Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF, 15–17 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.0–26.1% 21.7–26.5% 21.0–27.3%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 22.1–25.2% 21.6–25.6% 21.3–26.0% 20.6–26.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.4% 12.5–15.8% 12.2–16.1% 11.6–16.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.6% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.5% 4.5–8.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 180 168–192 165–195 162–199 157–207
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 177 165–189 162–193 159–196 154–203
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 105 96–115 94–118 91–121 87–126
Alternative für Deutschland 94 97 88–107 86–110 84–112 80–118
Die Linke 69 61 53–68 51–70 50–73 46–77
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 39–52 37–54 0–56 0–60
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 44 38–51 37–53 36–55 33–58

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.3% 99.4%  
159 0.3% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 98.9%  
161 0.5% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 0.6% 97%  
164 1.2% 97%  
165 1.1% 96%  
166 2% 94%  
167 1.3% 93%  
168 2% 92%  
169 2% 89%  
170 3% 87%  
171 3% 84%  
172 3% 82%  
173 4% 79%  
174 3% 75%  
175 4% 72%  
176 5% 67%  
177 3% 63%  
178 5% 60%  
179 3% 54%  
180 4% 51% Median
181 4% 47%  
182 4% 43%  
183 4% 39%  
184 3% 35%  
185 4% 32%  
186 3% 28%  
187 4% 25%  
188 3% 21%  
189 2% 18%  
190 3% 16%  
191 3% 13%  
192 1.4% 10%  
193 1.0% 9%  
194 2% 8%  
195 2% 6%  
196 0.7% 5%  
197 0.6% 4%  
198 0.8% 4%  
199 0.6% 3%  
200 0.3% 2%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.3% 1.3%  
204 0.2% 1.0%  
205 0.1% 0.8%  
206 0.1% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.2% 99.6%  
155 0.2% 99.4%  
156 0.3% 99.2%  
157 0.4% 99.0%  
158 0.5% 98.6%  
159 0.7% 98%  
160 0.8% 97%  
161 0.9% 97%  
162 1.3% 96%  
163 1.4% 94%  
164 2% 93%  
165 2% 91%  
166 2% 90%  
167 2% 88%  
168 3% 85%  
169 3% 82%  
170 4% 79%  
171 3% 75%  
172 3% 72%  
173 5% 69%  
174 5% 64%  
175 3% 59%  
176 5% 56%  
177 4% 51% Median
178 4% 47%  
179 5% 43%  
180 3% 38%  
181 4% 35%  
182 4% 31%  
183 3% 27%  
184 3% 24%  
185 2% 21%  
186 3% 19%  
187 2% 15%  
188 2% 13%  
189 2% 11%  
190 1.1% 9%  
191 1.4% 8%  
192 1.0% 6%  
193 1.0% 5%  
194 0.9% 4%  
195 0.8% 4%  
196 0.6% 3%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.4% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.5%  
200 0.1% 1.1% Last Result
201 0.2% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.7%  
203 0.1% 0.5%  
204 0.1% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.5%  
89 0.5% 99.2%  
90 0.6% 98.7%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 0.8% 97%  
93 1.3% 97%  
94 2% 95%  
95 2% 93%  
96 2% 91%  
97 2% 89%  
98 3% 86%  
99 5% 83%  
100 5% 79%  
101 4% 74%  
102 4% 70%  
103 5% 66%  
104 6% 61%  
105 6% 55% Median
106 5% 49%  
107 6% 44%  
108 4% 38%  
109 5% 34%  
110 5% 29%  
111 3% 24%  
112 3% 21%  
113 3% 19%  
114 3% 15%  
115 3% 12%  
116 2% 10%  
117 2% 8%  
118 1.5% 6%  
119 1.1% 5%  
120 1.1% 4%  
121 0.6% 3%  
122 0.5% 2%  
123 0.5% 2%  
124 0.3% 1.3%  
125 0.2% 0.9%  
126 0.3% 0.7%  
127 0.1% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 0.5% 99.3%  
82 0.5% 98.9%  
83 0.5% 98%  
84 0.6% 98%  
85 1.2% 97%  
86 2% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 2% 91%  
89 2% 89%  
90 2% 87%  
91 4% 85%  
92 6% 80%  
93 6% 75%  
94 6% 69% Last Result
95 3% 63%  
96 5% 61%  
97 6% 56% Median
98 6% 49%  
99 5% 43%  
100 6% 38%  
101 4% 32%  
102 3% 28%  
103 4% 25%  
104 4% 21%  
105 3% 17%  
106 3% 14%  
107 2% 11%  
108 1.1% 9%  
109 1.5% 8%  
110 2% 6%  
111 1.1% 4%  
112 0.9% 3%  
113 0.4% 2%  
114 0.4% 2%  
115 0.3% 1.4%  
116 0.4% 1.1%  
117 0.1% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.4%  
120 0.1% 0.3%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.3% 99.7%  
47 0.3% 99.4%  
48 0.5% 99.1%  
49 0.9% 98.6%  
50 2% 98%  
51 2% 96%  
52 2% 94%  
53 4% 92%  
54 4% 88%  
55 3% 84%  
56 4% 81%  
57 6% 77%  
58 6% 71%  
59 7% 65%  
60 8% 59%  
61 8% 51% Median
62 7% 43%  
63 6% 36%  
64 6% 30%  
65 5% 24%  
66 4% 18%  
67 3% 14%  
68 2% 11%  
69 2% 9% Last Result
70 2% 7%  
71 1.2% 5%  
72 1.1% 4%  
73 0.9% 3%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 0.2% 1.1%  
76 0.2% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 0.2% 95%  
38 2% 95%  
39 4% 93%  
40 5% 89%  
41 6% 84%  
42 7% 78%  
43 8% 72%  
44 8% 64%  
45 9% 56% Median
46 6% 47%  
47 8% 41%  
48 6% 33%  
49 6% 27%  
50 5% 21%  
51 4% 16%  
52 3% 12%  
53 3% 9%  
54 2% 6%  
55 1.4% 5%  
56 1.0% 3%  
57 0.7% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.5%  
59 0.3% 0.9%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.8%  
33 0.3% 99.6%  
34 0.6% 99.3%  
35 1.0% 98.7%  
36 1.5% 98%  
37 2% 96%  
38 5% 94%  
39 5% 89%  
40 7% 84%  
41 8% 78%  
42 7% 70%  
43 10% 63%  
44 7% 53% Median
45 6% 46%  
46 7% 40% Last Result
47 6% 33%  
48 5% 27%  
49 6% 22%  
50 4% 17%  
51 4% 13%  
52 3% 9%  
53 2% 6%  
54 1.4% 4%  
55 1.0% 3%  
56 0.5% 2%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.7%  
59 0.1% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 506 100% 494–520 490–529 487–541 481–552
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 446 100% 431–458 427–462 423–465 415–472
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 401 100% 387–416 384–423 380–428 374–441
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 371 93% 357–385 351–388 346–392 336–398
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 363 78% 348–377 343–381 338–384 326–390
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 346 22% 332–361 328–366 325–371 319–383
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 327 2% 313–341 310–346 306–352 300–363
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 330 1.0% 315–344 309–347 304–350 291–357
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 318 0.4% 305–333 302–338 298–344 292–354
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 285 0% 272–300 268–304 265–309 259–319
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 266 0% 251–279 245–283 236–286 223–293
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 166 0% 155–178 152–182 149–185 144–191
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 150 0% 138–162 129–165 113–168 103–173

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 99.9%  
476 0% 99.9%  
477 0% 99.9%  
478 0.1% 99.8%  
479 0.1% 99.8%  
480 0.1% 99.7%  
481 0.1% 99.6%  
482 0.2% 99.5%  
483 0.3% 99.3%  
484 0.3% 98.9%  
485 0.3% 98.6%  
486 0.4% 98%  
487 0.5% 98%  
488 0.7% 97%  
489 0.7% 97%  
490 0.9% 96%  
491 1.2% 95%  
492 2% 94%  
493 2% 92%  
494 2% 91%  
495 2% 89%  
496 3% 86%  
497 2% 84%  
498 2% 81%  
499 4% 80%  
500 4% 76%  
501 3% 72%  
502 4% 68%  
503 4% 64%  
504 5% 60%  
505 3% 55%  
506 4% 52% Median
507 4% 48%  
508 3% 44%  
509 4% 40%  
510 3% 37%  
511 4% 34%  
512 4% 30%  
513 3% 26%  
514 2% 23%  
515 3% 21%  
516 3% 18%  
517 2% 16%  
518 1.5% 14%  
519 2% 12%  
520 1.3% 11%  
521 1.2% 10%  
522 0.5% 8%  
523 0.8% 8%  
524 0.7% 7%  
525 0.4% 6%  
526 0.3% 6%  
527 0.3% 6%  
528 0.2% 5%  
529 0.2% 5%  
530 0.2% 5%  
531 0.2% 5%  
532 0.2% 4%  
533 0.2% 4%  
534 0.2% 4%  
535 0.3% 4%  
536 0.1% 4%  
537 0.2% 4%  
538 0.2% 3%  
539 0.1% 3%  
540 0.2% 3%  
541 0.6% 3%  
542 0.2% 2%  
543 0.2% 2%  
544 0.1% 2%  
545 0.4% 2%  
546 0.1% 1.3%  
547 0.1% 1.2%  
548 0.2% 1.1%  
549 0.1% 0.9%  
550 0.2% 0.8%  
551 0.1% 0.6%  
552 0.1% 0.5%  
553 0.1% 0.4%  
554 0% 0.3%  
555 0.1% 0.3%  
556 0% 0.2%  
557 0.1% 0.2%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.6%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.2% 99.5%  
416 0.2% 99.4%  
417 0.2% 99.2%  
418 0.1% 99.0%  
419 0.2% 98.9%  
420 0.3% 98.6%  
421 0.3% 98%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.6% 98%  
424 0.6% 97%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.7% 96%  
427 0.7% 96%  
428 2% 95%  
429 0.8% 93%  
430 0.8% 92%  
431 2% 92%  
432 2% 90%  
433 2% 88%  
434 2% 87%  
435 3% 85%  
436 2% 82%  
437 2% 80%  
438 3% 77%  
439 3% 74%  
440 2% 72%  
441 4% 70%  
442 3% 65%  
443 6% 63%  
444 3% 57%  
445 2% 54%  
446 4% 51% Median
447 6% 47%  
448 2% 42%  
449 3% 40%  
450 6% 37%  
451 3% 31%  
452 3% 28%  
453 3% 26%  
454 3% 23%  
455 4% 20%  
456 2% 16%  
457 2% 14%  
458 2% 12%  
459 2% 10%  
460 1.1% 8%  
461 1.2% 7%  
462 1.3% 6%  
463 0.6% 4%  
464 0.5% 4%  
465 1.0% 3%  
466 0.5% 2%  
467 0.4% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.4% 1.2%  
470 0.2% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.7%  
472 0.2% 0.5%  
473 0.1% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.7%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.2% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.4%  
376 0.2% 99.2%  
377 0.3% 99.0%  
378 0.3% 98.7%  
379 0.5% 98%  
380 0.4% 98%  
381 0.7% 97%  
382 0.7% 97%  
383 0.9% 96%  
384 1.4% 95%  
385 0.9% 94%  
386 2% 93%  
387 2% 91%  
388 2% 90%  
389 2% 87%  
390 2% 86%  
391 3% 84%  
392 3% 81%  
393 2% 78%  
394 3% 76%  
395 3% 72%  
396 4% 70%  
397 3% 66%  
398 5% 63%  
399 3% 58%  
400 4% 55%  
401 4% 51% Median
402 3% 47%  
403 4% 44%  
404 3% 40%  
405 4% 37%  
406 4% 34%  
407 2% 30%  
408 3% 27%  
409 2% 24%  
410 2% 22%  
411 3% 20%  
412 1.2% 17%  
413 3% 16%  
414 1.1% 13%  
415 2% 12%  
416 1.0% 10%  
417 1.1% 9%  
418 0.8% 8%  
419 0.8% 8%  
420 0.7% 7%  
421 0.5% 6%  
422 0.5% 6%  
423 0.7% 5%  
424 0.4% 4%  
425 0.3% 4%  
426 0.4% 4%  
427 0.5% 3%  
428 0.2% 3%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.2% 2%  
431 0.4% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0% 1.5%  
434 0.2% 1.4%  
435 0.2% 1.2%  
436 0.1% 1.1%  
437 0.1% 0.9%  
438 0.1% 0.9%  
439 0.2% 0.8%  
440 0.1% 0.6%  
441 0.1% 0.5%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.2% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.7%  
334 0% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0.1% 99.5%  
337 0.2% 99.4%  
338 0.1% 99.3%  
339 0.1% 99.2%  
340 0.1% 99.1%  
341 0.3% 98.9%  
342 0.2% 98.6%  
343 0.2% 98%  
344 0.2% 98%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.3% 97%  
348 0.4% 97%  
349 0.6% 97%  
350 0.7% 96%  
351 0.6% 96%  
352 0.8% 95%  
353 0.6% 94%  
354 0.8% 94%  
355 1.1% 93% Majority
356 1.1% 92%  
357 2% 91%  
358 1.1% 89%  
359 3% 88%  
360 2% 85%  
361 2% 82%  
362 3% 80%  
363 2% 78%  
364 2% 76%  
365 3% 74%  
366 2% 71%  
367 5% 69%  
368 3% 64%  
369 2% 61%  
370 6% 58%  
371 3% 53% Median
372 4% 50%  
373 5% 46%  
374 2% 41%  
375 5% 39%  
376 3% 34%  
377 4% 30%  
378 3% 26%  
379 2% 24%  
380 2% 21%  
381 2% 19%  
382 2% 17%  
383 2% 16%  
384 2% 14%  
385 2% 12%  
386 2% 10%  
387 1.4% 8%  
388 1.4% 6%  
389 1.1% 5%  
390 0.5% 4%  
391 0.5% 3%  
392 0.3% 3%  
393 0.5% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.3% 1.2%  
397 0.3% 1.0%  
398 0.2% 0.7%  
399 0.2% 0.5%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0% 99.7%  
323 0.1% 99.7%  
324 0% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.1% 99.5%  
327 0.1% 99.5%  
328 0.1% 99.4%  
329 0.1% 99.3%  
330 0.1% 99.2%  
331 0.2% 99.1%  
332 0.1% 98.8%  
333 0.3% 98.8%  
334 0.1% 98%  
335 0.2% 98%  
336 0.2% 98%  
337 0.2% 98%  
338 0.5% 98%  
339 0.3% 97%  
340 0.5% 97%  
341 0.5% 97%  
342 0.5% 96%  
343 0.6% 95%  
344 0.8% 95%  
345 0.6% 94%  
346 1.2% 94%  
347 0.8% 92%  
348 2% 92%  
349 2% 90%  
350 2% 88%  
351 2% 87%  
352 2% 85%  
353 2% 83%  
354 2% 80%  
355 2% 78% Majority
356 2% 76%  
357 3% 74%  
358 4% 70%  
359 3% 66%  
360 2% 63%  
361 4% 61%  
362 5% 57%  
363 4% 52% Median
364 4% 49%  
365 4% 45%  
366 4% 41%  
367 3% 37%  
368 3% 34%  
369 2% 31%  
370 4% 28%  
371 2% 25%  
372 2% 22%  
373 3% 20%  
374 2% 17%  
375 2% 15%  
376 2% 13%  
377 2% 11%  
378 2% 9%  
379 1.2% 8%  
380 1.1% 6%  
381 1.2% 5%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.6% 3%  
384 0.5% 3%  
385 0.5% 2%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.3%  
388 0.2% 1.0%  
389 0.2% 0.9%  
390 0.2% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.2% 99.5%  
320 0.2% 99.3%  
321 0.2% 99.1%  
322 0.3% 99.0%  
323 0.4% 98.7%  
324 0.5% 98%  
325 0.5% 98%  
326 0.6% 97%  
327 0.7% 97%  
328 1.2% 96%  
329 1.1% 95%  
330 1.2% 94%  
331 2% 92%  
332 2% 91%  
333 2% 89%  
334 2% 87%  
335 2% 85%  
336 3% 83%  
337 2% 80%  
338 2% 78%  
339 4% 75%  
340 2% 72%  
341 3% 69%  
342 3% 66%  
343 4% 63%  
344 4% 59%  
345 4% 55%  
346 4% 51% Median
347 5% 48%  
348 4% 43%  
349 2% 39%  
350 3% 37%  
351 4% 34%  
352 3% 30%  
353 2% 26%  
354 2% 24%  
355 2% 22% Majority
356 2% 20%  
357 2% 17%  
358 2% 15%  
359 2% 13%  
360 2% 12%  
361 2% 10%  
362 0.8% 8%  
363 1.2% 8%  
364 0.6% 6%  
365 0.8% 6%  
366 0.6% 5%  
367 0.5% 5%  
368 0.5% 4%  
369 0.5% 3%  
370 0.3% 3%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.2% 2%  
373 0.2% 2%  
374 0.2% 2%  
375 0.1% 2%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.1% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.2%  
379 0.1% 0.9%  
380 0.1% 0.8%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.4%  
386 0.1% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0.1% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0.2% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.5%  
301 0.1% 99.4%  
302 0.3% 99.3%  
303 0.4% 99.0%  
304 0.3% 98.6%  
305 0.4% 98%  
306 0.5% 98%  
307 0.9% 97%  
308 0.8% 97%  
309 0.5% 96%  
310 1.3% 95%  
311 1.3% 94%  
312 2% 93%  
313 0.9% 91%  
314 1.4% 90%  
315 3% 88%  
316 3% 85%  
317 2% 83%  
318 1.2% 81%  
319 5% 79%  
320 4% 75%  
321 3% 71%  
322 2% 68%  
323 4% 66%  
324 4% 62%  
325 6% 59%  
326 2% 53% Median
327 3% 51%  
328 6% 48%  
329 4% 42%  
330 2% 38%  
331 2% 36%  
332 4% 34%  
333 4% 30%  
334 2% 25%  
335 1.3% 23%  
336 2% 22%  
337 4% 20%  
338 2% 16%  
339 1.0% 14%  
340 2% 13%  
341 3% 12%  
342 1.0% 9%  
343 0.9% 8%  
344 0.6% 7%  
345 0.9% 7%  
346 1.0% 6%  
347 0.3% 5%  
348 0.3% 5%  
349 0.4% 4%  
350 0.7% 4%  
351 0.4% 3%  
352 0.3% 3%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.3% 2%  
355 0.4% 2% Majority
356 0.2% 1.4%  
357 0.1% 1.2%  
358 0.1% 1.1%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.8%  
361 0.1% 0.7%  
362 0.1% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.6%  
364 0.1% 0.4%  
365 0.1% 0.4%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0% 0.2%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.1% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.3%  
295 0.1% 99.2%  
296 0.2% 99.1%  
297 0.1% 98.9%  
298 0.1% 98.8%  
299 0.2% 98.7%  
300 0.2% 98.5% Last Result
301 0.4% 98%  
302 0.2% 98%  
303 0.2% 98%  
304 0.4% 98%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.3% 97%  
307 0.5% 96%  
308 0.4% 96%  
309 0.6% 95%  
310 0.5% 95%  
311 0.6% 94%  
312 1.3% 94%  
313 0.7% 92%  
314 1.1% 92%  
315 1.3% 91%  
316 1.4% 89%  
317 2% 88%  
318 2% 86%  
319 2% 84%  
320 2% 82%  
321 2% 81%  
322 4% 78%  
323 3% 74%  
324 3% 72%  
325 3% 69%  
326 3% 66%  
327 3% 63%  
328 5% 60%  
329 3% 54%  
330 3% 51% Median
331 3% 48%  
332 4% 45%  
333 4% 41%  
334 2% 37%  
335 5% 34%  
336 2% 30%  
337 3% 27%  
338 3% 24%  
339 3% 21%  
340 2% 18%  
341 2% 16%  
342 2% 14%  
343 2% 12%  
344 2% 11%  
345 1.3% 8%  
346 1.2% 7%  
347 0.7% 6%  
348 1.0% 5%  
349 0.8% 4%  
350 0.7% 3%  
351 0.5% 2%  
352 0.4% 2%  
353 0.3% 2%  
354 0.2% 1.3%  
355 0.2% 1.0% Majority
356 0.2% 0.8%  
357 0.2% 0.6%  
358 0.1% 0.5%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0.1% 99.9%  
289 0.1% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.2% 99.5%  
293 0.2% 99.4%  
294 0.3% 99.2%  
295 0.2% 98.9%  
296 0.5% 98.7%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.7% 98%  
299 0.6% 97%  
300 0.9% 97%  
301 0.8% 96%  
302 1.0% 95%  
303 2% 94%  
304 1.1% 92%  
305 2% 91%  
306 2% 89%  
307 2% 88%  
308 2% 86%  
309 3% 83%  
310 2% 81%  
311 4% 78%  
312 2% 75%  
313 3% 72%  
314 5% 69%  
315 3% 64%  
316 4% 61%  
317 3% 58%  
318 4% 54% Median
319 4% 50%  
320 4% 46%  
321 3% 42%  
322 4% 39%  
323 3% 35%  
324 3% 32%  
325 3% 29%  
326 3% 26%  
327 3% 23%  
328 2% 21%  
329 2% 18%  
330 2% 17%  
331 2% 14%  
332 1.3% 13%  
333 2% 11%  
334 1.1% 10%  
335 1.3% 9%  
336 0.7% 7%  
337 0.7% 7%  
338 1.0% 6%  
339 0.4% 5%  
340 0.7% 4% Last Result
341 0.4% 4%  
342 0.5% 3%  
343 0.3% 3%  
344 0.3% 3%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.1% 1.4%  
350 0.3% 1.2%  
351 0.1% 0.9%  
352 0.2% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0.1% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.2% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.4%  
261 0.3% 99.2%  
262 0.4% 99.0%  
263 0.3% 98.6%  
264 0.5% 98%  
265 0.5% 98%  
266 0.7% 97%  
267 0.8% 97%  
268 1.0% 96%  
269 1.3% 95%  
270 1.0% 94%  
271 2% 92%  
272 2% 91%  
273 1.5% 89%  
274 2% 88%  
275 2% 86%  
276 4% 83%  
277 2% 79%  
278 3% 77%  
279 4% 74%  
280 3% 70%  
281 4% 67%  
282 3% 63%  
283 5% 60%  
284 4% 55%  
285 2% 51% Median
286 4% 49%  
287 3% 45%  
288 4% 42%  
289 3% 38%  
290 3% 35%  
291 4% 32%  
292 2% 28%  
293 3% 26%  
294 3% 23%  
295 2% 21%  
296 2% 18%  
297 2% 16%  
298 2% 14%  
299 2% 12%  
300 1.3% 10%  
301 2% 9%  
302 1.1% 8%  
303 0.8% 6%  
304 0.9% 6%  
305 0.7% 5%  
306 0.5% 4%  
307 0.6% 3%  
308 0.4% 3%  
309 0.4% 3%  
310 0.3% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.4% 2%  
313 0.2% 1.3%  
314 0.2% 1.1%  
315 0.1% 1.0%  
316 0.2% 0.9%  
317 0.1% 0.7%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.4%  
321 0.1% 0.4%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.8%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.7%  
222 0.1% 99.6%  
223 0.1% 99.6%  
224 0.1% 99.5%  
225 0% 99.4%  
226 0.2% 99.4%  
227 0.1% 99.2%  
228 0.2% 99.1%  
229 0.2% 99.0%  
230 0.2% 98.8%  
231 0.2% 98.6%  
232 0.1% 98%  
233 0.3% 98%  
234 0.1% 98%  
235 0.2% 98%  
236 0.2% 98%  
237 0.4% 97%  
238 0.3% 97%  
239 0.2% 97%  
240 0.4% 97%  
241 0.2% 96%  
242 0.2% 96%  
243 0.3% 96%  
244 0.3% 95%  
245 0.5% 95%  
246 0.4% 95%  
247 1.0% 94%  
248 0.5% 93%  
249 0.8% 93%  
250 0.7% 92%  
251 1.3% 91%  
252 2% 90%  
253 1.1% 88%  
254 2% 87%  
255 2% 85%  
256 2% 83%  
257 2% 81%  
258 3% 79%  
259 3% 76%  
260 3% 73%  
261 3% 70%  
262 4% 67%  
263 3% 63%  
264 3% 60%  
265 5% 57%  
266 4% 52% Median
267 4% 48%  
268 5% 44%  
269 3% 40%  
270 3% 37%  
271 3% 34%  
272 4% 30%  
273 3% 27%  
274 3% 24%  
275 3% 21%  
276 3% 18%  
277 1.5% 15%  
278 2% 14%  
279 2% 11%  
280 1.2% 9%  
281 1.3% 8%  
282 1.1% 7%  
283 0.9% 6%  
284 0.8% 5%  
285 0.8% 4%  
286 0.7% 3%  
287 0.5% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.3% 2%  
290 0.4% 1.2%  
291 0.2% 0.9%  
292 0.2% 0.7%  
293 0.2% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0.1% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0.1% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.3% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.2%  
146 0.4% 99.0%  
147 0.4% 98.6%  
148 0.5% 98%  
149 0.8% 98%  
150 0.6% 97%  
151 1.0% 96%  
152 1.0% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 1.2% 93%  
155 2% 91%  
156 4% 89%  
157 2% 86%  
158 3% 83%  
159 3% 80%  
160 6% 77%  
161 3% 71%  
162 4% 68%  
163 3% 64%  
164 5% 61%  
165 3% 56%  
166 6% 53% Median
167 3% 47%  
168 4% 44%  
169 5% 41%  
170 6% 36%  
171 4% 31%  
172 3% 27%  
173 3% 24%  
174 3% 21%  
175 3% 18%  
176 2% 15%  
177 2% 13%  
178 1.5% 11%  
179 1.1% 9%  
180 2% 8%  
181 0.9% 6%  
182 1.1% 5%  
183 0.9% 4%  
184 0.5% 3%  
185 0.7% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.2% 1.3%  
189 0.3% 1.1%  
190 0.1% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0.1% 99.8%  
101 0.1% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.1% 99.5%  
104 0.1% 99.4%  
105 0.2% 99.3%  
106 0.1% 99.1%  
107 0.3% 99.0%  
108 0.1% 98.7%  
109 0.2% 98.6%  
110 0.4% 98%  
111 0.2% 98%  
112 0.1% 98%  
113 0.3% 98%  
114 0.2% 97%  
115 0.2% 97%  
116 0.3% 97%  
117 0.1% 97%  
118 0.5% 97%  
119 0.2% 96%  
120 0.2% 96%  
121 0.1% 96%  
122 0.1% 96%  
123 0.1% 96%  
124 0.1% 96%  
125 0.1% 95%  
126 0.1% 95%  
127 0.1% 95%  
128 0.1% 95%  
129 0.1% 95%  
130 0.2% 95%  
131 0.3% 95%  
132 0.2% 94%  
133 0.4% 94%  
134 0.6% 94%  
135 0.5% 93%  
136 0.9% 93%  
137 1.2% 92%  
138 1.1% 91%  
139 2% 90%  
140 2% 88%  
141 2% 86%  
142 2% 84%  
143 3% 82%  
144 3% 79%  
145 3% 76%  
146 4% 73%  
147 5% 69%  
148 4% 64%  
149 5% 59%  
150 6% 54% Median
151 4% 49%  
152 5% 44%  
153 4% 40%  
154 4% 35%  
155 3% 31%  
156 4% 29%  
157 3% 25%  
158 3% 21%  
159 3% 19%  
160 2% 16%  
161 2% 13%  
162 2% 11%  
163 2% 9%  
164 1.3% 7%  
165 1.2% 6%  
166 0.9% 5%  
167 0.9% 4%  
168 0.7% 3%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.2%  
172 0.2% 0.9%  
173 0.2% 0.7%  
174 0.1% 0.5%  
175 0.1% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations