Opinion Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 20–23 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.7% 30.1–33.3% 29.6–33.8% 29.2–34.2% 28.5–35.0%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.7–19.4% 16.3–19.8% 16.0–20.2% 15.4–20.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.4% 14.4–17.8% 14.1–18.1% 13.6–18.8%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.6–10.7% 7.1–11.2%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.2–8.6% 6.0–8.9% 5.7–9.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.8–8.6% 5.4–9.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 248 231–262 226–267 222–269 215–274
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 141 129–151 125–155 123–159 117–164
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 125 114–137 111–140 109–142 104–146
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 62–78 60–79 58–82 55–86
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 56 50–65 48–67 46–70 43–73
Die Linke 69 54 46–63 45–65 44–67 41–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 0 0–44 0–45 0–46 0–49

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0.4% 99.7%  
216 0.1% 99.3%  
217 0% 99.2%  
218 0% 99.2%  
219 0.3% 99.1%  
220 0.6% 98.9%  
221 0.8% 98%  
222 0.2% 98%  
223 0% 97%  
224 0.1% 97%  
225 0.9% 97%  
226 2% 96%  
227 2% 94%  
228 0.4% 92%  
229 0% 92%  
230 0.6% 92%  
231 1.5% 91%  
232 5% 90%  
233 1.2% 84%  
234 0.2% 83%  
235 0.5% 83%  
236 3% 82%  
237 3% 79%  
238 7% 76%  
239 0.8% 69%  
240 0.2% 68%  
241 0.4% 68%  
242 3% 68%  
243 2% 64%  
244 9% 62%  
245 2% 53%  
246 0.4% 51%  
247 0.3% 51%  
248 5% 50% Median
249 6% 46%  
250 7% 40%  
251 2% 32%  
252 0.3% 30%  
253 0.4% 30%  
254 3% 29%  
255 6% 26%  
256 3% 21%  
257 2% 17%  
258 0.2% 15%  
259 0.6% 15%  
260 1.3% 14%  
261 2% 13%  
262 4% 11%  
263 0.3% 7%  
264 0.2% 6%  
265 0.1% 6%  
266 0.7% 6%  
267 0.6% 5%  
268 2% 5%  
269 1.1% 3%  
270 0% 2%  
271 0% 2%  
272 0.4% 2%  
273 0.3% 1.4%  
274 0.8% 1.1%  
275 0% 0.4%  
276 0% 0.3%  
277 0% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0.2% 0.3%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.7%  
118 0.2% 99.5%  
119 0.2% 99.3%  
120 0.5% 99.1%  
121 0.4% 98.6%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.6% 98%  
124 0.7% 97%  
125 2% 97%  
126 0.8% 95%  
127 1.1% 94%  
128 2% 93%  
129 4% 91%  
130 3% 87%  
131 1.0% 84%  
132 4% 83%  
133 3% 79%  
134 3% 76%  
135 2% 73%  
136 2% 72%  
137 3% 70%  
138 8% 67%  
139 6% 59%  
140 0.8% 53%  
141 6% 52% Median
142 5% 46%  
143 2% 41%  
144 4% 39%  
145 3% 35%  
146 5% 32%  
147 3% 28%  
148 6% 25%  
149 3% 18%  
150 5% 16%  
151 2% 11%  
152 0.4% 10%  
153 3% 9%  
154 1.2% 7%  
155 0.7% 5%  
156 1.3% 5%  
157 0.2% 3%  
158 0.3% 3%  
159 2% 3%  
160 0.1% 1.4%  
161 0.2% 1.3%  
162 0.1% 1.1%  
163 0.5% 1.0%  
164 0.2% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0.1% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.7%  
103 0.1% 99.6%  
104 0.2% 99.5%  
105 0.1% 99.3%  
106 0.5% 99.2%  
107 0.3% 98.7%  
108 0.6% 98%  
109 1.0% 98%  
110 0.8% 97%  
111 2% 96%  
112 1.3% 94%  
113 1.4% 93%  
114 2% 92%  
115 3% 90%  
116 2% 86%  
117 3% 85%  
118 2% 81%  
119 7% 80%  
120 3% 72%  
121 3% 70%  
122 4% 67%  
123 5% 63%  
124 8% 59%  
125 2% 51% Median
126 6% 48%  
127 1.3% 42%  
128 7% 41%  
129 5% 34%  
130 6% 29%  
131 2% 24%  
132 4% 21%  
133 2% 18%  
134 1.0% 16%  
135 1.2% 15%  
136 3% 13%  
137 2% 10%  
138 3% 9%  
139 0.3% 6%  
140 1.3% 5%  
141 0.2% 4%  
142 2% 4%  
143 0.3% 2%  
144 0.5% 1.4%  
145 0.1% 0.8%  
146 0.3% 0.8%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0% 0.4%  
149 0.1% 0.3%  
150 0.1% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.1% 99.5%  
56 0.3% 99.4%  
57 0.6% 99.1%  
58 1.1% 98%  
59 1.2% 97%  
60 1.5% 96%  
61 0.7% 95%  
62 5% 94%  
63 3% 89%  
64 5% 86%  
65 7% 81%  
66 2% 74%  
67 4% 72%  
68 14% 68%  
69 4% 54% Median
70 3% 50%  
71 10% 46%  
72 5% 37%  
73 5% 32%  
74 6% 27%  
75 2% 21%  
76 4% 19%  
77 2% 16%  
78 7% 14%  
79 2% 7%  
80 0.7% 4%  
81 0.4% 4%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.2%  
85 0.6% 1.1%  
86 0.2% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.7%  
43 0.3% 99.5%  
44 0.6% 99.3%  
45 1.1% 98.7%  
46 0.8% 98% Last Result
47 1.0% 97%  
48 2% 96%  
49 3% 94%  
50 4% 91%  
51 6% 87%  
52 6% 81%  
53 7% 75%  
54 8% 68%  
55 6% 60%  
56 4% 54% Median
57 5% 50%  
58 5% 45%  
59 5% 40%  
60 7% 34%  
61 5% 28%  
62 3% 23%  
63 5% 19%  
64 4% 14%  
65 3% 11%  
66 2% 8%  
67 1.4% 6%  
68 1.1% 5%  
69 0.3% 4%  
70 1.3% 3%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.8%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.9%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.3% 99.7%  
42 0.5% 99.4%  
43 0.7% 98.9%  
44 0.8% 98%  
45 3% 97%  
46 6% 95%  
47 3% 89%  
48 5% 86%  
49 4% 81%  
50 5% 76%  
51 6% 72%  
52 8% 65%  
53 4% 57%  
54 7% 52% Median
55 6% 46%  
56 5% 40%  
57 6% 35%  
58 5% 28%  
59 3% 23%  
60 4% 20%  
61 2% 16%  
62 3% 14%  
63 4% 11%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.0% 4%  
67 0.7% 3%  
68 0.7% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.4% Last Result
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.6%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Median
1 0% 38%  
2 0% 38%  
3 0% 38%  
4 0% 38%  
5 0% 38%  
6 0% 38%  
7 0% 38%  
8 0% 38%  
9 0% 38%  
10 0% 38%  
11 0% 38%  
12 0% 38%  
13 0% 38%  
14 0% 38%  
15 0% 38%  
16 0% 38%  
17 0% 38%  
18 0% 38%  
19 0% 38%  
20 0% 38%  
21 0% 38%  
22 0% 38%  
23 0% 38%  
24 0% 38%  
25 0% 38%  
26 0% 38%  
27 0% 38%  
28 0% 38%  
29 0% 38%  
30 0% 38%  
31 0% 38%  
32 0% 38%  
33 0% 38%  
34 0% 38%  
35 0% 38%  
36 0% 38%  
37 0% 38%  
38 2% 38%  
39 1.3% 36%  
40 3% 35%  
41 8% 33%  
42 7% 25%  
43 5% 18%  
44 5% 14%  
45 5% 9%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.4% 2%  
48 0.4% 1.0%  
49 0.2% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.4%  
51 0% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 578 100% 542–591 537–592 532–593 526–600
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 459 100% 442–476 440–479 437–482 432–491
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 446 100% 420–465 416–468 413–471 404–476
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 444 100% 430–462 425–467 422–468 415–475
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 430 100% 406–448 400–452 396–456 390–464
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 388 99.7% 371–407 368–412 364–416 357–424
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 375 90% 354–393 348–396 345–399 338–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 318 0.7% 300–340 294–344 293–348 286–356
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 321 0.3% 302–338 297–341 293–345 285–352
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 280 0% 262–304 257–310 253–313 248–318
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 267 0% 250–281 244–286 239–287 233–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 180 0% 165–193 163–196 160–198 153–205
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 135 0% 120–168 117–173 114–176 109–180

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 100%  
514 0% 100%  
515 0% 100%  
516 0% 100%  
517 0% 100%  
518 0% 100%  
519 0% 100%  
520 0% 100%  
521 0% 100%  
522 0% 100%  
523 0% 99.9%  
524 0% 99.9%  
525 0.1% 99.9%  
526 0.4% 99.7%  
527 0.1% 99.4%  
528 0.5% 99.3%  
529 0.5% 98.8%  
530 0.6% 98%  
531 0.2% 98%  
532 0.5% 98%  
533 0.4% 97%  
534 0.4% 97%  
535 0.3% 96%  
536 0.4% 96%  
537 2% 96%  
538 0.7% 94%  
539 0.3% 93%  
540 1.5% 93%  
541 0.7% 91%  
542 2% 91%  
543 0.7% 89%  
544 1.3% 88%  
545 2% 87%  
546 1.4% 85%  
547 0.4% 84%  
548 2% 83%  
549 1.2% 81%  
550 1.4% 80%  
551 1.2% 79%  
552 3% 77%  
553 2% 74%  
554 4% 72%  
555 3% 67%  
556 0.7% 64%  
557 0.4% 64%  
558 0.4% 63%  
559 0.4% 63%  
560 0.4% 62%  
561 0.6% 62%  
562 0.3% 61%  
563 0.2% 61%  
564 0.2% 61%  
565 0.1% 61%  
566 0.1% 61%  
567 0.1% 61%  
568 0.2% 60%  
569 1.0% 60%  
570 2% 59% Median
571 1.1% 58%  
572 2% 57%  
573 0.5% 54%  
574 1.2% 54%  
575 0.5% 53%  
576 0.9% 52%  
577 0.2% 51%  
578 4% 51%  
579 2% 48%  
580 10% 46%  
581 6% 35%  
582 5% 30%  
583 3% 24%  
584 3% 21%  
585 0.1% 18%  
586 0.3% 18%  
587 0.5% 18%  
588 0.3% 17%  
589 1.1% 17%  
590 4% 16%  
591 4% 12%  
592 4% 8%  
593 3% 4%  
594 0.6% 2%  
595 0.3% 0.9%  
596 0% 0.6%  
597 0% 0.6%  
598 0% 0.5%  
599 0% 0.5%  
600 0.1% 0.5%  
601 0.2% 0.4%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0.1% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0.1% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.6%  
431 0% 99.6%  
432 0.2% 99.5%  
433 0.1% 99.3%  
434 0.1% 99.3%  
435 0.7% 99.1%  
436 0% 98%  
437 2% 98%  
438 0.2% 97%  
439 0.1% 97%  
440 3% 97%  
441 0.1% 93%  
442 3% 93%  
443 0.5% 90%  
444 0.6% 89%  
445 1.3% 89% Median
446 1.3% 87%  
447 0.7% 86%  
448 1.5% 85%  
449 3% 84%  
450 0.9% 81%  
451 6% 80%  
452 1.4% 74%  
453 2% 73%  
454 7% 71%  
455 0.5% 64%  
456 9% 63%  
457 2% 54%  
458 0.7% 52%  
459 3% 52%  
460 4% 48%  
461 0.8% 44%  
462 3% 44%  
463 3% 41%  
464 2% 38%  
465 4% 36%  
466 2% 32%  
467 4% 30%  
468 1.3% 26%  
469 0.8% 25%  
470 1.3% 24%  
471 3% 22%  
472 1.5% 20%  
473 4% 18%  
474 0.3% 14%  
475 1.4% 14%  
476 5% 12%  
477 0.5% 7%  
478 0.7% 7%  
479 2% 6%  
480 0.2% 4%  
481 0.9% 3%  
482 0.5% 3%  
483 0.3% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.2% 1.3%  
487 0% 1.2%  
488 0.3% 1.1%  
489 0.1% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0.2% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.5%  
493 0.1% 0.4%  
494 0.2% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0.1% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.3% 99.6%  
405 0.1% 99.3%  
406 0.2% 99.2%  
407 0.2% 98.9%  
408 0.3% 98.7%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.2% 98%  
411 0.3% 98%  
412 0.1% 98%  
413 0.4% 98%  
414 1.0% 97%  
415 0.8% 96%  
416 0.5% 95%  
417 2% 95%  
418 2% 93%  
419 0.4% 91%  
420 1.3% 91%  
421 3% 90%  
422 2% 87%  
423 2% 84%  
424 0.4% 83%  
425 1.2% 82%  
426 0.3% 81%  
427 0.6% 81%  
428 1.0% 80%  
429 2% 79%  
430 0.6% 77%  
431 2% 77%  
432 2% 75%  
433 0.6% 73%  
434 1.2% 72%  
435 5% 71%  
436 0.3% 66%  
437 4% 66%  
438 0.4% 61%  
439 0.5% 61%  
440 3% 61%  
441 0.1% 57%  
442 4% 57%  
443 0.8% 53%  
444 0.6% 53%  
445 1.3% 52% Median
446 1.4% 51%  
447 0.4% 49%  
448 1.5% 49%  
449 3% 47%  
450 0.5% 44%  
451 6% 44%  
452 1.4% 38%  
453 1.2% 37%  
454 7% 36%  
455 0.3% 29%  
456 9% 28%  
457 1.0% 20%  
458 0.5% 19%  
459 3% 18%  
460 0.7% 15%  
461 0.6% 14%  
462 1.3% 14%  
463 0.5% 12%  
464 0.9% 12%  
465 2% 11%  
466 0.1% 9%  
467 3% 9%  
468 1.1% 6%  
469 0.1% 5%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 2% 5%  
472 0.2% 2%  
473 1.1% 2%  
474 0% 0.9%  
475 0.2% 0.9%  
476 0.2% 0.6%  
477 0% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.4%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0.1% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.9%  
409 0.1% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.2% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.4%  
417 0.2% 99.3%  
418 0.2% 99.1%  
419 1.1% 98.9%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.9% 97%  
424 1.0% 97%  
425 1.5% 96%  
426 0.7% 94%  
427 0.6% 93%  
428 0.5% 93%  
429 1.4% 92% Median
430 5% 91%  
431 0.4% 86%  
432 6% 86%  
433 0.3% 79%  
434 1.4% 79%  
435 5% 78%  
436 4% 73%  
437 3% 69%  
438 0.7% 66%  
439 2% 65%  
440 6% 63%  
441 1.3% 57%  
442 1.2% 56%  
443 5% 55%  
444 1.2% 50%  
445 5% 49%  
446 1.4% 44%  
447 5% 43%  
448 3% 38%  
449 2% 35%  
450 0.7% 33%  
451 3% 32%  
452 1.5% 29%  
453 2% 28%  
454 1.5% 26%  
455 1.4% 24%  
456 2% 23%  
457 6% 20%  
458 1.5% 14%  
459 0.8% 13%  
460 0.9% 12%  
461 0.6% 11%  
462 0.9% 10%  
463 0.5% 9%  
464 2% 9%  
465 0.5% 6%  
466 0.8% 6%  
467 2% 5%  
468 1.1% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.3% 2%  
471 0.2% 1.4%  
472 0.4% 1.2%  
473 0.2% 0.8%  
474 0% 0.6%  
475 0.2% 0.6%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.2% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.4%  
392 0.1% 99.2%  
393 0.5% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.6%  
395 0.7% 98%  
396 0.1% 98%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.2% 97%  
399 1.1% 97% Last Result
400 0.9% 96%  
401 0.2% 95%  
402 1.0% 94%  
403 0.5% 93%  
404 0.2% 93%  
405 2% 93%  
406 2% 90%  
407 2% 88%  
408 0.5% 86%  
409 3% 86%  
410 1.1% 83%  
411 0.4% 82%  
412 1.3% 82%  
413 0.7% 80%  
414 0.3% 80%  
415 2% 79%  
416 5% 77%  
417 2% 72%  
418 0.8% 71%  
419 1.3% 70%  
420 2% 69%  
421 2% 67%  
422 0.3% 65%  
423 1.5% 65%  
424 1.1% 63%  
425 2% 62%  
426 3% 60%  
427 0.7% 57%  
428 0.6% 56%  
429 1.4% 55% Median
430 5% 54%  
431 0.4% 49%  
432 6% 49%  
433 0.4% 43%  
434 1.2% 42%  
435 5% 41%  
436 4% 36%  
437 3% 32%  
438 0.2% 30%  
439 1.0% 29%  
440 6% 28%  
441 1.0% 22%  
442 0.2% 21%  
443 4% 21%  
444 0.3% 17%  
445 3% 17%  
446 1.0% 14%  
447 3% 13%  
448 2% 10%  
449 0% 8%  
450 0.4% 8%  
451 2% 7%  
452 0.4% 5%  
453 0.7% 5%  
454 0.1% 4%  
455 0.1% 4%  
456 1.5% 4%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 1.0% 2%  
459 0% 1.1%  
460 0% 1.1%  
461 0.2% 1.0%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.1% 0.8%  
464 0.4% 0.7%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0.1% 0.1%  
470 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
350 0.1% 100%  
351 0.1% 99.9%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.7% Majority
356 0% 99.6%  
357 0.4% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.3% 99.1%  
360 0.1% 98.8%  
361 0% 98.7%  
362 0.6% 98.7%  
363 0.5% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.6% 97%  
366 0.1% 97%  
367 0.4% 96%  
368 3% 96%  
369 1.0% 93%  
370 0.4% 92%  
371 3% 91%  
372 0.3% 89%  
373 1.2% 89% Median
374 0.6% 87%  
375 8% 87%  
376 0.7% 79%  
377 4% 78%  
378 2% 75%  
379 0.2% 73%  
380 3% 73%  
381 5% 70%  
382 2% 65%  
383 5% 63%  
384 1.1% 58%  
385 0.8% 57%  
386 4% 56%  
387 2% 52%  
388 2% 51%  
389 2% 49%  
390 2% 47%  
391 0.9% 45%  
392 0.7% 44%  
393 4% 43%  
394 1.0% 39%  
395 3% 38%  
396 2% 34%  
397 0.9% 32%  
398 0.9% 32%  
399 5% 31%  
400 0.7% 25%  
401 2% 25%  
402 4% 23%  
403 0.7% 19%  
404 1.1% 18%  
405 0.8% 17%  
406 5% 16%  
407 2% 11%  
408 1.2% 9%  
409 0.3% 8%  
410 0.9% 8%  
411 0.1% 7%  
412 2% 7%  
413 0.5% 4%  
414 0.3% 4%  
415 0.5% 3%  
416 0.5% 3%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.3% 2%  
419 0.5% 2%  
420 0.1% 2% Last Result
421 0.3% 1.4%  
422 0.3% 1.1%  
423 0.1% 0.8%  
424 0.3% 0.7%  
425 0.1% 0.4%  
426 0.1% 0.3%  
427 0.1% 0.3%  
428 0.1% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0.1% 99.9%  
334 0.1% 99.8%  
335 0% 99.7%  
336 0% 99.7%  
337 0% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.2% 99.5%  
340 1.1% 99.2% Last Result
341 0.1% 98%  
342 0.1% 98%  
343 0.2% 98%  
344 0.2% 98%  
345 0.4% 98%  
346 0.2% 97%  
347 2% 97%  
348 0.2% 95%  
349 0.9% 95%  
350 0.5% 94%  
351 2% 93%  
352 0.7% 92%  
353 1.0% 91%  
354 0.1% 90%  
355 0.5% 90% Majority
356 3% 89%  
357 6% 86%  
358 0.7% 80%  
359 0.6% 80%  
360 0.3% 79%  
361 0.1% 79%  
362 2% 79%  
363 2% 76%  
364 2% 74%  
365 5% 72%  
366 0.3% 67%  
367 0.9% 67%  
368 4% 66%  
369 2% 61%  
370 0.9% 60%  
371 5% 59%  
372 0.4% 54%  
373 2% 54% Median
374 0.9% 52%  
375 8% 51%  
376 0.8% 43%  
377 4% 42%  
378 2% 38%  
379 0.1% 37%  
380 3% 37%  
381 5% 33%  
382 2% 28%  
383 4% 26%  
384 1.1% 22%  
385 0.5% 21%  
386 4% 21%  
387 2% 17%  
388 1.2% 15%  
389 0.3% 14%  
390 2% 14%  
391 0.5% 12%  
392 0.6% 12%  
393 4% 11%  
394 0.3% 7%  
395 2% 7%  
396 0.7% 5%  
397 0.2% 4%  
398 0.6% 4%  
399 1.4% 4%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.7% 2%  
403 0.2% 1.0%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.2% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0.1% 0.3%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.3% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.4%  
288 0.1% 99.4%  
289 0.1% 99.3%  
290 0.4% 99.2%  
291 0.2% 98.8%  
292 0.4% 98.6%  
293 0.6% 98%  
294 2% 97%  
295 0.2% 95%  
296 1.0% 95%  
297 0.9% 94%  
298 0.2% 93%  
299 1.0% 93%  
300 2% 92%  
301 3% 90%  
302 0.8% 87%  
303 0.6% 86%  
304 4% 86% Median
305 0.4% 82%  
306 2% 81%  
307 5% 79%  
308 4% 74%  
309 0.4% 70%  
310 5% 70%  
311 0.7% 65%  
312 3% 64%  
313 0.9% 61%  
314 2% 61%  
315 4% 59%  
316 1.4% 54%  
317 1.4% 53%  
318 2% 51%  
319 1.4% 50%  
320 2% 48%  
321 4% 46%  
322 1.1% 41%  
323 1.2% 40%  
324 0.8% 39%  
325 3% 38%  
326 3% 35% Last Result
327 2% 32%  
328 2% 31%  
329 0.6% 29%  
330 1.4% 28%  
331 2% 27%  
332 2% 25%  
333 0.7% 22%  
334 3% 22%  
335 0.9% 19%  
336 2% 18%  
337 0.3% 16%  
338 5% 16%  
339 0.4% 11%  
340 2% 10%  
341 0.5% 8%  
342 0.8% 8%  
343 0.7% 7%  
344 2% 6%  
345 0.2% 4%  
346 0.5% 4%  
347 0.6% 3%  
348 0.4% 3%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.4% 2%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.4% 2%  
353 0.4% 1.1%  
354 0.1% 0.8%  
355 0% 0.7% Majority
356 0.2% 0.6%  
357 0% 0.5%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0.1% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.3% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.3%  
287 0.3% 99.2%  
288 0.3% 98.9%  
289 0.1% 98.6% Last Result
290 0.5% 98%  
291 0.3% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.5% 98%  
294 0.5% 97%  
295 0.3% 97%  
296 0.5% 96%  
297 2% 96%  
298 0.1% 93%  
299 0.9% 93%  
300 0.3% 92%  
301 1.2% 92%  
302 2% 91%  
303 5% 89%  
304 0.8% 84%  
305 1.1% 83%  
306 0.7% 82%  
307 4% 81%  
308 2% 77%  
309 0.7% 75%  
310 5% 75%  
311 0.9% 69%  
312 0.9% 68%  
313 2% 68%  
314 3% 66%  
315 1.0% 62%  
316 4% 61%  
317 0.7% 57%  
318 0.9% 56%  
319 2% 55%  
320 2% 53% Median
321 2% 51%  
322 2% 49%  
323 4% 48%  
324 0.8% 44%  
325 1.1% 43%  
326 5% 42%  
327 2% 37%  
328 5% 35%  
329 3% 30%  
330 0.2% 27%  
331 2% 27%  
332 4% 25%  
333 0.7% 22%  
334 8% 21%  
335 0.6% 13%  
336 1.2% 13%  
337 0.3% 11%  
338 3% 11%  
339 0.4% 9%  
340 1.0% 8%  
341 3% 7%  
342 0.4% 4%  
343 0.1% 4%  
344 0.6% 3%  
345 0.5% 3%  
346 0.5% 2%  
347 0.6% 2%  
348 0% 1.3%  
349 0.1% 1.3%  
350 0.3% 1.2%  
351 0.1% 0.9%  
352 0.4% 0.8%  
353 0% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0% 0.3% Majority
356 0% 0.3%  
357 0.1% 0.2%  
358 0.1% 0.2%  
359 0.1% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.9%  
244 0% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.7% 99.5%  
249 0% 98.8%  
250 0.3% 98.8%  
251 0.1% 98.5%  
252 0.8% 98%  
253 0.5% 98%  
254 0.1% 97%  
255 1.1% 97%  
256 0.5% 96%  
257 1.0% 95%  
258 0.9% 94%  
259 0.8% 93%  
260 1.2% 93%  
261 0.9% 91%  
262 0.6% 90%  
263 0.8% 90%  
264 0.9% 89%  
265 3% 88%  
266 2% 85% Median
267 4% 84%  
268 0.3% 80%  
269 1.2% 79%  
270 3% 78%  
271 7% 75%  
272 3% 68%  
273 0.6% 65%  
274 1.1% 64%  
275 3% 63%  
276 4% 60%  
277 3% 56%  
278 0.9% 53%  
279 0.9% 52%  
280 4% 51%  
281 3% 48%  
282 0.9% 45%  
283 0.5% 44%  
284 3% 44%  
285 1.4% 40%  
286 3% 39%  
287 0.5% 36%  
288 0.1% 35%  
289 1.0% 35%  
290 2% 34%  
291 0.8% 32%  
292 0.6% 32%  
293 3% 31%  
294 0.9% 28%  
295 3% 27%  
296 0.3% 24%  
297 0.3% 24%  
298 6% 24%  
299 0.7% 17%  
300 3% 17% Last Result
301 0.1% 13%  
302 0.3% 13%  
303 0.8% 13%  
304 3% 12%  
305 2% 9%  
306 0.1% 8%  
307 0.2% 7%  
308 1.4% 7%  
309 0.8% 6%  
310 0.5% 5%  
311 0.1% 4%  
312 2% 4%  
313 0.2% 3%  
314 0.7% 2%  
315 0.1% 2%  
316 0% 2%  
317 0.1% 2%  
318 1.0% 1.5%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.4%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1%  
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0.1% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0.2% 99.7%  
233 0.2% 99.6%  
234 0.1% 99.4%  
235 0.4% 99.3%  
236 0.2% 98.9%  
237 0.3% 98.7%  
238 0.2% 98%  
239 0.8% 98%  
240 1.2% 97%  
241 0.2% 96%  
242 0.3% 96%  
243 0.2% 96%  
244 1.0% 95%  
245 0.7% 94%  
246 0.4% 94%  
247 0.5% 93%  
248 1.5% 93%  
249 1.1% 91%  
250 1.0% 90%  
251 0.9% 89%  
252 4% 88%  
253 3% 85%  
254 0.5% 81%  
255 2% 81%  
256 2% 79%  
257 7% 77%  
258 2% 71%  
259 1.2% 68%  
260 3% 67%  
261 2% 65%  
262 3% 63%  
263 2% 60%  
264 2% 59%  
265 3% 57%  
266 3% 54% Median
267 4% 51%  
268 0.6% 47%  
269 2% 46%  
270 5% 44%  
271 7% 39%  
272 3% 32%  
273 0.7% 28%  
274 1.0% 28%  
275 4% 27%  
276 4% 23%  
277 2% 19%  
278 0.8% 17%  
279 0.6% 16%  
280 3% 15%  
281 3% 12%  
282 0.8% 10%  
283 0.4% 9%  
284 2% 8%  
285 0.6% 6%  
286 3% 5%  
287 0.3% 3%  
288 0.1% 2%  
289 0.3% 2%  
290 0.9% 2%  
291 0.4% 1.2%  
292 0.1% 0.8%  
293 0% 0.6%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.1% 0.5%  
296 0.2% 0.4%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0.1% 0.2%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0.1% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0% 99.5%  
154 0.4% 99.5%  
155 0.1% 99.1%  
156 0.6% 99.0%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.2% 98%  
159 0.2% 98%  
160 0.9% 98%  
161 0.6% 97%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 2% 96%  
164 1.1% 94%  
165 5% 93%  
166 0.9% 88%  
167 2% 87%  
168 3% 85%  
169 4% 83%  
170 1.1% 79%  
171 2% 78%  
172 2% 75%  
173 3% 73%  
174 3% 70%  
175 4% 67%  
176 4% 63%  
177 5% 59%  
178 0.9% 55%  
179 2% 54% Median
180 8% 52%  
181 1.0% 44%  
182 5% 43%  
183 0.7% 39%  
184 4% 38%  
185 4% 34%  
186 1.1% 30%  
187 6% 29%  
188 3% 23%  
189 2% 20%  
190 2% 18%  
191 1.1% 16%  
192 2% 15%  
193 3% 12%  
194 0.6% 9%  
195 4% 9%  
196 0.6% 5%  
197 0.9% 5%  
198 1.4% 4%  
199 0.3% 2%  
200 0.4% 2%  
201 0.1% 2%  
202 0.5% 2%  
203 0.1% 1.1%  
204 0.1% 1.1%  
205 0.5% 1.0%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0.3% 99.4%  
112 0.4% 99.1%  
113 0.4% 98.7%  
114 1.3% 98%  
115 0.8% 97%  
116 0.7% 96%  
117 1.3% 95%  
118 1.1% 94%  
119 2% 93%  
120 1.1% 91%  
121 2% 90%  
122 2% 88%  
123 1.2% 86%  
124 7% 85%  
125 1.5% 79% Median
126 4% 77%  
127 1.1% 73%  
128 6% 72%  
129 4% 66%  
130 5% 62%  
131 2% 57%  
132 1.2% 55%  
133 2% 54%  
134 0.7% 52%  
135 1.0% 51%  
136 3% 50%  
137 0.7% 47%  
138 3% 46%  
139 0.2% 43%  
140 1.3% 43%  
141 0.2% 42%  
142 2% 42%  
143 0.4% 39%  
144 0.6% 39%  
145 0.1% 38%  
146 0.5% 38%  
147 0.9% 38%  
148 0.2% 37%  
149 0.2% 37%  
150 0.8% 37%  
151 0.5% 36%  
152 0.7% 35%  
153 0.3% 35%  
154 1.4% 34%  
155 0.9% 33%  
156 0.5% 32%  
157 2% 32%  
158 0.8% 29%  
159 0.5% 28%  
160 5% 28%  
161 2% 23%  
162 2% 21%  
163 0.7% 19%  
164 2% 19%  
165 3% 16%  
166 2% 13%  
167 0.3% 11%  
168 1.3% 11%  
169 1.3% 9%  
170 1.2% 8%  
171 0.2% 7%  
172 1.1% 7%  
173 0.9% 6%  
174 2% 5%  
175 0.1% 3%  
176 0.5% 3%  
177 0.5% 2%  
178 0.2% 2%  
179 1.0% 2%  
180 0.2% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations