Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap for ARD, 4–6 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.7–23.5% 20.3–23.9% 20.0–24.2% 19.4–24.9%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.2% 19.9–22.6% 19.5–23.0% 19.2–23.3% 18.6–24.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–15.9% 11.8–16.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–15.9% 11.8–16.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.6–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 166 158–177 155–181 152–183 147–189
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 160 149–170 146–173 146–177 141–183
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 106 97–116 96–118 93–121 90–125
Alternative für Deutschland 94 109 97–118 95–118 93–122 89–124
Die Linke 69 69 62–76 60–78 57–81 55–84
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 62 54–68 51–70 50–73 48–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 32–44 31–45 29–46 27–50

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.2% 99.3%  
149 0.3% 99.2%  
150 0.3% 98.8%  
151 0.7% 98.5%  
152 0.3% 98%  
153 1.0% 97%  
154 0.6% 96%  
155 2% 96%  
156 2% 94%  
157 1.0% 92%  
158 4% 91%  
159 2% 87%  
160 2% 85%  
161 9% 83%  
162 4% 74%  
163 8% 70%  
164 3% 62%  
165 4% 59%  
166 7% 55% Median
167 5% 48%  
168 5% 44%  
169 4% 38%  
170 2% 34%  
171 5% 32%  
172 3% 27%  
173 2% 25%  
174 5% 23%  
175 3% 18%  
176 2% 15%  
177 3% 13%  
178 0.9% 10%  
179 2% 9%  
180 0.9% 7%  
181 2% 6%  
182 1.1% 4%  
183 0.7% 3%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.1% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.6% 1.3%  
188 0.1% 0.7%  
189 0.2% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.3% 99.5%  
142 0.2% 99.2%  
143 0.8% 99.0%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 0.5% 98%  
146 4% 98%  
147 0.5% 94%  
148 1.2% 93%  
149 3% 92%  
150 3% 89%  
151 2% 87%  
152 2% 85%  
153 4% 83%  
154 2% 80%  
155 8% 77%  
156 1.3% 69%  
157 3% 68%  
158 12% 65%  
159 3% 53%  
160 4% 50% Median
161 3% 47%  
162 4% 43%  
163 13% 40%  
164 0.9% 27%  
165 2% 26%  
166 6% 24%  
167 3% 18%  
168 2% 14%  
169 1.5% 12%  
170 1.1% 11%  
171 3% 9%  
172 0.7% 7%  
173 1.0% 6%  
174 0.7% 5%  
175 1.2% 4%  
176 0.2% 3%  
177 0.6% 3%  
178 0.2% 2%  
179 0.8% 2%  
180 0.2% 1.0%  
181 0.1% 0.8%  
182 0.2% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 0.3% 99.6%  
91 0.3% 99.3%  
92 0.5% 99.0%  
93 1.2% 98%  
94 1.0% 97%  
95 1.1% 96%  
96 2% 95%  
97 3% 93%  
98 6% 90%  
99 4% 84%  
100 5% 80%  
101 4% 76%  
102 5% 72%  
103 2% 66%  
104 6% 64%  
105 5% 58%  
106 10% 53% Median
107 5% 43%  
108 4% 38%  
109 5% 34%  
110 4% 29%  
111 2% 25%  
112 3% 23%  
113 4% 20%  
114 2% 16%  
115 4% 14%  
116 2% 10%  
117 1.2% 8%  
118 2% 7%  
119 1.3% 5%  
120 0.7% 3%  
121 1.1% 3%  
122 0.3% 1.5%  
123 0.2% 1.1%  
124 0.3% 0.9%  
125 0.1% 0.6%  
126 0.3% 0.5%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.5% 99.8%  
90 0.4% 99.3%  
91 0.2% 98.8%  
92 0.7% 98.6%  
93 0.5% 98%  
94 2% 97% Last Result
95 3% 96%  
96 0.6% 93%  
97 3% 93%  
98 3% 90%  
99 3% 87%  
100 2% 84%  
101 3% 82%  
102 4% 79%  
103 3% 74%  
104 2% 71%  
105 5% 69%  
106 5% 64%  
107 3% 59%  
108 5% 56%  
109 7% 51% Median
110 3% 44%  
111 2% 41%  
112 7% 38%  
113 7% 31%  
114 5% 25%  
115 2% 19%  
116 0.7% 17%  
117 5% 16%  
118 8% 12%  
119 0.3% 4%  
120 0.5% 4%  
121 0.3% 3%  
122 2% 3%  
123 0.6% 1.2%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.3% 99.5%  
56 1.2% 99.2%  
57 1.1% 98%  
58 0.7% 97%  
59 1.1% 96%  
60 2% 95%  
61 2% 93%  
62 4% 91%  
63 3% 87%  
64 3% 85%  
65 5% 81%  
66 8% 77%  
67 10% 68%  
68 5% 59%  
69 5% 54% Last Result, Median
70 11% 49%  
71 10% 38%  
72 8% 28%  
73 4% 20%  
74 4% 17%  
75 1.5% 12%  
76 4% 11%  
77 1.4% 7%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 0.5% 4%  
80 0.7% 3%  
81 0.7% 3%  
82 0.4% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.5%  
84 0.4% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.8%  
49 2% 99.2%  
50 0.6% 98%  
51 2% 97%  
52 0.9% 95%  
53 3% 94%  
54 3% 90%  
55 4% 87%  
56 3% 83%  
57 5% 81%  
58 3% 76%  
59 9% 73%  
60 7% 64%  
61 3% 57%  
62 6% 54% Median
63 3% 48%  
64 13% 44%  
65 8% 31%  
66 4% 23%  
67 4% 19%  
68 6% 16%  
69 3% 10%  
70 3% 7%  
71 0.4% 5%  
72 1.3% 4%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.3% 1.1%  
75 0.4% 0.7%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1% Last Result
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.7%  
28 1.0% 98.9%  
29 1.0% 98%  
30 1.1% 97%  
31 5% 96%  
32 6% 91%  
33 5% 85%  
34 4% 80%  
35 7% 76%  
36 10% 70%  
37 8% 60%  
38 8% 52% Median
39 4% 44%  
40 8% 40%  
41 11% 32%  
42 7% 20%  
43 3% 13%  
44 3% 10%  
45 3% 7%  
46 3% 5% Last Result
47 0.9% 2%  
48 0.4% 1.1%  
49 0.2% 0.7%  
50 0.4% 0.6%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 466 100% 462–484 461–485 458–486 446–490
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 425 100% 417–439 412–444 406–447 400–451
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 364 89% 354–377 351–382 348–385 341–389
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 369 86% 353–377 349–381 347–385 342–392
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 365 86% 353–376 351–382 346–385 341–390
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 340 14% 332–356 328–360 324–362 317–367
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 334 2% 323–347 321–350 317–354 310–359
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 303 0% 293–316 289–321 287–324 280–330
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 307 0% 293–317 290–320 286–323 280–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 269 0% 264–289 263–290 254–291 251–296
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 260 0% 247–269 244–272 242–277 236–284
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 165–185 161–189 158–192 154–198
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 168 0% 157–179 155–181 151–184 147–190

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
442 0% 100%  
443 0.1% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.9%  
445 0.2% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.6%  
447 0.2% 99.5%  
448 0.1% 99.3%  
449 0.2% 99.1%  
450 0.1% 99.0%  
451 0.1% 98.8%  
452 0% 98.8%  
453 0% 98.8%  
454 0% 98.8%  
455 0% 98.8%  
456 0% 98.8%  
457 0.2% 98.7%  
458 1.1% 98.6%  
459 0.8% 97%  
460 0.9% 97%  
461 4% 96%  
462 6% 92%  
463 9% 86%  
464 9% 77%  
465 10% 68%  
466 12% 59% Last Result
467 6% 47%  
468 3% 41%  
469 1.0% 38%  
470 0.4% 37% Median
471 0.2% 36%  
472 0% 36%  
473 0% 36%  
474 0% 36%  
475 0.3% 36%  
476 0.2% 36%  
477 0.7% 36%  
478 2% 35%  
479 2% 33%  
480 5% 30%  
481 4% 26%  
482 8% 22%  
483 4% 14%  
484 3% 10%  
485 4% 7%  
486 2% 3%  
487 0.6% 2%  
488 0.2% 0.9%  
489 0.2% 0.7%  
490 0.1% 0.6%  
491 0% 0.5%  
492 0% 0.5%  
493 0% 0.5%  
494 0% 0.5%  
495 0% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.4%  
497 0.1% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0.1% 0.2%  
501 0.1% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0.1% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.5% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.4%  
402 0.4% 99.3%  
403 0.7% 99.0%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.5% 98%  
407 0.5% 97%  
408 0.3% 97%  
409 0.6% 96%  
410 0.2% 96%  
411 0.4% 96%  
412 0.4% 95%  
413 0.5% 95%  
414 0.4% 94%  
415 0.7% 94%  
416 2% 93%  
417 3% 92%  
418 2% 88%  
419 5% 87%  
420 2% 81%  
421 5% 80%  
422 11% 75%  
423 2% 64%  
424 8% 62%  
425 5% 54%  
426 9% 49% Median
427 4% 40%  
428 3% 36%  
429 5% 33%  
430 2% 28%  
431 3% 26%  
432 3% 23%  
433 3% 20%  
434 3% 17%  
435 1.2% 14%  
436 0.5% 13%  
437 1.0% 13%  
438 0.8% 12%  
439 1.2% 11%  
440 1.0% 10%  
441 2% 9%  
442 0.2% 7%  
443 1.3% 6%  
444 0.3% 5%  
445 0.6% 5%  
446 1.2% 4%  
447 1.1% 3%  
448 0.5% 2%  
449 0.3% 1.4%  
450 0.2% 1.2%  
451 0.6% 0.9%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0.1% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.2% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.4% 99.3%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.3% 98.6%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.5% 98%  
348 0.9% 98%  
349 0.4% 97%  
350 0.5% 96%  
351 3% 96%  
352 1.2% 93%  
353 0.8% 91%  
354 1.2% 91%  
355 1.1% 89% Majority
356 1.0% 88%  
357 11% 87%  
358 4% 77%  
359 1.3% 72%  
360 5% 71%  
361 3% 66%  
362 8% 63%  
363 4% 54%  
364 5% 51% Median
365 4% 46%  
366 3% 42%  
367 9% 40%  
368 2% 31%  
369 2% 29%  
370 3% 26%  
371 2% 24%  
372 3% 21%  
373 1.3% 19%  
374 2% 17%  
375 1.5% 16%  
376 3% 14%  
377 2% 11%  
378 0.9% 10%  
379 1.3% 9%  
380 2% 7%  
381 0.4% 6%  
382 0.7% 5%  
383 0.5% 4%  
384 1.3% 4%  
385 1.0% 3%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.2% 1.4%  
388 0.2% 1.2%  
389 0.5% 1.0%  
390 0.2% 0.5%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.2% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.2% 99.4%  
344 0.1% 99.2%  
345 0.7% 99.1%  
346 0.7% 98%  
347 1.3% 98%  
348 0.3% 96%  
349 2% 96%  
350 2% 94%  
351 0.9% 92%  
352 0.7% 91%  
353 2% 91%  
354 2% 89%  
355 2% 86% Majority
356 1.3% 84%  
357 1.2% 83%  
358 1.3% 82%  
359 1.2% 81%  
360 6% 79%  
361 1.3% 73%  
362 3% 72%  
363 2% 69%  
364 2% 67%  
365 4% 66%  
366 2% 61%  
367 3% 59%  
368 4% 56%  
369 4% 52% Median
370 4% 48%  
371 3% 44%  
372 8% 41%  
373 3% 33%  
374 9% 30%  
375 0.7% 21%  
376 4% 20%  
377 7% 16%  
378 0.4% 9%  
379 1.5% 8%  
380 0.7% 7%  
381 2% 6%  
382 1.2% 4%  
383 0.4% 3%  
384 0.1% 3%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 0.5% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.2% 1.4%  
389 0.1% 1.2%  
390 0.4% 1.1%  
391 0.1% 0.7%  
392 0.2% 0.6%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0.2% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.3% 99.8%  
342 0.5% 99.5%  
343 0.3% 98.9%  
344 0.1% 98.6%  
345 0.9% 98.6%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.2% 97%  
348 0.2% 97%  
349 1.0% 97%  
350 0.5% 96%  
351 0.6% 95%  
352 1.4% 95%  
353 4% 93%  
354 3% 89%  
355 0.8% 86% Majority
356 2% 86%  
357 5% 84%  
358 6% 79%  
359 1.4% 73%  
360 2% 72%  
361 8% 70%  
362 3% 62%  
363 3% 59%  
364 4% 56%  
365 4% 52%  
366 3% 47% Median
367 3% 45%  
368 2% 42%  
369 5% 40%  
370 4% 34%  
371 3% 31%  
372 4% 28%  
373 7% 24%  
374 4% 16%  
375 1.4% 12%  
376 1.2% 11%  
377 2% 10%  
378 0.9% 8%  
379 0.6% 7%  
380 0.7% 7%  
381 0.8% 6%  
382 1.0% 5%  
383 0.4% 4%  
384 1.1% 4%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 0.5% 2%  
387 0.2% 1.4%  
388 0.5% 1.2%  
389 0.1% 0.7%  
390 0.2% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.4%  
392 0.1% 0.3%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.2% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0% 99.7%  
317 0.2% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.4%  
319 0.4% 99.3%  
320 0.1% 98.9%  
321 0.2% 98.8%  
322 0.2% 98.6%  
323 0.5% 98%  
324 0.6% 98%  
325 0.1% 97%  
326 0.4% 97%  
327 1.2% 97%  
328 2% 96%  
329 0.7% 94%  
330 1.5% 93%  
331 0.4% 92%  
332 7% 91%  
333 4% 84%  
334 0.7% 80%  
335 9% 79%  
336 3% 70%  
337 8% 67%  
338 3% 59%  
339 4% 56%  
340 4% 52%  
341 4% 48% Median
342 3% 44%  
343 2% 41%  
344 4% 39%  
345 2% 34%  
346 2% 33%  
347 3% 31%  
348 1.3% 28%  
349 6% 27%  
350 1.2% 21%  
351 1.3% 19%  
352 1.2% 18%  
353 1.3% 17%  
354 2% 16%  
355 2% 14% Majority
356 2% 11%  
357 0.7% 9%  
358 0.9% 9%  
359 2% 8%  
360 2% 6%  
361 0.3% 4%  
362 1.3% 4%  
363 0.7% 2%  
364 0.7% 2%  
365 0.1% 0.9%  
366 0.2% 0.8%  
367 0.1% 0.6%  
368 0.2% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0.1% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.2% 99.7%  
311 0.2% 99.4%  
312 0.3% 99.2%  
313 0.2% 99.0%  
314 0.3% 98.8%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.6% 98%  
317 0.6% 98%  
318 0.3% 97%  
319 0.6% 97%  
320 0.5% 96%  
321 0.8% 96%  
322 2% 95%  
323 6% 93%  
324 1.4% 87%  
325 5% 86%  
326 1.4% 81%  
327 2% 79%  
328 4% 78%  
329 5% 74%  
330 2% 69%  
331 9% 67%  
332 6% 58%  
333 2% 52%  
334 2% 50% Median
335 5% 48%  
336 4% 43%  
337 2% 39%  
338 4% 37%  
339 2% 33%  
340 3% 31%  
341 1.2% 28%  
342 5% 27%  
343 1.3% 22%  
344 5% 20%  
345 2% 16%  
346 2% 14%  
347 2% 12%  
348 3% 10%  
349 2% 7%  
350 0.6% 5%  
351 0.7% 5%  
352 0.6% 4%  
353 0.7% 3%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.5% 2% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.4% 1.3%  
358 0.4% 0.9%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.2% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0.2% 99.8%  
280 0.2% 99.6%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.1% 99.2%  
283 0.6% 99.1%  
284 0.1% 98%  
285 0.6% 98%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.7% 98%  
288 0.3% 97%  
289 4% 97%  
290 0.1% 93%  
291 2% 93%  
292 0.7% 91%  
293 3% 90%  
294 0.7% 87%  
295 5% 86%  
296 1.2% 81%  
297 5% 80%  
298 0.5% 75%  
299 11% 75%  
300 1.4% 63%  
301 8% 62%  
302 0.8% 54%  
303 7% 53%  
304 2% 46% Median
305 6% 44%  
306 3% 37%  
307 2% 34%  
308 6% 32%  
309 3% 26%  
310 0.6% 23%  
311 4% 23%  
312 1.1% 18%  
313 2% 17%  
314 2% 15%  
315 2% 13%  
316 0.9% 11%  
317 1.1% 10%  
318 0.7% 9%  
319 2% 8%  
320 0.2% 6%  
321 2% 6%  
322 0.3% 4%  
323 0.9% 4%  
324 0.2% 3%  
325 0.7% 2%  
326 0.2% 2%  
327 0.7% 1.5%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.2% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0.1% 99.8%  
279 0.2% 99.8%  
280 0.2% 99.6%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.5% 99.3%  
283 0.5% 98.7%  
284 0.3% 98%  
285 0.4% 98%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.9% 97%  
288 0.4% 96%  
289 0.9% 96%  
290 1.4% 95%  
291 2% 94%  
292 0.5% 92%  
293 2% 91%  
294 1.0% 89%  
295 2% 88%  
296 6% 87%  
297 1.3% 81%  
298 4% 79%  
299 1.4% 75%  
300 4% 74%  
301 5% 70%  
302 4% 65%  
303 4% 61%  
304 3% 57%  
305 2% 54%  
306 2% 52%  
307 4% 50% Median
308 7% 46%  
309 2% 40%  
310 4% 38%  
311 5% 34%  
312 4% 28%  
313 1.1% 24%  
314 2% 23%  
315 6% 21%  
316 2% 15%  
317 5% 14%  
318 0.8% 9%  
319 2% 8%  
320 1.4% 6%  
321 0.8% 4%  
322 0.8% 3%  
323 0.5% 3%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.2% 2%  
326 0.3% 2%  
327 0.1% 1.3%  
328 0.2% 1.1%  
329 0.1% 0.9%  
330 0.3% 0.8%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.2% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0.3% 99.8%  
251 0.3% 99.5%  
252 0.7% 99.2%  
253 0.6% 98%  
254 0.7% 98%  
255 0.5% 97%  
256 0.3% 97%  
257 0.1% 96%  
258 0.2% 96%  
259 0.1% 96%  
260 0.1% 96%  
261 0.3% 96%  
262 0.5% 96%  
263 1.5% 95%  
264 7% 94%  
265 8% 86%  
266 6% 78%  
267 15% 72%  
268 6% 58%  
269 2% 51%  
270 0.4% 49%  
271 0.6% 49%  
272 0.3% 48% Median
273 1.3% 48%  
274 4% 47%  
275 5% 43%  
276 4% 38%  
277 2% 35%  
278 5% 33%  
279 4% 28%  
280 3% 24%  
281 1.4% 21%  
282 2% 19%  
283 0.7% 17%  
284 0.2% 16%  
285 0.2% 16%  
286 0.4% 16%  
287 2% 16%  
288 2% 14%  
289 6% 11%  
290 3% 6%  
291 2% 3%  
292 0.9% 2%  
293 0.2% 0.8%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0% 0.5%  
296 0% 0.5%  
297 0% 0.5%  
298 0% 0.5%  
299 0% 0.4%  
300 0.1% 0.4%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0.1% 0.2%  
303 0.1% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.2% 99.6%  
237 0% 99.4%  
238 0% 99.4%  
239 0.6% 99.4%  
240 0.6% 98.7%  
241 0.4% 98%  
242 0.3% 98%  
243 1.3% 97%  
244 4% 96%  
245 0.6% 92%  
246 0.9% 91%  
247 4% 90%  
248 5% 86%  
249 1.0% 81%  
250 2% 80%  
251 3% 78%  
252 2% 75%  
253 0.7% 73%  
254 0.8% 72%  
255 0.8% 72%  
256 3% 71%  
257 3% 68%  
258 0.7% 65%  
259 5% 65%  
260 10% 60% Median
261 6% 50%  
262 2% 44%  
263 7% 42%  
264 9% 35%  
265 4% 26%  
266 0.7% 21%  
267 6% 21%  
268 4% 15%  
269 2% 10%  
270 1.3% 8%  
271 1.5% 7%  
272 0.8% 6%  
273 0.5% 5%  
274 0.3% 4%  
275 0.5% 4%  
276 0.3% 3%  
277 0.8% 3%  
278 0.2% 2%  
279 0.1% 2%  
280 0.7% 2%  
281 0.3% 1.4%  
282 0.3% 1.1%  
283 0.2% 0.8%  
284 0.2% 0.6%  
285 0.2% 0.4%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0.1% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.5%  
155 0.2% 99.5%  
156 0.2% 99.3%  
157 0.7% 99.0%  
158 1.1% 98%  
159 0.9% 97%  
160 0.4% 96%  
161 1.5% 96%  
162 1.1% 94%  
163 1.0% 93%  
164 2% 92%  
165 3% 91%  
166 1.3% 88%  
167 1.3% 86%  
168 1.3% 85%  
169 10% 84%  
170 6% 74%  
171 5% 68%  
172 5% 63%  
173 2% 58%  
174 1.4% 56%  
175 9% 55% Median
176 9% 46%  
177 4% 37%  
178 3% 33%  
179 3% 31%  
180 5% 28%  
181 5% 23%  
182 2% 18%  
183 1.1% 16%  
184 2% 15%  
185 4% 13%  
186 2% 10%  
187 0.5% 7%  
188 2% 7%  
189 0.7% 5%  
190 0.2% 4%  
191 0.8% 4%  
192 1.2% 3%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.5% 2%  
195 0.7% 2%  
196 0.1% 0.9%  
197 0.1% 0.8%  
198 0.3% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 99.6%  
148 0.1% 99.4%  
149 0.3% 99.3%  
150 0.3% 99.0%  
151 1.3% 98.7%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.4% 97%  
154 1.5% 97%  
155 0.9% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 5% 92%  
158 2% 87%  
159 3% 85%  
160 2% 82%  
161 1.4% 80%  
162 7% 78%  
163 2% 72%  
164 7% 69%  
165 2% 62%  
166 3% 60%  
167 6% 58%  
168 4% 51% Median
169 5% 48%  
170 9% 43%  
171 3% 34%  
172 4% 31%  
173 4% 27%  
174 4% 23%  
175 4% 19%  
176 0.9% 15%  
177 3% 14%  
178 0.9% 11%  
179 2% 10%  
180 0.8% 8%  
181 3% 7%  
182 0.7% 4%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.3% 1.4%  
187 0.2% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 0.9%  
189 0.1% 0.7%  
190 0.3% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations