Opinion Poll by Forsa, 17–21 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 24.0% 22.8–25.3% 22.5–25.7% 22.2–26.0% 21.6–26.6%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 21.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.4–23.5% 20.1–23.8% 19.6–24.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.6–8.6%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 184 177–190 174–193 173–195 169–199
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 169 165–172 164–174 163–174 161–177
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 108 100–116 98–118 97–120 93–124
Alternative für Deutschland 94 77 72–82 71–84 69–85 66–88
Die Linke 69 77 71–83 69–85 68–87 64–90
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 55 51–59 50–60 49–61 46–63
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 39 35–44 33–45 32–47 30–49

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0.1% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.8%  
169 0.4% 99.6%  
170 0.3% 99.2%  
171 0.1% 98.9%  
172 0.7% 98.8%  
173 1.5% 98%  
174 2% 97%  
175 3% 95%  
176 1.0% 92%  
177 2% 91%  
178 6% 89%  
179 7% 83%  
180 3% 76%  
181 5% 72%  
182 3% 67%  
183 9% 65%  
184 15% 56% Median
185 5% 41%  
186 3% 35%  
187 3% 33%  
188 4% 30%  
189 15% 26%  
190 1.3% 11%  
191 2% 10%  
192 0.2% 7%  
193 2% 7%  
194 1.3% 5%  
195 2% 4%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.5% 1.4%  
198 0.1% 0.8%  
199 0.4% 0.8%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.3% 99.6%  
162 1.1% 99.3%  
163 2% 98%  
164 3% 96%  
165 9% 93%  
166 5% 83%  
167 13% 78%  
168 7% 65%  
169 20% 58% Median
170 13% 38%  
171 7% 25%  
172 9% 17%  
173 3% 8%  
174 3% 6%  
175 1.0% 2%  
176 0.7% 1.4%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.2% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.7%  
94 0.3% 99.4%  
95 0.5% 99.1%  
96 0.6% 98.6%  
97 0.9% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 0.9% 95%  
100 4% 94%  
101 3% 89%  
102 2% 86%  
103 8% 84%  
104 7% 76%  
105 2% 69%  
106 9% 67%  
107 3% 58%  
108 8% 55% Median
109 6% 47%  
110 5% 41%  
111 9% 37%  
112 3% 27%  
113 5% 24%  
114 3% 19%  
115 4% 16%  
116 4% 12%  
117 2% 8%  
118 2% 6%  
119 0.6% 4%  
120 1.1% 3%  
121 0.9% 2%  
122 0.5% 1.4%  
123 0.3% 0.9%  
124 0.2% 0.6%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.3%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.6% 99.4%  
68 1.0% 98.9%  
69 0.8% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 5% 95%  
72 2% 90%  
73 7% 88%  
74 9% 81%  
75 4% 72%  
76 8% 68%  
77 12% 60% Median
78 7% 48%  
79 13% 40%  
80 5% 28%  
81 9% 23%  
82 4% 14%  
83 4% 10%  
84 2% 6%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.4%  
66 0.5% 99.2%  
67 0.9% 98.7%  
68 0.9% 98%  
69 3% 97% Last Result
70 2% 94%  
71 4% 92%  
72 6% 87%  
73 5% 81%  
74 5% 76%  
75 9% 71%  
76 9% 62%  
77 8% 53% Median
78 7% 45%  
79 5% 39%  
80 3% 34%  
81 9% 30%  
82 6% 22%  
83 6% 16%  
84 4% 10%  
85 2% 6%  
86 1.2% 4%  
87 1.1% 3%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 0.3% 99.5%  
47 0.4% 99.2%  
48 0.8% 98.8%  
49 1.4% 98%  
50 3% 97%  
51 7% 93%  
52 9% 86%  
53 11% 77%  
54 10% 66%  
55 19% 56% Median
56 6% 37%  
57 15% 31%  
58 6% 16%  
59 4% 10%  
60 4% 6%  
61 1.3% 3%  
62 0.7% 1.4%  
63 0.3% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 1.3% 99.4%  
32 0.9% 98%  
33 3% 97%  
34 3% 94%  
35 7% 91%  
36 7% 84%  
37 12% 77%  
38 10% 65%  
39 12% 55% Median
40 13% 43%  
41 7% 31%  
42 8% 24%  
43 4% 16%  
44 4% 11%  
45 4% 7%  
46 0.7% 3% Last Result
47 2% 3%  
48 0.3% 1.0%  
49 0.4% 0.7%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 500 100% 492–508 490–510 488–512 483–516
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 446 100% 437–456 433–459 432–462 427–466
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 391 100% 382–400 380–404 379–405 374–410
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 371 99.8% 364–378 363–379 361–382 358–385
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 370 99.0% 361–377 360–379 358–381 353–385
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 347 11% 338–356 334–359 333–361 328–366
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 339 1.0% 332–348 330–349 328–351 324–356
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 315 0% 309–323 308–325 305–326 302–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 292 0% 284–301 281–303 279–305 274–309
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 284 0% 276–294 273–297 271–299 267–303
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 262 0% 257–269 256–270 253–272 250–276
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 186 0% 177–195 173–197 171–199 167–203
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 163 0% 155–170 154–174 152–176 147–180

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0.1% 99.9%  
480 0.1% 99.9%  
481 0.1% 99.8%  
482 0.2% 99.8%  
483 0.1% 99.6%  
484 0.2% 99.5%  
485 0.8% 99.3%  
486 0.2% 98%  
487 0.7% 98%  
488 0.6% 98%  
489 2% 97%  
490 1.3% 95%  
491 3% 94%  
492 5% 91%  
493 4% 86%  
494 5% 82%  
495 1.3% 77%  
496 6% 75%  
497 8% 69%  
498 3% 61%  
499 6% 58%  
500 3% 52% Median
501 9% 49%  
502 4% 40%  
503 5% 35%  
504 8% 31%  
505 3% 22%  
506 5% 19%  
507 4% 15%  
508 2% 11%  
509 2% 9%  
510 2% 6%  
511 2% 4%  
512 0.8% 3%  
513 0.5% 2%  
514 0.4% 1.3%  
515 0.2% 0.9%  
516 0.2% 0.7%  
517 0.2% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0.1% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0.1% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.2% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.4%  
429 0.3% 99.3%  
430 0.4% 99.0%  
431 0.9% 98.5%  
432 1.5% 98%  
433 1.4% 96%  
434 3% 95%  
435 0.3% 92%  
436 1.2% 91%  
437 3% 90%  
438 1.4% 87%  
439 2% 86%  
440 5% 83%  
441 6% 79%  
442 5% 73%  
443 3% 68%  
444 6% 65%  
445 6% 59%  
446 4% 53%  
447 4% 49% Median
448 7% 45%  
449 1.3% 38%  
450 5% 37%  
451 3% 31%  
452 3% 29%  
453 12% 26%  
454 2% 14%  
455 0.9% 12%  
456 3% 11%  
457 1.4% 9%  
458 0.6% 7%  
459 2% 7%  
460 0.3% 4%  
461 0.8% 4%  
462 1.0% 3%  
463 0.6% 2%  
464 0.4% 1.4%  
465 0.4% 1.0%  
466 0.1% 0.6%  
467 0.2% 0.5%  
468 0.1% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0.1% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0.1% 0.1%  
473 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.2% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.6%  
374 0.1% 99.5%  
375 0.2% 99.4%  
376 0.3% 99.1%  
377 0.3% 98.8%  
378 0.6% 98%  
379 2% 98%  
380 1.2% 96%  
381 3% 94%  
382 1.4% 91%  
383 3% 90%  
384 2% 87%  
385 3% 85%  
386 7% 82%  
387 2% 75%  
388 10% 74%  
389 6% 64%  
390 4% 58%  
391 4% 54%  
392 6% 50% Median
393 2% 44%  
394 5% 42%  
395 4% 37%  
396 7% 33%  
397 6% 26%  
398 7% 20%  
399 2% 13%  
400 2% 11%  
401 1.4% 9%  
402 1.1% 7%  
403 1.3% 6%  
404 0.6% 5%  
405 2% 5%  
406 0.5% 2%  
407 0.6% 2%  
408 0.2% 1.2%  
409 0.3% 1.0%  
410 0.3% 0.7%  
411 0.1% 0.5%  
412 0.2% 0.4%  
413 0.1% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8% Majority
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0% 99.6%  
358 0.5% 99.5%  
359 0.3% 99.0%  
360 0.5% 98.6%  
361 1.2% 98%  
362 2% 97%  
363 2% 95%  
364 3% 93%  
365 6% 90%  
366 5% 84%  
367 12% 79%  
368 2% 67%  
369 2% 65%  
370 11% 63%  
371 7% 52% Median
372 16% 45%  
373 4% 30%  
374 2% 26%  
375 5% 24%  
376 7% 18%  
377 1.0% 11%  
378 3% 10%  
379 3% 8%  
380 0.6% 5%  
381 1.0% 4%  
382 2% 3%  
383 0.2% 1.3%  
384 0.4% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 0.7%  
386 0.1% 0.4%  
387 0.1% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.3% 99.6%  
354 0.2% 99.3%  
355 0.6% 99.0% Majority
356 0.6% 98%  
357 0.1% 98%  
358 2% 98%  
359 0.6% 96%  
360 3% 95%  
361 3% 92%  
362 3% 90%  
363 4% 86%  
364 1.0% 82%  
365 5% 81%  
366 6% 77%  
367 7% 71%  
368 9% 64%  
369 0.9% 55% Median
370 16% 54%  
371 1.4% 38%  
372 10% 36%  
373 2% 27%  
374 9% 25%  
375 3% 16%  
376 2% 13%  
377 4% 11%  
378 1.0% 7%  
379 2% 6%  
380 1.3% 4%  
381 1.3% 3%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.4% 1.3%  
384 0.3% 0.9%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.2% 0.5%  
387 0.1% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
300 0% 100% Last Result
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0.1% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.8%  
327 0.2% 99.7%  
328 0.3% 99.6%  
329 0.3% 99.3%  
330 0.3% 99.0%  
331 0.4% 98.7%  
332 0.6% 98%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 3% 97%  
335 1.0% 95%  
336 2% 94%  
337 0.9% 92%  
338 1.3% 91%  
339 4% 90%  
340 4% 86%  
341 4% 83%  
342 9% 79%  
343 5% 69%  
344 1.0% 64%  
345 5% 63%  
346 3% 58%  
347 10% 55% Median
348 5% 45%  
349 4% 40%  
350 6% 36%  
351 3% 30%  
352 4% 27%  
353 5% 23%  
354 7% 18%  
355 1.0% 11% Majority
356 3% 10%  
357 0.6% 8%  
358 1.0% 7%  
359 2% 6%  
360 1.3% 4%  
361 1.1% 3%  
362 0.3% 2%  
363 0.1% 2%  
364 0.6% 1.4%  
365 0.2% 0.8%  
366 0.2% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.4%  
368 0.1% 0.3%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0.1% 99.8%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.2% 99.7%  
324 0.1% 99.5%  
325 0.3% 99.4%  
326 0.4% 99.1%  
327 0.2% 98.7%  
328 1.3% 98%  
329 1.3% 97%  
330 2% 96%  
331 1.0% 94%  
332 4% 93%  
333 2% 89%  
334 3% 87%  
335 9% 84%  
336 2% 75%  
337 10% 73%  
338 1.4% 64%  
339 16% 62%  
340 0.9% 46% Median
341 9% 45%  
342 7% 36%  
343 6% 29%  
344 5% 23%  
345 1.0% 19%  
346 4% 18%  
347 3% 14%  
348 3% 10%  
349 3% 8%  
350 0.6% 5%  
351 2% 4%  
352 0.1% 2%  
353 0.6% 2%  
354 0.6% 2%  
355 0.2% 1.0% Majority
356 0.3% 0.7%  
357 0.1% 0.4%  
358 0.1% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.8%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0.2% 99.8%  
302 0.4% 99.6%  
303 0.8% 99.2%  
304 0.7% 98%  
305 0.7% 98%  
306 1.1% 97%  
307 0.7% 96%  
308 1.0% 95%  
309 5% 94%  
310 3% 89%  
311 8% 86%  
312 9% 78%  
313 8% 69%  
314 4% 61%  
315 10% 57%  
316 3% 47% Median
317 4% 44%  
318 3% 40%  
319 8% 37%  
320 8% 29%  
321 2% 21%  
322 8% 19%  
323 3% 10%  
324 2% 8%  
325 2% 6%  
326 2% 4%  
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.5% 2%  
329 0.4% 1.5%  
330 0.4% 1.1%  
331 0.2% 0.7%  
332 0.2% 0.5%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.3% 99.8%  
274 0.1% 99.5%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0.6% 99.3%  
277 0.3% 98.7%  
278 0.6% 98%  
279 0.4% 98%  
280 2% 97%  
281 2% 96%  
282 0.8% 93%  
283 2% 92%  
284 4% 90%  
285 3% 87%  
286 1.3% 83%  
287 7% 82%  
288 7% 76%  
289 4% 69%  
290 6% 65%  
291 3% 59%  
292 8% 56% Median
293 7% 48%  
294 5% 41%  
295 7% 36%  
296 2% 29%  
297 8% 27%  
298 5% 19%  
299 1.3% 14%  
300 1.0% 13%  
301 5% 12%  
302 0.6% 7%  
303 2% 6%  
304 1.1% 5%  
305 1.5% 3%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.8% 2%  
308 0.2% 0.9%  
309 0.2% 0.7%  
310 0.1% 0.5%  
311 0.2% 0.4%  
312 0% 0.2%  
313 0.1% 0.2%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0.1% 0.1%  
316 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0.1% 99.9%  
266 0.2% 99.7%  
267 0.2% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.4%  
269 0.3% 99.3%  
270 0.9% 99.0%  
271 1.0% 98%  
272 0.8% 97%  
273 2% 96%  
274 0.7% 95%  
275 0.8% 94%  
276 4% 93%  
277 2% 90%  
278 6% 88%  
279 3% 82%  
280 5% 79%  
281 6% 74%  
282 2% 69%  
283 7% 66%  
284 12% 59%  
285 2% 48% Median
286 10% 46%  
287 3% 36%  
288 2% 33%  
289 3% 31%  
290 8% 28%  
291 3% 20%  
292 4% 17%  
293 2% 14%  
294 3% 12%  
295 1.1% 9%  
296 2% 8%  
297 3% 6%  
298 0.2% 3%  
299 0.5% 3%  
300 0.4% 2%  
301 0.5% 2%  
302 0.2% 1.1%  
303 0.5% 0.9%  
304 0.1% 0.5%  
305 0.1% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0.1% 0.2%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0%  
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0% 99.8%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0.2% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.5%  
252 0.2% 99.4%  
253 3% 99.2%  
254 1.0% 97%  
255 0.2% 96%  
256 5% 95%  
257 6% 91%  
258 4% 84%  
259 1.0% 80%  
260 8% 79%  
261 19% 71%  
262 3% 52%  
263 1.2% 49% Median
264 19% 48%  
265 11% 29%  
266 0.9% 18%  
267 2% 17%  
268 4% 16%  
269 6% 11%  
270 1.0% 5%  
271 0.1% 4%  
272 3% 4%  
273 0.6% 1.5%  
274 0.3% 0.9%  
275 0.1% 0.6%  
276 0.1% 0.6%  
277 0.1% 0.4%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.2% 99.7%  
166 0.1% 99.6%  
167 0.3% 99.5%  
168 0.3% 99.2%  
169 0.2% 98.9%  
170 1.1% 98.8%  
171 0.9% 98%  
172 2% 97%  
173 0.3% 95%  
174 2% 95%  
175 1.2% 93%  
176 1.5% 92%  
177 1.0% 90%  
178 7% 89%  
179 8% 83%  
180 0.9% 74%  
181 2% 74%  
182 6% 71%  
183 8% 66%  
184 2% 58%  
185 4% 56% Median
186 7% 52%  
187 3% 44%  
188 5% 41%  
189 7% 36%  
190 10% 29%  
191 1.4% 19%  
192 3% 18%  
193 2% 15%  
194 2% 13%  
195 0.8% 11%  
196 2% 10%  
197 4% 7%  
198 0.2% 4%  
199 1.2% 3%  
200 0.6% 2%  
201 0.9% 2%  
202 0.1% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.6%  
204 0.2% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.3% 99.7%  
148 0.4% 99.4%  
149 0.5% 99.0%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.2% 98%  
152 2% 98%  
153 0.9% 96%  
154 5% 95%  
155 1.2% 90%  
156 0.8% 89%  
157 5% 88%  
158 8% 83%  
159 7% 75%  
160 4% 68%  
161 7% 64%  
162 2% 57%  
163 9% 55% Median
164 5% 46%  
165 10% 41%  
166 5% 31%  
167 2% 26%  
168 3% 24%  
169 8% 21%  
170 3% 13%  
171 2% 10%  
172 1.1% 7%  
173 0.8% 6%  
174 2% 5%  
175 0.6% 3%  
176 2% 3%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.5%  
181 0.2% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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