Opinion Poll by Forsa, 28 October–1 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.5–24.0% 21.2–24.4% 20.9–24.7% 20.3–25.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.2–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 12.0–14.1% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.0–14.1% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 177 167–181 166–187 162–189 156–192
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 155 147–162 141–167 141–168 135–170
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 92–107 91–110 90–112 86–117
Alternative für Deutschland 94 101 93–108 90–111 88–113 85–116
Die Linke 69 77 70–84 69–87 67–89 65–91
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 61 55–68 54–70 53–71 50–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 41 35–47 35–48 33–50 31–52

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.4% 99.8%  
157 0.3% 99.4%  
158 0.6% 99.1%  
159 0.2% 98%  
160 0.6% 98%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.1% 98%  
163 0.1% 97%  
164 0.6% 97%  
165 2% 97%  
166 3% 95%  
167 6% 93%  
168 7% 87%  
169 12% 80%  
170 3% 68%  
171 4% 65%  
172 0.6% 61%  
173 0.2% 61%  
174 0.7% 61%  
175 3% 60%  
176 4% 57%  
177 10% 53% Median
178 14% 43%  
179 13% 29%  
180 4% 16%  
181 3% 12%  
182 0.4% 10%  
183 0.1% 9%  
184 0.4% 9%  
185 0.2% 9%  
186 1.1% 8%  
187 2% 7%  
188 1.3% 5%  
189 1.3% 4%  
190 1.2% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.0%  
192 0.1% 0.6%  
193 0% 0.5%  
194 0% 0.4%  
195 0% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1% Last Result
201 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0.3% 99.9%  
135 0.3% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.2%  
138 0% 99.2%  
139 0.1% 99.2%  
140 1.4% 99.1%  
141 4% 98%  
142 1.3% 94%  
143 1.0% 93%  
144 0% 92%  
145 0% 92%  
146 0.5% 92%  
147 7% 91%  
148 11% 84%  
149 6% 73%  
150 0.7% 67%  
151 0% 66%  
152 0.1% 66%  
153 5% 66%  
154 10% 61%  
155 14% 51% Median
156 7% 37%  
157 0.2% 30%  
158 0% 30%  
159 0.4% 30%  
160 2% 29%  
161 11% 27%  
162 8% 16%  
163 2% 8%  
164 0% 6%  
165 0% 6%  
166 0% 6%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.0% 2%  
170 0.1% 0.6%  
171 0% 0.5%  
172 0% 0.4%  
173 0% 0.4%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.2% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 1.4% 99.2%  
89 0.3% 98%  
90 2% 98%  
91 5% 96%  
92 2% 91%  
93 2% 89%  
94 6% 87%  
95 3% 81%  
96 3% 78%  
97 6% 75%  
98 11% 69%  
99 2% 58%  
100 9% 56% Median
101 6% 47%  
102 7% 41%  
103 11% 34%  
104 5% 24%  
105 5% 18%  
106 2% 13%  
107 4% 11%  
108 2% 8%  
109 0.5% 6%  
110 0.8% 5%  
111 1.3% 4%  
112 0.6% 3%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.7% 2%  
115 0.3% 1.1%  
116 0.1% 0.7%  
117 0.5% 0.6%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.7%  
86 0.3% 99.4%  
87 0.4% 99.2%  
88 2% 98.7%  
89 0.9% 97%  
90 3% 96%  
91 2% 93%  
92 1.1% 92%  
93 1.4% 91%  
94 7% 89% Last Result
95 8% 83%  
96 2% 75%  
97 10% 72%  
98 3% 63%  
99 3% 60%  
100 4% 57%  
101 7% 52% Median
102 2% 45%  
103 11% 43%  
104 10% 33%  
105 6% 23%  
106 5% 17%  
107 1.4% 12%  
108 2% 11%  
109 0.7% 9%  
110 2% 8%  
111 2% 6%  
112 1.4% 5%  
113 2% 3%  
114 0.5% 1.1%  
115 0.1% 0.6%  
116 0.1% 0.5%  
117 0.2% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.8% 99.5%  
66 0.3% 98.7%  
67 2% 98%  
68 0.7% 96%  
69 5% 95% Last Result
70 3% 91%  
71 2% 88%  
72 8% 86%  
73 2% 78%  
74 10% 76%  
75 8% 66%  
76 5% 57%  
77 10% 52% Median
78 2% 42%  
79 9% 40%  
80 5% 31%  
81 5% 26%  
82 7% 22%  
83 1.3% 15%  
84 4% 13%  
85 2% 10%  
86 2% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 0.5% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.2% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.7% 99.5%  
52 0.3% 98.8%  
53 3% 98.5%  
54 1.0% 96%  
55 6% 95%  
56 7% 89%  
57 4% 82%  
58 4% 78%  
59 6% 74%  
60 6% 68%  
61 14% 62% Median
62 4% 47%  
63 9% 44%  
64 4% 35%  
65 4% 31%  
66 10% 27%  
67 2% 17%  
68 7% 14%  
69 0.8% 8%  
70 4% 7%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 1.1% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.8%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.7%  
32 0.8% 99.3%  
33 1.4% 98%  
34 1.4% 97%  
35 6% 96%  
36 4% 89%  
37 9% 85%  
38 8% 76%  
39 8% 68%  
40 10% 61%  
41 8% 51% Median
42 9% 43%  
43 9% 34%  
44 4% 25%  
45 8% 21%  
46 3% 13% Last Result
47 5% 11%  
48 2% 5%  
49 1.0% 4%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.3% 0.9%  
52 0.4% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 470 100% 460–480 456–483 454–486 449–491
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 432 100% 422–443 417–447 413–448 411–452
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 378 99.7% 367–388 364–392 362–396 356–398
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 377 99.8% 367–388 363–392 361–396 357–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 370 97% 360–380 357–383 354–386 347–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 331 0.3% 321–342 317–345 313–347 311–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 316 0% 305–327 302–330 299–333 295–338
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 317 0% 305–326 302–329 299–332 295–337
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 316 0% 306–326 304–329 300–331 295–338
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 277 0% 265–288 263–292 262–295 256–298
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 254 0% 243–265 240–268 238–271 233–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 177 0% 168–187 166–190 165–191 159–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 162 0% 153–170 150–173 150–176 144–180

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0.1% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.8%  
448 0.2% 99.7%  
449 0.3% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.2%  
451 0.2% 99.2%  
452 0.3% 99.0%  
453 0.9% 98.7%  
454 0.7% 98%  
455 0.1% 97%  
456 2% 97%  
457 1.3% 95%  
458 0.4% 93%  
459 0.9% 93%  
460 2% 92%  
461 4% 90%  
462 4% 86%  
463 0.5% 82%  
464 5% 81%  
465 2% 77%  
466 11% 75% Last Result
467 3% 63%  
468 2% 61%  
469 3% 59%  
470 16% 56%  
471 1.0% 40%  
472 3% 39%  
473 6% 36% Median
474 2% 31%  
475 5% 28%  
476 1.0% 23%  
477 4% 22%  
478 6% 17%  
479 1.2% 12%  
480 2% 11%  
481 2% 9%  
482 0.9% 7%  
483 2% 6%  
484 2% 5%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 2% 3%  
487 0.2% 1.1%  
488 0.2% 1.0%  
489 0.2% 0.8%  
490 0.1% 0.6%  
491 0.3% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0.1% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.2% 99.6%  
412 2% 99.5%  
413 1.2% 98%  
414 0.1% 97%  
415 0.1% 97%  
416 0.2% 96%  
417 2% 96%  
418 2% 94%  
419 0.2% 92%  
420 0.2% 92%  
421 0.8% 92%  
422 2% 91%  
423 3% 88%  
424 0.4% 85%  
425 0.3% 85%  
426 7% 84%  
427 5% 78%  
428 12% 72%  
429 2% 61%  
430 1.1% 58%  
431 0.9% 57%  
432 9% 56%  
433 12% 47%  
434 9% 35% Median
435 0.5% 26%  
436 0.4% 26%  
437 1.1% 25%  
438 5% 24%  
439 3% 20%  
440 0.1% 17%  
441 0.2% 17%  
442 4% 17%  
443 5% 13%  
444 2% 8%  
445 0.1% 6%  
446 0.1% 6%  
447 2% 6%  
448 2% 4%  
449 1.3% 2%  
450 0.1% 0.8%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0.2% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0.1% 100%  
352 0.1% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0.2% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.4%  
358 0.2% 99.3%  
359 0.7% 99.1%  
360 0.7% 98%  
361 0.1% 98%  
362 0.5% 98%  
363 2% 97%  
364 1.4% 95%  
365 0.5% 94%  
366 0.5% 93%  
367 5% 93%  
368 2% 88%  
369 3% 85%  
370 5% 82%  
371 4% 77%  
372 1.1% 73%  
373 0.8% 72%  
374 4% 71%  
375 3% 67%  
376 6% 64%  
377 7% 58%  
378 3% 51%  
379 6% 48%  
380 8% 42% Median
381 1.2% 33%  
382 2% 32%  
383 2% 30%  
384 0.8% 28%  
385 6% 27%  
386 6% 22%  
387 3% 16%  
388 4% 13%  
389 2% 8%  
390 0.2% 7%  
391 1.3% 6%  
392 0.3% 5%  
393 0.7% 5%  
394 0.6% 4%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 1.2% 3%  
397 1.2% 2%  
398 0.1% 0.6%  
399 0.1% 0.5%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0% 0.3%  
402 0% 0.3%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.3% 99.6%  
358 0.9% 99.3%  
359 0.1% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.7% 98%  
362 2% 97%  
363 0.7% 95%  
364 0.3% 94%  
365 0.5% 94%  
366 3% 94%  
367 7% 91%  
368 0.4% 84%  
369 0.6% 83%  
370 9% 83%  
371 2% 74%  
372 4% 72%  
373 0.7% 68%  
374 3% 67%  
375 4% 64%  
376 4% 60%  
377 9% 56%  
378 3% 48%  
379 6% 45% Median
380 4% 39%  
381 2% 35%  
382 3% 33%  
383 4% 30%  
384 4% 26%  
385 0.9% 22%  
386 2% 21%  
387 6% 19%  
388 5% 13%  
389 0.4% 8%  
390 0.4% 8%  
391 0.7% 7%  
392 2% 6%  
393 1.4% 5%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.2% 3%  
396 1.1% 3%  
397 0.9% 2%  
398 0.2% 0.8%  
399 0.2% 0.6%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.8%  
346 0.3% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.1% 99.4%  
349 0.1% 99.3%  
350 0.2% 99.2%  
351 0.7% 99.0%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.3% 98%  
354 0.4% 98%  
355 1.2% 97% Majority
356 0.5% 96%  
357 2% 96%  
358 2% 94%  
359 0.5% 92%  
360 2% 91%  
361 2% 89%  
362 2% 87%  
363 3% 85%  
364 6% 82%  
365 2% 76%  
366 3% 74%  
367 7% 71%  
368 6% 64%  
369 6% 58%  
370 7% 52%  
371 3% 45%  
372 8% 42%  
373 6% 35% Median
374 2% 28%  
375 4% 27%  
376 2% 22%  
377 5% 20%  
378 3% 15%  
379 2% 12%  
380 2% 11%  
381 3% 9%  
382 0.7% 6%  
383 0.4% 5%  
384 1.3% 5%  
385 0.7% 4%  
386 0.6% 3%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 1.0% 2%  
389 0.4% 1.1%  
390 0.1% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.2% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0.1% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0% 99.8%  
307 0% 99.8%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.6%  
311 0.1% 99.5%  
312 1.2% 99.4%  
313 1.2% 98%  
314 0.4% 97%  
315 0.6% 97%  
316 0.7% 96%  
317 0.3% 95%  
318 1.3% 95%  
319 0.2% 94%  
320 2% 93%  
321 4% 92%  
322 3% 87%  
323 6% 84%  
324 6% 78%  
325 0.8% 73%  
326 2% 72%  
327 2% 70%  
328 1.2% 68%  
329 8% 67%  
330 6% 58%  
331 3% 52%  
332 7% 49% Median
333 6% 42%  
334 3% 36%  
335 4% 33%  
336 0.8% 29%  
337 1.1% 28%  
338 4% 27%  
339 5% 23%  
340 3% 18%  
341 2% 15%  
342 5% 12%  
343 0.5% 7%  
344 0.5% 7%  
345 1.4% 6%  
346 2% 5%  
347 0.5% 3%  
348 0.1% 2%  
349 0.7% 2%  
350 0.7% 2%  
351 0.2% 0.9%  
352 0.1% 0.7%  
353 0.2% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0.1% 0.2%  
358 0.1% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0.1% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.2% 99.6%  
296 0.5% 99.4%  
297 0.4% 98.9%  
298 0.9% 98%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.5% 97%  
301 1.1% 97%  
302 1.2% 96%  
303 2% 95%  
304 2% 93%  
305 2% 91%  
306 0.6% 89%  
307 3% 89%  
308 2% 85%  
309 6% 83%  
310 3% 77%  
311 7% 75%  
312 2% 67%  
313 7% 66%  
314 6% 59%  
315 3% 53%  
316 8% 50%  
317 5% 43%  
318 2% 38% Median
319 4% 36%  
320 4% 32%  
321 3% 28%  
322 5% 24%  
323 3% 19%  
324 1.5% 16%  
325 2% 15%  
326 2% 13%  
327 3% 11%  
328 2% 8%  
329 1.5% 7%  
330 0.6% 5%  
331 0.5% 4%  
332 1.1% 4%  
333 0.8% 3%  
334 0.5% 2%  
335 0.6% 1.4%  
336 0.2% 0.9%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0.1% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0.4% 99.6%  
296 0.4% 99.2%  
297 0.4% 98.8%  
298 0.6% 98%  
299 0.8% 98%  
300 1.0% 97% Last Result
301 0.5% 96%  
302 0.6% 95%  
303 2% 95%  
304 1.2% 93%  
305 4% 92%  
306 1.1% 88%  
307 4% 87%  
308 3% 82%  
309 2% 80%  
310 4% 78%  
311 4% 73%  
312 2% 69%  
313 3% 67%  
314 3% 64%  
315 2% 60%  
316 4% 58% Median
317 9% 54%  
318 6% 45%  
319 3% 39%  
320 8% 36%  
321 7% 28%  
322 3% 21%  
323 0.9% 17%  
324 3% 16%  
325 2% 13%  
326 2% 11%  
327 2% 9%  
328 0.4% 7%  
329 2% 7%  
330 0.7% 5%  
331 0.4% 4%  
332 2% 4%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.8% 2%  
335 0.5% 1.2%  
336 0.2% 0.8%  
337 0.2% 0.6%  
338 0% 0.4%  
339 0.2% 0.4%  
340 0.1% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0.1% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0% 99.7%  
295 0.3% 99.6%  
296 0.3% 99.4%  
297 0.3% 99.1%  
298 0.4% 98.8%  
299 0.6% 98%  
300 0.7% 98%  
301 0.8% 97%  
302 0.4% 96%  
303 0.7% 96%  
304 2% 95%  
305 3% 93%  
306 1.3% 90%  
307 4% 89%  
308 2% 85%  
309 3% 83%  
310 5% 80%  
311 4% 76%  
312 4% 71%  
313 1.4% 67%  
314 5% 66%  
315 7% 61%  
316 9% 54%  
317 1.1% 45%  
318 4% 44%  
319 4% 40% Median
320 10% 36%  
321 3% 25%  
322 0.7% 23%  
323 5% 22%  
324 2% 17%  
325 3% 15%  
326 3% 12%  
327 1.2% 9%  
328 2% 8%  
329 1.0% 6%  
330 1.2% 5%  
331 1.2% 4%  
332 0.1% 2%  
333 0.8% 2%  
334 0.2% 2%  
335 0.5% 1.4%  
336 0.2% 1.0%  
337 0.2% 0.8%  
338 0.3% 0.6%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0.1% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.2% 99.7%  
257 0.3% 99.5%  
258 0.1% 99.2%  
259 0.2% 99.1%  
260 0.1% 98.9%  
261 0.3% 98.8%  
262 2% 98%  
263 2% 97%  
264 5% 95%  
265 2% 90%  
266 2% 88%  
267 0.6% 87%  
268 0.6% 86%  
269 0.5% 85%  
270 3% 85%  
271 2% 82%  
272 8% 80%  
273 7% 72%  
274 6% 65%  
275 3% 58%  
276 5% 55%  
277 3% 51%  
278 3% 48%  
279 4% 44% Median
280 2% 40%  
281 6% 38%  
282 1.4% 32%  
283 2% 31%  
284 1.1% 29%  
285 9% 27%  
286 2% 19%  
287 5% 17%  
288 4% 12%  
289 2% 9%  
290 1.2% 7%  
291 0.3% 6%  
292 0.4% 5%  
293 0.7% 5%  
294 1.1% 4%  
295 1.2% 3%  
296 0.4% 2%  
297 0.9% 2%  
298 0.2% 0.6%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.2% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0.2% 99.4%  
236 0.7% 99.1%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 2% 98%  
239 0.5% 96%  
240 2% 96%  
241 0.7% 94%  
242 2% 94%  
243 3% 92%  
244 1.4% 89%  
245 2% 88%  
246 5% 85%  
247 0.8% 80%  
248 1.1% 80%  
249 8% 78%  
250 2% 70%  
251 6% 68%  
252 5% 61%  
253 3% 56%  
254 4% 54%  
255 5% 50% Median
256 2% 45%  
257 9% 42%  
258 5% 34%  
259 6% 29%  
260 2% 22%  
261 3% 21%  
262 3% 18%  
263 1.2% 15%  
264 0.4% 14%  
265 6% 13%  
266 1.1% 7%  
267 0.7% 6%  
268 1.4% 5%  
269 0.8% 4%  
270 0.4% 3%  
271 0.4% 3%  
272 0.4% 2%  
273 1.2% 2%  
274 0.2% 0.8%  
275 0.1% 0.6%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0% 0.3%  
278 0.2% 0.3%  
279 0.1% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.1% 99.7%  
159 0.1% 99.6%  
160 0.4% 99.4%  
161 0.1% 99.0%  
162 0.4% 98.9%  
163 0.3% 98.6%  
164 0.4% 98%  
165 2% 98%  
166 0.7% 96%  
167 4% 95%  
168 2% 91%  
169 5% 89%  
170 6% 84%  
171 4% 78%  
172 6% 74%  
173 4% 68%  
174 2% 64%  
175 5% 61%  
176 3% 56%  
177 4% 53% Median
178 9% 50%  
179 3% 41%  
180 7% 38%  
181 5% 31%  
182 4% 26%  
183 6% 22%  
184 1.2% 16%  
185 2% 15%  
186 2% 13%  
187 0.5% 10%  
188 2% 10%  
189 2% 8%  
190 2% 6%  
191 2% 4%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0.8% 2%  
194 0.5% 1.3%  
195 0.3% 0.8%  
196 0.2% 0.5%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.1% 99.4%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.6% 99.0%  
148 0.3% 98%  
149 0.3% 98%  
150 3% 98%  
151 0.9% 94%  
152 2% 93%  
153 2% 91%  
154 2% 89%  
155 4% 87%  
156 5% 83%  
157 4% 78%  
158 4% 74%  
159 11% 71%  
160 3% 59%  
161 5% 57% Median
162 7% 52%  
163 3% 46%  
164 14% 43%  
165 4% 28%  
166 4% 24%  
167 3% 20%  
168 2% 17%  
169 2% 16%  
170 5% 14%  
171 1.1% 9%  
172 1.5% 8%  
173 2% 6%  
174 2% 5%  
175 0.7% 3%  
176 0.4% 3%  
177 0.7% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.2% 1.3%  
180 0.5% 1.0%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations