Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for ZDF, 4–6 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.2% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.4–23.6% 19.9–24.1% 19.5–24.5% 18.8–25.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–16.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.4–12.0% 7.9–12.6%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 171 153–183 150–187 147–190 143–194
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 167 155–180 151–185 148–188 143–195
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 107 96–118 94–121 91–124 87–130
Alternative für Deutschland 94 106 96–118 93–121 91–124 86–130
Die Linke 69 76 66–88 64–90 63–93 59–98
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 39–53 0–56 0–58 0–62
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 33–47 31–49 30–50 27–55

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0.3% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.3%  
145 0.6% 99.1%  
146 0.6% 98.6%  
147 0.5% 98%  
148 1.1% 97%  
149 1.0% 96%  
150 1.1% 95%  
151 1.0% 94%  
152 2% 93%  
153 2% 91%  
154 1.5% 90%  
155 3% 88%  
156 2% 85%  
157 2% 83%  
158 3% 81%  
159 2% 78%  
160 2% 76%  
161 4% 74%  
162 2% 70%  
163 2% 69%  
164 2% 67%  
165 2% 65%  
166 2% 63%  
167 2% 61%  
168 2% 59%  
169 1.4% 57%  
170 3% 55%  
171 3% 53% Median
172 2% 49%  
173 5% 48%  
174 3% 42%  
175 2% 39%  
176 6% 37%  
177 3% 31%  
178 4% 28%  
179 5% 23%  
180 2% 18%  
181 3% 16%  
182 2% 13%  
183 2% 11%  
184 2% 10%  
185 0.9% 8%  
186 1.5% 7%  
187 0.8% 5%  
188 0.9% 5%  
189 0.9% 4%  
190 0.6% 3%  
191 0.7% 2%  
192 0.7% 2%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.3% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.2% 99.4%  
145 0.3% 99.2%  
146 0.4% 98.9%  
147 0.5% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.8% 97%  
150 0.7% 97%  
151 1.2% 96%  
152 1.2% 95%  
153 2% 94%  
154 1.4% 92%  
155 2% 90%  
156 2% 88%  
157 2% 86%  
158 3% 84%  
159 2% 81%  
160 3% 79%  
161 3% 76%  
162 4% 72%  
163 3% 68%  
164 4% 65%  
165 6% 61%  
166 3% 55%  
167 4% 52% Median
168 4% 48%  
169 5% 44%  
170 4% 39%  
171 4% 35%  
172 3% 31%  
173 3% 28%  
174 3% 25%  
175 3% 22%  
176 3% 20%  
177 2% 17%  
178 2% 15%  
179 2% 14%  
180 2% 12%  
181 2% 10%  
182 1.1% 8%  
183 1.3% 7%  
184 1.0% 6%  
185 0.9% 5%  
186 0.6% 4%  
187 0.7% 4%  
188 0.5% 3%  
189 0.5% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.3% 1.2%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1% Last Result
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.7%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 0.3% 99.0%  
90 0.7% 98.7%  
91 0.8% 98%  
92 0.6% 97%  
93 1.4% 97%  
94 2% 95%  
95 2% 93%  
96 2% 92%  
97 3% 90%  
98 3% 87%  
99 4% 84%  
100 3% 80%  
101 5% 78%  
102 5% 73%  
103 3% 68%  
104 6% 65%  
105 6% 59%  
106 3% 53%  
107 5% 50% Median
108 5% 45%  
109 4% 40%  
110 4% 36%  
111 5% 32%  
112 3% 27%  
113 4% 24%  
114 3% 20%  
115 2% 18%  
116 3% 15%  
117 2% 13%  
118 2% 10%  
119 2% 9%  
120 1.2% 7%  
121 1.1% 6%  
122 1.2% 5%  
123 0.7% 3%  
124 0.5% 3%  
125 0.5% 2%  
126 0.4% 2%  
127 0.3% 1.2%  
128 0.2% 1.0%  
129 0.2% 0.7%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.2% 99.6%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 0.4% 99.2%  
89 0.5% 98.8%  
90 0.6% 98%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 2% 97%  
93 1.2% 95%  
94 1.3% 94% Last Result
95 3% 93%  
96 3% 90%  
97 3% 88%  
98 3% 85%  
99 2% 82%  
100 6% 80%  
101 3% 74%  
102 4% 71%  
103 4% 67%  
104 6% 63%  
105 4% 57%  
106 5% 53% Median
107 4% 48%  
108 4% 44%  
109 5% 40%  
110 4% 35%  
111 5% 31%  
112 3% 26%  
113 3% 23%  
114 3% 20%  
115 3% 17%  
116 1.2% 14%  
117 3% 13%  
118 2% 10%  
119 2% 9%  
120 0.7% 7%  
121 2% 6%  
122 0.6% 4%  
123 1.0% 4%  
124 0.6% 3%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.3% 2%  
127 0.3% 1.3%  
128 0.3% 1.0%  
129 0.2% 0.7%  
130 0.1% 0.5%  
131 0.1% 0.4%  
132 0.1% 0.3%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 0.4% 99.5%  
61 0.5% 99.1%  
62 0.8% 98.6%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 96%  
65 2% 94%  
66 3% 92%  
67 2% 90%  
68 4% 88%  
69 4% 84% Last Result
70 4% 80%  
71 7% 76%  
72 5% 69%  
73 5% 64%  
74 5% 59%  
75 4% 55%  
76 5% 51% Median
77 4% 46%  
78 4% 42%  
79 4% 38%  
80 3% 34%  
81 4% 31%  
82 3% 27%  
83 4% 24%  
84 3% 20%  
85 2% 17%  
86 2% 14%  
87 2% 12%  
88 1.5% 10%  
89 2% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 1.4% 5%  
92 0.9% 4%  
93 0.7% 3%  
94 0.5% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.4%  
96 0.4% 1.1%  
97 0.2% 0.8%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 1.3% 93%  
39 3% 91%  
40 7% 89%  
41 4% 82%  
42 6% 78%  
43 8% 72%  
44 7% 64%  
45 6% 57%  
46 7% 51% Median
47 7% 44%  
48 7% 37%  
49 5% 30%  
50 5% 25%  
51 5% 20%  
52 4% 16%  
53 3% 12%  
54 2% 9%  
55 2% 7%  
56 1.5% 5%  
57 0.9% 4%  
58 0.6% 3%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.4% 1.2%  
61 0.2% 0.8%  
62 0.2% 0.6%  
63 0.2% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.3% 99.6%  
28 0.7% 99.4%  
29 1.0% 98.6%  
30 2% 98%  
31 3% 96%  
32 2% 93%  
33 5% 91%  
34 4% 86%  
35 6% 82%  
36 6% 76%  
37 7% 70%  
38 8% 64%  
39 6% 55% Median
40 9% 50%  
41 5% 41%  
42 8% 36%  
43 6% 28%  
44 3% 21%  
45 4% 18%  
46 3% 14% Last Result
47 3% 10%  
48 2% 7%  
49 1.5% 5%  
50 1.3% 4%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.6% 2%  
53 0.3% 1.1%  
54 0.3% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 485 100% 462–498 460–513 457–521 452–528
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 421 100% 402–436 397–440 393–443 380–448
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 378 91% 356–394 352–400 349–406 344–414
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 352 43% 337–369 332–375 329–381 321–392
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 357 57% 340–372 334–377 328–380 317–388
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 357 60% 341–372 334–376 327–380 318–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 313 0.3% 298–329 294–336 291–344 284–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 320 0.1% 302–336 295–341 290–344 276–350
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 312 0.2% 298–329 293–335 290–341 283–350
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 276 0% 258–294 254–298 251–302 245–312
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 251 0% 234–265 225–270 216–273 204–280
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 183 0% 168–198 166–201 163–206 158–214
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 151 0% 136–164 119–168 111–171 102–177

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.9%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0.2% 99.7%  
453 0.2% 99.4%  
454 0.4% 99.3%  
455 0.4% 98.9%  
456 0.5% 98%  
457 0.7% 98%  
458 0.9% 97%  
459 1.2% 96%  
460 1.4% 95%  
461 2% 94%  
462 2% 92%  
463 2% 90%  
464 2% 88%  
465 2% 86%  
466 2% 83% Last Result
467 2% 81%  
468 2% 79%  
469 2% 77%  
470 2% 75%  
471 2% 73%  
472 1.3% 71%  
473 1.3% 70%  
474 1.0% 68%  
475 1.2% 67%  
476 1.0% 66%  
477 1.0% 65%  
478 1.1% 64%  
479 1.2% 63%  
480 1.5% 62%  
481 2% 60%  
482 2% 59%  
483 2% 57%  
484 2% 55% Median
485 3% 53%  
486 3% 50%  
487 3% 47%  
488 4% 43%  
489 5% 40%  
490 4% 35%  
491 3% 30%  
492 4% 27%  
493 4% 24%  
494 2% 20%  
495 2% 18%  
496 2% 15%  
497 2% 13%  
498 2% 11%  
499 0.8% 10%  
500 0.8% 9%  
501 0.6% 8%  
502 0.3% 8%  
503 0.4% 7%  
504 0.3% 7%  
505 0.2% 7%  
506 0.2% 6%  
507 0.2% 6%  
508 0.2% 6%  
509 0.1% 6%  
510 0.2% 6%  
511 0.1% 6%  
512 0.4% 5%  
513 0.3% 5%  
514 0.4% 5%  
515 0.3% 4%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.4% 4%  
518 0.2% 4%  
519 0.4% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.5% 3%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.2% 1.5%  
526 0.4% 1.3%  
527 0.3% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.6%  
529 0.2% 0.4%  
530 0.1% 0.3%  
531 0.1% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0.1% 99.2%  
386 0.1% 99.1%  
387 0.1% 99.0%  
388 0.2% 98.9%  
389 0.1% 98.7%  
390 0.3% 98.5%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.6% 98% Last Result
394 0.2% 97%  
395 0.5% 97%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 1.2% 96%  
398 1.1% 95%  
399 0.9% 93%  
400 1.4% 93%  
401 1.0% 91%  
402 2% 90%  
403 2% 88%  
404 2% 87%  
405 2% 85%  
406 2% 83%  
407 2% 81%  
408 2% 79%  
409 2% 77%  
410 2% 75%  
411 2% 73%  
412 2% 71%  
413 2% 69%  
414 2% 66%  
415 2% 64%  
416 2% 62%  
417 2% 60%  
418 2% 58%  
419 3% 56%  
420 2% 53%  
421 2% 51%  
422 4% 49%  
423 2% 45% Median
424 4% 43%  
425 1.1% 39%  
426 3% 38%  
427 3% 34%  
428 3% 31%  
429 4% 29%  
430 2% 25%  
431 3% 23%  
432 2% 20%  
433 3% 18%  
434 3% 15%  
435 2% 13%  
436 1.3% 10%  
437 1.4% 9%  
438 1.4% 8%  
439 1.3% 6%  
440 1.5% 5%  
441 0.6% 4%  
442 0.4% 3%  
443 0.5% 3%  
444 0.7% 2%  
445 0.4% 1.4%  
446 0.2% 1.0%  
447 0.2% 0.8%  
448 0.1% 0.6%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0.1% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.2% 99.5%  
345 0.2% 99.4%  
346 0.5% 99.1%  
347 0.4% 98.6%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.6% 98%  
350 0.5% 97%  
351 0.7% 97%  
352 1.2% 96%  
353 1.4% 95%  
354 2% 93%  
355 1.1% 91% Majority
356 1.3% 90%  
357 1.3% 89%  
358 1.3% 88%  
359 3% 86%  
360 2% 83%  
361 2% 81%  
362 2% 79%  
363 1.1% 77%  
364 2% 76%  
365 2% 74%  
366 2% 72%  
367 2% 71%  
368 0.9% 68%  
369 1.2% 67%  
370 1.2% 66%  
371 2% 65%  
372 2% 63%  
373 2% 62%  
374 2% 60%  
375 1.3% 57%  
376 2% 56%  
377 2% 54% Median
378 2% 52%  
379 5% 50%  
380 2% 45%  
381 3% 42%  
382 2% 40%  
383 2% 37%  
384 4% 36%  
385 3% 31%  
386 3% 28%  
387 4% 25%  
388 1.1% 21%  
389 2% 20%  
390 1.4% 18%  
391 2% 16%  
392 3% 14%  
393 2% 12%  
394 2% 10%  
395 0.7% 9%  
396 0.3% 8%  
397 1.0% 8%  
398 0.5% 7%  
399 0.7% 6%  
400 0.6% 5%  
401 0.2% 5%  
402 0.4% 4%  
403 0.3% 4%  
404 0.5% 4%  
405 0.7% 3%  
406 0.2% 3%  
407 0.5% 2%  
408 0.1% 2%  
409 0.2% 2%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.1% 1.3%  
412 0.4% 1.2%  
413 0.2% 0.8%  
414 0.1% 0.6%  
415 0% 0.5%  
416 0.1% 0.4%  
417 0% 0.4%  
418 0.1% 0.3%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0.1% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.4%  
324 0.2% 99.2%  
325 0.1% 99.0%  
326 0.2% 98.9%  
327 0.3% 98.7%  
328 0.5% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.8% 97%  
331 0.9% 96%  
332 1.1% 96%  
333 1.2% 94%  
334 1.3% 93%  
335 1.1% 92%  
336 0.7% 91%  
337 1.2% 90%  
338 2% 89%  
339 1.3% 88%  
340 2% 86%  
341 2% 84%  
342 3% 82%  
343 4% 79%  
344 3% 76%  
345 4% 73%  
346 3% 68%  
347 3% 66%  
348 3% 63%  
349 3% 60%  
350 3% 57%  
351 3% 54%  
352 2% 52%  
353 3% 49%  
354 3% 47% Median
355 4% 43% Majority
356 3% 39%  
357 2% 36%  
358 5% 34%  
359 3% 29%  
360 3% 26%  
361 2% 23%  
362 2% 22%  
363 2% 20%  
364 2% 18%  
365 2% 16%  
366 2% 15%  
367 1.2% 13%  
368 2% 12%  
369 1.1% 10%  
370 0.8% 9%  
371 0.5% 8%  
372 0.9% 8%  
373 0.7% 7%  
374 0.7% 6%  
375 0.7% 5%  
376 0.5% 5%  
377 0.3% 4%  
378 0.3% 4%  
379 0.3% 4%  
380 0.6% 3%  
381 0.4% 3%  
382 0.4% 2%  
383 0.3% 2%  
384 0.2% 2%  
385 0.1% 2%  
386 0.1% 1.5%  
387 0% 1.4%  
388 0.1% 1.4%  
389 0.2% 1.3%  
390 0.2% 1.1%  
391 0.3% 0.9%  
392 0.2% 0.6%  
393 0.1% 0.5%  
394 0% 0.4%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0% 99.8%  
313 0% 99.7%  
314 0% 99.7%  
315 0% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.2% 99.5%  
318 0.3% 99.4%  
319 0.2% 99.1%  
320 0.2% 98.9%  
321 0.1% 98.7%  
322 0% 98.6%  
323 0.1% 98.6%  
324 0.1% 98.5%  
325 0.2% 98%  
326 0.3% 98%  
327 0.4% 98%  
328 0.4% 98%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.3% 97%  
331 0.3% 96%  
332 0.3% 96%  
333 0.5% 96%  
334 0.7% 95%  
335 0.7% 95%  
336 0.7% 94%  
337 0.9% 93%  
338 0.5% 92%  
339 0.8% 92%  
340 1.1% 91%  
341 2% 90%  
342 1.2% 88%  
343 2% 87%  
344 2% 85%  
345 2% 84%  
346 2% 82%  
347 2% 80%  
348 2% 78%  
349 3% 77%  
350 3% 74%  
351 5% 71%  
352 2% 66%  
353 3% 64%  
354 4% 61%  
355 3% 57% Majority
356 3% 53%  
357 2% 51%  
358 3% 48% Median
359 3% 46%  
360 3% 43%  
361 3% 40%  
362 3% 37%  
363 3% 34%  
364 4% 32%  
365 3% 27%  
366 4% 24%  
367 3% 21%  
368 2% 18%  
369 2% 16%  
370 1.3% 14%  
371 2% 12%  
372 1.2% 11%  
373 0.7% 10%  
374 1.1% 9%  
375 1.3% 8%  
376 1.2% 7%  
377 1.1% 6%  
378 0.9% 4%  
379 0.8% 4%  
380 0.5% 3%  
381 0.5% 2%  
382 0.3% 2%  
383 0.2% 1.3%  
384 0.1% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0.2% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.4%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.2%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.8%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.6%  
318 0.1% 99.5%  
319 0.1% 99.4%  
320 0.2% 99.3%  
321 0.3% 99.1%  
322 0.3% 98.8%  
323 0.2% 98.5%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.3% 98%  
326 0.1% 98%  
327 0.3% 98%  
328 0.3% 97%  
329 0.3% 97%  
330 0.2% 97%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.4% 96%  
333 0.4% 96%  
334 0.6% 96%  
335 0.6% 95%  
336 0.4% 94%  
337 0.8% 94%  
338 0.7% 93%  
339 0.6% 92%  
340 0.8% 92%  
341 1.2% 91%  
342 1.2% 90%  
343 1.4% 89%  
344 2% 87%  
345 2% 86%  
346 2% 84%  
347 3% 82%  
348 2% 79%  
349 2% 77%  
350 4% 75%  
351 3% 71%  
352 3% 68%  
353 3% 66%  
354 2% 62%  
355 3% 60% Majority
356 4% 57%  
357 3% 53%  
358 2% 49%  
359 5% 47% Median
360 3% 42%  
361 4% 39%  
362 3% 36%  
363 2% 32%  
364 2% 30%  
365 3% 28%  
366 4% 25%  
367 2% 21%  
368 2% 19%  
369 2% 17%  
370 2% 15%  
371 1.4% 13%  
372 1.5% 11%  
373 1.5% 10%  
374 1.3% 8%  
375 1.2% 7%  
376 1.0% 6%  
377 0.6% 5%  
378 0.9% 4%  
379 0.7% 3%  
380 0.5% 3%  
381 0.4% 2%  
382 0.5% 2%  
383 0.2% 1.4%  
384 0.3% 1.2%  
385 0.2% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.7%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.1% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.6%  
284 0.1% 99.5%  
285 0.2% 99.4%  
286 0.2% 99.2%  
287 0.3% 99.1%  
288 0.4% 98.8%  
289 0.4% 98%  
290 0.5% 98%  
291 0.6% 98%  
292 0.6% 97%  
293 0.9% 96%  
294 0.9% 95%  
295 1.1% 95%  
296 1.4% 93%  
297 1.2% 92%  
298 1.2% 91%  
299 2% 90%  
300 2% 88%  
301 2% 86%  
302 2% 83%  
303 2% 82%  
304 3% 79%  
305 3% 77%  
306 2% 74%  
307 3% 72%  
308 3% 69%  
309 4% 66%  
310 3% 63%  
311 5% 59%  
312 2% 55%  
313 4% 53% Median
314 3% 48%  
315 4% 45%  
316 3% 41%  
317 4% 38%  
318 3% 34%  
319 3% 31%  
320 2% 28%  
321 3% 26%  
322 3% 23%  
323 2% 20%  
324 2% 18%  
325 2% 16%  
326 0.9% 14%  
327 1.1% 13%  
328 1.2% 12%  
329 1.2% 11%  
330 0.7% 10%  
331 0.8% 9%  
332 1.0% 8%  
333 0.8% 7%  
334 0.5% 6%  
335 0.4% 6%  
336 0.5% 6%  
337 0.3% 5%  
338 0.6% 5%  
339 0.4% 4%  
340 0.3% 4%  
341 0.4% 3%  
342 0.3% 3%  
343 0.2% 3%  
344 0.3% 3%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.2% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.4% 1.4%  
349 0.2% 1.0%  
350 0.1% 0.8%  
351 0.1% 0.7%  
352 0.2% 0.6%  
353 0% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0.1% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.7%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 0.1% 99.4%  
279 0.1% 99.3%  
280 0.2% 99.2%  
281 0.1% 99.1%  
282 0.1% 98.9%  
283 0.1% 98.9%  
284 0.1% 98.8%  
285 0.1% 98.7%  
286 0.1% 98.5%  
287 0.2% 98%  
288 0.2% 98%  
289 0.4% 98%  
290 0.5% 98%  
291 0.3% 97%  
292 0.6% 97%  
293 0.5% 96%  
294 0.5% 96%  
295 0.6% 95%  
296 0.5% 95%  
297 0.5% 94%  
298 0.7% 94%  
299 0.5% 93%  
300 1.3% 93% Last Result
301 1.0% 91%  
302 1.2% 90%  
303 1.5% 89%  
304 2% 88%  
305 1.2% 86%  
306 2% 85%  
307 1.3% 82%  
308 2% 81%  
309 3% 79%  
310 2% 76%  
311 1.3% 75%  
312 2% 73%  
313 2% 71%  
314 2% 69%  
315 4% 67%  
316 2% 63%  
317 3% 61%  
318 3% 58%  
319 3% 54%  
320 2% 52%  
321 3% 49%  
322 2% 46%  
323 3% 44%  
324 3% 42% Median
325 2% 39%  
326 4% 37%  
327 4% 33%  
328 2% 29%  
329 3% 27%  
330 3% 24%  
331 2% 21%  
332 3% 19%  
333 2% 16%  
334 2% 14%  
335 2% 13%  
336 2% 11%  
337 1.0% 10%  
338 1.2% 9%  
339 1.0% 7%  
340 1.1% 6%  
341 1.0% 5%  
342 0.9% 4%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.5% 3%  
345 0.6% 2%  
346 0.3% 2%  
347 0.3% 1.2%  
348 0.3% 0.9%  
349 0.2% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0.1% 0.3%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.8%  
282 0.2% 99.7%  
283 0.2% 99.6%  
284 0.2% 99.4%  
285 0.2% 99.3%  
286 0.2% 99.1%  
287 0.2% 98.9%  
288 0.2% 98.7%  
289 0.5% 98%  
290 0.7% 98%  
291 0.6% 97%  
292 1.0% 97%  
293 0.9% 96%  
294 0.9% 95%  
295 0.6% 94%  
296 0.8% 93%  
297 0.8% 92%  
298 2% 92%  
299 2% 90%  
300 3% 88%  
301 3% 86%  
302 2% 83%  
303 3% 81%  
304 2% 78%  
305 2% 77%  
306 3% 75%  
307 4% 71%  
308 4% 68%  
309 5% 64%  
310 2% 59%  
311 4% 57%  
312 3% 52% Median
313 2% 49%  
314 2% 47%  
315 3% 45%  
316 5% 43%  
317 3% 38%  
318 4% 35%  
319 4% 30%  
320 3% 27%  
321 2% 24%  
322 2% 22%  
323 2% 20%  
324 2% 19%  
325 2% 17%  
326 2% 16%  
327 2% 13%  
328 1.4% 12%  
329 1.3% 11%  
330 0.6% 9%  
331 0.6% 9%  
332 0.6% 8%  
333 1.0% 7%  
334 0.9% 6%  
335 0.7% 5%  
336 0.8% 5%  
337 0.7% 4%  
338 0.4% 3%  
339 0.2% 3%  
340 0.1% 3% Last Result
341 0.2% 3%  
342 0.2% 2%  
343 0.4% 2%  
344 0.2% 2%  
345 0.5% 2%  
346 0.2% 1.1%  
347 0.1% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0.1% 0.6%  
350 0% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0% 0.4%  
353 0% 0.4%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.2% 99.6%  
246 0.2% 99.4%  
247 0.3% 99.2%  
248 0.3% 98.9%  
249 0.7% 98.6%  
250 0.3% 98%  
251 0.5% 98%  
252 0.9% 97%  
253 0.6% 96%  
254 1.1% 96%  
255 0.8% 95%  
256 1.1% 94%  
257 1.4% 93%  
258 2% 91%  
259 3% 90%  
260 3% 87%  
261 1.3% 84%  
262 1.4% 83%  
263 1.2% 82%  
264 2% 81%  
265 2% 79%  
266 2% 76%  
267 2% 75%  
268 2% 73%  
269 2% 71%  
270 3% 69%  
271 2% 66%  
272 2% 63%  
273 3% 61%  
274 2% 57%  
275 3% 55%  
276 3% 52%  
277 2% 50%  
278 3% 47% Median
279 2% 45%  
280 2% 43%  
281 2% 41%  
282 3% 39%  
283 3% 36%  
284 6% 33%  
285 3% 27%  
286 3% 24%  
287 2% 21%  
288 1.3% 19%  
289 2% 18%  
290 2% 16%  
291 0.9% 13%  
292 1.1% 12%  
293 0.9% 11%  
294 2% 10%  
295 2% 9%  
296 0.7% 7%  
297 1.0% 6%  
298 0.6% 5%  
299 0.4% 5%  
300 1.0% 4%  
301 0.4% 3%  
302 0.6% 3%  
303 0.2% 2%  
304 0.3% 2%  
305 0.4% 2%  
306 0.2% 1.3%  
307 0.2% 1.2%  
308 0.1% 0.9%  
309 0.1% 0.9%  
310 0.1% 0.7%  
311 0% 0.7%  
312 0.2% 0.6%  
313 0% 0.4%  
314 0.1% 0.4%  
315 0% 0.3%  
316 0% 0.2%  
317 0.1% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
195 0% 100%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.8%  
201 0.1% 99.8%  
202 0.1% 99.7%  
203 0.1% 99.6%  
204 0.1% 99.5%  
205 0.2% 99.4%  
206 0.2% 99.2%  
207 0.1% 99.0%  
208 0.1% 98.9%  
209 0.1% 98.8%  
210 0.3% 98.7%  
211 0.1% 98%  
212 0.1% 98%  
213 0.3% 98%  
214 0.2% 98%  
215 0.2% 98%  
216 0.3% 98%  
217 0.1% 97%  
218 0.2% 97%  
219 0.3% 97%  
220 0.2% 97%  
221 0.2% 96%  
222 0.3% 96%  
223 0.3% 96%  
224 0.2% 95%  
225 0.4% 95%  
226 0.5% 95%  
227 0.3% 94%  
228 0.5% 94%  
229 0.4% 93%  
230 0.4% 93%  
231 0.9% 93%  
232 1.0% 92%  
233 0.4% 91%  
234 1.0% 90%  
235 1.3% 89%  
236 1.1% 88%  
237 0.8% 87%  
238 2% 86%  
239 1.5% 84%  
240 2% 83%  
241 2% 81%  
242 3% 79%  
243 2% 76%  
244 2% 74%  
245 5% 73%  
246 3% 68%  
247 3% 65%  
248 2% 62%  
249 4% 60%  
250 2% 55%  
251 5% 53%  
252 4% 48% Median
253 2% 44%  
254 3% 42%  
255 5% 40%  
256 3% 35%  
257 3% 32%  
258 4% 29%  
259 3% 26%  
260 2% 23%  
261 3% 21%  
262 2% 18%  
263 2% 15%  
264 1.4% 13%  
265 3% 12%  
266 1.4% 9%  
267 0.9% 8%  
268 1.2% 7%  
269 0.8% 6%  
270 0.7% 5%  
271 1.0% 4%  
272 0.8% 3%  
273 0.4% 3%  
274 0.3% 2%  
275 0.4% 2%  
276 0.3% 1.5%  
277 0.2% 1.2%  
278 0.2% 0.9%  
279 0.2% 0.7%  
280 0.1% 0.5%  
281 0.1% 0.4%  
282 0.1% 0.3%  
283 0.1% 0.2%  
284 0% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.1% 99.7%  
158 0.1% 99.6%  
159 0.4% 99.5%  
160 0.6% 99.1%  
161 0.5% 98%  
162 0.5% 98%  
163 0.4% 98%  
164 0.6% 97%  
165 0.4% 96%  
166 1.4% 96%  
167 2% 95%  
168 3% 92%  
169 2% 90%  
170 1.1% 88%  
171 1.3% 87%  
172 1.3% 86%  
173 2% 84%  
174 3% 82%  
175 4% 79%  
176 4% 74%  
177 3% 70%  
178 3% 67%  
179 2% 64%  
180 2% 63%  
181 5% 60%  
182 5% 56%  
183 4% 50% Median
184 5% 46%  
185 4% 42%  
186 2% 38%  
187 2% 36%  
188 2% 35%  
189 3% 32%  
190 4% 29%  
191 4% 24%  
192 3% 21%  
193 2% 18%  
194 1.1% 16%  
195 1.0% 15%  
196 1.3% 14%  
197 2% 13%  
198 3% 11%  
199 2% 8%  
200 1.1% 7%  
201 0.5% 5%  
202 0.3% 5%  
203 0.4% 5%  
204 0.6% 4%  
205 0.7% 4%  
206 0.8% 3%  
207 0.6% 2%  
208 0.3% 2%  
209 0.1% 1.2%  
210 0.1% 1.1%  
211 0.1% 1.0%  
212 0.1% 0.9%  
213 0.2% 0.7%  
214 0.2% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1% Last Result
223 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.4%  
105 0.2% 99.1%  
106 0.1% 98.9%  
107 0.2% 98.8%  
108 0.5% 98.6%  
109 0.2% 98%  
110 0.2% 98%  
111 0.3% 98%  
112 0.4% 97%  
113 0.3% 97%  
114 0.6% 97%  
115 0.2% 96%  
116 0.3% 96%  
117 0.2% 96%  
118 0.2% 95%  
119 0.3% 95%  
120 0.4% 95%  
121 0.2% 95%  
122 0.4% 94%  
123 0.2% 94%  
124 0.2% 94%  
125 0.2% 94%  
126 0.3% 93%  
127 0.1% 93%  
128 0.2% 93%  
129 0.1% 93%  
130 0.2% 93%  
131 0.3% 93%  
132 0.3% 92%  
133 0.4% 92%  
134 0.5% 92%  
135 0.5% 91%  
136 0.9% 91%  
137 1.2% 90%  
138 1.0% 89%  
139 1.2% 88%  
140 2% 86%  
141 2% 85%  
142 2% 83%  
143 3% 81%  
144 3% 78%  
145 3% 76%  
146 3% 72%  
147 3% 69%  
148 3% 66%  
149 4% 62%  
150 4% 58%  
151 5% 55%  
152 4% 50%  
153 3% 46% Median
154 5% 43%  
155 3% 38%  
156 4% 35%  
157 3% 31%  
158 4% 28%  
159 3% 24%  
160 3% 21%  
161 2% 19%  
162 3% 16%  
163 2% 14%  
164 2% 12%  
165 2% 10%  
166 2% 8%  
167 1.1% 7%  
168 1.2% 6%  
169 0.8% 4%  
170 0.7% 3%  
171 0.5% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.4% 1.4%  
175 0.3% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations