Opinion Poll by INSA and YouGov, 6–9 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 22.0% 20.9–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.3–23.9% 19.7–24.4%
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 20.5% 19.4–21.7% 19.1–22.0% 18.8–22.3% 18.3–22.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.5% 14.5–16.6% 14.2–16.9% 14.0–17.1% 13.5–17.7%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.6–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Die Linke 9.2% 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–10.9% 7.9–11.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.5% 5.8–7.2% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 165 157–175 154–178 153–180 148–183
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 156 146–164 143–164 141–166 138–172
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 116 109–125 107–127 105–129 102–134
Alternative für Deutschland 94 106 98–113 96–116 94–117 90–121
Die Linke 69 71 65–79 64–80 61–81 60–85
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 49 44–54 42–57 41–58 39–61
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 46 41–50 38–52 38–54 36–57

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 100%  
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.2% 99.8%  
148 0.3% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.4%  
150 0.8% 99.3%  
151 0.4% 98.6%  
152 0.5% 98%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 2% 94%  
156 2% 92%  
157 4% 90%  
158 7% 86%  
159 2% 79%  
160 6% 77%  
161 3% 71%  
162 4% 68%  
163 5% 65%  
164 5% 60%  
165 5% 55% Median
166 6% 50%  
167 4% 44%  
168 7% 40%  
169 4% 32%  
170 5% 28%  
171 2% 23%  
172 2% 21%  
173 3% 18%  
174 2% 15%  
175 4% 14%  
176 2% 10%  
177 0.9% 8%  
178 3% 7%  
179 1.2% 4%  
180 0.8% 3%  
181 0.7% 2%  
182 0.6% 1.2%  
183 0.1% 0.6%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.4%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.3% 99.6%  
139 0% 99.2%  
140 2% 99.2%  
141 1.2% 98%  
142 1.0% 96%  
143 2% 95%  
144 0.2% 93%  
145 2% 93%  
146 7% 91%  
147 2% 84%  
148 7% 83%  
149 2% 76%  
150 0.9% 74%  
151 5% 73%  
152 0.5% 69%  
153 12% 68%  
154 5% 56%  
155 0.6% 52%  
156 12% 51% Median
157 1.4% 39%  
158 10% 38%  
159 4% 28%  
160 0.7% 24%  
161 6% 23%  
162 3% 17%  
163 2% 14%  
164 9% 12%  
165 0.1% 3%  
166 0.7% 3%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.1% 2%  
169 1.0% 2%  
170 0.2% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.8%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0% 0.3%  
174 0.2% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.3% 99.8%  
102 0.2% 99.6%  
103 0.5% 99.4%  
104 0.8% 98.9%  
105 1.1% 98%  
106 1.4% 97%  
107 2% 96%  
108 1.0% 93%  
109 3% 92%  
110 5% 89%  
111 2% 83%  
112 5% 82%  
113 11% 77%  
114 7% 66%  
115 6% 59%  
116 4% 53% Median
117 6% 49%  
118 4% 43%  
119 8% 39%  
120 2% 31%  
121 5% 29%  
122 3% 24%  
123 5% 21%  
124 6% 16%  
125 1.1% 10%  
126 3% 9%  
127 1.3% 6%  
128 1.5% 5%  
129 1.0% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.6% 2%  
132 0.5% 1.2%  
133 0.1% 0.7%  
134 0.2% 0.6%  
135 0.3% 0.4%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 0.2% 99.5%  
92 0.4% 99.3%  
93 1.0% 98.9%  
94 0.8% 98% Last Result
95 1.4% 97%  
96 3% 96%  
97 3% 93%  
98 1.3% 90%  
99 3% 89%  
100 6% 86%  
101 3% 80%  
102 5% 77%  
103 9% 73%  
104 4% 64%  
105 7% 60%  
106 6% 53% Median
107 5% 46%  
108 6% 41%  
109 5% 35%  
110 9% 31%  
111 3% 21%  
112 4% 18%  
113 5% 14%  
114 2% 9%  
115 2% 7%  
116 2% 5%  
117 0.5% 3%  
118 0.2% 2%  
119 1.3% 2%  
120 0.3% 0.9%  
121 0.1% 0.6%  
122 0.2% 0.5%  
123 0.2% 0.3%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.8% 99.8%  
61 2% 99.0%  
62 0.2% 97%  
63 0.1% 97%  
64 3% 97%  
65 8% 94%  
66 8% 87%  
67 2% 79%  
68 0.8% 77%  
69 6% 76% Last Result
70 16% 70%  
71 13% 54% Median
72 1.4% 41%  
73 0.9% 40%  
74 7% 39%  
75 13% 32%  
76 5% 19%  
77 1.3% 14%  
78 0.9% 13%  
79 3% 12%  
80 6% 9%  
81 1.0% 3%  
82 0.1% 2%  
83 0.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 2%  
85 0.7% 1.1%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.5% 99.8%  
40 0.6% 99.3%  
41 1.1% 98.6%  
42 3% 97%  
43 4% 95%  
44 4% 91%  
45 5% 87%  
46 9% 83%  
47 8% 74%  
48 8% 66%  
49 13% 58% Median
50 14% 45%  
51 4% 30%  
52 8% 27%  
53 4% 19%  
54 5% 14%  
55 1.3% 9%  
56 2% 8%  
57 2% 6%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.6% 1.2%  
61 0.4% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.3% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.5%  
37 1.1% 99.5%  
38 4% 98%  
39 3% 95%  
40 1.3% 92%  
41 4% 90%  
42 15% 87%  
43 3% 72%  
44 3% 69%  
45 13% 66%  
46 13% 52% Last Result, Median
47 9% 40%  
48 2% 31%  
49 9% 29%  
50 13% 20%  
51 0.7% 7%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.4% 3%  
55 0.2% 1.1%  
56 0.2% 0.9%  
57 0.5% 0.7%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 483 100% 473–492 469–495 468–497 462–502
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 393 415 100% 404–425 400–428 396–431 393–435
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 366 90% 354–376 351–379 348–383 345–387
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 479 365 89% 354–378 351–379 349–382 344–387
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 352 45% 343–366 342–369 340–372 334–375
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 420 357 55% 343–366 340–367 337–369 334–375
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 330 0.2% 322–344 319–345 317–348 310–352
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 317 0% 306–328 302–331 301–332 296–338
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 307 0% 293–316 291–317 288–321 286–327
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 281 0% 272–294 270–296 267–298 262–304
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 326 252 0% 238–258 236–260 234–261 230–270
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 188 0% 179–198 177–202 175–204 171–207
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 157–175 154–178 152–179 150–185

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
458 0.1% 100%  
459 0.1% 99.9%  
460 0.1% 99.8%  
461 0.2% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.5%  
463 0.1% 99.4%  
464 0.1% 99.3%  
465 0.7% 99.1%  
466 0.6% 98% Last Result
467 0.3% 98%  
468 1.3% 98%  
469 2% 96%  
470 1.1% 95%  
471 2% 94%  
472 1.2% 92%  
473 2% 90%  
474 5% 89%  
475 2% 84%  
476 4% 82%  
477 2% 78%  
478 7% 77%  
479 4% 69%  
480 3% 66%  
481 4% 62%  
482 5% 58%  
483 4% 53% Median
484 8% 49%  
485 7% 41%  
486 6% 34%  
487 3% 27%  
488 7% 24%  
489 3% 17%  
490 1.0% 15%  
491 3% 14%  
492 1.2% 11%  
493 2% 10%  
494 1.0% 8%  
495 3% 7%  
496 0.9% 4%  
497 0.2% 3%  
498 0.6% 2%  
499 0.3% 2%  
500 0.8% 2%  
501 0.2% 0.8%  
502 0.2% 0.6%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.8%  
393 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
394 0.2% 99.4%  
395 0.5% 99.3%  
396 1.3% 98.8%  
397 0.2% 97%  
398 0.3% 97%  
399 0.8% 97%  
400 1.4% 96%  
401 2% 95%  
402 0.3% 93%  
403 2% 93%  
404 2% 91%  
405 2% 89%  
406 1.2% 87%  
407 4% 85%  
408 3% 81%  
409 3% 78%  
410 3% 75%  
411 6% 72%  
412 4% 66%  
413 2% 63%  
414 5% 60%  
415 7% 55%  
416 7% 48% Median
417 2% 40%  
418 3% 38%  
419 7% 35%  
420 6% 29%  
421 3% 23%  
422 3% 20%  
423 4% 17%  
424 2% 13%  
425 1.4% 11%  
426 3% 10%  
427 1.0% 7%  
428 2% 6%  
429 2% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 1.0% 3%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.7% 2%  
434 0.2% 0.8%  
435 0.3% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.4%  
437 0.1% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.2%  
439 0.1% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.9%  
342 0.1% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.8%  
344 0.2% 99.7%  
345 0.3% 99.5%  
346 0.1% 99.2%  
347 0.4% 99.1%  
348 2% 98.8%  
349 0.5% 97%  
350 0.9% 97%  
351 2% 96%  
352 0.7% 94%  
353 0.7% 93%  
354 3% 92%  
355 1.0% 90% Majority
356 2% 89%  
357 4% 87%  
358 4% 83%  
359 1.3% 80%  
360 2% 78%  
361 2% 76%  
362 4% 74%  
363 3% 69%  
364 13% 66%  
365 2% 53%  
366 9% 52%  
367 2% 43% Median
368 3% 41%  
369 5% 39%  
370 5% 34%  
371 6% 28%  
372 4% 22%  
373 3% 18%  
374 1.1% 15%  
375 2% 14%  
376 3% 11%  
377 0.6% 8%  
378 0.5% 8%  
379 2% 7%  
380 0.2% 5%  
381 0.4% 5%  
382 1.2% 4%  
383 1.2% 3%  
384 0.4% 2%  
385 0.7% 1.5%  
386 0.2% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.6%  
388 0.1% 0.5%  
389 0.2% 0.4%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0% 99.7%  
343 0% 99.7%  
344 0.3% 99.7%  
345 0.2% 99.4%  
346 0.7% 99.2%  
347 0.2% 98.6%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 2% 98%  
350 1.4% 97%  
351 0.2% 95%  
352 0.4% 95%  
353 2% 95%  
354 4% 93%  
355 0.2% 89% Majority
356 0.8% 89%  
357 3% 88%  
358 5% 85%  
359 1.1% 80%  
360 3% 79%  
361 6% 76%  
362 4% 70%  
363 6% 66%  
364 1.1% 60%  
365 9% 59%  
366 3% 50%  
367 4% 47% Median
368 2% 43%  
369 2% 41%  
370 6% 38%  
371 5% 33%  
372 3% 28%  
373 2% 25%  
374 7% 23%  
375 4% 16%  
376 1.4% 12%  
377 0.5% 11%  
378 4% 10%  
379 3% 7%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 0.2% 3%  
382 0.7% 3%  
383 1.0% 2%  
384 0.3% 1.2%  
385 0.2% 1.0%  
386 0% 0.8%  
387 0.3% 0.7%  
388 0.2% 0.5%  
389 0.2% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0%  
421 0% 0%  
422 0% 0%  
423 0% 0%  
424 0% 0%  
425 0% 0%  
426 0% 0%  
427 0% 0%  
428 0% 0%  
429 0% 0%  
430 0% 0%  
431 0% 0%  
432 0% 0%  
433 0% 0%  
434 0% 0%  
435 0% 0%  
436 0% 0%  
437 0% 0%  
438 0% 0%  
439 0% 0%  
440 0% 0%  
441 0% 0%  
442 0% 0%  
443 0% 0%  
444 0% 0%  
445 0% 0%  
446 0% 0%  
447 0% 0%  
448 0% 0%  
449 0% 0%  
450 0% 0%  
451 0% 0%  
452 0% 0%  
453 0% 0%  
454 0% 0%  
455 0% 0%  
456 0% 0%  
457 0% 0%  
458 0% 0%  
459 0% 0%  
460 0% 0%  
461 0% 0%  
462 0% 0%  
463 0% 0%  
464 0% 0%  
465 0% 0%  
466 0% 0%  
467 0% 0%  
468 0% 0%  
469 0% 0%  
470 0% 0%  
471 0% 0%  
472 0% 0%  
473 0% 0%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100% Last Result
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.3% 99.7%  
335 0.2% 99.5%  
336 0.4% 99.2%  
337 0.3% 98.8%  
338 0.3% 98.5%  
339 0.2% 98%  
340 0.8% 98%  
341 0.9% 97%  
342 4% 96%  
343 5% 92%  
344 4% 87%  
345 3% 83%  
346 2% 80%  
347 6% 78%  
348 1.3% 72%  
349 8% 71%  
350 6% 63%  
351 3% 57%  
352 7% 55% Median
353 1.4% 48%  
354 2% 47%  
355 3% 45% Majority
356 3% 42%  
357 5% 39%  
358 5% 34%  
359 4% 29%  
360 3% 25%  
361 1.0% 22%  
362 2% 21%  
363 2% 20%  
364 2% 17%  
365 5% 15%  
366 2% 10%  
367 2% 8%  
368 0.8% 6%  
369 0.7% 6%  
370 0.4% 5%  
371 2% 4%  
372 0.6% 3%  
373 0.8% 2%  
374 0.7% 1.2%  
375 0.2% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.8%  
332 0% 99.8%  
333 0.1% 99.8%  
334 0.2% 99.7%  
335 0.7% 99.5%  
336 0.8% 98.8%  
337 0.6% 98%  
338 2% 97%  
339 0.4% 96%  
340 0.7% 95%  
341 0.8% 94%  
342 2% 94%  
343 2% 92%  
344 5% 90%  
345 2% 85%  
346 2% 83%  
347 2% 80%  
348 1.0% 79%  
349 3% 78%  
350 4% 75%  
351 5% 71%  
352 5% 66%  
353 3% 61%  
354 3% 58%  
355 2% 55% Majority
356 1.4% 53%  
357 7% 52% Median
358 3% 45%  
359 6% 43%  
360 8% 37%  
361 1.3% 29%  
362 6% 28%  
363 2% 22%  
364 3% 20%  
365 4% 17%  
366 5% 13%  
367 4% 8%  
368 0.9% 4%  
369 0.8% 3%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.3% 1.5%  
373 0.4% 1.2%  
374 0.2% 0.8%  
375 0.3% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0%  
418 0% 0%  
419 0% 0%  
420 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9% Last Result
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.3% 99.6%  
311 0.3% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.1%  
313 0.2% 99.0%  
314 0.5% 98.8%  
315 0.3% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.4% 98%  
318 0.9% 97%  
319 2% 96%  
320 1.4% 94%  
321 0.4% 93%  
322 5% 92%  
323 2% 87%  
324 4% 85%  
325 4% 81%  
326 5% 77%  
327 6% 72%  
328 8% 65%  
329 6% 57%  
330 6% 51% Median
331 3% 45%  
332 3% 43%  
333 6% 40%  
334 4% 34%  
335 2% 31%  
336 3% 29%  
337 4% 26%  
338 1.4% 21%  
339 0.8% 20%  
340 1.1% 19%  
341 4% 18%  
342 2% 14%  
343 0.7% 12%  
344 2% 12%  
345 5% 9%  
346 0.4% 4%  
347 1.0% 4%  
348 1.0% 3%  
349 0.5% 2%  
350 0.2% 1.4%  
351 0.6% 1.2%  
352 0.2% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.3%  
354 0.1% 0.3%  
355 0.1% 0.2% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.8%  
296 0.4% 99.7%  
297 0.3% 99.3%  
298 0.1% 99.0%  
299 0.3% 99.0%  
300 0.7% 98.7%  
301 3% 98%  
302 1.2% 95%  
303 0.4% 94%  
304 0.9% 94%  
305 2% 93%  
306 1.4% 91%  
307 2% 90%  
308 5% 87%  
309 3% 83%  
310 3% 80%  
311 3% 77%  
312 3% 74%  
313 6% 71%  
314 5% 65%  
315 3% 60%  
316 6% 58%  
317 5% 52%  
318 2% 47% Median
319 4% 45%  
320 8% 41%  
321 3% 33%  
322 2% 29%  
323 2% 27%  
324 2% 25%  
325 9% 23%  
326 2% 14%  
327 2% 12%  
328 1.1% 10%  
329 0.7% 9%  
330 0.7% 8%  
331 3% 8%  
332 2% 4%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.2% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0.3% 1.4%  
337 0.2% 1.0%  
338 0.5% 0.9%  
339 0.1% 0.4%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.3%  
342 0.1% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0% Majority
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0.1% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.7% 99.7%  
287 1.0% 98.9%  
288 1.1% 98%  
289 0.4% 97%  
290 1.4% 96%  
291 0.5% 95%  
292 1.4% 95%  
293 3% 93%  
294 3% 90%  
295 1.3% 86%  
296 0.5% 85%  
297 2% 85%  
298 3% 83%  
299 3% 79%  
300 4% 77%  
301 2% 73%  
302 0.7% 71%  
303 2% 70%  
304 6% 68%  
305 5% 62%  
306 5% 57%  
307 3% 52%  
308 2% 49% Median
309 1.0% 47%  
310 10% 46%  
311 8% 36%  
312 4% 28%  
313 7% 24%  
314 1.4% 17%  
315 1.3% 15%  
316 5% 14%  
317 5% 9%  
318 0.4% 4%  
319 0.4% 4%  
320 0.6% 3%  
321 0.4% 3%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.6% 2%  
324 0.6% 1.3%  
325 0.2% 0.8%  
326 0.1% 0.6%  
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0.1% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.3%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.8%  
261 0.1% 99.7%  
262 0.1% 99.6%  
263 0.3% 99.5%  
264 0.2% 99.2%  
265 0.6% 99.0%  
266 0.8% 98%  
267 0.4% 98%  
268 1.2% 97%  
269 0.5% 96%  
270 1.1% 96%  
271 0.7% 94%  
272 6% 94%  
273 1.1% 88%  
274 4% 87%  
275 4% 83%  
276 4% 79%  
277 5% 75%  
278 3% 70%  
279 9% 68%  
280 1.2% 59%  
281 11% 58% Median
282 4% 47%  
283 3% 43%  
284 4% 40%  
285 3% 35%  
286 4% 33%  
287 3% 29%  
288 3% 27%  
289 4% 24%  
290 3% 20%  
291 2% 17%  
292 3% 15%  
293 0.9% 12%  
294 2% 11%  
295 3% 9%  
296 2% 6%  
297 1.1% 4%  
298 0.9% 3%  
299 0.1% 2%  
300 0.5% 2%  
301 0.4% 1.4%  
302 0.3% 1.0%  
303 0.1% 0.7%  
304 0.4% 0.6%  
305 0% 0.2%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.8%  
225 0% 99.8%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.7%  
230 0.3% 99.7%  
231 0.1% 99.4%  
232 0.4% 99.3%  
233 0.8% 99.0%  
234 1.0% 98%  
235 2% 97%  
236 2% 96%  
237 3% 94%  
238 2% 91%  
239 3% 88%  
240 5% 85%  
241 5% 80%  
242 1.4% 75%  
243 3% 74%  
244 2% 71%  
245 2% 69%  
246 0.7% 67%  
247 2% 67%  
248 1.5% 65%  
249 1.1% 63%  
250 6% 62%  
251 5% 56% Median
252 8% 51%  
253 6% 44%  
254 8% 38%  
255 9% 31%  
256 8% 22%  
257 2% 14%  
258 4% 12%  
259 2% 8%  
260 2% 6%  
261 1.1% 4%  
262 0.3% 2%  
263 0.5% 2%  
264 0.1% 2%  
265 0.2% 2%  
266 0.2% 1.4%  
267 0.1% 1.2%  
268 0.2% 1.1%  
269 0.2% 0.8%  
270 0.1% 0.6%  
271 0.1% 0.5%  
272 0.1% 0.4%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0.1% 0.2%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.3% 99.7%  
172 0.5% 99.4%  
173 1.1% 98.8%  
174 0.2% 98%  
175 0.5% 98%  
176 1.0% 97%  
177 2% 96%  
178 3% 94%  
179 7% 92%  
180 5% 85%  
181 1.0% 80%  
182 2% 79%  
183 3% 77%  
184 4% 74%  
185 7% 70%  
186 2% 63%  
187 9% 60% Median
188 6% 51%  
189 8% 46%  
190 3% 38%  
191 0.9% 35%  
192 2% 34%  
193 6% 32%  
194 2% 26%  
195 6% 25%  
196 6% 19%  
197 3% 13%  
198 2% 11%  
199 0.9% 9%  
200 2% 8%  
201 1.0% 6%  
202 0.5% 5%  
203 2% 5%  
204 0.9% 3%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.6% 1.2%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.2% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.8%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.3% 99.5%  
151 1.0% 99.2%  
152 1.4% 98%  
153 2% 97%  
154 3% 95%  
155 0.7% 92%  
156 1.3% 92%  
157 1.2% 90%  
158 3% 89%  
159 4% 86%  
160 2% 81%  
161 4% 79%  
162 8% 75%  
163 4% 68%  
164 7% 63%  
165 4% 56% Median
166 4% 52%  
167 6% 48%  
168 8% 42%  
169 5% 34%  
170 4% 29%  
171 7% 26%  
172 3% 18%  
173 3% 15%  
174 1.0% 13%  
175 2% 12%  
176 2% 9%  
177 2% 8%  
178 2% 6%  
179 0.8% 3%  
180 0.5% 2%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0.2% 2%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.3% 1.3%  
185 0.7% 1.1%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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