Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 3–5 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.9% 20.0–24.2% 19.4–24.9%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.0% 20.6–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 19.9–24.1% 19.3–24.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–11.1%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 165 155–176 152–178 150–181 146–186
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 165 155–175 152–178 150–181 145–186
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 105 97–114 94–116 92–118 88–123
Alternative für Deutschland 94 105 97–113 94–116 92–118 88–123
Die Linke 69 67 60–75 59–77 58–79 54–83
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 60 54–67 52–69 51–71 48–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 41 36–47 34–49 33–50 31–53

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.6%  
146 0.3% 99.5%  
147 0.5% 99.2%  
148 0.4% 98.7%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 1.0% 98%  
151 1.3% 97%  
152 0.9% 96%  
153 2% 95%  
154 2% 93%  
155 2% 91%  
156 2% 89%  
157 3% 87%  
158 5% 84%  
159 3% 79%  
160 3% 76%  
161 4% 73%  
162 7% 69%  
163 3% 62%  
164 4% 59%  
165 6% 55% Median
166 6% 49%  
167 4% 43%  
168 3% 39%  
169 7% 36%  
170 4% 29%  
171 3% 25%  
172 3% 23%  
173 4% 20%  
174 3% 15%  
175 2% 13%  
176 3% 11%  
177 2% 8%  
178 1.4% 6%  
179 0.8% 5%  
180 1.2% 4%  
181 0.7% 3%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.4% 1.2%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.8%  
144 0.2% 99.7%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.3% 99.3%  
147 0.4% 99.1%  
148 0.6% 98.7%  
149 0.6% 98%  
150 0.9% 98%  
151 1.3% 97%  
152 1.2% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 2% 92%  
155 2% 90%  
156 3% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 4% 82%  
159 4% 78%  
160 4% 74%  
161 3% 70%  
162 6% 66%  
163 5% 60%  
164 5% 55%  
165 6% 51% Median
166 5% 45%  
167 6% 40%  
168 3% 35%  
169 6% 32%  
170 3% 26%  
171 2% 23%  
172 5% 20%  
173 2% 15%  
174 2% 13%  
175 3% 11%  
176 1.3% 8%  
177 1.1% 7%  
178 2% 6%  
179 0.7% 4%  
180 0.6% 3%  
181 0.9% 3%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.4% 1.5%  
184 0.3% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.3% 99.5%  
90 0.5% 99.2%  
91 0.5% 98.7%  
92 0.8% 98%  
93 0.9% 97%  
94 2% 96%  
95 2% 95%  
96 2% 93%  
97 4% 90%  
98 4% 86%  
99 3% 82%  
100 4% 79%  
101 4% 74%  
102 6% 70%  
103 6% 65%  
104 6% 59%  
105 8% 53% Median
106 7% 45%  
107 5% 38%  
108 4% 34%  
109 4% 29%  
110 5% 26%  
111 4% 21%  
112 4% 17%  
113 3% 13%  
114 3% 10%  
115 2% 7%  
116 1.2% 6%  
117 1.0% 4%  
118 1.0% 3%  
119 0.7% 2%  
120 0.6% 2%  
121 0.4% 1.2%  
122 0.3% 0.8%  
123 0.2% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.2%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.4%  
90 0.5% 99.3%  
91 1.1% 98.8%  
92 0.4% 98%  
93 0.4% 97%  
94 2% 97% Last Result
95 3% 95%  
96 0.9% 92%  
97 3% 91%  
98 5% 88%  
99 4% 83%  
100 3% 79%  
101 8% 76%  
102 6% 68%  
103 2% 62%  
104 7% 60%  
105 11% 53% Median
106 3% 42%  
107 2% 39%  
108 8% 37%  
109 7% 30%  
110 2% 23%  
111 3% 21%  
112 5% 17%  
113 2% 12%  
114 2% 10%  
115 3% 8%  
116 2% 5%  
117 0.4% 4%  
118 0.8% 3%  
119 0.9% 2%  
120 0.4% 2%  
121 0.2% 1.1%  
122 0.3% 0.9%  
123 0.3% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.4%  
125 0.1% 0.3%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.8%  
55 0.7% 99.4%  
56 0.6% 98.8%  
57 0.5% 98%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 96%  
60 2% 92%  
61 2% 90%  
62 5% 88%  
63 8% 84%  
64 5% 75%  
65 2% 70%  
66 6% 68%  
67 12% 62% Median
68 8% 49%  
69 3% 42% Last Result
70 6% 39%  
71 11% 33%  
72 5% 22%  
73 2% 17%  
74 3% 15%  
75 4% 12%  
76 3% 8%  
77 0.7% 5%  
78 1.0% 4%  
79 1.3% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.2% 1.1%  
82 0.2% 0.9%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.8%  
48 0.4% 99.5%  
49 0.6% 99.2%  
50 1.0% 98.5%  
51 2% 98%  
52 2% 96%  
53 4% 94%  
54 4% 90%  
55 6% 86%  
56 6% 81%  
57 7% 74%  
58 8% 68%  
59 6% 60%  
60 8% 54% Median
61 7% 46%  
62 7% 39%  
63 7% 32%  
64 5% 26%  
65 5% 21%  
66 3% 15%  
67 3% 12%  
68 3% 9%  
69 1.5% 6%  
70 2% 4%  
71 0.8% 3%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.2%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.8%  
32 1.0% 99.3%  
33 1.5% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 2% 95%  
36 3% 93%  
37 4% 89%  
38 8% 86%  
39 11% 78%  
40 13% 66%  
41 14% 54% Median
42 9% 40%  
43 6% 31%  
44 4% 25%  
45 4% 22%  
46 4% 18% Last Result
47 4% 14%  
48 4% 10%  
49 2% 5%  
50 1.5% 3%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.2% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 476 100% 465–487 462–490 459–493 453–498
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 431 100% 420–443 416–446 413–449 408–455
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 371 96% 359–383 356–386 353–390 347–395
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 371 97% 359–382 357–386 352–390 347–394
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 371 96% 359–383 356–386 353–389 347–395
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 338 4% 326–350 323–353 319–356 314–362
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 330 0.5% 319–342 315–346 312–349 307–354
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 310 0% 299–323 296–326 293–330 287–335
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 311 0% 299–323 296–326 293–329 287–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 271 0% 259–282 255–285 252–288 247–294
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 266 0% 254–278 251–281 248–284 243–290
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 173 0% 163–183 160–186 157–188 153–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 165 0% 155–176 153–179 150–181 145–185

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.2% 99.6%  
454 0.2% 99.4%  
455 0.3% 99.3%  
456 0.4% 99.0%  
457 0.4% 98.6%  
458 0.7% 98%  
459 0.5% 98%  
460 0.9% 97%  
461 1.0% 96%  
462 1.1% 95%  
463 1.3% 94%  
464 2% 93%  
465 3% 91%  
466 3% 89% Last Result
467 2% 86%  
468 2% 83%  
469 3% 81%  
470 3% 78%  
471 5% 75%  
472 4% 70%  
473 3% 66%  
474 7% 63%  
475 3% 56%  
476 5% 53% Median
477 4% 49%  
478 5% 45%  
479 4% 40%  
480 4% 36%  
481 5% 32%  
482 3% 26%  
483 3% 24%  
484 3% 21%  
485 2% 18%  
486 4% 16%  
487 2% 11%  
488 1.5% 10%  
489 2% 8%  
490 1.3% 6%  
491 0.8% 5%  
492 1.0% 4%  
493 0.9% 3%  
494 0.5% 2%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.4% 1.3%  
497 0.2% 0.9%  
498 0.2% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0.1% 0.4%  
501 0.1% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0.1% 99.9%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.2% 99.5%  
409 0.2% 99.4%  
410 0.2% 99.1%  
411 0.6% 99.0%  
412 0.4% 98%  
413 0.5% 98%  
414 1.0% 97%  
415 0.9% 97%  
416 1.3% 96%  
417 0.9% 94%  
418 1.0% 93%  
419 2% 92%  
420 2% 90%  
421 3% 89%  
422 2% 86%  
423 3% 84%  
424 5% 81%  
425 2% 76%  
426 3% 74%  
427 4% 70%  
428 2% 66%  
429 6% 63%  
430 4% 57%  
431 4% 53% Median
432 4% 49%  
433 4% 45%  
434 4% 41%  
435 4% 37%  
436 5% 33%  
437 5% 28%  
438 2% 24%  
439 3% 22%  
440 4% 19%  
441 2% 15%  
442 2% 14%  
443 2% 12%  
444 2% 10%  
445 2% 8%  
446 1.3% 6%  
447 0.8% 5%  
448 0.8% 4%  
449 0.8% 3%  
450 0.6% 2%  
451 0.4% 2%  
452 0.3% 1.3%  
453 0.3% 1.0%  
454 0.2% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.5%  
456 0.1% 0.4%  
457 0.1% 0.3%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.2% 99.6%  
348 0.2% 99.4%  
349 0.4% 99.2%  
350 0.3% 98.9%  
351 0.4% 98.5%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.6% 97%  
355 0.9% 96% Majority
356 2% 96%  
357 1.1% 94%  
358 2% 93%  
359 2% 91%  
360 2% 88%  
361 3% 87%  
362 2% 83%  
363 3% 81%  
364 2% 78%  
365 3% 76%  
366 2% 72%  
367 5% 70%  
368 4% 65%  
369 3% 61%  
370 8% 58%  
371 3% 51% Median
372 6% 47%  
373 3% 41%  
374 3% 38%  
375 4% 35%  
376 3% 31%  
377 3% 28%  
378 3% 25%  
379 4% 23%  
380 3% 18%  
381 3% 16%  
382 2% 13%  
383 2% 11%  
384 2% 9%  
385 1.0% 7%  
386 1.1% 6%  
387 0.8% 5%  
388 0.5% 4%  
389 0.8% 4%  
390 0.5% 3%  
391 0.6% 2%  
392 0.5% 2%  
393 0.3% 1.1%  
394 0.2% 0.9%  
395 0.2% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0.1% 99.9%  
346 0.1% 99.8%  
347 0.3% 99.7%  
348 0.2% 99.4%  
349 0.4% 99.1%  
350 0.5% 98.7%  
351 0.4% 98%  
352 0.3% 98%  
353 0.2% 97%  
354 0.4% 97%  
355 0.4% 97% Majority
356 1.2% 96%  
357 1.5% 95%  
358 2% 94%  
359 2% 91%  
360 4% 89%  
361 3% 85%  
362 3% 82%  
363 2% 79%  
364 1.2% 78%  
365 1.4% 77%  
366 2% 75%  
367 3% 73%  
368 5% 70%  
369 6% 65%  
370 6% 59%  
371 8% 53% Median
372 4% 45%  
373 4% 40%  
374 2% 36%  
375 2% 35%  
376 1.5% 33%  
377 2% 31%  
378 3% 29%  
379 5% 26%  
380 4% 21%  
381 6% 18%  
382 2% 12%  
383 2% 10%  
384 2% 8%  
385 0.7% 6%  
386 0.4% 5%  
387 0.6% 5%  
388 0.5% 4%  
389 0.7% 4%  
390 0.8% 3%  
391 0.8% 2%  
392 0.5% 1.5%  
393 0.4% 1.0%  
394 0.2% 0.7%  
395 0.1% 0.4%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.9%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.2% 99.6%  
348 0.2% 99.4%  
349 0.2% 99.3%  
350 0.4% 99.0%  
351 0.5% 98.6%  
352 0.6% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.6% 97%  
355 0.9% 96% Majority
356 2% 95%  
357 1.2% 94%  
358 1.4% 92%  
359 2% 91%  
360 2% 89%  
361 3% 87%  
362 2% 84%  
363 3% 81%  
364 3% 78%  
365 4% 76%  
366 3% 72%  
367 5% 69%  
368 5% 64%  
369 4% 60%  
370 4% 55%  
371 3% 51% Median
372 5% 49%  
373 4% 44%  
374 3% 39%  
375 4% 36%  
376 4% 32%  
377 3% 28%  
378 4% 25%  
379 3% 21%  
380 2% 18%  
381 2% 16%  
382 2% 14%  
383 3% 12%  
384 2% 9%  
385 1.0% 7%  
386 1.5% 6%  
387 0.9% 5%  
388 0.9% 4%  
389 0.7% 3%  
390 0.5% 2%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.4% 2%  
393 0.3% 1.2%  
394 0.2% 0.9%  
395 0.2% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0.1% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0.2% 99.6%  
315 0.2% 99.4%  
316 0.3% 99.1%  
317 0.5% 98.9%  
318 0.6% 98%  
319 0.5% 98%  
320 0.8% 97%  
321 0.5% 96%  
322 0.8% 96%  
323 1.1% 95%  
324 1.0% 94%  
325 2% 93%  
326 2% 91%  
327 2% 89%  
328 3% 87%  
329 3% 84%  
330 4% 82%  
331 3% 77%  
332 3% 75%  
333 3% 72%  
334 4% 69%  
335 3% 65%  
336 3% 62%  
337 6% 59% Median
338 3% 53%  
339 8% 49%  
340 3% 42%  
341 4% 39%  
342 5% 35%  
343 2% 30%  
344 3% 28%  
345 2% 24%  
346 3% 22%  
347 2% 19%  
348 3% 17%  
349 2% 13%  
350 2% 12%  
351 2% 9%  
352 1.1% 7%  
353 2% 6%  
354 0.9% 4%  
355 0.6% 4% Majority
356 0.6% 3%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.4% 2%  
359 0.3% 1.5%  
360 0.4% 1.1%  
361 0.2% 0.8%  
362 0.2% 0.6%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.9%  
304 0.1% 99.8%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.6%  
307 0.2% 99.6%  
308 0.3% 99.3%  
309 0.3% 99.1%  
310 0.6% 98.8%  
311 0.5% 98%  
312 0.6% 98%  
313 0.6% 97%  
314 0.9% 96%  
315 0.8% 96%  
316 1.2% 95%  
317 2% 94%  
318 2% 92%  
319 3% 90%  
320 2% 87%  
321 4% 85%  
322 2% 81%  
323 2% 79%  
324 3% 77%  
325 3% 74%  
326 3% 71%  
327 3% 68%  
328 5% 65%  
329 5% 60%  
330 5% 54% Median
331 6% 49%  
332 4% 43%  
333 4% 39%  
334 3% 36%  
335 2% 32%  
336 3% 30%  
337 3% 27%  
338 3% 24%  
339 5% 21%  
340 3% 17%  
341 3% 14%  
342 2% 11%  
343 2% 9%  
344 0.8% 7%  
345 1.0% 6%  
346 1.0% 5%  
347 0.6% 4%  
348 1.0% 4%  
349 0.6% 3%  
350 0.6% 2%  
351 0.5% 2%  
352 0.3% 1.1%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.5% Majority
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0.1% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.2% 99.6%  
288 0.2% 99.5%  
289 0.3% 99.3%  
290 0.4% 99.0%  
291 0.4% 98.7%  
292 0.6% 98%  
293 0.6% 98%  
294 0.8% 97%  
295 1.3% 96%  
296 1.0% 95%  
297 1.4% 94%  
298 1.5% 93%  
299 1.5% 91%  
300 3% 90%  
301 3% 87%  
302 3% 84%  
303 3% 81%  
304 2% 78%  
305 5% 76%  
306 2% 71%  
307 5% 68%  
308 4% 63%  
309 5% 59%  
310 5% 55%  
311 3% 50% Median
312 5% 47%  
313 3% 42%  
314 4% 39%  
315 4% 35%  
316 3% 31%  
317 4% 28%  
318 3% 24%  
319 3% 21%  
320 3% 18%  
321 2% 15%  
322 3% 13%  
323 1.0% 10%  
324 2% 9%  
325 2% 7%  
326 1.0% 6%  
327 1.0% 5%  
328 0.8% 4%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.8% 3%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.3% 1.4%  
333 0.3% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 0.7%  
335 0.2% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0.1% 0.3%  
338 0.1% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1% Last Result
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.3% 99.3%  
290 0.2% 99.0%  
291 0.6% 98.8%  
292 0.4% 98%  
293 0.7% 98%  
294 1.0% 97%  
295 0.7% 96%  
296 1.1% 95%  
297 2% 94%  
298 2% 93%  
299 2% 90%  
300 2% 89%  
301 3% 87%  
302 3% 84%  
303 3% 82%  
304 4% 79%  
305 4% 75%  
306 3% 71%  
307 4% 68%  
308 5% 64%  
309 4% 59%  
310 4% 55%  
311 5% 51% Median
312 4% 46%  
313 5% 43%  
314 3% 38%  
315 4% 35%  
316 4% 31%  
317 4% 27%  
318 2% 23%  
319 2% 21%  
320 4% 19%  
321 2% 15%  
322 2% 13%  
323 2% 11%  
324 1.5% 9%  
325 1.2% 7%  
326 2% 6%  
327 1.1% 5%  
328 0.6% 4%  
329 0.5% 3%  
330 0.6% 2%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.3% 1.4%  
333 0.3% 1.1%  
334 0.2% 0.8%  
335 0.2% 0.6%  
336 0.1% 0.4%  
337 0.1% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0.1% 0.2%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.2% 99.6%  
248 0.3% 99.4%  
249 0.2% 99.1%  
250 0.4% 98.9%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 0.7% 97%  
254 0.8% 97%  
255 1.3% 96%  
256 1.3% 95%  
257 2% 93%  
258 2% 92%  
259 2% 90%  
260 2% 88%  
261 3% 86%  
262 3% 84%  
263 4% 80%  
264 3% 76%  
265 4% 73%  
266 4% 70%  
267 4% 66%  
268 4% 62%  
269 3% 58%  
270 5% 55% Median
271 5% 50%  
272 5% 45%  
273 4% 40%  
274 5% 35%  
275 3% 30%  
276 3% 27%  
277 2% 24%  
278 2% 22%  
279 3% 19%  
280 2% 16%  
281 3% 14%  
282 3% 12%  
283 2% 9%  
284 2% 7%  
285 0.8% 5%  
286 1.1% 5%  
287 0.5% 3%  
288 0.5% 3%  
289 0.6% 2%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.4% 1.5%  
292 0.3% 1.1%  
293 0.3% 0.8%  
294 0.2% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.4%  
296 0.1% 0.3%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0.1% 99.8%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0.2% 99.6%  
244 0.2% 99.4%  
245 0.2% 99.2%  
246 0.4% 99.0%  
247 0.4% 98.6%  
248 0.7% 98%  
249 0.5% 97%  
250 1.3% 97%  
251 0.8% 96%  
252 1.0% 95%  
253 2% 94%  
254 2% 92%  
255 2% 90%  
256 2% 87%  
257 3% 85%  
258 3% 82%  
259 4% 80%  
260 3% 76%  
261 4% 73%  
262 3% 69%  
263 6% 65%  
264 3% 59%  
265 4% 56%  
266 4% 52% Median
267 5% 48%  
268 5% 44%  
269 3% 39%  
270 4% 35%  
271 4% 31%  
272 4% 28%  
273 3% 24%  
274 4% 21%  
275 3% 17%  
276 2% 15%  
277 2% 12%  
278 1.4% 10%  
279 2% 9%  
280 2% 7%  
281 1.1% 6%  
282 0.8% 4%  
283 0.8% 4%  
284 0.6% 3%  
285 0.4% 2%  
286 0.5% 2%  
287 0.3% 1.3%  
288 0.3% 1.1%  
289 0.2% 0.7%  
290 0.2% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.7%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0.2% 99.5%  
154 0.5% 99.3%  
155 0.2% 98.8%  
156 0.6% 98.6%  
157 1.1% 98%  
158 0.7% 97%  
159 0.8% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 2% 93%  
162 1.2% 92%  
163 3% 90%  
164 4% 87%  
165 3% 84%  
166 3% 81%  
167 4% 78%  
168 6% 74%  
169 2% 68%  
170 6% 66%  
171 5% 60%  
172 4% 55% Median
173 4% 51%  
174 8% 47%  
175 3% 40%  
176 4% 36%  
177 5% 33%  
178 4% 28%  
179 2% 23%  
180 4% 21%  
181 4% 17%  
182 1.5% 13%  
183 2% 11%  
184 2% 9%  
185 2% 8%  
186 0.6% 5%  
187 2% 5%  
188 0.7% 3%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.5% 1.5%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.2% 0.7%  
194 0.2% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.2% 99.6%  
146 0.1% 99.5%  
147 0.5% 99.4%  
148 0.4% 98.9%  
149 0.4% 98.5%  
150 1.1% 98%  
151 0.6% 97%  
152 1.2% 96%  
153 3% 95%  
154 0.8% 92%  
155 3% 92%  
156 3% 89%  
157 3% 86%  
158 5% 83%  
159 3% 78%  
160 6% 75%  
161 5% 70%  
162 3% 65%  
163 7% 62%  
164 3% 55%  
165 4% 52% Median
166 7% 48%  
167 2% 41%  
168 5% 38%  
169 5% 33%  
170 2% 28%  
171 5% 27%  
172 4% 22%  
173 3% 18%  
174 3% 15%  
175 2% 13%  
176 3% 11%  
177 1.5% 8%  
178 1.3% 6%  
179 2% 5%  
180 0.5% 3%  
181 0.6% 3%  
182 0.9% 2%  
183 0.2% 1.3%  
184 0.3% 1.1%  
185 0.3% 0.8%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations