Opinion Poll by Kantar for Bild am Sonntag, 10–16 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 22.2–25.1% 21.8–25.5% 21.5–25.9% 20.8–26.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.2% 17.4–22.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.9–16.3% 13.5–16.7% 13.3–17.0% 12.7–17.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 11.9–14.2% 11.6–14.6% 11.4–14.9% 10.9–15.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.2–11.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.9%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.5% 4.3–6.7% 4.0–7.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 176 167–190 165–192 163–197 157–201
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 153 143–163 141–167 138–168 132–173
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 112 104–121 102–126 101–128 96–134
Alternative für Deutschland 94 101 92–109 89–112 87–113 83–118
Die Linke 69 70 63–78 61–80 59–81 55–85
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 52 47–59 45–62 43–63 41–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 42 35–47 34–49 33–50 31–54

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.1% 99.5%  
159 0.8% 99.4%  
160 0.5% 98.6%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.1% 98%  
163 0.9% 98%  
164 1.1% 97%  
165 4% 96%  
166 2% 92%  
167 0.3% 90%  
168 0.5% 90%  
169 4% 89%  
170 2% 86%  
171 2% 84%  
172 11% 81%  
173 2% 70%  
174 0.4% 68%  
175 11% 68%  
176 8% 57% Median
177 0.7% 49%  
178 9% 48%  
179 3% 39%  
180 0.6% 36%  
181 0.3% 36%  
182 4% 35%  
183 2% 31%  
184 8% 29%  
185 7% 21%  
186 0.4% 14%  
187 0.5% 14%  
188 0.3% 14%  
189 1.4% 13%  
190 2% 12%  
191 4% 10%  
192 0.6% 6%  
193 0.1% 5%  
194 0.2% 5%  
195 1.4% 5%  
196 0.2% 3%  
197 1.4% 3%  
198 0.9% 2%  
199 0% 0.7%  
200 0% 0.6% Last Result
201 0.2% 0.6%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.2% 99.9%  
131 0.2% 99.7%  
132 0.2% 99.5%  
133 0.1% 99.4%  
134 0% 99.2%  
135 0.2% 99.2%  
136 0.5% 99.0%  
137 1.0% 98.5%  
138 0.3% 98%  
139 0.2% 97%  
140 0.7% 97%  
141 3% 96%  
142 2% 93%  
143 5% 91%  
144 0.4% 86%  
145 2% 86%  
146 2% 84%  
147 9% 82%  
148 6% 73%  
149 0.6% 66%  
150 0.6% 66%  
151 5% 65%  
152 7% 60%  
153 3% 53% Median
154 3% 50%  
155 1.2% 47%  
156 3% 46%  
157 6% 43%  
158 12% 37%  
159 1.0% 25%  
160 0.6% 24%  
161 2% 23%  
162 7% 21%  
163 6% 14%  
164 2% 8%  
165 0.2% 7%  
166 0.8% 6%  
167 2% 5%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.2% 2%  
170 0.1% 2%  
171 0.2% 2%  
172 0.7% 2%  
173 0.6% 1.1%  
174 0.1% 0.5%  
175 0% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 0.3% 99.6%  
97 0.2% 99.3%  
98 0.2% 99.1%  
99 0.6% 98.9%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 3% 98%  
102 2% 95%  
103 3% 93%  
104 2% 91%  
105 3% 89%  
106 2% 86%  
107 2% 85%  
108 8% 83%  
109 7% 75%  
110 7% 68%  
111 6% 61%  
112 9% 55% Median
113 3% 46%  
114 3% 43%  
115 2% 40%  
116 5% 37%  
117 10% 33%  
118 2% 22%  
119 5% 20%  
120 3% 15%  
121 2% 12%  
122 0.3% 10%  
123 1.2% 10%  
124 0.9% 8%  
125 0.5% 7%  
126 3% 7%  
127 0.9% 4%  
128 1.1% 3%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.4% 2%  
131 0.1% 1.1%  
132 0.1% 1.0%  
133 0.1% 0.8%  
134 0.2% 0.7%  
135 0.3% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.6%  
84 0.3% 99.4%  
85 0.5% 99.1%  
86 0.4% 98.6%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 1.2% 96%  
90 0.7% 94%  
91 2% 94%  
92 8% 92%  
93 2% 84%  
94 1.4% 83% Last Result
95 3% 81%  
96 5% 79%  
97 7% 74%  
98 3% 67%  
99 3% 65%  
100 10% 61%  
101 13% 51% Median
102 3% 38%  
103 3% 36%  
104 4% 32%  
105 7% 28%  
106 3% 21%  
107 2% 19%  
108 5% 17%  
109 3% 12%  
110 3% 9%  
111 0.7% 6%  
112 1.0% 5%  
113 2% 4%  
114 1.0% 2%  
115 0.2% 1.4%  
116 0.4% 1.2%  
117 0.2% 0.8%  
118 0.3% 0.6%  
119 0% 0.3%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.2%  
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.7%  
56 0.3% 99.1%  
57 0.5% 98.8%  
58 0.6% 98%  
59 0.9% 98%  
60 1.3% 97%  
61 2% 96%  
62 3% 93%  
63 3% 90%  
64 9% 88%  
65 3% 78%  
66 8% 76%  
67 5% 67%  
68 4% 62%  
69 5% 58% Last Result
70 12% 53% Median
71 4% 41%  
72 6% 37%  
73 4% 31%  
74 4% 27%  
75 4% 23%  
76 7% 19%  
77 2% 13%  
78 4% 10%  
79 1.3% 7%  
80 3% 6%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.4%  
84 0.6% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.9%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.3% 99.5%  
42 0.6% 99.3%  
43 1.5% 98.7%  
44 2% 97%  
45 1.0% 95%  
46 2% 94%  
47 5% 92%  
48 5% 87%  
49 4% 82%  
50 13% 78%  
51 15% 66%  
52 8% 51% Median
53 4% 43%  
54 7% 39%  
55 7% 32%  
56 4% 25%  
57 1.1% 21%  
58 5% 20%  
59 5% 14%  
60 1.3% 9%  
61 2% 8%  
62 3% 6%  
63 1.2% 3%  
64 0.3% 2%  
65 0.4% 1.3%  
66 0.4% 1.0%  
67 0.1% 0.6%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.4% 99.5%  
32 0.8% 99.2%  
33 2% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 6% 95%  
36 3% 89%  
37 4% 86%  
38 9% 82%  
39 4% 73%  
40 12% 69%  
41 4% 57%  
42 5% 53% Median
43 15% 48%  
44 5% 33%  
45 11% 28%  
46 3% 17% Last Result
47 4% 13%  
48 4% 10%  
49 2% 6%  
50 1.2% 4%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.6% 2%  
53 0.4% 1.2%  
54 0.3% 0.8%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 475–497 472–500 470–502 462–511
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 425 100% 413–438 411–442 408–445 401–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 385 100% 373–401 371–408 370–411 367–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 373 97% 361–386 358–389 354–392 348–398
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 371 97% 360–384 357–389 353–390 347–396
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 338 3% 325–349 320–352 319–356 313–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 333 3% 321–346 318–352 316–356 309–362
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 319 0% 308–332 305–336 301–338 294–344
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 319 0% 307–331 304–335 301–338 295–345
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 272 0% 260–284 256–290 254–295 250–300
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 256–279 253–283 249–286 243–290
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 171–193 169–198 167–199 162–205
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 156–176 153–180 152–185 147–190

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
458 0.1% 100%  
459 0.1% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.8%  
461 0.1% 99.7%  
462 0.2% 99.6%  
463 0% 99.4%  
464 0.1% 99.4%  
465 0.4% 99.3%  
466 0.4% 98.9% Last Result
467 0.2% 98%  
468 0.1% 98%  
469 0.7% 98%  
470 0.1% 98%  
471 2% 97%  
472 0.8% 96%  
473 0.5% 95%  
474 0.5% 94%  
475 4% 94%  
476 3% 89%  
477 2% 86%  
478 6% 84%  
479 5% 78%  
480 0.7% 73%  
481 5% 72%  
482 3% 67%  
483 9% 63% Median
484 4% 55%  
485 3% 50%  
486 0.5% 48%  
487 4% 47%  
488 2% 43%  
489 2% 41%  
490 2% 39%  
491 2% 37%  
492 1.3% 35%  
493 10% 34%  
494 3% 24%  
495 7% 20%  
496 3% 13%  
497 2% 10%  
498 1.1% 9%  
499 2% 8%  
500 0.9% 5%  
501 2% 5%  
502 0.5% 3%  
503 0.3% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.4% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.2%  
508 0.2% 1.0%  
509 0.3% 0.9%  
510 0% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.5%  
512 0.2% 0.4%  
513 0.1% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.2% 99.7%  
401 0.2% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.3%  
403 0.1% 99.2%  
404 0.2% 99.0%  
405 0.1% 98.8%  
406 0.4% 98.7%  
407 0.7% 98%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 2% 97%  
410 0.5% 96%  
411 2% 95%  
412 2% 93%  
413 0.9% 91%  
414 1.3% 90%  
415 4% 88%  
416 2% 85%  
417 4% 83%  
418 2% 79%  
419 3% 77%  
420 3% 74%  
421 3% 71%  
422 6% 68%  
423 2% 62% Median
424 6% 60%  
425 4% 54%  
426 2% 49%  
427 9% 47%  
428 1.4% 38%  
429 2% 37%  
430 3% 35%  
431 2% 32%  
432 2% 30%  
433 5% 28%  
434 1.4% 23%  
435 5% 21%  
436 2% 16%  
437 4% 14%  
438 2% 10%  
439 2% 8%  
440 0.4% 6%  
441 0.8% 6%  
442 0.4% 5%  
443 2% 5%  
444 0.2% 3%  
445 0.7% 3%  
446 0.8% 2%  
447 0.3% 1.3%  
448 0.2% 1.0%  
449 0.3% 0.8%  
450 0% 0.5%  
451 0.2% 0.5%  
452 0% 0.3%  
453 0.1% 0.3%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.4% 99.7%  
368 0.7% 99.3%  
369 0.9% 98.6%  
370 2% 98%  
371 1.1% 96%  
372 2% 95%  
373 3% 93%  
374 1.3% 90%  
375 3% 89%  
376 1.2% 86%  
377 2% 85%  
378 3% 82%  
379 3% 79%  
380 2% 77%  
381 5% 75%  
382 6% 69% Median
383 7% 63%  
384 5% 56%  
385 9% 50%  
386 14% 41%  
387 3% 27%  
388 6% 24%  
389 3% 18%  
390 0.7% 15%  
391 0.4% 15%  
392 0.4% 14%  
393 0.5% 14%  
394 0.1% 13%  
395 1.0% 13%  
396 0.1% 12%  
397 0.1% 12%  
398 0.1% 12%  
399 0.7% 12%  
400 0.5% 11%  
401 0.9% 11%  
402 0.6% 10%  
403 1.1% 9%  
404 0.7% 8%  
405 0.8% 8%  
406 0.4% 7%  
407 1.3% 6%  
408 0.4% 5%  
409 0.6% 5%  
410 0.7% 4%  
411 1.3% 3%  
412 0.4% 2%  
413 0.7% 1.4%  
414 0.2% 0.8%  
415 0.2% 0.6%  
416 0.1% 0.4%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.7%  
348 0.2% 99.6%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.1% 99.1%  
352 0.7% 99.0%  
353 0.4% 98%  
354 0.8% 98%  
355 0.3% 97% Majority
356 0.5% 97%  
357 0.6% 96%  
358 2% 96%  
359 1.4% 93%  
360 0.7% 92%  
361 2% 91%  
362 2% 89%  
363 4% 88%  
364 2% 84%  
365 5% 81%  
366 1.0% 77%  
367 6% 76%  
368 2% 70%  
369 5% 68%  
370 2% 63%  
371 0.8% 61% Median
372 6% 60%  
373 4% 53%  
374 2% 49%  
375 3% 47%  
376 9% 44%  
377 3% 34%  
378 5% 31%  
379 3% 26%  
380 1.2% 24%  
381 2% 23%  
382 3% 21%  
383 5% 18%  
384 1.4% 12%  
385 0.6% 11%  
386 2% 10%  
387 0.5% 8%  
388 2% 8%  
389 1.1% 6%  
390 0.3% 5%  
391 2% 4%  
392 0.8% 3%  
393 0.3% 2%  
394 0.4% 2%  
395 0.1% 1.1%  
396 0.1% 1.0%  
397 0.3% 0.9%  
398 0.1% 0.6%  
399 0.1% 0.4%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0.3% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.3% 99.5%  
348 0% 99.2%  
349 0% 99.2%  
350 0.1% 99.2%  
351 0.8% 99.1%  
352 0.7% 98%  
353 0.7% 98%  
354 0.2% 97%  
355 0.1% 97% Majority
356 0.2% 97%  
357 2% 96%  
358 3% 95%  
359 1.5% 92%  
360 0.9% 90%  
361 0.2% 90%  
362 0.4% 89%  
363 4% 89%  
364 5% 85%  
365 7% 80%  
366 1.2% 73%  
367 0.2% 72%  
368 2% 72%  
369 3% 69%  
370 11% 66%  
371 7% 55% Median
372 2% 49%  
373 0.3% 47%  
374 0.4% 46%  
375 7% 46%  
376 4% 39%  
377 7% 35%  
378 2% 28%  
379 0.3% 27%  
380 3% 26%  
381 3% 23%  
382 5% 20%  
383 5% 15%  
384 1.2% 11%  
385 0.7% 9%  
386 0.2% 9%  
387 1.1% 9%  
388 2% 8%  
389 2% 6%  
390 2% 4%  
391 0.1% 2%  
392 0.1% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.7% 2%  
396 0.5% 1.0%  
397 0.1% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0.1% 0.3%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.5% 99.6%  
314 0.7% 99.0%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.1% 98%  
318 0.1% 98%  
319 2% 98%  
320 2% 96%  
321 2% 94%  
322 1.1% 92%  
323 0.2% 91%  
324 0.7% 91%  
325 1.2% 91%  
326 5% 89%  
327 5% 85%  
328 3% 80%  
329 3% 77%  
330 0.3% 74%  
331 2% 73%  
332 7% 72%  
333 4% 65%  
334 7% 61%  
335 0.4% 54% Median
336 0.3% 54%  
337 2% 53%  
338 7% 51%  
339 11% 45%  
340 3% 34%  
341 2% 31%  
342 0.2% 28%  
343 1.2% 28%  
344 7% 27%  
345 5% 20%  
346 4% 15%  
347 0.4% 11%  
348 0.2% 11%  
349 0.9% 10%  
350 1.5% 10%  
351 3% 8%  
352 2% 5%  
353 0.2% 4%  
354 0.1% 3%  
355 0.2% 3% Majority
356 0.7% 3%  
357 0.7% 2%  
358 0.8% 2%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0% 0.8%  
361 0% 0.8%  
362 0.3% 0.8%  
363 0.1% 0.5%  
364 0.3% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0.1% 100%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.3% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.4%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.2% 99.3%  
313 0.2% 99.0%  
314 0.3% 98.9%  
315 0.8% 98.6%  
316 1.3% 98%  
317 0.5% 97%  
318 1.0% 96%  
319 3% 95%  
320 0.9% 92%  
321 1.3% 91%  
322 4% 90%  
323 2% 86%  
324 5% 84%  
325 2% 79%  
326 4% 77%  
327 7% 73%  
328 2% 66%  
329 5% 64%  
330 3% 59% Median
331 0.6% 56%  
332 3% 56%  
333 8% 53%  
334 2% 44%  
335 8% 42%  
336 6% 34%  
337 2% 27%  
338 4% 26%  
339 3% 22%  
340 2% 18%  
341 2% 16%  
342 2% 15%  
343 2% 13%  
344 0.3% 11%  
345 0.4% 10%  
346 0.8% 10%  
347 0.9% 9%  
348 0.2% 8%  
349 1.4% 8%  
350 1.1% 7%  
351 0.4% 6%  
352 1.2% 5%  
353 1.1% 4%  
354 0.3% 3%  
355 0.1% 3% Majority
356 0.7% 3%  
357 0.5% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.3%  
359 0.1% 1.1%  
360 0.5% 1.0%  
361 0% 0.6%  
362 0.2% 0.5%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.3% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.1% 99.4%  
296 0.3% 99.3%  
297 0.1% 99.0%  
298 0.5% 99.0%  
299 0.3% 98%  
300 0.5% 98%  
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.9% 97%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 0.5% 96%  
305 0.7% 95%  
306 1.0% 95%  
307 2% 94%  
308 2% 91%  
309 1.1% 89%  
310 2% 88%  
311 3% 86%  
312 5% 83%  
313 8% 78%  
314 1.4% 71%  
315 4% 69%  
316 1.2% 65%  
317 4% 64%  
318 2% 60%  
319 9% 58% Median
320 2% 49%  
321 2% 47%  
322 4% 44%  
323 4% 40%  
324 2% 36%  
325 6% 34%  
326 2% 28%  
327 3% 26%  
328 2% 23%  
329 4% 21%  
330 5% 17%  
331 2% 12%  
332 1.3% 11%  
333 0.6% 10%  
334 1.2% 9%  
335 2% 8%  
336 3% 6%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 1.0% 3%  
339 0.2% 2%  
340 0.3% 2% Last Result
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.3% 1.3%  
343 0.3% 0.9%  
344 0.2% 0.6%  
345 0.1% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0.1% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.2% 99.7%  
295 0% 99.5%  
296 0.1% 99.5%  
297 0.3% 99.3%  
298 0.3% 99.0%  
299 0.8% 98.8%  
300 0.4% 98% Last Result
301 0.2% 98%  
302 1.3% 97%  
303 1.0% 96%  
304 2% 95%  
305 0.9% 93%  
306 0.3% 92%  
307 3% 92%  
308 6% 89%  
309 4% 84%  
310 0.4% 80%  
311 2% 79%  
312 1.4% 77%  
313 6% 76%  
314 4% 69%  
315 1.0% 65%  
316 2% 64%  
317 8% 63% Median
318 5% 55%  
319 1.4% 50%  
320 1.0% 49%  
321 4% 48%  
322 5% 44%  
323 4% 39%  
324 2% 36%  
325 1.0% 34%  
326 13% 33%  
327 2% 20%  
328 1.1% 18%  
329 0.5% 17%  
330 4% 16%  
331 5% 13%  
332 2% 8%  
333 0.6% 6%  
334 0.5% 6%  
335 0.4% 5%  
336 1.5% 5%  
337 0.6% 3%  
338 0.6% 3%  
339 0.1% 2%  
340 0.5% 2%  
341 0.6% 2%  
342 0.3% 1.0%  
343 0.1% 0.7%  
344 0.1% 0.7%  
345 0.1% 0.5%  
346 0.2% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0.1% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.3% 99.5%  
252 0.2% 99.2%  
253 0.8% 99.0%  
254 0.8% 98%  
255 1.0% 97%  
256 2% 96%  
257 1.4% 95%  
258 2% 93%  
259 1.3% 92%  
260 1.3% 90%  
261 2% 89%  
262 2% 87%  
263 3% 85%  
264 3% 82%  
265 2% 80%  
266 2% 78%  
267 1.3% 76%  
268 4% 75%  
269 9% 71%  
270 2% 62% Median
271 3% 59%  
272 7% 57%  
273 7% 49%  
274 6% 42%  
275 6% 36%  
276 5% 30%  
277 5% 25%  
278 2% 20%  
279 2% 18%  
280 2% 16%  
281 2% 14%  
282 1.0% 12%  
283 0.6% 11%  
284 1.2% 11%  
285 0.7% 10%  
286 1.1% 9%  
287 1.0% 8%  
288 0.3% 7%  
289 0.5% 6%  
290 1.0% 6%  
291 0.3% 5%  
292 0.3% 5%  
293 0.8% 4%  
294 0.2% 4%  
295 1.4% 3%  
296 0.2% 2%  
297 0.2% 2%  
298 0.8% 2%  
299 0.1% 0.7%  
300 0.2% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0.1% 0.3%  
303 0.1% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.6%  
244 0.3% 99.5%  
245 0.4% 99.2%  
246 0.3% 98.8%  
247 0.3% 98.6%  
248 0.2% 98%  
249 0.6% 98%  
250 1.3% 97%  
251 0.3% 96%  
252 0.6% 96%  
253 2% 95%  
254 2% 93%  
255 1.2% 91%  
256 3% 90%  
257 3% 87%  
258 7% 84%  
259 5% 77%  
260 2% 71%  
261 2% 69%  
262 5% 67%  
263 4% 62%  
264 3% 57%  
265 2% 54% Median
266 3% 53%  
267 4% 49%  
268 2% 46%  
269 3% 44%  
270 2% 41%  
271 5% 39%  
272 6% 34%  
273 0.9% 29%  
274 5% 28%  
275 8% 23%  
276 0.6% 14%  
277 2% 14%  
278 1.0% 12%  
279 2% 11%  
280 2% 9%  
281 0.6% 7%  
282 1.1% 6%  
283 2% 5%  
284 0.7% 4%  
285 0.5% 3%  
286 0.6% 3%  
287 0.7% 2%  
288 0.6% 1.3%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.2% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.7%  
162 0.3% 99.6%  
163 0.5% 99.3%  
164 0.3% 98.8%  
165 0.3% 98%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.6% 98%  
168 1.3% 97%  
169 2% 96%  
170 4% 94%  
171 1.0% 91%  
172 0.2% 90%  
173 0.7% 90%  
174 3% 89%  
175 8% 86%  
176 4% 78%  
177 2% 75%  
178 1.2% 73%  
179 2% 72%  
180 8% 69%  
181 10% 61%  
182 8% 52% Median
183 2% 44%  
184 0.3% 42%  
185 2% 42%  
186 6% 40%  
187 8% 34%  
188 5% 26%  
189 0.9% 21%  
190 0.6% 21%  
191 1.4% 20%  
192 5% 19%  
193 5% 13%  
194 2% 9%  
195 0.2% 7%  
196 0.3% 7%  
197 0.9% 6%  
198 2% 6%  
199 2% 3%  
200 0.4% 2%  
201 0% 2%  
202 0.1% 1.5%  
203 0.3% 1.4%  
204 0.5% 1.1%  
205 0.2% 0.6%  
206 0% 0.4%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0.2% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.5%  
148 0.7% 99.4%  
149 0.2% 98.7%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.3% 98%  
152 1.5% 98%  
153 3% 96%  
154 0.6% 93%  
155 2% 93%  
156 3% 91%  
157 3% 87%  
158 2% 84%  
159 3% 82%  
160 4% 79%  
161 9% 76%  
162 2% 67%  
163 3% 65%  
164 7% 63% Median
165 6% 56%  
166 8% 50%  
167 2% 42%  
168 12% 40%  
169 4% 29%  
170 3% 25%  
171 1.4% 21%  
172 3% 20%  
173 3% 17%  
174 2% 15%  
175 0.6% 13%  
176 3% 12%  
177 3% 9%  
178 0.8% 7%  
179 1.0% 6%  
180 0.5% 5%  
181 1.0% 5%  
182 0.3% 4%  
183 0.4% 3%  
184 0.1% 3%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.6% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.2% 1.3%  
189 0.3% 1.1%  
190 0.4% 0.8%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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