Opinion Poll by Forsa, 20–24 January 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 22.0–24.1% 21.7–24.4% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.3%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.7% 21.7–23.8% 21.4–24.2% 21.1–24.4% 20.6–25.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 12.0% 11.2–12.9% 11.0–13.1% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 12.0% 11.2–12.9% 11.0–13.1% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 174 166–183 164–185 162–187 159–191
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 172 164–180 162–183 160–185 156–188
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 91 85–97 83–99 82–101 79–104
Alternative für Deutschland 94 91 85–97 83–99 82–101 79–104
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 68 63–74 62–76 60–77 58–80
Die Linke 69 68 63–74 61–76 60–77 58–80
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 43 39–48 38–49 37–50 35–52

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.2% 99.7%  
159 0.3% 99.5%  
160 0.4% 99.2%  
161 0.7% 98.7%  
162 0.8% 98%  
163 1.4% 97%  
164 2% 96%  
165 2% 94%  
166 2% 92%  
167 3% 90%  
168 5% 87%  
169 6% 82%  
170 4% 77%  
171 4% 72%  
172 6% 68%  
173 6% 61%  
174 7% 56% Median
175 5% 49%  
176 6% 44%  
177 7% 38%  
178 5% 31%  
179 5% 26%  
180 4% 21%  
181 4% 17%  
182 3% 13%  
183 2% 10%  
184 2% 8%  
185 1.5% 6%  
186 1.2% 4%  
187 1.0% 3%  
188 0.6% 2%  
189 0.5% 1.3%  
190 0.3% 0.8%  
191 0.2% 0.6%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.3% 99.5%  
158 0.4% 99.1%  
159 0.6% 98.7%  
160 0.9% 98%  
161 1.4% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 2% 94%  
164 2% 91%  
165 3% 89%  
166 4% 86%  
167 6% 82%  
168 5% 77%  
169 5% 72%  
170 6% 67%  
171 7% 61%  
172 6% 54% Median
173 5% 48%  
174 6% 42%  
175 7% 37%  
176 6% 30%  
177 4% 24%  
178 3% 20%  
179 4% 17%  
180 3% 13%  
181 2% 10%  
182 2% 7%  
183 1.4% 5%  
184 0.9% 4%  
185 0.7% 3%  
186 0.7% 2%  
187 0.5% 1.3%  
188 0.3% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.6% 99.3%  
81 0.9% 98.7%  
82 1.3% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 2% 94%  
85 4% 92%  
86 5% 88%  
87 6% 83%  
88 7% 77%  
89 8% 70%  
90 7% 62%  
91 10% 55% Median
92 7% 46%  
93 8% 39%  
94 7% 31%  
95 5% 24%  
96 5% 19%  
97 4% 14%  
98 3% 10%  
99 2% 7%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.1% 3%  
102 0.6% 2%  
103 0.6% 1.3%  
104 0.2% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0%  
113 0% 0%  
114 0% 0%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0%  
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.6%  
80 0.7% 99.4%  
81 0.9% 98.7%  
82 1.1% 98%  
83 3% 97%  
84 3% 94%  
85 3% 91%  
86 6% 87%  
87 6% 81%  
88 6% 76%  
89 8% 70%  
90 6% 62%  
91 7% 56% Median
92 10% 49%  
93 6% 40%  
94 8% 34% Last Result
95 7% 26%  
96 5% 19%  
97 4% 14%  
98 3% 10%  
99 2% 6%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.0% 3%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.5% 1.2%  
104 0.2% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.5% 99.6%  
59 1.0% 99.2%  
60 1.1% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 3% 95%  
63 5% 92%  
64 5% 87%  
65 7% 82%  
66 6% 75%  
67 9% 68%  
68 10% 59% Median
69 11% 49%  
70 7% 39%  
71 7% 31%  
72 6% 24%  
73 6% 18%  
74 4% 12%  
75 2% 8%  
76 2% 5%  
77 1.3% 4%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.3%  
80 0.3% 0.7% Last Result
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.4% 99.6%  
59 0.8% 99.2%  
60 1.0% 98%  
61 3% 97%  
62 2% 94%  
63 6% 92%  
64 3% 87%  
65 9% 83%  
66 6% 74%  
67 11% 69%  
68 8% 57% Median
69 11% 49% Last Result
70 6% 39%  
71 9% 33%  
72 5% 23%  
73 6% 18%  
74 3% 12%  
75 3% 9%  
76 2% 5%  
77 1.4% 4%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.3%  
80 0.3% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 1.0% 99.2%  
37 3% 98%  
38 3% 96%  
39 6% 92%  
40 7% 86%  
41 11% 79%  
42 12% 67%  
43 11% 55% Median
44 12% 44%  
45 8% 32%  
46 8% 24% Last Result
47 5% 16%  
48 4% 10%  
49 3% 6%  
50 1.5% 3%  
51 0.9% 2%  
52 0.5% 0.9%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 481 100% 472–490 470–492 468–494 463–498
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 458 100% 449–468 447–470 445–472 440–476
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 389 100% 380–399 378–402 376–404 371–409
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 376 99.7% 366–384 364–388 361–390 356–393
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 375 99.8% 366–384 363–386 360–389 357–394
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 334 0.2% 325–343 323–346 320–349 315–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 334 0.3% 325–343 322–346 320–349 315–353
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 306 0% 297–316 295–318 292–321 288–325
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 307 0% 297–316 295–319 292–321 288–325
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 284 0% 275–293 272–295 270–298 266–303
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 266 0% 256–275 254–277 252–279 247–284
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 159 0% 152–168 150–170 148–172 144–176
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 160 0% 152–168 150–170 148–172 144–176

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.9%  
461 0.1% 99.8%  
462 0.2% 99.8%  
463 0.2% 99.6%  
464 0.3% 99.4%  
465 0.3% 99.1%  
466 0.5% 98.8% Last Result
467 0.7% 98%  
468 1.0% 98%  
469 1.3% 97%  
470 2% 95%  
471 2% 93%  
472 2% 92%  
473 3% 89%  
474 4% 86%  
475 5% 82%  
476 5% 77%  
477 4% 72%  
478 5% 68%  
479 5% 63%  
480 8% 59% Median
481 5% 51%  
482 5% 46%  
483 5% 41%  
484 5% 36%  
485 5% 32%  
486 5% 27%  
487 4% 21%  
488 5% 18%  
489 3% 13%  
490 3% 10%  
491 2% 7%  
492 1.3% 6%  
493 1.3% 4%  
494 1.0% 3%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.7% 2%  
497 0.3% 1.0%  
498 0.2% 0.7%  
499 0.2% 0.5%  
500 0.1% 0.3%  
501 0.1% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.9%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.2% 99.6%  
441 0.3% 99.5%  
442 0.5% 99.1%  
443 0.5% 98.6%  
444 0.6% 98%  
445 1.3% 98%  
446 1.2% 96%  
447 1.4% 95%  
448 2% 94%  
449 3% 92%  
450 3% 89%  
451 3% 86%  
452 4% 83%  
453 4% 79%  
454 6% 75%  
455 4% 69%  
456 6% 65%  
457 6% 59% Median
458 5% 53%  
459 5% 48%  
460 6% 43%  
461 4% 37%  
462 5% 33%  
463 4% 28%  
464 5% 24%  
465 4% 18%  
466 2% 14%  
467 1.4% 12%  
468 3% 11%  
469 2% 8%  
470 1.1% 5%  
471 1.3% 4%  
472 0.8% 3%  
473 0.6% 2%  
474 0.3% 1.4%  
475 0.4% 1.0%  
476 0.3% 0.7%  
477 0.1% 0.4%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0.1% 0.2%  
480 0.1% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0.1% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.2% 99.6%  
372 0.3% 99.3%  
373 0.3% 99.1%  
374 0.4% 98.8%  
375 0.8% 98%  
376 0.7% 98%  
377 2% 97%  
378 2% 95%  
379 1.1% 93%  
380 3% 92%  
381 3% 89%  
382 2% 86%  
383 4% 84%  
384 3% 80%  
385 3% 76%  
386 6% 73%  
387 4% 67%  
388 6% 62%  
389 7% 56% Median
390 3% 50%  
391 6% 46%  
392 5% 40%  
393 3% 35%  
394 4% 31%  
395 5% 27%  
396 2% 22%  
397 3% 20%  
398 5% 16%  
399 2% 11%  
400 3% 9%  
401 1.5% 7%  
402 1.1% 5%  
403 1.4% 4%  
404 0.6% 3%  
405 0.4% 2%  
406 0.7% 2%  
407 0.2% 1.0%  
408 0.3% 0.8%  
409 0.3% 0.5%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0.1% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.9%  
355 0.2% 99.7% Majority
356 0.3% 99.5%  
357 0.3% 99.2%  
358 0.5% 98.9%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.5% 97%  
363 0.8% 97%  
364 2% 96%  
365 2% 94%  
366 6% 92%  
367 5% 86%  
368 4% 81%  
369 5% 77%  
370 4% 71%  
371 3% 68%  
372 2% 65%  
373 2% 63%  
374 3% 61% Median
375 4% 58%  
376 6% 54%  
377 6% 47%  
378 9% 41%  
379 9% 32%  
380 5% 24%  
381 4% 18%  
382 3% 15%  
383 1.4% 12%  
384 0.9% 10%  
385 0.9% 10%  
386 1.1% 9%  
387 2% 7%  
388 2% 6%  
389 1.4% 4%  
390 1.1% 3%  
391 0.9% 2%  
392 0.4% 0.9%  
393 0.2% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.3% 99.5%  
358 0.5% 99.2%  
359 0.5% 98.8%  
360 0.8% 98%  
361 0.9% 97%  
362 0.8% 97%  
363 0.9% 96%  
364 1.2% 95%  
365 2% 94%  
366 3% 91%  
367 4% 88%  
368 5% 84%  
369 3% 79%  
370 4% 75%  
371 3% 72%  
372 4% 69%  
373 5% 65%  
374 7% 60% Median
375 6% 54%  
376 6% 48%  
377 7% 42%  
378 4% 35%  
379 5% 31%  
380 3% 26%  
381 3% 23%  
382 3% 20%  
383 5% 18%  
384 3% 13%  
385 3% 10%  
386 2% 7%  
387 1.2% 5%  
388 0.7% 4%  
389 0.5% 3%  
390 0.6% 2%  
391 0.5% 2%  
392 0.4% 1.3%  
393 0.3% 0.9%  
394 0.2% 0.5%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0.1% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.9%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.2% 99.7%  
316 0.3% 99.5%  
317 0.4% 99.1%  
318 0.5% 98.7%  
319 0.6% 98%  
320 0.5% 98%  
321 0.7% 97%  
322 1.2% 96%  
323 2% 95%  
324 3% 93%  
325 3% 90%  
326 5% 87%  
327 3% 82%  
328 3% 80%  
329 3% 77%  
330 5% 74%  
331 4% 69%  
332 7% 65%  
333 6% 58% Median
334 6% 52%  
335 7% 46%  
336 5% 40%  
337 4% 35%  
338 3% 31%  
339 4% 28%  
340 3% 25%  
341 5% 21%  
342 4% 16%  
343 3% 12%  
344 2% 9%  
345 1.2% 6%  
346 0.9% 5%  
347 0.8% 4%  
348 0.9% 3%  
349 0.8% 3%  
350 0.5% 2%  
351 0.5% 1.2%  
352 0.3% 0.8%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.2% 99.7%  
316 0.3% 99.5%  
317 0.4% 99.2%  
318 0.4% 98.8%  
319 0.8% 98%  
320 0.8% 98%  
321 1.0% 97%  
322 2% 96%  
323 2% 94%  
324 2% 92%  
325 2% 90%  
326 3% 88%  
327 4% 86%  
328 3% 82%  
329 6% 79%  
330 4% 72%  
331 6% 68%  
332 4% 62%  
333 5% 58% Median
334 6% 53%  
335 6% 47%  
336 4% 41%  
337 7% 37%  
338 4% 30%  
339 4% 26%  
340 3% 23%  
341 3% 20%  
342 3% 16%  
343 3% 13%  
344 3% 10%  
345 2% 7%  
346 1.3% 6%  
347 0.7% 4%  
348 0.8% 3%  
349 1.0% 3%  
350 0.5% 2%  
351 0.3% 1.0%  
352 0.2% 0.7%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.2% 99.6%  
289 0.3% 99.4%  
290 0.3% 99.1%  
291 0.6% 98.8%  
292 0.8% 98%  
293 0.7% 97%  
294 1.5% 97%  
295 1.3% 95%  
296 2% 94%  
297 2% 91%  
298 3% 89%  
299 3% 86%  
300 3% 83%  
301 4% 80%  
302 5% 76%  
303 5% 71%  
304 5% 66%  
305 6% 62%  
306 6% 56% Median
307 5% 50%  
308 5% 44%  
309 5% 39%  
310 5% 34%  
311 5% 30%  
312 5% 25%  
313 3% 20%  
314 3% 17%  
315 3% 14%  
316 2% 11%  
317 2% 9%  
318 1.5% 6%  
319 1.3% 5%  
320 1.0% 4%  
321 0.8% 3%  
322 0.4% 2%  
323 0.3% 1.3%  
324 0.3% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0.1% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.2% 99.6%  
289 0.4% 99.4%  
290 0.3% 99.0%  
291 0.5% 98.7%  
292 1.0% 98%  
293 1.0% 97%  
294 0.8% 96%  
295 2% 95%  
296 2% 94%  
297 2% 91%  
298 3% 89%  
299 4% 87%  
300 3% 82%  
301 3% 79%  
302 6% 76%  
303 4% 70%  
304 4% 66%  
305 5% 62%  
306 6% 57% Median
307 7% 51%  
308 4% 44%  
309 7% 40%  
310 3% 33%  
311 5% 30%  
312 5% 24%  
313 3% 19%  
314 3% 16%  
315 2% 13%  
316 2% 11%  
317 2% 8%  
318 1.5% 7%  
319 2% 5%  
320 1.1% 4%  
321 0.6% 3%  
322 0.6% 2%  
323 0.5% 1.5%  
324 0.3% 1.0%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.2% 0.5%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.2% 99.5%  
267 0.3% 99.3%  
268 0.5% 99.0%  
269 0.8% 98%  
270 0.8% 98%  
271 1.0% 97%  
272 1.2% 96%  
273 2% 95%  
274 3% 93%  
275 3% 90%  
276 3% 87%  
277 3% 84%  
278 3% 81%  
279 6% 78%  
280 6% 72%  
281 4% 66%  
282 6% 62%  
283 4% 55% Median
284 4% 52%  
285 6% 47%  
286 6% 42%  
287 6% 36%  
288 4% 30%  
289 4% 26%  
290 3% 22%  
291 4% 19%  
292 3% 15%  
293 3% 12%  
294 2% 8%  
295 1.3% 6%  
296 1.1% 5%  
297 0.9% 4%  
298 0.8% 3%  
299 0.5% 2%  
300 0.5% 2%  
301 0.4% 1.1%  
302 0.2% 0.7%  
303 0.2% 0.5%  
304 0.2% 0.4%  
305 0.1% 0.2%  
306 0.1% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.9%  
246 0.1% 99.8%  
247 0.2% 99.7%  
248 0.3% 99.4%  
249 0.3% 99.2%  
250 0.4% 98.9%  
251 0.8% 98%  
252 0.8% 98%  
253 1.1% 97%  
254 2% 96%  
255 2% 94%  
256 3% 92%  
257 3% 90%  
258 3% 87%  
259 4% 83%  
260 4% 79%  
261 4% 75%  
262 5% 72%  
263 6% 67%  
264 5% 62%  
265 6% 57% Median
266 6% 50%  
267 5% 45%  
268 6% 40%  
269 6% 34%  
270 4% 28%  
271 4% 24%  
272 3% 19%  
273 3% 16%  
274 2% 13%  
275 3% 11%  
276 2% 8%  
277 1.3% 6%  
278 1.1% 4%  
279 0.9% 3%  
280 0.7% 2%  
281 0.5% 2%  
282 0.4% 1.3%  
283 0.4% 0.9%  
284 0.2% 0.5%  
285 0.1% 0.4%  
286 0.1% 0.2%  
287 0.1% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.4% 99.4%  
146 0.6% 99.1%  
147 0.8% 98%  
148 0.8% 98%  
149 2% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 3% 93%  
152 3% 91%  
153 4% 88%  
154 5% 84%  
155 5% 80%  
156 6% 75%  
157 5% 69%  
158 8% 64%  
159 7% 56% Median
160 7% 49%  
161 5% 43%  
162 6% 37%  
163 6% 32%  
164 4% 26%  
165 4% 22%  
166 4% 17%  
167 3% 14%  
168 3% 10%  
169 2% 7%  
170 2% 6%  
171 1.2% 4%  
172 1.0% 3%  
173 0.6% 2%  
174 0.3% 1.1%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.2% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.2% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.6%  
145 0.4% 99.4%  
146 0.6% 99.1%  
147 0.6% 98%  
148 1.1% 98%  
149 1.5% 97%  
150 2% 95%  
151 2% 93%  
152 3% 91%  
153 4% 88%  
154 4% 84%  
155 5% 80%  
156 5% 74%  
157 6% 69%  
158 7% 63%  
159 5% 55% Median
160 6% 50%  
161 7% 44%  
162 5% 37%  
163 6% 33%  
164 5% 27%  
165 5% 22%  
166 4% 17%  
167 3% 13%  
168 3% 10%  
169 2% 7%  
170 2% 6%  
171 1.3% 4%  
172 0.7% 3%  
173 0.7% 2%  
174 0.6% 1.3%  
175 0.2% 0.7%  
176 0.3% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations