Opinion Poll by YouGov, 13–17 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.7–23.3% 20.3–23.7% 20.0–24.1% 19.4–24.7%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 21.0% 19.7–22.4% 19.4–22.7% 19.1–23.1% 18.5–23.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 15.0% 13.9–16.2% 13.6–16.6% 13.3–16.9% 12.8–17.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 13.0% 11.9–14.1% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.7% 10.9–15.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 165 157–177 154–180 152–183 148–189
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 160 150–168 148–173 145–176 141–180
Alternative für Deutschland 94 114 105–123 104–125 102–128 98–131
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 100 90–107 88–110 88–111 83–117
Die Linke 69 77 70–83 68–87 65–88 64–92
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 54 47–61 47–62 45–63 42–66
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 34–44 32–46 31–47 29–50

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
143 0% 100%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.3% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.3%  
150 0.5% 99.1%  
151 0.5% 98.5%  
152 0.6% 98%  
153 0.5% 97%  
154 2% 97%  
155 2% 94%  
156 0.7% 92%  
157 2% 92%  
158 3% 89%  
159 2% 86%  
160 4% 84%  
161 7% 80%  
162 9% 73%  
163 2% 64%  
164 5% 62%  
165 10% 57% Median
166 1.1% 47%  
167 5% 46%  
168 5% 41%  
169 6% 36%  
170 0.8% 30%  
171 1.4% 29%  
172 6% 28%  
173 4% 22%  
174 2% 18%  
175 3% 16%  
176 2% 13%  
177 2% 11%  
178 2% 9%  
179 2% 7%  
180 1.2% 5%  
181 0.4% 4%  
182 0.8% 4%  
183 0.6% 3%  
184 1.0% 2%  
185 0.2% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.7%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0.3% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0.4% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.2%  
143 0.9% 99.1%  
144 0.7% 98%  
145 0.4% 98%  
146 1.2% 97%  
147 0.8% 96%  
148 2% 95%  
149 1.1% 94%  
150 3% 92%  
151 3% 89%  
152 3% 87%  
153 5% 83%  
154 5% 78%  
155 5% 73%  
156 5% 68%  
157 3% 63%  
158 3% 61%  
159 4% 58%  
160 4% 54% Median
161 4% 49%  
162 6% 46%  
163 3% 40%  
164 7% 37%  
165 4% 30%  
166 6% 25%  
167 7% 20%  
168 3% 13%  
169 1.0% 10%  
170 2% 9%  
171 0.8% 7%  
172 0.9% 6%  
173 1.4% 6%  
174 1.0% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 1.1% 3%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.3%  
179 0.1% 0.9%  
180 0.4% 0.8%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.7% 99.7%  
99 0.3% 98.9%  
100 0.4% 98.7%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 0.4% 98%  
103 0.3% 97%  
104 3% 97%  
105 5% 93%  
106 8% 89%  
107 0.7% 81%  
108 0.6% 80%  
109 3% 80%  
110 5% 77%  
111 5% 72%  
112 11% 67%  
113 4% 57%  
114 3% 52% Median
115 1.4% 50%  
116 2% 48%  
117 18% 46%  
118 10% 28%  
119 2% 18%  
120 2% 16%  
121 0.9% 14%  
122 2% 14%  
123 3% 12%  
124 2% 9%  
125 4% 7%  
126 0.4% 3%  
127 0.1% 3%  
128 0.4% 3%  
129 0.4% 2%  
130 1.2% 2%  
131 0.1% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 0.5% 99.4%  
85 0.4% 98.9%  
86 0.1% 98.5%  
87 0.3% 98%  
88 4% 98%  
89 3% 94%  
90 3% 91%  
91 0.6% 88%  
92 0.3% 87%  
93 3% 87%  
94 5% 84%  
95 11% 79%  
96 3% 68%  
97 0.4% 65%  
98 5% 65%  
99 3% 60%  
100 20% 56% Median
101 6% 37%  
102 1.0% 31%  
103 3% 30%  
104 1.3% 27%  
105 9% 26%  
106 5% 17%  
107 5% 12%  
108 0.1% 7%  
109 0.6% 7%  
110 3% 6%  
111 1.5% 3%  
112 0.7% 2%  
113 0.1% 1.3%  
114 0.1% 1.2%  
115 0.2% 1.1%  
116 0.1% 0.9%  
117 0.5% 0.7%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.5%  
65 1.4% 98.7%  
66 0.9% 97%  
67 0.9% 96%  
68 1.0% 95%  
69 4% 94% Last Result
70 4% 90%  
71 1.2% 86%  
72 4% 85%  
73 6% 81%  
74 9% 75%  
75 10% 67%  
76 4% 57%  
77 4% 53% Median
78 13% 49%  
79 13% 37%  
80 1.5% 23%  
81 2% 22%  
82 7% 20%  
83 3% 13%  
84 2% 10%  
85 1.2% 8%  
86 1.5% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.2% 1.5%  
90 0.3% 1.3%  
91 0.4% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.8%  
42 0.4% 99.7%  
43 1.2% 99.4%  
44 0.4% 98%  
45 0.5% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 9% 96%  
48 0.8% 86%  
49 3% 85%  
50 8% 82%  
51 10% 74%  
52 2% 64%  
53 5% 62%  
54 12% 57% Median
55 7% 45%  
56 0.7% 38%  
57 16% 37%  
58 8% 21%  
59 0.8% 14%  
60 0.7% 13%  
61 5% 12%  
62 5% 7%  
63 0.3% 3%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0.3% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.5%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.8% 99.7%  
30 1.0% 98.9%  
31 2% 98%  
32 2% 96%  
33 3% 93%  
34 5% 90%  
35 9% 85%  
36 8% 76%  
37 9% 68%  
38 8% 59%  
39 11% 51% Median
40 13% 40%  
41 7% 27%  
42 5% 20%  
43 4% 15%  
44 2% 11%  
45 3% 9%  
46 2% 6% Last Result
47 1.2% 3%  
48 0.7% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.3%  
50 0.2% 0.7%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 463 100% 453–477 450–478 448–481 441–486
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 418 100% 407–432 404–434 402–437 395–441
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 373 98% 363–387 359–388 355–391 352–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 366 86% 354–376 351–381 349–384 341–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 358 64% 347–369 343–373 340–376 334–382
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 336 2% 322–346 321–350 318–354 310–357
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 318 0% 311–333 305–334 304–339 297–345
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 313 0% 301–324 297–327 294–330 289–335
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 303 0% 293–315 289–319 287–322 281–328
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 259 0% 249–270 244–274 243–277 238–282
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 261 0% 247–270 243–274 242–275 236–281
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 177 0% 166–186 163–188 161–191 156–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 154 0% 144–162 141–164 139–167 134–173

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0.1% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0.2% 99.8%  
441 0.3% 99.6%  
442 0.1% 99.3%  
443 0.3% 99.2%  
444 0.2% 98.9%  
445 0.2% 98.7%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.3% 98%  
448 0.5% 98%  
449 0.3% 97%  
450 3% 97%  
451 1.0% 95%  
452 2% 94%  
453 3% 92%  
454 2% 89%  
455 2% 88%  
456 7% 86%  
457 1.2% 79%  
458 4% 78%  
459 5% 74%  
460 4% 69%  
461 4% 64%  
462 0.9% 61%  
463 11% 60%  
464 3% 49% Median
465 1.3% 46%  
466 9% 45% Last Result
467 2% 35%  
468 4% 34%  
469 4% 30%  
470 0.7% 25%  
471 2% 24%  
472 3% 22%  
473 2% 19%  
474 5% 17%  
475 0.7% 12%  
476 0.5% 11%  
477 5% 11%  
478 2% 6%  
479 0.8% 4%  
480 0.2% 4%  
481 1.1% 3%  
482 0.9% 2%  
483 0.1% 1.4%  
484 0.5% 1.3%  
485 0.2% 0.8%  
486 0.1% 0.6%  
487 0.2% 0.5%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0.1% 0.2%  
491 0.1% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0.1% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0% 99.8% Last Result
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0.3% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.4%  
397 0.1% 99.3%  
398 0.1% 99.2%  
399 0.4% 99.1%  
400 0.7% 98.7%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0.9% 98%  
403 2% 97%  
404 0.8% 95%  
405 3% 95%  
406 0.2% 91%  
407 1.0% 91%  
408 2% 90%  
409 3% 88%  
410 0.9% 85%  
411 4% 84%  
412 3% 80%  
413 13% 77%  
414 2% 63%  
415 0.8% 62%  
416 1.4% 61%  
417 6% 59%  
418 4% 54% Median
419 2% 49%  
420 1.1% 48%  
421 6% 47%  
422 9% 41%  
423 3% 31%  
424 3% 28%  
425 0.8% 25%  
426 3% 24%  
427 3% 21%  
428 3% 18%  
429 0.4% 15%  
430 2% 15%  
431 1.2% 12%  
432 2% 11%  
433 3% 8%  
434 0.2% 5%  
435 1.0% 5%  
436 0.6% 4%  
437 2% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.2% 1.2%  
441 0.6% 1.0%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.4%  
444 0.1% 0.3%  
445 0.1% 0.2%  
446 0.1% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 1.0% 99.6%  
353 0.2% 98.6%  
354 0.1% 98%  
355 1.1% 98% Majority
356 1.0% 97%  
357 0.3% 96%  
358 0.5% 96%  
359 1.1% 95%  
360 0.6% 94%  
361 1.5% 94%  
362 2% 92%  
363 3% 90%  
364 2% 87%  
365 1.3% 85%  
366 9% 84%  
367 7% 75%  
368 1.2% 69%  
369 2% 67%  
370 7% 65%  
371 1.0% 58%  
372 6% 57% Median
373 11% 51%  
374 2% 40%  
375 4% 38%  
376 5% 34%  
377 4% 30%  
378 2% 26%  
379 2% 24%  
380 1.3% 22%  
381 3% 21%  
382 0.4% 18%  
383 2% 17%  
384 2% 15%  
385 2% 14%  
386 0.3% 12%  
387 6% 11%  
388 1.1% 5%  
389 0.4% 4%  
390 1.3% 4%  
391 0.4% 3%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.1% 2%  
394 0.4% 2%  
395 0.2% 1.2%  
396 0.2% 1.1%  
397 0% 0.9%  
398 0.4% 0.9%  
399 0.2% 0.5%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.3%  
402 0.1% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0.1% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0.2% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.7%  
341 0.2% 99.7%  
342 0.3% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.2%  
344 0.3% 99.1%  
345 0.1% 98.8%  
346 0.4% 98.7%  
347 0.5% 98%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.7% 98%  
350 0.1% 97%  
351 2% 97%  
352 1.2% 95%  
353 0.4% 93%  
354 7% 93%  
355 1.0% 86% Majority
356 11% 85%  
357 1.3% 74%  
358 1.2% 73%  
359 6% 71%  
360 0.7% 65%  
361 5% 64%  
362 1.3% 60%  
363 3% 59%  
364 1.1% 56% Median
365 1.1% 55%  
366 9% 54%  
367 2% 45%  
368 8% 43%  
369 6% 35%  
370 0.6% 29%  
371 7% 29%  
372 2% 22%  
373 3% 21%  
374 5% 18%  
375 0.8% 13%  
376 4% 13%  
377 0.3% 8%  
378 0.6% 8%  
379 1.2% 7%  
380 0.5% 6%  
381 1.1% 6%  
382 0.5% 4%  
383 0.7% 4%  
384 2% 3%  
385 0.2% 2%  
386 0.5% 1.5%  
387 0.1% 1.0%  
388 0.6% 0.9%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.5% 99.8%  
335 0.1% 99.3%  
336 0% 99.2%  
337 0.3% 99.2%  
338 0.1% 98.8%  
339 0.9% 98.7%  
340 0.4% 98%  
341 0.4% 97%  
342 2% 97%  
343 0.5% 95%  
344 0.6% 95%  
345 0.9% 94%  
346 2% 93%  
347 1.4% 91%  
348 0.4% 89%  
349 6% 89%  
350 10% 83%  
351 1.1% 73%  
352 2% 72%  
353 2% 70%  
354 5% 68%  
355 2% 64% Majority
356 0.7% 62%  
357 4% 61%  
358 7% 57% Median
359 5% 50%  
360 2% 44%  
361 4% 42%  
362 9% 38%  
363 0.3% 30%  
364 4% 29%  
365 8% 26%  
366 2% 18%  
367 0.6% 16%  
368 1.3% 15%  
369 4% 14%  
370 2% 10%  
371 0.6% 8%  
372 2% 8%  
373 1.4% 6%  
374 1.1% 4%  
375 0.2% 3%  
376 0.4% 3%  
377 0.9% 2%  
378 0.1% 1.4%  
379 0.1% 1.3%  
380 0.2% 1.2%  
381 0.5% 1.0%  
382 0.1% 0.5%  
383 0% 0.4%  
384 0.2% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0.1% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.7%  
310 0.2% 99.7%  
311 0.4% 99.5%  
312 0% 99.1%  
313 0.2% 99.1%  
314 0.2% 98.9%  
315 0.4% 98.8%  
316 0.1% 98%  
317 0.4% 98%  
318 0.4% 98%  
319 1.3% 97%  
320 0.4% 96%  
321 1.1% 96%  
322 6% 95%  
323 0.3% 89%  
324 2% 88%  
325 2% 86%  
326 2% 85%  
327 0.4% 83%  
328 3% 82%  
329 1.3% 79%  
330 2% 78%  
331 2% 76%  
332 4% 74%  
333 5% 70%  
334 4% 66%  
335 2% 62%  
336 11% 60%  
337 6% 49% Median
338 1.0% 43%  
339 7% 42%  
340 2% 35%  
341 1.2% 33%  
342 7% 31%  
343 9% 25%  
344 1.3% 16%  
345 2% 15%  
346 3% 13%  
347 2% 10%  
348 1.5% 8%  
349 0.6% 6%  
350 1.1% 6%  
351 0.5% 5%  
352 0.3% 4%  
353 1.0% 4%  
354 1.1% 3%  
355 0.1% 2% Majority
356 0.2% 2%  
357 1.0% 1.4%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.8%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.7%  
296 0.1% 99.7%  
297 0.2% 99.7%  
298 0.6% 99.5%  
299 0.2% 98.9%  
300 0.2% 98.7%  
301 0.3% 98.5%  
302 0.3% 98%  
303 0.3% 98%  
304 1.0% 98%  
305 2% 97%  
306 0.9% 94%  
307 0.6% 94%  
308 0.8% 93%  
309 1.0% 92%  
310 0.8% 91%  
311 5% 90%  
312 6% 86%  
313 7% 80%  
314 4% 73%  
315 2% 69%  
316 8% 67%  
317 5% 59%  
318 6% 54% Median
319 14% 48%  
320 5% 34%  
321 1.0% 29%  
322 1.2% 28%  
323 2% 26%  
324 1.0% 24%  
325 1.2% 23%  
326 2% 22%  
327 1.0% 20%  
328 2% 19%  
329 3% 17%  
330 2% 14%  
331 1.0% 13%  
332 0.7% 12%  
333 3% 11%  
334 3% 8%  
335 0.7% 5%  
336 0.6% 4%  
337 0.4% 4%  
338 0.4% 3%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.8% 2% Last Result
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.4% 1.3%  
343 0.1% 0.9%  
344 0.2% 0.7%  
345 0% 0.5%  
346 0.2% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.1% 99.5%  
290 0.2% 99.4%  
291 0.4% 99.2%  
292 1.0% 98.8%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.3% 97%  
296 0.8% 97%  
297 2% 96%  
298 0.8% 94%  
299 2% 93%  
300 1.4% 92% Last Result
301 1.2% 90%  
302 2% 89%  
303 2% 87%  
304 1.2% 85%  
305 1.0% 84%  
306 4% 83%  
307 3% 78%  
308 5% 76%  
309 2% 71%  
310 1.1% 68%  
311 11% 67%  
312 5% 56%  
313 2% 52%  
314 2% 50% Median
315 3% 48%  
316 9% 45%  
317 2% 36%  
318 6% 34%  
319 3% 28%  
320 2% 25%  
321 4% 23%  
322 3% 19%  
323 5% 15%  
324 2% 11%  
325 2% 9%  
326 2% 7%  
327 0.5% 5%  
328 0.8% 5%  
329 0.5% 4%  
330 1.4% 4%  
331 0.6% 2%  
332 0.4% 1.5%  
333 0.3% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0.1% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.5%  
337 0.1% 0.4%  
338 0.1% 0.3%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0.1% 99.9%  
280 0.2% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.6%  
282 0.4% 99.5%  
283 0.1% 99.1%  
284 0.2% 99.0%  
285 0.7% 98.8%  
286 0.4% 98%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 2% 97%  
289 0.8% 95%  
290 0.5% 95%  
291 0.4% 94%  
292 0.8% 94%  
293 3% 93%  
294 2% 90%  
295 2% 88%  
296 6% 85%  
297 1.1% 79%  
298 2% 78%  
299 4% 76%  
300 7% 72%  
301 5% 65%  
302 9% 60%  
303 2% 51%  
304 3% 49% Median
305 2% 47%  
306 2% 45%  
307 10% 43%  
308 6% 33%  
309 1.3% 27%  
310 1.4% 25%  
311 2% 24%  
312 2% 22%  
313 3% 20%  
314 3% 17%  
315 4% 14%  
316 1.2% 10%  
317 2% 9%  
318 2% 7%  
319 1.0% 5%  
320 0.6% 4%  
321 0.4% 4%  
322 1.4% 3%  
323 0.4% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 0.2% 1.4%  
326 0.4% 1.2%  
327 0.2% 0.8%  
328 0.1% 0.5%  
329 0.1% 0.5%  
330 0% 0.3%  
331 0.1% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0.3% 99.6%  
239 0.5% 99.3%  
240 0.5% 98.8%  
241 0.3% 98%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.8% 98%  
244 2% 97%  
245 2% 95%  
246 0.7% 93%  
247 0.8% 92%  
248 1.1% 91%  
249 6% 90%  
250 4% 84%  
251 1.3% 80%  
252 0.9% 78%  
253 4% 78%  
254 3% 74%  
255 10% 70%  
256 3% 61%  
257 1.3% 58%  
258 5% 57% Median
259 8% 52%  
260 3% 44%  
261 7% 41%  
262 3% 35%  
263 2% 32%  
264 4% 30%  
265 3% 26%  
266 0.7% 23%  
267 5% 22%  
268 2% 17%  
269 4% 15%  
270 1.0% 11%  
271 0.4% 10%  
272 3% 9%  
273 1.0% 7%  
274 0.6% 6%  
275 2% 5%  
276 0.3% 3%  
277 0.4% 3%  
278 1.1% 2%  
279 0.3% 1.3%  
280 0.2% 1.1%  
281 0.2% 0.9%  
282 0.2% 0.7%  
283 0.2% 0.5%  
284 0.1% 0.3%  
285 0.1% 0.2%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0.1% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.2% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.7%  
235 0.1% 99.7%  
236 0.1% 99.6%  
237 0.2% 99.5%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.4% 99.2%  
240 0.3% 98.8%  
241 0.4% 98%  
242 1.2% 98%  
243 2% 97%  
244 0.3% 95%  
245 2% 95%  
246 2% 93%  
247 1.0% 91%  
248 3% 90%  
249 2% 86%  
250 1.0% 84%  
251 1.4% 84%  
252 2% 82%  
253 4% 80%  
254 7% 77%  
255 5% 70%  
256 1.4% 65%  
257 5% 63%  
258 4% 58%  
259 2% 54%  
260 2% 52% Median
261 7% 51%  
262 5% 44%  
263 4% 39%  
264 10% 35%  
265 2% 25%  
266 3% 22%  
267 4% 19%  
268 3% 16%  
269 2% 13%  
270 0.8% 11%  
271 2% 10%  
272 0.3% 8%  
273 2% 8%  
274 2% 6%  
275 1.3% 4%  
276 0.4% 2%  
277 0.6% 2%  
278 0% 1.4%  
279 0.3% 1.3%  
280 0.5% 1.0%  
281 0.1% 0.5%  
282 0.1% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.3%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0.1% 0.2%  
286 0.1% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.6%  
156 0.1% 99.5%  
157 0.3% 99.4%  
158 0.1% 99.1%  
159 0.5% 98.9%  
160 0.4% 98%  
161 2% 98%  
162 0.9% 96%  
163 2% 95%  
164 2% 93%  
165 0.3% 91%  
166 2% 91%  
167 0.7% 89%  
168 2% 88%  
169 6% 86%  
170 10% 80%  
171 1.3% 70%  
172 4% 69%  
173 5% 65%  
174 3% 60%  
175 3% 58%  
176 5% 55%  
177 3% 50% Median
178 8% 47%  
179 10% 39%  
180 2% 29%  
181 2% 27%  
182 4% 26%  
183 2% 22%  
184 3% 20%  
185 1.3% 17%  
186 6% 15%  
187 3% 10%  
188 2% 6%  
189 0.5% 5%  
190 0.2% 4%  
191 2% 4%  
192 0.6% 2%  
193 0.6% 2%  
194 0.3% 1.1%  
195 0.4% 0.8%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.8%  
133 0.1% 99.6%  
134 0.1% 99.5%  
135 0.2% 99.5%  
136 0.4% 99.3%  
137 0.7% 98.8%  
138 0.5% 98%  
139 0.4% 98%  
140 1.0% 97%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 94%  
143 0.8% 92%  
144 4% 91%  
145 3% 87%  
146 3% 84%  
147 9% 82%  
148 2% 73%  
149 6% 71%  
150 2% 65%  
151 2% 63%  
152 4% 61%  
153 5% 57%  
154 4% 52% Median
155 5% 48%  
156 8% 43%  
157 9% 35%  
158 3% 26%  
159 2% 23%  
160 2% 21%  
161 3% 19%  
162 7% 16%  
163 4% 9%  
164 1.5% 6%  
165 0.2% 4%  
166 1.1% 4%  
167 0.6% 3%  
168 0.5% 2%  
169 0.4% 2%  
170 0.1% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.4%  
172 0.6% 1.1%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.4%  
175 0.1% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0.1% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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