Opinion Poll by YouGov, 31 October–5 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.1% 19.4–24.8%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.6–23.3% 20.3–23.7% 20.0–24.0% 19.3–24.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 13.0–15.2% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.8% 11.9–16.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 12.0–14.2% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.8% 11.0–15.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 167 157–177 155–180 152–183 148–188
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 167 157–177 154–180 152–182 147–188
Alternative für Deutschland 94 107 98–115 96–118 94–120 90–125
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 91–107 89–110 87–112 83–116
Die Linke 69 76 69–83 67–86 65–88 62–92
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 54 47–60 46–62 44–64 42–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 34–44 32–46 31–47 29–50

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.2% 99.5%  
149 0.3% 99.3%  
150 0.5% 99.0%  
151 0.5% 98.5%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 1.0% 97%  
154 1.1% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 2% 92%  
158 3% 90%  
159 3% 87%  
160 4% 84%  
161 4% 80%  
162 4% 76%  
163 4% 72%  
164 4% 68%  
165 4% 64%  
166 5% 60%  
167 5% 54% Median
168 6% 49%  
169 5% 43%  
170 4% 38%  
171 5% 34%  
172 4% 29%  
173 3% 25%  
174 3% 22%  
175 4% 18%  
176 3% 15%  
177 2% 12%  
178 2% 10%  
179 1.3% 8%  
180 1.4% 6%  
181 1.2% 5%  
182 0.8% 4%  
183 0.8% 3%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.3% 1.1%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.7%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.2% 99.4%  
149 0.4% 99.2%  
150 0.4% 98.8%  
151 0.8% 98%  
152 0.7% 98%  
153 1.3% 97%  
154 1.0% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 1.5% 93%  
157 3% 91%  
158 3% 89%  
159 4% 86%  
160 3% 82%  
161 4% 79%  
162 3% 74%  
163 4% 71%  
164 5% 66%  
165 5% 62%  
166 5% 56%  
167 5% 51% Median
168 5% 47%  
169 5% 41%  
170 5% 36%  
171 4% 32%  
172 4% 28%  
173 3% 23%  
174 3% 20%  
175 3% 17%  
176 2% 14%  
177 2% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 2% 7%  
180 1.3% 5%  
181 0.8% 4%  
182 0.9% 3%  
183 0.5% 2%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.5% 1.5%  
186 0.3% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.7%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.7%  
91 0.2% 99.5%  
92 0.6% 99.3%  
93 0.5% 98.7%  
94 1.1% 98% Last Result
95 1.1% 97%  
96 2% 96%  
97 2% 94%  
98 3% 93%  
99 3% 90%  
100 4% 87%  
101 4% 83%  
102 5% 79%  
103 6% 74%  
104 5% 69%  
105 6% 63%  
106 5% 57%  
107 6% 52% Median
108 6% 46%  
109 6% 40%  
110 5% 34%  
111 5% 29%  
112 3% 24%  
113 5% 20%  
114 3% 16%  
115 3% 13%  
116 2% 10%  
117 2% 8%  
118 1.2% 6%  
119 1.4% 4%  
120 0.8% 3%  
121 0.8% 2%  
122 0.4% 2%  
123 0.4% 1.1%  
124 0.2% 0.7%  
125 0.2% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0.5% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.3%  
85 0.2% 99.0%  
86 0.3% 98.8%  
87 2% 98%  
88 0.4% 96%  
89 2% 96%  
90 4% 94%  
91 1.3% 90%  
92 0.9% 89%  
93 8% 88%  
94 5% 80%  
95 2% 76%  
96 11% 74%  
97 5% 63%  
98 2% 58%  
99 6% 56%  
100 12% 50% Median
101 0.9% 38%  
102 8% 37%  
103 4% 29%  
104 4% 24%  
105 1.2% 21%  
106 9% 19%  
107 1.2% 11%  
108 1.4% 9%  
109 2% 8%  
110 3% 6%  
111 0.2% 4%  
112 2% 4%  
113 0.7% 2%  
114 0.1% 1.3%  
115 0.3% 1.2%  
116 0.5% 0.9%  
117 0.1% 0.4%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.4% 99.4%  
64 0.7% 99.0%  
65 0.9% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 2% 96%  
68 3% 94%  
69 3% 91% Last Result
70 4% 88%  
71 5% 84%  
72 5% 79%  
73 7% 74%  
74 6% 67%  
75 8% 61%  
76 6% 53% Median
77 6% 48%  
78 8% 41%  
79 5% 33%  
80 6% 28%  
81 4% 22%  
82 4% 18%  
83 4% 14%  
84 2% 10%  
85 2% 8%  
86 2% 6%  
87 1.2% 4%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.3%  
91 0.3% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.4% 99.6%  
43 0.6% 99.2%  
44 1.2% 98.6%  
45 2% 97%  
46 3% 96%  
47 3% 93%  
48 5% 90%  
49 6% 85%  
50 6% 80%  
51 8% 74%  
52 7% 66%  
53 8% 59%  
54 8% 51% Median
55 8% 42%  
56 7% 35%  
57 7% 28%  
58 5% 21%  
59 4% 16%  
60 4% 12%  
61 2% 8%  
62 2% 6%  
63 1.4% 4%  
64 1.0% 3%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.5% 1.1%  
67 0.2% 0.6%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.4% 99.6%  
30 0.9% 99.2%  
31 2% 98%  
32 3% 97%  
33 4% 94%  
34 5% 90%  
35 7% 85%  
36 8% 78%  
37 9% 70%  
38 9% 62%  
39 10% 52% Median
40 9% 43%  
41 8% 34%  
42 7% 26%  
43 6% 19%  
44 4% 13%  
45 3% 10%  
46 2% 6% Last Result
47 1.4% 4%  
48 1.0% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.5%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 472 100% 461–484 458–486 455–489 450–495
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 427 100% 415–438 412–442 409–444 403–450
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 373 98% 361–385 358–388 355–391 349–397
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 366 90% 354–378 351–381 348–384 342–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 359 67% 347–371 343–374 340–377 335–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 343 10% 331–355 328–358 325–361 319–367
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 321 0% 308–331 306–336 302–338 297–344
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 312 0% 301–324 297–327 295–331 289–336
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 305 0% 293–316 290–320 287–323 282–328
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 255–278 252–281 249–284 244–290
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 259 0% 248–271 245–274 242–277 237–283
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 165–186 163–189 160–191 155–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 153 0% 143–163 141–166 138–168 134–173

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0.1% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.8%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.1% 99.6%  
450 0.2% 99.5%  
451 0.2% 99.3%  
452 0.4% 99.1%  
453 0.4% 98.7%  
454 0.7% 98%  
455 0.5% 98%  
456 0.8% 97%  
457 0.9% 96%  
458 1.0% 95%  
459 1.2% 94%  
460 2% 93%  
461 2% 91%  
462 3% 90%  
463 3% 87%  
464 3% 84%  
465 3% 81%  
466 3% 78% Last Result
467 4% 75%  
468 5% 71%  
469 5% 67%  
470 4% 62%  
471 6% 57%  
472 4% 52%  
473 4% 48% Median
474 4% 44%  
475 4% 40%  
476 3% 36%  
477 4% 33%  
478 4% 29%  
479 5% 25%  
480 3% 20%  
481 3% 17%  
482 2% 14%  
483 2% 12%  
484 1.4% 10%  
485 2% 9%  
486 2% 7%  
487 1.3% 5%  
488 1.0% 4%  
489 0.6% 3%  
490 0.4% 2%  
491 0.5% 2%  
492 0.3% 1.2%  
493 0.2% 1.0%  
494 0.2% 0.7%  
495 0.2% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.3%  
497 0.1% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0.1% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.2% 99.6%  
404 0.3% 99.5%  
405 0.3% 99.2%  
406 0.3% 98.9%  
407 0.3% 98.5%  
408 0.4% 98%  
409 0.4% 98%  
410 1.3% 97%  
411 0.9% 96%  
412 1.1% 95%  
413 2% 94%  
414 1.3% 92%  
415 2% 91%  
416 2% 90%  
417 3% 87%  
418 3% 84%  
419 3% 81%  
420 2% 77%  
421 3% 75%  
422 3% 72%  
423 5% 69%  
424 5% 64%  
425 5% 59%  
426 3% 54%  
427 4% 50% Median
428 3% 47%  
429 4% 43%  
430 5% 39%  
431 4% 34%  
432 4% 29%  
433 3% 25%  
434 3% 23%  
435 3% 20%  
436 3% 17%  
437 3% 14%  
438 2% 11%  
439 2% 9%  
440 1.2% 8%  
441 1.3% 6%  
442 1.2% 5%  
443 1.0% 4%  
444 0.8% 3%  
445 0.4% 2%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.3% 1.3%  
448 0.3% 1.1%  
449 0.2% 0.8%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.2% 99.5%  
351 0.4% 99.3%  
352 0.3% 98.9%  
353 0.3% 98.7%  
354 0.6% 98%  
355 0.7% 98% Majority
356 0.7% 97%  
357 0.7% 96%  
358 1.4% 96%  
359 1.4% 94%  
360 2% 93%  
361 1.4% 91%  
362 2% 90%  
363 3% 88%  
364 3% 84%  
365 2% 81%  
366 4% 80%  
367 4% 76%  
368 3% 72%  
369 3% 68%  
370 4% 65%  
371 5% 62%  
372 5% 56%  
373 2% 51% Median
374 5% 49%  
375 6% 44%  
376 3% 38%  
377 3% 35%  
378 3% 32%  
379 5% 29%  
380 3% 24%  
381 2% 21%  
382 3% 19%  
383 3% 15%  
384 2% 13%  
385 2% 11%  
386 2% 9%  
387 1.3% 7%  
388 1.2% 6%  
389 0.8% 5%  
390 0.8% 4%  
391 0.9% 3%  
392 0.6% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.4% 1.4%  
395 0.3% 1.1%  
396 0.2% 0.7%  
397 0.1% 0.5%  
398 0.1% 0.4%  
399 0.1% 0.3%  
400 0.1% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.2% 99.5%  
344 0.3% 99.3%  
345 0.3% 99.0%  
346 0.4% 98.7%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 1.0% 97%  
350 0.9% 96%  
351 0.9% 95%  
352 1.5% 95%  
353 1.3% 93%  
354 2% 92%  
355 2% 90% Majority
356 3% 88%  
357 2% 85%  
358 3% 83%  
359 4% 80%  
360 3% 76%  
361 3% 73%  
362 4% 71%  
363 5% 67%  
364 5% 62%  
365 4% 57%  
366 4% 53%  
367 5% 49% Median
368 5% 44%  
369 3% 40%  
370 4% 36%  
371 4% 32%  
372 4% 28%  
373 3% 25%  
374 3% 22%  
375 3% 19%  
376 2% 16%  
377 2% 14%  
378 2% 11%  
379 2% 9%  
380 1.3% 7%  
381 1.2% 6%  
382 0.9% 5%  
383 0.9% 4%  
384 0.6% 3%  
385 0.6% 2%  
386 0.4% 2%  
387 0.3% 1.4%  
388 0.4% 1.1%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.2% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0.2% 99.5%  
336 0.2% 99.3%  
337 0.4% 99.1%  
338 0.4% 98.8%  
339 0.5% 98%  
340 0.4% 98%  
341 0.7% 97%  
342 0.9% 97%  
343 0.9% 96%  
344 1.0% 95%  
345 2% 94%  
346 1.4% 92%  
347 2% 91%  
348 2% 89%  
349 3% 86%  
350 3% 83%  
351 3% 80%  
352 3% 77%  
353 4% 74%  
354 4% 71%  
355 3% 67% Majority
356 5% 64%  
357 4% 59%  
358 4% 55%  
359 4% 51%  
360 6% 47% Median
361 4% 42%  
362 4% 37%  
363 4% 34%  
364 4% 30%  
365 4% 26%  
366 3% 22%  
367 3% 19%  
368 2% 17%  
369 2% 14%  
370 2% 12%  
371 2% 10%  
372 1.3% 8%  
373 2% 7%  
374 1.0% 5%  
375 1.1% 4%  
376 0.7% 3%  
377 0.6% 3%  
378 0.5% 2%  
379 0.3% 1.4%  
380 0.3% 1.1%  
381 0.2% 0.8%  
382 0.1% 0.6%  
383 0.2% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.3%  
385 0.1% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.8%  
318 0.1% 99.7%  
319 0.2% 99.6%  
320 0.2% 99.4%  
321 0.4% 99.2%  
322 0.3% 98.9%  
323 0.4% 98.6%  
324 0.6% 98%  
325 0.6% 98%  
326 0.9% 97%  
327 0.9% 96%  
328 1.2% 95%  
329 1.3% 94%  
330 2% 93%  
331 2% 91%  
332 2% 89%  
333 2% 86%  
334 3% 84%  
335 3% 81%  
336 3% 78%  
337 4% 75%  
338 4% 72%  
339 4% 68%  
340 3% 64%  
341 5% 60%  
342 5% 56%  
343 4% 51% Median
344 4% 47%  
345 5% 43%  
346 5% 38%  
347 4% 33%  
348 3% 29%  
349 3% 27%  
350 4% 24%  
351 3% 20%  
352 2% 17%  
353 3% 15%  
354 2% 12%  
355 2% 10% Majority
356 1.3% 8%  
357 1.5% 7%  
358 0.9% 5%  
359 0.9% 5%  
360 1.0% 4%  
361 0.5% 3%  
362 0.4% 2%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.3% 1.3%  
365 0.3% 1.0%  
366 0.2% 0.7%  
367 0.1% 0.5%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0.2% 99.5%  
298 0.1% 99.3%  
299 0.2% 99.2%  
300 0.4% 99.0% Last Result
301 0.8% 98.6%  
302 0.7% 98%  
303 0.8% 97%  
304 0.6% 96%  
305 0.5% 96%  
306 0.7% 95%  
307 2% 94%  
308 3% 92%  
309 3% 89%  
310 3% 86%  
311 1.1% 83%  
312 1.1% 82%  
313 2% 81%  
314 4% 79%  
315 6% 75%  
316 7% 69%  
317 4% 62%  
318 2% 58%  
319 1.4% 56%  
320 3% 55%  
321 5% 52% Median
322 6% 47%  
323 8% 40%  
324 4% 32%  
325 2% 28%  
326 1.3% 27%  
327 2% 26%  
328 3% 24%  
329 4% 20%  
330 4% 16%  
331 3% 12%  
332 1.1% 9%  
333 0.5% 8%  
334 0.9% 8%  
335 0.9% 7%  
336 2% 6%  
337 1.4% 4%  
338 0.8% 3%  
339 0.4% 2%  
340 0.1% 2%  
341 0.2% 1.4%  
342 0.3% 1.2%  
343 0.3% 1.0%  
344 0.3% 0.6%  
345 0.2% 0.4%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.6%  
290 0.2% 99.5%  
291 0.2% 99.3%  
292 0.3% 99.1%  
293 0.5% 98.8%  
294 0.6% 98%  
295 1.0% 98%  
296 1.4% 97%  
297 1.1% 95%  
298 1.2% 94%  
299 1.3% 93%  
300 2% 92%  
301 1.5% 90%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 2% 85%  
305 3% 83%  
306 3% 80%  
307 4% 76%  
308 4% 72%  
309 6% 68%  
310 5% 62%  
311 5% 57%  
312 4% 52%  
313 3% 48% Median
314 3% 45%  
315 3% 41%  
316 3% 38%  
317 3% 35%  
318 4% 32%  
319 3% 28%  
320 4% 25%  
321 3% 20%  
322 4% 18%  
323 3% 14%  
324 2% 11%  
325 2% 9%  
326 1.1% 7%  
327 0.9% 6%  
328 0.8% 5%  
329 0.7% 4%  
330 0.7% 3%  
331 0.5% 3%  
332 0.6% 2%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.3% 1.2%  
335 0.3% 0.9%  
336 0.2% 0.6%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.8%  
281 0.2% 99.7%  
282 0.2% 99.5%  
283 0.3% 99.3%  
284 0.3% 99.0%  
285 0.4% 98.7%  
286 0.5% 98%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 0.6% 97%  
289 1.2% 97%  
290 0.7% 95%  
291 1.4% 95%  
292 1.2% 93%  
293 3% 92%  
294 3% 89%  
295 3% 87%  
296 2% 84%  
297 3% 82%  
298 3% 79%  
299 5% 76%  
300 2% 72%  
301 4% 69%  
302 4% 65%  
303 6% 61%  
304 4% 56%  
305 4% 51%  
306 4% 48% Median
307 5% 43%  
308 4% 39%  
309 4% 35%  
310 3% 31%  
311 4% 28%  
312 4% 24%  
313 2% 20%  
314 4% 18%  
315 2% 14%  
316 2% 12%  
317 1.3% 10%  
318 2% 9%  
319 0.9% 7%  
320 1.4% 6%  
321 0.9% 4%  
322 0.8% 4%  
323 0.7% 3%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.4% 1.3%  
327 0.3% 0.9%  
328 0.2% 0.7%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.7%  
244 0.2% 99.5%  
245 0.2% 99.3%  
246 0.4% 99.1%  
247 0.4% 98.7%  
248 0.5% 98%  
249 0.5% 98%  
250 0.9% 97%  
251 1.1% 96%  
252 0.9% 95%  
253 1.4% 94%  
254 2% 93%  
255 3% 91%  
256 2% 88%  
257 3% 87%  
258 3% 84%  
259 3% 81%  
260 4% 78%  
261 4% 75%  
262 3% 71%  
263 4% 68%  
264 6% 64%  
265 4% 58%  
266 4% 54%  
267 5% 50% Median
268 5% 45%  
269 4% 40%  
270 3% 36%  
271 4% 33%  
272 4% 29%  
273 4% 25%  
274 3% 21%  
275 2% 19%  
276 2% 16%  
277 3% 14%  
278 2% 11%  
279 1.4% 9%  
280 1.5% 8%  
281 1.1% 6%  
282 1.3% 5%  
283 0.7% 4%  
284 0.5% 3%  
285 0.6% 2%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.4% 1.3%  
288 0.2% 1.0%  
289 0.2% 0.8%  
290 0.2% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0.1% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0.1% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.6%  
237 0.2% 99.5%  
238 0.3% 99.3%  
239 0.3% 99.0%  
240 0.5% 98.7%  
241 0.5% 98%  
242 0.6% 98%  
243 0.9% 97%  
244 0.9% 96%  
245 1.2% 95%  
246 2% 94%  
247 2% 93%  
248 3% 91%  
249 2% 88%  
250 3% 87%  
251 3% 84%  
252 4% 81%  
253 3% 78%  
254 4% 75%  
255 4% 71%  
256 5% 67%  
257 3% 61%  
258 4% 58%  
259 4% 53%  
260 4% 49% Median
261 5% 45%  
262 4% 40%  
263 4% 36%  
264 5% 33%  
265 3% 28%  
266 3% 25%  
267 2% 21%  
268 3% 19%  
269 2% 15%  
270 2% 13%  
271 2% 11%  
272 2% 9%  
273 2% 7%  
274 0.9% 5%  
275 1.1% 5%  
276 0.6% 3%  
277 0.9% 3%  
278 0.5% 2%  
279 0.3% 2%  
280 0.4% 1.3%  
281 0.2% 0.9%  
282 0.2% 0.7%  
283 0.1% 0.5%  
284 0.1% 0.4%  
285 0.1% 0.3%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.2% 99.6%  
156 0.2% 99.5%  
157 0.4% 99.3%  
158 0.4% 98.9%  
159 0.5% 98.5%  
160 1.0% 98%  
161 0.8% 97%  
162 1.0% 96%  
163 2% 95%  
164 2% 94%  
165 2% 92%  
166 2% 89%  
167 3% 87%  
168 3% 84%  
169 4% 81%  
170 3% 77%  
171 5% 74%  
172 4% 68%  
173 5% 65%  
174 6% 59%  
175 5% 54%  
176 5% 49% Median
177 4% 44%  
178 5% 40%  
179 4% 35%  
180 4% 30%  
181 4% 26%  
182 3% 22%  
183 3% 19%  
184 3% 15%  
185 2% 13%  
186 2% 10%  
187 2% 8%  
188 1.3% 7%  
189 1.5% 5%  
190 1.0% 4%  
191 0.8% 3%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.4% 1.3%  
195 0.3% 0.9%  
196 0.2% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.8%  
133 0.2% 99.7%  
134 0.2% 99.5%  
135 0.4% 99.3%  
136 0.3% 99.0%  
137 0.5% 98.6%  
138 0.7% 98%  
139 1.3% 97%  
140 1.0% 96%  
141 2% 95%  
142 2% 93%  
143 2% 91%  
144 3% 89%  
145 3% 87%  
146 3% 84%  
147 4% 80%  
148 5% 76%  
149 5% 71%  
150 5% 66%  
151 5% 61%  
152 5% 57%  
153 6% 52%  
154 5% 46% Median
155 5% 41%  
156 5% 36%  
157 4% 31%  
158 4% 27%  
159 4% 23%  
160 3% 19%  
161 3% 16%  
162 2% 13%  
163 2% 10%  
164 2% 8%  
165 1.3% 6%  
166 1.0% 5%  
167 0.9% 4%  
168 1.1% 3%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.2% 1.1%  
172 0.2% 0.8%  
173 0.2% 0.6%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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