Opinion Poll by Forsa, 23–27 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 29.3% 27.9–30.6% 27.6–31.0% 27.2–31.4% 26.6–32.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 17.0% 15.9–18.2% 15.6–18.5% 15.4–18.8% 14.9–19.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.9–17.1% 14.6–17.4% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.9% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 6.7% 6.1–7.5% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 225 216–236 213–239 210–243 205–249
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 131 123–140 120–143 118–145 114–150
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 123 115–132 113–134 111–136 107–141
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 63–76 61–78 60–80 57–83
Die Linke 69 62 56–68 54–70 53–72 50–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 47–58 45–60 44–61 42–65
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 47 41–52 40–54 0–55 0–58

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0.2% 99.8%  
205 0.2% 99.5%  
206 0.1% 99.4%  
207 0.6% 99.3%  
208 0.6% 98.7%  
209 0.3% 98%  
210 1.2% 98%  
211 1.0% 97%  
212 0.7% 96%  
213 2% 95%  
214 2% 93%  
215 1.1% 91%  
216 4% 90%  
217 4% 86%  
218 2% 82%  
219 4% 80%  
220 4% 76%  
221 5% 72%  
222 8% 67%  
223 3% 60%  
224 3% 56%  
225 5% 53% Median
226 4% 47%  
227 3% 43%  
228 7% 40%  
229 3% 33%  
230 3% 29%  
231 5% 27%  
232 2% 22%  
233 4% 20%  
234 3% 16%  
235 2% 13%  
236 1.4% 11%  
237 2% 10%  
238 0.7% 7%  
239 2% 7%  
240 1.4% 5%  
241 0.3% 4%  
242 0.6% 3%  
243 0.6% 3%  
244 0.5% 2%  
245 0.4% 2%  
246 0.2% 1.2%  
247 0.3% 0.9%  
248 0.1% 0.7%  
249 0.1% 0.6%  
250 0% 0.4%  
251 0% 0.4%  
252 0.1% 0.4%  
253 0% 0.3%  
254 0.1% 0.3%  
255 0.1% 0.2%  
256 0.1% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0.2% 99.7%  
115 0.3% 99.5%  
116 0.6% 99.2%  
117 0.7% 98.6%  
118 1.3% 98%  
119 0.9% 97%  
120 2% 96%  
121 2% 94%  
122 2% 92%  
123 4% 91%  
124 3% 87%  
125 5% 84%  
126 5% 79%  
127 5% 74%  
128 6% 70%  
129 5% 64%  
130 6% 59%  
131 5% 53% Median
132 7% 48%  
133 6% 41%  
134 5% 36%  
135 7% 31%  
136 3% 23%  
137 3% 20%  
138 4% 18%  
139 2% 13%  
140 3% 12%  
141 2% 9%  
142 2% 7%  
143 2% 5%  
144 0.8% 3%  
145 0.7% 3%  
146 0.4% 2%  
147 0.3% 1.4%  
148 0.3% 1.1%  
149 0.2% 0.8%  
150 0.1% 0.5%  
151 0.2% 0.4%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.4% 99.4%  
109 0.4% 99.0%  
110 0.8% 98.6%  
111 0.8% 98%  
112 2% 97%  
113 2% 95%  
114 2% 94%  
115 4% 92%  
116 3% 88%  
117 5% 85%  
118 3% 80%  
119 5% 77%  
120 6% 72%  
121 8% 66%  
122 4% 57%  
123 5% 53% Median
124 6% 48%  
125 5% 42%  
126 7% 37%  
127 4% 30%  
128 4% 26%  
129 4% 22%  
130 4% 18%  
131 2% 14%  
132 3% 12%  
133 3% 9%  
134 2% 7%  
135 1.5% 5%  
136 1.1% 3%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.6% 2%  
139 0.3% 1.2%  
140 0.3% 0.8%  
141 0.2% 0.6%  
142 0.2% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.6%  
58 0.6% 99.2%  
59 0.6% 98.6%  
60 1.5% 98%  
61 3% 97%  
62 2% 94%  
63 4% 91%  
64 4% 87%  
65 5% 84%  
66 6% 79%  
67 7% 73%  
68 10% 66%  
69 7% 56% Median
70 7% 49%  
71 8% 42%  
72 6% 34%  
73 9% 28%  
74 5% 20%  
75 4% 15%  
76 3% 11%  
77 2% 8%  
78 2% 6%  
79 1.0% 4%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.4% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.5% 99.4%  
52 1.1% 98.9%  
53 1.2% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 3% 95%  
56 4% 92%  
57 5% 88%  
58 5% 83%  
59 9% 78%  
60 8% 69%  
61 8% 61%  
62 9% 54% Median
63 8% 45%  
64 7% 36%  
65 8% 30%  
66 4% 22%  
67 5% 18%  
68 3% 13%  
69 3% 10% Last Result
70 2% 7%  
71 2% 5%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.2%  
75 0.4% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.6% 99.5%  
43 0.7% 98.9%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 96%  
46 3% 94% Last Result
47 6% 91%  
48 5% 85%  
49 7% 80%  
50 9% 73%  
51 7% 64%  
52 12% 57% Median
53 8% 45%  
54 8% 37%  
55 7% 29%  
56 5% 22%  
57 6% 17%  
58 3% 11%  
59 2% 8%  
60 2% 6%  
61 1.2% 4%  
62 1.0% 2%  
63 0.5% 1.3%  
64 0.3% 0.8%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 0.1% 97%  
39 1.4% 97%  
40 4% 96%  
41 3% 92%  
42 5% 88%  
43 6% 83%  
44 10% 77%  
45 7% 67%  
46 10% 60%  
47 12% 50% Median
48 8% 38%  
49 6% 30%  
50 7% 24%  
51 6% 17%  
52 3% 11%  
53 2% 8%  
54 2% 6%  
55 1.4% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 0.6% 1.2%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 531 100% 522–542 519–544 517–555 512–574
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 454 100% 444–464 439–468 437–470 430–475
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 447 100% 436–458 432–460 428–462 420–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 408 100% 398–419 394–424 392–431 386–443
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 401 100% 389–412 387–416 384–421 379–435
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 393 99.9% 382–403 378–407 374–409 363–415
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 346 19% 336–358 333–362 330–367 324–378
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 323 0% 312–334 308–337 303–340 291–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 316 0.1% 306–327 302–331 300–335 294–346
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 301 0% 289–311 285–314 279–317 265–322
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 254 0% 244–265 241–269 238–272 233–280
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 185 0% 176–195 173–199 170–201 166–207
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 169 0% 160–179 157–181 146–184 126–188

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 99.9%  
508 0% 99.9%  
509 0% 99.9%  
510 0.1% 99.8%  
511 0.1% 99.8%  
512 0.3% 99.6%  
513 0.4% 99.3%  
514 0.3% 98.9%  
515 0.2% 98.6%  
516 0.3% 98%  
517 0.7% 98%  
518 2% 97%  
519 2% 96%  
520 2% 93%  
521 0.8% 91%  
522 1.1% 90%  
523 2% 89%  
524 5% 87%  
525 7% 82%  
526 4% 75%  
527 3% 71%  
528 2% 68%  
529 3% 66%  
530 7% 63%  
531 8% 56% Median
532 8% 48%  
533 4% 40%  
534 2% 36%  
535 3% 34%  
536 7% 31%  
537 4% 24%  
538 5% 20%  
539 3% 15%  
540 0.7% 13%  
541 1.1% 12%  
542 2% 11%  
543 2% 9%  
544 2% 7%  
545 0.6% 5%  
546 0.3% 4%  
547 0.1% 4%  
548 0.3% 4%  
549 0.3% 3%  
550 0.4% 3%  
551 0.1% 3%  
552 0.1% 3%  
553 0% 3%  
554 0% 3%  
555 0.1% 3%  
556 0% 2%  
557 0% 2%  
558 0% 2%  
559 0% 2%  
560 0% 2%  
561 0.1% 2%  
562 0.1% 2%  
563 0% 2%  
564 0.1% 2%  
565 0% 2%  
566 0.1% 2%  
567 0.2% 2%  
568 0.2% 2%  
569 0.4% 2%  
570 0.2% 1.1%  
571 0% 0.8%  
572 0.1% 0.8%  
573 0% 0.7%  
574 0.3% 0.7%  
575 0.1% 0.4%  
576 0% 0.3%  
577 0% 0.2%  
578 0% 0.2%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.1%  
581 0.1% 0.1%  
582 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.1% 99.6%  
430 0.1% 99.5%  
431 0.1% 99.5%  
432 0.2% 99.4%  
433 0.2% 99.2%  
434 0.4% 99.0%  
435 0.5% 98.6%  
436 0.4% 98%  
437 0.5% 98%  
438 1.0% 97%  
439 1.5% 96%  
440 1.0% 95%  
441 1.4% 94%  
442 0.8% 92%  
443 1.4% 92%  
444 2% 90%  
445 4% 88%  
446 4% 84%  
447 4% 80%  
448 1.5% 76%  
449 3% 75%  
450 5% 72%  
451 5% 67%  
452 5% 62%  
453 4% 57%  
454 4% 53%  
455 3% 49% Median
456 5% 47%  
457 6% 42%  
458 4% 36%  
459 3% 32%  
460 2% 29%  
461 4% 27%  
462 6% 24%  
463 5% 17%  
464 3% 13%  
465 2% 10%  
466 0.9% 8%  
467 1.0% 7%  
468 1.2% 6%  
469 2% 5%  
470 0.8% 3%  
471 0.7% 2%  
472 0.2% 1.4%  
473 0.3% 1.1%  
474 0.2% 0.9%  
475 0.3% 0.7%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0.1% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0.1% 99.8%  
417 0.1% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.6%  
419 0% 99.5%  
420 0% 99.5%  
421 0.1% 99.5%  
422 0.1% 99.4%  
423 0.1% 99.3%  
424 0.1% 99.2%  
425 0.4% 99.1%  
426 0.6% 98.7%  
427 0.3% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.6% 97%  
430 0.9% 97%  
431 0.7% 96%  
432 0.5% 95%  
433 1.1% 95%  
434 1.0% 94%  
435 3% 93%  
436 2% 90%  
437 3% 88%  
438 5% 85%  
439 4% 81%  
440 2% 77%  
441 3% 74%  
442 2% 71%  
443 4% 69%  
444 2% 65%  
445 6% 63%  
446 4% 57%  
447 5% 53% Median
448 8% 48%  
449 6% 40%  
450 4% 34%  
451 5% 31%  
452 4% 26%  
453 2% 22%  
454 3% 20%  
455 2% 17%  
456 2% 15%  
457 3% 13%  
458 1.1% 10%  
459 3% 9%  
460 2% 6%  
461 0.9% 5%  
462 1.4% 4%  
463 0.6% 2%  
464 0.5% 2%  
465 0.3% 1.4%  
466 0.3% 1.1%  
467 0.2% 0.8%  
468 0.2% 0.6%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  
475 0% 0%  
476 0% 0%  
477 0% 0%  
478 0% 0%  
479 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.2% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.4%  
388 0.1% 99.3%  
389 0.3% 99.2%  
390 0.5% 98.9%  
391 0.6% 98%  
392 2% 98%  
393 0.6% 96%  
394 2% 95%  
395 0.7% 94%  
396 0.9% 93%  
397 1.4% 92%  
398 2% 91%  
399 5% 88%  
400 5% 84%  
401 4% 79%  
402 4% 75%  
403 3% 71%  
404 2% 68%  
405 2% 66%  
406 3% 64%  
407 7% 61%  
408 6% 54% Median
409 5% 48%  
410 5% 43%  
411 4% 38%  
412 2% 35%  
413 2% 33%  
414 3% 31%  
415 6% 27%  
416 5% 21%  
417 4% 17%  
418 2% 13%  
419 1.5% 11%  
420 0.9% 10%  
421 1.1% 9%  
422 0.6% 8%  
423 0.8% 7%  
424 2% 6%  
425 0.6% 5%  
426 0.7% 4%  
427 0.3% 3%  
428 0.2% 3%  
429 0.1% 3%  
430 0.1% 3%  
431 0.1% 3%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.3% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.4%  
438 0% 1.3%  
439 0% 1.3%  
440 0% 1.3%  
441 0.3% 1.2%  
442 0.2% 0.9%  
443 0.3% 0.7%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0.1% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0.1% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.2% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0.4% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.0%  
382 0.8% 98.8%  
383 0.4% 98%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 1.4% 97%  
386 0.7% 96%  
387 1.3% 95%  
388 1.1% 94%  
389 3% 93%  
390 2% 89%  
391 1.4% 88%  
392 5% 86%  
393 1.4% 81%  
394 5% 79%  
395 3% 75%  
396 3% 72%  
397 7% 69%  
398 2% 62%  
399 6% 60% Last Result
400 4% 54% Median
401 8% 50%  
402 4% 43%  
403 2% 39%  
404 7% 37%  
405 2% 30%  
406 4% 28%  
407 2% 23%  
408 3% 21%  
409 4% 19%  
410 1.1% 15%  
411 2% 14%  
412 2% 12%  
413 2% 9%  
414 1.4% 8%  
415 0.5% 6%  
416 1.2% 6%  
417 0.6% 5%  
418 0.5% 4%  
419 0.4% 4%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.3% 3%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.1% 2%  
425 0.1% 2%  
426 0.4% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.1% 2%  
429 0.3% 1.4%  
430 0.3% 1.1%  
431 0.1% 0.8%  
432 0.1% 0.7%  
433 0.1% 0.7%  
434 0% 0.6%  
435 0% 0.5%  
436 0% 0.5%  
437 0% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0.1% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9% Majority
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.4%  
366 0.1% 99.2%  
367 0.1% 99.1%  
368 0.1% 99.0%  
369 0.3% 98.9%  
370 0.2% 98.6%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.6% 98%  
375 0.8% 97%  
376 0.3% 96%  
377 0.8% 96%  
378 2% 95%  
379 1.5% 94%  
380 0.7% 92%  
381 1.3% 91%  
382 2% 90%  
383 3% 88%  
384 2% 85%  
385 3% 84%  
386 3% 81%  
387 4% 78%  
388 3% 74%  
389 6% 71%  
390 3% 64%  
391 4% 61%  
392 6% 56%  
393 5% 50% Median
394 7% 46%  
395 2% 39%  
396 2% 36%  
397 4% 34%  
398 5% 30%  
399 4% 26%  
400 2% 21%  
401 2% 20%  
402 3% 17%  
403 4% 14%  
404 1.3% 10%  
405 1.4% 9%  
406 2% 7%  
407 1.2% 5%  
408 1.0% 4%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.5% 2%  
411 0.5% 2%  
412 0.4% 1.3%  
413 0.2% 0.9%  
414 0.2% 0.7%  
415 0.1% 0.5%  
416 0.1% 0.4%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0.1% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1% Last Result
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
319 0% 100%  
320 0.1% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0.1% 99.8%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.2% 99.7%  
325 0.1% 99.5%  
326 0.3% 99.4%  
327 0.3% 99.1%  
328 0.4% 98.8%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.5% 98%  
331 0.7% 97%  
332 1.5% 97%  
333 2% 95%  
334 2% 94%  
335 1.1% 92%  
336 3% 91%  
337 1.2% 88%  
338 3% 87%  
339 4% 84%  
340 4% 80% Last Result
341 3% 76%  
342 5% 74%  
343 4% 69%  
344 7% 65%  
345 3% 58%  
346 6% 55% Median
347 6% 49%  
348 4% 44%  
349 3% 39%  
350 2% 36%  
351 4% 34%  
352 3% 30%  
353 5% 26%  
354 3% 22%  
355 3% 19% Majority
356 3% 16%  
357 2% 13%  
358 2% 11%  
359 2% 10%  
360 2% 8%  
361 0.9% 7%  
362 0.8% 6%  
363 0.5% 5%  
364 0.7% 4%  
365 0.7% 4%  
366 0.4% 3%  
367 0.3% 3%  
368 0.3% 2%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.1% 2%  
372 0.2% 1.4%  
373 0.1% 1.2%  
374 0.2% 1.1%  
375 0.1% 0.9%  
376 0.1% 0.9%  
377 0.2% 0.8%  
378 0.1% 0.5%  
379 0% 0.5%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0.1% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.6%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.4%  
293 0% 99.3%  
294 0.2% 99.3%  
295 0.1% 99.1%  
296 0% 99.0%  
297 0.3% 98.9%  
298 0.2% 98.6%  
299 0.1% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 0.1% 98%  
302 0.2% 98%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.2% 97%  
305 0.4% 97%  
306 0.8% 96%  
307 0.6% 96%  
308 0.5% 95%  
309 2% 95%  
310 0.9% 93%  
311 0.8% 92%  
312 2% 91%  
313 2% 90%  
314 1.4% 88%  
315 3% 86%  
316 4% 83%  
317 3% 79%  
318 6% 76%  
319 4% 70%  
320 5% 66%  
321 5% 61%  
322 4% 56%  
323 3% 52%  
324 4% 49% Median
325 5% 45%  
326 3% 40% Last Result
327 5% 38%  
328 3% 32%  
329 3% 30%  
330 4% 27%  
331 4% 23%  
332 3% 18%  
333 4% 16%  
334 3% 12%  
335 2% 9%  
336 1.3% 7%  
337 1.3% 6%  
338 0.6% 5%  
339 0.9% 4%  
340 0.9% 3%  
341 0.3% 2%  
342 0.3% 2%  
343 0.7% 2%  
344 0.2% 0.9%  
345 0.1% 0.7%  
346 0.2% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9% Last Result
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.1% 99.9%  
292 0.1% 99.8%  
293 0.1% 99.7%  
294 0.1% 99.6%  
295 0.2% 99.5%  
296 0.2% 99.3%  
297 0.4% 99.1%  
298 0.5% 98.7%  
299 0.5% 98%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 1.0% 97%  
302 1.2% 96%  
303 2% 95%  
304 1.4% 93%  
305 1.3% 91%  
306 4% 90%  
307 3% 86%  
308 2% 83%  
309 2% 80%  
310 4% 79%  
311 5% 74%  
312 4% 70%  
313 2% 66%  
314 2% 64%  
315 7% 61%  
316 5% 54% Median
317 6% 50%  
318 4% 44%  
319 3% 39%  
320 6% 36%  
321 3% 29%  
322 4% 26%  
323 3% 22%  
324 3% 19%  
325 2% 16%  
326 3% 15%  
327 2% 12%  
328 1.3% 10%  
329 0.7% 9%  
330 1.5% 8%  
331 2% 6%  
332 0.8% 5%  
333 0.3% 4%  
334 0.8% 4%  
335 0.6% 3%  
336 0.3% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.2% 2%  
340 0.3% 1.4%  
341 0.1% 1.1%  
342 0.1% 1.0%  
343 0.1% 0.9%  
344 0.2% 0.8%  
345 0% 0.6%  
346 0.1% 0.5%  
347 0.1% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1% Majority
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0.1% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.5%  
266 0.1% 99.4%  
267 0.1% 99.3%  
268 0% 99.3%  
269 0.3% 99.2%  
270 0.1% 98.9%  
271 0.1% 98.8%  
272 0.1% 98.7%  
273 0.1% 98.6%  
274 0.1% 98.6%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.3% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.3% 97%  
281 0.5% 97%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 0.6% 96%  
284 0.4% 96%  
285 1.1% 95%  
286 0.9% 94%  
287 1.3% 93%  
288 1.5% 92%  
289 2% 90%  
290 2% 89%  
291 3% 86%  
292 3% 84%  
293 2% 81%  
294 4% 78%  
295 3% 75%  
296 4% 72%  
297 4% 68%  
298 4% 64%  
299 5% 59%  
300 4% 54% Last Result
301 5% 51% Median
302 5% 46%  
303 5% 41%  
304 6% 36%  
305 3% 30%  
306 2% 27%  
307 4% 25%  
308 4% 21%  
309 3% 17%  
310 2% 13%  
311 2% 11%  
312 2% 10%  
313 2% 8%  
314 1.0% 6%  
315 1.0% 5%  
316 0.9% 4%  
317 1.1% 3%  
318 0.4% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.3% 1.2%  
321 0.3% 0.9%  
322 0.2% 0.6%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0.1% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.2% 99.6%  
234 0.2% 99.5%  
235 0.3% 99.2%  
236 0.2% 98.9%  
237 0.7% 98.7%  
238 0.6% 98%  
239 1.3% 97%  
240 0.9% 96%  
241 2% 95%  
242 2% 93%  
243 1.3% 92%  
244 1.4% 90%  
245 4% 89%  
246 2% 85%  
247 4% 83%  
248 3% 79%  
249 4% 76%  
250 3% 71%  
251 4% 68%  
252 5% 63%  
253 4% 58%  
254 7% 54% Median
255 2% 47%  
256 7% 45%  
257 4% 38%  
258 5% 35%  
259 4% 30%  
260 4% 26%  
261 2% 22%  
262 5% 20%  
263 2% 16%  
264 2% 14%  
265 3% 12%  
266 2% 10%  
267 1.4% 7%  
268 0.6% 6%  
269 1.2% 5%  
270 0.5% 4%  
271 0.8% 4%  
272 0.6% 3%  
273 0.4% 2%  
274 0.3% 2%  
275 0.4% 2%  
276 0.1% 1.2%  
277 0.4% 1.1%  
278 0.1% 0.8%  
279 0.2% 0.7%  
280 0.1% 0.5%  
281 0.1% 0.4%  
282 0% 0.4%  
283 0.1% 0.3%  
284 0.1% 0.2%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0.1%  
288 0% 0.1%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0.1% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.9%  
165 0.1% 99.7%  
166 0.3% 99.7%  
167 0.1% 99.4%  
168 0.3% 99.3%  
169 0.2% 98.9%  
170 1.4% 98.7%  
171 0.3% 97%  
172 2% 97%  
173 2% 96%  
174 2% 94%  
175 1.1% 92%  
176 6% 91%  
177 1.4% 86%  
178 2% 84%  
179 3% 82%  
180 7% 79%  
181 3% 72%  
182 6% 69%  
183 5% 63%  
184 3% 57%  
185 6% 54% Median
186 6% 48%  
187 4% 42%  
188 3% 38%  
189 9% 36%  
190 2% 27%  
191 4% 25%  
192 3% 21%  
193 4% 17%  
194 0.8% 14%  
195 4% 13%  
196 0.9% 9%  
197 1.4% 8%  
198 0.5% 6%  
199 2% 6%  
200 1.0% 4%  
201 0.7% 3%  
202 0.6% 2%  
203 0.3% 1.5%  
204 0.2% 1.2%  
205 0.3% 1.0%  
206 0.1% 0.7%  
207 0.2% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.7%  
126 0.3% 99.6%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0.1% 99.1%  
130 0.1% 99.0%  
131 0.1% 98.9%  
132 0.2% 98.8%  
133 0.3% 98.6%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0.1% 98%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0% 98%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0% 97%  
148 0.1% 97%  
149 0.1% 97%  
150 0.1% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.3% 97%  
153 0.3% 97%  
154 0.6% 97%  
155 0.3% 96%  
156 0.7% 96%  
157 1.4% 95%  
158 1.4% 94%  
159 2% 92%  
160 2% 91%  
161 3% 89%  
162 4% 86%  
163 4% 82%  
164 3% 78%  
165 4% 74%  
166 5% 70%  
167 5% 65%  
168 7% 60%  
169 4% 53%  
170 5% 49% Median
171 3% 44%  
172 5% 41%  
173 5% 36%  
174 6% 32%  
175 4% 26%  
176 3% 22%  
177 3% 19%  
178 4% 15%  
179 2% 11%  
180 2% 9%  
181 3% 7%  
182 0.6% 5%  
183 1.1% 4%  
184 0.9% 3%  
185 0.6% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 1.1%  
188 0.3% 0.7%  
189 0.1% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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