Opinion Poll by Kantar, 20–27 February 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.2% 19.4–24.9%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 20.3% 19.0–21.7% 18.6–22.1% 18.3–22.4% 17.7–23.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.2% 14.5–17.6% 14.2–17.9% 13.7–18.5%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 4.7% 4.1–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 168 157–179 155–182 152–185 147–191
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 155 145–165 142–168 139–171 135–177
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 113–131 110–134 108–137 104–142
Alternative für Deutschland 94 107 98–116 96–118 94–121 90–126
Die Linke 69 76 69–84 67–87 65–89 62–93
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 40–52 39–54 0–56 0–59
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 36 31–42 30–43 28–45 26–48

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.2% 99.7%  
148 0.3% 99.5%  
149 0.3% 99.2%  
150 0.5% 99.0%  
151 0.6% 98%  
152 0.6% 98%  
153 1.0% 97%  
154 1.1% 96%  
155 2% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 3% 92%  
158 2% 89%  
159 3% 87%  
160 3% 84%  
161 3% 81%  
162 5% 78%  
163 4% 73%  
164 5% 69%  
165 4% 64%  
166 5% 60%  
167 5% 56%  
168 4% 50% Median
169 6% 46%  
170 5% 40%  
171 4% 35%  
172 4% 31%  
173 3% 28%  
174 4% 24%  
175 2% 20%  
176 4% 18%  
177 2% 14%  
178 1.5% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 2% 8%  
181 1.4% 7%  
182 1.2% 5%  
183 0.9% 4%  
184 0.7% 3%  
185 0.4% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.4% 1.3%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.7%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.2% 99.4%  
137 0.5% 99.1%  
138 0.5% 98.6%  
139 0.8% 98%  
140 0.8% 97%  
141 1.3% 97%  
142 2% 95%  
143 2% 94%  
144 2% 92%  
145 3% 90%  
146 2% 88%  
147 4% 86%  
148 4% 81%  
149 3% 77%  
150 5% 74%  
151 5% 69%  
152 4% 64%  
153 5% 60%  
154 5% 56%  
155 6% 51% Median
156 4% 45%  
157 7% 42%  
158 5% 35%  
159 4% 30%  
160 4% 26%  
161 3% 22%  
162 3% 19%  
163 3% 17%  
164 2% 14%  
165 2% 11%  
166 2% 9%  
167 2% 7%  
168 1.3% 6%  
169 0.9% 4%  
170 0.7% 4%  
171 0.5% 3%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.4% 1.5%  
175 0.3% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.8%  
177 0.2% 0.7%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0.1% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.3% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.3%  
106 0.7% 99.1%  
107 0.4% 98%  
108 0.8% 98%  
109 1.3% 97%  
110 1.2% 96%  
111 2% 95%  
112 1.4% 93%  
113 4% 91%  
114 3% 87%  
115 5% 85%  
116 2% 79%  
117 6% 77%  
118 2% 71%  
119 8% 69%  
120 2% 61%  
121 9% 59%  
122 2% 50% Median
123 10% 48%  
124 2% 39%  
125 8% 37%  
126 3% 29%  
127 6% 27%  
128 2% 21%  
129 4% 18%  
130 3% 14%  
131 3% 12%  
132 2% 9%  
133 1.3% 7%  
134 2% 6%  
135 0.8% 5%  
136 1.0% 4%  
137 0.4% 3%  
138 0.8% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.5% 1.3%  
141 0.2% 0.8%  
142 0.2% 0.6%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.4% 99.4%  
92 0.5% 99.0%  
93 0.7% 98.5%  
94 1.2% 98% Last Result
95 1.2% 97%  
96 2% 95%  
97 3% 94%  
98 2% 91%  
99 4% 89%  
100 3% 85%  
101 5% 82%  
102 5% 78%  
103 5% 72%  
104 4% 67%  
105 6% 63%  
106 6% 57%  
107 5% 51% Median
108 6% 46%  
109 6% 40%  
110 4% 34%  
111 5% 30%  
112 4% 25%  
113 3% 21%  
114 4% 17%  
115 3% 13%  
116 2% 10%  
117 2% 8%  
118 1.4% 6%  
119 1.2% 5%  
120 0.8% 4%  
121 0.7% 3%  
122 0.6% 2%  
123 0.4% 2%  
124 0.3% 1.1%  
125 0.2% 0.8%  
126 0.2% 0.6%  
127 0.1% 0.4%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.3% 99.6%  
63 0.5% 99.4%  
64 0.6% 98.9%  
65 0.9% 98%  
66 1.4% 97%  
67 2% 96%  
68 2% 94%  
69 3% 92% Last Result
70 4% 89%  
71 4% 85%  
72 7% 81%  
73 6% 74%  
74 6% 68%  
75 7% 62%  
76 6% 56% Median
77 6% 50%  
78 7% 44%  
79 6% 37%  
80 6% 31%  
81 5% 25%  
82 5% 20%  
83 4% 16%  
84 3% 12%  
85 2% 9%  
86 2% 7%  
87 1.4% 5%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 0.8% 3%  
90 0.5% 2%  
91 0.3% 1.2%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0.8% 96%  
39 3% 96%  
40 4% 93%  
41 5% 89%  
42 6% 84%  
43 7% 78%  
44 8% 71%  
45 8% 64%  
46 9% 56% Median
47 9% 47%  
48 7% 38%  
49 7% 31%  
50 6% 24%  
51 5% 18%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 6%  
55 1.5% 4%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.7% 2%  
58 0.4% 1.1%  
59 0.3% 0.7%  
60 0.2% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 0.6% 99.5%  
28 2% 98.9%  
29 2% 97%  
30 2% 95%  
31 5% 93%  
32 8% 88%  
33 6% 80%  
34 7% 74%  
35 12% 67%  
36 10% 54% Median
37 6% 45%  
38 10% 39%  
39 9% 29%  
40 4% 20%  
41 4% 16%  
42 5% 12%  
43 2% 7%  
44 1.4% 5%  
45 1.4% 3%  
46 1.0% 2% Last Result
47 0.3% 1.0%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 480 100% 468–492 465–498 462–509 456–523
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 404 100% 391–416 387–420 382–422 371–428
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 366 87% 353–379 350–384 347–389 342–403
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 358 65% 346–371 342–377 340–382 333–394
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 358 65% 345–370 340–374 336–377 324–383
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 343 13% 330–356 325–359 320–362 306–367
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 335 2% 322–348 317–351 310–353 297–360
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 313 0.1% 300–326 297–330 294–335 288–345
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 297 0% 285–310 282–315 279–319 274–330
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 289 0% 277–301 274–307 272–310 265–321
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 237 0% 224–248 219–252 209–254 194–260
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 198 0% 187–209 184–214 182–217 177–224
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 168 0% 157–178 152–181 135–184 122–189

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0.1% 99.8%  
455 0.1% 99.8%  
456 0.2% 99.6%  
457 0.2% 99.5%  
458 0.2% 99.3%  
459 0.2% 99.1%  
460 0.4% 98.9%  
461 0.7% 98%  
462 0.7% 98%  
463 0.5% 97%  
464 0.6% 97%  
465 2% 96%  
466 2% 95% Last Result
467 2% 93%  
468 2% 91%  
469 1.5% 89%  
470 3% 88%  
471 2% 85%  
472 4% 83%  
473 3% 79%  
474 2% 75%  
475 3% 73%  
476 5% 70%  
477 5% 65%  
478 3% 59%  
479 3% 56%  
480 5% 53%  
481 6% 48% Median
482 4% 43%  
483 4% 38%  
484 3% 34%  
485 3% 31%  
486 3% 28%  
487 4% 25%  
488 3% 21%  
489 3% 18%  
490 2% 16%  
491 2% 13%  
492 2% 12%  
493 2% 10%  
494 1.1% 8%  
495 0.7% 7%  
496 0.8% 6%  
497 0.7% 6%  
498 0.4% 5%  
499 0.4% 5%  
500 0.3% 4%  
501 0.3% 4%  
502 0.2% 4%  
503 0.2% 3%  
504 0.1% 3%  
505 0.2% 3%  
506 0.2% 3%  
507 0.1% 3%  
508 0.1% 3%  
509 0.1% 3%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.1% 2%  
513 0.2% 2%  
514 0.1% 2%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0.1% 1.3%  
518 0.2% 1.2%  
519 0.1% 1.0%  
520 0.2% 0.9%  
521 0.1% 0.7%  
522 0.1% 0.6%  
523 0.1% 0.5%  
524 0% 0.4%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0.1% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0.1% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0.2% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.7%  
369 0% 99.6%  
370 0% 99.6%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0% 99.5%  
373 0.1% 99.4%  
374 0.1% 99.3%  
375 0.1% 99.2%  
376 0.1% 99.1%  
377 0.1% 99.0%  
378 0.2% 98.9%  
379 0.1% 98.7%  
380 0.3% 98.5%  
381 0.5% 98%  
382 0.5% 98%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 0.3% 97%  
385 0.5% 97%  
386 0.8% 96%  
387 0.8% 95%  
388 1.2% 94%  
389 1.4% 93%  
390 0.7% 92%  
391 1.3% 91%  
392 2% 90%  
393 3% 88% Last Result
394 3% 85%  
395 4% 83%  
396 2% 79%  
397 3% 77%  
398 3% 74%  
399 4% 72%  
400 4% 68%  
401 3% 63%  
402 4% 60%  
403 5% 56%  
404 3% 51%  
405 4% 48% Median
406 4% 44%  
407 4% 40%  
408 5% 37%  
409 4% 32%  
410 3% 28%  
411 3% 25%  
412 2% 22%  
413 3% 20%  
414 3% 17%  
415 3% 14%  
416 2% 11%  
417 1.4% 9%  
418 1.2% 7%  
419 1.1% 6%  
420 0.8% 5%  
421 1.0% 4%  
422 0.9% 3%  
423 0.6% 2%  
424 0.4% 2%  
425 0.2% 1.4%  
426 0.3% 1.2%  
427 0.2% 0.9%  
428 0.2% 0.7%  
429 0.1% 0.5%  
430 0.1% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.2% 99.5%  
343 0.2% 99.3%  
344 0.4% 99.1%  
345 0.4% 98.7%  
346 0.6% 98%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.7% 97%  
349 0.5% 97%  
350 1.3% 96%  
351 1.4% 95%  
352 2% 93%  
353 2% 91%  
354 2% 90%  
355 2% 87% Majority
356 2% 86%  
357 2% 84%  
358 3% 82%  
359 4% 79%  
360 4% 75%  
361 5% 70%  
362 5% 66%  
363 3% 61%  
364 3% 58%  
365 3% 55%  
366 4% 52% Median
367 5% 48%  
368 4% 43%  
369 5% 39%  
370 4% 35%  
371 3% 31%  
372 2% 27%  
373 2% 25%  
374 3% 24%  
375 3% 20%  
376 3% 18%  
377 2% 14%  
378 2% 12%  
379 1.3% 10%  
380 1.0% 9%  
381 0.8% 8%  
382 0.8% 7%  
383 0.9% 6%  
384 0.7% 5%  
385 0.6% 5%  
386 0.7% 4%  
387 0.4% 3%  
388 0.4% 3%  
389 0.3% 3%  
390 0.2% 2%  
391 0.2% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.2% 2%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.1% 1.4%  
396 0.3% 1.3%  
397 0.1% 1.0%  
398 0.1% 0.9%  
399 0.1% 0.8%  
400 0.1% 0.7%  
401 0% 0.6%  
402 0.1% 0.6%  
403 0.1% 0.5%  
404 0.1% 0.5%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0.1% 0.3%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0.2% 99.6%  
334 0.1% 99.5%  
335 0.2% 99.3%  
336 0.2% 99.2%  
337 0.3% 98.9%  
338 0.5% 98.6%  
339 0.6% 98%  
340 0.8% 98%  
341 0.8% 97%  
342 0.9% 96%  
343 1.2% 95%  
344 1.4% 94%  
345 2% 92%  
346 2% 91%  
347 2% 89%  
348 3% 87%  
349 3% 84%  
350 2% 82%  
351 4% 79%  
352 3% 75%  
353 3% 72%  
354 4% 69%  
355 3% 65% Majority
356 4% 61%  
357 4% 57%  
358 4% 53%  
359 3% 49% Median
360 5% 46%  
361 3% 40%  
362 3% 37%  
363 3% 34%  
364 4% 30%  
365 3% 27%  
366 3% 24%  
367 2% 20%  
368 3% 18%  
369 3% 15%  
370 2% 13%  
371 2% 11%  
372 1.0% 10%  
373 1.3% 9%  
374 1.0% 7%  
375 0.8% 6%  
376 0.6% 6%  
377 0.8% 5%  
378 0.5% 4%  
379 0.4% 4%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 0.5% 3%  
382 0.3% 3%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 2%  
385 0.2% 2%  
386 0.2% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.2% 1.3%  
389 0.1% 1.1%  
390 0.1% 1.0%  
391 0.1% 1.0%  
392 0.2% 0.8%  
393 0% 0.6%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.5%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.8%  
320 0.1% 99.8%  
321 0.1% 99.7%  
322 0.1% 99.6%  
323 0% 99.5%  
324 0.1% 99.5%  
325 0% 99.4%  
326 0.1% 99.3%  
327 0.1% 99.3%  
328 0.1% 99.1%  
329 0.1% 99.0%  
330 0.2% 98.9%  
331 0.2% 98.6%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.2% 98%  
334 0.3% 98%  
335 0.3% 98%  
336 0.5% 98%  
337 0.2% 97%  
338 0.6% 97%  
339 0.4% 96%  
340 0.9% 96%  
341 0.4% 95%  
342 1.1% 94%  
343 1.4% 93%  
344 1.1% 92%  
345 2% 91%  
346 2% 89%  
347 2% 87%  
348 2% 85%  
349 2% 83%  
350 4% 81%  
351 2% 77%  
352 4% 76%  
353 4% 72%  
354 3% 68%  
355 5% 65% Majority
356 4% 61%  
357 4% 57%  
358 3% 53%  
359 6% 50% Median
360 4% 44%  
361 3% 41%  
362 4% 37%  
363 4% 33%  
364 3% 29%  
365 5% 26%  
366 2% 22%  
367 3% 20%  
368 2% 17%  
369 3% 15%  
370 2% 12%  
371 1.4% 10%  
372 2% 8%  
373 0.8% 6%  
374 1.3% 6%  
375 0.7% 4%  
376 1.0% 4%  
377 0.4% 3%  
378 0.6% 2%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.4% 1.3%  
381 0.2% 0.9%  
382 0.2% 0.8%  
383 0.1% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.4%  
385 0.1% 0.3%  
386 0.1% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0.1% 99.5%  
307 0.1% 99.5%  
308 0% 99.4%  
309 0.1% 99.4%  
310 0.1% 99.3%  
311 0.1% 99.2%  
312 0.1% 99.1%  
313 0.3% 99.0%  
314 0.1% 98.7%  
315 0.2% 98.6%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.2% 98%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.2% 98%  
320 0.3% 98%  
321 0.4% 97%  
322 0.4% 97%  
323 0.7% 97%  
324 0.6% 96%  
325 0.7% 95%  
326 0.9% 95%  
327 0.8% 94%  
328 0.8% 93%  
329 1.0% 92%  
330 1.3% 91%  
331 2% 90%  
332 2% 88%  
333 3% 86%  
334 3% 82%  
335 3% 80%  
336 2% 76%  
337 2% 75%  
338 3% 73%  
339 4% 69%  
340 5% 65%  
341 4% 61%  
342 5% 57%  
343 4% 52%  
344 3% 48% Median
345 3% 45%  
346 3% 42%  
347 5% 39%  
348 5% 34%  
349 4% 30%  
350 4% 25%  
351 3% 21%  
352 2% 18%  
353 2% 16%  
354 2% 14%  
355 2% 13% Majority
356 2% 10%  
357 2% 9%  
358 1.4% 7%  
359 1.3% 5%  
360 0.5% 4%  
361 0.7% 3%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.6% 2%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.4% 1.3%  
366 0.2% 0.9%  
367 0.2% 0.7%  
368 0.1% 0.5%  
369 0.1% 0.4%  
370 0.1% 0.3%  
371 0.1% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.8%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.5%  
298 0% 99.4%  
299 0% 99.4%  
300 0% 99.3% Last Result
301 0% 99.3%  
302 0% 99.3%  
303 0.1% 99.2%  
304 0.1% 99.2%  
305 0.2% 99.1%  
306 0.1% 98.9%  
307 0.3% 98.8%  
308 0.3% 98%  
309 0.4% 98%  
310 0.3% 98%  
311 0.3% 97%  
312 0.2% 97%  
313 0.3% 97%  
314 0.3% 97%  
315 0.4% 96%  
316 0.5% 96%  
317 0.8% 95%  
318 0.6% 95%  
319 0.9% 94%  
320 2% 93%  
321 1.4% 92%  
322 1.5% 90%  
323 1.4% 89%  
324 2% 87%  
325 3% 85%  
326 2% 83%  
327 2% 80%  
328 2% 78%  
329 4% 75%  
330 4% 71%  
331 4% 68%  
332 3% 64%  
333 5% 61%  
334 4% 56%  
335 4% 52%  
336 3% 47% Median
337 3% 44%  
338 4% 41%  
339 4% 37%  
340 5% 33%  
341 3% 28%  
342 3% 25%  
343 4% 23%  
344 3% 19%  
345 3% 16%  
346 1.3% 14%  
347 2% 12%  
348 2% 10%  
349 2% 8%  
350 0.8% 6%  
351 1.1% 5%  
352 0.8% 4%  
353 1.0% 3%  
354 0.4% 2%  
355 0.4% 2% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.4% 1.3%  
358 0.2% 1.0%  
359 0.2% 0.7%  
360 0.2% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.4%  
362 0.1% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.9%  
286 0.1% 99.8%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.2% 99.5%  
290 0.3% 99.3%  
291 0.4% 99.0%  
292 0.4% 98.6%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 0.7% 98%  
295 0.7% 97%  
296 1.1% 96%  
297 0.8% 95%  
298 2% 95%  
299 1.4% 93%  
300 2% 92%  
301 1.5% 89%  
302 3% 88%  
303 2% 85%  
304 4% 83%  
305 3% 79%  
306 3% 77%  
307 3% 73%  
308 5% 70%  
309 3% 66%  
310 4% 63%  
311 3% 59%  
312 5% 56%  
313 5% 51% Median
314 5% 46%  
315 4% 41%  
316 3% 37%  
317 4% 34%  
318 2% 30%  
319 3% 27%  
320 3% 24%  
321 3% 21%  
322 2% 18%  
323 2% 15%  
324 2% 14%  
325 1.4% 12%  
326 2% 10%  
327 0.9% 9%  
328 1.2% 8%  
329 0.8% 6%  
330 0.9% 6%  
331 0.7% 5%  
332 0.4% 4%  
333 0.5% 4%  
334 0.5% 3%  
335 0.3% 3%  
336 0.3% 2%  
337 0.2% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.2% 1.4%  
340 0.1% 1.3%  
341 0.1% 1.1%  
342 0.3% 1.0%  
343 0.1% 0.8%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.5%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.8%  
272 0.1% 99.7%  
273 0.1% 99.6%  
274 0.3% 99.5%  
275 0.2% 99.3%  
276 0.4% 99.1%  
277 0.4% 98.7%  
278 0.3% 98%  
279 0.7% 98%  
280 0.6% 97%  
281 1.0% 97%  
282 1.3% 96%  
283 1.2% 94%  
284 2% 93%  
285 2% 92%  
286 2% 89%  
287 2% 87%  
288 2% 85%  
289 3% 83%  
290 4% 80%  
291 2% 76%  
292 4% 74%  
293 3% 69%  
294 5% 67%  
295 3% 61%  
296 3% 58%  
297 5% 55%  
298 3% 50% Median
299 4% 47%  
300 5% 42%  
301 3% 37%  
302 4% 34%  
303 3% 30%  
304 3% 27%  
305 3% 24%  
306 4% 21%  
307 2% 18%  
308 2% 15%  
309 3% 14%  
310 2% 11%  
311 1.0% 10%  
312 1.5% 9%  
313 1.0% 7%  
314 0.9% 6%  
315 0.8% 5%  
316 0.7% 4%  
317 0.5% 4%  
318 0.5% 3%  
319 0.2% 3%  
320 0.4% 2%  
321 0.4% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.2% 1.4%  
324 0.1% 1.2%  
325 0.2% 1.1%  
326 0.1% 0.9%  
327 0.1% 0.8%  
328 0.1% 0.7%  
329 0.1% 0.6%  
330 0.2% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1% Last Result
341 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.7%  
265 0.2% 99.6%  
266 0.2% 99.4%  
267 0.3% 99.3%  
268 0.3% 99.0%  
269 0.2% 98.7%  
270 0.4% 98%  
271 0.6% 98%  
272 0.7% 98%  
273 1.2% 97%  
274 1.1% 96%  
275 2% 95%  
276 2% 92%  
277 2% 91%  
278 2% 89%  
279 2% 87%  
280 2% 84%  
281 2% 82%  
282 2% 81%  
283 3% 78%  
284 4% 75%  
285 4% 71%  
286 5% 67%  
287 7% 62%  
288 4% 55%  
289 4% 52%  
290 5% 48% Median
291 3% 43%  
292 3% 40%  
293 2% 37%  
294 3% 35%  
295 4% 32%  
296 4% 29%  
297 4% 25%  
298 3% 21%  
299 3% 18%  
300 2% 15%  
301 2% 12%  
302 1.3% 10%  
303 0.8% 9%  
304 0.8% 8%  
305 0.7% 7%  
306 0.9% 6%  
307 0.8% 5%  
308 0.9% 5%  
309 0.8% 4%  
310 0.6% 3%  
311 0.4% 2%  
312 0.4% 2%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.1% 1.3%  
315 0.1% 1.2%  
316 0.1% 1.1%  
317 0.1% 1.0%  
318 0.1% 1.0%  
319 0.2% 0.9%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.8%  
190 0% 99.8%  
191 0.1% 99.8%  
192 0% 99.7%  
193 0.1% 99.7%  
194 0.1% 99.6%  
195 0.1% 99.5%  
196 0.1% 99.4%  
197 0.2% 99.3%  
198 0.1% 99.1%  
199 0.1% 98.9%  
200 0.1% 98.9%  
201 0.2% 98.8%  
202 0.1% 98.6%  
203 0.2% 98.6%  
204 0.2% 98%  
205 0.1% 98%  
206 0.1% 98%  
207 0.1% 98%  
208 0.1% 98%  
209 0.2% 98%  
210 0.3% 97%  
211 0.1% 97%  
212 0.2% 97%  
213 0.1% 97%  
214 0.2% 97%  
215 0.2% 97%  
216 0.3% 96%  
217 0.5% 96%  
218 0.4% 96%  
219 0.7% 95%  
220 0.7% 94%  
221 0.8% 94%  
222 2% 93%  
223 0.9% 92%  
224 1.5% 91%  
225 2% 89%  
226 1.5% 87%  
227 2% 85%  
228 2% 83%  
229 4% 81%  
230 2% 77%  
231 4% 75%  
232 4% 71%  
233 5% 67%  
234 3% 62%  
235 4% 59%  
236 5% 55%  
237 4% 50% Median
238 5% 46%  
239 4% 41%  
240 4% 37%  
241 4% 34%  
242 5% 30%  
243 2% 25%  
244 3% 22%  
245 3% 19%  
246 2% 17%  
247 3% 14%  
248 2% 12%  
249 2% 9%  
250 0.9% 8%  
251 1.4% 7%  
252 1.2% 5%  
253 0.8% 4%  
254 0.7% 3%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.6% 2%  
257 0.3% 1.4%  
258 0.3% 1.1%  
259 0.2% 0.8%  
260 0.2% 0.6%  
261 0.1% 0.4%  
262 0.1% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.2% 99.7%  
177 0.2% 99.5%  
178 0.3% 99.4%  
179 0.5% 99.0%  
180 0.4% 98.5%  
181 0.5% 98%  
182 0.7% 98%  
183 0.8% 97%  
184 1.1% 96%  
185 1.2% 95%  
186 2% 94%  
187 2% 92%  
188 3% 90%  
189 2% 87%  
190 3% 85%  
191 3% 81%  
192 3% 78%  
193 4% 75%  
194 3% 71%  
195 6% 68%  
196 4% 62%  
197 5% 58%  
198 5% 53% Median
199 4% 48%  
200 4% 44%  
201 4% 40%  
202 3% 36%  
203 4% 33%  
204 3% 29%  
205 5% 25%  
206 3% 20%  
207 3% 17%  
208 3% 15%  
209 2% 12%  
210 1.4% 10%  
211 1.3% 9%  
212 0.9% 7%  
213 1.2% 6%  
214 0.7% 5%  
215 0.9% 4%  
216 0.7% 3%  
217 0.5% 3%  
218 0.6% 2%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.3% 1.3%  
221 0.2% 1.0%  
222 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
223 0.2% 0.7%  
224 0.1% 0.5%  
225 0.1% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0.1% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 0.1% 99.3%  
125 0.2% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.8%  
128 0.3% 98.7%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.1% 97%  
138 0.1% 97%  
139 0.2% 97%  
140 0.1% 97%  
141 0.1% 97%  
142 0% 97%  
143 0.1% 97%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0.1% 97%  
146 0.1% 96%  
147 0.1% 96%  
148 0.1% 96%  
149 0.3% 96%  
150 0.3% 96%  
151 0.4% 95%  
152 0.5% 95%  
153 0.7% 95%  
154 1.2% 94%  
155 1.0% 93%  
156 2% 92%  
157 2% 90%  
158 3% 89%  
159 3% 86%  
160 3% 83%  
161 3% 80%  
162 3% 76%  
163 4% 73%  
164 4% 69%  
165 5% 65%  
166 4% 61%  
167 6% 57%  
168 4% 51% Median
169 6% 47%  
170 4% 42%  
171 5% 37%  
172 4% 33%  
173 5% 28%  
174 4% 23%  
175 3% 19%  
176 3% 17%  
177 2% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 1.4% 8%  
181 1.5% 6%  
182 0.9% 5%  
183 1.0% 4%  
184 0.8% 3%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations