Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 29 September–10 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.1% 21.7–26.5% 21.0–27.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.5% 22.0–25.1% 21.6–25.6% 21.2–26.0% 20.5–26.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.7–17.4% 14.4–17.8% 14.1–18.2% 13.5–18.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.7% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.5% 5.6–7.5% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–8.0% 4.8–8.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 177 166–188 162–192 160–195 155–202
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 173 162–185 159–188 157–191 151–197
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 119 109–128 106–131 104–133 99–139
Alternative für Deutschland 94 95 87–105 85–108 83–110 79–115
Die Linke 69 52 46–59 44–61 42–63 40–67
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 48 42–55 40–57 39–59 0–62
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 44 38–50 36–52 35–54 33–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.2% 99.5%  
156 0.2% 99.3%  
157 0.4% 99.1%  
158 0.4% 98.7%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 0.6% 98%  
161 0.8% 97%  
162 1.3% 96%  
163 1.3% 95%  
164 1.5% 94%  
165 2% 92%  
166 3% 90%  
167 2% 88%  
168 3% 86%  
169 3% 82%  
170 3% 80%  
171 4% 77%  
172 5% 73%  
173 3% 68%  
174 4% 64%  
175 3% 60%  
176 5% 57%  
177 5% 52% Median
178 4% 47%  
179 4% 43%  
180 4% 39%  
181 5% 35%  
182 3% 30%  
183 5% 28%  
184 2% 22%  
185 3% 20%  
186 4% 17%  
187 2% 14%  
188 2% 12%  
189 1.4% 9%  
190 1.1% 8%  
191 1.5% 7%  
192 1.2% 5%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.8% 4%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.6% 2%  
198 0.4% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.0%  
200 0.1% 0.8% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.2% 99.6%  
152 0.2% 99.5%  
153 0.3% 99.3%  
154 0.4% 99.0%  
155 0.4% 98.6%  
156 0.7% 98%  
157 0.8% 98%  
158 1.0% 97%  
159 1.1% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 2% 93%  
162 2% 91%  
163 2% 90%  
164 2% 87%  
165 3% 85%  
166 3% 82%  
167 4% 79%  
168 4% 75%  
169 4% 70%  
170 5% 67%  
171 4% 62%  
172 4% 58%  
173 5% 54% Median
174 4% 49%  
175 4% 45%  
176 5% 41%  
177 4% 36%  
178 4% 33%  
179 3% 29%  
180 4% 25%  
181 3% 21%  
182 3% 18%  
183 2% 15%  
184 2% 13%  
185 2% 11%  
186 1.2% 9%  
187 2% 7%  
188 1.1% 6%  
189 0.9% 5%  
190 0.8% 4%  
191 0.6% 3%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.4% 1.4%  
195 0.2% 1.1%  
196 0.2% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.5%  
101 0.3% 99.3%  
102 0.6% 99.0%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 0.9% 97%  
106 1.0% 96%  
107 2% 95%  
108 2% 93%  
109 4% 91%  
110 2% 87%  
111 3% 85%  
112 3% 82%  
113 4% 79%  
114 7% 75%  
115 4% 68%  
116 5% 64%  
117 4% 59%  
118 4% 55%  
119 5% 51% Median
120 6% 45%  
121 6% 39%  
122 4% 33%  
123 4% 29%  
124 3% 26%  
125 5% 23%  
126 4% 18%  
127 2% 14%  
128 2% 12%  
129 1.3% 9%  
130 2% 8%  
131 2% 6%  
132 1.2% 5%  
133 0.9% 3%  
134 0.6% 2%  
135 0.4% 2%  
136 0.3% 2%  
137 0.4% 1.2%  
138 0.3% 0.8%  
139 0.2% 0.6%  
140 0.1% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 0.3% 99.4%  
81 0.6% 99.2%  
82 0.7% 98.5%  
83 0.8% 98%  
84 1.0% 97%  
85 2% 96%  
86 3% 94%  
87 2% 91%  
88 3% 89%  
89 4% 86%  
90 5% 82%  
91 4% 77%  
92 5% 73%  
93 5% 68%  
94 7% 62% Last Result
95 6% 55% Median
96 4% 49%  
97 5% 44%  
98 6% 39%  
99 6% 33%  
100 4% 27%  
101 3% 23%  
102 4% 20%  
103 4% 16%  
104 2% 12%  
105 2% 10%  
106 1.5% 8%  
107 2% 7%  
108 1.5% 5%  
109 0.8% 4%  
110 0.7% 3%  
111 0.6% 2%  
112 0.5% 2%  
113 0.3% 1.3%  
114 0.3% 1.0%  
115 0.2% 0.7%  
116 0.1% 0.5%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.5%  
41 0.6% 99.1%  
42 1.1% 98%  
43 2% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 3% 91%  
47 4% 87%  
48 6% 83%  
49 7% 77%  
50 7% 70%  
51 8% 63%  
52 7% 55% Median
53 7% 48%  
54 7% 41%  
55 7% 34%  
56 5% 27%  
57 6% 23%  
58 4% 17%  
59 3% 13%  
60 3% 10%  
61 2% 7%  
62 2% 5%  
63 1.2% 3%  
64 0.7% 2%  
65 0.6% 2%  
66 0.3% 0.9%  
67 0.2% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 0% 99.0%  
5 0% 99.0%  
6 0% 99.0%  
7 0% 99.0%  
8 0% 99.0%  
9 0% 99.0%  
10 0% 99.0%  
11 0% 99.0%  
12 0% 99.0%  
13 0% 99.0%  
14 0% 99.0%  
15 0% 99.0%  
16 0% 99.0%  
17 0% 99.0%  
18 0% 99.0%  
19 0% 99.0%  
20 0% 99.0%  
21 0% 99.0%  
22 0% 99.0%  
23 0% 99.0%  
24 0% 99.0%  
25 0% 99.0%  
26 0% 99.0%  
27 0% 99.0%  
28 0% 99.0%  
29 0% 99.0%  
30 0% 99.0%  
31 0% 99.0%  
32 0% 99.0%  
33 0% 99.0%  
34 0% 99.0%  
35 0% 99.0%  
36 0% 99.0%  
37 0.2% 99.0%  
38 0.9% 98.7%  
39 1.4% 98%  
40 3% 96%  
41 3% 94%  
42 5% 91%  
43 6% 86%  
44 5% 80%  
45 6% 75%  
46 6% 68%  
47 7% 62%  
48 7% 55% Median
49 7% 48%  
50 9% 41%  
51 7% 32%  
52 5% 25%  
53 5% 19%  
54 4% 14%  
55 3% 11%  
56 2% 8%  
57 2% 6%  
58 1.4% 4%  
59 0.8% 3%  
60 0.7% 2%  
61 0.6% 1.4%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.4% 99.6%  
34 0.8% 99.2%  
35 1.3% 98%  
36 2% 97%  
37 3% 95%  
38 4% 92%  
39 5% 88%  
40 6% 84%  
41 7% 77%  
42 9% 70%  
43 8% 61%  
44 10% 53% Median
45 7% 43%  
46 7% 36% Last Result
47 6% 28%  
48 6% 22%  
49 4% 16%  
50 3% 12%  
51 3% 9%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 4%  
54 0.9% 3%  
55 0.7% 2%  
56 0.5% 1.3%  
57 0.3% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 513 100% 501–525 498–528 494–532 489–551
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 443 100% 430–455 426–459 422–462 415–469
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 394 100% 381–407 378–412 374–415 368–426
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 388 99.7% 374–401 370–404 367–407 358–414
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 365 83% 351–378 348–381 344–385 335–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 344 17% 331–358 328–361 324–365 318–374
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 339 8% 326–353 323–357 319–361 313–370
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 340 8% 327–353 322–357 319–360 310–366
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 317 0.1% 304–330 300–334 298–337 292–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 292 0% 279–305 276–309 273–313 266–320
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 269 0% 256–282 252–285 248–289 236–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 171 0% 160–182 157–185 154–188 148–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 167 0% 156–177 152–180 148–184 126–189

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 99.9%  
484 0% 99.9%  
485 0% 99.9%  
486 0.1% 99.8%  
487 0.1% 99.8%  
488 0.2% 99.7%  
489 0.1% 99.5%  
490 0.3% 99.4%  
491 0.2% 99.1%  
492 0.4% 98.9%  
493 0.4% 98%  
494 0.7% 98%  
495 0.6% 97%  
496 0.7% 97%  
497 1.0% 96%  
498 1.1% 95%  
499 1.2% 94%  
500 1.4% 93%  
501 2% 91%  
502 2% 90%  
503 3% 87%  
504 4% 85%  
505 4% 81%  
506 3% 78%  
507 4% 74%  
508 3% 71%  
509 3% 68%  
510 3% 65%  
511 5% 61%  
512 5% 57%  
513 4% 51% Median
514 5% 47%  
515 5% 42%  
516 4% 37%  
517 3% 34%  
518 4% 31%  
519 3% 27%  
520 3% 24%  
521 3% 21%  
522 2% 17%  
523 2% 15%  
524 2% 13%  
525 1.5% 10%  
526 2% 9%  
527 1.2% 7%  
528 1.1% 6%  
529 1.3% 5%  
530 0.5% 4%  
531 0.5% 3%  
532 0.3% 3%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.3% 2%  
536 0.1% 1.5%  
537 0.1% 1.4%  
538 0.1% 1.3%  
539 0.1% 1.1%  
540 0.1% 1.1%  
541 0% 1.0%  
542 0% 1.0%  
543 0.1% 0.9%  
544 0% 0.8%  
545 0% 0.8%  
546 0% 0.8%  
547 0% 0.8%  
548 0% 0.7%  
549 0.1% 0.7%  
550 0.1% 0.6%  
551 0.1% 0.5%  
552 0.1% 0.5%  
553 0% 0.4%  
554 0% 0.4%  
555 0% 0.4%  
556 0% 0.4%  
557 0% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.3%  
559 0% 0.3%  
560 0.1% 0.2%  
561 0% 0.2%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0.1%  
567 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.4%  
417 0.2% 99.2%  
418 0.2% 99.1%  
419 0.3% 98.9%  
420 0.3% 98.6%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.5% 98%  
423 0.6% 97%  
424 0.7% 97%  
425 0.9% 96%  
426 1.1% 95%  
427 1.2% 94%  
428 2% 93%  
429 1.1% 91%  
430 3% 90%  
431 1.4% 87%  
432 3% 86%  
433 2% 83%  
434 3% 80%  
435 2% 77%  
436 3% 75%  
437 4% 72%  
438 3% 69%  
439 3% 65%  
440 4% 62%  
441 4% 58%  
442 4% 55% Median
443 5% 51%  
444 3% 46%  
445 4% 43%  
446 4% 39%  
447 4% 35%  
448 4% 31%  
449 3% 27%  
450 4% 24%  
451 3% 21%  
452 3% 18%  
453 2% 15%  
454 2% 12%  
455 2% 11%  
456 1.4% 9%  
457 1.4% 8%  
458 1.1% 6%  
459 0.7% 5%  
460 0.9% 4%  
461 0.7% 4%  
462 0.6% 3%  
463 0.6% 2%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.4%  
466 0.2% 1.1%  
467 0.2% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.6%  
469 0.2% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0.1% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.4%  
370 0.2% 99.2%  
371 0.3% 99.0%  
372 0.4% 98.8%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.7% 98%  
375 0.7% 97%  
376 0.7% 97%  
377 1.0% 96%  
378 0.8% 95%  
379 1.2% 94%  
380 1.2% 93%  
381 2% 92%  
382 1.3% 90%  
383 3% 88%  
384 3% 85%  
385 3% 82%  
386 3% 79%  
387 2% 77%  
388 3% 75%  
389 3% 71%  
390 3% 68%  
391 5% 65%  
392 4% 60%  
393 3% 56%  
394 3% 52% Median
395 3% 49%  
396 4% 47%  
397 3% 43%  
398 4% 40%  
399 4% 36%  
400 4% 32%  
401 3% 28%  
402 2% 25%  
403 3% 23%  
404 3% 20%  
405 3% 17%  
406 3% 14%  
407 1.3% 11%  
408 1.3% 10%  
409 1.3% 8%  
410 0.7% 7%  
411 0.7% 6%  
412 0.9% 6%  
413 0.9% 5%  
414 0.8% 4%  
415 0.6% 3%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.1% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.3% 1.3%  
422 0.1% 1.0%  
423 0.2% 0.9%  
424 0.1% 0.7%  
425 0% 0.6%  
426 0% 0.5%  
427 0% 0.5%  
428 0% 0.5%  
429 0% 0.4%  
430 0.1% 0.4%  
431 0% 0.3%  
432 0% 0.3%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0% 99.7% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.6%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0.1% 99.4%  
360 0.1% 99.3%  
361 0.2% 99.2%  
362 0.2% 99.1%  
363 0.2% 98.8%  
364 0.3% 98.6%  
365 0.4% 98%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.7% 98%  
368 0.5% 97%  
369 0.8% 96%  
370 0.7% 95%  
371 1.2% 95%  
372 2% 94%  
373 1.2% 92%  
374 1.5% 91%  
375 1.4% 89%  
376 3% 88%  
377 2% 85%  
378 3% 83%  
379 3% 80%  
380 2% 77%  
381 3% 75%  
382 4% 72%  
383 4% 68%  
384 4% 65%  
385 3% 61%  
386 4% 58%  
387 3% 53%  
388 5% 50% Median
389 3% 45%  
390 4% 42%  
391 3% 38%  
392 3% 35%  
393 4% 32%  
394 3% 28%  
395 4% 25%  
396 2% 22%  
397 3% 19%  
398 2% 17%  
399 3% 14%  
400 2% 12%  
401 2% 10%  
402 1.2% 8%  
403 1.0% 7%  
404 1.1% 6%  
405 1.1% 5%  
406 0.8% 4%  
407 0.5% 3%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.2% 1.2%  
412 0.3% 1.0%  
413 0.2% 0.7%  
414 0.1% 0.6%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.8%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0% 99.6%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.5%  
336 0.1% 99.4%  
337 0.1% 99.4%  
338 0.2% 99.3%  
339 0.2% 99.1%  
340 0.2% 98.9%  
341 0.2% 98.7%  
342 0.3% 98%  
343 0.6% 98%  
344 0.5% 98%  
345 0.5% 97%  
346 0.9% 97%  
347 0.7% 96%  
348 1.1% 95%  
349 0.9% 94%  
350 1.3% 93%  
351 2% 92%  
352 2% 90%  
353 2% 88%  
354 2% 86%  
355 2% 83% Majority
356 3% 82%  
357 3% 79%  
358 3% 76%  
359 4% 73%  
360 3% 69%  
361 4% 66%  
362 4% 62%  
363 4% 58%  
364 3% 54% Median
365 4% 52%  
366 3% 47%  
367 6% 44%  
368 3% 39%  
369 4% 35%  
370 4% 32%  
371 4% 28%  
372 3% 25%  
373 2% 21%  
374 3% 20%  
375 3% 17%  
376 2% 14%  
377 2% 12%  
378 2% 10%  
379 1.4% 8%  
380 1.0% 7%  
381 1.1% 6%  
382 0.8% 5%  
383 1.0% 4%  
384 0.6% 3%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.2% 1.2%  
389 0.2% 1.1%  
390 0.2% 0.8%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.7%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0.2% 99.4%  
320 0.2% 99.2%  
321 0.2% 98.9%  
322 0.4% 98.8%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.5% 98%  
325 0.6% 97%  
326 1.0% 97%  
327 0.8% 96%  
328 1.1% 95%  
329 1.0% 94%  
330 1.4% 93%  
331 2% 92%  
332 2% 90%  
333 2% 88%  
334 3% 86%  
335 3% 83%  
336 2% 80%  
337 3% 79%  
338 4% 75%  
339 4% 72%  
340 4% 68%  
341 3% 65%  
342 6% 61%  
343 3% 56%  
344 4% 53% Median
345 3% 48%  
346 4% 46%  
347 4% 42%  
348 4% 38%  
349 3% 34%  
350 4% 31%  
351 3% 27%  
352 3% 24%  
353 3% 21%  
354 2% 18%  
355 2% 17% Majority
356 2% 14%  
357 2% 12%  
358 2% 10%  
359 1.3% 8%  
360 0.9% 7%  
361 1.1% 6%  
362 0.7% 5%  
363 0.9% 4%  
364 0.5% 3%  
365 0.5% 3%  
366 0.6% 2%  
367 0.3% 2%  
368 0.2% 2%  
369 0.2% 1.3%  
370 0.2% 1.1%  
371 0.2% 0.9%  
372 0.1% 0.7%  
373 0.1% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0% 0.4%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0.1% 0.3%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.9%  
310 0.1% 99.8%  
311 0.1% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.1% 99.6%  
314 0.2% 99.5%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.3% 99.1%  
317 0.4% 98.8%  
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.6% 98%  
320 0.6% 97%  
321 1.0% 97%  
322 0.7% 96%  
323 1.2% 95%  
324 1.1% 94%  
325 1.4% 93%  
326 2% 91%  
327 2% 89%  
328 2% 88%  
329 3% 86%  
330 2% 83%  
331 4% 81%  
332 3% 78%  
333 3% 75%  
334 4% 71%  
335 3% 68%  
336 4% 64%  
337 4% 60%  
338 4% 56%  
339 3% 52%  
340 3% 49% Median
341 3% 46%  
342 3% 43%  
343 4% 39%  
344 4% 36%  
345 3% 31%  
346 4% 28%  
347 3% 25%  
348 3% 22%  
349 2% 19%  
350 2% 17%  
351 2% 14%  
352 2% 12%  
353 1.3% 10%  
354 1.5% 9%  
355 1.1% 8% Majority
356 1.1% 6%  
357 0.9% 5%  
358 0.6% 4%  
359 0.6% 4%  
360 0.5% 3%  
361 0.6% 3%  
362 0.4% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.3% 1.4%  
365 0.1% 1.1%  
366 0.2% 1.0%  
367 0.1% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.6%  
370 0.1% 0.5%  
371 0.1% 0.4%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0.1% 0.3%  
374 0% 0.2%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9% Last Result
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.6%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.3%  
313 0.2% 99.2%  
314 0.2% 99.1%  
315 0.2% 98.8%  
316 0.2% 98.6%  
317 0.3% 98%  
318 0.5% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.9% 97%  
322 1.3% 96%  
323 0.6% 95%  
324 0.9% 94%  
325 2% 93%  
326 1.2% 91%  
327 0.9% 90%  
328 2% 89%  
329 3% 88%  
330 3% 85%  
331 2% 82%  
332 2% 80%  
333 3% 78%  
334 5% 75%  
335 1.1% 70%  
336 5% 69%  
337 5% 64%  
338 4% 59%  
339 3% 55%  
340 4% 52% Median
341 6% 48%  
342 4% 42%  
343 2% 39%  
344 4% 37%  
345 6% 33%  
346 2% 27%  
347 2% 25%  
348 3% 23%  
349 4% 20%  
350 2% 17%  
351 1.1% 15%  
352 3% 13%  
353 2% 11%  
354 1.0% 8%  
355 0.8% 8% Majority
356 1.3% 7%  
357 2% 5%  
358 0.5% 4%  
359 0.5% 3%  
360 0.9% 3%  
361 0.5% 2%  
362 0.2% 1.4%  
363 0.2% 1.2%  
364 0.3% 1.0%  
365 0.2% 0.7%  
366 0.1% 0.5%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.2% 99.5%  
293 0.3% 99.4%  
294 0.5% 99.1%  
295 0.3% 98.6%  
296 0.3% 98%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.7% 98%  
299 0.9% 97%  
300 2% 96%  
301 1.0% 94%  
302 0.8% 93%  
303 1.3% 93%  
304 2% 91%  
305 3% 89%  
306 3% 86%  
307 2% 83%  
308 1.5% 81%  
309 3% 80%  
310 4% 77%  
311 5% 73%  
312 4% 69%  
313 3% 64%  
314 2% 61%  
315 3% 59%  
316 5% 56% Median
317 5% 51%  
318 5% 46%  
319 3% 41%  
320 2% 38%  
321 4% 36%  
322 4% 32%  
323 3% 28%  
324 3% 25%  
325 3% 21%  
326 1.2% 18%  
327 2% 17%  
328 3% 15%  
329 2% 12%  
330 2% 10%  
331 1.1% 8%  
332 0.8% 7%  
333 0.9% 7%  
334 1.3% 6%  
335 0.9% 4%  
336 0.7% 4%  
337 0.4% 3%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.3% 2% Last Result
341 0.4% 2%  
342 0.2% 1.1%  
343 0.1% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.2% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.5%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.4%  
268 0.3% 99.2%  
269 0.3% 99.0%  
270 0.4% 98.7%  
271 0.3% 98%  
272 0.3% 98%  
273 0.6% 98%  
274 1.0% 97%  
275 0.9% 96%  
276 1.4% 95%  
277 1.3% 94%  
278 1.4% 92%  
279 1.2% 91%  
280 1.4% 90%  
281 2% 88%  
282 3% 86%  
283 3% 83%  
284 3% 80%  
285 3% 77%  
286 3% 74%  
287 2% 71%  
288 4% 69%  
289 4% 64%  
290 4% 60%  
291 5% 56%  
292 4% 51% Median
293 4% 47%  
294 4% 43%  
295 3% 39%  
296 4% 37%  
297 4% 32%  
298 3% 29%  
299 4% 25%  
300 3% 22%  
301 2% 19%  
302 2% 17%  
303 2% 15%  
304 2% 13%  
305 2% 11%  
306 2% 9%  
307 1.2% 7%  
308 0.9% 6%  
309 0.7% 5%  
310 0.7% 4%  
311 0.4% 4%  
312 0.7% 3%  
313 0.7% 3%  
314 0.4% 2%  
315 0.3% 2%  
316 0.2% 1.2%  
317 0.1% 1.0%  
318 0.2% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.7%  
320 0.1% 0.6%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.7%  
232 0% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0% 99.6%  
236 0.1% 99.5%  
237 0.1% 99.5%  
238 0% 99.4%  
239 0.1% 99.4%  
240 0.1% 99.3%  
241 0.1% 99.2%  
242 0.1% 99.1%  
243 0.1% 98.9%  
244 0.1% 98.8%  
245 0.2% 98.7%  
246 0.3% 98%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0.6% 98%  
249 0.5% 97%  
250 0.7% 97%  
251 0.5% 96%  
252 1.1% 96%  
253 0.9% 94%  
254 1.1% 94%  
255 1.1% 92%  
256 2% 91%  
257 2% 89%  
258 2% 87%  
259 2% 84%  
260 3% 83%  
261 3% 80%  
262 2% 77%  
263 3% 75%  
264 5% 72%  
265 4% 66%  
266 2% 62%  
267 4% 60%  
268 3% 55%  
269 5% 52% Median
270 2% 47%  
271 3% 45%  
272 6% 42%  
273 3% 37%  
274 3% 33%  
275 4% 30%  
276 4% 26%  
277 3% 22%  
278 2% 19%  
279 2% 17%  
280 3% 15%  
281 2% 12%  
282 1.1% 10%  
283 2% 9%  
284 2% 7%  
285 1.0% 6%  
286 0.6% 5%  
287 0.6% 4%  
288 0.8% 3%  
289 0.4% 3%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.4% 2%  
292 0.4% 1.4%  
293 0.2% 0.9%  
294 0.2% 0.8%  
295 0.2% 0.6%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0.1% 0.3%  
299 0.1% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.4%  
150 0.2% 99.3%  
151 0.4% 99.1%  
152 0.4% 98.7%  
153 0.5% 98%  
154 0.7% 98%  
155 0.8% 97%  
156 0.9% 96%  
157 1.5% 95%  
158 2% 94%  
159 1.4% 92%  
160 3% 91%  
161 2% 88%  
162 2% 86%  
163 4% 84%  
164 4% 80%  
165 4% 76%  
166 4% 73%  
167 3% 68%  
168 4% 65%  
169 5% 61%  
170 5% 56%  
171 5% 51% Median
172 4% 46%  
173 4% 42%  
174 3% 38%  
175 4% 35%  
176 4% 30%  
177 4% 26%  
178 3% 22%  
179 3% 19%  
180 2% 16%  
181 2% 14%  
182 2% 12%  
183 2% 10%  
184 1.3% 7%  
185 1.2% 6%  
186 0.9% 5%  
187 0.8% 4%  
188 0.8% 3%  
189 0.6% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.3% 1.3%  
192 0.3% 1.0%  
193 0.1% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0.1% 99.6%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.4%  
130 0.1% 99.3%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.2%  
133 0% 99.2%  
134 0% 99.2%  
135 0% 99.1%  
136 0% 99.1%  
137 0% 99.1%  
138 0% 99.1%  
139 0% 99.0%  
140 0% 99.0%  
141 0.1% 99.0%  
142 0.1% 98.9%  
143 0.1% 98.8%  
144 0.1% 98.7%  
145 0.3% 98.6%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.4% 98%  
148 0.4% 98%  
149 0.5% 97%  
150 0.7% 97%  
151 0.7% 96%  
152 0.9% 96%  
153 1.4% 95%  
154 1.3% 93%  
155 2% 92%  
156 2% 90%  
157 3% 88%  
158 2% 85%  
159 5% 83%  
160 3% 78%  
161 4% 75%  
162 5% 70%  
163 4% 66%  
164 5% 62%  
165 4% 57%  
166 3% 53%  
167 3% 50% Median
168 4% 47%  
169 4% 43%  
170 5% 39%  
171 5% 34%  
172 3% 29%  
173 4% 26%  
174 3% 22%  
175 4% 19%  
176 3% 15%  
177 3% 12%  
178 2% 9%  
179 1.5% 8%  
180 1.3% 6%  
181 0.8% 5%  
182 0.8% 4%  
183 0.5% 3%  
184 0.5% 3%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 0.5% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.3%  
188 0.3% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.7%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations