Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap for ARD, 14–16 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.1–24.4% 20.7–24.9% 20.3–25.3% 19.5–26.2%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.9% 12.1–16.3% 11.5–17.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.9% 12.1–16.3% 11.5–17.0%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 173 160–185 157–190 153–193 148–199
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 167 155–181 153–184 149–188 144–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 101 94–122 92–125 89–126 86–131
Alternative für Deutschland 94 110 99–119 94–125 90–128 86–130
Die Linke 69 63 54–72 52–74 50–77 46–81
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 54 46–62 44–63 42–65 39–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 33–47 31–49 30–51 28–56

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.5%  
150 0.2% 99.3%  
151 0.2% 99.1%  
152 0.7% 99.0%  
153 1.0% 98%  
154 0.5% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.8% 96%  
157 1.0% 96%  
158 1.1% 95%  
159 1.0% 93%  
160 3% 92%  
161 3% 90%  
162 2% 87%  
163 2% 84%  
164 1.3% 82%  
165 5% 81%  
166 2% 76%  
167 2% 74%  
168 5% 72%  
169 5% 67%  
170 4% 61%  
171 4% 57%  
172 2% 54%  
173 4% 51% Median
174 6% 47%  
175 2% 41%  
176 3% 39%  
177 7% 36%  
178 3% 30%  
179 3% 27%  
180 1.0% 24%  
181 3% 23%  
182 5% 20%  
183 1.2% 15%  
184 1.0% 14%  
185 3% 13%  
186 2% 10%  
187 0.5% 7%  
188 1.0% 7%  
189 0.9% 6%  
190 2% 5%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.2% 3%  
193 0.6% 3%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 0.2% 1.4%  
196 0.2% 1.2%  
197 0.1% 1.0%  
198 0.2% 0.8%  
199 0.2% 0.6%  
200 0% 0.4% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.3% 99.4%  
146 0.5% 99.1%  
147 0.3% 98.6%  
148 0.5% 98%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.6% 97%  
151 0.5% 97%  
152 0.9% 96%  
153 0.8% 95%  
154 4% 94%  
155 2% 91%  
156 3% 89%  
157 1.2% 85%  
158 4% 84%  
159 0.8% 80%  
160 2% 80%  
161 3% 77%  
162 4% 74%  
163 6% 70%  
164 2% 64%  
165 6% 62%  
166 2% 56%  
167 4% 54% Median
168 3% 50%  
169 2% 46%  
170 7% 45%  
171 2% 37%  
172 7% 36%  
173 3% 28%  
174 4% 25%  
175 3% 21%  
176 2% 19%  
177 1.3% 17%  
178 2% 16%  
179 1.4% 14%  
180 2% 13%  
181 2% 11%  
182 0.5% 9%  
183 2% 8%  
184 0.9% 6%  
185 1.3% 5%  
186 0.5% 3%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.7% 3%  
189 0.4% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.2%  
192 0.1% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.7%  
87 0.4% 99.4%  
88 0.6% 99.0%  
89 1.1% 98%  
90 1.1% 97%  
91 1.1% 96%  
92 3% 95%  
93 2% 92%  
94 6% 90%  
95 6% 84%  
96 7% 78%  
97 5% 71%  
98 4% 66%  
99 5% 62%  
100 5% 57%  
101 8% 52% Median
102 9% 43%  
103 3% 34%  
104 5% 32%  
105 1.2% 27%  
106 2% 26%  
107 2% 24%  
108 3% 23%  
109 0.5% 20%  
110 2% 20%  
111 0.8% 18%  
112 0.5% 17%  
113 0.7% 16%  
114 0.6% 16%  
115 0.4% 15%  
116 0.6% 15%  
117 0.6% 14%  
118 0.6% 13%  
119 0.7% 13%  
120 1.1% 12%  
121 1.0% 11%  
122 2% 10%  
123 1.1% 8%  
124 2% 7%  
125 2% 5%  
126 1.4% 3%  
127 0.8% 2%  
128 0.2% 1.2%  
129 0.2% 1.0%  
130 0.2% 0.8%  
131 0.2% 0.6%  
132 0.2% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 99.6%  
87 0.5% 99.3%  
88 0.4% 98.8%  
89 0.5% 98%  
90 0.6% 98%  
91 0.7% 97%  
92 0.7% 97%  
93 0.6% 96%  
94 0.4% 95% Last Result
95 0.3% 95%  
96 0.7% 95%  
97 0.8% 94%  
98 2% 93%  
99 2% 91%  
100 3% 89%  
101 2% 87%  
102 4% 84%  
103 4% 81%  
104 10% 76%  
105 2% 66%  
106 8% 64%  
107 2% 56%  
108 3% 54%  
109 0.9% 51%  
110 1.5% 50% Median
111 3% 49%  
112 4% 45%  
113 7% 41%  
114 3% 34%  
115 5% 31%  
116 5% 25%  
117 7% 20%  
118 2% 13%  
119 3% 11%  
120 0.4% 8%  
121 0.4% 7%  
122 0.1% 7%  
123 0.6% 7%  
124 0.4% 6%  
125 1.1% 6%  
126 1.3% 5%  
127 0.5% 3%  
128 1.2% 3%  
129 0.5% 2%  
130 0.7% 1.1%  
131 0.2% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.2%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.3% 99.6%  
47 0.2% 99.4%  
48 0.6% 99.2%  
49 0.8% 98.6%  
50 0.8% 98%  
51 1.0% 97%  
52 2% 96%  
53 2% 94%  
54 2% 92%  
55 3% 89%  
56 5% 86%  
57 3% 82%  
58 6% 79%  
59 6% 73%  
60 3% 68%  
61 6% 64%  
62 6% 59%  
63 3% 53% Median
64 7% 50%  
65 2% 43%  
66 3% 40%  
67 5% 37%  
68 6% 32%  
69 5% 25% Last Result
70 4% 21%  
71 7% 17%  
72 1.5% 10%  
73 1.2% 9%  
74 4% 8%  
75 1.1% 4%  
76 0.6% 3%  
77 1.2% 3%  
78 0.3% 1.3%  
79 0.3% 1.0%  
80 0.2% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.4% 99.6%  
40 0.6% 99.3%  
41 0.5% 98.6%  
42 1.2% 98%  
43 0.9% 97%  
44 3% 96%  
45 2% 93%  
46 2% 91%  
47 5% 89%  
48 5% 84%  
49 5% 80%  
50 2% 75%  
51 5% 73%  
52 5% 67%  
53 8% 62%  
54 7% 55% Median
55 9% 47%  
56 7% 38%  
57 4% 31%  
58 3% 27%  
59 3% 24%  
60 4% 21%  
61 6% 17%  
62 3% 11%  
63 3% 7%  
64 1.4% 4%  
65 0.8% 3%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.4%  
69 0.3% 0.9%  
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 0.5% 99.5%  
29 1.1% 99.0%  
30 0.9% 98%  
31 3% 97%  
32 3% 94%  
33 3% 90%  
34 8% 87%  
35 4% 79%  
36 6% 75%  
37 11% 69%  
38 4% 58%  
39 10% 53% Median
40 6% 44%  
41 5% 38%  
42 5% 32%  
43 6% 28%  
44 3% 21%  
45 4% 18%  
46 4% 14% Last Result
47 3% 10%  
48 2% 7%  
49 1.3% 6%  
50 0.7% 4%  
51 1.2% 3%  
52 0.6% 2%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.3% 1.0%  
55 0.1% 0.7%  
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 480 100% 469–501 467–507 464–510 459–518
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 433 100% 420–448 414–452 412–455 404–463
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 379 99.2% 366–394 361–399 357–402 351–411
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 375 95% 360–391 354–396 351–398 344–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 367 89% 353–389 350–394 348–398 342–405
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 334 5% 318–349 313–355 311–358 305–365
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 325 1.4% 307–340 303–347 302–352 296–357
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 321 0.2% 306–338 303–343 298–347 292–352
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 313 0.2% 301–335 297–342 296–345 290–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 271 0% 255–289 251–293 250–296 244–306
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 265 0% 252–279 247–284 243–287 237–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 168 0% 152–179 148–184 147–186 142–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 156 0% 144–172 141–180 139–183 134–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
453 0% 100%  
454 0.1% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0.1% 99.8%  
457 0.1% 99.7%  
458 0.1% 99.6%  
459 0% 99.5%  
460 0.8% 99.5%  
461 0.2% 98.6%  
462 0.2% 98%  
463 0.6% 98%  
464 0.8% 98%  
465 0.4% 97%  
466 1.2% 96% Last Result
467 3% 95%  
468 2% 92%  
469 1.1% 90%  
470 0.7% 89%  
471 5% 88%  
472 1.4% 83%  
473 3% 82%  
474 7% 79%  
475 2% 72%  
476 2% 69%  
477 8% 68%  
478 5% 60%  
479 1.5% 54%  
480 4% 53% Median
481 3% 49%  
482 3% 46%  
483 0.4% 43%  
484 7% 43%  
485 5% 36%  
486 0.7% 31%  
487 1.0% 30%  
488 4% 29%  
489 2% 25%  
490 0.6% 24%  
491 3% 23%  
492 0.9% 20%  
493 0.9% 19%  
494 2% 18%  
495 0.9% 17%  
496 0.9% 16%  
497 1.2% 15%  
498 2% 14%  
499 0.8% 12%  
500 1.2% 11%  
501 1.0% 10%  
502 0.3% 9%  
503 0.9% 9%  
504 2% 8%  
505 0.6% 6%  
506 0.2% 5%  
507 0.8% 5%  
508 0.7% 4%  
509 0.4% 4%  
510 0.7% 3%  
511 0.7% 2%  
512 0.1% 2%  
513 0.2% 2%  
514 0.2% 1.4%  
515 0.2% 1.2%  
516 0.3% 1.0%  
517 0.1% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.5%  
519 0% 0.4%  
520 0% 0.4%  
521 0.1% 0.3%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0.1% 0.1%  
528 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.7%  
404 0.3% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.4%  
406 0.1% 99.3%  
407 0.4% 99.2%  
408 0.2% 98.8%  
409 0.2% 98.6%  
410 0.4% 98%  
411 0.4% 98%  
412 1.2% 98%  
413 1.0% 96%  
414 0.5% 95%  
415 0.7% 95%  
416 0.6% 94%  
417 0.6% 94%  
418 1.3% 93%  
419 1.0% 92%  
420 3% 91%  
421 1.2% 88%  
422 1.4% 87%  
423 2% 85%  
424 5% 83%  
425 0.9% 78%  
426 3% 78%  
427 2% 74%  
428 3% 72%  
429 1.2% 70%  
430 8% 69%  
431 2% 60%  
432 7% 58%  
433 1.5% 51% Median
434 3% 50%  
435 3% 47%  
436 4% 44%  
437 5% 40%  
438 2% 35%  
439 6% 33%  
440 2% 27%  
441 3% 25%  
442 1.4% 23%  
443 3% 21%  
444 4% 18%  
445 1.1% 14%  
446 2% 13%  
447 0.6% 11%  
448 2% 11%  
449 1.3% 9%  
450 2% 7%  
451 0.9% 6%  
452 1.1% 5%  
453 0.4% 4%  
454 0.7% 4%  
455 0.6% 3%  
456 0.5% 2%  
457 0.3% 2%  
458 0.2% 1.3%  
459 0.2% 1.1%  
460 0.1% 1.0%  
461 0.2% 0.8%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.3% 0.5%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0.1% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.2% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.1% 99.2%  
355 0.3% 99.2% Majority
356 1.2% 98.9%  
357 0.6% 98%  
358 0.5% 97%  
359 0.9% 97%  
360 0.8% 96%  
361 0.9% 95%  
362 0.4% 94%  
363 0.7% 94%  
364 0.7% 93%  
365 0.6% 92%  
366 3% 92%  
367 2% 89%  
368 3% 86%  
369 3% 83%  
370 1.0% 79%  
371 2% 78%  
372 2% 76%  
373 3% 75%  
374 2% 72%  
375 7% 69%  
376 3% 63%  
377 4% 60%  
378 5% 56%  
379 3% 51% Median
380 2% 49%  
381 3% 47%  
382 3% 44%  
383 6% 41%  
384 4% 36%  
385 2% 32%  
386 2% 30%  
387 3% 27%  
388 2% 24%  
389 2% 21%  
390 3% 19%  
391 1.1% 16%  
392 3% 15%  
393 2% 13%  
394 2% 11%  
395 1.2% 9%  
396 1.1% 8%  
397 0.5% 7%  
398 1.3% 7%  
399 0.5% 5%  
400 0.8% 5%  
401 1.1% 4%  
402 0.6% 3%  
403 0.5% 2%  
404 0.4% 2%  
405 0.3% 1.4%  
406 0.1% 1.1%  
407 0.1% 1.0%  
408 0.1% 0.9%  
409 0.2% 0.8%  
410 0.1% 0.6%  
411 0.1% 0.5%  
412 0.1% 0.4%  
413 0.1% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.3% 99.7%  
345 0.2% 99.4%  
346 0.3% 99.2%  
347 0.3% 99.0%  
348 0.6% 98.7%  
349 0.5% 98%  
350 0.1% 98%  
351 1.0% 98%  
352 0.6% 97%  
353 0.3% 96%  
354 0.9% 96%  
355 0.6% 95% Majority
356 0.9% 94%  
357 0.9% 93%  
358 0.3% 92%  
359 2% 92%  
360 1.0% 91%  
361 1.0% 90%  
362 2% 89%  
363 3% 87%  
364 0.8% 84%  
365 2% 83%  
366 8% 81%  
367 1.0% 74%  
368 4% 73%  
369 5% 69%  
370 0.8% 63%  
371 3% 62%  
372 4% 59%  
373 2% 55%  
374 2% 53%  
375 2% 51%  
376 3% 49% Median
377 4% 46%  
378 4% 42%  
379 1.0% 38%  
380 2% 37%  
381 3% 35%  
382 1.0% 32%  
383 1.1% 31%  
384 5% 30%  
385 1.5% 25%  
386 2% 24%  
387 6% 21%  
388 1.3% 15%  
389 2% 14%  
390 2% 12%  
391 0.5% 10%  
392 0.8% 10%  
393 1.3% 9%  
394 1.2% 7%  
395 0.8% 6%  
396 2% 5%  
397 0.2% 4%  
398 2% 3%  
399 0.2% 2%  
400 0.1% 2%  
401 0.5% 1.5%  
402 0.1% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.3% 0.8%  
405 0.2% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.2% 99.4%  
344 0.1% 99.2%  
345 0.3% 99.1%  
346 0.5% 98.8%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 1.0% 98%  
349 0.9% 97%  
350 1.4% 96%  
351 0.6% 95%  
352 1.1% 94%  
353 3% 93%  
354 1.3% 90%  
355 2% 89% Majority
356 4% 86%  
357 2% 83%  
358 2% 81%  
359 2% 79%  
360 3% 78%  
361 3% 75%  
362 7% 72%  
363 1.0% 65%  
364 3% 64%  
365 5% 61%  
366 3% 56%  
367 5% 53% Median
368 3% 48%  
369 4% 45%  
370 5% 41%  
371 2% 36%  
372 2% 34%  
373 2% 32%  
374 3% 29%  
375 3% 26%  
376 0.8% 23%  
377 1.4% 23%  
378 0.8% 21%  
379 1.1% 21%  
380 2% 19%  
381 0.8% 17%  
382 1.0% 17%  
383 0.9% 16%  
384 1.1% 15%  
385 0.4% 13%  
386 0.5% 13%  
387 0.9% 13%  
388 0.9% 12%  
389 2% 11%  
390 0.6% 9%  
391 1.3% 8%  
392 1.0% 7%  
393 0.9% 6%  
394 0.6% 5%  
395 0.9% 4%  
396 0.3% 3%  
397 0.5% 3%  
398 0.8% 3%  
399 0.2% 2%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.2% 1.4%  
402 0.3% 1.2%  
403 0.2% 1.0%  
404 0.1% 0.7%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0% 0.5%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.2%  
410 0.1% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.2% 99.7%  
305 0.3% 99.5%  
306 0.1% 99.2%  
307 0.1% 99.1%  
308 0.5% 99.0%  
309 0.1% 98.5%  
310 0.2% 98%  
311 2% 98%  
312 0.2% 97%  
313 2% 96%  
314 0.8% 95%  
315 1.2% 94%  
316 1.3% 93%  
317 0.8% 91%  
318 0.5% 90%  
319 2% 90%  
320 2% 88%  
321 1.3% 86%  
322 6% 85%  
323 2% 79%  
324 1.5% 76%  
325 5% 75%  
326 1.1% 70%  
327 1.0% 69%  
328 3% 68%  
329 2% 65%  
330 1.0% 63%  
331 4% 62% Median
332 4% 58%  
333 3% 54%  
334 2% 51%  
335 2% 49%  
336 2% 47%  
337 4% 45%  
338 3% 41%  
339 0.8% 38%  
340 5% 37%  
341 4% 31%  
342 1.0% 27%  
343 8% 26%  
344 2% 19%  
345 0.8% 17%  
346 3% 16%  
347 2% 13%  
348 1.0% 11%  
349 1.0% 10%  
350 2% 9%  
351 0.3% 8%  
352 0.9% 8%  
353 0.9% 7%  
354 0.6% 6%  
355 0.9% 5% Majority
356 0.3% 4%  
357 0.6% 4%  
358 1.0% 3%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.5% 2%  
361 0.6% 2%  
362 0.3% 1.3%  
363 0.3% 1.0%  
364 0.2% 0.8%  
365 0.3% 0.6%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0.1% 0.2%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.7%  
295 0.2% 99.7%  
296 0.4% 99.5%  
297 0.1% 99.1%  
298 0.4% 99.1%  
299 0.2% 98.7%  
300 0.3% 98% Last Result
301 0.6% 98%  
302 0.2% 98%  
303 3% 97%  
304 0.9% 95%  
305 1.3% 94%  
306 0.8% 92%  
307 2% 92%  
308 2% 90%  
309 2% 88%  
310 1.2% 86%  
311 1.1% 85%  
312 1.2% 84%  
313 2% 83%  
314 0.4% 81%  
315 3% 80%  
316 4% 77%  
317 2% 74%  
318 1.3% 72%  
319 1.2% 71%  
320 2% 70%  
321 4% 67%  
322 5% 63% Median
323 3% 58%  
324 5% 56%  
325 1.2% 51%  
326 7% 50%  
327 8% 43%  
328 4% 36%  
329 3% 32%  
330 2% 28%  
331 2% 26%  
332 4% 24%  
333 1.4% 20%  
334 3% 19%  
335 2% 16%  
336 0.6% 14%  
337 1.3% 13%  
338 1.2% 12%  
339 0.7% 11%  
340 0.7% 10%  
341 0.4% 10%  
342 0.5% 9%  
343 0.5% 9%  
344 0.5% 8%  
345 1.0% 8%  
346 1.1% 7%  
347 1.0% 6%  
348 0.4% 5%  
349 0.3% 4%  
350 0.5% 4%  
351 0.4% 3%  
352 0.6% 3%  
353 0.7% 2%  
354 0.3% 2%  
355 0.1% 1.4% Majority
356 0.5% 1.3%  
357 0.5% 0.8%  
358 0% 0.4%  
359 0% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.8%  
290 0% 99.7%  
291 0% 99.7%  
292 0.1% 99.6%  
293 0.4% 99.5%  
294 0.3% 99.1%  
295 0.3% 98.8%  
296 0.2% 98.5%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.6% 98%  
299 0.6% 97%  
300 0.8% 97%  
301 0.3% 96%  
302 0.3% 96%  
303 1.1% 95%  
304 2% 94%  
305 1.0% 92%  
306 2% 91%  
307 0.7% 89%  
308 0.8% 88%  
309 3% 88%  
310 2% 85%  
311 7% 83%  
312 0.5% 76%  
313 3% 75%  
314 2% 73%  
315 6% 71%  
316 3% 65%  
317 2% 62%  
318 3% 60%  
319 1.0% 57%  
320 3% 56%  
321 4% 53%  
322 5% 49% Median
323 1.3% 44%  
324 2% 43%  
325 4% 41%  
326 7% 37%  
327 2% 30%  
328 1.0% 28%  
329 0.8% 27%  
330 5% 26%  
331 3% 22%  
332 1.3% 19%  
333 2% 17%  
334 0.8% 15%  
335 0.3% 14%  
336 2% 14%  
337 1.3% 12%  
338 1.1% 10%  
339 1.1% 9%  
340 0.4% 8% Last Result
341 0.5% 8%  
342 2% 7%  
343 0.8% 5%  
344 2% 5%  
345 0.2% 3%  
346 0.3% 3%  
347 1.2% 3%  
348 0.4% 1.3%  
349 0.1% 0.9%  
350 0.1% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.3% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.3% 99.5%  
292 0.8% 99.2%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.2% 98%  
296 0.9% 98%  
297 3% 97%  
298 0.9% 94%  
299 0.7% 93%  
300 2% 92%  
301 2% 90%  
302 3% 88%  
303 2% 85%  
304 4% 83%  
305 2% 79%  
306 1.4% 77%  
307 7% 76%  
308 3% 69%  
309 7% 66%  
310 0.9% 59%  
311 0.6% 58%  
312 5% 57%  
313 10% 52% Median
314 3% 42%  
315 2% 39%  
316 0.8% 37%  
317 4% 36%  
318 2% 32%  
319 2% 31%  
320 2% 29%  
321 0.8% 27%  
322 3% 27%  
323 1.1% 24%  
324 0.9% 23%  
325 3% 22%  
326 2% 19%  
327 0.3% 17%  
328 0.5% 17%  
329 0.6% 16%  
330 1.4% 16%  
331 2% 14%  
332 0.5% 12%  
333 0.4% 12%  
334 0.8% 12%  
335 1.0% 11%  
336 1.2% 10%  
337 0.3% 9%  
338 0.4% 8%  
339 1.3% 8%  
340 1.2% 7%  
341 0.4% 5%  
342 0.2% 5%  
343 0.9% 5%  
344 1.2% 4%  
345 0.4% 3%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.7% 2%  
348 0.2% 1.5%  
349 0.3% 1.3%  
350 0.2% 0.9%  
351 0.1% 0.8%  
352 0.3% 0.7%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0.1% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.7%  
244 0.2% 99.7%  
245 0.9% 99.5%  
246 0.2% 98.6%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.5% 98%  
251 2% 97%  
252 2% 95%  
253 0.2% 93%  
254 0.7% 93%  
255 2% 92%  
256 3% 90%  
257 2% 87%  
258 1.1% 85%  
259 1.0% 84%  
260 2% 83%  
261 10% 82%  
262 1.4% 72%  
263 2% 70%  
264 2% 68%  
265 1.3% 67%  
266 3% 65%  
267 3% 63%  
268 5% 59% Median
269 3% 54%  
270 0.9% 51%  
271 1.0% 50%  
272 9% 49%  
273 9% 40%  
274 2% 32%  
275 0.5% 30%  
276 1.2% 30%  
277 1.0% 28%  
278 5% 27%  
279 2% 22%  
280 2% 19%  
281 0.5% 18%  
282 1.1% 17%  
283 0.9% 16%  
284 2% 15%  
285 0.9% 13%  
286 1.3% 13%  
287 0.2% 11%  
288 1.0% 11%  
289 3% 10%  
290 1.4% 7%  
291 0.3% 6%  
292 0.3% 6%  
293 0.4% 5%  
294 0.5% 5%  
295 1.2% 4%  
296 1.1% 3%  
297 0.1% 2%  
298 0.1% 2%  
299 0.2% 2%  
300 0.2% 2%  
301 0.2% 2%  
302 0.2% 1.3%  
303 0% 1.2%  
304 0.2% 1.1%  
305 0.3% 0.9%  
306 0.2% 0.6%  
307 0.2% 0.4%  
308 0% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0.1% 0.1%  
313 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
225 0.1% 100%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0% 99.7%  
235 0% 99.6%  
236 0.1% 99.6%  
237 0.4% 99.6%  
238 0.2% 99.2%  
239 0.1% 99.0%  
240 0.1% 98.9%  
241 0.1% 98.8%  
242 1.3% 98.8%  
243 0.4% 98%  
244 0.3% 97%  
245 0.4% 97%  
246 0.9% 96%  
247 1.1% 95%  
248 0.7% 94%  
249 0.4% 94%  
250 0.9% 93%  
251 2% 92%  
252 1.0% 91%  
253 0.3% 90%  
254 2% 89%  
255 3% 88%  
256 4% 85%  
257 2% 81%  
258 0.7% 79%  
259 3% 78%  
260 9% 75%  
261 4% 67%  
262 3% 63%  
263 2% 60%  
264 5% 58%  
265 5% 53%  
266 2% 48% Median
267 3% 47%  
268 3% 44%  
269 6% 41%  
270 2% 35%  
271 1.2% 33%  
272 1.5% 32%  
273 3% 30%  
274 6% 28%  
275 2% 22%  
276 1.1% 20%  
277 3% 19%  
278 2% 16%  
279 4% 14%  
280 0.7% 10%  
281 0.4% 9%  
282 2% 9%  
283 2% 7%  
284 0.9% 5%  
285 0.4% 4%  
286 0.6% 4%  
287 0.8% 3%  
288 0.6% 2%  
289 0.2% 2%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.3% 1.2%  
292 0.2% 0.8%  
293 0.1% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.6% 99.7%  
143 0.4% 99.2%  
144 0.3% 98.8%  
145 0.2% 98.5%  
146 0.3% 98%  
147 1.4% 98%  
148 2% 97%  
149 1.4% 95%  
150 0.5% 93%  
151 0.5% 93%  
152 3% 92%  
153 3% 89%  
154 5% 87%  
155 0.3% 81%  
156 0.5% 81%  
157 6% 81%  
158 4% 75%  
159 3% 70%  
160 1.1% 68%  
161 0.7% 67%  
162 3% 66%  
163 4% 63%  
164 2% 58% Median
165 0.5% 56%  
166 0.8% 55%  
167 3% 55%  
168 5% 52%  
169 9% 47%  
170 2% 38%  
171 1.4% 36%  
172 3% 35%  
173 7% 31%  
174 3% 24%  
175 2% 21%  
176 0.4% 18%  
177 0.7% 18%  
178 5% 17%  
179 3% 13%  
180 1.1% 9%  
181 0.9% 8%  
182 0.4% 7%  
183 1.3% 7%  
184 2% 6%  
185 1.0% 4%  
186 0.4% 3%  
187 0.2% 2%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.3% 1.1%  
191 0.1% 0.9%  
192 0% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0.1% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.6%  
134 0.1% 99.6%  
135 0.2% 99.5%  
136 0.4% 99.2%  
137 0.1% 98.8%  
138 0.4% 98.7%  
139 2% 98%  
140 0.8% 96%  
141 0.5% 95%  
142 2% 95%  
143 1.4% 93%  
144 3% 92%  
145 2% 88%  
146 3% 86%  
147 4% 83%  
148 2% 79%  
149 5% 78%  
150 3% 73%  
151 3% 71%  
152 3% 68%  
153 3% 65%  
154 9% 62%  
155 2% 53% Median
156 2% 51%  
157 12% 50%  
158 2% 38%  
159 2% 36%  
160 1.4% 34%  
161 5% 33%  
162 6% 27%  
163 0.9% 22%  
164 0.8% 21%  
165 1.3% 20%  
166 3% 19%  
167 1.0% 16%  
168 0.6% 15%  
169 0.9% 14%  
170 0.8% 13%  
171 2% 12%  
172 1.0% 11%  
173 0.5% 10%  
174 0.9% 9%  
175 0.5% 8%  
176 1.0% 8%  
177 0.9% 7%  
178 0.5% 6%  
179 0.5% 6%  
180 1.4% 5%  
181 0.7% 4%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.3% 3%  
184 1.2% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.3%  
186 0.1% 1.0%  
187 0.3% 0.9%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations