Opinion Poll by Forsa, 18–22 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.1% 20.0–22.3% 19.6–22.7% 19.4–23.0% 18.8–23.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.9–22.2% 19.5–22.6% 19.3–22.9% 18.7–23.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.1–14.1% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.2–15.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.2% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.1–5.7% 4.0–5.9% 3.7–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 160 154–172 153–175 150–177 144–179
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 163 154–171 149–173 148–176 144–181
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 109 100–115 99–117 97–120 93–125
Alternative für Deutschland 94 101 93–107 92–110 89–113 86–116
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 70 63–77 62–78 59–79 57–83
Die Linke 69 70 62–75 62–77 61–80 57–83
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 38 33–42 33–44 31–45 28–48

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.2% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.1% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.1%  
148 1.3% 98.9%  
149 0.1% 98%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.8% 97%  
152 0.4% 96%  
153 2% 96%  
154 11% 94%  
155 6% 83%  
156 2% 77%  
157 6% 75%  
158 2% 70%  
159 13% 67%  
160 12% 54% Median
161 1.1% 42%  
162 6% 41%  
163 3% 35%  
164 0.4% 32%  
165 8% 32%  
166 3% 24%  
167 0.9% 21%  
168 2% 20%  
169 1.3% 19%  
170 0.7% 17%  
171 5% 17%  
172 3% 11%  
173 1.1% 8%  
174 1.4% 7%  
175 2% 6%  
176 1.3% 4%  
177 2% 3%  
178 0.1% 1.0%  
179 0.4% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.5%  
181 0% 0.4%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 1.2% 99.3%  
147 0.6% 98%  
148 0.7% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 1.0% 95%  
151 1.3% 94%  
152 2% 93%  
153 0.7% 91%  
154 3% 90%  
155 4% 87%  
156 1.2% 83%  
157 4% 82%  
158 4% 78%  
159 5% 74%  
160 2% 69%  
161 6% 67%  
162 11% 61%  
163 3% 50% Median
164 6% 47%  
165 8% 41%  
166 7% 34%  
167 9% 27%  
168 2% 18%  
169 0.9% 16%  
170 4% 15%  
171 4% 11%  
172 0.7% 6%  
173 1.1% 6%  
174 0.7% 5%  
175 1.1% 4%  
176 0.6% 3%  
177 0.7% 2%  
178 0.8% 2%  
179 0.1% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.3% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.4% 99.7%  
94 0.3% 99.3%  
95 0.2% 99.0%  
96 1.1% 98.7%  
97 2% 98%  
98 0.4% 96%  
99 4% 95%  
100 4% 91%  
101 0.9% 87%  
102 2% 86%  
103 8% 84%  
104 3% 76%  
105 2% 73%  
106 8% 71%  
107 8% 63%  
108 2% 56%  
109 8% 54% Median
110 16% 45%  
111 0.7% 29%  
112 7% 29%  
113 9% 22%  
114 2% 13%  
115 2% 11%  
116 3% 9%  
117 1.1% 6%  
118 0.3% 4%  
119 0.6% 4%  
120 2% 4%  
121 0.1% 2%  
122 0.4% 2%  
123 0.8% 1.4%  
124 0.1% 0.6%  
125 0.2% 0.5%  
126 0.3% 0.4%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 99.6%  
87 1.0% 99.4%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 1.1% 98%  
90 1.0% 97%  
91 0.9% 96%  
92 3% 95%  
93 3% 92%  
94 4% 89% Last Result
95 4% 85%  
96 14% 81%  
97 3% 67%  
98 5% 65%  
99 5% 60%  
100 5% 55%  
101 3% 50% Median
102 5% 47%  
103 11% 42%  
104 3% 31%  
105 13% 27%  
106 2% 14%  
107 3% 12%  
108 3% 9%  
109 1.0% 6%  
110 0.8% 5%  
111 1.1% 5%  
112 0.4% 3%  
113 2% 3%  
114 0.5% 2%  
115 0.2% 1.0%  
116 0.5% 0.8%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.7% 99.8%  
58 0.3% 99.1%  
59 2% 98.8%  
60 0.9% 97%  
61 0.5% 96%  
62 1.4% 95%  
63 4% 94%  
64 5% 90%  
65 8% 84%  
66 1.3% 76%  
67 6% 75%  
68 9% 69%  
69 4% 60%  
70 15% 56% Median
71 5% 41%  
72 10% 36%  
73 4% 26%  
74 0.9% 21%  
75 5% 20%  
76 5% 15%  
77 4% 10%  
78 3% 6%  
79 0.8% 3%  
80 0.7% 2% Last Result
81 0.3% 1.5%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.1% 99.4%  
59 0.6% 99.3%  
60 1.1% 98.8%  
61 2% 98%  
62 7% 95%  
63 3% 88%  
64 3% 86%  
65 9% 82%  
66 4% 73%  
67 8% 69%  
68 4% 61%  
69 2% 57% Last Result
70 13% 54% Median
71 5% 41%  
72 11% 36%  
73 6% 26%  
74 1.3% 19%  
75 10% 18%  
76 2% 9%  
77 3% 7%  
78 1.1% 4%  
79 0.3% 3%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 0.2% 1.5%  
82 0.7% 1.3%  
83 0.2% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 0.4% 99.4%  
30 0.8% 99.0%  
31 1.3% 98%  
32 2% 97%  
33 10% 95%  
34 8% 86%  
35 8% 78%  
36 7% 69%  
37 6% 62%  
38 17% 56% Median
39 11% 39%  
40 10% 29%  
41 4% 19%  
42 6% 15%  
43 2% 9%  
44 3% 7%  
45 2% 4%  
46 0.7% 2% Last Result
47 0.4% 1.2%  
48 0.4% 0.8%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 471 100% 461–479 457–483 453–485 449–489
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 431 100% 421–443 419–445 416–446 409–452
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 377 99.7% 366–388 364–392 362–394 357–398
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 368 97% 360–381 357–384 354–387 349–391
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 362 79% 351–373 349–377 345–377 340–383
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 340 3% 328–351 326–352 322–356 318–359
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 341 3% 328–349 325–352 322–355 318–360
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 306 0% 297–318 295–320 293–323 286–329
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 298 0% 290–311 288–315 285–316 280–322
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 272 0% 260–279 255–282 254–285 249–290
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 268 0% 257–280 257–284 254–285 250–290
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 177 0% 168–187 166–189 164–192 159–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 178 0% 169–187 166–189 164–192 159–197

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0.1% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.9%  
448 0.1% 99.8%  
449 0.4% 99.7%  
450 0.5% 99.3%  
451 0.4% 98.8%  
452 0.2% 98%  
453 0.9% 98%  
454 1.5% 97%  
455 0.1% 96%  
456 0.5% 96%  
457 0.6% 95%  
458 1.1% 95%  
459 0.2% 93%  
460 2% 93%  
461 8% 91%  
462 0.7% 83%  
463 3% 83%  
464 12% 79%  
465 3% 67%  
466 0.7% 64% Last Result
467 2% 63%  
468 2% 61%  
469 4% 59%  
470 0.9% 55% Median
471 12% 54%  
472 7% 43%  
473 3% 36%  
474 2% 32%  
475 10% 30%  
476 6% 20%  
477 3% 15%  
478 1.4% 12%  
479 3% 10%  
480 0.6% 8%  
481 0.5% 7%  
482 0.6% 7%  
483 1.1% 6%  
484 2% 5%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.9% 2%  
487 0.7% 1.5%  
488 0.1% 0.7%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0.2% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0.1% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0.2% 99.9%  
408 0.2% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.3% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 98.9%  
414 0.4% 98.7%  
415 0.6% 98%  
416 0.5% 98%  
417 0.9% 97%  
418 0.9% 96%  
419 3% 95%  
420 2% 93%  
421 2% 91%  
422 2% 89%  
423 5% 87%  
424 7% 82%  
425 2% 75%  
426 5% 73%  
427 6% 67%  
428 4% 61%  
429 2% 58%  
430 3% 56%  
431 2% 52% Median
432 2% 50%  
433 4% 48%  
434 3% 44%  
435 7% 41%  
436 5% 34%  
437 6% 29%  
438 7% 23%  
439 2% 16%  
440 0.9% 14%  
441 1.1% 13%  
442 1.2% 12%  
443 2% 11%  
444 4% 9%  
445 0.8% 6%  
446 2% 5%  
447 0.8% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.3% 1.4%  
450 0.4% 1.2%  
451 0.2% 0.8%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.2% 99.7% Majority
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.5% 99.5%  
358 0.2% 99.0%  
359 0.6% 98.8%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.9% 98%  
363 2% 97%  
364 0.3% 95%  
365 0.6% 95%  
366 7% 94%  
367 4% 87%  
368 1.5% 83%  
369 0.7% 82%  
370 5% 81%  
371 4% 76%  
372 7% 73%  
373 3% 66%  
374 2% 63%  
375 3% 60%  
376 3% 57%  
377 5% 54% Median
378 4% 49%  
379 8% 45%  
380 7% 37%  
381 2% 30%  
382 3% 28%  
383 2% 25%  
384 6% 23%  
385 2% 17%  
386 2% 15%  
387 3% 14%  
388 2% 11%  
389 1.3% 9%  
390 0.9% 8%  
391 1.0% 7%  
392 2% 6%  
393 1.0% 4%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.8% 2%  
396 0.6% 2%  
397 0.4% 1.1%  
398 0.2% 0.6%  
399 0.1% 0.5%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.2% 0.3%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.8%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0.2% 99.8%  
348 0.1% 99.6%  
349 0.2% 99.5%  
350 0.5% 99.3%  
351 0.6% 98.8%  
352 0.6% 98%  
353 0% 98%  
354 1.1% 98%  
355 0.4% 97% Majority
356 0.2% 96%  
357 3% 96%  
358 0.2% 92%  
359 1.5% 92%  
360 2% 91%  
361 0.1% 88%  
362 12% 88%  
363 2% 77%  
364 1.2% 74%  
365 10% 73%  
366 0.1% 64%  
367 13% 63%  
368 1.2% 50%  
369 0.7% 49% Median
370 9% 48%  
371 0.6% 39%  
372 4% 38%  
373 8% 34%  
374 1.1% 26%  
375 4% 25%  
376 2% 21%  
377 2% 18%  
378 4% 16%  
379 0.1% 12%  
380 1.4% 12%  
381 2% 10%  
382 0.1% 8%  
383 3% 8%  
384 1.0% 5%  
385 0.6% 4%  
386 1.1% 4%  
387 0% 3%  
388 1.5% 2%  
389 0.1% 1.0%  
390 0.3% 0.9%  
391 0.2% 0.7%  
392 0% 0.4%  
393 0.2% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0.2% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.6%  
340 0.1% 99.5%  
341 0.2% 99.4%  
342 0.2% 99.2%  
343 0.2% 99.0%  
344 1.1% 98.8%  
345 0.4% 98%  
346 0.4% 97%  
347 0.6% 97%  
348 0.7% 96%  
349 3% 96%  
350 3% 93%  
351 2% 90%  
352 2% 88%  
353 1.1% 87%  
354 6% 86%  
355 6% 79% Majority
356 3% 73%  
357 2% 70%  
358 5% 68%  
359 3% 64%  
360 2% 61%  
361 7% 59% Median
362 8% 52%  
363 5% 44%  
364 1.0% 39%  
365 10% 38%  
366 5% 28%  
367 2% 23%  
368 2% 21%  
369 2% 19%  
370 2% 17%  
371 2% 16%  
372 2% 13%  
373 2% 11%  
374 2% 9%  
375 1.0% 7%  
376 0.4% 5%  
377 3% 5%  
378 0.5% 2%  
379 0.5% 2%  
380 0.3% 1.2%  
381 0.2% 0.9%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0.2% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.2% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0.1% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0% 99.7%  
317 0.2% 99.7%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0.3% 99.4%  
320 0.2% 99.1%  
321 0.3% 98.9%  
322 1.5% 98.6%  
323 0.7% 97%  
324 0.4% 96%  
325 0.8% 96%  
326 1.1% 95%  
327 1.4% 94%  
328 3% 93%  
329 1.1% 90%  
330 0.8% 89%  
331 2% 88%  
332 3% 86%  
333 3% 83%  
334 4% 80%  
335 5% 76%  
336 0.8% 71%  
337 4% 70%  
338 3% 66%  
339 8% 63%  
340 6% 55%  
341 2% 49%  
342 7% 48% Median
343 6% 41%  
344 3% 35%  
345 2% 32%  
346 6% 29%  
347 5% 23%  
348 3% 18%  
349 2% 15%  
350 0.6% 13%  
351 5% 13%  
352 3% 8%  
353 0.5% 4%  
354 0.8% 4%  
355 0.5% 3% Majority
356 0.5% 3%  
357 0.7% 2%  
358 0.4% 1.3%  
359 0.4% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.4%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0.1% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.9%  
316 0.2% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.6%  
318 0.2% 99.6%  
319 0.3% 99.3%  
320 0.1% 99.1%  
321 1.5% 99.0%  
322 0% 98%  
323 1.1% 97%  
324 0.6% 96%  
325 1.0% 96%  
326 3% 95%  
327 0.1% 92%  
328 2% 92%  
329 1.4% 90%  
330 0.1% 88%  
331 4% 88%  
332 2% 84%  
333 2% 82%  
334 4% 79%  
335 1.1% 75%  
336 8% 74%  
337 4% 66%  
338 0.6% 62%  
339 9% 61%  
340 0.7% 52%  
341 1.2% 51%  
342 13% 50% Median
343 0.1% 37%  
344 10% 36%  
345 1.2% 27%  
346 2% 26%  
347 12% 23%  
348 0.1% 12%  
349 2% 12%  
350 1.5% 9%  
351 0.2% 8%  
352 3% 8%  
353 0.2% 4%  
354 0.4% 4%  
355 1.1% 3% Majority
356 0% 2%  
357 0.6% 2%  
358 0.6% 2%  
359 0.5% 1.2%  
360 0.2% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0.2% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0.1% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.2% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.3% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.4%  
288 0.3% 99.3%  
289 0.2% 99.0%  
290 0.4% 98.8%  
291 0.2% 98%  
292 0.5% 98%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 1.4% 97%  
295 0.9% 96%  
296 4% 95%  
297 1.5% 91%  
298 6% 90%  
299 4% 84%  
300 5% 80%  
301 1.4% 76%  
302 8% 74%  
303 3% 67%  
304 7% 64%  
305 6% 57%  
306 4% 52%  
307 4% 48% Median
308 2% 44%  
309 2% 42%  
310 4% 40%  
311 2% 36%  
312 5% 34%  
313 2% 30%  
314 7% 28%  
315 4% 21%  
316 4% 17%  
317 2% 13%  
318 1.1% 11%  
319 3% 10%  
320 2% 7%  
321 0.8% 5%  
322 0.5% 4%  
323 0.8% 3%  
324 0.8% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.2% 1.3%  
327 0.2% 1.1%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.2% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.5%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0% 100%  
273 0.1% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.6%  
280 0.2% 99.6%  
281 0.2% 99.4%  
282 0.6% 99.2%  
283 0.1% 98.6%  
284 0.7% 98%  
285 1.0% 98%  
286 1.2% 97%  
287 0.2% 96%  
288 0.9% 95%  
289 4% 94%  
290 4% 91%  
291 2% 87%  
292 0.8% 85%  
293 5% 85%  
294 9% 80%  
295 2% 70%  
296 2% 68%  
297 14% 67%  
298 5% 52%  
299 4% 48% Median
300 1.3% 43%  
301 7% 42%  
302 7% 35%  
303 3% 28%  
304 1.1% 25%  
305 1.0% 24%  
306 5% 23%  
307 2% 18%  
308 0.7% 16%  
309 1.1% 16%  
310 4% 14%  
311 2% 10%  
312 0.5% 8%  
313 0.2% 8%  
314 2% 8%  
315 1.0% 5%  
316 2% 4%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0.6% 2%  
319 0.9% 2%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.6%  
322 0.1% 0.6%  
323 0.2% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0.1% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.6%  
249 0.1% 99.6%  
250 0.2% 99.4%  
251 0.1% 99.2%  
252 1.0% 99.2%  
253 0.6% 98%  
254 1.3% 98%  
255 2% 96%  
256 0.3% 95%  
257 1.3% 94%  
258 0.4% 93%  
259 2% 93%  
260 3% 91%  
261 2% 88%  
262 3% 86%  
263 0.9% 83%  
264 5% 82%  
265 4% 77%  
266 2% 73%  
267 6% 71%  
268 2% 65%  
269 3% 63%  
270 1.2% 60%  
271 2% 59%  
272 11% 57% Median
273 2% 46%  
274 15% 44%  
275 6% 29%  
276 0.5% 23%  
277 11% 23%  
278 0.4% 12%  
279 2% 12%  
280 2% 9%  
281 0.4% 7%  
282 2% 7%  
283 0.6% 5%  
284 0.9% 4%  
285 0.9% 3%  
286 0.2% 2%  
287 1.4% 2%  
288 0.1% 0.8%  
289 0.2% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.5%  
291 0.2% 0.5%  
292 0% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0.1% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0.1% 99.8%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.6%  
250 0.2% 99.6%  
251 0.5% 99.3%  
252 0.7% 98.8%  
253 0.2% 98%  
254 0.4% 98%  
255 0.6% 97%  
256 1.1% 97%  
257 6% 96%  
258 0.4% 89%  
259 1.1% 89%  
260 1.0% 88%  
261 4% 87%  
262 8% 83%  
263 3% 75%  
264 7% 73%  
265 1.3% 66%  
266 6% 64%  
267 6% 59%  
268 6% 53% Median
269 5% 47%  
270 7% 42%  
271 2% 36%  
272 2% 34%  
273 2% 31%  
274 5% 29%  
275 2% 24%  
276 0.9% 23%  
277 3% 22%  
278 4% 18%  
279 3% 14%  
280 2% 11%  
281 1.1% 9%  
282 0.6% 8%  
283 2% 7%  
284 2% 5%  
285 1.0% 3%  
286 0.3% 2%  
287 0.3% 2%  
288 0.2% 2%  
289 0.7% 1.4%  
290 0.3% 0.7%  
291 0.2% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0.1% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.3% 99.8%  
159 0.1% 99.5%  
160 0.2% 99.4%  
161 0.3% 99.2%  
162 0.4% 98.9%  
163 0.7% 98.5%  
164 1.2% 98%  
165 1.4% 97%  
166 3% 95%  
167 1.2% 92%  
168 1.4% 91%  
169 6% 90%  
170 2% 83%  
171 7% 82%  
172 3% 75%  
173 2% 72%  
174 7% 70%  
175 5% 63%  
176 3% 59%  
177 7% 56%  
178 1.5% 49%  
179 3% 47% Median
180 10% 44%  
181 7% 34%  
182 4% 27%  
183 2% 23%  
184 0.7% 21%  
185 5% 20%  
186 4% 15%  
187 3% 10%  
188 2% 7%  
189 0.2% 5%  
190 0.9% 5%  
191 1.0% 4%  
192 0.8% 3%  
193 0.9% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.2%  
195 0.3% 1.0%  
196 0.2% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.2% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.2% 99.8%  
159 0.3% 99.6%  
160 0.4% 99.3%  
161 0.6% 98.9%  
162 0.3% 98%  
163 0.4% 98%  
164 0.4% 98%  
165 0.8% 97%  
166 2% 96%  
167 2% 95%  
168 2% 93%  
169 4% 91%  
170 5% 87%  
171 3% 82%  
172 2% 79%  
173 3% 78%  
174 4% 74%  
175 4% 71%  
176 7% 67%  
177 7% 60%  
178 6% 53%  
179 8% 47% Median
180 8% 38%  
181 2% 30%  
182 5% 28%  
183 1.1% 23%  
184 2% 22%  
185 5% 20%  
186 2% 15%  
187 5% 13%  
188 1.3% 8%  
189 3% 7%  
190 0.9% 4%  
191 0.3% 3%  
192 1.0% 3%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.6% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.2%  
196 0.1% 0.7%  
197 0.3% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations