Opinion Poll by Forsa, 21–25 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 23.6% 22.5–24.7% 22.2–25.0% 21.9–25.3% 21.4–25.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 19.0–21.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.1–14.9% 12.9–15.2% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.2–13.9% 11.9–14.2% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.4% 4.9–6.1% 4.7–6.2% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 182 173–191 171–193 169–195 165–199
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 153 146–160 144–163 142–164 139–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 110 102–115 100–117 98–118 96–122
Alternative für Deutschland 94 99 93–105 91–108 90–109 88–113
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 62 57–66 56–69 52–70 51–72
Die Linke 69 63 57–68 56–69 54–70 52–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 43 38–47 36–48 35–49 33–52

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.8%  
164 0.1% 99.7%  
165 0.2% 99.5%  
166 0.4% 99.3%  
167 0.7% 98.9%  
168 0.6% 98%  
169 1.0% 98%  
170 1.0% 97%  
171 0.9% 96%  
172 3% 95%  
173 3% 92%  
174 4% 89%  
175 3% 85%  
176 2% 82%  
177 5% 79%  
178 4% 74%  
179 4% 69%  
180 2% 66%  
181 9% 63%  
182 8% 54% Median
183 8% 46%  
184 3% 38%  
185 3% 35%  
186 6% 32%  
187 4% 26%  
188 6% 21%  
189 2% 15%  
190 2% 13%  
191 4% 10%  
192 0.8% 7%  
193 1.5% 6%  
194 0.9% 5%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 1.1% 2%  
197 0.6% 1.3%  
198 0.1% 0.7%  
199 0.3% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0.3% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.2% 99.5%  
140 1.2% 99.3%  
141 0.2% 98%  
142 0.7% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 96%  
145 2% 93%  
146 2% 91%  
147 9% 89%  
148 4% 80%  
149 5% 76%  
150 2% 71%  
151 12% 69%  
152 4% 57%  
153 9% 53% Median
154 5% 45%  
155 5% 40%  
156 10% 35%  
157 5% 25%  
158 3% 20%  
159 6% 17%  
160 3% 11%  
161 1.4% 8%  
162 1.0% 7%  
163 2% 6%  
164 2% 4%  
165 0.5% 2%  
166 0.4% 2%  
167 0.9% 2%  
168 0.2% 0.7%  
169 0.1% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.6% 99.7%  
97 1.2% 99.1%  
98 2% 98%  
99 0.8% 96%  
100 1.2% 96%  
101 3% 94%  
102 4% 92%  
103 5% 88%  
104 8% 83%  
105 10% 75%  
106 4% 65%  
107 2% 61%  
108 3% 59%  
109 6% 56%  
110 12% 50% Median
111 9% 38%  
112 7% 29%  
113 7% 23%  
114 5% 16%  
115 2% 11%  
116 2% 9%  
117 3% 6%  
118 2% 3%  
119 0.7% 2%  
120 0.4% 1.1%  
121 0.1% 0.7%  
122 0.1% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.4%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.7% 99.6%  
89 0.3% 98.9%  
90 2% 98.6%  
91 2% 96%  
92 1.1% 94%  
93 3% 93%  
94 10% 90% Last Result
95 2% 80%  
96 11% 78%  
97 7% 67%  
98 5% 60%  
99 6% 55% Median
100 13% 49%  
101 4% 36%  
102 7% 32%  
103 8% 25%  
104 3% 17%  
105 4% 14%  
106 3% 10%  
107 2% 7%  
108 0.9% 5%  
109 2% 4%  
110 0.4% 2%  
111 1.0% 2%  
112 0.3% 0.9%  
113 0.2% 0.6%  
114 0.1% 0.4%  
115 0.1% 0.3%  
116 0% 0.2%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.5% 99.7%  
52 2% 99.2%  
53 0.9% 97%  
54 0.4% 97%  
55 0.9% 96%  
56 3% 95%  
57 14% 92%  
58 12% 79%  
59 7% 67%  
60 3% 59%  
61 2% 57%  
62 6% 54% Median
63 13% 48%  
64 17% 35%  
65 6% 18%  
66 3% 12%  
67 1.1% 10%  
68 2% 9%  
69 2% 7%  
70 3% 5%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.5% 0.9%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.9% 99.8%  
53 0.6% 98.9%  
54 2% 98%  
55 0.8% 96%  
56 2% 96%  
57 5% 94%  
58 5% 89%  
59 4% 84%  
60 9% 80%  
61 10% 71%  
62 8% 61%  
63 6% 54% Median
64 15% 47%  
65 13% 32%  
66 5% 20%  
67 5% 15%  
68 5% 10%  
69 3% 5% Last Result
70 0.8% 3%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.0%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 0.8% 99.4%  
35 2% 98.6%  
36 2% 97%  
37 4% 95%  
38 4% 91%  
39 6% 86%  
40 10% 80%  
41 7% 70%  
42 11% 63%  
43 14% 52% Median
44 10% 38%  
45 8% 28%  
46 10% 20% Last Result
47 2% 10%  
48 4% 8%  
49 1.4% 4%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.0%  
52 0.3% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 486 100% 477–494 475–497 473–499 468–503
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 438 100% 431–450 426–451 425–452 419–458
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 394 100% 386–403 383–405 380–407 376–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 385 100% 375–394 372–397 371–400 366–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 377 99.9% 368–387 364–391 363–392 358–397
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 333 0.1% 324–342 322–343 318–346 313–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 322 0% 315–333 312–336 310–338 305–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 324 0% 315–333 311–335 309–338 304–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 324 0% 315–334 312–337 309–338 305–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 286 0% 277–295 274–299 271–301 267–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 261 0% 252–272 251–273 247–276 244–281
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 169 0% 162–178 160–180 158–182 153–187
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 171 0% 163–178 161–180 159–181 154–186

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
463 0% 100%  
464 0.1% 99.9%  
465 0.1% 99.9%  
466 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
467 0.1% 99.7%  
468 0.2% 99.6%  
469 0.3% 99.4%  
470 0.5% 99.1%  
471 0.7% 98.6%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 1.2% 98%  
474 0.6% 96%  
475 3% 96%  
476 1.0% 93%  
477 3% 92%  
478 4% 89%  
479 2% 85%  
480 2% 82%  
481 6% 80%  
482 3% 74%  
483 7% 71%  
484 2% 65%  
485 11% 63%  
486 8% 53%  
487 5% 44%  
488 3% 40% Median
489 8% 37%  
490 6% 29%  
491 4% 23%  
492 4% 19%  
493 3% 15%  
494 3% 12%  
495 2% 9%  
496 2% 7%  
497 1.3% 5%  
498 0.9% 4%  
499 0.9% 3%  
500 0.9% 2%  
501 0.5% 1.3%  
502 0.1% 0.9%  
503 0.4% 0.7%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0.1% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0.1% 99.9%  
419 0.4% 99.9%  
420 0.2% 99.5%  
421 0.2% 99.3%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.1%  
424 0.3% 99.0%  
425 3% 98.6%  
426 3% 96%  
427 2% 93%  
428 0.4% 92%  
429 0.5% 91%  
430 0.9% 91%  
431 5% 90%  
432 12% 85%  
433 4% 72%  
434 2% 68%  
435 0.8% 66%  
436 1.2% 65%  
437 9% 64%  
438 6% 55%  
439 6% 49%  
440 5% 42% Median
441 0.8% 37%  
442 0.9% 36%  
443 3% 36%  
444 3% 33%  
445 13% 29%  
446 2% 17%  
447 2% 14%  
448 0.7% 13%  
449 1.1% 12%  
450 3% 11%  
451 3% 8%  
452 2% 4%  
453 0.7% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.5% 1.4%  
457 0.2% 0.9%  
458 0.5% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.2% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.5%  
377 0.2% 99.4%  
378 0.5% 99.2%  
379 0.7% 98.7%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 1.1% 97%  
382 1.2% 96%  
383 0.9% 95%  
384 2% 94%  
385 1.3% 92%  
386 2% 91%  
387 5% 89%  
388 1.0% 84%  
389 7% 83%  
390 2% 76%  
391 6% 73%  
392 4% 67%  
393 6% 63%  
394 9% 57%  
395 4% 48%  
396 7% 44%  
397 8% 38% Median
398 4% 29%  
399 2% 25%  
400 8% 24%  
401 2% 16%  
402 3% 14%  
403 2% 11%  
404 3% 9%  
405 2% 6%  
406 1.4% 4%  
407 0.7% 3%  
408 0.3% 2%  
409 0.5% 2%  
410 0.2% 1.2%  
411 0.4% 1.0%  
412 0.3% 0.6%  
413 0.1% 0.3%  
414 0.1% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.7%  
366 0.2% 99.6%  
367 0.4% 99.5%  
368 0.3% 99.1%  
369 0.5% 98.9%  
370 0.8% 98%  
371 0.5% 98%  
372 3% 97%  
373 0.7% 94%  
374 0.8% 94%  
375 3% 93%  
376 0.8% 89%  
377 5% 89%  
378 3% 84%  
379 4% 81%  
380 4% 77%  
381 2% 73%  
382 5% 71%  
383 7% 66%  
384 8% 59%  
385 2% 51%  
386 8% 48% Median
387 3% 40%  
388 8% 37%  
389 4% 30%  
390 3% 25%  
391 3% 22%  
392 6% 20%  
393 2% 14%  
394 3% 12%  
395 2% 9%  
396 0.8% 7%  
397 3% 6%  
398 0.6% 4%  
399 0.3% 3%  
400 0.9% 3%  
401 0.7% 2%  
402 0.6% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 0.7%  
404 0.1% 0.5%  
405 0.2% 0.4%  
406 0.1% 0.2%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.3% 99.6%  
359 0.3% 99.4%  
360 0.3% 99.1%  
361 0.2% 98.9%  
362 0.2% 98.6%  
363 2% 98%  
364 3% 97%  
365 0.8% 94%  
366 0.8% 93%  
367 1.5% 92%  
368 4% 91%  
369 5% 87%  
370 2% 82%  
371 3% 80%  
372 2% 77%  
373 2% 75%  
374 4% 74%  
375 11% 70%  
376 5% 58%  
377 4% 53%  
378 0.9% 49% Median
379 10% 49%  
380 4% 38%  
381 11% 34%  
382 2% 23%  
383 2% 21%  
384 2% 20%  
385 2% 17%  
386 4% 15%  
387 2% 11%  
388 2% 9%  
389 1.0% 7%  
390 1.0% 6%  
391 1.4% 5%  
392 2% 4%  
393 0.7% 2%  
394 0.1% 1.4%  
395 0.2% 1.3%  
396 0.5% 1.1%  
397 0.3% 0.6%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
307 0% 100%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0.1% 99.9%  
311 0.1% 99.8%  
312 0% 99.7%  
313 0.1% 99.6%  
314 0.1% 99.5%  
315 0.4% 99.4%  
316 0.4% 99.0%  
317 0.6% 98.6%  
318 0.6% 98%  
319 0.4% 97%  
320 0.8% 97%  
321 1.0% 96%  
322 2% 95%  
323 1.4% 94%  
324 2% 92%  
325 4% 90%  
326 3% 86%  
327 2% 82%  
328 3% 81%  
329 2% 78%  
330 11% 75%  
331 2% 64%  
332 10% 62%  
333 4% 52%  
334 6% 48%  
335 7% 42% Median
336 5% 35%  
337 5% 30%  
338 4% 25%  
339 8% 21%  
340 1.0% 13%  
341 2% 12%  
342 5% 10%  
343 1.0% 5%  
344 0.8% 4%  
345 0.8% 4%  
346 0.8% 3%  
347 1.1% 2%  
348 0.1% 0.8%  
349 0.2% 0.7%  
350 0.2% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.3%  
352 0.1% 0.2%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9% Last Result
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.3% 99.6%  
306 0.1% 99.2%  
307 0.4% 99.1%  
308 0.4% 98.7%  
309 0.5% 98%  
310 2% 98%  
311 0.5% 96%  
312 1.4% 96%  
313 4% 94%  
314 0.3% 91%  
315 7% 90%  
316 2% 84%  
317 3% 81%  
318 8% 79%  
319 2% 71%  
320 9% 68%  
321 6% 60%  
322 5% 54%  
323 4% 49%  
324 5% 46%  
325 10% 40% Median
326 3% 30%  
327 3% 27%  
328 2% 24%  
329 4% 22%  
330 2% 18%  
331 4% 16%  
332 2% 12%  
333 3% 10%  
334 0.9% 8%  
335 1.2% 7%  
336 2% 6%  
337 0.4% 4%  
338 1.1% 3%  
339 0.4% 2%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.9% 2%  
342 0.1% 0.6%  
343 0.2% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.3% 99.7%  
305 0.3% 99.4%  
306 0.4% 99.2%  
307 0.3% 98.8%  
308 0.4% 98.5%  
309 0.6% 98%  
310 1.0% 97%  
311 2% 96%  
312 1.3% 95%  
313 2% 93%  
314 2% 92%  
315 4% 90%  
316 4% 86%  
317 3% 82%  
318 1.4% 79%  
319 10% 78%  
320 5% 68%  
321 4% 62%  
322 3% 59%  
323 4% 56%  
324 7% 52% Median
325 3% 45%  
326 5% 42%  
327 7% 37%  
328 7% 30%  
329 2% 23%  
330 2% 21%  
331 2% 19%  
332 5% 16%  
333 1.0% 11%  
334 4% 10%  
335 0.9% 6%  
336 0.9% 5%  
337 0.8% 4%  
338 0.6% 3%  
339 0.9% 2%  
340 0.4% 1.4% Last Result
341 0.5% 1.0%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.2% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.2% 99.5%  
307 0.6% 99.3%  
308 0.7% 98.7%  
309 0.9% 98%  
310 0.3% 97%  
311 0.6% 97%  
312 3% 96%  
313 0.8% 94%  
314 2% 93%  
315 3% 91%  
316 2% 88%  
317 6% 86%  
318 3% 80%  
319 3% 78%  
320 4% 75%  
321 8% 70%  
322 3% 63%  
323 8% 60%  
324 2% 52%  
325 8% 49%  
326 7% 41% Median
327 5% 34%  
328 2% 29%  
329 4% 27%  
330 4% 23%  
331 3% 19%  
332 5% 16%  
333 0.8% 11%  
334 3% 11%  
335 0.8% 7%  
336 0.7% 6%  
337 3% 6%  
338 0.5% 3%  
339 0.8% 2%  
340 0.5% 2%  
341 0.3% 1.1%  
342 0.4% 0.9%  
343 0.2% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.7%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.2% 99.5%  
269 0.9% 99.3%  
270 0.2% 98%  
271 0.9% 98%  
272 0.9% 97%  
273 0.7% 96%  
274 3% 96%  
275 2% 93%  
276 0.9% 91%  
277 4% 90%  
278 3% 86%  
279 4% 84%  
280 3% 80%  
281 8% 77%  
282 2% 69%  
283 6% 68%  
284 7% 62%  
285 2% 55%  
286 9% 53%  
287 5% 44% Median
288 1.4% 40%  
289 7% 38%  
290 6% 31%  
291 1.0% 25%  
292 7% 24%  
293 3% 17%  
294 2% 15%  
295 4% 13%  
296 0.9% 9%  
297 0.8% 8%  
298 2% 7%  
299 2% 5%  
300 0.5% 3%  
301 1.4% 3%  
302 0.3% 2%  
303 0.2% 1.2%  
304 0.6% 1.1%  
305 0.1% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0.1% 0.3%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0.1% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.2% 99.7%  
244 0% 99.5%  
245 0.3% 99.5%  
246 1.1% 99.2%  
247 1.1% 98%  
248 0.4% 97%  
249 0.7% 97%  
250 0.4% 96%  
251 3% 96%  
252 4% 93%  
253 1.1% 89%  
254 1.1% 87%  
255 3% 86%  
256 5% 83%  
257 11% 79%  
258 3% 68%  
259 2% 64%  
260 3% 63%  
261 14% 60%  
262 8% 45%  
263 4% 37% Median
264 2% 33%  
265 4% 31%  
266 4% 27%  
267 5% 23%  
268 4% 18%  
269 0.7% 15%  
270 1.3% 14%  
271 3% 13%  
272 3% 10%  
273 2% 7%  
274 0.9% 4%  
275 0.3% 4%  
276 1.0% 3%  
277 0.9% 2%  
278 0.5% 1.4%  
279 0.2% 0.9%  
280 0% 0.7%  
281 0.2% 0.7%  
282 0.2% 0.5%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.2% 99.7%  
154 0.3% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 99.2%  
156 0.1% 99.0%  
157 1.2% 98.9%  
158 1.0% 98%  
159 1.2% 97%  
160 2% 96%  
161 3% 93%  
162 2% 90%  
163 2% 89%  
164 2% 87%  
165 2% 85%  
166 6% 83%  
167 9% 77%  
168 11% 68%  
169 14% 57%  
170 5% 43%  
171 4% 38%  
172 3% 34% Median
173 3% 31%  
174 4% 28%  
175 5% 24%  
176 4% 20%  
177 4% 16%  
178 3% 12%  
179 2% 9%  
180 3% 6%  
181 0.6% 4%  
182 1.0% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.5% 1.2%  
187 0.3% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.2% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.7%  
154 0.1% 99.6%  
155 0.4% 99.5%  
156 0.2% 99.0%  
157 0.6% 98.8%  
158 0.5% 98%  
159 0.4% 98%  
160 1.5% 97%  
161 1.4% 96%  
162 1.4% 95%  
163 3% 93%  
164 3% 90%  
165 3% 87%  
166 2% 84%  
167 5% 82%  
168 8% 77%  
169 2% 68%  
170 12% 66%  
171 5% 54%  
172 8% 49%  
173 6% 41% Median
174 9% 35%  
175 3% 26%  
176 4% 23%  
177 7% 19%  
178 4% 12%  
179 1.2% 8%  
180 3% 7%  
181 2% 3%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.5% 1.1%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.3% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations