Opinion Poll by Forsa, 4–8 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.1% 19.9–22.3% 19.6–22.7% 19.3–23.0% 18.8–23.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.8–22.2% 19.5–22.6% 19.2–22.9% 18.7–23.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.3–11.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.1–5.8% 4.0–6.0% 3.7–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 163 154–172 151–175 149–175 145–181
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 163 152–170 151–173 149–175 144–179
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 94–108 91–111 90–112 86–116
Alternative für Deutschland 94 99 93–108 92–111 90–113 88–115
Die Linke 69 77 70–84 69–86 68–88 65–91
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 70 64–75 63–77 60–80 57–83
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 33–43 32–44 31–45 29–48

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0.1% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.1% 99.6%  
146 0.6% 99.5%  
147 0.5% 98.9%  
148 0.5% 98%  
149 1.2% 98%  
150 2% 97%  
151 0.8% 95%  
152 3% 94%  
153 0.3% 92%  
154 2% 91%  
155 4% 89%  
156 1.4% 85%  
157 4% 83%  
158 12% 80%  
159 3% 68%  
160 4% 65%  
161 4% 60%  
162 2% 56%  
163 7% 54% Median
164 6% 47%  
165 2% 41%  
166 17% 39%  
167 3% 23%  
168 2% 20%  
169 1.4% 18%  
170 2% 17%  
171 1.1% 14%  
172 4% 13%  
173 3% 10%  
174 1.1% 7%  
175 3% 6%  
176 0.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.1% 1.3%  
180 0.4% 1.2%  
181 0.3% 0.8%  
182 0% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.2% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.3% 99.7%  
145 0.1% 99.4%  
146 0.5% 99.2%  
147 0.5% 98.7%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 2% 98%  
150 0.3% 95%  
151 2% 95%  
152 4% 93%  
153 0.5% 89%  
154 4% 89%  
155 4% 85%  
156 3% 80%  
157 2% 78%  
158 6% 76%  
159 2% 70%  
160 5% 68%  
161 3% 63%  
162 6% 60%  
163 14% 54% Median
164 2% 40%  
165 5% 38%  
166 14% 34%  
167 2% 20%  
168 5% 18%  
169 2% 13%  
170 3% 11%  
171 1.4% 8%  
172 1.4% 7%  
173 2% 5%  
174 1.1% 4%  
175 0.2% 3%  
176 0.5% 2%  
177 1.0% 2%  
178 0.1% 0.9%  
179 0.3% 0.8%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0.4% 99.6%  
87 0.2% 99.2%  
88 0.3% 99.1%  
89 1.2% 98.8%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 3% 97%  
92 3% 95%  
93 0.9% 91%  
94 8% 90%  
95 4% 83%  
96 3% 79%  
97 12% 76%  
98 4% 64%  
99 4% 59%  
100 14% 55% Median
101 1.3% 41%  
102 8% 39%  
103 8% 31%  
104 3% 23%  
105 5% 20%  
106 1.2% 15%  
107 1.2% 14%  
108 4% 13%  
109 0.6% 9%  
110 3% 8%  
111 2% 6%  
112 0.7% 3%  
113 1.2% 2%  
114 0.3% 1.2%  
115 0.2% 0.9%  
116 0.4% 0.7%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.5%  
89 0.6% 99.4%  
90 2% 98.9%  
91 1.3% 97%  
92 5% 96%  
93 3% 90%  
94 4% 87% Last Result
95 3% 83%  
96 13% 80%  
97 11% 67%  
98 4% 56%  
99 10% 52% Median
100 3% 42%  
101 8% 39%  
102 7% 30%  
103 6% 24%  
104 6% 18%  
105 1.4% 12%  
106 0.2% 11%  
107 0.5% 11%  
108 0.7% 10%  
109 0.5% 10%  
110 3% 9%  
111 2% 6%  
112 1.3% 4%  
113 2% 3%  
114 0.2% 1.1%  
115 0.6% 0.9%  
116 0.1% 0.4%  
117 0.2% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 1.0% 99.3%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 2% 98%  
69 5% 95% Last Result
70 3% 91%  
71 4% 87%  
72 2% 83%  
73 4% 82%  
74 2% 77%  
75 9% 75%  
76 3% 66%  
77 14% 63% Median
78 12% 49%  
79 3% 36%  
80 9% 33%  
81 2% 24%  
82 8% 22%  
83 3% 15%  
84 5% 11%  
85 1.5% 7%  
86 0.9% 5%  
87 0.4% 4%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.4% 2%  
90 0.4% 1.1%  
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.6% 99.6%  
58 0.5% 99.1%  
59 0.8% 98.6%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 0.7% 97%  
62 1.1% 96%  
63 2% 95%  
64 6% 93%  
65 2% 88%  
66 8% 85%  
67 7% 77%  
68 8% 71%  
69 8% 63%  
70 18% 54% Median
71 12% 36%  
72 5% 24%  
73 7% 19%  
74 3% 13%  
75 3% 10%  
76 1.3% 8%  
77 2% 6%  
78 0.5% 5%  
79 0.7% 4%  
80 0.9% 3% Last Result
81 1.2% 2%  
82 0.4% 1.2%  
83 0.4% 0.8%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.6%  
30 1.3% 99.4%  
31 0.8% 98%  
32 2% 97%  
33 7% 95%  
34 8% 88%  
35 7% 80%  
36 9% 73%  
37 6% 65%  
38 8% 59%  
39 12% 51% Median
40 15% 38%  
41 5% 23%  
42 7% 18%  
43 6% 11%  
44 2% 6%  
45 2% 4%  
46 1.1% 2% Last Result
47 0.4% 1.3%  
48 0.4% 0.9%  
49 0.3% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 464 100% 453–471 451–474 448–477 442–482
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 433 100% 422–442 418–445 415–447 411–452
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 369 97% 360–381 358–386 354–386 349–390
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 370 97% 358–381 357–384 353–386 349–391
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 364 85% 352–372 349–375 346–378 341–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 339 3% 328–351 325–352 323–356 318–360
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 331 0.2% 320–342 318–344 314–347 311–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 302 0% 290–310 289–315 285–316 280–321
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 301 0% 291–311 286–314 283–316 280–323
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 270 0% 261–281 257–284 255–285 249–291
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 263 0% 252–271 249–274 246–277 242–282
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 178 0% 168–187 166–191 163–193 160–197
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 170 0% 162–179 158–182 157–184 152–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
436 0% 100%  
437 0.1% 99.9%  
438 0.1% 99.9%  
439 0.1% 99.8%  
440 0.1% 99.7%  
441 0.1% 99.6%  
442 0.4% 99.5%  
443 0.1% 99.1%  
444 0.3% 99.0%  
445 0.2% 98.7%  
446 0.3% 98.5%  
447 0.5% 98%  
448 0.4% 98%  
449 1.2% 97%  
450 0.6% 96%  
451 1.3% 96%  
452 3% 94%  
453 2% 91%  
454 4% 90%  
455 2% 85%  
456 2% 84%  
457 3% 81%  
458 3% 79%  
459 4% 75%  
460 4% 71%  
461 3% 68%  
462 6% 65%  
463 8% 60%  
464 10% 52%  
465 10% 42% Median
466 6% 32% Last Result
467 2% 26%  
468 6% 24%  
469 1.4% 18%  
470 4% 17%  
471 4% 12%  
472 0.8% 9%  
473 2% 8%  
474 1.1% 6%  
475 1.3% 5%  
476 0.7% 4%  
477 0.5% 3%  
478 0.7% 2%  
479 0.4% 2%  
480 0.2% 1.3%  
481 0.5% 1.1%  
482 0.2% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0.2% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0.1% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0.1% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.6% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.0%  
413 0.3% 98.9%  
414 1.1% 98.6%  
415 0.4% 98%  
416 0.3% 97%  
417 0.8% 97%  
418 2% 96%  
419 0.8% 94%  
420 0.8% 93%  
421 0.9% 93%  
422 5% 92%  
423 1.2% 86%  
424 3% 85%  
425 4% 82%  
426 2% 77%  
427 2% 75%  
428 5% 73%  
429 5% 67%  
430 2% 63%  
431 1.3% 60%  
432 7% 59%  
433 3% 52%  
434 3% 49%  
435 10% 46% Median
436 4% 37%  
437 1.3% 32%  
438 12% 31%  
439 4% 19%  
440 3% 15%  
441 1.5% 13%  
442 2% 11%  
443 3% 9%  
444 0.5% 6%  
445 2% 6%  
446 0.7% 4%  
447 0.5% 3%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 1.0% 2%  
450 0.2% 1.1%  
451 0.4% 0.9%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.2% 0.5%  
454 0.1% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0.1% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.7%  
347 0% 99.7%  
348 0.1% 99.7%  
349 0.4% 99.6%  
350 0.3% 99.2%  
351 0.2% 98.9%  
352 0.1% 98.8%  
353 0.4% 98.7%  
354 1.1% 98%  
355 0.1% 97% Majority
356 1.1% 97%  
357 0.8% 96%  
358 3% 95%  
359 0.1% 93%  
360 3% 93%  
361 6% 90%  
362 1.0% 84%  
363 0% 83%  
364 5% 83%  
365 7% 78%  
366 4% 72%  
367 0.1% 68%  
368 3% 68%  
369 16% 65%  
370 2% 49%  
371 0.4% 48%  
372 10% 47% Median
373 11% 38%  
374 1.0% 27%  
375 0.1% 26%  
376 0.8% 26%  
377 8% 25%  
378 3% 17%  
379 0.2% 14%  
380 0.2% 13%  
381 4% 13%  
382 4% 10%  
383 0.1% 6%  
384 0.2% 6%  
385 0.6% 6%  
386 3% 5%  
387 0.1% 2%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.4% 2%  
390 0.9% 1.4%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.2% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0.2% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.6%  
350 0.4% 99.4%  
351 0.7% 99.0%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.5% 98%  
354 0.6% 97%  
355 0.4% 97% Majority
356 0.9% 96%  
357 0.9% 96%  
358 6% 95%  
359 1.0% 88%  
360 2% 87%  
361 2% 85%  
362 1.3% 83%  
363 1.2% 82%  
364 1.4% 81%  
365 14% 79%  
366 4% 65%  
367 5% 61%  
368 2% 56%  
369 3% 54%  
370 3% 51%  
371 2% 48% Median
372 14% 46%  
373 3% 33%  
374 4% 30%  
375 5% 26%  
376 2% 21%  
377 0.9% 19%  
378 3% 18%  
379 2% 15%  
380 2% 13%  
381 3% 11%  
382 1.3% 8%  
383 2% 7%  
384 1.5% 5%  
385 0.3% 4%  
386 1.3% 3%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.6% 1.5%  
390 0.3% 0.8%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.2% 0.4%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.9%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.2% 99.6%  
342 0.2% 99.5%  
343 0.3% 99.2%  
344 0.6% 99.0%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.7% 98%  
347 0.5% 97%  
348 2% 97%  
349 2% 95%  
350 1.2% 94%  
351 2% 92%  
352 0.9% 90%  
353 2% 89%  
354 2% 87%  
355 4% 85% Majority
356 3% 81%  
357 5% 78%  
358 2% 73%  
359 0.9% 71%  
360 5% 70%  
361 7% 65%  
362 2% 58%  
363 4% 56%  
364 9% 52%  
365 4% 43% Median
366 4% 39%  
367 4% 35%  
368 11% 31%  
369 3% 20%  
370 3% 16%  
371 0.8% 14%  
372 3% 13%  
373 1.2% 10%  
374 3% 9%  
375 2% 6%  
376 0.4% 4%  
377 0.9% 4%  
378 0.5% 3%  
379 0.1% 2%  
380 0.5% 2%  
381 0.6% 1.5%  
382 0.2% 0.8%  
383 0.3% 0.7%  
384 0.2% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0.1% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.8%  
316 0.2% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.6%  
319 0.3% 99.4%  
320 0.6% 99.2%  
321 0.3% 98.5%  
322 0.3% 98%  
323 1.3% 98%  
324 0.3% 97%  
325 1.5% 96%  
326 2% 95%  
327 1.3% 93%  
328 3% 92%  
329 2% 89%  
330 2% 87%  
331 3% 85%  
332 0.9% 82%  
333 2% 81%  
334 5% 79%  
335 4% 74%  
336 3% 70%  
337 14% 67%  
338 2% 54%  
339 3% 52%  
340 3% 49% Median
341 2% 46%  
342 5% 44%  
343 4% 39%  
344 14% 35%  
345 1.4% 21%  
346 1.2% 19%  
347 1.3% 18%  
348 2% 17%  
349 2% 15%  
350 1.0% 13%  
351 6% 12%  
352 0.9% 5%  
353 0.9% 4%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 0.6% 3% Majority
356 0.5% 3%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.7% 2%  
359 0.4% 1.0%  
360 0.1% 0.6%  
361 0.2% 0.4%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.2%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0.6% 99.5%  
312 0.1% 98.9%  
313 1.3% 98.8%  
314 0.2% 98%  
315 0.4% 97%  
316 0.5% 97%  
317 0.4% 96%  
318 3% 96%  
319 1.3% 93%  
320 3% 92%  
321 2% 89%  
322 1.4% 87%  
323 3% 85%  
324 1.1% 82%  
325 4% 81%  
326 1.5% 78%  
327 4% 76%  
328 5% 72%  
329 5% 67%  
330 11% 62%  
331 3% 51%  
332 2% 49%  
333 3% 46% Median
334 3% 44%  
335 5% 40%  
336 4% 35%  
337 10% 31%  
338 4% 22%  
339 4% 18%  
340 1.0% 14%  
341 3% 13%  
342 2% 10%  
343 1.3% 8%  
344 2% 7%  
345 0.9% 5%  
346 1.2% 4%  
347 0.5% 3%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.6% 2%  
350 0.1% 1.3%  
351 0.3% 1.2%  
352 0.1% 0.9%  
353 0.3% 0.8%  
354 0.3% 0.4%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.2% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.2% 99.4%  
282 0.1% 99.3%  
283 0.6% 99.2%  
284 0.4% 98.5%  
285 2% 98%  
286 0.2% 97%  
287 0.8% 96%  
288 0.4% 95%  
289 0.8% 95%  
290 5% 94%  
291 2% 89%  
292 2% 87%  
293 2% 86%  
294 0.7% 84%  
295 5% 83%  
296 6% 78%  
297 3% 72%  
298 9% 69%  
299 3% 60%  
300 2% 57%  
301 5% 55%  
302 13% 50% Median
303 6% 37%  
304 3% 31%  
305 3% 28%  
306 1.4% 26%  
307 4% 24%  
308 5% 20%  
309 2% 15%  
310 5% 14%  
311 0.9% 9%  
312 0.9% 8%  
313 0.9% 7%  
314 1.0% 6%  
315 0.6% 5%  
316 2% 5%  
317 0.8% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.2% 1.3%  
320 0.4% 1.1%  
321 0.3% 0.8%  
322 0.2% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0.1% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0.1% 99.5%  
282 0.9% 99.3%  
283 1.1% 98%  
284 0.6% 97%  
285 1.1% 97%  
286 1.0% 96%  
287 0.5% 95%  
288 0.5% 94%  
289 0.9% 94%  
290 0.6% 93%  
291 4% 92%  
292 6% 88%  
293 2% 82%  
294 11% 81%  
295 4% 69%  
296 1.4% 66%  
297 1.4% 64%  
298 2% 63%  
299 3% 60%  
300 4% 57%  
301 6% 53% Median
302 13% 47%  
303 3% 33%  
304 3% 30%  
305 5% 27%  
306 3% 22%  
307 2% 19%  
308 1.1% 17%  
309 1.3% 16%  
310 2% 14%  
311 3% 13%  
312 0.9% 10%  
313 3% 9%  
314 1.2% 6%  
315 2% 5%  
316 1.2% 3%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.2% 1.5%  
319 0.3% 1.3%  
320 0.2% 1.0%  
321 0.1% 0.8%  
322 0.2% 0.7%  
323 0.2% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.9%  
248 0.3% 99.8%  
249 0.5% 99.5%  
250 0.1% 99.0%  
251 0.1% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.8%  
253 0.1% 98.7%  
254 0.5% 98.6%  
255 0.9% 98%  
256 0.7% 97%  
257 4% 96%  
258 0.8% 93%  
259 0.3% 92%  
260 1.4% 91%  
261 3% 90%  
262 2% 87%  
263 6% 85%  
264 4% 79%  
265 0.9% 75%  
266 4% 74%  
267 2% 70%  
268 5% 68%  
269 11% 63%  
270 10% 52%  
271 3% 42%  
272 0.5% 39% Median
273 2% 39%  
274 2% 36%  
275 9% 34%  
276 6% 25%  
277 4% 20%  
278 3% 16%  
279 0.3% 13%  
280 1.2% 12%  
281 1.4% 11%  
282 1.2% 10%  
283 3% 9%  
284 2% 5%  
285 1.1% 3%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.3% 2%  
289 0.4% 1.4%  
290 0.4% 1.0%  
291 0.2% 0.6%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0.1% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0.1% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.7%  
243 0.3% 99.5%  
244 0.2% 99.1%  
245 0.4% 98.9%  
246 1.3% 98.5%  
247 0.5% 97%  
248 0.9% 97%  
249 2% 96%  
250 2% 94%  
251 2% 92%  
252 3% 90%  
253 2% 87%  
254 4% 85%  
255 1.0% 81%  
256 2% 80%  
257 4% 77%  
258 4% 73%  
259 3% 69%  
260 11% 67%  
261 2% 56%  
262 3% 54%  
263 4% 51% Median
264 6% 47%  
265 4% 41%  
266 10% 37%  
267 2% 27%  
268 3% 25%  
269 7% 22%  
270 2% 15%  
271 4% 13%  
272 1.5% 9%  
273 2% 8%  
274 1.5% 5%  
275 1.1% 4%  
276 0.2% 3%  
277 0.4% 3%  
278 0.7% 2%  
279 0.5% 2%  
280 0.3% 1.1%  
281 0.1% 0.8%  
282 0.2% 0.7%  
283 0.1% 0.4%  
284 0.2% 0.4%  
285 0.1% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.2%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0.1% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.2% 99.5%  
161 0.4% 99.3%  
162 0.3% 98.9%  
163 1.5% 98.6%  
164 0.5% 97%  
165 1.3% 97%  
166 2% 95%  
167 3% 94%  
168 3% 91%  
169 3% 88%  
170 3% 85%  
171 3% 81%  
172 3% 78%  
173 3% 75%  
174 12% 72%  
175 2% 60%  
176 3% 58%  
177 3% 55% Median
178 13% 52%  
179 2% 39%  
180 3% 37%  
181 2% 33%  
182 8% 31%  
183 2% 23%  
184 2% 21%  
185 4% 19%  
186 3% 15%  
187 3% 11%  
188 1.4% 8%  
189 1.1% 7%  
190 0.2% 6%  
191 2% 6%  
192 0.3% 4%  
193 2% 3%  
194 0.1% 1.4%  
195 0.6% 1.3%  
196 0.1% 0.8%  
197 0.3% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.2% 99.8%  
152 0.2% 99.6%  
153 0.5% 99.4%  
154 0.2% 98.9%  
155 0.5% 98.7%  
156 0.6% 98%  
157 2% 98%  
158 1.4% 95%  
159 0.5% 94%  
160 2% 93%  
161 0.7% 92%  
162 7% 91%  
163 3% 84%  
164 1.1% 81%  
165 2% 79%  
166 8% 77%  
167 12% 69%  
168 4% 57%  
169 3% 53%  
170 6% 51% Median
171 12% 44%  
172 3% 32%  
173 4% 29%  
174 3% 25%  
175 0.7% 22%  
176 5% 21%  
177 3% 16%  
178 2% 13%  
179 2% 11%  
180 0.6% 9%  
181 3% 8%  
182 0.7% 5%  
183 2% 5%  
184 0.1% 3%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 1.1% 2%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0.2% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations