%  
248 1.1% 88%  
249 5% 87%  
250 2% 82%  
251 11% 80%  
252 5% 69%  
253 2% 64%  
254 3% 62%  
255 3% 58%  
256 2% 55% Median
257 10% 53%  
258 2% 44%  
259 2% 42%  
260 10% 39%  
261 1.4% 29%  
262 2% 28%  
263 8% 26%  
264 3% 18%  
265 1.0% 15%  
266 4% 14%  
267 0.9% 10%  
268 0.6% 9%  
269 2% 9%  
270 1.1% 6%  
271 2% 5%  
272 0.8% 3%  
273 0.5% 3%  
274 0.4% 2%  
275 0.5% 2%  
276 0.2% 1.1%  
277 0.1% 0.9%  
278 0.2% 0.8%  
279 0.1% 0.6%  
280 0.2% 0.5%  
281 0% 0.3%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0.1% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0.7% 99.8%  
163 0.5% 99.1%  
164 0.7% 98.6%  
165 0.1% 98%  
166 0.1% 98%  
167 0.4% 98%  
168 2% 97%  
169 1.3% 96%  
170 2% 94%  
171 1.0% 92%  
172 1.1% 91%  
173 0.4% 90%  
174 6% 90%  
175 4% 83%  
176 12% 80%  
177 3% 68%  
178 0.4% 65%  
179 1.0% 65%  
180 5% 64%  
181 8% 58%  
182 9% 50% Median
183 5% 42%  
184 2% 36%  
185 1.2% 34%  
186 3% 33%  
187 2% 30%  
188 12% 28%  
189 3% 16%  
190 0.9% 12%  
191 0.2% 12%  
192 2% 11%  
193 4% 9%  
194 2% 5%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.2% 2%  
200 0.7% 2%  
201 0.4% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.5% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.2%  
156 1.1% 99.1%  
157 0.4% 98%  
158 0.4% 98%  
159 0.4% 97%  
160 0.3% 97%  
161 0.9% 97%  
162 1.0% 96%  
163 4% 95%  
164 2% 90%  
165 2% 88%  
166 6% 86%  
167 0.8% 80%  
168 4% 79%  
169 2% 75%  
170 1.1% 72%  
171 3% 71%  
172 3% 68%  
173 11% 65%  
174 5% 54%  
175 6% 49% Median
176 10% 43%  
177 2% 33%  
178 9% 31%  
179 2% 21%  
180 1.4% 19%  
181 0.5% 18%  
182 2% 17%  
183 0.8% 16%  
184 3% 15%  
185 6% 12%  
186 0.5% 6%  
187 3% 6%  
188 1.4% 3%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.2% 1.2%  
191 0.1% 1.0%  
192 0.1% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.3% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations