Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF, 24–26 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 27.0% 25.5–28.6% 25.1–29.1% 24.7–29.5% 24.0–30.3%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.0% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–23.9% 19.8–24.3% 19.1–25.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.9–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.3–16.0% 11.7–16.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.5–14.6% 11.3–14.9% 10.8–15.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.8–8.5% 5.4–9.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.9–7.5% 4.5–7.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.4% 3.7–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 204 192–216 188–219 185–223 180–231
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 167 154–178 150–181 148–184 143–190
Alternative für Deutschland 94 105 96–115 94–118 92–121 88–126
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 97 89–107 86–110 84–113 80–118
Die Linke 69 52 45–61 44–63 43–65 41–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 40–52 38–54 0–56 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 33–44 31–46 30–48 28–52

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 100%  
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.7%  
180 0.2% 99.6%  
181 0.2% 99.4%  
182 0.3% 99.2%  
183 0.4% 98.9%  
184 0.5% 98%  
185 0.5% 98%  
186 0.7% 97%  
187 0.9% 97%  
188 1.1% 96%  
189 1.2% 95%  
190 2% 94%  
191 2% 92%  
192 2% 90%  
193 2% 89%  
194 2% 87%  
195 3% 84%  
196 4% 81%  
197 3% 78%  
198 4% 74%  
199 3% 71%  
200 4% 68%  
201 4% 64%  
202 4% 60%  
203 5% 56%  
204 4% 51% Median
205 4% 47%  
206 4% 43%  
207 4% 39%  
208 5% 35%  
209 5% 31%  
210 3% 26%  
211 3% 23%  
212 3% 21%  
213 2% 17%  
214 2% 15%  
215 2% 13%  
216 2% 11%  
217 2% 9%  
218 1.2% 7%  
219 1.1% 6%  
220 0.8% 5%  
221 0.8% 4%  
222 0.7% 3%  
223 0.4% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.4% 2%  
226 0.3% 1.5%  
227 0.2% 1.2%  
228 0.1% 1.0%  
229 0.2% 0.9%  
230 0.2% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.6%  
232 0.1% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.4%  
234 0% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.5%  
145 0.5% 99.3%  
146 0.3% 98.8%  
147 0.7% 98.6%  
148 0.8% 98%  
149 0.7% 97%  
150 1.5% 96%  
151 1.2% 95%  
152 1.3% 94%  
153 2% 92%  
154 1.3% 90%  
155 3% 89%  
156 2% 86%  
157 2% 84%  
158 4% 82%  
159 2% 78%  
160 3% 76%  
161 4% 73%  
162 2% 69%  
163 4% 67%  
164 3% 62%  
165 5% 60%  
166 4% 55%  
167 3% 51% Median
168 6% 48%  
169 4% 43%  
170 3% 38%  
171 6% 35%  
172 3% 30%  
173 4% 27%  
174 4% 22%  
175 2% 18%  
176 4% 16%  
177 2% 12%  
178 2% 10%  
179 2% 8%  
180 0.9% 7%  
181 1.3% 6%  
182 0.8% 4%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.7% 3%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.4%  
188 0.4% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.2% 99.6%  
89 0.3% 99.4%  
90 0.4% 99.1%  
91 0.8% 98.7%  
92 1.1% 98%  
93 1.5% 97%  
94 2% 95% Last Result
95 2% 94%  
96 2% 92%  
97 2% 90%  
98 3% 87%  
99 4% 85%  
100 4% 80%  
101 6% 76%  
102 6% 70%  
103 5% 63%  
104 5% 59%  
105 5% 54% Median
106 5% 49%  
107 5% 44%  
108 6% 40%  
109 5% 33%  
110 5% 28%  
111 4% 24%  
112 3% 20%  
113 3% 17%  
114 2% 14%  
115 2% 12%  
116 2% 9%  
117 1.5% 8%  
118 2% 6%  
119 0.9% 4%  
120 0.7% 4%  
121 0.6% 3%  
122 0.4% 2%  
123 0.4% 2%  
124 0.4% 1.3%  
125 0.3% 0.9%  
126 0.2% 0.7%  
127 0.1% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 0.2% 99.5%  
82 0.5% 99.3%  
83 0.6% 98.8%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 0.9% 97%  
86 2% 97%  
87 2% 94%  
88 2% 93%  
89 3% 91%  
90 5% 88%  
91 2% 83%  
92 3% 80%  
93 6% 77%  
94 7% 71%  
95 3% 64%  
96 6% 61%  
97 6% 55% Median
98 5% 49%  
99 4% 44%  
100 6% 39%  
101 5% 33%  
102 3% 28%  
103 4% 24%  
104 4% 21%  
105 3% 16%  
106 2% 14%  
107 3% 12%  
108 2% 9%  
109 2% 7%  
110 0.9% 5%  
111 1.4% 5%  
112 0.6% 3%  
113 0.7% 3%  
114 0.4% 2%  
115 0.5% 1.5%  
116 0.1% 1.0%  
117 0.4% 0.9%  
118 0.1% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.4%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.4% 99.5%  
42 1.3% 99.1%  
43 1.0% 98%  
44 2% 97%  
45 5% 95%  
46 2% 90%  
47 6% 88%  
48 8% 82%  
49 4% 74%  
50 9% 71%  
51 7% 61%  
52 5% 55% Median
53 7% 50%  
54 6% 42%  
55 5% 36%  
56 5% 31%  
57 4% 26%  
58 5% 22%  
59 2% 17%  
60 4% 15%  
61 3% 11%  
62 1.1% 8%  
63 3% 7%  
64 1.2% 4%  
65 0.8% 3%  
66 0.8% 2%  
67 0.3% 1.2%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0.1% 96%  
38 2% 96%  
39 3% 94%  
40 5% 91%  
41 5% 86%  
42 6% 82%  
43 7% 75%  
44 7% 68%  
45 8% 61%  
46 8% 53% Median
47 8% 45%  
48 7% 37%  
49 6% 30%  
50 6% 24%  
51 4% 17%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 1.4% 5%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.9% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.4%  
59 0.4% 1.0%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 0.6% 99.6%  
29 0.9% 99.0%  
30 2% 98%  
31 3% 96%  
32 3% 93%  
33 5% 91%  
34 5% 86%  
35 8% 80%  
36 9% 72%  
37 9% 63%  
38 7% 54% Median
39 7% 47%  
40 10% 40%  
41 8% 31%  
42 5% 23%  
43 5% 18%  
44 3% 13%  
45 3% 10%  
46 2% 7% Last Result
47 2% 5%  
48 0.9% 3%  
49 0.6% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.4%  
51 0.3% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 505 100% 493–519 489–524 485–536 480–551
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 456 100% 437–466 432–468 429–470 420–475
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 409 100% 393–422 389–426 385–431 380–449
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 354 48% 341–369 337–373 334–379 327–392
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 355 52% 340–368 336–372 330–375 317–382
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 348 25% 332–361 327–364 322–368 309–373
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 346 23% 332–360 327–363 321–366 308–373
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 310 0% 297–324 293–329 290–334 284–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 302 0% 289–316 286–321 282–325 276–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 301 0% 289–315 285–320 281–324 276–334
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 250 0% 235–263 229–266 219–269 205–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 149 0% 139–164 137–167 135–170 131–175
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 143 0% 132–154 126–157 107–159 96–165

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 99.9%  
476 0% 99.9%  
477 0.1% 99.9%  
478 0.1% 99.8%  
479 0.1% 99.7%  
480 0.2% 99.6%  
481 0.2% 99.4%  
482 0.4% 99.2%  
483 0.3% 98.8%  
484 0.4% 98.6%  
485 0.7% 98%  
486 0.7% 97%  
487 0.5% 97%  
488 0.7% 96%  
489 1.4% 96%  
490 1.3% 94%  
491 0.9% 93%  
492 1.4% 92%  
493 3% 91%  
494 1.3% 88%  
495 2% 86%  
496 3% 85%  
497 4% 82%  
498 2% 78%  
499 2% 76%  
500 4% 74%  
501 6% 69%  
502 2% 64%  
503 2% 62%  
504 7% 59%  
505 5% 53%  
506 2% 48% Median
507 2% 46%  
508 6% 44%  
509 5% 38%  
510 2% 33%  
511 2% 32%  
512 6% 29%  
513 2% 23%  
514 2% 21%  
515 2% 19%  
516 4% 17%  
517 1.4% 13%  
518 1.1% 12%  
519 2% 11%  
520 1.4% 9%  
521 0.7% 8%  
522 0.7% 7%  
523 0.6% 6%  
524 0.7% 6%  
525 0.3% 5%  
526 0.3% 5%  
527 0.3% 4%  
528 0.2% 4%  
529 0.2% 4%  
530 0.3% 4%  
531 0.2% 3%  
532 0.1% 3%  
533 0.1% 3%  
534 0.2% 3%  
535 0.1% 3%  
536 0.2% 3%  
537 0.2% 2%  
538 0.2% 2%  
539 0.2% 2%  
540 0.1% 2%  
541 0.2% 2%  
542 0.1% 2%  
543 0.1% 2%  
544 0.1% 1.4%  
545 0.2% 1.3%  
546 0.1% 1.1%  
547 0.1% 1.0%  
548 0.2% 0.9%  
549 0.1% 0.7%  
550 0.1% 0.6%  
551 0.1% 0.6%  
552 0.1% 0.4%  
553 0.1% 0.4%  
554 0.1% 0.3%  
555 0% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.2%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0.1% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0.1% 99.8%  
419 0.2% 99.7%  
420 0% 99.5%  
421 0.2% 99.5%  
422 0.3% 99.3%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.2% 98.9%  
425 0.4% 98.8%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.5% 98%  
430 0.4% 97%  
431 0.7% 97%  
432 1.1% 96%  
433 0.7% 95%  
434 1.1% 94%  
435 2% 93%  
436 1.3% 92%  
437 2% 90%  
438 2% 88%  
439 2% 86%  
440 2% 84%  
441 2% 82%  
442 2% 80%  
443 2% 77%  
444 2% 75%  
445 2% 73%  
446 1.2% 72%  
447 2% 70%  
448 2% 69%  
449 1.3% 67%  
450 1.3% 66%  
451 2% 64%  
452 2% 62%  
453 3% 61%  
454 3% 58%  
455 2% 55% Median
456 4% 52%  
457 5% 48%  
458 5% 44%  
459 4% 39%  
460 5% 35%  
461 4% 30%  
462 4% 26%  
463 5% 22%  
464 4% 17%  
465 4% 14%  
466 2% 10%  
467 2% 8%  
468 1.5% 6%  
469 1.3% 4%  
470 1.0% 3%  
471 0.5% 2%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.3% 1.1%  
474 0.2% 0.8%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.9%  
378 0.1% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.2% 99.7%  
381 0.2% 99.5%  
382 0.3% 99.2%  
383 0.3% 99.0%  
384 0.5% 98.7%  
385 0.7% 98%  
386 0.6% 97%  
387 0.6% 97%  
388 0.9% 96%  
389 1.3% 95%  
390 1.3% 94%  
391 1.0% 93%  
392 2% 92%  
393 2% 90%  
394 2% 88%  
395 2% 87%  
396 2% 85%  
397 2% 82%  
398 2% 81%  
399 2% 79%  
400 3% 77%  
401 2% 74%  
402 2% 72%  
403 3% 70%  
404 3% 68%  
405 3% 64%  
406 3% 62%  
407 3% 59%  
408 5% 56%  
409 2% 51% Median
410 3% 49%  
411 5% 46%  
412 4% 41%  
413 2% 37%  
414 5% 35%  
415 4% 31%  
416 3% 27%  
417 2% 23%  
418 3% 21%  
419 3% 18%  
420 2% 15%  
421 1.4% 13%  
422 2% 12%  
423 2% 10%  
424 1.1% 8%  
425 0.8% 7%  
426 1.1% 6%  
427 0.7% 5%  
428 0.5% 4%  
429 0.4% 3%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0.1% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.1% 1.5%  
441 0.1% 1.4%  
442 0.1% 1.3%  
443 0.1% 1.2%  
444 0.2% 1.1%  
445 0.2% 0.9%  
446 0% 0.7%  
447 0.1% 0.7%  
448 0.1% 0.6%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.7%  
327 0.2% 99.6%  
328 0.1% 99.5%  
329 0.3% 99.4%  
330 0.2% 99.1%  
331 0.5% 98.9%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.7% 98%  
334 0.3% 98%  
335 0.9% 97%  
336 0.8% 96%  
337 0.8% 96%  
338 2% 95%  
339 1.0% 93%  
340 2% 92%  
341 2% 91%  
342 3% 88%  
343 2% 85%  
344 3% 83%  
345 2% 81%  
346 3% 78%  
347 2% 75%  
348 5% 74%  
349 3% 69%  
350 5% 67%  
351 2% 62%  
352 6% 60%  
353 3% 54% Median
354 3% 51%  
355 4% 48% Majority
356 3% 44%  
357 5% 41%  
358 3% 36%  
359 4% 33%  
360 2% 29%  
361 4% 27%  
362 2% 23%  
363 3% 21%  
364 2% 18%  
365 2% 16%  
366 1.4% 14%  
367 2% 13%  
368 1.1% 11%  
369 2% 10%  
370 0.9% 8%  
371 1.1% 8%  
372 0.8% 6%  
373 0.8% 6%  
374 0.4% 5%  
375 0.5% 4%  
376 0.6% 4%  
377 0.3% 3%  
378 0.4% 3%  
379 0.3% 3%  
380 0.3% 2%  
381 0.2% 2%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 1.4%  
385 0.1% 1.2%  
386 0.1% 1.1%  
387 0.2% 1.0%  
388 0.1% 0.8%  
389 0.1% 0.7%  
390 0% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.8%  
314 0% 99.7%  
315 0% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0% 99.4%  
320 0.1% 99.3%  
321 0.1% 99.3%  
322 0.2% 99.2%  
323 0.1% 99.0%  
324 0.1% 98.9%  
325 0.1% 98.8%  
326 0.2% 98.6%  
327 0.2% 98%  
328 0.2% 98%  
329 0.3% 98%  
330 0.3% 98%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.3% 97%  
333 0.6% 97%  
334 0.5% 96%  
335 0.4% 96%  
336 0.8% 95%  
337 0.8% 94%  
338 1.1% 94%  
339 0.9% 92%  
340 2% 92%  
341 1.1% 90%  
342 2% 89%  
343 1.4% 87%  
344 2% 86%  
345 2% 84%  
346 3% 82%  
347 2% 79%  
348 4% 77%  
349 2% 73%  
350 4% 71%  
351 3% 67%  
352 5% 64%  
353 3% 59%  
354 4% 56%  
355 3% 52% Majority
356 3% 49% Median
357 6% 46%  
358 2% 40%  
359 5% 38%  
360 3% 33%  
361 5% 31%  
362 2% 26%  
363 3% 25%  
364 2% 22%  
365 3% 19%  
366 2% 17%  
367 3% 15%  
368 2% 12%  
369 2% 9%  
370 1.0% 8%  
371 2% 7%  
372 0.8% 5%  
373 0.8% 4%  
374 0.9% 4%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.7% 2%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.5% 2%  
379 0.2% 1.1%  
380 0.3% 0.9%  
381 0.1% 0.6%  
382 0.2% 0.5%  
383 0.1% 0.4%  
384 0.1% 0.3%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.4%  
313 0.1% 99.2%  
314 0.1% 99.1%  
315 0.2% 99.0%  
316 0.2% 98.8%  
317 0.1% 98.7%  
318 0.2% 98.6%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.1% 98%  
321 0.4% 98%  
322 0.2% 98%  
323 0.4% 97%  
324 0.4% 97%  
325 0.5% 97%  
326 0.4% 96%  
327 0.7% 96%  
328 0.8% 95%  
329 0.6% 94%  
330 1.0% 94%  
331 1.1% 93%  
332 2% 92%  
333 1.3% 90%  
334 1.2% 89%  
335 2% 87%  
336 2% 86%  
337 2% 83%  
338 3% 81%  
339 2% 78%  
340 3% 76%  
341 3% 73%  
342 4% 70%  
343 3% 66%  
344 3% 64%  
345 3% 61%  
346 4% 57%  
347 3% 54%  
348 5% 51% Median
349 4% 46%  
350 5% 42%  
351 3% 37%  
352 2% 34%  
353 4% 31%  
354 2% 27%  
355 3% 25% Majority
356 4% 22%  
357 2% 18%  
358 3% 16%  
359 2% 13%  
360 2% 12%  
361 2% 10%  
362 2% 8%  
363 1.1% 7%  
364 0.9% 6%  
365 0.8% 5%  
366 0.6% 4%  
367 0.7% 3%  
368 0.6% 3%  
369 0.5% 2%  
370 0.3% 1.5%  
371 0.2% 1.1%  
372 0.2% 0.9%  
373 0.2% 0.7%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0.1% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9% Last Result
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.5%  
309 0.1% 99.4%  
310 0% 99.4%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.3%  
313 0.1% 99.2%  
314 0.2% 99.1%  
315 0.2% 98.9%  
316 0.2% 98.8%  
317 0.3% 98.6%  
318 0.3% 98%  
319 0.2% 98%  
320 0.3% 98%  
321 0.3% 98%  
322 0.3% 97%  
323 0.4% 97%  
324 0.4% 97%  
325 0.5% 96%  
326 0.7% 96%  
327 0.6% 95%  
328 0.8% 94%  
329 0.7% 94%  
330 0.9% 93%  
331 1.3% 92%  
332 1.2% 91%  
333 1.3% 90%  
334 1.2% 88%  
335 2% 87%  
336 3% 85%  
337 2% 82%  
338 2% 80%  
339 2% 78%  
340 5% 76%  
341 4% 71%  
342 3% 67%  
343 3% 64%  
344 3% 61%  
345 6% 58%  
346 3% 52%  
347 4% 49% Median
348 3% 45%  
349 2% 42%  
350 5% 40%  
351 3% 34%  
352 4% 31%  
353 2% 27%  
354 3% 25%  
355 3% 23% Majority
356 3% 20%  
357 3% 17%  
358 1.4% 14%  
359 2% 12%  
360 2% 11%  
361 2% 9%  
362 2% 7%  
363 0.7% 5%  
364 0.8% 5%  
365 0.5% 4%  
366 1.1% 3%  
367 0.5% 2%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.2% 1.5%  
370 0.3% 1.3%  
371 0.3% 1.0%  
372 0.2% 0.7%  
373 0.1% 0.5%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0.1% 0.3%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0.2% 99.4%  
286 0.2% 99.2%  
287 0.2% 99.0%  
288 0.4% 98.8%  
289 0.7% 98%  
290 0.5% 98%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 0.7% 97%  
293 1.1% 96%  
294 1.1% 95%  
295 1.4% 94%  
296 2% 92%  
297 1.3% 91%  
298 2% 89%  
299 2% 88%  
300 3% 86%  
301 2% 82%  
302 2% 80%  
303 2% 78%  
304 5% 75%  
305 4% 70%  
306 4% 66%  
307 4% 63%  
308 4% 59%  
309 4% 55%  
310 4% 51% Median
311 5% 47%  
312 3% 42%  
313 2% 38%  
314 4% 36%  
315 4% 32%  
316 3% 28%  
317 3% 25%  
318 2% 23%  
319 4% 21%  
320 2% 17%  
321 2% 16%  
322 2% 13%  
323 1.2% 12%  
324 1.3% 10%  
325 1.4% 9%  
326 1.0% 8%  
327 0.6% 7%  
328 0.7% 6%  
329 0.8% 5%  
330 0.7% 5%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 0.5% 3%  
333 0.4% 3%  
334 0.4% 3%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0.3% 2%  
337 0.2% 2%  
338 0.2% 1.4%  
339 0.1% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
341 0.2% 0.9%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.5%  
345 0.1% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.2% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.3%  
279 0.3% 99.0%  
280 0.3% 98.7%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 0.6% 98%  
283 0.8% 97%  
284 0.6% 97%  
285 0.9% 96%  
286 1.1% 95%  
287 1.5% 94%  
288 1.3% 92%  
289 2% 91%  
290 2% 89%  
291 2% 87%  
292 2% 85%  
293 2% 83%  
294 4% 80%  
295 2% 77%  
296 4% 74%  
297 4% 70%  
298 3% 66%  
299 4% 63%  
300 3% 59%  
301 4% 56%  
302 4% 52% Median
303 5% 48%  
304 3% 43%  
305 5% 40%  
306 3% 35%  
307 4% 33%  
308 4% 29%  
309 2% 25%  
310 3% 23%  
311 2% 19%  
312 3% 18%  
313 2% 15%  
314 1.4% 13%  
315 1.3% 12%  
316 1.2% 11%  
317 1.1% 9%  
318 1.2% 8%  
319 1.0% 7%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.9% 5%  
322 0.6% 5%  
323 0.7% 4%  
324 0.4% 3%  
325 0.5% 3%  
326 0.3% 2%  
327 0.2% 2%  
328 0.4% 2%  
329 0.2% 2%  
330 0.2% 1.3%  
331 0.1% 1.1%  
332 0.3% 1.0%  
333 0.1% 0.8%  
334 0.1% 0.7%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.4%  
278 0.3% 99.3%  
279 0.4% 99.0%  
280 0.5% 98.6%  
281 0.8% 98%  
282 0.7% 97%  
283 0.7% 97%  
284 0.7% 96%  
285 0.7% 95%  
286 0.7% 94%  
287 1.2% 94%  
288 2% 92%  
289 2% 91%  
290 4% 89%  
291 2% 85%  
292 4% 82%  
293 2% 78%  
294 2% 75%  
295 2% 73%  
296 1.5% 71%  
297 3% 70%  
298 4% 67%  
299 5% 62%  
300 7% 57%  
301 5% 51% Median
302 4% 46%  
303 4% 42%  
304 2% 38%  
305 2% 36%  
306 2% 34%  
307 2% 32%  
308 3% 29%  
309 4% 27%  
310 4% 23%  
311 3% 19%  
312 3% 16%  
313 2% 13%  
314 1.1% 11%  
315 1.0% 10%  
316 0.6% 9%  
317 1.0% 9%  
318 1.2% 8%  
319 1.0% 6%  
320 0.9% 5%  
321 0.9% 4%  
322 0.7% 4%  
323 0.4% 3%  
324 0.3% 3%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.2% 2%  
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.3% 1.2%  
330 0.1% 1.0%  
331 0.1% 0.8%  
332 0.1% 0.8%  
333 0.1% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.6%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.8%  
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0% 99.7%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0% 99.6%  
205 0.1% 99.6%  
206 0.1% 99.5%  
207 0.1% 99.4%  
208 0.1% 99.3%  
209 0.2% 99.2%  
210 0.1% 99.0%  
211 0.1% 98.9%  
212 0.3% 98.8%  
213 0.2% 98.5%  
214 0.2% 98%  
215 0.1% 98%  
216 0.1% 98%  
217 0.3% 98%  
218 0.1% 98%  
219 0.1% 98%  
220 0.2% 97%  
221 0.2% 97%  
222 0.2% 97%  
223 0.2% 97%  
224 0.2% 97%  
225 0.2% 96%  
226 0.4% 96%  
227 0.4% 96%  
228 0.5% 95%  
229 0.7% 95%  
230 0.6% 94%  
231 0.7% 94%  
232 0.7% 93%  
233 0.8% 92%  
234 1.2% 91%  
235 1.5% 90%  
236 1.1% 89%  
237 1.5% 88%  
238 2% 86%  
239 2% 84%  
240 2% 83%  
241 3% 80%  
242 2% 78%  
243 3% 75%  
244 4% 73%  
245 3% 69%  
246 3% 66%  
247 4% 63%  
248 3% 60%  
249 5% 57%  
250 3% 52%  
251 4% 49% Median
252 3% 45%  
253 3% 42%  
254 4% 39%  
255 5% 35%  
256 3% 31%  
257 4% 28%  
258 3% 24%  
259 3% 21%  
260 3% 18%  
261 1.5% 15%  
262 3% 13%  
263 2% 11%  
264 2% 9%  
265 0.7% 7%  
266 1.2% 6%  
267 1.3% 5%  
268 0.9% 4%  
269 0.5% 3%  
270 0.5% 2%  
271 0.4% 2%  
272 0.4% 1.3%  
273 0.2% 0.9%  
274 0.2% 0.7%  
275 0.2% 0.5%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0.1% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.3% 99.5%  
132 0.4% 99.3%  
133 0.5% 98.9%  
134 0.7% 98%  
135 1.2% 98%  
136 0.9% 97%  
137 1.4% 96%  
138 3% 94%  
139 2% 92%  
140 3% 89%  
141 4% 87%  
142 3% 83%  
143 3% 80%  
144 6% 76%  
145 4% 71%  
146 4% 67%  
147 5% 63%  
148 4% 58%  
149 4% 54% Median
150 5% 50%  
151 3% 45%  
152 3% 41%  
153 3% 38%  
154 4% 35%  
155 3% 31%  
156 2% 28%  
157 3% 26%  
158 2% 23%  
159 2% 21%  
160 3% 18%  
161 2% 16%  
162 2% 14%  
163 2% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 1.5% 8%  
166 1.0% 7%  
167 1.3% 6%  
168 1.0% 4%  
169 0.7% 3%  
170 0.6% 3%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.4% 2%  
173 0.3% 1.2%  
174 0.2% 0.9%  
175 0.2% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 0.1% 99.6%  
97 0.1% 99.5%  
98 0.2% 99.4%  
99 0.1% 99.2%  
100 0.2% 99.1%  
101 0.1% 98.8%  
102 0.5% 98.8%  
103 0.1% 98%  
104 0.3% 98%  
105 0% 98%  
106 0.3% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.3% 97%  
109 0.1% 97%  
110 0.2% 97%  
111 0.2% 97%  
112 0.2% 97%  
113 0.1% 96%  
114 0.1% 96%  
115 0.1% 96%  
116 0% 96%  
117 0.2% 96%  
118 0% 96%  
119 0.1% 96%  
120 0% 96%  
121 0.1% 96%  
122 0.1% 96%  
123 0.1% 96%  
124 0.2% 95%  
125 0.3% 95%  
126 0.4% 95%  
127 0.4% 95%  
128 0.9% 94%  
129 0.6% 93%  
130 1.0% 93%  
131 1.2% 92%  
132 2% 90%  
133 2% 88%  
134 3% 87%  
135 3% 84%  
136 3% 81%  
137 3% 78%  
138 3% 75%  
139 5% 72%  
140 5% 67%  
141 4% 62%  
142 4% 57%  
143 5% 54% Median
144 5% 49%  
145 4% 44%  
146 5% 40%  
147 4% 34%  
148 4% 30%  
149 3% 26%  
150 5% 23%  
151 3% 18%  
152 3% 16%  
153 2% 13%  
154 2% 10%  
155 2% 9%  
156 1.0% 7%  
157 2% 6%  
158 0.7% 4%  
159 1.0% 3%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.5% 2%  
162 0.4% 1.5%  
163 0.2% 1.1%  
164 0.3% 0.8%  
165 0.1% 0.5%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0.1% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations