Opinion Poll by Forsa, 20–24 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.7% 30.4–33.1% 30.0–33.5% 29.7–33.9% 29.0–34.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.7–17.5% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.5–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 241 232–252 229–257 226–261 221–266
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 122 113–128 113–134 111–135 106–141
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 114 106–122 104–124 104–129 98–131
Alternative für Deutschland 94 68 62–75 60–77 59–79 56–82
Die Linke 69 61 54–67 54–69 52–71 49–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 56 50–62 48–64 47–65 45–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 40–52 39–53 0–54 0–56

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0.1% 99.9%  
218 0.1% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0.2% 99.6%  
222 0.2% 99.4%  
223 0.3% 99.1%  
224 0.2% 98.9%  
225 0.8% 98.7%  
226 0.4% 98%  
227 2% 97%  
228 0.4% 96%  
229 1.5% 95%  
230 2% 94%  
231 0.8% 92%  
232 4% 91%  
233 4% 87%  
234 7% 83%  
235 2% 75%  
236 5% 74%  
237 3% 68%  
238 5% 65%  
239 5% 60%  
240 5% 56%  
241 4% 51% Median
242 4% 47%  
243 6% 43%  
244 3% 38%  
245 1.2% 35%  
246 2% 34%  
247 4% 32%  
248 3% 28%  
249 3% 25%  
250 10% 22%  
251 1.4% 12%  
252 1.4% 11%  
253 1.3% 9%  
254 0.7% 8%  
255 1.0% 7%  
256 0.9% 6%  
257 1.1% 6%  
258 1.1% 4%  
259 0.4% 3%  
260 0.4% 3%  
261 0.2% 3%  
262 0.1% 2%  
263 2% 2%  
264 0.2% 0.8%  
265 0.1% 0.6%  
266 0.1% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.4%  
268 0.1% 0.4%  
269 0% 0.3%  
270 0.2% 0.3%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0.1% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.5% 99.8%  
107 0.5% 99.2%  
108 0.2% 98.7%  
109 0.6% 98.5%  
110 0.3% 98%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 1.0% 97%  
113 7% 96%  
114 4% 89%  
115 6% 85%  
116 0.7% 79%  
117 0.7% 79%  
118 2% 78%  
119 10% 76%  
120 5% 67%  
121 3% 62%  
122 13% 59% Median
123 2% 46%  
124 2% 44%  
125 4% 42%  
126 14% 38%  
127 10% 25%  
128 5% 15%  
129 1.2% 10%  
130 0.5% 9%  
131 0.4% 8%  
132 1.5% 8%  
133 0.8% 6%  
134 2% 5%  
135 1.2% 3%  
136 0.6% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.4% 2%  
139 0.2% 1.2%  
140 0.4% 0.9%  
141 0.3% 0.6%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.5%  
100 0.1% 99.2%  
101 0% 99.2%  
102 0.2% 99.1%  
103 0.9% 98.9%  
104 3% 98%  
105 3% 95%  
106 4% 92%  
107 2% 88%  
108 1.1% 86%  
109 0.2% 85%  
110 1.4% 84%  
111 5% 83%  
112 9% 78%  
113 16% 69%  
114 14% 53% Median
115 5% 39%  
116 1.2% 34%  
117 2% 33%  
118 0.5% 31%  
119 5% 31%  
120 6% 25%  
121 7% 19%  
122 4% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 1.4% 6%  
125 0.3% 4%  
126 0.4% 4%  
127 0.3% 4%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 1.3% 3%  
130 0.7% 1.3%  
131 0.1% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.4%  
134 0.2% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.7%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 1.0% 99.0%  
59 0.7% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 2% 95%  
62 4% 93%  
63 4% 89%  
64 7% 85%  
65 3% 78%  
66 7% 75%  
67 12% 68%  
68 7% 55% Median
69 6% 48%  
70 7% 42%  
71 6% 36%  
72 6% 30%  
73 7% 24%  
74 3% 17%  
75 6% 14%  
76 1.5% 8%  
77 3% 7%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.2% 2%  
82 0.9% 1.4%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 0.6% 99.3%  
51 0.4% 98.7%  
52 1.3% 98%  
53 1.5% 97%  
54 6% 96%  
55 2% 89%  
56 3% 87%  
57 5% 84%  
58 4% 79%  
59 14% 75%  
60 8% 62%  
61 8% 53% Median
62 9% 46%  
63 2% 37%  
64 8% 35%  
65 8% 26%  
66 2% 18%  
67 8% 16%  
68 1.3% 8%  
69 2% 6% Last Result
70 2% 5%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 1.4% 2%  
73 0.4% 1.0%  
74 0.1% 0.5%  
75 0.2% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 0.4% 99.6%  
46 0.7% 99.2% Last Result
47 2% 98%  
48 3% 96%  
49 1.4% 93%  
50 6% 92%  
51 2% 86%  
52 4% 84%  
53 6% 80%  
54 6% 74%  
55 12% 68%  
56 14% 55% Median
57 6% 41%  
58 8% 35%  
59 6% 26%  
60 4% 21%  
61 5% 17%  
62 5% 12%  
63 2% 7%  
64 2% 5%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.1%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0.5% 96%  
39 5% 96%  
40 3% 91%  
41 5% 88%  
42 3% 83%  
43 14% 80%  
44 7% 66%  
45 2% 59%  
46 14% 57% Median
47 6% 42%  
48 5% 36%  
49 12% 32%  
50 3% 19%  
51 6% 17%  
52 6% 11%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.3% 3%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.9% 1.3%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 535 100% 524–544 522–549 520–568 513–573
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 465 100% 454–475 451–479 448–481 439–486
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 458 100% 445–467 442–471 439–473 431–478
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 419 100% 409–432 405–436 404–446 398–454
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 411 100% 399–424 398–428 395–438 389–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 412 100% 400–423 396–425 392–427 384–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 367 88% 354–378 352–383 349–389 344–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 342 9% 331–354 325–357 322–359 309–364
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 297 0% 286–309 284–313 282–317 276–325
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 281 0% 271–293 265–296 253–298 245–304
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 236 0% 226–247 224–250 221–254 217–261
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 174–193 171–196 168–199 165–204
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 168 0% 159–176 154–179 132–182 126–187

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.9%  
512 0.2% 99.9%  
513 0.2% 99.7%  
514 0% 99.5%  
515 0.1% 99.4%  
516 0.4% 99.4%  
517 0.4% 98.9%  
518 0.3% 98.5%  
519 0.2% 98%  
520 1.1% 98%  
521 2% 97%  
522 0.6% 95%  
523 5% 95%  
524 2% 90%  
525 7% 88%  
526 5% 81%  
527 2% 76%  
528 7% 74%  
529 5% 68%  
530 4% 63%  
531 0.4% 59%  
532 5% 59%  
533 2% 54% Median
534 2% 52%  
535 1.3% 51%  
536 5% 50%  
537 11% 44%  
538 2% 33%  
539 0.8% 31%  
540 10% 30%  
541 7% 20%  
542 1.1% 13%  
543 0.8% 12%  
544 2% 11%  
545 0.7% 9%  
546 1.3% 8%  
547 0.1% 7%  
548 1.2% 7%  
549 0.9% 6%  
550 0.5% 5%  
551 0.2% 4%  
552 0.4% 4%  
553 0.2% 4%  
554 0.2% 4%  
555 0% 4%  
556 0% 4%  
557 0.1% 4%  
558 0.1% 3%  
559 0% 3%  
560 0% 3%  
561 0.2% 3%  
562 0% 3%  
563 0% 3%  
564 0% 3%  
565 0% 3%  
566 0.2% 3%  
567 0.2% 3%  
568 0.1% 3%  
569 0.1% 2%  
570 2% 2%  
571 0% 0.8%  
572 0% 0.8%  
573 0.3% 0.7%  
574 0% 0.4%  
575 0% 0.4%  
576 0% 0.4%  
577 0% 0.4%  
578 0.1% 0.4%  
579 0.1% 0.3%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.2% 99.7%  
438 0% 99.5%  
439 0.1% 99.5%  
440 0.2% 99.4%  
441 0.1% 99.2%  
442 0.1% 99.1%  
443 0.2% 99.0%  
444 0.2% 98.8%  
445 0.4% 98.6%  
446 0.2% 98%  
447 0.4% 98%  
448 0.8% 98%  
449 0.6% 97%  
450 0.8% 96%  
451 1.2% 95%  
452 2% 94%  
453 2% 93%  
454 2% 91%  
455 3% 88%  
456 3% 85%  
457 1.2% 81%  
458 3% 80%  
459 3% 77%  
460 6% 74%  
461 4% 68%  
462 5% 64%  
463 3% 59%  
464 6% 56%  
465 3% 50% Median
466 5% 48%  
467 4% 42%  
468 4% 38%  
469 2% 33%  
470 10% 31%  
471 5% 21%  
472 1.2% 17%  
473 3% 15%  
474 1.5% 12%  
475 3% 11%  
476 1.0% 8%  
477 2% 7%  
478 0.4% 5%  
479 1.3% 5% Last Result
480 0.6% 4%  
481 1.0% 3%  
482 1.0% 2%  
483 0.2% 1.1%  
484 0.2% 0.9%  
485 0.2% 0.7%  
486 0.2% 0.6%  
487 0.2% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.2% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.7%  
427 0% 99.7%  
428 0% 99.7%  
429 0% 99.7%  
430 0% 99.6%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.4%  
433 0.1% 99.4%  
434 0.1% 99.2%  
435 0.4% 99.1%  
436 0.1% 98.7%  
437 0.3% 98.6%  
438 0.6% 98%  
439 0.5% 98%  
440 0.4% 97%  
441 0.5% 97%  
442 4% 96%  
443 0.8% 92%  
444 1.0% 91%  
445 1.4% 90%  
446 2% 89%  
447 1.1% 87%  
448 5% 86%  
449 1.1% 81%  
450 3% 80%  
451 2% 77%  
452 3% 76%  
453 4% 73%  
454 3% 68%  
455 3% 65%  
456 6% 62%  
457 4% 56% Median
458 7% 52%  
459 5% 44%  
460 2% 39%  
461 14% 37%  
462 2% 24%  
463 2% 22%  
464 4% 20%  
465 1.4% 16%  
466 3% 15%  
467 2% 12%  
468 2% 10%  
469 2% 8%  
470 1.3% 7%  
471 0.7% 5%  
472 2% 5%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.6% 2%  
475 0.6% 2%  
476 0.2% 1.0%  
477 0.3% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0% 0.4%  
480 0.2% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
392 0.1% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.2% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.3% Last Result
400 0.3% 99.2%  
401 0.4% 98.9%  
402 0.2% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 2% 98%  
405 2% 96%  
406 0.5% 95%  
407 1.0% 94%  
408 3% 93%  
409 5% 90%  
410 0.7% 85%  
411 2% 85%  
412 10% 83%  
413 3% 73%  
414 0.6% 70%  
415 3% 69%  
416 7% 66%  
417 5% 59%  
418 3% 55%  
419 3% 51% Median
420 2% 48%  
421 4% 46%  
422 8% 42%  
423 4% 35%  
424 2% 31%  
425 1.3% 29%  
426 2% 27%  
427 11% 26%  
428 0.3% 15%  
429 1.2% 14%  
430 1.1% 13%  
431 2% 12%  
432 1.4% 10%  
433 0.9% 9%  
434 0.9% 8%  
435 1.2% 7%  
436 1.3% 6%  
437 0.3% 5%  
438 0.3% 4%  
439 0.4% 4%  
440 0.2% 4%  
441 0.2% 4%  
442 0.4% 3%  
443 0.2% 3%  
444 0% 3%  
445 0.1% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.2% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0% 2%  
452 0% 2%  
453 1.4% 2%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0% 0.5%  
456 0.2% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.3%  
458 0% 0.3%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0.1% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0.1% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.3% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.3%  
392 0.4% 99.1%  
393 0.3% 98.7%  
394 0.5% 98%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.5% 97%  
397 2% 97%  
398 3% 95%  
399 3% 92%  
400 2% 88%  
401 1.1% 87%  
402 3% 86%  
403 0.9% 83%  
404 3% 82%  
405 2% 79%  
406 5% 77%  
407 5% 72%  
408 2% 67%  
409 6% 65%  
410 4% 59%  
411 6% 55% Median
412 2% 49%  
413 3% 47%  
414 0.9% 44%  
415 8% 43%  
416 2% 35%  
417 3% 33%  
418 10% 30%  
419 3% 20%  
420 1.1% 17%  
421 1.4% 16%  
422 2% 14%  
423 2% 12%  
424 0.9% 10%  
425 1.0% 9%  
426 2% 8%  
427 0.8% 7%  
428 1.2% 6%  
429 0.2% 5%  
430 0.3% 4%  
431 0.3% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.1% 4%  
434 0.3% 3%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.2% 3%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0% 2%  
442 1.4% 2%  
443 0% 0.7%  
444 0.2% 0.6%  
445 0% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.4%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0.1% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0.1% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0.2% 99.6%  
385 0% 99.3%  
386 0.2% 99.3%  
387 0.4% 99.1%  
388 0.3% 98.7%  
389 0.1% 98%  
390 0.1% 98%  
391 0.6% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.1% 97%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.9% 97%  
396 1.0% 96%  
397 0.8% 95%  
398 2% 94%  
399 2% 92%  
400 4% 90%  
401 2% 86%  
402 0.8% 84%  
403 3% 83%  
404 2% 80%  
405 1.0% 78%  
406 6% 77%  
407 7% 71%  
408 0.9% 63%  
409 3% 62%  
410 6% 59%  
411 3% 53% Median
412 3% 50%  
413 4% 47%  
414 4% 42%  
415 14% 39%  
416 3% 25%  
417 1.5% 22%  
418 5% 21%  
419 1.2% 16%  
420 2% 15% Last Result
421 1.4% 13%  
422 1.2% 11%  
423 2% 10%  
424 2% 8%  
425 0.9% 6%  
426 0.9% 5%  
427 1.4% 4%  
428 0.5% 2%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.9% 2%  
431 0.1% 0.9%  
432 0.1% 0.7%  
433 0.2% 0.6%  
434 0.1% 0.4%  
435 0.2% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9% Last Result
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0.2% 99.9%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.3% 99.5%  
345 0.1% 99.2%  
346 0.1% 99.1%  
347 0.9% 99.1%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.9% 98%  
350 0.1% 97%  
351 0.5% 97%  
352 3% 96%  
353 1.3% 93%  
354 4% 92%  
355 0.8% 88% Majority
356 0.7% 87%  
357 5% 86%  
358 5% 82%  
359 4% 76%  
360 0.7% 73%  
361 0.8% 72%  
362 5% 71%  
363 9% 66%  
364 4% 57%  
365 0.8% 54% Median
366 3% 53%  
367 7% 50%  
368 4% 43%  
369 4% 39%  
370 2% 35%  
371 2% 33%  
372 11% 31%  
373 3% 19%  
374 1.1% 16%  
375 0.6% 15%  
376 2% 14%  
377 2% 13%  
378 2% 11%  
379 1.3% 9%  
380 0.4% 8%  
381 0.2% 7%  
382 1.1% 7%  
383 2% 6%  
384 0.4% 4%  
385 0% 4%  
386 0.6% 4%  
387 0.5% 3%  
388 0.3% 3%  
389 0.1% 3%  
390 0% 2%  
391 0.1% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.1% 2%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.1% 2%  
396 0% 2%  
397 0% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 1.4% 2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.2%  
402 0.1% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0.1% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.2% 99.8%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0.1% 99.6%  
309 0% 99.5%  
310 0.2% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.2%  
313 0.1% 99.1%  
314 0.1% 99.0%  
315 0.1% 98.9%  
316 0.3% 98.8%  
317 0% 98.5%  
318 0.3% 98.5%  
319 0.1% 98%  
320 0.2% 98%  
321 0.3% 98%  
322 0.3% 98%  
323 0.3% 97%  
324 0.3% 97%  
325 2% 97%  
326 0.6% 95% Last Result
327 0.8% 94%  
328 0.5% 93%  
329 0.2% 93%  
330 0.5% 93%  
331 4% 92%  
332 2% 89%  
333 1.1% 87%  
334 3% 86%  
335 4% 83%  
336 4% 79%  
337 3% 75%  
338 5% 72%  
339 4% 67%  
340 2% 63%  
341 8% 61%  
342 5% 53%  
343 2% 48% Median
344 6% 46%  
345 5% 41%  
346 2% 36%  
347 3% 34%  
348 10% 30%  
349 1.4% 21%  
350 1.1% 19%  
351 2% 18%  
352 4% 16%  
353 1.0% 12%  
354 2% 11%  
355 2% 9% Majority
356 1.2% 7%  
357 0.8% 6%  
358 2% 5%  
359 0.7% 3%  
360 0.6% 2%  
361 0.2% 1.3%  
362 0.2% 1.1%  
363 0.2% 0.8%  
364 0.1% 0.6%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.3%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0.1% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.2% 99.8%  
275 0.1% 99.7%  
276 0.2% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.4%  
278 0.1% 99.3%  
279 0.9% 99.1%  
280 0.2% 98%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 1.4% 98%  
283 0.9% 96%  
284 0.9% 95%  
285 2% 94%  
286 2% 92%  
287 1.2% 90%  
288 1.4% 89%  
289 2% 87% Last Result
290 1.2% 85%  
291 5% 84%  
292 1.5% 79%  
293 3% 78%  
294 14% 75%  
295 4% 61%  
296 4% 58%  
297 3% 53% Median
298 3% 50%  
299 6% 47%  
300 3% 41%  
301 0.9% 38%  
302 7% 37%  
303 6% 29%  
304 1.0% 23%  
305 2% 22%  
306 3% 20%  
307 0.8% 17%  
308 2% 16%  
309 4% 14%  
310 2% 10%  
311 2% 8%  
312 0.8% 6%  
313 1.0% 5%  
314 0.9% 4%  
315 0.5% 3%  
316 0.1% 3%  
317 0.4% 3%  
318 0.6% 2%  
319 0.1% 2%  
320 0.1% 2%  
321 0.3% 2%  
322 0.4% 1.3%  
323 0.2% 0.9%  
324 0% 0.7%  
325 0.2% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.4%  
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 1.4% 99.6%  
246 0% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0% 98%  
249 0% 98%  
250 0.2% 98%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0% 98%  
254 0.1% 97%  
255 0% 97%  
256 0% 97%  
257 0.1% 97%  
258 0.1% 97%  
259 0.1% 97%  
260 0.4% 97%  
261 0.2% 97%  
262 0.3% 96%  
263 0.5% 96%  
264 0.3% 96%  
265 0.9% 95%  
266 1.0% 95%  
267 0.5% 93%  
268 0.7% 93%  
269 0.4% 92%  
270 2% 92%  
271 0.8% 90%  
272 0.5% 90%  
273 2% 89%  
274 0.4% 87%  
275 6% 86%  
276 3% 80%  
277 1.0% 77%  
278 17% 76%  
279 1.0% 59%  
280 5% 58%  
281 5% 53%  
282 3% 48% Median
283 3% 46%  
284 3% 43%  
285 6% 40%  
286 3% 35%  
287 2% 32%  
288 8% 30%  
289 1.2% 22%  
290 5% 21%  
291 4% 16%  
292 0.9% 12%  
293 5% 11%  
294 0.4% 7%  
295 1.0% 6%  
296 2% 5%  
297 0.2% 4%  
298 1.0% 3%  
299 0.3% 2%  
300 0.2% 2% Last Result
301 0.9% 2%  
302 0.1% 1.0%  
303 0.3% 0.9%  
304 0.3% 0.6%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.3%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0.1% 99.9%  
213 0.1% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.8%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0.2% 99.7%  
217 0.2% 99.5%  
218 0.1% 99.3%  
219 1.4% 99.2%  
220 0.2% 98% Last Result
221 0.7% 98%  
222 0.5% 97%  
223 0.4% 96%  
224 2% 96%  
225 1.3% 94%  
226 3% 93%  
227 1.5% 90%  
228 0.8% 88%  
229 4% 88%  
230 4% 83%  
231 3% 80%  
232 5% 76%  
233 5% 71%  
234 2% 66%  
235 12% 64%  
236 5% 52% Median
237 3% 47%  
238 2% 45%  
239 4% 43%  
240 6% 39%  
241 6% 33%  
242 7% 27%  
243 2% 20%  
244 2% 19%  
245 2% 17%  
246 1.5% 14%  
247 4% 13%  
248 2% 9%  
249 2% 7%  
250 0.9% 5%  
251 0.9% 5%  
252 0.5% 4%  
253 0.5% 3%  
254 0.4% 3%  
255 0.3% 2%  
256 0.5% 2%  
257 0.1% 1.4%  
258 0.1% 1.3%  
259 0.2% 1.2%  
260 0.4% 1.0%  
261 0.2% 0.6%  
262 0.2% 0.4%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.2%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0.1% 99.8%  
165 0.4% 99.7%  
166 0.6% 99.2%  
167 0.5% 98.6%  
168 1.2% 98%  
169 1.0% 97%  
170 0.4% 96%  
171 2% 96%  
172 1.4% 94%  
173 2% 92%  
174 2% 90%  
175 2% 88%  
176 2% 87%  
177 4% 85%  
178 1.4% 81%  
179 5% 80%  
180 8% 75%  
181 14% 66%  
182 4% 52%  
183 4% 48% Median
184 4% 44%  
185 2% 40%  
186 3% 38%  
187 2% 35%  
188 8% 34%  
189 2% 26%  
190 5% 24%  
191 2% 19%  
192 5% 17%  
193 4% 11%  
194 0.6% 8%  
195 2% 7%  
196 0.9% 5%  
197 0.4% 4%  
198 1.0% 4%  
199 0.3% 3%  
200 0.5% 2%  
201 0.5% 2%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.3%  
204 0.6% 1.0%  
205 0.2% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0.1% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0% 99.6%  
126 0.4% 99.6%  
127 0.2% 99.2%  
128 1.4% 99.0%  
129 0% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0% 98%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0% 97%  
138 0% 97%  
139 0% 97%  
140 0% 97%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.1% 97%  
144 0% 96%  
145 0% 96%  
146 0% 96%  
147 0.2% 96%  
148 0.1% 96%  
149 0% 96%  
150 0.2% 96%  
151 0.1% 96%  
152 0.4% 96%  
153 0.2% 95%  
154 0.7% 95%  
155 0.4% 95%  
156 2% 94%  
157 1.4% 92%  
158 0.4% 91%  
159 4% 90%  
160 3% 86%  
161 5% 83%  
162 3% 78%  
163 5% 75%  
164 3% 70%  
165 10% 67%  
166 4% 57%  
167 2% 53%  
168 3% 51% Median
169 5% 48%  
170 3% 43%  
171 5% 40%  
172 6% 35%  
173 5% 28%  
174 5% 24%  
175 4% 19%  
176 5% 15%  
177 2% 9%  
178 2% 8%  
179 1.1% 6%  
180 1.4% 5%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.6% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.5% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.2%  
186 0.1% 0.9%  
187 0.3% 0.7%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations