Opinion Poll by GMS, 1–7 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.3–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.6% 18.7–25.5%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.0% 20.3–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.6% 18.7–25.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 180 171–189 168–192 164–194 142–199
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 168 155–179 151–183 147–187 142–195
Alternative für Deutschland 94 115 103–124 100–128 98–131 93–137
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 105 97–117 94–120 91–122 85–131
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 55 48–61 46–65 46–68 44–78
Die Linke 69 47 41–55 41–56 39–58 0–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 32–47 31–49 29–50 27–54

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.5%  
143 0.1% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.1% 99.1%  
147 0.1% 99.0%  
148 0.1% 98.9%  
149 0.1% 98.8%  
150 0.1% 98.7%  
151 0.1% 98.7%  
152 0% 98.5%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0% 98%  
155 0.1% 98%  
156 0% 98%  
157 0% 98%  
158 0% 98%  
159 0.1% 98%  
160 0% 98%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.1% 98%  
163 0.1% 98%  
164 0.3% 98%  
165 0.3% 97%  
166 1.0% 97%  
167 0.3% 96%  
168 1.2% 96%  
169 0.9% 95%  
170 2% 94%  
171 3% 92%  
172 3% 89%  
173 2% 86%  
174 5% 83%  
175 2% 79%  
176 6% 77%  
177 4% 70%  
178 6% 66%  
179 8% 61%  
180 4% 52% Median
181 6% 48%  
182 5% 42%  
183 4% 36%  
184 7% 33%  
185 3% 26%  
186 5% 23%  
187 3% 18%  
188 4% 15%  
189 2% 12%  
190 2% 9%  
191 1.2% 7%  
192 2% 6%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.9% 3%  
195 0.4% 2%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.1%  
198 0.2% 0.8%  
199 0.3% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.7%  
143 0.4% 99.5%  
144 0% 99.1%  
145 0.1% 99.0%  
146 0.6% 98.9%  
147 0.8% 98%  
148 0.2% 97%  
149 0.6% 97%  
150 0.4% 97%  
151 2% 96%  
152 1.4% 94%  
153 0.7% 93%  
154 0.7% 92%  
155 3% 92%  
156 6% 88%  
157 0.4% 82%  
158 0.5% 82%  
159 4% 81%  
160 7% 78%  
161 2% 71%  
162 1.2% 69%  
163 2% 67%  
164 4% 66%  
165 4% 62%  
166 5% 58%  
167 0.5% 54%  
168 4% 53% Median
169 12% 49%  
170 2% 37%  
171 1.0% 35%  
172 2% 34%  
173 5% 32%  
174 6% 27%  
175 2% 21%  
176 0.9% 19%  
177 1.2% 18%  
178 5% 16%  
179 2% 11%  
180 0.2% 9%  
181 0.1% 9%  
182 2% 9%  
183 2% 7%  
184 0.3% 4%  
185 0.2% 4%  
186 0.3% 4%  
187 1.1% 4%  
188 0.9% 2%  
189 0.2% 2%  
190 0.1% 1.4%  
191 0.4% 1.3%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0% 0.6%  
195 0.2% 0.6%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
95 0.5% 99.3%  
96 0.3% 98.8%  
97 0.4% 98.5%  
98 1.0% 98%  
99 1.4% 97%  
100 1.2% 96%  
101 2% 95%  
102 2% 93%  
103 3% 91%  
104 4% 89%  
105 3% 85%  
106 3% 82%  
107 4% 79%  
108 2% 75%  
109 5% 73%  
110 2% 69%  
111 2% 66%  
112 4% 65%  
113 6% 61%  
114 2% 54%  
115 4% 52% Median
116 5% 48%  
117 8% 43%  
118 5% 35%  
119 4% 30%  
120 4% 27%  
121 5% 23%  
122 3% 18%  
123 3% 15%  
124 2% 12%  
125 1.2% 10%  
126 1.3% 9%  
127 2% 7%  
128 0.6% 6%  
129 1.0% 5%  
130 0.7% 4%  
131 0.9% 3%  
132 0.2% 2%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.2% 1.2%  
136 0.3% 0.9%  
137 0.2% 0.6%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.4%  
87 0.2% 99.2%  
88 0.5% 99.0%  
89 0.3% 98%  
90 0.5% 98%  
91 0.3% 98%  
92 0.5% 97%  
93 0.9% 97%  
94 1.1% 96%  
95 1.5% 95%  
96 1.0% 93%  
97 3% 92%  
98 4% 89%  
99 8% 85%  
100 3% 77%  
101 6% 75%  
102 5% 68%  
103 8% 63%  
104 3% 55%  
105 6% 52% Median
106 2% 45%  
107 2% 44%  
108 2% 41%  
109 3% 39%  
110 4% 36%  
111 2% 32%  
112 5% 30%  
113 1.4% 25%  
114 3% 24%  
115 4% 20%  
116 5% 17%  
117 2% 11%  
118 2% 9%  
119 2% 7%  
120 2% 6%  
121 1.0% 4%  
122 0.6% 3%  
123 0.4% 2%  
124 0.3% 2%  
125 0.2% 2%  
126 0.2% 1.5%  
127 0.3% 1.3%  
128 0.3% 1.0%  
129 0.2% 0.7%  
130 0% 0.6%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.8%  
44 0.6% 99.7%  
45 1.3% 99.1%  
46 3% 98%  
47 4% 95%  
48 5% 90%  
49 5% 85%  
50 2% 80%  
51 2% 78%  
52 4% 76%  
53 3% 72%  
54 9% 69%  
55 10% 60% Median
56 14% 50%  
57 14% 36%  
58 7% 22%  
59 4% 15%  
60 1.1% 12%  
61 1.0% 11%  
62 1.5% 10%  
63 1.2% 8%  
64 2% 7%  
65 1.4% 5%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 0.5% 3%  
68 0.6% 3%  
69 0.5% 2%  
70 0.1% 2%  
71 0.1% 1.4%  
72 0% 1.3%  
73 0% 1.3%  
74 0.1% 1.2%  
75 0.2% 1.1%  
76 0.2% 1.0%  
77 0.2% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.5%  
80 0% 0.3% Last Result
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0% 98%  
9 0% 98%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 0% 98%  
15 0% 98%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0% 98%  
18 0% 98%  
19 0% 98%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 0% 98%  
26 0% 98%  
27 0% 98%  
28 0% 98%  
29 0% 98%  
30 0% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 0% 98%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0% 98%  
35 0% 98%  
36 0% 98%  
37 0% 98%  
38 0.3% 98%  
39 0.8% 98%  
40 2% 97%  
41 7% 95%  
42 6% 88%  
43 4% 83%  
44 7% 79%  
45 4% 72%  
46 9% 69%  
47 15% 60% Median
48 4% 44%  
49 8% 41%  
50 10% 33%  
51 5% 23%  
52 3% 18%  
53 3% 15%  
54 1.2% 11%  
55 2% 10%  
56 3% 8%  
57 1.5% 4%  
58 0.4% 3%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 0.2% 2%  
61 0.2% 2%  
62 0.2% 2%  
63 0.2% 1.4%  
64 0.1% 1.2%  
65 0.1% 1.2%  
66 0.2% 1.1%  
67 0% 0.9%  
68 0.1% 0.8%  
69 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.6%  
28 1.0% 99.2%  
29 1.3% 98%  
30 1.1% 97%  
31 3% 96%  
32 3% 93%  
33 4% 90%  
34 5% 86%  
35 5% 81%  
36 8% 76%  
37 5% 69%  
38 9% 64%  
39 8% 55% Median
40 8% 47%  
41 6% 39%  
42 5% 32%  
43 5% 27%  
44 4% 22%  
45 3% 17%  
46 3% 14% Last Result
47 2% 11%  
48 3% 9%  
49 2% 6%  
50 2% 4%  
51 1.1% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.3%  
53 0.2% 0.8%  
54 0.3% 0.6%  
55 0.1% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 493 100% 483–504 477–507 471–511 449–524
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 442 100% 426–455 422–460 418–464 412–477
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 387 98.7% 373–400 370–403 364–405 344–413
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 377 97% 361–390 356–396 354–401 346–417
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 367 89% 354–382 350–386 346–391 339–408
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 341 10% 327–354 322–360 319–364 312–373
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 332 3% 319–348 313–353 308–355 292–363
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 321 0.6% 306–335 301–341 297–345 290–355
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 312 0.3% 299–329 295–331 289–337 283–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 286 0% 275–298 271–302 266–304 246–310
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 260 0% 247–276 244–279 239–286 236–296
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 161 0% 150–174 147–177 144–181 139–190
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 153 0% 143–166 139–170 133–172 109–181

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.4%  
451 0.1% 99.3%  
452 0.1% 99.3%  
453 0.1% 99.2%  
454 0.1% 99.1%  
455 0% 99.0%  
456 0% 99.0%  
457 0.1% 99.0%  
458 0.1% 98.8%  
459 0% 98.7%  
460 0% 98.7%  
461 0.1% 98.7%  
462 0.1% 98.5%  
463 0.1% 98%  
464 0% 98%  
465 0.1% 98%  
466 0.1% 98% Last Result
467 0.1% 98%  
468 0% 98%  
469 0% 98%  
470 0.2% 98%  
471 0.4% 98%  
472 0.2% 97%  
473 0% 97%  
474 0.2% 97%  
475 0.8% 97%  
476 0.9% 96%  
477 0.4% 95%  
478 0.2% 95%  
479 1.0% 95%  
480 2% 94%  
481 0.5% 92%  
482 0.2% 92%  
483 2% 91%  
484 5% 90%  
485 2% 85%  
486 2% 83%  
487 2% 81%  
488 8% 79%  
489 9% 72%  
490 4% 62%  
491 3% 58%  
492 4% 56% Median
493 10% 52%  
494 4% 42%  
495 0.9% 38%  
496 3% 37%  
497 6% 34%  
498 4% 29%  
499 1.4% 25%  
500 0.8% 24%  
501 5% 23%  
502 4% 18%  
503 3% 14%  
504 0.8% 11%  
505 2% 10%  
506 3% 8%  
507 1.0% 5%  
508 0.5% 4%  
509 0.5% 4%  
510 0.6% 3%  
511 0.6% 3%  
512 0.1% 2%  
513 0.3% 2%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.2% 1.4%  
516 0.1% 1.3%  
517 0.2% 1.1%  
518 0.1% 1.0%  
519 0.1% 0.9%  
520 0% 0.8%  
521 0.1% 0.7%  
522 0% 0.6%  
523 0% 0.6%  
524 0.1% 0.5%  
525 0% 0.5%  
526 0% 0.4%  
527 0% 0.4%  
528 0% 0.4%  
529 0.1% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.3%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0.1% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.2% 99.5%  
414 0.4% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.1% 98.7%  
417 0.3% 98.6%  
418 0.9% 98%  
419 0.2% 97%  
420 0.6% 97%  
421 2% 97%  
422 1.1% 95%  
423 0.7% 94%  
424 0.7% 93%  
425 0.8% 93%  
426 2% 92%  
427 2% 90%  
428 0.9% 87%  
429 3% 86%  
430 2% 84%  
431 2% 82%  
432 2% 80%  
433 2% 78%  
434 5% 76%  
435 2% 71%  
436 2% 69%  
437 2% 67%  
438 5% 65%  
439 2% 60%  
440 2% 58%  
441 2% 56%  
442 5% 54% Median
443 5% 49%  
444 0.7% 44%  
445 8% 43%  
446 5% 36%  
447 3% 31%  
448 1.1% 28%  
449 2% 27%  
450 7% 25%  
451 2% 18%  
452 1.0% 16%  
453 2% 15%  
454 2% 13%  
455 1.1% 11%  
456 0.7% 10%  
457 1.3% 9%  
458 1.4% 8%  
459 1.0% 7%  
460 0.6% 5%  
461 0.5% 5%  
462 0.5% 4%  
463 1.2% 4%  
464 0.2% 3%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.1% 2%  
467 0.5% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.1% 1.4%  
470 0.3% 1.3%  
471 0.1% 0.9%  
472 0% 0.9%  
473 0.1% 0.9%  
474 0% 0.8%  
475 0.1% 0.7%  
476 0.1% 0.6%  
477 0% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0% 0.4%  
480 0.1% 0.4%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0% 99.7%  
342 0% 99.7%  
343 0% 99.6%  
344 0.2% 99.6%  
345 0% 99.4%  
346 0.1% 99.4%  
347 0.1% 99.3%  
348 0.1% 99.3%  
349 0.1% 99.2%  
350 0.1% 99.1%  
351 0% 99.0%  
352 0.1% 98.9%  
353 0.1% 98.8%  
354 0% 98.7%  
355 0.1% 98.7% Majority
356 0.1% 98.6%  
357 0.1% 98.5%  
358 0.1% 98%  
359 0.1% 98%  
360 0.1% 98%  
361 0.2% 98%  
362 0.2% 98%  
363 0.1% 98%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.2% 97%  
367 0.5% 97%  
368 0.3% 96%  
369 0.8% 96%  
370 2% 95%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 0.9% 93%  
373 2% 92%  
374 3% 90%  
375 0.6% 87%  
376 2% 87%  
377 1.2% 84%  
378 5% 83%  
379 3% 79%  
380 2% 76%  
381 4% 74%  
382 4% 70%  
383 3% 66%  
384 0.9% 63%  
385 8% 62%  
386 2% 55%  
387 4% 53% Median
388 7% 48%  
389 0.8% 42%  
390 5% 41%  
391 4% 36%  
392 2% 32%  
393 3% 30%  
394 6% 27%  
395 1.4% 21%  
396 5% 19%  
397 1.4% 14%  
398 0.8% 13%  
399 2% 12%  
400 2% 10%  
401 2% 8%  
402 0.7% 6%  
403 1.3% 6%  
404 0.4% 4%  
405 2% 4%  
406 0.2% 2%  
407 0.3% 2%  
408 0.6% 2%  
409 0.3% 1.3%  
410 0.1% 1.0%  
411 0.2% 0.9%  
412 0.1% 0.7%  
413 0.2% 0.6%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.2% 99.9%  
345 0.2% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0% 99.5%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 1.4% 99.3%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.1% 98%  
353 0% 98%  
354 0.5% 98%  
355 0.8% 97% Majority
356 3% 96%  
357 1.0% 94%  
358 0.1% 93%  
359 0% 93%  
360 0.2% 93%  
361 4% 92%  
362 4% 88%  
363 0.5% 85%  
364 0% 84%  
365 0.2% 84%  
366 3% 84%  
367 6% 81%  
368 2% 75%  
369 0.3% 73%  
370 0% 72%  
371 2% 72%  
372 3% 70%  
373 14% 67%  
374 1.4% 53%  
375 0.1% 51%  
376 0.1% 51%  
377 2% 51% Median
378 8% 49%  
379 10% 41%  
380 2% 31%  
381 0.1% 29%  
382 0.2% 29%  
383 5% 29%  
384 5% 23%  
385 5% 18%  
386 0.2% 13%  
387 0.2% 13%  
388 0.3% 13%  
389 0.9% 13%  
390 4% 12%  
391 0.7% 8%  
392 0.3% 7%  
393 0.2% 7%  
394 0.8% 7%  
395 0.9% 6%  
396 2% 5%  
397 0.2% 3%  
398 0.2% 3%  
399 0.2% 3%  
400 0.2% 3%  
401 0.5% 3%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.1% 2%  
404 0.1% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.1% 2%  
407 0% 1.5%  
408 0.1% 1.5%  
409 0.2% 1.4%  
410 0.1% 1.2%  
411 0.2% 1.1%  
412 0.1% 0.9%  
413 0% 0.8%  
414 0% 0.8%  
415 0.1% 0.8%  
416 0.1% 0.6%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0% 0.4%  
419 0% 0.4%  
420 0% 0.4% Last Result
421 0.1% 0.4%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0.1% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0.1% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.8%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.2% 99.6%  
340 0.3% 99.5%  
341 0.3% 99.1%  
342 0.2% 98.8%  
343 0.2% 98.6%  
344 0.1% 98%  
345 0.7% 98%  
346 0.9% 98%  
347 0.7% 97%  
348 0.5% 96%  
349 0.4% 96%  
350 0.4% 95%  
351 1.4% 95%  
352 2% 93%  
353 1.5% 92%  
354 2% 90%  
355 0.7% 89% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 2% 86%  
358 2% 84%  
359 3% 82%  
360 6% 79%  
361 0.8% 73%  
362 3% 72%  
363 3% 69%  
364 2% 66%  
365 6% 64%  
366 6% 57%  
367 3% 51% Median
368 3% 48%  
369 0.9% 45%  
370 3% 44%  
371 8% 41%  
372 5% 33%  
373 2% 28%  
374 2% 27%  
375 0.3% 25%  
376 2% 25%  
377 3% 23%  
378 4% 20%  
379 2% 15%  
380 2% 14%  
381 1.0% 12%  
382 2% 11%  
383 0.6% 10%  
384 2% 9%  
385 2% 7%  
386 0.4% 5%  
387 0.5% 5%  
388 0.5% 4%  
389 0.2% 4%  
390 1.0% 4%  
391 0.4% 3%  
392 0.3% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.2% 2%  
396 0.1% 1.4%  
397 0.1% 1.3%  
398 0.2% 1.3%  
399 0.1% 1.1%  
400 0.1% 1.0%  
401 0.1% 0.9%  
402 0.1% 0.9%  
403 0% 0.8%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0% 0.6%  
407 0% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0% 0.5%  
410 0% 0.5%  
411 0.1% 0.5%  
412 0% 0.4%  
413 0.1% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.3%  
415 0% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0% 99.6%  
311 0% 99.6%  
312 0.1% 99.6%  
313 0.1% 99.5%  
314 0.4% 99.4%  
315 0.5% 99.0%  
316 0.2% 98.5%  
317 0.1% 98%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.8% 98%  
320 0.5% 97%  
321 0.5% 97%  
322 2% 96%  
323 0.2% 94%  
324 0.1% 94%  
325 0.2% 94%  
326 2% 94%  
327 5% 92%  
328 1.2% 87%  
329 2% 86%  
330 0.7% 84%  
331 0.3% 83%  
332 3% 83%  
333 3% 80%  
334 5% 77%  
335 5% 72%  
336 1.1% 66%  
337 0.3% 65%  
338 2% 65%  
339 7% 63%  
340 4% 56% Median
341 9% 52%  
342 1.3% 43%  
343 0.9% 41%  
344 0.3% 40%  
345 2% 40%  
346 5% 38%  
347 8% 33%  
348 3% 25%  
349 2% 22%  
350 0.3% 21%  
351 1.4% 20%  
352 1.5% 19%  
353 3% 17%  
354 5% 14%  
355 1.2% 10% Majority
356 0.2% 8%  
357 0.1% 8%  
358 0.6% 8%  
359 2% 8%  
360 1.2% 5%  
361 1.2% 4%  
362 0.1% 3%  
363 0.2% 3%  
364 0.1% 3%  
365 0.1% 2%  
366 0.8% 2%  
367 0.5% 2%  
368 0.2% 1.1%  
369 0.2% 0.9%  
370 0% 0.7%  
371 0.1% 0.7%  
372 0% 0.6%  
373 0.2% 0.6%  
374 0% 0.4%  
375 0.1% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0% 99.6% Last Result
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0.1% 99.4%  
295 0% 99.2%  
296 0% 99.2%  
297 0.1% 99.2%  
298 0.2% 99.1%  
299 0.1% 98.9%  
300 0.2% 98.8%  
301 0.1% 98.6%  
302 0% 98.5%  
303 0.1% 98.5%  
304 0.1% 98%  
305 0.1% 98%  
306 0.1% 98%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0.5% 98%  
309 0.2% 97%  
310 0.2% 97%  
311 0.2% 97%  
312 0.2% 97%  
313 2% 97%  
314 0.9% 95%  
315 0.8% 94%  
316 0.2% 93%  
317 0.3% 93%  
318 0.7% 93%  
319 4% 92%  
320 0.9% 88%  
321 0.3% 87%  
322 0.2% 87%  
323 0.2% 87%  
324 5% 87%  
325 5% 82%  
326 5% 77%  
327 0.2% 71%  
328 0.1% 71%  
329 2% 71%  
330 10% 69%  
331 8% 59%  
332 2% 51% Median
333 0.1% 49%  
334 0.1% 49%  
335 1.4% 49%  
336 14% 47%  
337 3% 33%  
338 2% 30%  
339 0% 28%  
340 0.3% 28%  
341 2% 27%  
342 6% 25%  
343 3% 19%  
344 0.2% 16%  
345 0% 16%  
346 0.5% 16%  
347 4% 15%  
348 4% 12%  
349 0.2% 8%  
350 0% 7%  
351 0.1% 7%  
352 1.0% 7%  
353 3% 6%  
354 0.8% 4%  
355 0.5% 3% Majority
356 0% 2%  
357 0.1% 2%  
358 0.2% 2%  
359 1.4% 2%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0.2% 0.4%  
365 0.2% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.9%  
288 0.2% 99.8%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0.2% 99.6%  
291 0.2% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.3%  
293 0.2% 99.2%  
294 0.2% 99.0%  
295 0.9% 98.8%  
296 0.1% 98%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.2% 97%  
299 0.9% 97%  
300 0.7% 96%  
301 0.7% 95%  
302 0.5% 95%  
303 2% 94%  
304 1.1% 92%  
305 1.0% 91%  
306 2% 90%  
307 2% 89%  
308 2% 87%  
309 3% 85%  
310 1.3% 83%  
311 3% 82%  
312 2% 79%  
313 3% 77%  
314 2% 74%  
315 4% 72%  
316 2% 67%  
317 4% 66%  
318 4% 62%  
319 3% 58%  
320 2% 55%  
321 6% 53%  
322 1.1% 47% Median
323 6% 46%  
324 0.8% 40%  
325 5% 39%  
326 5% 34%  
327 2% 29%  
328 1.0% 26%  
329 5% 25%  
330 2% 21%  
331 2% 19%  
332 0.6% 16%  
333 3% 16%  
334 2% 13%  
335 2% 11%  
336 0.4% 9%  
337 2% 9%  
338 0.7% 7%  
339 0.7% 6%  
340 0.4% 6% Last Result
341 1.2% 5%  
342 0.7% 4%  
343 0.2% 3%  
344 0.6% 3%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.4% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.4% 1.5%  
350 0.1% 1.1%  
351 0.1% 1.0%  
352 0.1% 0.9%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.2% 0.8%  
355 0.2% 0.6% Majority
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.3% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.3%  
285 0% 99.1%  
286 0.3% 99.1%  
287 0% 98.8%  
288 0.5% 98.8%  
289 1.1% 98%  
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.4% 97%  
292 0.4% 97%  
293 0.2% 96%  
294 0.5% 96%  
295 0.8% 95%  
296 3% 95%  
297 1.4% 92%  
298 0.4% 91%  
299 0.7% 90%  
300 0.5% 89%  
301 0.9% 89%  
302 7% 88%  
303 3% 81%  
304 3% 78%  
305 3% 75%  
306 0.3% 72%  
307 2% 72%  
308 2% 70%  
309 7% 68%  
310 6% 61%  
311 3% 55%  
312 3% 52% Median
313 0.3% 49%  
314 4% 49%  
315 5% 45%  
316 4% 40%  
317 6% 36%  
318 3% 29%  
319 0.9% 27%  
320 0.2% 26%  
321 0.9% 26%  
322 3% 25%  
323 2% 22%  
324 4% 19%  
325 2% 15%  
326 2% 13%  
327 0.4% 11%  
328 0.5% 10%  
329 1.0% 10%  
330 3% 9%  
331 1.2% 6%  
332 0.9% 5%  
333 0.3% 4%  
334 0.1% 4%  
335 0.4% 4%  
336 0.2% 3%  
337 1.2% 3%  
338 0.4% 2%  
339 0.2% 1.4%  
340 0.1% 1.2%  
341 0% 1.1%  
342 0% 1.1%  
343 0.1% 1.1%  
344 0.2% 1.0%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.1% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0% 0.4%  
349 0% 0.4%  
350 0% 0.4%  
351 0% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.3% Majority
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0.1% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0% 99.6%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0.2% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0% 99.3%  
250 0% 99.2%  
251 0.2% 99.2%  
252 0.1% 99.0%  
253 0.1% 98.9%  
254 0.1% 98.8%  
255 0.1% 98.7%  
256 0% 98.7%  
257 0.1% 98.6%  
258 0.1% 98.5%  
259 0.1% 98%  
260 0.1% 98%  
261 0.1% 98%  
262 0.1% 98%  
263 0.1% 98%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 0.1% 98%  
266 0.4% 98%  
267 0.3% 97%  
268 0.4% 97%  
269 0.5% 97%  
270 0.6% 96%  
271 0.4% 95%  
272 2% 95%  
273 0.9% 93%  
274 1.4% 92%  
275 2% 91%  
276 0.5% 88%  
277 2% 88%  
278 6% 86%  
279 3% 80%  
280 3% 77%  
281 4% 74%  
282 0.8% 70%  
283 5% 69%  
284 7% 64%  
285 3% 57% Median
286 5% 54%  
287 5% 49%  
288 1.2% 43%  
289 6% 42%  
290 7% 37%  
291 2% 30%  
292 5% 28%  
293 2% 23%  
294 1.4% 21%  
295 2% 20%  
296 1.5% 18%  
297 4% 16%  
298 3% 12%  
299 0.6% 8%  
300 0.9% 8%  
301 1.5% 7%  
302 0.6% 5%  
303 1.1% 5%  
304 1.4% 4%  
305 0.3% 2%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.5% 2%  
308 0.2% 1.2%  
309 0.3% 1.0%  
310 0.3% 0.7%  
311 0.1% 0.5%  
312 0.1% 0.4%  
313 0.1% 0.3%  
314 0% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.2%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.7%  
232 0% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0% 99.6%  
235 0.1% 99.6%  
236 0.4% 99.5%  
237 0.4% 99.1%  
238 0.5% 98.8%  
239 1.2% 98%  
240 0.8% 97%  
241 0.4% 96%  
242 0.2% 96%  
243 0.4% 96%  
244 0.3% 95%  
245 0.8% 95%  
246 3% 94%  
247 2% 91%  
248 3% 89%  
249 2% 87%  
250 4% 84%  
251 0.7% 80%  
252 0.8% 79%  
253 0.6% 79%  
254 0.8% 78%  
255 2% 77%  
256 4% 75%  
257 9% 71%  
258 5% 62%  
259 1.2% 57%  
260 7% 56%  
261 1.0% 49%  
262 1.1% 48% Median
263 1.2% 47%  
264 0.9% 46%  
265 2% 45%  
266 9% 43%  
267 5% 34%  
268 6% 29%  
269 4% 24%  
270 4% 19%  
271 0.9% 15%  
272 0.5% 14%  
273 0.7% 14%  
274 0.2% 13%  
275 1.3% 13%  
276 2% 12%  
277 2% 9%  
278 0.8% 8%  
279 2% 7%  
280 1.2% 5%  
281 0.2% 4%  
282 0.2% 4%  
283 0.1% 3%  
284 0.2% 3%  
285 0.2% 3%  
286 0.8% 3%  
287 0.2% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.4% 1.5%  
290 0.2% 1.1%  
291 0.1% 0.9%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0% 0.7%  
294 0% 0.6%  
295 0% 0.6%  
296 0.2% 0.6%  
297 0% 0.4%  
298 0.1% 0.4%  
299 0% 0.3%  
300 0.1% 0.2%  
301 0% 0.2%  
302 0.1% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.5%  
140 0.2% 99.3%  
141 0.4% 99.1%  
142 0.2% 98.7%  
143 0.5% 98.5%  
144 1.0% 98%  
145 1.1% 97%  
146 0.5% 96%  
147 1.1% 95%  
148 2% 94%  
149 2% 93%  
150 3% 91%  
151 3% 88%  
152 0.6% 85%  
153 2% 84%  
154 2% 82%  
155 12% 80%  
156 3% 68%  
157 2% 65%  
158 2% 64%  
159 4% 62%  
160 4% 58% Median
161 7% 54%  
162 9% 47%  
163 1.3% 38%  
164 3% 37%  
165 3% 34%  
166 2% 30%  
167 2% 29%  
168 5% 27%  
169 5% 22%  
170 0.7% 17%  
171 3% 16%  
172 0.7% 13%  
173 2% 13%  
174 3% 11%  
175 0.9% 8%  
176 2% 7%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.4% 5%  
179 0.9% 4%  
180 0.5% 3%  
181 0.4% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.2% 1.3%  
186 0.1% 1.1%  
187 0.1% 1.0%  
188 0.2% 0.9%  
189 0.1% 0.7%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0.1% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.4%  
111 0% 99.3%  
112 0.1% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0% 99.1%  
115 0% 99.1%  
116 0.1% 99.0%  
117 0% 98.9%  
118 0% 98.9%  
119 0% 98.9%  
120 0% 98.9%  
121 0% 98.9%  
122 0% 98.8%  
123 0.1% 98.8%  
124 0.1% 98.7%  
125 0% 98.6%  
126 0% 98.6%  
127 0.1% 98.5%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.4% 98%  
134 0.3% 97%  
135 0.1% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.9% 96%  
139 0.4% 95%  
140 0.6% 95%  
141 2% 94%  
142 1.2% 92%  
143 2% 91%  
144 0.9% 89%  
145 7% 88%  
146 6% 81%  
147 5% 75%  
148 0.9% 70%  
149 3% 69%  
150 10% 67%  
151 4% 57%  
152 2% 53% Median
153 2% 51%  
154 6% 49%  
155 3% 43%  
156 1.3% 40%  
157 1.1% 38%  
158 6% 37%  
159 5% 31%  
160 3% 26%  
161 0.6% 23%  
162 3% 23%  
163 4% 20%  
164 2% 16%  
165 2% 14%  
166 3% 12%  
167 3% 9%  
168 0.6% 7%  
169 0.7% 6%  
170 1.3% 5%  
171 1.0% 4%  
172 0.7% 3%  
173 0.1% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.3% 2%  
176 0.2% 1.4%  
177 0.1% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 1.0%  
179 0.2% 0.9%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.1% 0.6%  
182 0% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations