Opinion Poll by Forsa, 3–7 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 23.0% 21.9–24.1% 21.6–24.4% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.2%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 22.8% 21.7–23.9% 21.4–24.2% 21.2–24.4% 20.7–25.0%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.2–15.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.7–15.4% 12.3–15.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.3–10.8% 9.0–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.5–11.6%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 8.0% 7.3–8.7% 7.1–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.2% 4.7–5.9% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 175 169–185 166–188 165–190 160–194
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 177 167–183 165–187 162–189 159–192
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 109 101–114 99–117 98–119 95–122
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 71–83 70–85 68–86 66–90
Die Linke 69 69 64–75 62–77 61–78 58–81
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 60 56–67 55–69 54–70 51–73
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 40 36–45 35–46 34–47 32–50

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.6% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.1%  
162 0.4% 99.0%  
163 0.4% 98.7%  
164 0.7% 98%  
165 2% 98%  
166 2% 96%  
167 1.2% 94%  
168 2% 93%  
169 3% 91%  
170 2% 88%  
171 9% 86%  
172 5% 77%  
173 2% 71%  
174 5% 69%  
175 21% 64% Median
176 4% 43%  
177 3% 40%  
178 3% 37%  
179 6% 34%  
180 4% 28%  
181 3% 24%  
182 3% 22%  
183 6% 18%  
184 2% 12%  
185 1.4% 11%  
186 2% 9%  
187 2% 7%  
188 1.2% 5%  
189 1.1% 4%  
190 1.4% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.1% 1.1%  
193 0.1% 1.0%  
194 0.6% 0.9%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.8%  
159 0.2% 99.7%  
160 0.4% 99.5%  
161 0.3% 99.1%  
162 1.3% 98.8%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 1.0% 97%  
165 0.9% 96%  
166 3% 95%  
167 2% 92%  
168 0.8% 90%  
169 4% 89%  
170 3% 85%  
171 6% 82%  
172 4% 76%  
173 7% 72%  
174 4% 65%  
175 6% 62%  
176 3% 56%  
177 3% 52% Median
178 16% 49%  
179 6% 33%  
180 7% 27%  
181 5% 20%  
182 3% 16%  
183 3% 13%  
184 2% 10%  
185 1.0% 8%  
186 1.1% 7%  
187 2% 6%  
188 0.9% 4%  
189 1.4% 3%  
190 0.4% 1.5%  
191 0.2% 1.0%  
192 0.4% 0.8%  
193 0.2% 0.4%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.2% 99.7%  
96 0.3% 99.5%  
97 0.9% 99.2%  
98 1.5% 98%  
99 3% 97%  
100 3% 94%  
101 4% 91%  
102 3% 88%  
103 5% 84%  
104 5% 80%  
105 5% 75%  
106 5% 70%  
107 2% 65%  
108 9% 62%  
109 6% 54% Median
110 18% 48%  
111 4% 30%  
112 5% 25%  
113 7% 20%  
114 4% 13%  
115 2% 8%  
116 0.7% 7%  
117 1.2% 6%  
118 1.4% 5%  
119 2% 3%  
120 0.4% 2%  
121 0.3% 1.3%  
122 0.6% 1.0%  
123 0.2% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0.1% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.5%  
67 1.1% 99.2%  
68 2% 98%  
69 1.0% 96%  
70 2% 95%  
71 7% 93%  
72 4% 86%  
73 3% 82%  
74 4% 79%  
75 7% 74%  
76 6% 68%  
77 18% 62% Median
78 6% 44%  
79 6% 38%  
80 10% 32%  
81 4% 22%  
82 4% 18%  
83 5% 14%  
84 2% 9%  
85 2% 6%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.7% 99.5%  
60 1.0% 98.8%  
61 2% 98%  
62 4% 96%  
63 2% 92%  
64 4% 90%  
65 5% 86%  
66 5% 82%  
67 8% 76%  
68 8% 68%  
69 11% 60% Last Result, Median
70 18% 49%  
71 5% 31%  
72 3% 26%  
73 7% 22%  
74 5% 16%  
75 3% 11%  
76 1.2% 8%  
77 3% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.8% 99.5%  
53 0.8% 98.7%  
54 2% 98%  
55 4% 96%  
56 4% 91%  
57 6% 87%  
58 6% 82%  
59 5% 76%  
60 22% 71% Median
61 4% 50%  
62 7% 46%  
63 8% 39%  
64 6% 30%  
65 5% 24%  
66 4% 19%  
67 7% 15%  
68 2% 8%  
69 3% 6%  
70 1.5% 3%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.5% 1.4%  
73 0.5% 0.9%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.5% 99.7%  
33 0.5% 99.2%  
34 2% 98.7%  
35 3% 97%  
36 6% 94%  
37 5% 88%  
38 4% 83%  
39 24% 78%  
40 8% 55% Median
41 9% 47%  
42 12% 38%  
43 5% 26%  
44 6% 21%  
45 7% 15%  
46 3% 8% Last Result
47 2% 5%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.4% 1.2%  
50 0.5% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 502 100% 492–511 490–513 488–514 482–517
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 453 100% 446–463 443–466 441–469 436–474
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 392 100% 382–402 381–405 379–409 374–412
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 387 100% 376–396 373–399 371–400 368–404
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 355 51% 345–364 342–367 340–370 335–374
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 354 49% 345–364 342–367 339–369 335–374
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 345 14% 337–356 334–359 332–362 327–367
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 326 0% 314–334 311–336 309–339 305–343
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 294 0% 284–303 280–305 278–308 275–312
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 285 0% 275–294 273–297 271–300 266–304
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 278 0% 267–288 265–291 264–293 260–294
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 179 0% 168–185 166–189 165–191 162–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 170 0% 162–178 159–180 157–183 154–186

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0.1% 99.9%  
481 0.1% 99.9%  
482 0.3% 99.7%  
483 0.3% 99.4%  
484 0.3% 99.2%  
485 0.3% 98.9%  
486 0.4% 98.6%  
487 0.2% 98%  
488 1.0% 98%  
489 1.0% 97%  
490 2% 96%  
491 3% 94%  
492 5% 91%  
493 4% 87%  
494 7% 83%  
495 5% 76%  
496 3% 71%  
497 1.0% 68%  
498 2% 67%  
499 0.9% 65%  
500 3% 64%  
501 5% 61% Median
502 16% 56%  
503 4% 40%  
504 6% 36%  
505 6% 30%  
506 2% 24%  
507 2% 22%  
508 0.9% 20%  
509 5% 19%  
510 2% 14%  
511 3% 12%  
512 2% 9%  
513 5% 8%  
514 1.3% 3%  
515 0.6% 2%  
516 0.5% 1.1%  
517 0.2% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.3%  
521 0.1% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0.1% 0.1%  
524 0.1% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.2% 99.9%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.2% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.4%  
438 0.3% 99.3%  
439 0.8% 99.0%  
440 0.6% 98%  
441 0.6% 98%  
442 1.5% 97%  
443 1.2% 96%  
444 3% 94%  
445 1.4% 92%  
446 1.2% 90%  
447 5% 89%  
448 3% 84%  
449 3% 81%  
450 3% 78%  
451 4% 75%  
452 17% 71% Median
453 6% 53%  
454 4% 48%  
455 1.3% 44%  
456 6% 42%  
457 5% 36%  
458 6% 32%  
459 3% 25%  
460 3% 23%  
461 5% 19%  
462 3% 15%  
463 3% 12%  
464 0.7% 9%  
465 2% 8%  
466 1.3% 6%  
467 0.9% 5%  
468 1.3% 4%  
469 0.4% 3%  
470 1.2% 2%  
471 0.5% 1.2%  
472 0.1% 0.7%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0.4% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.1%  
477 0.1% 0.1%  
478 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.2% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.2% 99.6%  
375 0.4% 99.4%  
376 0.4% 98.9%  
377 0.2% 98.6%  
378 0.3% 98%  
379 1.2% 98%  
380 2% 97%  
381 1.1% 95%  
382 4% 94%  
383 2% 90%  
384 5% 88%  
385 0.5% 83%  
386 0.9% 83%  
387 4% 82%  
388 2% 78%  
389 2% 76%  
390 8% 74%  
391 3% 66%  
392 18% 63% Median
393 4% 45%  
394 4% 42%  
395 4% 38%  
396 5% 34%  
397 3% 28%  
398 3% 25%  
399 1.1% 22%  
400 6% 21%  
401 6% 16%  
402 2% 10%  
403 1.0% 9%  
404 2% 7%  
405 0.7% 6%  
406 0.4% 5%  
407 0.7% 4%  
408 0.8% 4%  
409 1.2% 3%  
410 0.5% 2%  
411 0.1% 1.1%  
412 0.7% 1.0%  
413 0.2% 0.4%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0.1% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.4% 99.6%  
369 0.9% 99.2%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.6% 98%  
372 2% 97%  
373 1.0% 96%  
374 2% 95%  
375 1.4% 93%  
376 2% 92%  
377 1.4% 89%  
378 0.9% 88%  
379 2% 87%  
380 3% 85%  
381 4% 82%  
382 3% 78%  
383 4% 75%  
384 5% 71%  
385 6% 66%  
386 6% 60% Median
387 16% 53%  
388 5% 37%  
389 5% 32%  
390 3% 27%  
391 2% 24%  
392 6% 22%  
393 2% 16%  
394 0.9% 14%  
395 3% 14%  
396 2% 10%  
397 2% 9%  
398 1.3% 7%  
399 0.8% 5%  
400 2% 5%  
401 0.7% 2%  
402 0.7% 1.5%  
403 0.3% 0.8%  
404 0.2% 0.6%  
405 0.1% 0.4%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0.1% 100%  
332 0.1% 99.9%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0.2% 99.6%  
336 0.7% 99.4%  
337 0.1% 98.7%  
338 0.6% 98.6%  
339 0.5% 98%  
340 0.3% 98%  
341 1.1% 97%  
342 2% 96%  
343 2% 95%  
344 2% 93%  
345 1.3% 91%  
346 1.1% 89%  
347 2% 88%  
348 2% 86%  
349 5% 85%  
350 6% 80%  
351 3% 75%  
352 3% 72%  
353 2% 69%  
354 15% 66% Median
355 6% 51% Majority
356 2% 46%  
357 6% 43%  
358 5% 37%  
359 4% 33%  
360 4% 29%  
361 6% 25%  
362 4% 19%  
363 3% 16%  
364 3% 13%  
365 2% 10%  
366 2% 8%  
367 2% 7%  
368 0.7% 4%  
369 1.2% 4%  
370 0.6% 3%  
371 0.9% 2%  
372 0.3% 1.1%  
373 0.2% 0.8%  
374 0.3% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.3%  
376 0% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0.1% 99.8%  
335 0.3% 99.7%  
336 0.2% 99.4%  
337 0.3% 99.2%  
338 0.9% 98.9%  
339 0.6% 98%  
340 1.2% 97%  
341 0.7% 96%  
342 2% 96%  
343 2% 93%  
344 2% 92%  
345 3% 90%  
346 3% 87%  
347 4% 84%  
348 6% 81%  
349 4% 75%  
350 4% 71%  
351 5% 67%  
352 6% 63%  
353 2% 57% Median
354 6% 54%  
355 15% 49% Majority
356 2% 34%  
357 3% 31%  
358 3% 28%  
359 6% 25%  
360 5% 20%  
361 2% 15%  
362 2% 14%  
363 1.1% 12%  
364 1.3% 11%  
365 2% 9%  
366 2% 7%  
367 2% 5%  
368 1.1% 4%  
369 0.3% 3%  
370 0.5% 2%  
371 0.6% 2%  
372 0.1% 1.4%  
373 0.7% 1.3%  
374 0.2% 0.6%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0.1% 0.1%  
379 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0.1% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0.2% 99.8%  
327 0.3% 99.6%  
328 0.2% 99.4%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.6% 99.0%  
331 0.5% 98%  
332 1.1% 98%  
333 1.2% 97%  
334 1.0% 96%  
335 1.1% 95%  
336 1.1% 94%  
337 8% 92%  
338 4% 85%  
339 2% 81%  
340 3% 79%  
341 3% 76%  
342 3% 72%  
343 3% 69%  
344 3% 66% Median
345 15% 63%  
346 3% 48%  
347 4% 45%  
348 4% 41%  
349 6% 37%  
350 5% 30%  
351 6% 25%  
352 2% 19%  
353 1.1% 16%  
354 2% 15%  
355 2% 14% Majority
356 3% 12%  
357 2% 9%  
358 0.9% 7%  
359 2% 6%  
360 0.9% 4%  
361 0.6% 3%  
362 0.8% 3%  
363 0.5% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.3%  
365 0.4% 1.1%  
366 0.1% 0.6%  
367 0.2% 0.5%  
368 0% 0.3%  
369 0.2% 0.3%  
370 0.1% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.2% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.6%  
305 0.2% 99.5%  
306 0.2% 99.4%  
307 0.4% 99.2%  
308 1.2% 98.8%  
309 0.9% 98%  
310 0.6% 97%  
311 1.2% 96%  
312 1.3% 95%  
313 1.3% 94%  
314 3% 92%  
315 1.1% 89%  
316 2% 88%  
317 3% 86%  
318 3% 82%  
319 3% 79%  
320 2% 76%  
321 4% 74%  
322 3% 70%  
323 4% 67%  
324 7% 63%  
325 3% 56%  
326 6% 53% Median
327 16% 47%  
328 3% 31%  
329 4% 28%  
330 1.4% 24%  
331 4% 22%  
332 2% 19%  
333 4% 17%  
334 6% 13%  
335 0.9% 7%  
336 1.4% 6%  
337 0.5% 5%  
338 1.4% 4%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 0.9% 2%  
341 0.7% 1.4%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0.2% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.2% 99.7%  
275 0.7% 99.5%  
276 0.6% 98.9%  
277 0.3% 98%  
278 0.7% 98%  
279 1.0% 97%  
280 2% 96%  
281 0.8% 95%  
282 2% 94%  
283 2% 92%  
284 2% 90%  
285 2% 88%  
286 2% 86%  
287 1.1% 84%  
288 5% 83%  
289 4% 78%  
290 4% 74%  
291 1.2% 70%  
292 8% 69%  
293 3% 61%  
294 16% 59% Median
295 3% 43%  
296 5% 40%  
297 4% 35%  
298 4% 31%  
299 6% 27%  
300 3% 21%  
301 3% 18%  
302 3% 15%  
303 4% 12%  
304 2% 8%  
305 2% 6%  
306 1.4% 4%  
307 0.2% 3%  
308 1.0% 3%  
309 0.6% 2%  
310 0.3% 1.1%  
311 0.1% 0.8%  
312 0.4% 0.7%  
313 0.1% 0.3%  
314 0.1% 0.2%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.7%  
266 0.3% 99.6%  
267 0.2% 99.3%  
268 0.6% 99.2%  
269 0.5% 98.6%  
270 0.3% 98%  
271 0.8% 98%  
272 0.9% 97%  
273 2% 96%  
274 3% 94%  
275 5% 92%  
276 2% 87%  
277 3% 85%  
278 3% 82%  
279 4% 79%  
280 5% 75%  
281 5% 71%  
282 5% 65%  
283 2% 60%  
284 6% 59% Median
285 14% 53%  
286 3% 39%  
287 3% 35%  
288 6% 32%  
289 2% 27%  
290 2% 25%  
291 4% 23%  
292 5% 18%  
293 3% 13%  
294 1.2% 11%  
295 2% 9%  
296 0.8% 7%  
297 2% 7%  
298 0.5% 5%  
299 2% 4%  
300 1.0% 3%  
301 0.4% 2%  
302 0.3% 1.4%  
303 0.3% 1.1%  
304 0.4% 0.8%  
305 0.1% 0.4%  
306 0.2% 0.3%  
307 0.1% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0.1% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.8%  
258 0% 99.8%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0.3% 99.8%  
261 0.2% 99.5%  
262 0.8% 99.3%  
263 0.5% 98%  
264 1.5% 98%  
265 3% 96%  
266 2% 94%  
267 3% 92%  
268 0.7% 89%  
269 1.3% 88%  
270 1.3% 87%  
271 0.6% 86%  
272 0.5% 85%  
273 2% 84%  
274 2% 82%  
275 3% 80%  
276 7% 77%  
277 19% 71% Median
278 12% 52%  
279 8% 40%  
280 4% 33%  
281 8% 29%  
282 4% 21%  
283 1.1% 17%  
284 0.7% 16%  
285 0.3% 15%  
286 0.6% 15%  
287 0.7% 14%  
288 4% 14%  
289 2% 9%  
290 1.2% 7%  
291 1.5% 6%  
292 2% 4%  
293 2% 3%  
294 0.3% 0.8%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0.1%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.2% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.6%  
162 0.2% 99.6%  
163 0.3% 99.4%  
164 0.3% 99.1%  
165 2% 98.8%  
166 2% 96%  
167 1.0% 94%  
168 4% 93%  
169 3% 90%  
170 6% 87%  
171 1.4% 82%  
172 2% 80%  
173 2% 79%  
174 5% 77%  
175 2% 72%  
176 7% 70%  
177 9% 63%  
178 3% 54% Median
179 7% 51%  
180 21% 43%  
181 4% 23%  
182 2% 18%  
183 4% 16%  
184 2% 13%  
185 1.1% 10%  
186 0.9% 9%  
187 1.3% 8%  
188 2% 7%  
189 2% 5%  
190 0.2% 3%  
191 2% 3%  
192 0.3% 1.3%  
193 0.2% 1.0%  
194 0.5% 0.8%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.4% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.3%  
156 1.5% 99.2%  
157 0.8% 98%  
158 1.4% 97%  
159 0.9% 96%  
160 2% 95%  
161 2% 93%  
162 4% 91%  
163 3% 87%  
164 3% 84%  
165 4% 81%  
166 5% 77%  
167 5% 72%  
168 8% 67%  
169 4% 60% Median
170 16% 55%  
171 5% 39%  
172 6% 34%  
173 4% 28%  
174 4% 25%  
175 4% 21%  
176 3% 17%  
177 1.5% 14%  
178 4% 12%  
179 2% 8%  
180 1.4% 6%  
181 0.8% 5%  
182 1.4% 4%  
183 2% 3%  
184 0.3% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations