Opinion Poll by Kantar for Bild am Sonntag, 17–23 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 22.2–25.1% 21.8–25.5% 21.5–25.9% 20.8–26.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.8–16.3% 13.5–16.6% 13.2–16.9% 12.7–17.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.9–15.3% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–15.9% 11.8–16.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.1–10.1% 7.9–10.4% 7.6–10.6% 7.2–11.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.4% 4.7–6.3% 4.5–6.5% 4.4–6.7% 4.0–7.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 176 166–187 162–189 160–190 157–198
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 149 139–159 136–164 133–165 130–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 104–121 103–124 98–125 94–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 105 97–114 94–115 91–118 88–122
Die Linke 69 67 61–75 59–76 57–78 54–83
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 59 53–66 51–69 50–70 47–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 41 35–46 34–48 32–50 30–53

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.3% 99.5%  
158 0.8% 99.2%  
159 0.6% 98%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 0.7% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 0.9% 94%  
164 1.1% 94%  
165 0.8% 92%  
166 2% 92%  
167 2% 89%  
168 4% 87%  
169 7% 84%  
170 11% 77%  
171 4% 66%  
172 3% 62%  
173 2% 59%  
174 2% 57%  
175 1.3% 55%  
176 5% 54% Median
177 6% 49%  
178 1.2% 43%  
179 9% 42%  
180 3% 33%  
181 10% 30%  
182 3% 20%  
183 2% 17%  
184 1.4% 16%  
185 1.3% 14%  
186 1.2% 13%  
187 3% 12%  
188 3% 9%  
189 0.9% 5%  
190 2% 4%  
191 0.6% 2%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.1% 1.4%  
195 0.2% 1.3%  
196 0.1% 1.1%  
197 0.2% 1.0%  
198 0.5% 0.8%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.5% 99.7%  
131 0.7% 99.2%  
132 0.4% 98%  
133 1.2% 98%  
134 0.8% 97%  
135 0.7% 96%  
136 2% 95%  
137 1.4% 94%  
138 1.3% 92%  
139 2% 91%  
140 2% 89%  
141 1.1% 87%  
142 1.4% 86%  
143 3% 85%  
144 6% 82%  
145 3% 75%  
146 9% 73%  
147 9% 64%  
148 4% 54%  
149 6% 50% Median
150 3% 44%  
151 8% 41%  
152 5% 33%  
153 9% 28%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 1.5% 15%  
157 0.9% 13%  
158 1.3% 12%  
159 1.2% 11%  
160 0.5% 10%  
161 1.3% 9%  
162 1.0% 8%  
163 1.3% 7%  
164 3% 6%  
165 1.0% 3%  
166 1.0% 2%  
167 0.3% 1.0%  
168 0.3% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.9%  
95 0.3% 99.5%  
96 0.7% 99.2%  
97 0.6% 98%  
98 0.4% 98%  
99 0.9% 97%  
100 0.3% 97%  
101 0.5% 96%  
102 0.4% 96%  
103 3% 95%  
104 6% 92%  
105 5% 86%  
106 6% 80%  
107 6% 74%  
108 3% 69%  
109 3% 66%  
110 0.8% 63%  
111 2% 62%  
112 7% 60%  
113 10% 53% Median
114 7% 43%  
115 7% 36%  
116 10% 28%  
117 2% 19%  
118 3% 17%  
119 0.3% 13%  
120 1.0% 13%  
121 3% 12%  
122 0.7% 9%  
123 3% 9%  
124 2% 6%  
125 1.1% 4%  
126 1.4% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.1%  
128 0.1% 0.7%  
129 0% 0.6%  
130 0.1% 0.6%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0.2% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.6% 99.6%  
89 0.3% 99.0%  
90 0.3% 98.6%  
91 1.1% 98%  
92 0.5% 97%  
93 0.5% 97%  
94 2% 96% Last Result
95 2% 95%  
96 2% 92%  
97 6% 90%  
98 7% 84%  
99 3% 77%  
100 5% 74%  
101 2% 69%  
102 7% 67%  
103 5% 60%  
104 5% 55%  
105 7% 50% Median
106 6% 44%  
107 5% 37%  
108 4% 32%  
109 5% 29%  
110 2% 24%  
111 5% 22%  
112 3% 17%  
113 3% 15%  
114 3% 11%  
115 3% 8%  
116 0.6% 5%  
117 2% 4%  
118 0.5% 3%  
119 0.5% 2%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.5% 1.1%  
122 0.1% 0.6%  
123 0.2% 0.4%  
124 0% 0.2%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.5% 99.4%  
56 0.8% 98.9%  
57 0.9% 98%  
58 1.0% 97%  
59 1.4% 96%  
60 3% 95%  
61 6% 91%  
62 3% 85%  
63 6% 82%  
64 8% 76%  
65 6% 68%  
66 5% 62%  
67 8% 57% Median
68 10% 49%  
69 3% 39% Last Result
70 2% 36%  
71 5% 34%  
72 10% 29%  
73 3% 19%  
74 2% 16%  
75 7% 14%  
76 3% 7%  
77 1.1% 4%  
78 1.3% 3%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 1.0%  
82 0.2% 0.7%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 0.3% 99.6%  
48 0.4% 99.3%  
49 1.2% 99.0%  
50 2% 98%  
51 1.1% 95%  
52 4% 94%  
53 2% 91%  
54 2% 88%  
55 4% 86%  
56 10% 82%  
57 3% 72%  
58 9% 69%  
59 11% 60% Median
60 3% 49%  
61 7% 46%  
62 11% 39%  
63 8% 28%  
64 3% 20%  
65 3% 17%  
66 5% 14%  
67 1.2% 9%  
68 2% 7%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.5% 3%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.6% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.8%  
74 0.1% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.6%  
31 0.7% 99.4%  
32 2% 98.7%  
33 2% 97%  
34 1.4% 96%  
35 5% 94%  
36 10% 89%  
37 5% 79%  
38 4% 73%  
39 5% 69%  
40 13% 64%  
41 14% 51% Median
42 8% 37%  
43 3% 29%  
44 7% 26%  
45 8% 19%  
46 4% 11% Last Result
47 2% 8%  
48 1.3% 5%  
49 1.0% 4%  
50 1.0% 3%  
51 1.2% 2%  
52 0.3% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.7%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 478 100% 466–489 460–490 460–494 454–499
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 427 100% 413–437 411–441 407–442 401–448
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 389 100% 376–399 374–404 370–408 363–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 380 99.8% 371–393 364–395 360–398 357–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 365 86% 353–376 349–383 346–385 344–388
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 329 0.2% 316–338 314–345 311–349 304–352
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 327 0.4% 315–340 313–344 310–346 304–354
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 320 0% 309–334 306–336 301–340 296–345
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 320 0% 308–332 304–336 302–339 296–345
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 276 0% 265–288 261–292 258–294 253–300
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 260 0% 249–271 247–277 244–279 237–285
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 169–190 167–193 164–195 160–201
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 171 0% 161–182 158–185 157–188 151–194

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0.2% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.1% 99.4%  
456 0.1% 99.3%  
457 0.1% 99.2%  
458 0.1% 99.1%  
459 0.5% 99.0%  
460 4% 98%  
461 1.1% 95%  
462 2% 94%  
463 0.4% 91%  
464 0.6% 91%  
465 0.5% 91%  
466 0.6% 90% Last Result
467 1.3% 89%  
468 2% 88%  
469 8% 86%  
470 4% 78%  
471 6% 75%  
472 3% 68%  
473 3% 65%  
474 2% 62%  
475 0.7% 60%  
476 1.0% 59%  
477 4% 58%  
478 5% 54%  
479 6% 49% Median
480 9% 43%  
481 8% 34%  
482 3% 26%  
483 1.2% 23%  
484 0.2% 22%  
485 2% 22%  
486 1.3% 20%  
487 5% 19%  
488 4% 15%  
489 4% 11%  
490 2% 7%  
491 2% 5%  
492 0.3% 3%  
493 0.2% 3%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.9% 2%  
498 0.4% 1.1%  
499 0.3% 0.7%  
500 0.1% 0.4%  
501 0.1% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0.1% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.3% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.5% 99.3%  
404 0.2% 98.8%  
405 0.8% 98.5%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.4% 98%  
408 0.2% 97%  
409 0.2% 97%  
410 2% 97%  
411 0.5% 95%  
412 2% 95%  
413 4% 93%  
414 1.4% 89%  
415 9% 88%  
416 2% 79%  
417 3% 77%  
418 3% 75%  
419 4% 72%  
420 0.9% 68%  
421 1.0% 67%  
422 3% 66%  
423 2% 62%  
424 3% 61%  
425 3% 57% Median
426 2% 54%  
427 9% 52%  
428 7% 43%  
429 4% 36%  
430 11% 32%  
431 2% 21%  
432 4% 19%  
433 2% 15%  
434 0.3% 13%  
435 2% 13%  
436 0.5% 11%  
437 0.5% 10%  
438 2% 10%  
439 1.0% 8%  
440 0.6% 7%  
441 2% 6%  
442 2% 4%  
443 0.3% 2%  
444 0.6% 2%  
445 0.6% 2%  
446 0.1% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.8%  
448 0.2% 0.7%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0.1% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0.2% 99.8%  
363 0.3% 99.6%  
364 0% 99.3%  
365 0.1% 99.3%  
366 0.1% 99.1%  
367 0.1% 99.0%  
368 0.3% 98.9%  
369 0.7% 98.5%  
370 0.5% 98%  
371 0.7% 97%  
372 1.1% 97%  
373 0.4% 96%  
374 3% 95%  
375 2% 92%  
376 1.2% 90%  
377 2% 89%  
378 3% 87%  
379 2% 84%  
380 7% 82%  
381 3% 75%  
382 1.1% 72%  
383 3% 71%  
384 2% 68%  
385 1.3% 66%  
386 7% 65%  
387 3% 58%  
388 4% 55%  
389 3% 51% Median
390 8% 48%  
391 2% 40%  
392 11% 38%  
393 5% 27%  
394 0.8% 21%  
395 3% 20%  
396 2% 17%  
397 1.2% 15%  
398 4% 14%  
399 0.7% 11%  
400 2% 10%  
401 0.9% 8%  
402 1.1% 7%  
403 0.6% 6%  
404 0.7% 6%  
405 0.4% 5%  
406 0.2% 5%  
407 1.3% 4%  
408 1.0% 3%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.7% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.0%  
412 0.3% 0.7%  
413 0.1% 0.4%  
414 0.1% 0.3%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0.1% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.6%  
358 0.5% 99.5%  
359 1.0% 99.0%  
360 0.6% 98%  
361 0.6% 97%  
362 1.4% 97%  
363 0.3% 95%  
364 0.6% 95%  
365 0.3% 95%  
366 0.5% 94%  
367 0.4% 94%  
368 0.4% 93%  
369 1.2% 93%  
370 1.1% 92%  
371 1.4% 91%  
372 10% 89%  
373 2% 79%  
374 6% 78%  
375 6% 71%  
376 4% 65%  
377 3% 61%  
378 3% 58%  
379 3% 55%  
380 3% 52%  
381 6% 49% Median
382 1.2% 43%  
383 2% 42%  
384 2% 40%  
385 3% 38%  
386 3% 35%  
387 5% 32%  
388 4% 27%  
389 4% 23%  
390 2% 19%  
391 5% 16%  
392 1.3% 11%  
393 3% 10%  
394 1.5% 7%  
395 1.2% 5%  
396 0.8% 4%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.4% 3%  
399 0.1% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.6% 2%  
402 0.1% 1.5%  
403 0.5% 1.4%  
404 0.1% 0.9%  
405 0.3% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.5%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0.1% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.7%  
340 0% 99.7%  
341 0% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 1.3% 99.5%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.9% 98%  
347 0.2% 97%  
348 2% 97%  
349 0.1% 95%  
350 0.3% 95%  
351 0.2% 95%  
352 0.8% 94%  
353 5% 94%  
354 3% 89%  
355 0.7% 86% Majority
356 5% 86%  
357 8% 81%  
358 2% 73%  
359 0.3% 71%  
360 0.7% 70%  
361 0.3% 70%  
362 1.5% 69%  
363 4% 68%  
364 11% 64%  
365 5% 53%  
366 4% 47% Median
367 7% 44%  
368 6% 37%  
369 3% 31%  
370 0.5% 29%  
371 2% 28%  
372 1.3% 27%  
373 7% 25%  
374 3% 18%  
375 3% 14%  
376 2% 12%  
377 3% 10%  
378 0.3% 7%  
379 0.2% 6%  
380 0% 6%  
381 0.4% 6%  
382 0.5% 6%  
383 2% 5%  
384 0.1% 3%  
385 0.7% 3%  
386 0.6% 2%  
387 0.7% 1.2%  
388 0.1% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.5%  
390 0% 0.4%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.3% 0.4%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0.1% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.7%  
303 0.1% 99.6%  
304 0.3% 99.5%  
305 0.1% 99.2%  
306 0.5% 99.1%  
307 0.1% 98.6%  
308 0.6% 98.5%  
309 0.3% 98%  
310 0.1% 98%  
311 0.4% 98%  
312 0.3% 97%  
313 0.8% 97%  
314 1.2% 96%  
315 1.5% 95%  
316 3% 93%  
317 1.3% 90%  
318 5% 89%  
319 2% 84%  
320 4% 81%  
321 4% 77%  
322 5% 73%  
323 3% 68%  
324 3% 65%  
325 2% 62%  
326 2% 60%  
327 1.2% 58%  
328 6% 57%  
329 3% 51% Median
330 3% 48%  
331 3% 45%  
332 3% 42%  
333 4% 39%  
334 6% 35%  
335 6% 29%  
336 2% 22%  
337 10% 21%  
338 1.4% 11%  
339 1.1% 9%  
340 1.2% 8%  
341 0.4% 7%  
342 0.4% 7%  
343 0.5% 6%  
344 0.3% 6%  
345 0.6% 5%  
346 0.3% 5%  
347 1.4% 5%  
348 0.6% 3%  
349 0.6% 3%  
350 1.0% 2%  
351 0.5% 1.0%  
352 0.1% 0.5%  
353 0.1% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.2% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.7%  
303 0.1% 99.7%  
304 0.2% 99.5%  
305 0.2% 99.4%  
306 0.5% 99.1%  
307 0.2% 98.7%  
308 0.2% 98.5%  
309 0% 98%  
310 0.7% 98%  
311 0.2% 97%  
312 1.4% 97%  
313 1.3% 96%  
314 0.7% 95%  
315 4% 94%  
316 3% 90%  
317 0.8% 86%  
318 0.8% 85%  
319 1.1% 85%  
320 3% 84%  
321 2% 81%  
322 6% 79%  
323 2% 73%  
324 4% 71%  
325 8% 67%  
326 3% 58%  
327 7% 56%  
328 1.3% 49%  
329 1.5% 47%  
330 7% 46% Median
331 3% 39%  
332 2% 36%  
333 3% 34%  
334 7% 31%  
335 3% 25%  
336 6% 22%  
337 2% 16%  
338 2% 14%  
339 0.5% 12%  
340 2% 12%  
341 1.2% 9%  
342 1.2% 8%  
343 1.3% 7%  
344 0.7% 6%  
345 0.8% 5%  
346 2% 4%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.1% 2%  
351 0.6% 1.4%  
352 0.2% 0.8%  
353 0% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.3% 0.4% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0.1% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.2% 99.7%  
297 0.2% 99.5%  
298 0.1% 99.3%  
299 0.9% 99.2%  
300 0.3% 98%  
301 0.6% 98%  
302 0.2% 97%  
303 0.5% 97%  
304 1.0% 97%  
305 0.6% 96%  
306 0.7% 95%  
307 0.6% 95%  
308 1.2% 94%  
309 9% 93%  
310 1.3% 84%  
311 0.6% 82%  
312 1.0% 82%  
313 5% 81%  
314 1.1% 76%  
315 2% 75%  
316 2% 73%  
317 6% 71%  
318 8% 65%  
319 6% 57%  
320 3% 51%  
321 2% 48%  
322 2% 46% Median
323 4% 44%  
324 4% 40%  
325 4% 36%  
326 6% 33%  
327 4% 27%  
328 2% 22%  
329 1.4% 20%  
330 2% 19%  
331 2% 17%  
332 3% 15%  
333 0.5% 11%  
334 3% 11%  
335 2% 8%  
336 1.1% 6%  
337 1.1% 5%  
338 0.4% 4%  
339 0.3% 3%  
340 0.6% 3% Last Result
341 0.9% 2%  
342 0.4% 1.4%  
343 0.3% 1.1%  
344 0.2% 0.8%  
345 0.1% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0.3% 99.8%  
296 0.1% 99.5%  
297 0% 99.4%  
298 0.4% 99.4%  
299 0.5% 98.9%  
300 0.1% 98% Last Result
301 0.5% 98%  
302 1.4% 98%  
303 0% 97%  
304 3% 97%  
305 0.7% 94%  
306 0.7% 93%  
307 0.8% 93%  
308 2% 92%  
309 0.4% 89%  
310 2% 89%  
311 6% 87%  
312 0.1% 80%  
313 5% 80%  
314 3% 76%  
315 0.9% 72%  
316 5% 72%  
317 10% 67%  
318 0.2% 57%  
319 4% 56%  
320 3% 52%  
321 1.4% 49% Median
322 0.7% 47%  
323 8% 47%  
324 3% 38%  
325 0.9% 35%  
326 9% 35%  
327 0.8% 25%  
328 2% 25%  
329 3% 22%  
330 3% 20%  
331 0.4% 17%  
332 8% 16%  
333 0.4% 8%  
334 0.3% 8%  
335 3% 8%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.2% 4%  
338 1.0% 4%  
339 1.1% 3%  
340 0% 2%  
341 0.6% 2%  
342 0.4% 1.3%  
343 0% 0.8%  
344 0.2% 0.8%  
345 0.2% 0.6%  
346 0% 0.4%  
347 0.2% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.8%  
252 0.1% 99.8%  
253 0.3% 99.6%  
254 0.1% 99.4%  
255 0.5% 99.3%  
256 0.2% 98.8%  
257 0.9% 98.6%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 1.3% 97%  
260 0.9% 96%  
261 0.9% 95%  
262 0.3% 94%  
263 2% 94%  
264 0.7% 92%  
265 1.4% 91%  
266 3% 89%  
267 1.5% 87%  
268 8% 85%  
269 1.3% 77%  
270 3% 76%  
271 5% 73%  
272 3% 68%  
273 2% 66%  
274 7% 63%  
275 5% 57%  
276 3% 52% Median
277 6% 49%  
278 4% 43%  
279 6% 39%  
280 5% 33%  
281 1.2% 28%  
282 6% 26%  
283 2% 20%  
284 1.4% 17%  
285 2% 16%  
286 1.3% 14%  
287 1.3% 12%  
288 1.3% 11%  
289 0.9% 10%  
290 2% 9%  
291 1.2% 6%  
292 0.7% 5%  
293 1.4% 4%  
294 0.6% 3%  
295 0.3% 2%  
296 1.0% 2%  
297 0.2% 1.1%  
298 0.1% 0.9%  
299 0.2% 0.8%  
300 0.2% 0.6%  
301 0.1% 0.4%  
302 0% 0.3%  
303 0.1% 0.3%  
304 0% 0.2%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0.1% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0.2% 99.9%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.3% 99.6%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.1% 99.1%  
240 0.2% 99.0%  
241 0.6% 98.7%  
242 0.1% 98%  
243 0.5% 98%  
244 0.4% 98%  
245 1.1% 97%  
246 0.2% 96%  
247 1.5% 96%  
248 2% 94%  
249 4% 92%  
250 5% 88%  
251 4% 83%  
252 2% 80%  
253 0.8% 78%  
254 3% 77%  
255 3% 74%  
256 3% 72%  
257 6% 69%  
258 3% 63%  
259 7% 60%  
260 4% 53%  
261 2% 49%  
262 2% 48% Median
263 3% 46%  
264 8% 43%  
265 1.3% 36%  
266 3% 34%  
267 5% 31%  
268 5% 26%  
269 7% 21%  
270 3% 14%  
271 1.1% 11%  
272 1.1% 10%  
273 0.8% 9%  
274 0.4% 8%  
275 0.5% 7%  
276 1.0% 7%  
277 2% 6%  
278 0.6% 3%  
279 2% 3%  
280 0.2% 1.4%  
281 0.1% 1.1%  
282 0.2% 1.0%  
283 0.1% 0.8%  
284 0.1% 0.7%  
285 0.2% 0.6%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0.2% 0.3%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0.1% 0.1%  
292 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.1% 99.7%  
159 0.1% 99.6%  
160 0.2% 99.5%  
161 0.2% 99.3%  
162 0.8% 99.1%  
163 0.7% 98%  
164 0.5% 98%  
165 0.6% 97%  
166 1.2% 97%  
167 2% 95%  
168 3% 93%  
169 0.5% 90%  
170 3% 90%  
171 2% 86%  
172 1.5% 84%  
173 5% 83%  
174 5% 78%  
175 2% 74%  
176 6% 71%  
177 8% 65%  
178 3% 58%  
179 7% 55%  
180 3% 48% Median
181 2% 45%  
182 5% 43%  
183 5% 38%  
184 9% 33%  
185 1.2% 24%  
186 2% 23%  
187 6% 21%  
188 3% 15%  
189 1.0% 12%  
190 2% 11%  
191 2% 9%  
192 0.9% 7%  
193 3% 6%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 1.3% 3%  
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.1% 1.5%  
198 0.5% 1.3%  
199 0.3% 0.9%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.4% 99.7%  
152 0.2% 99.4%  
153 0.3% 99.1%  
154 0.4% 98.8%  
155 0.3% 98%  
156 0.3% 98%  
157 2% 98%  
158 0.9% 95%  
159 1.0% 95%  
160 1.0% 94%  
161 4% 93%  
162 1.2% 89%  
163 1.1% 87%  
164 2% 86%  
165 8% 84%  
166 2% 76%  
167 3% 74%  
168 4% 71%  
169 5% 67%  
170 7% 62%  
171 6% 55%  
172 5% 49% Median
173 3% 44%  
174 1.2% 41%  
175 8% 39%  
176 3% 31%  
177 3% 28%  
178 3% 25%  
179 7% 22%  
180 3% 15%  
181 0.7% 11%  
182 1.1% 11%  
183 3% 10%  
184 2% 7%  
185 0.7% 5%  
186 2% 5%  
187 0.4% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.1% 2%  
190 1.2% 2%  
191 0.3% 1.1%  
192 0.2% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.3% 0.6%  
195 0% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations