Opinion Poll by Forsa, 25–29 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.9–23.3% 20.5–23.6% 20.2–23.9% 19.7–24.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.0% 20.8–23.2% 20.5–23.6% 20.2–23.9% 19.6–24.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.1–16.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 13.0% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.1–15.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.3–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 169 160–178 158–182 155–184 151–188
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 169 161–178 156–182 154–183 151–187
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 100–116 98–118 97–120 93–124
Alternative für Deutschland 94 100 92–107 90–110 89–112 86–115
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 61 54–69 54–71 52–73 49–75
Die Linke 69 62 56–69 54–71 52–72 50–76
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 34–44 32–46 32–47 29–50

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.2% 99.6%  
152 0.5% 99.4%  
153 0.5% 98.9%  
154 0.5% 98%  
155 0.5% 98%  
156 1.1% 97%  
157 1.3% 96%  
158 2% 95%  
159 2% 93%  
160 4% 92%  
161 3% 88%  
162 3% 85%  
163 4% 82%  
164 4% 77%  
165 2% 74%  
166 8% 72%  
167 4% 64%  
168 6% 60%  
169 6% 53% Median
170 4% 47%  
171 7% 43%  
172 4% 37%  
173 5% 32%  
174 3% 28%  
175 4% 25%  
176 5% 20%  
177 3% 15%  
178 3% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 2% 7%  
181 0.6% 6%  
182 2% 5%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.4% 1.3%  
187 0.3% 0.9%  
188 0.3% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.5% 99.7%  
152 0.3% 99.2%  
153 0.9% 99.0%  
154 0.9% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 0.9% 95%  
157 0.5% 95%  
158 0.7% 94%  
159 1.3% 93%  
160 2% 92%  
161 3% 90%  
162 6% 87%  
163 8% 81%  
164 2% 73%  
165 5% 71%  
166 7% 66%  
167 2% 59%  
168 3% 57%  
169 8% 54% Median
170 2% 47%  
171 3% 45%  
172 5% 41%  
173 9% 36%  
174 6% 27%  
175 6% 22%  
176 3% 15%  
177 2% 12%  
178 0.4% 10%  
179 0.7% 10%  
180 2% 9%  
181 1.5% 7%  
182 2% 6%  
183 2% 4%  
184 0.7% 2%  
185 0.4% 1.5%  
186 0.4% 1.1%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.6%  
94 0.6% 99.3%  
95 0.4% 98.7%  
96 0.7% 98%  
97 0.7% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 3% 95%  
100 3% 92%  
101 3% 89%  
102 2% 86%  
103 4% 84%  
104 5% 80%  
105 6% 75%  
106 6% 69%  
107 10% 63%  
108 12% 53% Median
109 3% 41%  
110 3% 38%  
111 4% 35%  
112 9% 32%  
113 7% 23%  
114 3% 16%  
115 2% 13%  
116 2% 11%  
117 3% 9%  
118 1.2% 6%  
119 2% 5%  
120 1.1% 3%  
121 1.0% 2%  
122 0.6% 1.2%  
123 0.1% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.5%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.8%  
86 0.3% 99.6%  
87 0.6% 99.3%  
88 1.0% 98.7%  
89 2% 98%  
90 1.0% 96%  
91 3% 95%  
92 3% 92%  
93 2% 89%  
94 3% 88% Last Result
95 9% 84%  
96 7% 76%  
97 7% 69%  
98 6% 62%  
99 5% 56%  
100 5% 51% Median
101 5% 47%  
102 4% 42%  
103 5% 37%  
104 4% 33%  
105 5% 29%  
106 9% 24%  
107 7% 16%  
108 1.2% 9%  
109 2% 8%  
110 1.3% 6%  
111 0.9% 4%  
112 1.2% 3%  
113 1.1% 2%  
114 0.5% 1.2%  
115 0.2% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.3%  
118 0% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.3% 99.5%  
51 0.6% 99.2%  
52 2% 98.6%  
53 0.4% 96%  
54 6% 96%  
55 6% 89%  
56 2% 83%  
57 7% 81%  
58 11% 74%  
59 2% 63%  
60 9% 61%  
61 6% 52% Median
62 3% 46%  
63 9% 43%  
64 5% 34%  
65 5% 29%  
66 8% 24%  
67 0.7% 16%  
68 4% 16%  
69 5% 12%  
70 0.5% 7%  
71 3% 7%  
72 0.9% 4%  
73 0.9% 3%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.6% 0.9%  
76 0% 0.3%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.6%  
51 0.9% 99.5%  
52 1.3% 98.6%  
53 0.8% 97%  
54 4% 97%  
55 1.1% 93%  
56 9% 92%  
57 2% 83%  
58 7% 81%  
59 9% 74%  
60 2% 66%  
61 11% 64%  
62 5% 52% Median
63 5% 48%  
64 13% 43%  
65 3% 30%  
66 6% 27%  
67 5% 21%  
68 5% 16%  
69 4% 11% Last Result
70 0.6% 7%  
71 4% 6%  
72 0.3% 3%  
73 1.0% 2%  
74 0.6% 1.2%  
75 0.1% 0.6%  
76 0.4% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.8%  
30 0.5% 99.3%  
31 0.6% 98.8%  
32 4% 98%  
33 3% 94%  
34 4% 91%  
35 7% 87%  
36 8% 80%  
37 10% 72%  
38 8% 63%  
39 10% 54% Median
40 11% 45%  
41 6% 33%  
42 6% 27%  
43 7% 21%  
44 6% 14%  
45 2% 8%  
46 1.4% 6% Last Result
47 2% 5%  
48 1.0% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.1%  
50 0.2% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 475–497 472–498 470–500 465–505
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 438 100% 427–450 425–453 423–456 417–460
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 378 99.7% 366–389 365–391 360–394 355–400
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 378 99.7% 366–388 364–391 361–393 356–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 369 97% 359–381 356–384 353–385 348–391
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 340 3% 328–350 325–353 324–356 318–361
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 338 3% 328–350 324–353 322–356 316–361
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 317 0% 305–327 302–330 300–333 294–339
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 308 0% 297–319 295–322 292–325 287–330
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 277 0% 267–286 265–291 262–293 256–300
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 269 0% 259–281 256–283 253–285 249–291
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 169 0% 160–178 158–181 155–185 151–190
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 171 0% 161–180 158–183 156–184 152–189

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0.1% 99.9%  
463 0.1% 99.8%  
464 0.1% 99.7%  
465 0.2% 99.7%  
466 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
467 0.2% 99.2%  
468 0.5% 99.0%  
469 0.6% 98.5%  
470 1.2% 98%  
471 0.6% 97%  
472 1.4% 96%  
473 2% 95%  
474 1.2% 93%  
475 2% 91%  
476 4% 89%  
477 5% 85%  
478 2% 80%  
479 3% 79%  
480 6% 76%  
481 6% 70%  
482 4% 64%  
483 3% 60%  
484 2% 57%  
485 7% 55% Median
486 3% 48%  
487 4% 45%  
488 4% 40%  
489 3% 36%  
490 3% 33%  
491 5% 30%  
492 6% 25%  
493 2% 19%  
494 1.2% 17%  
495 2% 16%  
496 4% 14%  
497 4% 10%  
498 0.8% 6%  
499 1.5% 5%  
500 1.0% 3%  
501 0.6% 2%  
502 0.4% 2%  
503 0.2% 1.4%  
504 0.7% 1.2%  
505 0.2% 0.5%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0.1% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.8%  
417 0.3% 99.7%  
418 0.2% 99.4%  
419 0.2% 99.2%  
420 0.3% 99.0%  
421 1.0% 98.8%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 1.3% 98%  
424 0.5% 96%  
425 0.8% 96%  
426 3% 95%  
427 2% 92%  
428 5% 90%  
429 1.3% 85%  
430 3% 84%  
431 3% 81%  
432 3% 78%  
433 2% 75%  
434 6% 73%  
435 5% 67%  
436 4% 62%  
437 3% 58%  
438 6% 55% Median
439 4% 49%  
440 2% 46%  
441 4% 43%  
442 6% 39%  
443 3% 33%  
444 4% 30%  
445 3% 26%  
446 5% 24%  
447 0.6% 18%  
448 5% 18%  
449 2% 12%  
450 2% 10%  
451 1.4% 8%  
452 0.7% 6%  
453 2% 6%  
454 0.6% 4%  
455 0.7% 3%  
456 1.2% 3%  
457 0.3% 1.4%  
458 0.2% 1.0%  
459 0.2% 0.8%  
460 0.2% 0.6%  
461 0.1% 0.4%  
462 0.1% 0.3%  
463 0.1% 0.2%  
464 0.1% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.2% 99.9%  
355 0.3% 99.7% Majority
356 0.3% 99.4%  
357 0.2% 99.1%  
358 0.8% 99.0%  
359 0.1% 98%  
360 0.6% 98%  
361 0.2% 97%  
362 0.6% 97%  
363 0.6% 97%  
364 0.6% 96%  
365 4% 96%  
366 2% 91%  
367 3% 89%  
368 5% 86%  
369 3% 81%  
370 5% 78%  
371 2% 73%  
372 2% 72%  
373 1.4% 70%  
374 3% 69%  
375 5% 66%  
376 3% 61%  
377 4% 57% Median
378 7% 54%  
379 3% 47%  
380 8% 44%  
381 7% 36%  
382 3% 29%  
383 2% 26%  
384 2% 24%  
385 1.1% 22%  
386 5% 21%  
387 0.9% 16%  
388 5% 15%  
389 2% 11%  
390 4% 9%  
391 0.8% 6%  
392 1.4% 5%  
393 0.8% 3%  
394 0.6% 3%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.1% 2%  
397 0.5% 2%  
398 0.2% 1.1%  
399 0.3% 0.9%  
400 0.3% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0.1% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0.1% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0.2% 99.6%  
357 0.4% 99.4%  
358 0.1% 99.0%  
359 0.4% 98.9%  
360 0.3% 98.5%  
361 1.1% 98%  
362 2% 97%  
363 0.3% 96%  
364 0.7% 95%  
365 4% 95%  
366 3% 91%  
367 2% 88%  
368 0.7% 86%  
369 4% 85%  
370 4% 82%  
371 3% 77%  
372 3% 75%  
373 7% 72%  
374 4% 64%  
375 3% 60%  
376 5% 57%  
377 2% 52% Median
378 7% 51%  
379 2% 44%  
380 7% 41%  
381 2% 34%  
382 2% 32%  
383 4% 30%  
384 8% 26%  
385 1.3% 18%  
386 0.7% 16%  
387 2% 16%  
388 6% 14%  
389 1.4% 8%  
390 0.9% 6%  
391 2% 5%  
392 0.4% 4%  
393 0.9% 3%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.2% 2%  
396 0.9% 2%  
397 0.2% 1.0%  
398 0.2% 0.8%  
399 0.2% 0.5%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0.2% 99.8%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 1.2% 99.1%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.7% 98%  
354 0.3% 97%  
355 0.9% 97% Majority
356 1.4% 96%  
357 2% 94%  
358 1.2% 93%  
359 2% 91%  
360 3% 89%  
361 2% 87%  
362 3% 85%  
363 5% 82%  
364 6% 76%  
365 2% 70%  
366 3% 69%  
367 4% 65%  
368 9% 61%  
369 5% 52% Median
370 6% 48%  
371 3% 42%  
372 2% 39%  
373 7% 37%  
374 3% 30%  
375 3% 27%  
376 2% 23%  
377 3% 22%  
378 5% 18%  
379 1.5% 13%  
380 1.5% 12%  
381 3% 10%  
382 1.0% 8%  
383 1.4% 7%  
384 1.3% 6%  
385 2% 4%  
386 0.2% 2%  
387 0.4% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.3% 1.2%  
390 0.3% 1.0%  
391 0.2% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.4%  
393 0.1% 0.3%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.9%  
315 0.1% 99.8%  
316 0.1% 99.8%  
317 0.1% 99.7%  
318 0.2% 99.6%  
319 0.3% 99.4%  
320 0.3% 99.0%  
321 0.3% 98.8%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.2% 98%  
324 2% 98%  
325 1.3% 96%  
326 1.4% 94%  
327 1.0% 93%  
328 3% 92%  
329 1.5% 90%  
330 1.5% 88%  
331 5% 87%  
332 3% 82%  
333 2% 78%  
334 3% 77%  
335 3% 73%  
336 7% 70%  
337 2% 63%  
338 3% 61%  
339 6% 58% Median
340 5% 52%  
341 9% 48%  
342 4% 39%  
343 3% 35%  
344 2% 31%  
345 6% 30%  
346 5% 24%  
347 3% 18%  
348 2% 15%  
349 3% 13%  
350 2% 11%  
351 1.2% 9%  
352 2% 7%  
353 1.4% 6%  
354 0.9% 4%  
355 0.3% 3% Majority
356 0.7% 3%  
357 0.3% 2%  
358 1.2% 2%  
359 0.2% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.2% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.9%  
315 0.2% 99.8%  
316 0.2% 99.6%  
317 0.2% 99.4%  
318 0.2% 99.2%  
319 0.1% 99.0%  
320 0.5% 98.9%  
321 0.8% 98%  
322 1.1% 98%  
323 0.7% 96%  
324 2% 96%  
325 0.9% 94%  
326 1.2% 93%  
327 1.0% 92%  
328 2% 91%  
329 6% 89%  
330 0.8% 83%  
331 3% 82%  
332 2% 79%  
333 8% 77%  
334 3% 69%  
335 4% 67%  
336 4% 63%  
337 3% 58%  
338 8% 56% Median
339 3% 48%  
340 2% 45%  
341 5% 44%  
342 3% 38%  
343 4% 35%  
344 5% 32%  
345 0.9% 26%  
346 8% 25%  
347 1.2% 17%  
348 1.5% 16%  
349 1.4% 14%  
350 5% 13%  
351 0.9% 8%  
352 2% 7%  
353 1.1% 6%  
354 1.1% 4%  
355 0.8% 3% Majority
356 0.5% 3%  
357 0.5% 2%  
358 0.4% 2%  
359 0.4% 1.3%  
360 0.2% 0.9%  
361 0.2% 0.7%  
362 0% 0.5%  
363 0.2% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.2% 99.8%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.5% 99.4%  
297 0.2% 98.9%  
298 0.4% 98.7%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 2% 97%  
302 0.8% 95%  
303 1.4% 94%  
304 3% 93%  
305 1.0% 90%  
306 4% 89%  
307 5% 85%  
308 2% 80%  
309 4% 78%  
310 1.4% 74%  
311 2% 73%  
312 5% 70%  
313 3% 65%  
314 3% 62%  
315 5% 59%  
316 3% 54% Median
317 6% 51%  
318 4% 45%  
319 3% 41%  
320 7% 38%  
321 2% 31%  
322 2% 29%  
323 6% 26%  
324 2% 21%  
325 4% 18%  
326 4% 15%  
327 2% 10%  
328 2% 9%  
329 1.4% 7%  
330 0.8% 5%  
331 0.6% 5%  
332 1.4% 4%  
333 0.4% 3%  
334 0.9% 2%  
335 0.2% 1.3%  
336 0.2% 1.1%  
337 0.2% 0.9%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0.3% 0.6%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0.1% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.2% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.2% 99.5%  
288 0.2% 99.3%  
289 0.2% 99.1%  
290 0.4% 98.9%  
291 0.6% 98%  
292 1.2% 98%  
293 0.3% 97%  
294 1.1% 96%  
295 1.0% 95%  
296 2% 94%  
297 2% 92%  
298 1.3% 89%  
299 2% 88%  
300 3% 86%  
301 3% 83%  
302 4% 80%  
303 4% 76%  
304 7% 72%  
305 5% 66%  
306 4% 61%  
307 5% 57%  
308 2% 52% Median
309 3% 50%  
310 9% 47%  
311 1.4% 38%  
312 7% 36%  
313 6% 30%  
314 4% 23%  
315 3% 20%  
316 2% 16%  
317 2% 15%  
318 2% 13%  
319 2% 11%  
320 0.7% 8%  
321 2% 8%  
322 2% 6%  
323 0.5% 4%  
324 1.2% 4%  
325 0.3% 3%  
326 0.5% 2%  
327 0.9% 2%  
328 0.2% 0.9%  
329 0.2% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.5%  
331 0.2% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0.1% 99.8%  
256 0.5% 99.7%  
257 0.3% 99.3%  
258 0.6% 98.9%  
259 0.2% 98%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.3% 98%  
262 0.2% 98%  
263 0.8% 97%  
264 0.6% 97%  
265 2% 96%  
266 3% 94%  
267 5% 91%  
268 3% 87%  
269 2% 83%  
270 0.6% 81%  
271 0.7% 81%  
272 4% 80%  
273 8% 76%  
274 6% 68%  
275 9% 62%  
276 3% 53%  
277 6% 50% Median
278 2% 45%  
279 1.3% 42%  
280 2% 41%  
281 2% 39%  
282 2% 36%  
283 7% 34%  
284 12% 27%  
285 3% 16%  
286 3% 13%  
287 0.6% 10%  
288 0.7% 9%  
289 1.2% 9%  
290 1.0% 7%  
291 2% 6%  
292 2% 5%  
293 1.1% 3%  
294 0.8% 2%  
295 0.4% 1.3%  
296 0.1% 0.9%  
297 0.1% 0.7%  
298 0.1% 0.7%  
299 0.1% 0.6%  
300 0.2% 0.5%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0.1% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.9%  
247 0.1% 99.7%  
248 0% 99.6%  
249 0.2% 99.6%  
250 0.1% 99.4%  
251 0.6% 99.3%  
252 1.1% 98.7%  
253 0.7% 98%  
254 0.3% 97%  
255 0.8% 97%  
256 1.1% 96%  
257 2% 95%  
258 2% 92%  
259 1.3% 90%  
260 3% 89%  
261 3% 86%  
262 8% 83%  
263 2% 74%  
264 2% 72%  
265 3% 70%  
266 4% 67%  
267 7% 63%  
268 5% 56%  
269 2% 51% Median
270 4% 49%  
271 2% 45%  
272 6% 43%  
273 2% 37%  
274 8% 35%  
275 3% 27%  
276 4% 24%  
277 4% 21%  
278 3% 17%  
279 2% 14%  
280 1.1% 12%  
281 2% 11%  
282 2% 9%  
283 3% 7%  
284 0.8% 4%  
285 0.7% 3%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.6% 2%  
288 0.3% 1.3%  
289 0.3% 1.0%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.4%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0.1% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0.3% 99.6%  
152 0.5% 99.2%  
153 0.3% 98.7%  
154 0.3% 98%  
155 0.6% 98%  
156 0.4% 97%  
157 2% 97%  
158 1.0% 95%  
159 2% 94%  
160 3% 92%  
161 2% 89%  
162 4% 87%  
163 5% 83%  
164 5% 78%  
165 7% 73%  
166 2% 67%  
167 7% 65%  
168 6% 58%  
169 4% 52% Median
170 3% 48%  
171 5% 45%  
172 5% 40%  
173 4% 35%  
174 4% 31%  
175 4% 27%  
176 4% 23%  
177 4% 19%  
178 5% 15%  
179 2% 10%  
180 2% 8%  
181 2% 6%  
182 1.1% 5%  
183 0.5% 4%  
184 0.5% 3%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 1.0% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.2%  
188 0.1% 0.9%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.3% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.3% 99.6%  
153 0.2% 99.3%  
154 0.3% 99.1%  
155 1.2% 98.8%  
156 1.1% 98%  
157 1.4% 97%  
158 2% 95%  
159 1.4% 93%  
160 2% 92%  
161 4% 90%  
162 3% 87%  
163 2% 84%  
164 4% 83%  
165 4% 79%  
166 5% 75%  
167 4% 70%  
168 7% 66%  
169 4% 59%  
170 4% 55% Median
171 6% 51%  
172 5% 45%  
173 6% 40%  
174 5% 34%  
175 6% 29%  
176 6% 23%  
177 3% 17%  
178 2% 14%  
179 1.5% 11%  
180 1.1% 10%  
181 2% 9%  
182 0.6% 7%  
183 3% 6%  
184 1.3% 4%  
185 0.5% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.4%  
188 0.5% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations