Opinion Poll by Kantar for Bild am Sonntag, 13–20 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.5–24.0% 21.2–24.4% 20.9–24.7% 20.3–25.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.3–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.1–14.1% 11.8–14.4% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.4–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 170 163–181 161–184 158–187 152–190
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 151 142–159 139–162 138–164 134–168
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 106–121 104–123 102–125 99–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 99 92–105 89–107 88–109 84–114
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 66 62–73 60–75 59–78 56–81
Die Linke 69 67 62–74 60–75 59–77 56–81
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 35–45 34–46 33–47 30–51

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.3% 99.8%  
153 0.2% 99.5%  
154 0.3% 99.3%  
155 0.4% 99.0%  
156 0.4% 98.6%  
157 0.4% 98%  
158 0.7% 98%  
159 0.8% 97%  
160 0.8% 96%  
161 2% 95%  
162 1.0% 93%  
163 2% 92%  
164 2% 90%  
165 6% 88%  
166 3% 82%  
167 10% 79%  
168 6% 69%  
169 12% 62%  
170 4% 51% Median
171 10% 47%  
172 5% 37%  
173 4% 32%  
174 8% 28%  
175 2% 20%  
176 2% 18%  
177 4% 17%  
178 0.9% 13%  
179 0.5% 12%  
180 0.7% 12%  
181 2% 11%  
182 0.7% 8%  
183 1.5% 8%  
184 2% 6%  
185 0.9% 4%  
186 0.8% 3%  
187 0.7% 3%  
188 0.9% 2%  
189 0.4% 1.0%  
190 0.2% 0.6%  
191 0.2% 0.4%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0.1% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.2% 99.7%  
135 0.4% 99.4%  
136 0.2% 99.0%  
137 0.4% 98.8%  
138 2% 98%  
139 2% 96%  
140 0.3% 95%  
141 0.6% 94%  
142 5% 94%  
143 3% 89%  
144 2% 86%  
145 0.6% 84%  
146 5% 83%  
147 11% 78%  
148 4% 68%  
149 3% 64%  
150 8% 60%  
151 4% 52% Median
152 7% 48%  
153 2% 41%  
154 3% 39%  
155 10% 35%  
156 3% 25%  
157 1.2% 22%  
158 8% 21%  
159 4% 13%  
160 3% 9%  
161 0.7% 6%  
162 1.2% 6%  
163 2% 5%  
164 0.8% 3%  
165 0.2% 2%  
166 0.2% 2%  
167 1.0% 2%  
168 0.2% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.7% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 98.9%  
101 0.7% 98.7%  
102 1.0% 98%  
103 2% 97%  
104 2% 95%  
105 2% 93%  
106 2% 91%  
107 1.4% 90%  
108 4% 88%  
109 6% 84%  
110 7% 78%  
111 9% 71%  
112 9% 63%  
113 5% 54% Median
114 11% 48%  
115 6% 37%  
116 4% 31%  
117 3% 27%  
118 3% 24%  
119 3% 22%  
120 8% 18%  
121 2% 10%  
122 3% 9%  
123 2% 6%  
124 0.7% 4%  
125 1.5% 3%  
126 0.2% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.4%  
128 0.2% 1.0%  
129 0.3% 0.8%  
130 0.2% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.2% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.3% 99.5%  
86 0.8% 99.2%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 1.3% 98%  
89 1.3% 96%  
90 3% 95%  
91 1.1% 92%  
92 4% 91%  
93 4% 87%  
94 5% 83% Last Result
95 3% 79%  
96 11% 76%  
97 7% 65%  
98 5% 58%  
99 7% 53% Median
100 8% 46%  
101 6% 38%  
102 4% 32%  
103 11% 28%  
104 4% 17%  
105 3% 13%  
106 3% 10%  
107 2% 6%  
108 1.0% 5%  
109 2% 4%  
110 0.6% 2%  
111 0.4% 1.4%  
112 0.2% 0.9%  
113 0.2% 0.7%  
114 0.3% 0.5%  
115 0.1% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.5%  
57 0.4% 99.2%  
58 0.9% 98.7%  
59 0.9% 98%  
60 3% 97%  
61 2% 94%  
62 6% 93%  
63 9% 87%  
64 3% 78%  
65 18% 75%  
66 7% 56% Median
67 7% 49%  
68 6% 43%  
69 5% 37%  
70 9% 32%  
71 3% 22%  
72 5% 19%  
73 5% 14%  
74 3% 10%  
75 1.5% 6%  
76 1.2% 5%  
77 0.7% 4%  
78 1.0% 3%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
81 0.3% 0.8%  
82 0.1% 0.5%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.6%  
57 0.9% 99.2%  
58 0.7% 98%  
59 1.1% 98%  
60 3% 97%  
61 3% 93%  
62 6% 90%  
63 4% 84%  
64 4% 80%  
65 7% 76%  
66 5% 69%  
67 19% 64% Median
68 5% 45%  
69 7% 40% Last Result
70 10% 33%  
71 2% 24%  
72 6% 21%  
73 3% 15%  
74 2% 12%  
75 5% 10%  
76 0.9% 4%  
77 1.4% 3%  
78 0.7% 2%  
79 0.2% 1.3%  
80 0.5% 1.1%  
81 0.2% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 0.3% 99.4%  
32 1.0% 99.1%  
33 2% 98%  
34 4% 96%  
35 4% 92%  
36 3% 88%  
37 7% 86%  
38 19% 78%  
39 7% 59%  
40 4% 52% Median
41 8% 48%  
42 19% 40%  
43 4% 21%  
44 2% 17%  
45 5% 15%  
46 6% 10% Last Result
47 2% 4%  
48 0.7% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 475 100% 466–485 462–488 458–491 453–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 430 100% 419–440 417–442 416–445 410–450
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 391 100% 383–404 379–405 376–407 371–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 377 99.7% 368–387 363–391 361–394 357–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 362 80% 353–371 349–377 347–379 340–384
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 332 0.3% 322–341 318–346 315–348 310–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 332 0.3% 322–342 318–345 317–347 311–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 323 0% 315–334 312–337 308–341 303–345
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 309 0% 299–320 297–324 294–326 290–331
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 277 0% 268–289 266–292 265–295 258–301
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 265 0% 254–274 251–277 248–279 243–285
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 181 0% 172–189 170–194 168–195 163–200
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 180 0% 172–190 170–193 168–195 163–200

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
449 0.1% 100%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.9%  
452 0.1% 99.8%  
453 0.3% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.4%  
455 0.6% 99.3%  
456 0.4% 98.7%  
457 0.3% 98%  
458 0.5% 98%  
459 0.6% 97%  
460 0.6% 97%  
461 0.9% 96%  
462 0.6% 95%  
463 1.0% 95%  
464 1.4% 94%  
465 1.1% 92%  
466 2% 91% Last Result
467 2% 90%  
468 2% 88%  
469 3% 86%  
470 6% 83%  
471 5% 77%  
472 3% 72%  
473 8% 69%  
474 6% 61% Median
475 6% 54%  
476 2% 49%  
477 6% 46%  
478 11% 40%  
479 1.4% 30%  
480 3% 28%  
481 8% 25%  
482 3% 17%  
483 1.3% 14%  
484 3% 13%  
485 1.1% 10%  
486 1.2% 9%  
487 3% 8%  
488 0.8% 5%  
489 0.9% 4%  
490 0.2% 3%  
491 2% 3%  
492 0.2% 1.4%  
493 0.2% 1.2%  
494 0.5% 1.0%  
495 0.2% 0.5%  
496 0.2% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0.1% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.2% 99.4%  
412 0.2% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 99.0%  
414 0.6% 98.7%  
415 0.3% 98%  
416 2% 98%  
417 1.4% 95%  
418 2% 94%  
419 7% 92%  
420 0.9% 84%  
421 2% 83%  
422 0.9% 81%  
423 2% 80%  
424 7% 78%  
425 2% 71%  
426 4% 69%  
427 8% 65% Median
428 2% 58%  
429 6% 56%  
430 3% 50%  
431 5% 47%  
432 13% 42%  
433 3% 28%  
434 2% 26%  
435 5% 23%  
436 3% 18%  
437 0.8% 16%  
438 2% 15%  
439 3% 13%  
440 3% 11%  
441 1.0% 7%  
442 1.4% 6%  
443 0.9% 5%  
444 0.9% 4%  
445 0.6% 3%  
446 0.3% 2%  
447 0.7% 2%  
448 0.3% 1.3%  
449 0.4% 1.0%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0.1% 0.3%  
454 0.1% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0.2% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.3% 99.7%  
372 0.3% 99.5%  
373 0.3% 99.2%  
374 0.5% 98.9%  
375 0.5% 98%  
376 1.0% 98%  
377 0.2% 97%  
378 1.4% 97%  
379 0.7% 95%  
380 0.6% 95%  
381 0.8% 94%  
382 0.2% 93%  
383 3% 93%  
384 4% 90%  
385 3% 85%  
386 2% 82%  
387 2% 80%  
388 19% 78%  
389 2% 60% Median
390 6% 57%  
391 5% 52%  
392 9% 47%  
393 9% 37%  
394 0.5% 28%  
395 5% 28%  
396 1.2% 22%  
397 1.2% 21%  
398 1.2% 20%  
399 2% 19%  
400 2% 16%  
401 2% 14%  
402 1.5% 12%  
403 0.8% 11%  
404 4% 10%  
405 1.5% 6%  
406 0.8% 4%  
407 2% 4%  
408 0.7% 2%  
409 0.4% 1.2%  
410 0.2% 0.8%  
411 0.1% 0.6%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0% 0.4%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0% 0.3%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0.1% 0.1%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.5%  
358 0.9% 99.4%  
359 0.6% 98.5%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.2% 98%  
362 0.9% 97%  
363 2% 96%  
364 1.5% 95%  
365 0.3% 93%  
366 2% 93%  
367 1.2% 92%  
368 3% 90%  
369 6% 88%  
370 10% 82%  
371 1.3% 72%  
372 2% 71%  
373 3% 69%  
374 4% 65%  
375 8% 62% Median
376 3% 54%  
377 5% 51%  
378 1.1% 46%  
379 10% 45%  
380 5% 35%  
381 3% 30%  
382 5% 27%  
383 2% 22%  
384 2% 20%  
385 3% 18%  
386 3% 15%  
387 3% 12%  
388 2% 10%  
389 1.0% 8%  
390 1.3% 7%  
391 2% 6%  
392 0.3% 4%  
393 0.7% 3%  
394 1.0% 3%  
395 0.4% 2%  
396 0.3% 1.4%  
397 0.4% 1.1%  
398 0.1% 0.7%  
399 0.3% 0.6%  
400 0.1% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.2% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.2% 99.5%  
342 0.2% 99.3%  
343 0.5% 99.1%  
344 0.3% 98.6%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.1% 98%  
347 1.1% 98%  
348 0.8% 97%  
349 1.4% 96%  
350 1.1% 95%  
351 0.6% 94%  
352 1.5% 93%  
353 4% 91%  
354 7% 88%  
355 3% 80% Majority
356 4% 77%  
357 2% 73%  
358 8% 71%  
359 1.2% 63%  
360 3% 62%  
361 1.3% 59% Median
362 14% 58%  
363 4% 44%  
364 1.1% 40%  
365 2% 38%  
366 7% 37%  
367 9% 30%  
368 6% 21%  
369 1.2% 15%  
370 2% 14%  
371 2% 12%  
372 1.0% 10%  
373 0.9% 9%  
374 0.3% 8%  
375 1.4% 8%  
376 0.5% 6%  
377 3% 6%  
378 0.4% 3%  
379 0.2% 3%  
380 0.5% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.9% 2%  
383 0.2% 0.9%  
384 0.3% 0.7%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0.2% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0.1% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.3% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.4% 99.3%  
313 0.3% 98.9%  
314 0.4% 98.6%  
315 1.0% 98%  
316 0.7% 97%  
317 0.3% 97%  
318 2% 96%  
319 1.3% 94%  
320 1.0% 93%  
321 2% 92%  
322 3% 90%  
323 3% 88%  
324 3% 85%  
325 2% 82%  
326 2% 80%  
327 5% 78%  
328 3% 73%  
329 5% 70%  
330 10% 65%  
331 1.1% 55% Median
332 5% 54%  
333 3% 49%  
334 8% 46%  
335 4% 38%  
336 3% 35%  
337 2% 31%  
338 1.3% 29%  
339 10% 28%  
340 6% 18%  
341 3% 12%  
342 1.2% 10%  
343 2% 8%  
344 0.3% 7%  
345 1.5% 7%  
346 2% 5%  
347 0.9% 4%  
348 0.2% 3%  
349 0.3% 2%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.9% 1.5%  
352 0.1% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.2% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.5%  
312 0.2% 99.4%  
313 0.5% 99.2%  
314 0.4% 98.7%  
315 0.4% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 1.1% 98%  
318 2% 96%  
319 2% 94%  
320 0.6% 93%  
321 2% 92%  
322 2% 90%  
323 4% 88%  
324 3% 84%  
325 3% 82%  
326 5% 79%  
327 4% 74%  
328 5% 70%  
329 1.1% 65%  
330 2% 64% Median
331 6% 62%  
332 13% 56%  
333 2% 43%  
334 6% 41%  
335 2% 35%  
336 4% 33%  
337 9% 30%  
338 1.0% 21%  
339 3% 20%  
340 1.4% 16%  
341 3% 15%  
342 3% 12%  
343 0.9% 9%  
344 2% 8%  
345 1.1% 6%  
346 0.5% 5%  
347 2% 4%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.5% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.6% 1.3%  
352 0.1% 0.7%  
353 0.2% 0.6%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0.2% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0.3% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.6%  
302 0% 99.6%  
303 0.4% 99.5%  
304 0.2% 99.1%  
305 0.2% 98.9%  
306 0.3% 98.8%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 1.0% 98%  
309 0.6% 97%  
310 0.5% 97%  
311 0.8% 96%  
312 0.7% 95%  
313 0.8% 94%  
314 4% 94%  
315 1.4% 90%  
316 1.0% 89%  
317 2% 88%  
318 3% 85%  
319 6% 82%  
320 3% 76%  
321 2% 73%  
322 9% 71%  
323 17% 62% Median
324 3% 46%  
325 3% 43%  
326 4% 40%  
327 8% 35%  
328 3% 27%  
329 1.3% 24%  
330 4% 23%  
331 4% 19%  
332 2% 15%  
333 0.8% 13%  
334 2% 12%  
335 2% 10%  
336 0.4% 8%  
337 3% 8%  
338 0.8% 5%  
339 0.5% 4%  
340 0.3% 3%  
341 1.2% 3%  
342 0.8% 2%  
343 0.1% 1.0%  
344 0.2% 0.9%  
345 0.3% 0.7%  
346 0.2% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.7%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0.2% 99.5%  
291 0.5% 99.3%  
292 0.2% 98.8%  
293 0.8% 98.5%  
294 0.2% 98%  
295 2% 97%  
296 0.5% 96%  
297 0.6% 95%  
298 4% 95%  
299 1.4% 91%  
300 1.3% 90%  
301 3% 88%  
302 2% 85%  
303 1.5% 83%  
304 1.4% 82%  
305 11% 80%  
306 4% 69%  
307 4% 66%  
308 5% 61%  
309 8% 56% Median
310 11% 48%  
311 4% 38%  
312 3% 34%  
313 3% 31%  
314 1.2% 28%  
315 4% 27%  
316 6% 23%  
317 1.1% 17%  
318 2% 16%  
319 2% 15%  
320 3% 13%  
321 2% 10%  
322 1.1% 7%  
323 1.0% 6%  
324 2% 5%  
325 0.3% 3%  
326 1.1% 3%  
327 0.9% 2%  
328 0.1% 0.9%  
329 0% 0.7%  
330 0.2% 0.7%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.8%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.2% 99.5%  
260 0.4% 99.3%  
261 0.4% 98.9%  
262 0.3% 98.5%  
263 0.2% 98%  
264 0.2% 98%  
265 2% 98%  
266 0.9% 96%  
267 4% 95%  
268 1.5% 91%  
269 4% 90%  
270 0.8% 85%  
271 1.3% 85%  
272 7% 83%  
273 2% 76%  
274 12% 74%  
275 4% 62%  
276 6% 58% Median
277 2% 52%  
278 3% 50%  
279 3% 46%  
280 5% 44%  
281 3% 38%  
282 11% 35%  
283 1.3% 24%  
284 4% 22%  
285 3% 18%  
286 0.5% 15%  
287 2% 14%  
288 2% 12%  
289 3% 10%  
290 0.9% 8%  
291 1.1% 7%  
292 0.9% 6%  
293 0.6% 5%  
294 1.1% 4%  
295 0.9% 3%  
296 0.6% 2%  
297 0.2% 1.3%  
298 0.3% 1.1%  
299 0.2% 0.8%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0.2% 0.6%  
302 0.2% 0.4%  
303 0.1% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.2% 99.7%  
243 0.1% 99.5%  
244 0.3% 99.4%  
245 0.1% 99.2%  
246 0.8% 99.0%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 0.9% 98%  
249 0.8% 97%  
250 0.8% 96%  
251 1.4% 95%  
252 0.6% 94%  
253 1.4% 93%  
254 4% 92%  
255 1.0% 88%  
256 2% 87%  
257 2% 85%  
258 4% 83%  
259 2% 78%  
260 7% 76%  
261 7% 69%  
262 1.4% 62%  
263 4% 60%  
264 2% 57% Median
265 9% 55%  
266 2% 45%  
267 8% 43%  
268 2% 35%  
269 4% 33%  
270 5% 29%  
271 1.0% 24%  
272 8% 23%  
273 3% 15%  
274 3% 12%  
275 0.8% 9%  
276 2% 8%  
277 1.4% 6%  
278 0.6% 5%  
279 2% 4%  
280 0.2% 2%  
281 0.7% 2%  
282 0.2% 1.4%  
283 0.3% 1.2%  
284 0.1% 0.9%  
285 0.6% 0.8%  
286 0.1% 0.3%  
287 0.1% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0.1% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.5% 99.7%  
164 0.1% 99.3%  
165 0.2% 99.1%  
166 0.5% 98.9%  
167 0.5% 98%  
168 0.6% 98%  
169 1.3% 97%  
170 2% 96%  
171 3% 94%  
172 4% 91%  
173 3% 87%  
174 4% 84%  
175 2% 81%  
176 2% 79%  
177 3% 76%  
178 6% 73%  
179 7% 67%  
180 7% 60% Median
181 11% 53%  
182 2% 42%  
183 2% 40%  
184 5% 38%  
185 5% 32%  
186 3% 27%  
187 10% 25%  
188 4% 15%  
189 2% 10%  
190 0.5% 8%  
191 0.8% 8%  
192 0.5% 7%  
193 0.4% 6%  
194 2% 6%  
195 2% 4%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.2%  
198 0.2% 0.9%  
199 0.1% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.2% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0.3% 99.6%  
164 0.3% 99.3%  
165 0.2% 99.0%  
166 0.5% 98.8%  
167 0.4% 98%  
168 1.0% 98%  
169 0.5% 97%  
170 2% 96%  
171 2% 95%  
172 3% 93%  
173 0.8% 90%  
174 4% 89%  
175 5% 85%  
176 2% 80%  
177 10% 78%  
178 6% 68%  
179 8% 62% Median
180 5% 54%  
181 8% 49%  
182 8% 41%  
183 2% 33%  
184 5% 31%  
185 8% 26%  
186 2% 18%  
187 2% 16%  
188 2% 14%  
189 2% 12%  
190 2% 11%  
191 2% 9%  
192 0.9% 7%  
193 2% 6%  
194 0.3% 5%  
195 2% 4%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.3%  
199 0.2% 0.8%  
200 0.4% 0.7%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations