Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 2–13 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 24.0% 22.5–25.5% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.5% 20.1–23.0% 19.7–23.4% 19.3–23.8% 18.7–24.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.5% 13.3–15.8% 13.0–16.2% 12.7–16.5% 12.1–17.2%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.7–16.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.5% 6.6–8.5% 6.4–8.8% 6.2–9.0% 5.8–9.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.1–7.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 178 168–189 164–192 162–195 157–202
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 160 149–172 147–175 144–176 139–182
Alternative für Deutschland 94 108 99–116 97–119 95–125 90–127
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 105 95–113 93–117 91–120 87–124
Die Linke 69 59 54–67 51–69 50–71 46–76
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 56 50–63 47–65 46–66 43–71
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 43 35–47 33–48 32–50 31–56

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.2% 99.5%  
158 0.1% 99.3%  
159 0.5% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 98.7%  
161 0.3% 98%  
162 1.0% 98%  
163 1.1% 97%  
164 1.0% 96%  
165 1.4% 95%  
166 0.7% 94%  
167 3% 93%  
168 3% 90%  
169 1.0% 87%  
170 2% 86%  
171 3% 84%  
172 10% 81%  
173 2% 71%  
174 4% 69%  
175 5% 65%  
176 6% 61%  
177 2% 55%  
178 3% 52% Median
179 1.4% 50%  
180 7% 48%  
181 7% 41%  
182 2% 35%  
183 7% 33%  
184 2% 27%  
185 4% 25%  
186 1.3% 21%  
187 5% 19%  
188 2% 14%  
189 2% 12%  
190 1.0% 10%  
191 0.7% 9%  
192 3% 8%  
193 0.4% 5%  
194 0.6% 4%  
195 1.3% 4%  
196 0.8% 2%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.2% 1.4%  
199 0.1% 1.2%  
200 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
201 0.1% 0.6%  
202 0.2% 0.5%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.7%  
139 0.5% 99.6%  
140 0.2% 99.2%  
141 0.2% 99.0%  
142 0.4% 98.8%  
143 0.3% 98%  
144 0.6% 98%  
145 0.6% 97%  
146 2% 97%  
147 1.1% 95%  
148 1.5% 94%  
149 6% 93%  
150 0.7% 86%  
151 4% 86%  
152 2% 82%  
153 4% 80%  
154 2% 76%  
155 3% 74%  
156 3% 71%  
157 0.7% 67%  
158 4% 67%  
159 5% 63%  
160 9% 58% Median
161 5% 49%  
162 6% 44%  
163 9% 38%  
164 0.9% 29%  
165 6% 28%  
166 2% 22%  
167 0.8% 19%  
168 3% 18%  
169 1.2% 15%  
170 3% 14%  
171 0.4% 11%  
172 3% 11%  
173 2% 7%  
174 0.4% 6%  
175 3% 5%  
176 0.6% 3%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 1.3%  
180 0.2% 1.0%  
181 0.1% 0.8%  
182 0.3% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.4%  
92 0.5% 99.2%  
93 0.2% 98.7%  
94 0.8% 98.5% Last Result
95 0.5% 98%  
96 1.1% 97%  
97 1.2% 96%  
98 0.6% 95%  
99 8% 94%  
100 0.9% 86%  
101 11% 85%  
102 3% 74%  
103 4% 72%  
104 0.8% 68%  
105 7% 67%  
106 2% 60%  
107 3% 58%  
108 5% 55% Median
109 1.0% 50%  
110 4% 49%  
111 0.8% 45%  
112 14% 45%  
113 8% 30%  
114 8% 23%  
115 3% 14%  
116 2% 11%  
117 2% 9%  
118 2% 7%  
119 0.6% 5%  
120 0.5% 5%  
121 0.7% 4%  
122 0.6% 4%  
123 0.3% 3%  
124 0.2% 3%  
125 1.1% 3%  
126 0.7% 1.5%  
127 0.4% 0.8%  
128 0.1% 0.4%  
129 0.1% 0.3%  
130 0.1% 0.2%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 99.2%  
90 0.5% 98.9%  
91 2% 98%  
92 1.1% 97%  
93 1.1% 96%  
94 3% 95%  
95 2% 92%  
96 2% 90%  
97 2% 88%  
98 5% 86%  
99 1.3% 81%  
100 5% 79%  
101 8% 75%  
102 2% 67%  
103 4% 65%  
104 7% 61%  
105 7% 54% Median
106 2% 46%  
107 9% 45%  
108 11% 35%  
109 2% 24%  
110 7% 22%  
111 2% 15%  
112 2% 13%  
113 1.4% 11%  
114 2% 10%  
115 1.2% 7%  
116 0.8% 6%  
117 2% 5%  
118 0.5% 4%  
119 0.5% 3%  
120 1.4% 3%  
121 0.3% 1.3%  
122 0.1% 1.0%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.3% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.7%  
47 0.3% 99.4%  
48 0.4% 99.1%  
49 0.6% 98.7%  
50 2% 98%  
51 2% 97%  
52 2% 95%  
53 2% 93%  
54 8% 91%  
55 4% 83%  
56 3% 79%  
57 7% 76%  
58 12% 69%  
59 9% 57% Median
60 7% 48%  
61 8% 42%  
62 6% 34%  
63 9% 28%  
64 4% 19%  
65 2% 16%  
66 2% 13%  
67 3% 11%  
68 2% 8%  
69 0.7% 6% Last Result
70 1.3% 5%  
71 1.3% 4%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.5% 2%  
74 0.3% 1.2%  
75 0.3% 0.9%  
76 0.3% 0.6%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.6%  
44 0.7% 99.4%  
45 1.0% 98.8%  
46 1.2% 98%  
47 3% 97%  
48 0.9% 94%  
49 2% 93%  
50 3% 90%  
51 3% 87%  
52 5% 84%  
53 7% 79%  
54 9% 71%  
55 10% 62%  
56 13% 52% Median
57 8% 39%  
58 7% 31%  
59 4% 24%  
60 3% 20%  
61 4% 17%  
62 2% 13%  
63 3% 11%  
64 2% 8%  
65 3% 7%  
66 1.3% 4%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 1.0% 2%  
69 0.3% 1.1%  
70 0.2% 0.8%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.5%  
33 4% 97%  
34 3% 93%  
35 5% 91%  
36 6% 86%  
37 3% 80%  
38 4% 77%  
39 2% 73%  
40 2% 70%  
41 3% 69%  
42 5% 65%  
43 12% 60% Median
44 15% 48%  
45 7% 33%  
46 10% 26% Last Result
47 9% 16%  
48 3% 7%  
49 1.0% 4%  
50 1.1% 3%  
51 0.3% 2%  
52 0.2% 2%  
53 0.3% 2%  
54 0.4% 1.3%  
55 0.3% 0.9%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 473–496 471–499 466–502 460–509
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 438 100% 423–449 421–451 419–453 411–460
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 384 99.8% 372–397 369–402 364–404 358–409
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 380 99.6% 367–395 366–397 362–400 356–406
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 381 99.4% 367–395 363–395 362–399 354–407
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 328 0.4% 316–340 312–345 309–349 302–354
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 325 0.2% 312–337 307–340 305–345 300–351
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 325 0.1% 312–338 308–341 306–344 300–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 321 0% 309–333 306–336 303–340 295–346
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 277 0% 265–289 260–293 257–295 251–301
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 265 0% 252–277 249–280 247–283 240–291
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 165 0% 155–176 151–180 149–180 144–186
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 161 0% 150–172 148–175 145–177 139–183

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
454 0% 100%  
455 0.1% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0.1% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0.1% 99.8%  
460 0.3% 99.7%  
461 0.1% 99.4%  
462 0.1% 99.3%  
463 0% 99.2%  
464 0.4% 99.1%  
465 0.2% 98.7%  
466 1.1% 98.5% Last Result
467 0.6% 97%  
468 0.4% 97%  
469 0.1% 96%  
470 1.2% 96%  
471 2% 95%  
472 2% 93%  
473 2% 91%  
474 0.8% 89%  
475 0.8% 88%  
476 0.9% 87%  
477 5% 86%  
478 4% 82%  
479 8% 78%  
480 0.8% 70%  
481 0.3% 69%  
482 2% 69%  
483 12% 67%  
484 4% 55%  
485 5% 52%  
486 2% 46% Median
487 2% 44%  
488 6% 42%  
489 2% 36%  
490 7% 34%  
491 4% 27%  
492 0.8% 23%  
493 0.3% 22%  
494 5% 22%  
495 5% 17%  
496 3% 13%  
497 2% 10%  
498 0.1% 8%  
499 3% 8%  
500 0.2% 5%  
501 1.5% 4%  
502 0.5% 3%  
503 0.5% 2%  
504 0.5% 2%  
505 0.1% 1.5%  
506 0.3% 1.4%  
507 0.2% 1.1%  
508 0.3% 0.9%  
509 0.3% 0.6%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0.1% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.3% 99.7%  
412 0.5% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 98.9%  
414 0.2% 98.8%  
415 0.1% 98.6%  
416 0% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.6% 98%  
420 2% 97%  
421 3% 96%  
422 2% 93%  
423 3% 91%  
424 0.6% 88%  
425 0.3% 88%  
426 0.1% 87%  
427 0.7% 87%  
428 1.1% 87%  
429 5% 85%  
430 3% 81%  
431 14% 78%  
432 7% 64%  
433 1.4% 57%  
434 1.1% 55%  
435 0.3% 54%  
436 0.4% 54%  
437 2% 54% Median
438 5% 52%  
439 6% 47%  
440 11% 41%  
441 4% 30%  
442 5% 26%  
443 2% 22%  
444 0.5% 19%  
445 0.2% 19%  
446 0.6% 19%  
447 4% 18%  
448 3% 15%  
449 4% 12%  
450 2% 7%  
451 1.0% 5%  
452 2% 4%  
453 0.2% 3%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.1% 2%  
458 0.5% 2%  
459 0.5% 1.3%  
460 0.3% 0.8%  
461 0.2% 0.5%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8% Majority
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0.2% 99.8%  
358 0.2% 99.6%  
359 0.2% 99.4%  
360 0.2% 99.2%  
361 0.1% 99.0%  
362 0.1% 98.9%  
363 0.5% 98.8%  
364 1.2% 98%  
365 0.6% 97%  
366 0.6% 96%  
367 0.6% 96%  
368 0.2% 95%  
369 0.4% 95%  
370 0.5% 95%  
371 4% 94%  
372 3% 90%  
373 1.3% 88%  
374 0.8% 87%  
375 0.7% 86%  
376 7% 85%  
377 1.5% 78%  
378 5% 76%  
379 5% 71%  
380 1.4% 66%  
381 0.5% 65%  
382 2% 64%  
383 12% 63%  
384 3% 50%  
385 5% 47% Median
386 4% 42%  
387 1.4% 38%  
388 1.2% 37%  
389 2% 36%  
390 5% 34%  
391 6% 28%  
392 3% 22%  
393 1.4% 20%  
394 0.6% 18%  
395 1.4% 18%  
396 6% 16%  
397 2% 10%  
398 1.3% 9%  
399 0.6% 7%  
400 0.8% 7%  
401 0.3% 6%  
402 0.9% 6%  
403 0.7% 5%  
404 3% 4%  
405 0.2% 1.4%  
406 0.1% 1.3%  
407 0.1% 1.2%  
408 0.4% 1.1%  
409 0.3% 0.7%  
410 0.2% 0.5%  
411 0.1% 0.3%  
412 0.1% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
348 0.1% 100%  
349 0.1% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6% Majority
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.2% 99.4%  
358 0.3% 99.2%  
359 0.4% 98.9%  
360 0.3% 98.6%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.7% 98%  
363 0.8% 97%  
364 0.2% 96%  
365 0.7% 96%  
366 2% 95%  
367 4% 93%  
368 0.7% 90%  
369 2% 89%  
370 3% 87%  
371 1.1% 84%  
372 0.7% 83%  
373 0.3% 82%  
374 5% 82%  
375 6% 77%  
376 4% 72%  
377 1.4% 68%  
378 7% 66%  
379 9% 59%  
380 3% 51%  
381 2% 47%  
382 1.4% 46% Median
383 2% 45%  
384 5% 42%  
385 2% 37%  
386 4% 35%  
387 6% 31%  
388 8% 26%  
389 1.4% 18%  
390 0.5% 16%  
391 0.5% 16%  
392 2% 15%  
393 1.2% 14%  
394 1.3% 13%  
395 2% 11%  
396 4% 9%  
397 1.1% 5%  
398 0.8% 4%  
399 0.4% 3%  
400 0.8% 3%  
401 0.2% 2%  
402 0.3% 2%  
403 0.2% 2%  
404 0.2% 1.4%  
405 0.4% 1.3%  
406 0.4% 0.8%  
407 0.1% 0.4%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0.1% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.2% 99.7%  
355 0.2% 99.4% Majority
356 0.1% 99.3%  
357 0.1% 99.2%  
358 0.5% 99.1%  
359 0.2% 98.6%  
360 0.2% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 1.3% 98%  
363 2% 97%  
364 0.3% 95%  
365 0.8% 94%  
366 3% 93%  
367 0.7% 90%  
368 1.2% 90%  
369 1.0% 88%  
370 2% 87%  
371 1.4% 86%  
372 1.3% 84%  
373 2% 83%  
374 5% 81%  
375 13% 75%  
376 2% 62%  
377 2% 60%  
378 2% 58%  
379 3% 56%  
380 2% 52%  
381 1.1% 50% Median
382 3% 49%  
383 6% 47%  
384 8% 41%  
385 2% 33%  
386 1.2% 30%  
387 8% 29%  
388 2% 21%  
389 2% 19%  
390 1.0% 18%  
391 2% 17%  
392 0.8% 15%  
393 2% 14%  
394 0.7% 12%  
395 6% 11%  
396 0.2% 5%  
397 1.2% 5%  
398 0.9% 4%  
399 0.7% 3%  
400 0.4% 2%  
401 0.2% 2%  
402 0.2% 1.4%  
403 0.3% 1.2%  
404 0.1% 1.0%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.2% 0.7%  
407 0.2% 0.5%  
408 0% 0.3%  
409 0.1% 0.3%  
410 0.1% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0.3% 99.8%  
303 0.2% 99.5%  
304 0.2% 99.2%  
305 0.2% 99.1%  
306 0.2% 98.8%  
307 0.4% 98.6%  
308 0.3% 98%  
309 0.3% 98%  
310 0.5% 97%  
311 0.4% 97%  
312 2% 96%  
313 0.6% 95%  
314 3% 94%  
315 0.5% 91%  
316 0.9% 91%  
317 2% 90%  
318 2% 88%  
319 2% 86%  
320 2% 84%  
321 8% 82%  
322 2% 74%  
323 2% 73%  
324 4% 71%  
325 4% 67%  
326 2% 63%  
327 10% 61%  
328 3% 52%  
329 2% 49% Median
330 5% 47%  
331 6% 42%  
332 3% 36%  
333 4% 33%  
334 2% 29%  
335 0.7% 27%  
336 2% 26%  
337 2% 25%  
338 10% 23%  
339 1.5% 12%  
340 1.1% 11% Last Result
341 0.9% 10%  
342 1.5% 9%  
343 0.6% 8%  
344 1.1% 7%  
345 1.1% 6%  
346 0.8% 5%  
347 0.4% 4%  
348 0.5% 4%  
349 2% 3%  
350 0.2% 1.1%  
351 0.2% 0.9%  
352 0.1% 0.7%  
353 0.1% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.4% Majority
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0.1% 99.8%  
299 0.2% 99.7%  
300 0.3% 99.5%  
301 0.4% 99.3%  
302 0.1% 98.9%  
303 0.1% 98.8%  
304 0.2% 98.7%  
305 3% 98.6%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 0.9% 95%  
308 0.3% 94%  
309 0.8% 94%  
310 0.6% 93%  
311 1.3% 93%  
312 2% 91%  
313 6% 90%  
314 1.4% 84%  
315 0.6% 82%  
316 1.4% 82%  
317 3% 80%  
318 6% 78%  
319 5% 72%  
320 2% 66%  
321 1.2% 64%  
322 1.4% 63%  
323 4% 62%  
324 5% 58% Median
325 3% 53%  
326 12% 50%  
327 2% 37%  
328 0.5% 36%  
329 1.4% 35%  
330 5% 34%  
331 5% 29%  
332 1.5% 24%  
333 7% 22%  
334 0.7% 15%  
335 0.8% 14%  
336 1.3% 13%  
337 3% 12%  
338 4% 10%  
339 0.5% 6%  
340 0.4% 5%  
341 0.2% 5%  
342 0.6% 5%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 0.6% 4%  
345 1.2% 3%  
346 0.5% 2%  
347 0.1% 1.2%  
348 0.1% 1.1%  
349 0.2% 1.0%  
350 0.2% 0.8%  
351 0.2% 0.6%  
352 0.2% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.7%  
299 0.1% 99.7%  
300 0.3% 99.6%  
301 0.1% 99.3%  
302 0.7% 99.3%  
303 0.2% 98.5%  
304 0.3% 98%  
305 0.4% 98%  
306 0.3% 98%  
307 1.3% 97%  
308 1.4% 96%  
309 0.3% 95%  
310 1.4% 94%  
311 0.9% 93%  
312 3% 92%  
313 2% 89%  
314 2% 87%  
315 0.5% 86%  
316 3% 85%  
317 0.3% 83%  
318 3% 82%  
319 4% 79%  
320 6% 75%  
321 3% 70%  
322 3% 67%  
323 11% 64%  
324 2% 53%  
325 6% 51%  
326 2% 45% Median
327 2% 43%  
328 3% 42%  
329 0.8% 39%  
330 8% 38%  
331 2% 30%  
332 8% 28%  
333 3% 20%  
334 3% 17%  
335 1.5% 14%  
336 0.3% 12%  
337 2% 12%  
338 0.5% 10%  
339 3% 10%  
340 0.4% 7%  
341 2% 6%  
342 0.4% 4%  
343 0.6% 4%  
344 0.9% 3%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.4% 2%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.2% 1.2%  
349 0.3% 1.0%  
350 0.3% 0.7%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.7%  
295 0.1% 99.6%  
296 0.2% 99.5%  
297 0.2% 99.3%  
298 0.1% 99.1%  
299 0.4% 99.0%  
300 0.7% 98.6% Last Result
301 0.1% 98%  
302 0.2% 98%  
303 2% 98%  
304 0.3% 96%  
305 0.3% 95%  
306 3% 95%  
307 1.1% 92%  
308 0.3% 91%  
309 2% 91%  
310 3% 89%  
311 0.5% 86%  
312 6% 85%  
313 3% 79%  
314 1.4% 76%  
315 4% 75%  
316 3% 71%  
317 7% 68%  
318 2% 60%  
319 4% 58%  
320 2% 54%  
321 4% 52% Median
322 5% 48%  
323 1.3% 43%  
324 9% 42%  
325 2% 32%  
326 3% 30%  
327 5% 27%  
328 3% 22%  
329 4% 19%  
330 1.2% 15%  
331 1.3% 14%  
332 1.0% 13%  
333 2% 12%  
334 2% 9%  
335 0.7% 7%  
336 3% 7%  
337 0.5% 4%  
338 0.2% 4%  
339 0.8% 3%  
340 0.5% 3%  
341 0.1% 2%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.5% 2%  
344 0.1% 1.0%  
345 0.3% 0.9%  
346 0.3% 0.6%  
347 0% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0% Majority

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.7%  
251 0.2% 99.6%  
252 0% 99.4%  
253 0.3% 99.4%  
254 0.3% 99.1%  
255 0.6% 98.8%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.8% 98%  
258 0.2% 97%  
259 0.6% 97%  
260 2% 97%  
261 1.0% 95%  
262 2% 94%  
263 0.8% 92%  
264 0.8% 92%  
265 2% 91%  
266 4% 88%  
267 0.7% 84%  
268 4% 83%  
269 2% 79%  
270 0.6% 77%  
271 11% 77%  
272 6% 66%  
273 0.7% 60%  
274 3% 59%  
275 2% 57%  
276 1.5% 55%  
277 15% 54% Median
278 2% 39%  
279 2% 37%  
280 3% 36%  
281 2% 33%  
282 3% 31%  
283 7% 28%  
284 2% 21%  
285 1.3% 18%  
286 1.5% 17%  
287 1.3% 16%  
288 1.3% 14%  
289 5% 13%  
290 1.2% 8%  
291 0.2% 6%  
292 1.0% 6%  
293 0.3% 5%  
294 2% 5%  
295 0.4% 3%  
296 0.3% 2%  
297 0.3% 2%  
298 0.4% 2%  
299 0.4% 1.2%  
300 0.2% 0.8%  
301 0.2% 0.6%  
302 0% 0.4%  
303 0.1% 0.3%  
304 0.1% 0.3%  
305 0.1% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.2% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.5%  
241 0.1% 99.4%  
242 0.3% 99.3%  
243 0.2% 99.0%  
244 0.3% 98.8%  
245 0.4% 98%  
246 0.2% 98%  
247 0.8% 98%  
248 0.8% 97%  
249 2% 96%  
250 0.7% 94%  
251 3% 94%  
252 2% 91%  
253 0.6% 89%  
254 5% 88%  
255 1.0% 83%  
256 2% 82%  
257 3% 79%  
258 4% 77%  
259 1.3% 73%  
260 2% 71%  
261 3% 70%  
262 4% 67%  
263 5% 63%  
264 7% 58%  
265 2% 52% Median
266 3% 50%  
267 3% 47%  
268 12% 44%  
269 4% 31%  
270 2% 28%  
271 2% 25%  
272 5% 23%  
273 2% 18%  
274 2% 16%  
275 3% 14%  
276 0.5% 11%  
277 1.5% 11%  
278 0.4% 9%  
279 3% 9%  
280 0.8% 6%  
281 0.1% 5%  
282 1.3% 5%  
283 1.2% 3%  
284 0.3% 2%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.2% 1.5%  
287 0.3% 1.3%  
288 0.3% 0.9%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.2% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0.1% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0.4% 99.6%  
145 0.3% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 98.9%  
147 0.4% 98.7%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 1.4% 98%  
150 2% 97%  
151 0.5% 95%  
152 3% 95%  
153 0.9% 91%  
154 0.5% 91%  
155 8% 90%  
156 2% 82%  
157 1.3% 80%  
158 4% 79%  
159 2% 75%  
160 2% 73%  
161 8% 71%  
162 0.7% 62%  
163 3% 62%  
164 8% 58% Median
165 0.6% 50%  
166 12% 50%  
167 4% 37%  
168 4% 33%  
169 2% 29%  
170 5% 28%  
171 5% 23%  
172 3% 18%  
173 2% 15%  
174 2% 14%  
175 0.9% 11%  
176 0.7% 10%  
177 3% 9%  
178 1.1% 7%  
179 0.7% 6%  
180 3% 5%  
181 0.1% 2%  
182 0.1% 2%  
183 0.9% 2%  
184 0.3% 1.2%  
185 0.3% 0.9%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.2% 99.7%  
140 0.5% 99.4%  
141 0.2% 99.0%  
142 0.3% 98.8%  
143 0.2% 98.5%  
144 0.3% 98%  
145 0.9% 98%  
146 0.3% 97%  
147 0.4% 97%  
148 2% 96%  
149 2% 94%  
150 3% 92%  
151 3% 89%  
152 2% 86%  
153 3% 83%  
154 8% 80%  
155 2% 73%  
156 3% 71%  
157 3% 68%  
158 3% 65%  
159 1.4% 62%  
160 4% 60%  
161 8% 56% Median
162 3% 48%  
163 5% 45%  
164 15% 40%  
165 5% 25%  
166 1.2% 20%  
167 3% 19%  
168 1.2% 16%  
169 1.4% 15%  
170 2% 13%  
171 1.0% 12%  
172 1.4% 11%  
173 2% 9%  
174 1.3% 7%  
175 2% 6%  
176 0.8% 4%  
177 1.3% 3%  
178 0.2% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.5% 1.2%  
181 0.1% 0.8%  
182 0.1% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.6%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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