Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap for ARD, 12–13 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.8–25.4%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 20.4% 18.8–22.0% 18.4–22.5% 18.0–22.9% 17.3–23.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.3% 12.3–18.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.2–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 170 157–181 153–184 150–187 144–195
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 155 146–169 143–173 140–176 134–180
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 115 105–127 103–129 100–133 96–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 109 97–118 95–122 93–124 88–129
Die Linke 69 69 61–79 60–82 57–84 53–88
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 53 47–62 45–64 43–66 40–70
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 30–43 29–45 28–46 25–51

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.4% 99.2%  
148 0.8% 98.8%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.4% 97%  
152 1.1% 97%  
153 0.9% 96%  
154 1.5% 95%  
155 0.6% 93%  
156 0.8% 93%  
157 3% 92%  
158 3% 89%  
159 3% 87%  
160 0.5% 84%  
161 7% 83%  
162 3% 77%  
163 2% 73%  
164 2% 71%  
165 4% 69%  
166 5% 65%  
167 6% 60%  
168 2% 54%  
169 2% 53%  
170 6% 51% Median
171 5% 45%  
172 4% 40%  
173 4% 36%  
174 0.9% 32%  
175 1.5% 31%  
176 10% 29%  
177 1.5% 19%  
178 0.3% 17%  
179 2% 17%  
180 2% 15%  
181 3% 13%  
182 0.8% 10%  
183 2% 9%  
184 2% 7%  
185 1.3% 4%  
186 0.1% 3%  
187 0.3% 3%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0.3% 2%  
190 0.7% 2%  
191 0.2% 1.3%  
192 0.1% 1.1%  
193 0.2% 1.0%  
194 0.3% 0.9%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.2% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.2% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.6%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0.3% 99.5%  
135 0.2% 99.2%  
136 0.4% 99.0%  
137 0.2% 98.7%  
138 0.5% 98.5%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 0.8% 97%  
142 0.5% 96%  
143 0.7% 96%  
144 4% 95%  
145 1.1% 91%  
146 0.6% 90%  
147 5% 90%  
148 8% 84%  
149 0.6% 76%  
150 2% 76%  
151 4% 74%  
152 11% 70%  
153 1.4% 59%  
154 1.1% 57%  
155 9% 56% Median
156 8% 47%  
157 1.5% 39%  
158 1.3% 37%  
159 5% 36%  
160 1.4% 31%  
161 2% 30%  
162 3% 28%  
163 1.4% 26%  
164 1.1% 24%  
165 4% 23%  
166 1.5% 19%  
167 0.7% 17%  
168 6% 17%  
169 2% 11%  
170 1.1% 9%  
171 0.2% 8%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 5%  
174 0.2% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 0.8% 3%  
177 1.0% 2%  
178 0.1% 1.2%  
179 0.2% 1.1%  
180 0.6% 0.9%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.3%  
183 0% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 0.3% 99.5%  
97 0.2% 99.2%  
98 0.6% 99.0%  
99 0.7% 98%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.8% 97%  
102 1.1% 96%  
103 2% 95%  
104 0.8% 94%  
105 4% 93%  
106 0.9% 89%  
107 2% 88%  
108 2% 87%  
109 7% 85%  
110 5% 78%  
111 4% 72%  
112 10% 69%  
113 3% 58%  
114 2% 55%  
115 3% 53% Median
116 6% 49%  
117 3% 43%  
118 3% 40%  
119 3% 37%  
120 4% 34%  
121 7% 30%  
122 5% 23%  
123 3% 18%  
124 2% 15%  
125 0.8% 13%  
126 1.4% 12%  
127 4% 11%  
128 2% 7%  
129 1.1% 5%  
130 0.2% 4%  
131 0.5% 4%  
132 0.7% 3%  
133 0.8% 3%  
134 0.2% 2%  
135 0.7% 1.5%  
136 0.2% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.6%  
138 0.1% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.4%  
140 0.1% 0.3%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.6%  
88 0.2% 99.6%  
89 0.2% 99.4%  
90 0.2% 99.2%  
91 0.4% 99.0%  
92 0.2% 98.6%  
93 2% 98%  
94 0.9% 97% Last Result
95 1.3% 96%  
96 3% 95%  
97 5% 92%  
98 1.4% 87%  
99 3% 85%  
100 2% 83%  
101 2% 81%  
102 1.2% 80%  
103 5% 78%  
104 1.2% 74%  
105 6% 73%  
106 6% 67%  
107 4% 61%  
108 4% 57%  
109 8% 53% Median
110 9% 45%  
111 4% 36%  
112 4% 32%  
113 4% 28%  
114 8% 24%  
115 0.5% 16%  
116 2% 16%  
117 0.6% 14%  
118 4% 14%  
119 1.0% 10%  
120 0.8% 9%  
121 1.1% 8%  
122 3% 7%  
123 0.9% 4%  
124 0.9% 3%  
125 0.9% 2%  
126 0.4% 1.3%  
127 0.2% 0.9%  
128 0.2% 0.7%  
129 0.1% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.4%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.6%  
54 0.4% 99.4%  
55 0.5% 99.0%  
56 0.5% 98.5%  
57 0.6% 98%  
58 0.6% 97%  
59 2% 97%  
60 2% 95%  
61 4% 94%  
62 3% 90%  
63 5% 87%  
64 6% 82%  
65 3% 76%  
66 9% 73%  
67 4% 64%  
68 9% 60%  
69 6% 51% Last Result, Median
70 8% 46%  
71 4% 38%  
72 4% 34%  
73 8% 30%  
74 4% 23%  
75 3% 19%  
76 2% 16%  
77 1.2% 14%  
78 3% 13%  
79 1.4% 10%  
80 3% 9%  
81 1.1% 6%  
82 1.4% 5%  
83 0.9% 4%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 1.0% 99.1%  
43 0.6% 98%  
44 1.4% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 2% 94%  
47 4% 92%  
48 3% 89%  
49 5% 86%  
50 5% 81%  
51 8% 76%  
52 8% 68%  
53 13% 60% Median
54 9% 47%  
55 5% 38%  
56 5% 33%  
57 4% 28%  
58 7% 24%  
59 4% 17%  
60 2% 13%  
61 1.1% 12%  
62 4% 10%  
63 1.2% 6%  
64 1.0% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.7% 3%  
67 0.7% 2%  
68 0.2% 1.3%  
69 0.2% 1.1%  
70 0.4% 0.9%  
71 0.2% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.3% 99.7%  
26 0.5% 99.4%  
27 1.3% 98.9%  
28 2% 98%  
29 1.2% 95%  
30 5% 94%  
31 3% 88%  
32 5% 85%  
33 12% 80%  
34 5% 67%  
35 4% 62%  
36 11% 58% Median
37 7% 48%  
38 8% 41%  
39 4% 34%  
40 4% 30%  
41 2% 25%  
42 10% 23%  
43 5% 13%  
44 2% 8%  
45 2% 5%  
46 2% 4% Last Result
47 0.4% 2%  
48 0.7% 2%  
49 0.3% 1.1%  
50 0.2% 0.7%  
51 0.1% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 478 100% 464–492 460–494 458–499 451–506
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 417 100% 401–429 399–434 395–437 386–443
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 362 81% 346–376 344–381 341–386 332–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 363 73% 347–376 343–381 340–385 332–391
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 355 51% 339–370 338–374 333–378 326–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 354 49% 339–370 335–371 331–376 326–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 339 8% 325–352 319–358 316–361 308–368
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 307 0% 295–323 291–328 289–332 280–337
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 301 0% 288–316 282–320 280–324 273–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 284 0% 270–299 267–303 263–306 257–314
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 248 0% 231–261 229–266 226–269 219–275
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 185 0% 174–198 169–202 166–205 161–211
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 168 0% 159–180 153–185 150–190 145–195

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.8%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0.1% 99.7%  
450 0% 99.7%  
451 0.2% 99.6%  
452 0.1% 99.4%  
453 0.3% 99.3%  
454 0.1% 99.0%  
455 0.4% 98.9%  
456 0.6% 98%  
457 0.2% 98%  
458 0.7% 98%  
459 0.4% 97%  
460 2% 97%  
461 0.6% 95%  
462 0.6% 94%  
463 3% 94%  
464 1.2% 91%  
465 2% 90%  
466 2% 88% Last Result
467 3% 86%  
468 0.9% 83%  
469 1.2% 82%  
470 3% 81%  
471 1.5% 77%  
472 6% 76%  
473 2% 70%  
474 6% 67%  
475 6% 62%  
476 3% 55% Median
477 0.9% 52%  
478 4% 51%  
479 7% 47%  
480 4% 40%  
481 2% 36%  
482 2% 33%  
483 5% 31%  
484 2% 26%  
485 3% 24%  
486 1.3% 21%  
487 2% 20%  
488 2% 18%  
489 3% 16%  
490 1.0% 13%  
491 2% 12%  
492 4% 10%  
493 1.3% 7%  
494 0.5% 5%  
495 0.8% 5%  
496 0.3% 4%  
497 0.8% 4%  
498 0.3% 3%  
499 0.8% 3%  
500 0.3% 2%  
501 0.2% 1.5%  
502 0.1% 1.3%  
503 0.1% 1.2%  
504 0.1% 1.0%  
505 0.4% 0.9%  
506 0.1% 0.5%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.4%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.6%  
387 0% 99.4%  
388 0.2% 99.3%  
389 0.2% 99.2%  
390 0.5% 99.0%  
391 0.4% 98.6%  
392 0.2% 98%  
393 0.2% 98% Last Result
394 0.1% 98%  
395 0.6% 98%  
396 1.4% 97%  
397 0.1% 96%  
398 0.3% 96%  
399 1.4% 95%  
400 2% 94%  
401 4% 92%  
402 3% 88%  
403 0.7% 85%  
404 0.4% 85%  
405 3% 84%  
406 1.0% 81%  
407 1.5% 80%  
408 5% 78%  
409 1.3% 73%  
410 1.1% 72%  
411 3% 71%  
412 2% 68%  
413 7% 65%  
414 2% 59% Median
415 3% 57%  
416 0.7% 54%  
417 5% 53%  
418 7% 49%  
419 4% 42%  
420 3% 38%  
421 6% 36%  
422 4% 30%  
423 4% 26%  
424 5% 22%  
425 2% 17%  
426 0.7% 15%  
427 2% 14%  
428 1.4% 12%  
429 1.3% 11%  
430 1.3% 10%  
431 2% 8%  
432 0.6% 7%  
433 0.2% 6%  
434 0.8% 6%  
435 1.1% 5%  
436 1.2% 4%  
437 0.6% 3%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.5% 2%  
442 0.6% 1.1%  
443 0.1% 0.5%  
444 0% 0.5%  
445 0.1% 0.4%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0.1% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.7%  
331 0.1% 99.7%  
332 0.2% 99.6%  
333 0.1% 99.4%  
334 0.1% 99.3%  
335 0.1% 99.2%  
336 0.1% 99.2%  
337 0.2% 99.1%  
338 0.2% 98.9%  
339 0.8% 98.6%  
340 0% 98%  
341 0.7% 98%  
342 1.3% 97%  
343 0.6% 96%  
344 0.7% 95%  
345 1.3% 94%  
346 6% 93%  
347 0.7% 87%  
348 0.9% 87%  
349 0.6% 86%  
350 0.3% 85%  
351 1.2% 85%  
352 0.9% 84%  
353 0.8% 83%  
354 0.4% 82%  
355 4% 81% Majority
356 6% 77%  
357 2% 71%  
358 3% 70%  
359 4% 66% Median
360 11% 63%  
361 2% 52%  
362 2% 50%  
363 8% 48%  
364 6% 41%  
365 0.8% 35%  
366 1.2% 34%  
367 0.9% 33%  
368 2% 32%  
369 2% 30%  
370 3% 29%  
371 2% 25%  
372 1.4% 23%  
373 6% 21%  
374 1.3% 15%  
375 2% 14%  
376 2% 12%  
377 1.3% 10%  
378 2% 9%  
379 0.4% 6%  
380 1.0% 6%  
381 0.4% 5%  
382 0.4% 5%  
383 0.6% 4%  
384 0.5% 4%  
385 0.2% 3%  
386 0.8% 3%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.4% 2%  
389 0.5% 1.5%  
390 0.1% 1.0%  
391 0.4% 0.9%  
392 0.2% 0.4%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0.1% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.2% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.7%  
331 0% 99.7%  
332 0.3% 99.6%  
333 0% 99.4%  
334 0% 99.3%  
335 0.4% 99.3%  
336 0.2% 98.9%  
337 0.1% 98.7%  
338 0.4% 98.6%  
339 0.4% 98%  
340 0.5% 98%  
341 0.4% 97%  
342 0.1% 97%  
343 2% 97%  
344 2% 94%  
345 0.3% 93%  
346 0.4% 93%  
347 3% 92%  
348 2% 90%  
349 0.7% 87%  
350 5% 87%  
351 0.6% 81%  
352 2% 81%  
353 5% 79%  
354 0.4% 74%  
355 3% 73% Majority
356 1.5% 71%  
357 0.8% 69%  
358 3% 68%  
359 2% 65%  
360 3% 63%  
361 5% 61% Median
362 3% 55%  
363 2% 52%  
364 1.3% 50%  
365 9% 48%  
366 2% 39%  
367 6% 37%  
368 6% 31%  
369 1.1% 25%  
370 2% 24%  
371 8% 22%  
372 0.7% 14%  
373 1.2% 13%  
374 0.6% 12%  
375 0.6% 11%  
376 2% 11%  
377 1.2% 9%  
378 0.9% 8%  
379 1.2% 7%  
380 0.3% 6%  
381 0.6% 6%  
382 1.2% 5%  
383 0.2% 4%  
384 0.7% 3%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.6% 2%  
387 0.1% 2%  
388 0.9% 2%  
389 0.2% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0.1% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.8%  
322 0% 99.7%  
323 0.1% 99.7%  
324 0% 99.6%  
325 0.1% 99.6%  
326 0.2% 99.5%  
327 0.1% 99.3%  
328 0.3% 99.3%  
329 0.3% 99.0%  
330 0.6% 98.7%  
331 0.1% 98%  
332 0.3% 98%  
333 0.5% 98%  
334 0.2% 97%  
335 0.3% 97%  
336 0.6% 97%  
337 0.7% 96%  
338 1.2% 95%  
339 5% 94%  
340 2% 89%  
341 0.2% 87%  
342 1.1% 87%  
343 2% 86%  
344 0.7% 84%  
345 1.4% 83%  
346 7% 82%  
347 1.1% 76%  
348 5% 74%  
349 1.1% 69%  
350 2% 68%  
351 6% 66%  
352 1.3% 60%  
353 2% 58% Median
354 6% 56%  
355 1.3% 51% Majority
356 2% 49%  
357 3% 47%  
358 4% 44%  
359 4% 39%  
360 2% 35%  
361 9% 34%  
362 4% 25%  
363 2% 21%  
364 1.4% 19%  
365 1.0% 18%  
366 2% 17%  
367 1.5% 15%  
368 0.7% 14%  
369 2% 13%  
370 3% 11%  
371 0.8% 7%  
372 0.8% 7%  
373 0.5% 6%  
374 0.6% 5%  
375 0.8% 5%  
376 0.1% 4%  
377 0.8% 4%  
378 1.4% 3%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.1% 1.4%  
381 0.1% 1.3%  
382 0.5% 1.2%  
383 0.2% 0.6%  
384 0% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0.2% 0.4%  
387 0% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0.1% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.1% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.2% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.6%  
325 0% 99.6%  
326 0.2% 99.5%  
327 0.5% 99.4%  
328 0.1% 98.8%  
329 0.1% 98.7%  
330 0.2% 98.6%  
331 1.4% 98%  
332 0.8% 97%  
333 0.1% 96%  
334 0.8% 96%  
335 0.6% 95%  
336 0.5% 95%  
337 0.8% 94%  
338 0.8% 93%  
339 3% 93%  
340 2% 89%  
341 0.7% 87%  
342 1.5% 86%  
343 2% 85%  
344 1.0% 83%  
345 1.4% 82%  
346 2% 81%  
347 4% 79%  
348 9% 75%  
349 2% 66%  
350 4% 65%  
351 4% 61%  
352 3% 56%  
353 2% 53%  
354 1.3% 51% Median
355 6% 49% Majority
356 2% 44%  
357 1.3% 42%  
358 6% 40%  
359 2% 34%  
360 1.1% 32%  
361 5% 31%  
362 1.1% 26%  
363 7% 24%  
364 1.4% 18%  
365 0.7% 17%  
366 2% 16%  
367 1.1% 14%  
368 0.2% 13%  
369 2% 13%  
370 5% 11%  
371 1.2% 6%  
372 0.7% 5%  
373 0.6% 4%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.2% 3%  
376 0.5% 3%  
377 0.3% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.6% 2%  
380 0.3% 1.3%  
381 0.3% 1.0%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0.2% 0.7%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.4%  
386 0.1% 0.4%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0% 0.3%  
389 0.1% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9% Last Result
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0.1% 99.8%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.5%  
309 0.1% 99.4%  
310 0.1% 99.4%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.6% 99.1%  
313 0.3% 98.6%  
314 0.4% 98%  
315 0.2% 98%  
316 0.4% 98%  
317 0.2% 97%  
318 1.0% 97%  
319 2% 96%  
320 0.6% 94%  
321 1.2% 94%  
322 0.9% 93%  
323 1.0% 92%  
324 0.5% 91%  
325 2% 90%  
326 3% 89%  
327 0.9% 86%  
328 3% 85%  
329 3% 82%  
330 1.5% 79%  
331 1.4% 78%  
332 3% 77%  
333 5% 73%  
334 4% 68%  
335 2% 64%  
336 6% 63%  
337 2% 56%  
338 3% 54% Median
339 6% 52%  
340 7% 46%  
341 5% 39%  
342 2% 35%  
343 1.3% 33%  
344 0.5% 32%  
345 4% 31%  
346 5% 27%  
347 2% 22%  
348 2% 21%  
349 5% 19%  
350 0.5% 14%  
351 3% 14%  
352 1.0% 11%  
353 0.3% 10%  
354 2% 9%  
355 2% 8% Majority
356 0.3% 6%  
357 0.2% 5%  
358 1.0% 5%  
359 1.2% 4%  
360 0.2% 3%  
361 1.2% 3%  
362 0.6% 2%  
363 0.1% 1.1%  
364 0.1% 1.0%  
365 0.1% 0.9%  
366 0.1% 0.8%  
367 0% 0.7%  
368 0.2% 0.7%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0.1% 0.2%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0.1% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0.2% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.1% 99.4%  
282 0.1% 99.3%  
283 0.1% 99.2%  
284 0.3% 99.1%  
285 0.1% 98.8%  
286 0.2% 98.6%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.5% 98%  
289 0.3% 98%  
290 0.9% 97%  
291 2% 96%  
292 1.2% 94%  
293 0.7% 93%  
294 0.8% 92%  
295 2% 91%  
296 3% 89%  
297 1.0% 85%  
298 3% 84%  
299 0.7% 82%  
300 2% 81%  
301 3% 79%  
302 3% 77%  
303 7% 73%  
304 4% 66%  
305 3% 63%  
306 6% 60% Median
307 6% 53%  
308 3% 48%  
309 6% 44%  
310 2% 39%  
311 3% 37%  
312 2% 34%  
313 1.5% 32%  
314 2% 31%  
315 1.3% 29%  
316 1.3% 28%  
317 3% 27%  
318 1.2% 23%  
319 4% 22%  
320 0.8% 17%  
321 2% 17%  
322 4% 14%  
323 0.6% 10%  
324 2% 9%  
325 0.8% 7%  
326 0.2% 7%  
327 1.0% 6%  
328 0.6% 5%  
329 0.8% 5%  
330 0.2% 4%  
331 0.9% 4%  
332 0.8% 3%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.7% 2%  
335 0.1% 0.8%  
336 0.3% 0.8%  
337 0.1% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.4%  
339 0% 0.3%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.2% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.1% 99.3%  
277 0.6% 99.2%  
278 0.1% 98.5%  
279 0.6% 98%  
280 0.8% 98%  
281 2% 97%  
282 0.6% 95%  
283 0.1% 95%  
284 0.6% 95%  
285 0.4% 94%  
286 0.3% 94%  
287 2% 93%  
288 2% 91%  
289 4% 90%  
290 6% 86%  
291 3% 79%  
292 3% 76%  
293 2% 74%  
294 0.9% 72%  
295 4% 71%  
296 1.0% 67%  
297 4% 66%  
298 5% 61%  
299 2% 57%  
300 4% 55% Median
301 0.8% 51%  
302 0.8% 50%  
303 0.8% 49%  
304 2% 48%  
305 3% 47%  
306 8% 43%  
307 9% 36%  
308 6% 26%  
309 2% 20%  
310 3% 18%  
311 0.5% 15%  
312 1.3% 15%  
313 0.9% 14%  
314 0.6% 13%  
315 1.4% 12%  
316 2% 11%  
317 2% 9%  
318 0.8% 7%  
319 0.6% 6%  
320 0.7% 6%  
321 0.7% 5%  
322 0.2% 4%  
323 1.1% 4%  
324 0.8% 3%  
325 0.7% 2%  
326 0.7% 1.5%  
327 0.1% 0.8%  
328 0.1% 0.7%  
329 0.1% 0.6%  
330 0% 0.5%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0.1% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0% 99.8%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0.1% 99.6%  
257 0.1% 99.5%  
258 0.3% 99.4%  
259 0.1% 99.1%  
260 0.6% 99.0%  
261 0.1% 98%  
262 0.5% 98%  
263 0.4% 98%  
264 0.5% 97%  
265 1.1% 97%  
266 0.4% 96%  
267 3% 95%  
268 0.5% 93%  
269 1.2% 92%  
270 1.5% 91%  
271 1.2% 89%  
272 2% 88%  
273 1.4% 87%  
274 2% 85%  
275 3% 83%  
276 2% 80%  
277 2% 79%  
278 1.2% 76%  
279 2% 75%  
280 5% 73%  
281 4% 68%  
282 9% 64%  
283 2% 55%  
284 3% 53%  
285 4% 50% Median
286 0.9% 45%  
287 2% 44%  
288 12% 43%  
289 3% 31%  
290 1.4% 28%  
291 1.3% 27%  
292 2% 25%  
293 1.4% 23%  
294 4% 22%  
295 2% 18%  
296 2% 16%  
297 2% 14%  
298 1.0% 13%  
299 3% 12%  
300 0.4% 8%  
301 0.4% 8%  
302 0.9% 7%  
303 2% 6%  
304 1.3% 4%  
305 0.2% 3%  
306 0.8% 3%  
307 0.1% 2%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.8% 2%  
310 0.1% 1.0%  
311 0.2% 1.0%  
312 0.2% 0.8%  
313 0.1% 0.7%  
314 0.2% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0.1% 0.3%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
203 0.1% 100%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0% 99.9%  
206 0% 99.9%  
207 0% 99.8%  
208 0% 99.8%  
209 0% 99.8%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0% 99.8%  
212 0% 99.8%  
213 0% 99.8%  
214 0% 99.8%  
215 0% 99.8%  
216 0% 99.7%  
217 0% 99.7%  
218 0.1% 99.7%  
219 0.2% 99.6%  
220 0.2% 99.4%  
221 0.4% 99.2%  
222 0.1% 98.8%  
223 0.2% 98.7%  
224 0.1% 98%  
225 0.7% 98%  
226 0.2% 98%  
227 0.5% 97%  
228 1.2% 97%  
229 2% 96%  
230 3% 94%  
231 1.1% 90%  
232 2% 89%  
233 0.5% 87%  
234 1.3% 87%  
235 0.6% 85%  
236 0.4% 85%  
237 3% 84%  
238 1.4% 81%  
239 3% 80%  
240 4% 77%  
241 2% 73%  
242 5% 70%  
243 2% 66%  
244 1.2% 64% Median
245 3% 63%  
246 0.8% 59%  
247 8% 59%  
248 7% 51%  
249 5% 43%  
250 5% 38%  
251 7% 33%  
252 4% 26%  
253 1.1% 22%  
254 1.1% 21%  
255 1.3% 20%  
256 1.1% 19%  
257 2% 18%  
258 3% 16%  
259 1.1% 13%  
260 1.4% 12%  
261 2% 10%  
262 1.3% 9%  
263 0.4% 7%  
264 0.5% 7%  
265 0.4% 6%  
266 1.0% 6%  
267 0.4% 5%  
268 2% 5%  
269 0.8% 3%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.4% 1.4%  
272 0.4% 1.0%  
273 0.1% 0.7%  
274 0.1% 0.6%  
275 0% 0.5%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0% 0.3%  
278 0.1% 0.3%  
279 0.1% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.2% 99.6%  
162 0.3% 99.4%  
163 0.7% 99.1%  
164 0.2% 98%  
165 0.3% 98%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.7% 97%  
168 0.5% 97%  
169 2% 96%  
170 0.8% 94%  
171 1.3% 94%  
172 0.8% 92%  
173 0.7% 92%  
174 3% 91%  
175 2% 88%  
176 0.5% 86%  
177 6% 86%  
178 10% 80%  
179 4% 70%  
180 0.8% 66%  
181 2% 65%  
182 5% 62%  
183 3% 57%  
184 0.7% 54% Median
185 7% 54%  
186 4% 47%  
187 7% 42%  
188 1.4% 36%  
189 1.0% 34%  
190 7% 33%  
191 3% 26%  
192 0.5% 23%  
193 1.5% 23%  
194 5% 21%  
195 4% 17%  
196 0.9% 12%  
197 0.5% 11%  
198 1.3% 11%  
199 2% 9%  
200 0.3% 8%  
201 2% 7%  
202 1.4% 5%  
203 1.3% 4%  
204 0.2% 3%  
205 0.2% 3%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.8% 2%  
208 0.2% 1.2%  
209 0.1% 1.0%  
210 0.4% 0.9%  
211 0.2% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.3% 99.2%  
148 0.6% 98.9%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 1.0% 97%  
152 0.7% 96%  
153 0.8% 96%  
154 0.3% 95%  
155 0.2% 95%  
156 1.1% 94%  
157 1.1% 93%  
158 1.3% 92%  
159 2% 91%  
160 2% 89%  
161 2% 87%  
162 8% 85%  
163 4% 77%  
164 5% 73%  
165 6% 68%  
166 9% 62%  
167 2% 53%  
168 2% 50% Median
169 2% 49%  
170 2% 46%  
171 1.4% 44%  
172 7% 43%  
173 2% 36%  
174 3% 34%  
175 4% 31%  
176 1.4% 27%  
177 3% 26%  
178 3% 23%  
179 6% 20%  
180 6% 14%  
181 0.7% 8%  
182 0.8% 7%  
183 1.0% 7%  
184 0.2% 6%  
185 0.8% 5%  
186 0.3% 5%  
187 0.4% 4%  
188 0.3% 4%  
189 0.9% 4%  
190 0.3% 3%  
191 0.8% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.3%  
194 0.4% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.2% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations