Opinion Poll by YouGov, 22–26 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.8–23.4% 20.4–23.8% 20.1–24.1% 19.5–24.8%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.1% 19.9–22.5% 19.5–22.8% 19.2–23.2% 18.6–23.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.6–16.5% 13.3–16.8% 12.8–17.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 12.0–14.1% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.7% 11.0–15.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.9% 4.2–5.6% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 167 159–178 156–181 153–183 148–188
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 159 150–168 150–175 148–176 142–178
Alternative für Deutschland 94 115 108–123 103–124 102–128 97–131
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 91–108 90–109 87–111 84–115
Die Linke 69 75 71–83 67–87 65–89 64–90
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 54 48–59 46–60 45–62 42–67
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 37 32–42 31–44 30–45 28–48

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.5%  
150 0.2% 99.3%  
151 0.5% 99.1%  
152 0.6% 98.5%  
153 0.5% 98%  
154 0.7% 97%  
155 0.7% 97%  
156 3% 96%  
157 1.1% 93%  
158 1.2% 92%  
159 2% 91%  
160 6% 89%  
161 2% 83%  
162 3% 81%  
163 4% 77%  
164 3% 74%  
165 9% 71%  
166 2% 62%  
167 11% 60% Median
168 3% 49%  
169 3% 46%  
170 11% 43%  
171 2% 32%  
172 5% 30%  
173 3% 25%  
174 2% 23%  
175 6% 20%  
176 1.4% 14%  
177 1.4% 13%  
178 3% 11%  
179 1.1% 8%  
180 1.0% 7%  
181 3% 6%  
182 0.5% 4%  
183 0.8% 3%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 1.1% 2%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.8%  
142 0.4% 99.5%  
143 0.5% 99.1%  
144 0.6% 98.7%  
145 0.3% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.4% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 8% 95%  
151 4% 87%  
152 4% 84%  
153 2% 80%  
154 0.4% 78%  
155 0.2% 78%  
156 2% 77%  
157 6% 75%  
158 9% 69%  
159 14% 60% Median
160 8% 47%  
161 10% 38%  
162 2% 29%  
163 0.3% 27%  
164 1.2% 27%  
165 2% 26%  
166 5% 24%  
167 5% 19%  
168 5% 14%  
169 1.3% 9%  
170 0.6% 8%  
171 0.1% 7%  
172 0.2% 7%  
173 0.3% 7%  
174 1.1% 7%  
175 2% 5%  
176 2% 4%  
177 1.0% 2%  
178 0.2% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.5%  
180 0% 0.4%  
181 0% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0.1% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100% Last Result
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.3% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.3%  
100 0.1% 99.2%  
101 0.3% 99.1%  
102 3% 98.8%  
103 1.3% 96%  
104 1.0% 95%  
105 2% 93%  
106 0.4% 92%  
107 1.0% 92%  
108 5% 91%  
109 11% 86%  
110 7% 75%  
111 2% 67%  
112 1.1% 65%  
113 2% 64%  
114 3% 62%  
115 14% 59% Median
116 9% 46%  
117 9% 36%  
118 2% 27%  
119 0.6% 25%  
120 0.4% 24%  
121 3% 24%  
122 9% 21%  
123 5% 12%  
124 2% 6%  
125 0.2% 4%  
126 0.3% 4%  
127 0.4% 4%  
128 1.2% 4%  
129 0.5% 2%  
130 1.4% 2%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.4%  
133 0% 0.4%  
134 0.2% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.5%  
85 0.1% 99.2%  
86 1.0% 99.1%  
87 1.2% 98%  
88 0.2% 97%  
89 1.3% 97%  
90 5% 95%  
91 1.1% 91%  
92 0.9% 90%  
93 6% 89%  
94 5% 83%  
95 2% 78%  
96 8% 76%  
97 5% 68%  
98 7% 63%  
99 5% 56%  
100 3% 51% Median
101 9% 47%  
102 7% 38%  
103 3% 31%  
104 6% 28%  
105 5% 22%  
106 6% 17%  
107 1.1% 11%  
108 4% 10%  
109 2% 6%  
110 0.5% 4%  
111 2% 4%  
112 0.8% 2%  
113 0.3% 1.2%  
114 0.1% 1.0%  
115 0.4% 0.8%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0% 0.2%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.7% 99.6%  
65 2% 99.0%  
66 1.1% 97%  
67 2% 96%  
68 1.2% 95%  
69 0.8% 93% Last Result
70 0.9% 92%  
71 8% 92%  
72 14% 83%  
73 5% 69%  
74 9% 64%  
75 12% 55% Median
76 0.5% 44%  
77 1.4% 43%  
78 9% 42%  
79 6% 33%  
80 5% 26%  
81 7% 21%  
82 3% 15%  
83 2% 12%  
84 0.7% 10%  
85 0.4% 9%  
86 3% 9%  
87 2% 5%  
88 0.6% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.5% 0.9%  
91 0% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.6%  
43 0.4% 99.2%  
44 1.2% 98.9%  
45 1.3% 98%  
46 4% 96%  
47 1.4% 92%  
48 4% 91%  
49 6% 87%  
50 4% 81%  
51 10% 77%  
52 9% 68%  
53 6% 58%  
54 14% 53% Median
55 5% 39%  
56 10% 33%  
57 8% 23%  
58 2% 15%  
59 7% 14%  
60 2% 7%  
61 1.2% 5%  
62 1.5% 4%  
63 0.6% 2%  
64 0.5% 2%  
65 0.5% 1.1%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.3% 0.5%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.5%  
29 1.2% 99.2%  
30 1.4% 98%  
31 3% 97%  
32 5% 94%  
33 7% 89%  
34 10% 83%  
35 9% 73%  
36 8% 64%  
37 7% 56% Median
38 8% 49%  
39 6% 41%  
40 15% 35%  
41 3% 20%  
42 8% 17%  
43 3% 9%  
44 3% 7%  
45 1.3% 4%  
46 0.7% 2% Last Result
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.1% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 465 100% 455–475 451–478 447–481 444–486
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 418 100% 408–430 405–433 402–436 396–442
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 365 89% 353–375 350–380 348–383 341–387
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 364 91% 355–378 352–380 347–382 341–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 350 27% 339–360 337–365 334–368 328–374
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 344 11% 334–356 329–359 326–361 322–368
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 320 0% 311–331 305–336 302–339 299–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 311 0% 301–323 297–328 294–330 290–334
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 299 0% 287–309 282–311 281–313 277–321
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 268 0% 256–277 253–282 250–284 245–290
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 249 0% 243–261 237–266 233–268 230–273
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 166–186 164–189 162–192 157–196
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 152 0% 143–163 141–164 139–167 135–172

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0.1% 99.9%  
441 0.1% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.7%  
443 0.1% 99.7%  
444 0.9% 99.6%  
445 0.1% 98.7%  
446 0.1% 98.6%  
447 2% 98%  
448 0.8% 97%  
449 0.2% 96%  
450 0.7% 96%  
451 0.6% 95%  
452 2% 95%  
453 0.3% 92%  
454 2% 92%  
455 5% 90%  
456 0.9% 85%  
457 0.6% 84%  
458 7% 84%  
459 10% 76%  
460 1.4% 66%  
461 0.4% 65%  
462 6% 64%  
463 7% 59% Median
464 2% 52%  
465 2% 50%  
466 7% 48% Last Result
467 2% 41%  
468 2% 39%  
469 4% 38%  
470 13% 34%  
471 1.2% 21%  
472 0.4% 20%  
473 1.3% 20%  
474 8% 19%  
475 2% 10%  
476 0.3% 8%  
477 1.3% 8%  
478 2% 7%  
479 0.2% 4%  
480 0.3% 4%  
481 2% 4%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.1% 2%  
485 0.9% 1.5%  
486 0.2% 0.5%  
487 0% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.8% Last Result
394 0.2% 99.8%  
395 0% 99.6%  
396 0.1% 99.5%  
397 0.2% 99.4%  
398 0.2% 99.1%  
399 0.4% 99.0%  
400 0.1% 98.6%  
401 0.9% 98%  
402 0.6% 98%  
403 1.0% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 1.4% 95%  
406 3% 94%  
407 0.8% 91%  
408 0.9% 90%  
409 3% 89%  
410 2% 86%  
411 3% 84%  
412 2% 81%  
413 8% 79%  
414 1.2% 71%  
415 1.3% 69%  
416 13% 68%  
417 3% 55% Median
418 5% 53%  
419 3% 48%  
420 5% 45%  
421 8% 40%  
422 1.1% 32%  
423 6% 31%  
424 2% 25%  
425 1.2% 23%  
426 1.4% 21%  
427 6% 20%  
428 0.7% 14%  
429 2% 13%  
430 3% 12%  
431 0.8% 9%  
432 2% 8%  
433 2% 6%  
434 0.3% 5%  
435 1.3% 4%  
436 1.0% 3%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.9% 2%  
439 0.1% 0.9%  
440 0.2% 0.8%  
441 0% 0.6%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.2% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0.1% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0.1% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.3% 99.8%  
342 0% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.1% 99.4%  
345 1.0% 99.3%  
346 0.1% 98%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 1.3% 98%  
349 1.1% 97%  
350 0.8% 96%  
351 0.1% 95%  
352 2% 95%  
353 4% 93%  
354 0.8% 90%  
355 0.5% 89% Majority
356 2% 88%  
357 2% 87%  
358 5% 84%  
359 0.7% 79%  
360 2% 78%  
361 12% 76%  
362 6% 64%  
363 5% 58%  
364 0.5% 53%  
365 3% 53% Median
366 8% 50%  
367 2% 42%  
368 0.4% 40%  
369 1.3% 40%  
370 8% 39%  
371 10% 30%  
372 0.8% 21%  
373 1.0% 20%  
374 5% 19%  
375 5% 14%  
376 0.4% 9%  
377 0.8% 9%  
378 2% 8%  
379 0.8% 7%  
380 1.5% 6%  
381 0.2% 4%  
382 2% 4%  
383 0.9% 3%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.1% 1.3%  
386 0.4% 1.2%  
387 0.3% 0.8%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.3%  
392 0.1% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0.1% 100%  
339 0.1% 99.9%  
340 0.3% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0% 99.4%  
343 0% 99.4%  
344 0.2% 99.4%  
345 0.3% 99.2%  
346 0.7% 98.9%  
347 2% 98%  
348 0.7% 96%  
349 0.2% 96%  
350 0.2% 96%  
351 0.3% 95%  
352 0.7% 95%  
353 2% 94%  
354 2% 92%  
355 3% 91% Majority
356 2% 87%  
357 7% 86%  
358 2% 79%  
359 0.6% 77%  
360 2% 76%  
361 4% 75%  
362 13% 70%  
363 5% 57% Median
364 9% 53%  
365 5% 44%  
366 1.2% 39%  
367 0.4% 38%  
368 1.4% 37%  
369 3% 36%  
370 5% 33%  
371 3% 29%  
372 6% 26%  
373 5% 20%  
374 0.3% 15%  
375 1.4% 15%  
376 0.7% 14%  
377 2% 13%  
378 1.3% 10%  
379 4% 9%  
380 1.3% 6%  
381 1.4% 4%  
382 0.3% 3%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 2%  
385 0.1% 2%  
386 1.1% 2%  
387 0.2% 0.9%  
388 0.3% 0.7%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0.1% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.8%  
326 0.1% 99.7%  
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0.2% 99.6%  
329 0.1% 99.4%  
330 0.4% 99.4%  
331 0.1% 99.0%  
332 0.4% 98.9%  
333 0.6% 98%  
334 0.9% 98%  
335 0.8% 97%  
336 0.8% 96%  
337 2% 95%  
338 0.5% 93%  
339 2% 92%  
340 2% 90%  
341 3% 88%  
342 3% 85%  
343 3% 83%  
344 2% 80%  
345 8% 78%  
346 3% 70%  
347 4% 67%  
348 7% 62%  
349 1.4% 55%  
350 5% 54% Median
351 5% 49%  
352 8% 44%  
353 7% 36%  
354 3% 29%  
355 2% 27% Majority
356 3% 25%  
357 4% 22%  
358 2% 18%  
359 3% 17%  
360 4% 13%  
361 0.8% 10%  
362 1.0% 9%  
363 2% 8%  
364 1.1% 6%  
365 0.8% 5%  
366 0.7% 4%  
367 0.5% 4%  
368 1.0% 3%  
369 0.2% 2%  
370 0.6% 2%  
371 0.2% 1.2%  
372 0.3% 1.0%  
373 0.2% 0.7%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.2% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0.1% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.7%  
320 0% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.3% 99.5%  
323 0.4% 99.2%  
324 0.1% 98.8%  
325 0.4% 98.7%  
326 0.9% 98%  
327 2% 97%  
328 0.2% 96%  
329 1.5% 96%  
330 0.8% 94%  
331 2% 93%  
332 0.8% 92%  
333 0.4% 91%  
334 5% 91%  
335 5% 86%  
336 1.0% 81%  
337 0.8% 80%  
338 10% 79%  
339 8% 70%  
340 1.3% 61%  
341 0.4% 60%  
342 2% 60% Median
343 8% 58%  
344 3% 50%  
345 0.5% 47%  
346 5% 47%  
347 6% 42%  
348 12% 36%  
349 2% 24%  
350 0.7% 22%  
351 5% 21%  
352 2% 16%  
353 2% 13%  
354 0.5% 12%  
355 0.8% 11% Majority
356 4% 10%  
357 2% 7%  
358 0.1% 5%  
359 0.8% 5%  
360 1.1% 4%  
361 1.3% 3%  
362 0.1% 2%  
363 0.1% 2%  
364 1.0% 2%  
365 0.1% 0.7%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0% 0.5%  
368 0.3% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0.1% 0.1%  
374 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.7%  
299 0.2% 99.6%  
300 0.8% 99.4% Last Result
301 0.2% 98.5%  
302 1.2% 98%  
303 0.7% 97%  
304 0.3% 97%  
305 1.4% 96%  
306 2% 95%  
307 0.8% 93%  
308 0.9% 92%  
309 0.5% 91%  
310 0.4% 91%  
311 4% 91%  
312 1.4% 87%  
313 3% 85%  
314 5% 82%  
315 2% 77%  
316 7% 75%  
317 10% 68%  
318 1.3% 58%  
319 7% 57%  
320 1.4% 50%  
321 0.7% 49% Median
322 3% 48%  
323 2% 45%  
324 1.0% 42%  
325 6% 41%  
326 2% 35%  
327 2% 33%  
328 14% 31%  
329 0.6% 17%  
330 5% 16%  
331 2% 11%  
332 0.5% 9%  
333 2% 8%  
334 0.8% 7%  
335 0.2% 6%  
336 1.4% 6%  
337 0.2% 4%  
338 0.2% 4%  
339 2% 4%  
340 0.3% 2%  
341 0.5% 1.4%  
342 0.3% 0.9%  
343 0.2% 0.7%  
344 0.2% 0.5%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.2% 99.6%  
291 0.4% 99.4%  
292 0.3% 99.0%  
293 0.3% 98.7%  
294 2% 98%  
295 0.6% 97%  
296 1.2% 96%  
297 1.0% 95%  
298 2% 94%  
299 1.0% 93%  
300 0.6% 92%  
301 2% 91%  
302 3% 89%  
303 1.2% 87%  
304 3% 85%  
305 1.3% 82%  
306 8% 81%  
307 8% 72%  
308 1.1% 64%  
309 9% 63%  
310 2% 54%  
311 2% 51% Median
312 3% 49%  
313 1.2% 46%  
314 4% 45%  
315 3% 41%  
316 1.4% 38%  
317 11% 36%  
318 0.7% 26%  
319 8% 25%  
320 1.3% 17%  
321 3% 16%  
322 3% 13%  
323 2% 10%  
324 1.3% 8%  
325 0.6% 7%  
326 0.4% 6%  
327 0.9% 6%  
328 0.6% 5%  
329 1.3% 4%  
330 1.4% 3%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.7% 2%  
333 0.1% 1.0%  
334 0.4% 0.9%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.1% 0.3%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1% Last Result
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0.1% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.3% 99.5%  
278 0.2% 99.3%  
279 0.3% 99.1%  
280 0.9% 98.8%  
281 3% 98%  
282 0.5% 95%  
283 2% 95%  
284 0.9% 92%  
285 0.5% 92%  
286 0.4% 91%  
287 1.0% 91%  
288 4% 90%  
289 1.4% 85%  
290 4% 84%  
291 10% 80%  
292 9% 69%  
293 2% 60%  
294 2% 58%  
295 3% 56%  
296 0.6% 53% Median
297 0.8% 52%  
298 1.1% 51%  
299 8% 50%  
300 11% 43%  
301 7% 32%  
302 6% 25%  
303 4% 19%  
304 0.6% 15%  
305 0.7% 14%  
306 0.5% 14%  
307 0.7% 13%  
308 1.2% 13%  
309 2% 11%  
310 3% 9%  
311 2% 7%  
312 0.9% 4%  
313 2% 3%  
314 0.6% 2%  
315 0.2% 1.2%  
316 0.1% 1.0%  
317 0.1% 1.0%  
318 0.1% 0.9%  
319 0.2% 0.8%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0.2% 0.5%  
322 0.2% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.1% 99.6%  
246 0.8% 99.5%  
247 0.3% 98.7%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 1.0% 98%  
251 0.2% 97%  
252 0.7% 97%  
253 1.3% 96%  
254 3% 95%  
255 1.5% 92%  
256 1.0% 90%  
257 2% 89%  
258 2% 87%  
259 1.0% 85%  
260 2% 84%  
261 7% 82%  
262 2% 75%  
263 7% 72%  
264 3% 66%  
265 3% 63%  
266 2% 60%  
267 4% 58% Median
268 6% 54%  
269 9% 48%  
270 3% 39%  
271 5% 36%  
272 3% 30%  
273 1.4% 27%  
274 1.4% 26%  
275 2% 25%  
276 10% 23%  
277 3% 13%  
278 1.1% 10%  
279 1.3% 9%  
280 1.3% 7%  
281 0.6% 6%  
282 0.6% 5%  
283 1.4% 5%  
284 2% 3%  
285 0.3% 2%  
286 0.2% 1.4%  
287 0.4% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.8%  
289 0% 0.6%  
290 0.1% 0.5%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0.1% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.1% 99.6%  
230 0.2% 99.5%  
231 0.3% 99.3%  
232 1.1% 99.0%  
233 0.9% 98%  
234 0.6% 97%  
235 0.4% 97%  
236 0.9% 96%  
237 0.9% 95%  
238 0.2% 94%  
239 0.2% 94%  
240 0.3% 94%  
241 0.5% 94%  
242 2% 93%  
243 4% 91%  
244 2% 87%  
245 4% 85%  
246 11% 82%  
247 6% 71%  
248 8% 65%  
249 11% 57%  
250 3% 46% Median
251 4% 43%  
252 6% 39%  
253 7% 34%  
254 1.1% 27%  
255 0.5% 26%  
256 5% 26%  
257 2% 20%  
258 6% 19%  
259 2% 13%  
260 1.1% 11%  
261 0.5% 10%  
262 0.3% 10%  
263 0.5% 9%  
264 3% 9%  
265 0.5% 6%  
266 0.5% 5%  
267 1.2% 5%  
268 1.5% 4%  
269 0.3% 2%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.3% 2%  
272 0.5% 1.2%  
273 0.2% 0.7%  
274 0.2% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.2% 99.6%  
158 0.4% 99.4%  
159 0.4% 99.0%  
160 0.4% 98.6%  
161 0.6% 98%  
162 2% 98%  
163 0.8% 96%  
164 2% 95%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 91%  
167 3% 89%  
168 2% 86%  
169 5% 84%  
170 3% 78%  
171 8% 76%  
172 0.9% 68%  
173 8% 67%  
174 6% 58%  
175 4% 53% Median
176 3% 49%  
177 3% 45%  
178 10% 43%  
179 3% 33%  
180 6% 29%  
181 2% 23%  
182 2% 21%  
183 2% 18%  
184 4% 16%  
185 1.2% 12%  
186 2% 11%  
187 2% 9%  
188 2% 8%  
189 1.2% 5%  
190 0.5% 4%  
191 1.0% 4%  
192 0.3% 3%  
193 1.0% 2%  
194 0.1% 1.3%  
195 0.7% 1.2%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0.2% 99.8%  
135 0.4% 99.6%  
136 0.6% 99.2%  
137 0.2% 98.6%  
138 0.9% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.3% 97%  
141 3% 97%  
142 2% 94%  
143 4% 92%  
144 2% 88%  
145 2% 86%  
146 1.1% 84%  
147 2% 83%  
148 3% 81%  
149 7% 77%  
150 10% 70%  
151 8% 60%  
152 4% 52%  
153 2% 49%  
154 0.8% 47% Median
155 5% 46%  
156 6% 40%  
157 5% 35%  
158 11% 29%  
159 3% 18%  
160 1.0% 15%  
161 0.9% 14%  
162 0.9% 13%  
163 4% 12%  
164 3% 8%  
165 2% 5%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.7% 3%  
168 0.1% 2%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.3% 1.3%  
171 0.4% 1.0%  
172 0.3% 0.7%  
173 0.1% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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Calculations