Opinion Poll by Forsa, 2–6 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.8% 21.7–23.9% 21.4–24.2% 21.2–24.5% 20.7–25.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.9–23.1% 20.7–23.4% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 13.1–14.9% 12.9–15.2% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 11.0% 10.2–11.8% 10.0–12.1% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 176 167–184 165–187 164–187 159–192
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 168 160–178 158–179 157–182 154–187
Alternative für Deutschland 94 107 102–114 100–117 97–117 95–122
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 84 78–91 76–92 75–94 73–98
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 68 64–75 63–76 62–77 59–82
Die Linke 69 62 56–67 55–68 54–69 52–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 36–45 35–46 34–47 32–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.3% 99.7%  
160 0.4% 99.4%  
161 0.3% 99.0%  
162 0.5% 98.8%  
163 0.7% 98%  
164 1.1% 98%  
165 2% 96%  
166 3% 94%  
167 2% 91%  
168 2% 89%  
169 4% 87%  
170 4% 83%  
171 8% 79%  
172 5% 71%  
173 3% 66%  
174 5% 63%  
175 8% 59%  
176 7% 51% Median
177 5% 43%  
178 3% 39%  
179 8% 36%  
180 2% 28%  
181 6% 26%  
182 8% 21%  
183 2% 13%  
184 1.0% 10%  
185 1.0% 9%  
186 3% 8%  
187 3% 5%  
188 0.7% 2%  
189 0.3% 2%  
190 0.2% 1.4%  
191 0.5% 1.1%  
192 0.3% 0.7%  
193 0.2% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.6%  
154 0.1% 99.6%  
155 0.2% 99.5%  
156 1.0% 99.2%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 4% 97%  
159 2% 93%  
160 6% 91%  
161 1.3% 86%  
162 1.4% 84%  
163 1.5% 83%  
164 2% 81%  
165 4% 80%  
166 5% 76%  
167 10% 70%  
168 13% 60% Median
169 8% 47%  
170 3% 40%  
171 6% 37%  
172 1.4% 31%  
173 1.3% 29%  
174 2% 28%  
175 2% 26%  
176 9% 24%  
177 4% 15%  
178 5% 12%  
179 2% 7%  
180 2% 5%  
181 0.2% 3%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.8% 2%  
186 0.1% 0.7%  
187 0.4% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
95 0.6% 99.7%  
96 0.8% 99.1%  
97 1.5% 98%  
98 0.4% 97%  
99 0.8% 96%  
100 2% 96%  
101 3% 94%  
102 4% 91%  
103 4% 86%  
104 3% 83%  
105 6% 80%  
106 14% 74%  
107 11% 60% Median
108 3% 50%  
109 5% 47%  
110 7% 42%  
111 8% 35%  
112 11% 27%  
113 6% 17%  
114 1.1% 10%  
115 2% 9%  
116 2% 8%  
117 3% 5%  
118 0.8% 2%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.1% 1.3%  
121 0.3% 1.1%  
122 0.6% 0.9%  
123 0.1% 0.3%  
124 0.1% 0.2%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.6% 99.4%  
75 2% 98.7%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 95%  
78 4% 93%  
79 5% 89%  
80 5% 84%  
81 5% 79%  
82 5% 74%  
83 12% 68%  
84 7% 56% Median
85 5% 49%  
86 4% 44%  
87 5% 40%  
88 7% 35%  
89 7% 28%  
90 8% 21%  
91 6% 13%  
92 3% 7%  
93 1.1% 5%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.4% 1.0%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 0.4% 99.2%  
61 0.8% 98.8%  
62 3% 98%  
63 2% 95%  
64 8% 94%  
65 3% 86%  
66 20% 82%  
67 4% 62%  
68 8% 58% Median
69 6% 50%  
70 4% 44%  
71 8% 41%  
72 3% 33%  
73 11% 30%  
74 6% 19%  
75 5% 13%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 5%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.3% 1.3%  
80 0.4% 1.0% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.6%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 0.8% 99.4%  
54 1.3% 98.6%  
55 5% 97%  
56 5% 93%  
57 4% 88%  
58 12% 84%  
59 5% 73%  
60 5% 67%  
61 8% 62%  
62 5% 54% Median
63 14% 50%  
64 14% 35%  
65 3% 22%  
66 7% 18%  
67 4% 11%  
68 4% 8%  
69 2% 4% Last Result
70 0.3% 2%  
71 1.0% 2%  
72 0.5% 1.1%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.7% 99.9%  
33 0.7% 99.2%  
34 1.4% 98.5%  
35 2% 97%  
36 5% 95%  
37 12% 90%  
38 11% 78%  
39 7% 67%  
40 10% 60% Median
41 17% 49%  
42 7% 33%  
43 7% 25%  
44 6% 18%  
45 5% 12%  
46 4% 7% Last Result
47 1.1% 3%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.3% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 471 100% 461–479 459–482 457–483 452–488
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 455 100% 445–463 443–467 440–469 436–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 393 100% 384–403 382–405 379–407 375–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 384 100% 375–396 374–397 370–400 366–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 369 98% 360–380 359–382 356–384 352–390
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 323 0% 313–332 310–336 310–339 304–342
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 324 0% 314–334 312–336 310–338 305–342
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 316 0% 306–325 304–327 302–330 297–334
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 302 0% 290–310 289–312 287–314 284–320
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 285 0% 277–296 275–297 272–298 267–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 256 0% 243–262 243–267 242–269 235–272
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 155 0% 146–162 144–165 142–167 138–170
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 147 0% 139–154 136–156 135–158 132–162

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0.1% 99.9%  
449 0.1% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.2% 99.6%  
453 0.1% 99.4%  
454 1.3% 99.3%  
455 0.1% 98%  
456 0.1% 98%  
457 2% 98%  
458 0.6% 96%  
459 2% 95%  
460 3% 93%  
461 0.8% 90%  
462 3% 89%  
463 6% 87%  
464 0.2% 80%  
465 7% 80%  
466 6% 73% Last Result
467 0.6% 67%  
468 8% 67% Median
469 6% 59%  
470 0.7% 52%  
471 13% 52%  
472 3% 38%  
473 1.1% 35%  
474 9% 34%  
475 5% 25%  
476 2% 20%  
477 7% 18%  
478 0.2% 11%  
479 1.0% 11%  
480 4% 10%  
481 0.2% 6%  
482 0.7% 6%  
483 3% 5%  
484 0% 2%  
485 0.9% 2%  
486 0.5% 1.2%  
487 0% 0.7%  
488 0.4% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0.1% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0.1% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.2% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.2% 99.6%  
437 0.2% 99.4%  
438 0.2% 99.3%  
439 1.2% 99.1%  
440 0.9% 98%  
441 0.3% 97%  
442 2% 97%  
443 0.7% 95%  
444 3% 95%  
445 2% 91%  
446 4% 89%  
447 3% 85%  
448 3% 82%  
449 5% 79%  
450 7% 74%  
451 4% 67%  
452 5% 63% Median
453 5% 58%  
454 2% 52%  
455 7% 50%  
456 5% 43%  
457 4% 39%  
458 6% 35%  
459 4% 29%  
460 3% 26%  
461 8% 22%  
462 3% 15%  
463 2% 12%  
464 1.4% 10%  
465 0.8% 9%  
466 1.2% 8%  
467 3% 7%  
468 0.5% 3%  
469 0.7% 3%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.5% 2%  
472 0.3% 1.2%  
473 0.6% 0.9%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0.1% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.2% 99.6%  
376 0.4% 99.4%  
377 0.5% 99.0%  
378 0.5% 98.5%  
379 0.9% 98%  
380 0.5% 97%  
381 2% 97%  
382 1.0% 95%  
383 2% 94%  
384 4% 92%  
385 2% 88%  
386 3% 87%  
387 2% 84%  
388 5% 81%  
389 9% 76%  
390 0.7% 67%  
391 8% 67% Median
392 6% 59%  
393 4% 52%  
394 5% 48%  
395 4% 43%  
396 6% 40%  
397 6% 34%  
398 3% 28%  
399 6% 25%  
400 3% 19%  
401 2% 16%  
402 2% 14%  
403 6% 12%  
404 0.7% 6%  
405 1.4% 6%  
406 0.9% 4%  
407 0.8% 3%  
408 0.9% 2%  
409 0.1% 2%  
410 0.4% 1.4%  
411 0.3% 1.0%  
412 0.3% 0.6%  
413 0.2% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0.1% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0.1% 100%  
362 0.1% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.3% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0% 99.2%  
369 0.3% 99.2%  
370 1.5% 98.9%  
371 1.5% 97%  
372 0.3% 96%  
373 0.3% 96%  
374 2% 95%  
375 6% 93%  
376 1.3% 87%  
377 0.4% 85%  
378 2% 85%  
379 6% 83%  
380 4% 77%  
381 0.6% 73%  
382 5% 73%  
383 9% 67%  
384 11% 59% Median
385 1.3% 47%  
386 2% 46%  
387 4% 44%  
388 10% 40%  
389 6% 31%  
390 1.4% 25%  
391 1.3% 23%  
392 6% 22%  
393 4% 16%  
394 0.4% 12%  
395 0.7% 12%  
396 4% 11%  
397 3% 7%  
398 0.8% 4%  
399 0.2% 3%  
400 0.6% 3%  
401 0.6% 2%  
402 0.6% 1.3%  
403 0.1% 0.7%  
404 0.1% 0.6%  
405 0.1% 0.5%  
406 0.2% 0.3%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0.1% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.2% 99.7%  
352 0.4% 99.5%  
353 0.9% 99.2%  
354 0.4% 98%  
355 0.2% 98% Majority
356 0.7% 98%  
357 1.3% 97%  
358 0.5% 96%  
359 3% 95%  
360 2% 92%  
361 3% 90%  
362 3% 87%  
363 2% 84%  
364 2% 82%  
365 5% 80%  
366 6% 75%  
367 7% 69%  
368 8% 62% Median
369 4% 54%  
370 3% 50%  
371 3% 47%  
372 3% 45%  
373 8% 42%  
374 7% 34%  
375 7% 27%  
376 2% 20%  
377 3% 18%  
378 2% 15%  
379 2% 13%  
380 2% 11%  
381 2% 9%  
382 3% 7%  
383 1.1% 4%  
384 1.2% 3%  
385 0.5% 2%  
386 0.1% 2%  
387 0.1% 1.5%  
388 0.6% 1.3%  
389 0.2% 0.7%  
390 0.3% 0.5%  
391 0.2% 0.3%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.2% 99.8%  
304 0.2% 99.6%  
305 0.1% 99.5%  
306 0.1% 99.4%  
307 0.4% 99.3%  
308 0.9% 98.9%  
309 0.5% 98%  
310 4% 98%  
311 2% 93%  
312 0.7% 92%  
313 1.0% 91%  
314 2% 90%  
315 4% 88%  
316 4% 84%  
317 4% 79%  
318 3% 75%  
319 6% 73%  
320 3% 67% Median
321 3% 64%  
322 3% 61%  
323 14% 58%  
324 4% 44%  
325 4% 40%  
326 4% 36%  
327 5% 32%  
328 1.2% 27%  
329 2% 26%  
330 5% 24%  
331 2% 19%  
332 9% 17%  
333 2% 8%  
334 0.7% 6%  
335 0.5% 6%  
336 0.9% 5%  
337 0.9% 4%  
338 0.4% 3%  
339 2% 3%  
340 0.1% 1.0%  
341 0.3% 0.9%  
342 0.1% 0.6%  
343 0.1% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.4%  
345 0.2% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100%  
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.6%  
306 0.5% 99.5%  
307 0.4% 99.0%  
308 0.4% 98.6%  
309 0.7% 98%  
310 0.5% 98%  
311 0.2% 97%  
312 2% 97%  
313 3% 94%  
314 1.4% 91%  
315 3% 90%  
316 2% 87%  
317 0.6% 85%  
318 4% 84%  
319 7% 80%  
320 6% 73%  
321 4% 67%  
322 7% 64%  
323 7% 57% Median
324 4% 50%  
325 4% 46%  
326 4% 41%  
327 3% 38%  
328 5% 35%  
329 5% 30%  
330 5% 25%  
331 2% 20%  
332 3% 18%  
333 2% 15%  
334 3% 13%  
335 4% 10%  
336 2% 6%  
337 0.2% 3%  
338 1.1% 3%  
339 0.3% 2%  
340 0.5% 2% Last Result
341 0.3% 1.0%  
342 0.3% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.8%  
297 0.3% 99.6%  
298 0.3% 99.4%  
299 0.4% 99.0%  
300 0.1% 98.6%  
301 0.9% 98%  
302 0.8% 98%  
303 0.9% 97%  
304 1.4% 96%  
305 0.7% 94%  
306 6% 94%  
307 2% 88%  
308 2% 86%  
309 3% 84%  
310 6% 81%  
311 3% 75%  
312 6% 72%  
313 6% 66%  
314 4% 60% Median
315 5% 57%  
316 4% 52%  
317 6% 48%  
318 8% 41%  
319 0.7% 33%  
320 9% 33%  
321 5% 24%  
322 2% 19%  
323 3% 16%  
324 2% 13%  
325 4% 12%  
326 2% 8%  
327 1.0% 6%  
328 2% 5%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.9% 3%  
331 0.5% 2%  
332 0.5% 1.5%  
333 0.4% 1.0%  
334 0.2% 0.6%  
335 0.1% 0.4%  
336 0% 0.3%  
337 0.1% 0.2%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 1.0% 99.4%  
286 0.6% 98%  
287 0.6% 98%  
288 2% 97%  
289 3% 95%  
290 3% 92%  
291 4% 89%  
292 3% 85%  
293 2% 81%  
294 3% 79%  
295 6% 76%  
296 3% 71%  
297 3% 67%  
298 3% 64%  
299 2% 61%  
300 4% 59% Median
301 4% 55%  
302 4% 51%  
303 4% 46%  
304 2% 42%  
305 7% 41%  
306 6% 34%  
307 8% 28%  
308 3% 20%  
309 5% 17%  
310 2% 12%  
311 3% 9%  
312 3% 7%  
313 1.0% 4%  
314 0.8% 3%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 1.0% 2%  
317 0.2% 0.9%  
318 0.1% 0.7%  
319 0.1% 0.6%  
320 0.2% 0.6%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.3% 99.8%  
267 0.4% 99.5%  
268 0.6% 99.1%  
269 0.4% 98%  
270 0.2% 98%  
271 0.1% 98%  
272 0.7% 98%  
273 1.1% 97%  
274 0.7% 96%  
275 0.7% 95%  
276 0.5% 95%  
277 5% 94%  
278 7% 89%  
279 5% 82%  
280 7% 77%  
281 2% 70%  
282 1.4% 68%  
283 9% 67%  
284 5% 58% Median
285 11% 53%  
286 6% 42%  
287 2% 37%  
288 2% 35%  
289 4% 33%  
290 4% 29%  
291 6% 25%  
292 1.3% 18%  
293 2% 17%  
294 3% 16%  
295 2% 12%  
296 5% 11%  
297 2% 5%  
298 1.1% 4%  
299 0.9% 2%  
300 0.3% 2%  
301 0.2% 1.3%  
302 0.4% 1.1%  
303 0.1% 0.7%  
304 0.1% 0.6%  
305 0% 0.5%  
306 0% 0.4%  
307 0.2% 0.4%  
308 0.1% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0.1% 100%  
233 0.1% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0.2% 99.7%  
236 0.2% 99.4%  
237 0.1% 99.3%  
238 0.2% 99.2%  
239 0.3% 99.0%  
240 0.2% 98.7%  
241 0.8% 98%  
242 3% 98%  
243 6% 95%  
244 1.2% 90%  
245 2% 88%  
246 5% 86%  
247 2% 81%  
248 3% 79%  
249 4% 76%  
250 5% 72%  
251 0.7% 67%  
252 4% 66% Median
253 7% 62%  
254 3% 55%  
255 2% 52%  
256 6% 50%  
257 17% 44%  
258 1.1% 27%  
259 11% 26%  
260 3% 15%  
261 1.2% 12%  
262 0.9% 11%  
263 1.3% 10%  
264 0.8% 8%  
265 0.2% 8%  
266 2% 7%  
267 1.5% 5%  
268 1.3% 4%  
269 1.2% 3%  
270 0.3% 1.3%  
271 0.5% 1.0%  
272 0.1% 0.5%  
273 0.3% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.2% 99.6%  
139 0.1% 99.4%  
140 0.2% 99.2%  
141 0.8% 99.0%  
142 2% 98%  
143 0.5% 97%  
144 1.2% 96%  
145 4% 95%  
146 2% 91%  
147 0.6% 88%  
148 6% 88%  
149 5% 82%  
150 5% 77%  
151 6% 72%  
152 6% 66% Median
153 5% 60%  
154 4% 56%  
155 9% 52%  
156 14% 43%  
157 6% 29%  
158 3% 23%  
159 4% 20%  
160 2% 15%  
161 2% 13%  
162 2% 11%  
163 2% 9%  
164 1.2% 7%  
165 2% 5%  
166 0.4% 4%  
167 1.0% 3%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 1.1% 2%  
170 0.2% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.2% 99.8%  
132 0.5% 99.6%  
133 0.2% 99.1%  
134 0.9% 98.9%  
135 2% 98%  
136 3% 96%  
137 1.4% 93%  
138 2% 92%  
139 1.4% 90%  
140 3% 89%  
141 11% 86%  
142 7% 75%  
143 2% 68%  
144 3% 66%  
145 4% 63%  
146 9% 59% Median
147 10% 51%  
148 5% 41%  
149 3% 36%  
150 3% 33%  
151 3% 30%  
152 5% 27%  
153 11% 22%  
154 2% 11%  
155 1.3% 9%  
156 2% 7%  
157 2% 5%  
158 0.7% 3%  
159 1.0% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.3%  
161 0.4% 1.1%  
162 0.3% 0.6%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations