Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 1–15 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.2–32.7% 28.7–33.2% 28.3–33.6% 27.5–34.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.6–20.6% 17.2–21.0% 16.8–21.4% 16.2–22.1%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.4% 14.3–17.8% 14.0–18.2% 13.4–18.9%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.5–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 6.0–8.5% 5.8–8.8% 5.4–9.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.7% 5.3–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 232 217–242 215–247 212–252 205–261
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 142 131–152 129–156 126–160 121–166
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 119 111–128 107–132 103–135 99–143
Alternative für Deutschland 94 67 60–75 58–79 56–80 53–85
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 47–61 44–63 43–64 41–69
Die Linke 69 53 46–60 44–62 42–65 40–68
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 44 39–51 0–54 0–54 0–59

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0.1% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0.1% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.7%  
204 0.1% 99.6%  
205 0.4% 99.5%  
206 0% 99.1%  
207 0.2% 99.1%  
208 0.3% 98.9%  
209 0.4% 98.6%  
210 0.3% 98%  
211 0.4% 98%  
212 0.7% 98%  
213 0.6% 97%  
214 0.9% 96%  
215 0.5% 95%  
216 3% 95%  
217 4% 92%  
218 3% 88%  
219 1.0% 85%  
220 7% 84%  
221 0.7% 77%  
222 7% 77%  
223 1.3% 69%  
224 2% 68%  
225 0.9% 66%  
226 4% 65%  
227 1.3% 61%  
228 2% 60%  
229 0.9% 58%  
230 2% 58%  
231 2% 55%  
232 3% 53% Median
233 3% 50%  
234 6% 47%  
235 2% 40%  
236 5% 38%  
237 2% 33%  
238 12% 31%  
239 2% 19%  
240 2% 16%  
241 4% 15%  
242 0.7% 11%  
243 3% 10%  
244 0.9% 7%  
245 0.5% 6%  
246 0.6% 6%  
247 0.5% 5%  
248 0.3% 5%  
249 0.3% 4%  
250 0.3% 4%  
251 0.7% 4%  
252 0.6% 3%  
253 0.2% 2%  
254 0.1% 2%  
255 0.5% 2%  
256 0.1% 2%  
257 0.1% 2%  
258 0.5% 1.4%  
259 0.1% 0.9%  
260 0.3% 0.8%  
261 0.2% 0.5%  
262 0% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.3%  
264 0% 0.3%  
265 0% 0.3%  
266 0% 0.3%  
267 0% 0.2%  
268 0% 0.2%  
269 0.2% 0.2%  
270 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.6%  
121 0.5% 99.6%  
122 0.5% 99.1%  
123 0.4% 98.6%  
124 0.2% 98%  
125 0.4% 98%  
126 0.6% 98%  
127 0.7% 97%  
128 0.9% 96%  
129 2% 95%  
130 1.3% 93%  
131 2% 92%  
132 3% 89%  
133 3% 86%  
134 2% 84%  
135 5% 81%  
136 3% 76%  
137 2% 73%  
138 3% 70%  
139 2% 67%  
140 5% 65%  
141 2% 60%  
142 13% 57% Median
143 7% 44%  
144 2% 38%  
145 5% 35%  
146 2% 30%  
147 2% 28%  
148 4% 26%  
149 4% 22%  
150 4% 17%  
151 1.4% 14%  
152 3% 13%  
153 1.4% 10%  
154 1.2% 8%  
155 1.3% 7%  
156 1.0% 6%  
157 0.4% 5%  
158 1.2% 4%  
159 0.4% 3%  
160 0.6% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.3%  
163 0.1% 1.0%  
164 0.3% 0.9%  
165 0% 0.6%  
166 0.1% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.4%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.4% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.2%  
101 0.2% 99.0%  
102 0.2% 98.8%  
103 1.1% 98.6%  
104 0.2% 97%  
105 1.2% 97%  
106 0.8% 96%  
107 0.5% 95%  
108 0.8% 95%  
109 1.3% 94%  
110 0.9% 92%  
111 2% 92%  
112 0.9% 89%  
113 1.0% 88%  
114 5% 87%  
115 1.1% 82%  
116 7% 81%  
117 18% 74%  
118 1.0% 57%  
119 8% 56% Median
120 7% 48%  
121 2% 41%  
122 3% 39%  
123 10% 35%  
124 0.4% 25%  
125 6% 25%  
126 7% 19%  
127 1.2% 12%  
128 2% 11%  
129 1.1% 8%  
130 1.1% 7%  
131 1.0% 6%  
132 0.5% 5%  
133 1.0% 5%  
134 0.9% 4%  
135 0.5% 3%  
136 0.4% 2%  
137 0.7% 2%  
138 0% 1.2%  
139 0.2% 1.1%  
140 0.2% 0.9%  
141 0.1% 0.7%  
142 0.1% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0.1% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 99.3%  
55 0.4% 98.6%  
56 1.2% 98%  
57 1.5% 97%  
58 3% 96%  
59 2% 93%  
60 4% 91%  
61 2% 87%  
62 5% 85%  
63 4% 80%  
64 5% 76%  
65 5% 72%  
66 13% 67%  
67 6% 54% Median
68 7% 48%  
69 6% 41%  
70 5% 34%  
71 5% 29%  
72 5% 24%  
73 4% 20%  
74 4% 16%  
75 3% 12%  
76 1.1% 9%  
77 2% 8%  
78 0.8% 6%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.2% 3%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.3% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.7%  
41 0.4% 99.5%  
42 0.4% 99.1%  
43 2% 98.7%  
44 3% 97%  
45 2% 94%  
46 2% 92% Last Result
47 3% 90%  
48 3% 87%  
49 6% 84%  
50 14% 78%  
51 7% 64%  
52 2% 57%  
53 7% 55% Median
54 7% 48%  
55 7% 41%  
56 9% 34%  
57 6% 25%  
58 2% 19%  
59 4% 17%  
60 3% 13%  
61 2% 10%  
62 4% 9%  
63 2% 5%  
64 0.8% 3%  
65 0.4% 2%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.7% 2%  
68 0.2% 1.0%  
69 0.3% 0.8%  
70 0.1% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.6% 99.6%  
41 0.2% 99.0%  
42 1.4% 98.8%  
43 1.2% 97%  
44 1.4% 96%  
45 3% 95%  
46 2% 91%  
47 7% 89%  
48 2% 83%  
49 7% 81%  
50 2% 74%  
51 9% 71%  
52 6% 62%  
53 17% 55% Median
54 4% 39%  
55 5% 34%  
56 4% 29%  
57 3% 25%  
58 6% 22%  
59 1.5% 16%  
60 6% 14%  
61 2% 8%  
62 2% 7%  
63 1.1% 5%  
64 0.8% 4%  
65 2% 3%  
66 0.5% 1.3%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 0% 95%  
8 0% 95%  
9 0% 95%  
10 0% 95%  
11 0% 95%  
12 0% 95%  
13 0% 95%  
14 0% 95%  
15 0% 95%  
16 0% 95%  
17 0% 95%  
18 0% 95%  
19 0% 95%  
20 0% 95%  
21 0% 95%  
22 0% 95%  
23 0% 95%  
24 0% 95%  
25 0% 95%  
26 0% 95%  
27 0% 95%  
28 0% 95%  
29 0% 95%  
30 0% 95%  
31 0% 95%  
32 0% 95%  
33 0% 95%  
34 0% 95%  
35 0% 95%  
36 0% 95%  
37 2% 95%  
38 2% 93%  
39 2% 91%  
40 11% 90%  
41 4% 79%  
42 4% 74%  
43 18% 70%  
44 4% 52% Median
45 5% 47%  
46 7% 42%  
47 8% 35%  
48 7% 28%  
49 2% 21%  
50 5% 19%  
51 7% 13%  
52 0.6% 7%  
53 0.9% 6%  
54 3% 5%  
55 0.2% 2%  
56 0.6% 2%  
57 0.9% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.8%  
59 0.3% 0.7%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 545 100% 533–558 529–566 526–582 520–594
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 470 100% 458–481 453–483 448–488 436–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 448 100% 432–461 428–464 424–466 417–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 425 100% 412–440 408–446 405–454 399–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 404 100% 390–420 382–422 382–431 377–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 396 99.8% 381–408 377–411 369–415 362–422
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 352 33% 338–365 336–371 332–378 322–393
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 327 0.5% 313–341 307–346 300–347 290–354
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 313 0.2% 301–328 298–332 294–340 287–347
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 305 0% 292–316 285–321 278–326 264–335
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 261 0% 249–275 246–280 241–286 234–293
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 171 0% 163–182 159–187 155–190 149–198
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 164 0% 152–173 141–177 130–181 114–189

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0.1% 99.9%  
517 0.1% 99.8%  
518 0.1% 99.8%  
519 0.1% 99.6%  
520 0.1% 99.6%  
521 0.1% 99.5%  
522 0.5% 99.3%  
523 0.6% 98.9%  
524 0.2% 98%  
525 0.5% 98%  
526 0.5% 98%  
527 0.3% 97%  
528 2% 97%  
529 0.6% 95%  
530 1.0% 95%  
531 2% 94%  
532 1.1% 91%  
533 2% 90%  
534 3% 88%  
535 3% 85%  
536 1.1% 82%  
537 3% 81%  
538 7% 77%  
539 1.5% 70%  
540 3% 69%  
541 3% 66%  
542 6% 63%  
543 1.4% 57%  
544 4% 55%  
545 2% 51%  
546 3% 49% Median
547 11% 46%  
548 3% 35%  
549 3% 32%  
550 2% 29%  
551 4% 27%  
552 2% 23%  
553 5% 21%  
554 3% 16%  
555 2% 13%  
556 0.8% 11%  
557 0.4% 10%  
558 1.0% 10%  
559 1.0% 9%  
560 0.1% 8%  
561 2% 8%  
562 0.1% 6%  
563 0.2% 6%  
564 0.1% 6%  
565 0.2% 6%  
566 0.3% 5%  
567 0.1% 5%  
568 0.1% 5%  
569 0.1% 5%  
570 0% 5%  
571 0.1% 5%  
572 0.4% 5%  
573 0.1% 4%  
574 0.1% 4%  
575 0% 4%  
576 0.1% 4%  
577 0.3% 4%  
578 0.8% 4%  
579 0.1% 3%  
580 0% 3%  
581 0.1% 3%  
582 0.3% 3%  
583 0.1% 2%  
584 0.7% 2%  
585 0.1% 2%  
586 0% 1.4%  
587 0.3% 1.4%  
588 0.1% 1.1%  
589 0.2% 1.0%  
590 0.1% 0.8%  
591 0.1% 0.7%  
592 0% 0.6%  
593 0.1% 0.6%  
594 0.1% 0.5%  
595 0.1% 0.4%  
596 0.1% 0.3%  
597 0% 0.2%  
598 0.1% 0.2%  
599 0% 0.1%  
600 0% 0.1%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0.1% 100%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0% 99.5%  
437 0.1% 99.5%  
438 0.1% 99.4%  
439 0% 99.4%  
440 0% 99.3%  
441 0.1% 99.3%  
442 0% 99.2%  
443 0.4% 99.2%  
444 0.1% 98.7%  
445 0.1% 98.6%  
446 0.2% 98.6%  
447 0.2% 98%  
448 1.1% 98%  
449 0.1% 97%  
450 0.4% 97%  
451 1.0% 97%  
452 0.4% 96%  
453 0.5% 95%  
454 0.5% 95%  
455 1.0% 94%  
456 1.1% 93%  
457 2% 92%  
458 1.3% 90%  
459 1.4% 89%  
460 4% 88%  
461 3% 84%  
462 4% 81%  
463 4% 77%  
464 3% 73%  
465 8% 71%  
466 2% 63%  
467 1.4% 60%  
468 4% 59%  
469 3% 54%  
470 7% 51%  
471 5% 44% Median
472 5% 40%  
473 11% 35%  
474 3% 24%  
475 2% 21%  
476 3% 19%  
477 1.2% 16%  
478 2% 15%  
479 1.0% 13%  
480 1.1% 12%  
481 4% 11%  
482 1.2% 6%  
483 0.6% 5%  
484 0.7% 5%  
485 0.6% 4%  
486 0.5% 3%  
487 0.4% 3%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.7% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.3% 1.5%  
493 0.3% 1.2%  
494 0.2% 0.9%  
495 0.3% 0.7%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0.1% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.2% 99.3%  
420 0.9% 99.1%  
421 0.1% 98%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.7% 97%  
427 0.9% 96%  
428 2% 95%  
429 0.8% 93%  
430 0.9% 93%  
431 1.5% 92%  
432 0.6% 90%  
433 2% 90%  
434 0.8% 88%  
435 1.2% 87%  
436 2% 86%  
437 4% 84%  
438 0.4% 79%  
439 5% 79%  
440 1.0% 74%  
441 1.3% 73%  
442 2% 71%  
443 5% 69%  
444 2% 64%  
445 6% 62%  
446 2% 56%  
447 1.5% 54%  
448 11% 53% Median
449 2% 41%  
450 8% 40%  
451 3% 32%  
452 2% 29%  
453 3% 26%  
454 3% 23%  
455 0.8% 20%  
456 3% 19%  
457 2% 17%  
458 2% 15%  
459 2% 14%  
460 1.4% 12%  
461 1.0% 10%  
462 0.7% 10%  
463 3% 9%  
464 1.4% 6%  
465 2% 5%  
466 0.4% 3%  
467 0.9% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.4% 1.5%  
470 0.1% 1.1%  
471 0.3% 1.0%  
472 0.1% 0.7%  
473 0.2% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0.1% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0.1% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0.1% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0.5% 99.4%  
401 0.4% 98.9%  
402 0.1% 98.5%  
403 0.7% 98%  
404 0.1% 98%  
405 0.7% 98%  
406 0.5% 97%  
407 1.3% 96%  
408 0.4% 95%  
409 0.2% 95%  
410 0.5% 95%  
411 1.3% 94%  
412 5% 93%  
413 0.9% 87%  
414 1.4% 86%  
415 0.7% 85%  
416 2% 84%  
417 2% 82%  
418 10% 80%  
419 2% 71%  
420 0.5% 68%  
421 0.5% 68%  
422 10% 67%  
423 4% 58%  
424 1.4% 53%  
425 4% 52%  
426 0.3% 48%  
427 5% 48% Median
428 0.8% 43%  
429 3% 42%  
430 15% 39%  
431 0.7% 24%  
432 0.9% 23%  
433 1.3% 23%  
434 5% 21%  
435 1.5% 17%  
436 1.2% 15%  
437 1.1% 14%  
438 2% 13%  
439 0.4% 10%  
440 2% 10%  
441 0.6% 8%  
442 0.3% 7%  
443 0.4% 7%  
444 0.2% 6%  
445 0.9% 6%  
446 0.2% 5%  
447 0.2% 5%  
448 1.3% 5%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.1% 3%  
451 0.7% 3%  
452 0% 3%  
453 0% 3%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.3% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.3% 1.3%  
465 0.4% 1.0%  
466 0% 0.6%  
467 0% 0.5%  
468 0.1% 0.5%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0% 0.4%  
471 0.1% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0.1% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.6% 99.5%  
378 0.3% 98.9%  
379 0% 98.6%  
380 0.3% 98.6%  
381 0.8% 98%  
382 3% 98%  
383 0.7% 95%  
384 0.1% 94%  
385 0.3% 94%  
386 1.1% 94%  
387 0.9% 93%  
388 1.0% 92%  
389 0.4% 91%  
390 0.2% 90%  
391 0.3% 90%  
392 2% 90%  
393 10% 88%  
394 5% 78%  
395 0.4% 73%  
396 0.8% 73%  
397 5% 72%  
398 3% 68%  
399 5% 65% Last Result
400 0.4% 60%  
401 0.9% 60%  
402 0.8% 59%  
403 3% 58%  
404 7% 55% Median
405 13% 48%  
406 0.5% 35%  
407 0.2% 35%  
408 4% 35%  
409 6% 31%  
410 6% 25%  
411 0.4% 19%  
412 0.3% 19%  
413 0.4% 19%  
414 0.5% 18%  
415 1.1% 18%  
416 4% 17%  
417 0.7% 13%  
418 0.1% 12%  
419 1.2% 12%  
420 3% 11%  
421 2% 8%  
422 1.2% 6%  
423 0.1% 5%  
424 0.1% 5%  
425 0.5% 5%  
426 0.2% 4%  
427 0.7% 4%  
428 0.1% 3%  
429 0.1% 3%  
430 0.4% 3%  
431 0.7% 3%  
432 0.3% 2%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0% 2%  
435 0% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.1% 1.2%  
439 0% 1.1%  
440 0.1% 1.1%  
441 0% 1.0%  
442 0.2% 1.0%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.3% 0.7%  
445 0% 0.4%  
446 0% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.4%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0% 99.8% Majority
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0.2% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.6%  
360 0% 99.6%  
361 0% 99.5%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0% 99.4%  
364 0% 99.4%  
365 0.1% 99.4%  
366 0.6% 99.3%  
367 0.5% 98.8%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 1.0% 98%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.2% 97%  
372 0.4% 97%  
373 0.1% 96%  
374 0.5% 96%  
375 0.3% 96%  
376 0.2% 95%  
377 0.7% 95%  
378 0.4% 94%  
379 0.9% 94%  
380 3% 93%  
381 4% 90%  
382 2% 86%  
383 1.0% 84%  
384 2% 83%  
385 1.2% 81%  
386 2% 80%  
387 2% 77%  
388 1.3% 75%  
389 2% 74%  
390 4% 72%  
391 2% 68%  
392 2% 66%  
393 3% 64%  
394 2% 60%  
395 7% 58%  
396 9% 51% Median
397 12% 43%  
398 2% 31%  
399 2% 29%  
400 2% 27%  
401 0.8% 25%  
402 2% 24%  
403 2% 22%  
404 2% 21%  
405 2% 18%  
406 4% 16%  
407 2% 12%  
408 2% 11%  
409 2% 9%  
410 0.6% 6%  
411 0.9% 6%  
412 0.9% 5%  
413 0.4% 4%  
414 0.7% 3%  
415 0.3% 3%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.3% 2%  
418 0.4% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
421 0.2% 1.0%  
422 0.3% 0.8%  
423 0.1% 0.5%  
424 0.1% 0.3%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 99.9%  
318 0% 99.9%  
319 0.2% 99.9%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0% 99.5%  
323 0.1% 99.5%  
324 0.1% 99.4%  
325 0.2% 99.3%  
326 0.2% 99.1%  
327 0.2% 99.0%  
328 0.4% 98.8%  
329 0.4% 98%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.2% 98%  
332 0.6% 98%  
333 0.9% 97%  
334 0.7% 96%  
335 0.4% 95%  
336 2% 95%  
337 1.2% 93%  
338 3% 92%  
339 0.5% 89%  
340 6% 88% Last Result
341 1.0% 82%  
342 1.0% 81%  
343 3% 80%  
344 2% 77%  
345 9% 75%  
346 3% 66%  
347 3% 63%  
348 1.3% 61%  
349 0.7% 59%  
350 3% 59%  
351 0.9% 55%  
352 5% 54% Median
353 4% 50%  
354 13% 46%  
355 2% 33% Majority
356 5% 31%  
357 0.7% 25%  
358 4% 25%  
359 3% 21%  
360 4% 18%  
361 2% 15%  
362 1.2% 13%  
363 0.7% 12%  
364 0.4% 11%  
365 1.2% 11%  
366 0.9% 9%  
367 1.2% 9%  
368 0.6% 7%  
369 1.3% 7%  
370 0.3% 5%  
371 0.8% 5%  
372 0.3% 4%  
373 0.2% 4%  
374 0.3% 4%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.1% 3%  
377 0.4% 3%  
378 0.1% 3%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.5% 2%  
382 0.3% 1.4%  
383 0.1% 1.2%  
384 0% 1.1%  
385 0.2% 1.1%  
386 0% 0.8%  
387 0% 0.8%  
388 0% 0.8%  
389 0% 0.7%  
390 0.2% 0.7%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0.3% 0.5%  
394 0% 0.2%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
279 0% 100%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.6%  
289 0% 99.6%  
290 0.8% 99.6%  
291 0% 98.7%  
292 0.1% 98.7%  
293 0% 98.7%  
294 0.1% 98.6%  
295 0.1% 98.5%  
296 0% 98%  
297 0.2% 98%  
298 0.6% 98%  
299 0.1% 98%  
300 0% 98%  
301 0.2% 97%  
302 0% 97%  
303 0.3% 97%  
304 0.6% 97%  
305 0.3% 96%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 0.7% 95%  
308 0.4% 95%  
309 0.5% 94%  
310 0.6% 94%  
311 0.7% 93%  
312 2% 92%  
313 3% 90%  
314 0.5% 87%  
315 0.4% 86%  
316 2% 86%  
317 5% 84%  
318 2% 79%  
319 2% 77%  
320 4% 76%  
321 1.2% 72%  
322 2% 70%  
323 2% 69%  
324 2% 67%  
325 4% 65%  
326 3% 61% Last Result
327 8% 58%  
328 3% 50%  
329 0.7% 47% Median
330 0.9% 46%  
331 14% 45%  
332 5% 31%  
333 3% 26%  
334 1.1% 24%  
335 4% 23%  
336 0.4% 19%  
337 4% 18%  
338 0.7% 15%  
339 3% 14%  
340 0.6% 11%  
341 2% 10%  
342 0.9% 8%  
343 0.4% 8%  
344 2% 7%  
345 0.4% 6%  
346 2% 5%  
347 0.5% 3%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0.8% 2%  
350 0.1% 1.3%  
351 0.1% 1.2%  
352 0.2% 1.0%  
353 0.2% 0.8%  
354 0.1% 0.6%  
355 0.1% 0.5% Majority
356 0.1% 0.4%  
357 0.1% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.3% 99.5%  
288 0.2% 99.2%  
289 0.2% 99.0% Last Result
290 0.3% 98.8%  
291 0.4% 98%  
292 0.3% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.7% 97%  
296 0.4% 97%  
297 0.9% 96%  
298 0.9% 95%  
299 0.6% 94%  
300 2% 94%  
301 2% 91%  
302 2% 89%  
303 4% 88%  
304 2% 84%  
305 2% 82%  
306 2% 79%  
307 2% 78%  
308 0.8% 76%  
309 2% 75%  
310 2% 73%  
311 2% 71%  
312 12% 69%  
313 9% 57%  
314 7% 49% Median
315 2% 42%  
316 3% 40%  
317 2% 36%  
318 2% 34%  
319 4% 32%  
320 2% 28%  
321 1.3% 26%  
322 2% 25%  
323 2% 23%  
324 1.2% 20%  
325 2% 19%  
326 1.0% 17%  
327 2% 16%  
328 4% 14%  
329 3% 10%  
330 0.9% 7%  
331 0.4% 6%  
332 0.7% 6%  
333 0.2% 5%  
334 0.3% 5%  
335 0.5% 4%  
336 0.1% 4%  
337 0.4% 4%  
338 0.2% 3%  
339 0.4% 3%  
340 1.0% 3%  
341 0.2% 2%  
342 0.5% 2%  
343 0.6% 1.2%  
344 0.1% 0.7%  
345 0% 0.6%  
346 0% 0.6%  
347 0.1% 0.6%  
348 0% 0.5%  
349 0% 0.5%  
350 0.1% 0.4%  
351 0.2% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2% Majority
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0.3% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.6%  
261 0% 99.6%  
262 0% 99.6%  
263 0% 99.5%  
264 0.3% 99.5%  
265 0% 99.3%  
266 0.1% 99.2%  
267 0% 99.1%  
268 0.2% 99.1%  
269 0.1% 98.9%  
270 0% 98.8%  
271 0.2% 98.7%  
272 0.3% 98.6%  
273 0% 98%  
274 0.2% 98%  
275 0.1% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0.4% 98%  
279 0.6% 97%  
280 0.1% 97%  
281 0.1% 97%  
282 0.3% 96%  
283 0.7% 96%  
284 0.4% 96%  
285 0.2% 95%  
286 1.1% 95%  
287 0.5% 94%  
288 1.2% 93%  
289 0.4% 92%  
290 0.7% 92%  
291 0.9% 91%  
292 1.1% 90%  
293 0.7% 89%  
294 0.9% 88%  
295 0.7% 87%  
296 2% 87%  
297 0.8% 85%  
298 0.4% 84%  
299 7% 84%  
300 5% 77% Last Result
301 0.8% 72%  
302 11% 71%  
303 3% 60%  
304 6% 57%  
305 3% 51% Median
306 7% 48%  
307 1.0% 41%  
308 6% 40%  
309 2% 34%  
310 2% 32%  
311 9% 31%  
312 3% 22%  
313 3% 19%  
314 3% 16%  
315 3% 14%  
316 2% 10%  
317 0.9% 9%  
318 0.3% 8%  
319 2% 7%  
320 0.3% 5%  
321 0.7% 5%  
322 0.2% 4%  
323 0.8% 4%  
324 0.4% 3%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.2% 3%  
327 0.3% 2%  
328 0.6% 2%  
329 0.1% 1.5%  
330 0.3% 1.4%  
331 0.3% 1.1%  
332 0.1% 0.8%  
333 0% 0.7%  
334 0.1% 0.6%  
335 0.1% 0.5%  
336 0.3% 0.5%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.2%  
339 0% 0.2%  
340 0.1% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0.1% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0.1% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.6%  
234 0% 99.5%  
235 0.1% 99.5%  
236 0.2% 99.4%  
237 0.3% 99.2%  
238 0.4% 98.8%  
239 0.2% 98%  
240 0.4% 98%  
241 0.8% 98%  
242 0.5% 97%  
243 0.4% 97%  
244 0.4% 96%  
245 0.7% 96%  
246 0.7% 95%  
247 0.6% 94%  
248 1.2% 94%  
249 4% 93%  
250 2% 89%  
251 0.6% 87%  
252 5% 86%  
253 2% 81%  
254 0.8% 79%  
255 3% 78%  
256 3% 76%  
257 3% 73%  
258 2% 70%  
259 11% 68%  
260 4% 57%  
261 8% 53% Median
262 3% 45%  
263 2% 42%  
264 3% 40%  
265 3% 37%  
266 8% 34%  
267 2% 26%  
268 7% 25%  
269 1.1% 18%  
270 0.5% 17%  
271 2% 16%  
272 1.5% 15%  
273 1.1% 14%  
274 1.0% 12%  
275 4% 11%  
276 0.9% 8%  
277 0.4% 7%  
278 0.6% 6%  
279 0.4% 6%  
280 0.6% 5%  
281 0.5% 5%  
282 0.3% 4%  
283 0.5% 4%  
284 0.1% 3%  
285 0.4% 3%  
286 0.7% 3%  
287 0.1% 2%  
288 1.0% 2%  
289 0.1% 1.0%  
290 0.1% 0.8%  
291 0.1% 0.7%  
292 0.1% 0.6%  
293 0.1% 0.5%  
294 0.1% 0.4%  
295 0% 0.3%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0.1% 99.9%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.6%  
149 0.2% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.4%  
151 0.2% 99.2%  
152 0.9% 99.0%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.7% 98%  
156 0.3% 97%  
157 0.5% 97%  
158 1.0% 96%  
159 0.7% 95%  
160 0.5% 94%  
161 1.1% 94%  
162 1.2% 93%  
163 4% 92%  
164 2% 88%  
165 1.0% 86%  
166 2% 85%  
167 1.2% 83%  
168 8% 82%  
169 6% 74%  
170 17% 69%  
171 5% 52%  
172 1.4% 47% Median
173 3% 46%  
174 2% 43%  
175 3% 41%  
176 6% 38%  
177 5% 32%  
178 4% 27%  
179 2% 23%  
180 6% 20%  
181 2% 14%  
182 2% 12%  
183 0.6% 10%  
184 2% 9%  
185 0.4% 7%  
186 1.5% 7%  
187 1.3% 6%  
188 1.0% 4%  
189 0.3% 3%  
190 0.8% 3%  
191 0.5% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.1% 1.3%  
194 0.1% 1.2%  
195 0.3% 1.1%  
196 0.1% 0.8%  
197 0.1% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.5%  
200 0% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.3%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0.3% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.5%  
115 0.2% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.3%  
117 0% 99.3%  
118 0.1% 99.2%  
119 0.1% 99.1%  
120 0.1% 99.1%  
121 0.2% 99.0%  
122 0% 98.8%  
123 0.3% 98.8%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.3% 98%  
130 0.9% 98%  
131 0.4% 97%  
132 0% 97%  
133 0.6% 96%  
134 0.3% 96%  
135 0% 96%  
136 0.1% 96%  
137 0% 95%  
138 0% 95%  
139 0.3% 95%  
140 0% 95%  
141 0.2% 95%  
142 0.2% 95%  
143 0% 95%  
144 0.7% 95%  
145 0.2% 94%  
146 0.2% 94%  
147 1.0% 93%  
148 0.3% 92%  
149 0.4% 92%  
150 0.9% 92%  
151 0.2% 91%  
152 1.2% 91%  
153 0.5% 90%  
154 0.4% 89%  
155 3% 89%  
156 0.7% 85%  
157 3% 84%  
158 4% 82%  
159 0.6% 78%  
160 13% 77%  
161 2% 65%  
162 2% 62%  
163 10% 60% Median
164 4% 50%  
165 4% 46%  
166 10% 43%  
167 0.5% 33%  
168 6% 32%  
169 5% 26%  
170 3% 21%  
171 4% 19%  
172 0.6% 14%  
173 5% 14%  
174 1.2% 9%  
175 0.5% 8%  
176 2% 7%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.2% 5%  
179 2% 4%  
180 0.2% 3%  
181 0.2% 3%  
182 0.7% 2%  
183 0.1% 2%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0.2% 1.2%  
186 0.1% 1.0%  
187 0.2% 1.0%  
188 0.1% 0.7%  
189 0.2% 0.7%  
190 0.2% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.3%  
192 0.1% 0.3%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations