Opinion Poll by GMS, 20–27 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.1–32.9% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 233 219–248 215–254 212–257 205–265
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 121 110–132 106–136 104–139 99–146
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 121 110–132 107–136 104–139 99–145
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 67–85 64–88 62–91 58–96
Die Linke 69 61 52–69 50–72 49–74 45–79
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 54 47–62 44–65 43–67 39–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–61

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.7%  
205 0.2% 99.6%  
206 0.1% 99.5%  
207 0.2% 99.4%  
208 0.3% 99.1%  
209 0.2% 98.9%  
210 0.5% 98.6%  
211 0.4% 98%  
212 0.7% 98%  
213 0.7% 97%  
214 0.6% 96%  
215 1.1% 96%  
216 0.9% 95%  
217 1.5% 94%  
218 2% 92%  
219 1.4% 90%  
220 2% 89%  
221 2% 87%  
222 2% 85%  
223 3% 83%  
224 2% 80%  
225 3% 78%  
226 3% 75%  
227 2% 72%  
228 6% 70%  
229 3% 65%  
230 3% 62%  
231 4% 59%  
232 3% 55%  
233 4% 52% Median
234 3% 48%  
235 3% 45%  
236 4% 42%  
237 3% 38%  
238 4% 34%  
239 2% 30%  
240 3% 28%  
241 2% 25%  
242 1.4% 23%  
243 2% 21%  
244 2% 19%  
245 3% 17%  
246 2% 14%  
247 2% 12%  
248 0.8% 11%  
249 1.2% 10%  
250 0.5% 9%  
251 1.0% 8%  
252 0.9% 7%  
253 1.0% 6%  
254 1.0% 5%  
255 0.7% 4%  
256 0.8% 4%  
257 0.3% 3%  
258 0.2% 2%  
259 0.2% 2%  
260 0.2% 2%  
261 0.3% 2%  
262 0.3% 2%  
263 0.4% 1.2%  
264 0.2% 0.8%  
265 0.2% 0.7%  
266 0.1% 0.5%  
267 0% 0.4%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0% 0.3%  
270 0.1% 0.3%  
271 0% 0.3%  
272 0.1% 0.2%  
273 0.1% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.3% 99.5%  
101 0.4% 99.2%  
102 0.4% 98.8%  
103 0.7% 98%  
104 0.6% 98%  
105 1.0% 97%  
106 1.2% 96%  
107 1.4% 95%  
108 1.4% 94%  
109 1.4% 92%  
110 2% 91%  
111 2% 89%  
112 3% 86%  
113 3% 83%  
114 4% 80%  
115 3% 76%  
116 5% 73%  
117 3% 68%  
118 6% 65%  
119 5% 59%  
120 4% 54%  
121 4% 50% Median
122 4% 46%  
123 5% 43%  
124 4% 38%  
125 4% 34%  
126 4% 30%  
127 4% 27%  
128 3% 23%  
129 4% 20%  
130 2% 16%  
131 3% 14%  
132 2% 12%  
133 2% 9%  
134 1.3% 8%  
135 0.7% 6%  
136 1.1% 6%  
137 0.6% 4%  
138 0.7% 4%  
139 0.7% 3%  
140 0.5% 2%  
141 0.4% 2%  
142 0.4% 2%  
143 0.3% 1.2%  
144 0.2% 0.9%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.6%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1% Last Result
154 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.2% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.2% 99.4%  
101 0.3% 99.2%  
102 0.4% 98.9%  
103 0.5% 98.5%  
104 1.0% 98%  
105 0.8% 97%  
106 1.0% 96%  
107 2% 95%  
108 2% 94%  
109 2% 92%  
110 2% 90%  
111 3% 88%  
112 2% 85%  
113 4% 83%  
114 4% 79%  
115 3% 76%  
116 5% 73%  
117 4% 68%  
118 3% 64%  
119 7% 61%  
120 4% 55%  
121 4% 51% Median
122 5% 47%  
123 4% 41%  
124 2% 37%  
125 5% 35%  
126 5% 30%  
127 2% 25%  
128 3% 23%  
129 3% 20%  
130 2% 17%  
131 2% 14%  
132 2% 12%  
133 1.1% 10%  
134 2% 9%  
135 1.4% 7%  
136 0.9% 5%  
137 1.0% 5%  
138 0.9% 4%  
139 0.4% 3%  
140 0.6% 2%  
141 0.3% 2%  
142 0.1% 1.4%  
143 0.2% 1.3%  
144 0.4% 1.1%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0.1% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.3% 99.5%  
60 0.4% 99.1%  
61 0.8% 98.7%  
62 0.8% 98%  
63 0.9% 97%  
64 2% 96%  
65 2% 95%  
66 2% 93%  
67 3% 91%  
68 4% 88%  
69 3% 84%  
70 4% 81%  
71 4% 77%  
72 5% 73%  
73 6% 68%  
74 6% 62%  
75 5% 56%  
76 6% 51% Median
77 5% 45%  
78 4% 40%  
79 6% 36%  
80 4% 30%  
81 4% 26%  
82 4% 21%  
83 3% 17%  
84 3% 14%  
85 2% 12%  
86 2% 9%  
87 1.4% 7%  
88 1.4% 6%  
89 0.8% 4%  
90 0.7% 3%  
91 0.7% 3%  
92 0.5% 2%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
95 0.2% 0.9%  
96 0.2% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.3% 99.7%  
46 0.4% 99.4%  
47 0.7% 99.1%  
48 0.9% 98%  
49 0.9% 98%  
50 2% 97%  
51 2% 95%  
52 3% 93%  
53 3% 90%  
54 4% 87%  
55 3% 83%  
56 5% 80%  
57 7% 74%  
58 6% 67%  
59 5% 62%  
60 6% 57%  
61 6% 51% Median
62 7% 45%  
63 5% 38%  
64 4% 33%  
65 5% 28%  
66 4% 23%  
67 4% 19%  
68 3% 15%  
69 2% 12% Last Result
70 2% 10%  
71 2% 8%  
72 2% 6%  
73 1.0% 4%  
74 0.6% 3%  
75 0.6% 2%  
76 0.5% 2%  
77 0.5% 1.4%  
78 0.2% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.2% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.4%  
41 0.7% 99.0%  
42 0.8% 98%  
43 1.3% 98%  
44 1.4% 96%  
45 2% 95%  
46 3% 93% Last Result
47 3% 90%  
48 5% 87%  
49 6% 83%  
50 6% 77%  
51 7% 71%  
52 8% 64%  
53 6% 57%  
54 7% 50% Median
55 6% 44%  
56 5% 38%  
57 5% 33%  
58 4% 28%  
59 4% 24%  
60 3% 19%  
61 4% 16%  
62 3% 12%  
63 2% 9%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 5%  
66 1.0% 4%  
67 0.8% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.4%  
70 0.3% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 0% 92%  
7 0% 92%  
8 0% 92%  
9 0% 92%  
10 0% 92%  
11 0% 92%  
12 0% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 0% 92%  
15 0% 92%  
16 0% 92%  
17 0% 92%  
18 0% 92%  
19 0% 92%  
20 0% 92%  
21 0% 92%  
22 0% 92%  
23 0% 92%  
24 0% 92%  
25 0% 92%  
26 0% 92%  
27 0% 92%  
28 0% 92%  
29 0% 92%  
30 0% 92%  
31 0% 92%  
32 0% 92%  
33 0% 92%  
34 0% 92%  
35 0% 92%  
36 0% 92%  
37 0.1% 92%  
38 2% 92%  
39 4% 90%  
40 5% 86%  
41 5% 81%  
42 6% 76%  
43 7% 70%  
44 7% 63%  
45 7% 56% Median
46 7% 49%  
47 6% 42%  
48 6% 36%  
49 5% 30%  
50 5% 24%  
51 4% 19%  
52 4% 15%  
53 3% 11%  
54 2% 9%  
55 2% 6%  
56 2% 5%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 0.7% 2%  
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.3% 1.1%  
61 0.2% 0.7%  
62 0.2% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 527 100% 514–545 511–560 507–569 501–577
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 452 100% 436–466 431–470 427–474 416–481
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 452 100% 436–466 431–470 426–474 417–481
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 408 100% 393–425 388–433 385–441 377–453
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 408 100% 392–426 388–433 385–441 377–453
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 407 100% 390–422 385–426 379–430 368–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 363 74% 347–380 343–387 340–393 332–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 332 2% 314–347 307–351 300–354 288–361
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 302 0% 287–319 283–324 279–330 272–341
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 286 0% 268–301 259–305 252–309 241–316
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 242 0% 227–257 223–262 220–266 213–276
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 182 0% 169–195 165–200 162–203 156–211
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 165 0% 149–178 131–182 125–186 115–192

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 99.9%  
495 0% 99.9%  
496 0% 99.9%  
497 0.1% 99.8%  
498 0% 99.8%  
499 0.1% 99.7%  
500 0.1% 99.6%  
501 0.1% 99.5%  
502 0.2% 99.4%  
503 0.2% 99.2%  
504 0.3% 99.0%  
505 0.4% 98.7%  
506 0.5% 98%  
507 0.5% 98%  
508 0.6% 97%  
509 0.7% 97%  
510 0.8% 96%  
511 0.9% 95%  
512 2% 94%  
513 1.3% 93%  
514 2% 91%  
515 2% 90%  
516 2% 88%  
517 2% 86%  
518 2% 83%  
519 2% 81%  
520 3% 79%  
521 2% 76%  
522 3% 74%  
523 4% 70%  
524 4% 66%  
525 4% 62%  
526 4% 58%  
527 4% 54%  
528 4% 50%  
529 3% 46% Median
530 3% 43%  
531 4% 40%  
532 2% 36%  
533 3% 34%  
534 4% 31%  
535 3% 27%  
536 2% 24%  
537 2% 22%  
538 2% 20%  
539 1.3% 17%  
540 1.0% 16%  
541 1.5% 15%  
542 1.4% 14%  
543 1.0% 12%  
544 0.9% 11%  
545 0.6% 10%  
546 0.7% 10%  
547 0.4% 9%  
548 0.5% 9%  
549 0.3% 8%  
550 0.3% 8%  
551 0.4% 7%  
552 0.3% 7%  
553 0.2% 7%  
554 0.2% 7%  
555 0.1% 6%  
556 0.2% 6%  
557 0.4% 6%  
558 0.4% 6%  
559 0.2% 5%  
560 0.2% 5%  
561 0.5% 5%  
562 0.3% 4%  
563 0.3% 4%  
564 0.3% 4%  
565 0.3% 4%  
566 0.3% 3%  
567 0.1% 3%  
568 0.1% 3%  
569 0.5% 3%  
570 0.3% 2%  
571 0.4% 2%  
572 0.1% 1.4%  
573 0.2% 1.3%  
574 0.1% 1.1%  
575 0.3% 1.1%  
576 0.1% 0.8%  
577 0.2% 0.7%  
578 0.1% 0.5%  
579 0.1% 0.4%  
580 0.1% 0.3%  
581 0% 0.3%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0.1% 0.2%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0.1%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.4%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.3%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.1% 99.0%  
422 0.3% 98.8%  
423 0.3% 98.6%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.3% 98%  
427 0.4% 98%  
428 0.7% 97%  
429 0.5% 96%  
430 0.6% 96%  
431 0.5% 95%  
432 0.5% 95%  
433 0.9% 94%  
434 1.2% 93%  
435 2% 92%  
436 1.3% 90%  
437 1.1% 89%  
438 1.2% 88%  
439 1.3% 87%  
440 3% 85%  
441 3% 83%  
442 3% 80%  
443 3% 77%  
444 2% 74%  
445 2% 72%  
446 2% 70%  
447 3% 68%  
448 5% 65%  
449 4% 60%  
450 3% 56%  
451 2% 54%  
452 2% 52%  
453 3% 49% Median
454 5% 46%  
455 4% 41%  
456 4% 37%  
457 1.3% 33%  
458 2% 31%  
459 3% 30%  
460 3% 27%  
461 5% 24%  
462 2% 19%  
463 3% 17%  
464 1.2% 14%  
465 1.0% 13%  
466 2% 12%  
467 2% 10%  
468 2% 8%  
469 1.3% 6%  
470 0.6% 5%  
471 0.5% 5%  
472 0.7% 4%  
473 0.6% 3%  
474 0.9% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.4% 2%  
477 0.1% 1.2%  
478 0.1% 1.1%  
479 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
480 0.2% 0.7%  
481 0.2% 0.5%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.2% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.3%  
419 0.2% 99.2%  
420 0.1% 99.1%  
421 0.3% 98.9%  
422 0.2% 98.7%  
423 0.2% 98.5%  
424 0.3% 98%  
425 0.3% 98%  
426 0.3% 98%  
427 0.4% 97%  
428 0.4% 97%  
429 0.6% 97%  
430 0.7% 96%  
431 0.7% 95%  
432 0.8% 95%  
433 0.8% 94%  
434 1.0% 93%  
435 1.1% 92%  
436 2% 91%  
437 1.3% 89%  
438 2% 88%  
439 2% 86%  
440 2% 85%  
441 2% 83%  
442 2% 81%  
443 3% 79%  
444 3% 76%  
445 3% 73%  
446 4% 70%  
447 3% 67%  
448 3% 63%  
449 4% 60%  
450 3% 56%  
451 3% 54%  
452 4% 50%  
453 3% 47% Median
454 3% 44%  
455 3% 41%  
456 3% 38%  
457 3% 35%  
458 4% 32%  
459 4% 28%  
460 2% 24%  
461 2% 22%  
462 1.4% 19%  
463 3% 18%  
464 2% 15%  
465 1.5% 13%  
466 2% 11%  
467 1.5% 10%  
468 1.1% 8%  
469 1.3% 7%  
470 0.9% 6%  
471 1.0% 5%  
472 0.7% 4%  
473 0.5% 3%  
474 0.4% 3%  
475 0.4% 2%  
476 0.4% 2%  
477 0.3% 1.4%  
478 0.2% 1.1%  
479 0.1% 0.8%  
480 0.1% 0.7%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.1% 99.5%  
379 0.2% 99.3%  
380 0.3% 99.2%  
381 0.3% 98.9%  
382 0.2% 98.6%  
383 0.4% 98%  
384 0.4% 98%  
385 0.6% 98%  
386 0.8% 97%  
387 0.6% 96%  
388 1.0% 96%  
389 0.8% 95%  
390 0.9% 94%  
391 2% 93%  
392 1.1% 91%  
393 2% 90%  
394 2% 88%  
395 2% 86%  
396 2% 85%  
397 2% 83%  
398 3% 80%  
399 3% 77%  
400 3% 74%  
401 3% 71%  
402 2% 68%  
403 3% 66%  
404 3% 63%  
405 3% 60%  
406 4% 57%  
407 3% 53%  
408 3% 50% Median
409 4% 47%  
410 4% 43%  
411 2% 40%  
412 4% 37%  
413 2% 33%  
414 3% 31%  
415 3% 29%  
416 2% 26%  
417 2% 24%  
418 2% 22%  
419 2% 20%  
420 2% 18%  
421 2% 16%  
422 1.4% 14%  
423 1.0% 13%  
424 1.0% 12%  
425 0.8% 11%  
426 0.9% 10%  
427 0.7% 9%  
428 0.7% 8%  
429 0.8% 8%  
430 0.6% 7%  
431 0.5% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.3% 5%  
434 0.4% 5%  
435 0.3% 5%  
436 0.4% 4%  
437 0.2% 4%  
438 0.3% 4%  
439 0.5% 3%  
440 0.4% 3%  
441 0.3% 3%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.3% 2%  
444 0.2% 2%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.1% 1.4%  
447 0.3% 1.3%  
448 0.1% 1.0%  
449 0.2% 0.9%  
450 0.1% 0.8%  
451 0.1% 0.7%  
452 0.1% 0.6%  
453 0.2% 0.6%  
454 0% 0.4%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.1% 99.5%  
379 0.2% 99.4%  
380 0.2% 99.2%  
381 0.3% 99.0%  
382 0.3% 98.7%  
383 0.4% 98%  
384 0.5% 98%  
385 0.5% 98%  
386 0.7% 97%  
387 0.7% 96%  
388 0.7% 96%  
389 1.2% 95%  
390 1.1% 94%  
391 2% 93%  
392 1.0% 91%  
393 1.4% 90%  
394 2% 89%  
395 2% 87%  
396 2% 84%  
397 2% 82%  
398 3% 80%  
399 2% 77% Last Result
400 3% 75%  
401 3% 72%  
402 2% 69%  
403 3% 66%  
404 3% 63%  
405 4% 60%  
406 3% 56%  
407 3% 53%  
408 4% 50% Median
409 3% 46%  
410 4% 44%  
411 2% 40%  
412 3% 37%  
413 2% 34%  
414 3% 32%  
415 2% 29%  
416 2% 26%  
417 3% 24%  
418 2% 22%  
419 2% 20%  
420 2% 18%  
421 1.2% 16%  
422 1.4% 15%  
423 2% 13%  
424 0.8% 12%  
425 0.9% 11%  
426 0.8% 10%  
427 0.9% 9%  
428 0.8% 8%  
429 0.7% 8%  
430 0.5% 7%  
431 0.5% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.5% 5%  
434 0.4% 5%  
435 0.6% 5%  
436 0.3% 4%  
437 0.2% 4%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.4% 3%  
440 0.3% 3%  
441 0.5% 3%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.3% 2%  
444 0.1% 2%  
445 0.1% 1.4%  
446 0.1% 1.3%  
447 0.2% 1.3%  
448 0.2% 1.0%  
449 0.1% 0.8%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.4%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.2%  
461 0.1% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0.1% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.5%  
370 0.2% 99.4%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.1% 99.1%  
373 0.2% 99.0%  
374 0.1% 98.8%  
375 0.2% 98.7%  
376 0.1% 98.5%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.3% 98%  
379 0.5% 98%  
380 0.4% 97%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.5% 97%  
383 0.4% 96%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 0.7% 95%  
386 0.6% 94%  
387 0.9% 94%  
388 0.8% 93%  
389 0.7% 92%  
390 1.4% 91%  
391 1.3% 90%  
392 1.1% 89%  
393 2% 88%  
394 2% 85%  
395 2% 84%  
396 2% 82%  
397 2% 79%  
398 2% 77%  
399 3% 75%  
400 3% 72%  
401 2% 68%  
402 3% 66%  
403 3% 63%  
404 3% 60%  
405 3% 57%  
406 2% 54%  
407 4% 52%  
408 3% 48% Median
409 3% 45%  
410 4% 42%  
411 3% 38%  
412 3% 35%  
413 4% 32%  
414 3% 29%  
415 4% 26%  
416 1.3% 23%  
417 3% 21%  
418 3% 18%  
419 2% 16%  
420 2% 14% Last Result
421 2% 12%  
422 1.5% 10%  
423 0.9% 9%  
424 2% 8%  
425 0.8% 6%  
426 0.8% 5%  
427 0.8% 5%  
428 0.7% 4%  
429 0.6% 3%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.4% 2%  
432 0.4% 2%  
433 0.3% 1.4%  
434 0.2% 1.1%  
435 0.2% 0.9%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0.1% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.7%  
332 0.2% 99.6%  
333 0.1% 99.5%  
334 0.2% 99.3%  
335 0.2% 99.2%  
336 0.2% 98.9%  
337 0.3% 98.7%  
338 0.3% 98%  
339 0.5% 98%  
340 0.5% 98% Last Result
341 0.7% 97%  
342 0.8% 96%  
343 1.0% 96%  
344 1.0% 95%  
345 1.1% 93%  
346 1.0% 92%  
347 2% 91%  
348 2% 90%  
349 1.3% 88%  
350 3% 87%  
351 2% 84%  
352 2% 82%  
353 3% 80%  
354 3% 77%  
355 2% 74% Majority
356 4% 72%  
357 3% 68%  
358 2% 66%  
359 3% 63%  
360 3% 60%  
361 4% 57%  
362 3% 54%  
363 3% 50% Median
364 4% 47%  
365 3% 43%  
366 3% 41%  
367 3% 37%  
368 2% 35%  
369 3% 33%  
370 3% 30%  
371 3% 27%  
372 2% 24%  
373 3% 22%  
374 2% 20%  
375 2% 18%  
376 2% 16%  
377 1.2% 15%  
378 1.5% 14%  
379 1.2% 12%  
380 0.9% 11%  
381 0.9% 10%  
382 1.0% 9%  
383 0.8% 8%  
384 0.9% 7%  
385 0.5% 6%  
386 0.7% 6%  
387 0.4% 5%  
388 0.5% 5%  
389 0.3% 4%  
390 0.5% 4%  
391 0.3% 4%  
392 0.5% 3%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.1% 2%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.1% 2%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.2% 1.3%  
400 0.2% 1.2%  
401 0.2% 1.0%  
402 0.1% 0.8%  
403 0.1% 0.7%  
404 0.1% 0.6%  
405 0.1% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0% 0.3%  
408 0.1% 0.3%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.2%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.6%  
288 0.2% 99.6%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0.1% 99.4%  
291 0.1% 99.2%  
292 0.1% 99.1%  
293 0.1% 99.1%  
294 0.1% 98.9%  
295 0.3% 98.8%  
296 0.1% 98.6%  
297 0.4% 98%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 0.2% 98%  
301 0.3% 97%  
302 0.4% 97%  
303 0.3% 97%  
304 0.4% 96%  
305 0.3% 96%  
306 0.3% 96%  
307 0.5% 95%  
308 0.6% 95%  
309 0.5% 94%  
310 0.8% 94%  
311 0.7% 93%  
312 0.9% 92%  
313 0.9% 91%  
314 1.1% 90%  
315 2% 89%  
316 0.9% 88%  
317 1.5% 87%  
318 2% 85%  
319 2% 84%  
320 2% 81%  
321 1.4% 79%  
322 3% 78%  
323 2% 75%  
324 3% 73%  
325 3% 70%  
326 3% 68% Last Result
327 3% 65%  
328 3% 62%  
329 3% 59%  
330 3% 56%  
331 3% 53%  
332 5% 50% Median
333 2% 45%  
334 3% 43%  
335 4% 40%  
336 3% 36%  
337 3% 32%  
338 3% 29%  
339 2% 27%  
340 3% 25%  
341 2% 21%  
342 3% 19%  
343 1.4% 16%  
344 2% 15%  
345 1.5% 13%  
346 1.1% 11%  
347 2% 10%  
348 1.2% 9%  
349 1.2% 8%  
350 0.9% 6%  
351 0.7% 5%  
352 1.0% 5%  
353 0.7% 4%  
354 0.7% 3%  
355 0.3% 2% Majority
356 0.4% 2%  
357 0.4% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.3%  
359 0.2% 1.1%  
360 0.2% 0.9%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.5%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0.1% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.8%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.2% 99.4%  
275 0.2% 99.1%  
276 0.3% 98.9%  
277 0.4% 98.6%  
278 0.4% 98%  
279 0.5% 98%  
280 0.6% 97%  
281 0.7% 97%  
282 0.8% 96%  
283 0.8% 95%  
284 0.8% 95%  
285 2% 94%  
286 0.9% 92%  
287 1.5% 91%  
288 2% 90%  
289 2% 88% Last Result
290 2% 86%  
291 3% 84%  
292 3% 82%  
293 1.3% 79%  
294 4% 77%  
295 3% 74%  
296 4% 71%  
297 3% 68%  
298 3% 65%  
299 4% 62%  
300 3% 58%  
301 3% 55%  
302 4% 52%  
303 2% 48% Median
304 3% 46%  
305 3% 43%  
306 3% 40%  
307 3% 37%  
308 2% 34%  
309 3% 32%  
310 3% 28%  
311 2% 25%  
312 2% 23%  
313 2% 21%  
314 2% 18%  
315 2% 16%  
316 2% 15%  
317 1.1% 12%  
318 1.3% 11%  
319 1.4% 10%  
320 0.7% 9%  
321 0.8% 8%  
322 0.9% 7%  
323 0.6% 6%  
324 0.7% 6%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.4% 4%  
327 0.5% 4%  
328 0.3% 3%  
329 0.4% 3%  
330 0.5% 3%  
331 0.3% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.1% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.5%  
335 0.1% 1.3%  
336 0.2% 1.2%  
337 0.1% 1.0%  
338 0.2% 0.9%  
339 0.2% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.6%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0.2% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.2%  
244 0.1% 99.1%  
245 0.1% 99.0%  
246 0.1% 98.9%  
247 0.2% 98.7%  
248 0.1% 98.6%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.3% 98%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.4% 98%  
253 0.2% 97%  
254 0.4% 97%  
255 0.3% 97%  
256 0.4% 96%  
257 0.4% 96%  
258 0.4% 96%  
259 0.3% 95%  
260 0.4% 95%  
261 0.5% 95%  
262 0.4% 94%  
263 0.6% 94%  
264 0.6% 93%  
265 0.8% 92%  
266 0.7% 92%  
267 0.7% 91%  
268 0.9% 90%  
269 0.9% 89%  
270 0.9% 88%  
271 1.4% 88%  
272 3% 86%  
273 2% 84%  
274 1.4% 82%  
275 2% 81%  
276 2% 78%  
277 2% 77%  
278 3% 75%  
279 2% 72%  
280 3% 70%  
281 3% 67%  
282 4% 65%  
283 3% 60%  
284 2% 57%  
285 4% 56%  
286 3% 52%  
287 4% 49% Median
288 5% 45%  
289 3% 40%  
290 2% 37%  
291 3% 35%  
292 4% 32%  
293 2% 28%  
294 3% 26%  
295 3% 24%  
296 3% 21%  
297 2% 19%  
298 2% 16%  
299 1.5% 14%  
300 1.3% 12% Last Result
301 1.4% 11%  
302 2% 10%  
303 2% 8%  
304 1.0% 6%  
305 0.6% 5%  
306 0.9% 5%  
307 0.6% 4%  
308 0.5% 3%  
309 0.6% 3%  
310 0.4% 2%  
311 0.3% 2%  
312 0.4% 1.5%  
313 0.2% 1.0%  
314 0.2% 0.8%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0.1% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 99.9%  
208 0% 99.9%  
209 0.1% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.8%  
211 0.1% 99.8%  
212 0.1% 99.7%  
213 0.1% 99.6%  
214 0.2% 99.5%  
215 0.2% 99.3%  
216 0.2% 99.1%  
217 0.4% 98.9%  
218 0.3% 98.5%  
219 0.6% 98%  
220 0.5% 98% Last Result
221 0.7% 97%  
222 0.6% 96%  
223 0.9% 96%  
224 1.1% 95%  
225 1.4% 94%  
226 1.3% 92%  
227 2% 91%  
228 1.5% 89%  
229 2% 88%  
230 2% 86%  
231 3% 84%  
232 2% 81%  
233 2% 78%  
234 3% 76%  
235 3% 73%  
236 3% 70%  
237 3% 67%  
238 4% 64%  
239 4% 61%  
240 3% 57%  
241 3% 54%  
242 4% 50% Median
243 4% 47%  
244 3% 43%  
245 3% 39%  
246 3% 37%  
247 3% 34%  
248 3% 31%  
249 2% 27%  
250 3% 25%  
251 2% 22%  
252 3% 21%  
253 2% 18%  
254 2% 16%  
255 2% 14%  
256 1.4% 12%  
257 2% 11%  
258 1.2% 9%  
259 1.0% 8%  
260 1.1% 7%  
261 0.7% 6%  
262 0.8% 5%  
263 0.6% 4%  
264 0.5% 4%  
265 0.5% 3%  
266 0.3% 3%  
267 0.4% 2%  
268 0.3% 2%  
269 0.3% 2%  
270 0.2% 1.5%  
271 0.2% 1.3%  
272 0.2% 1.1%  
273 0.2% 0.9%  
274 0.1% 0.8%  
275 0.1% 0.6%  
276 0.1% 0.6%  
277 0.1% 0.5%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.2%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0.2% 99.4%  
158 0.3% 99.2%  
159 0.3% 98.9%  
160 0.5% 98.6%  
161 0.3% 98%  
162 0.7% 98%  
163 0.7% 97%  
164 0.9% 96%  
165 1.1% 95%  
166 1.3% 94%  
167 1.4% 93%  
168 1.3% 92%  
169 1.4% 90%  
170 3% 89%  
171 2% 86%  
172 3% 84%  
173 3% 81%  
174 3% 78%  
175 4% 75%  
176 4% 71%  
177 4% 68%  
178 4% 64%  
179 3% 60%  
180 3% 57%  
181 4% 54%  
182 3% 50% Median
183 5% 47%  
184 3% 42%  
185 3% 39%  
186 4% 36%  
187 3% 32%  
188 2% 29%  
189 3% 27%  
190 4% 23%  
191 2% 20%  
192 3% 17%  
193 2% 15%  
194 2% 13%  
195 2% 11%  
196 1.4% 9%  
197 1.3% 8%  
198 0.8% 6%  
199 0.5% 6%  
200 1.0% 5%  
201 0.5% 4%  
202 0.5% 4%  
203 0.7% 3%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.2% 1.5%  
208 0.3% 1.3%  
209 0.2% 1.0%  
210 0.1% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0% 0.5%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.2% 99.6%  
116 0.2% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.2%  
118 0.2% 99.1%  
119 0.1% 99.0%  
120 0.2% 98.8%  
121 0.2% 98.7%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.2% 98%  
125 0.3% 98%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.4% 97%  
128 0.4% 96%  
129 0.3% 96%  
130 0.2% 96%  
131 0.5% 95%  
132 0.3% 95%  
133 0.2% 95%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 0.1% 94%  
136 0.2% 94%  
137 0.1% 94%  
138 0.2% 94%  
139 0.2% 94%  
140 0.2% 93%  
141 0.2% 93%  
142 0.3% 93%  
143 0.2% 93%  
144 0.3% 93%  
145 0.4% 92%  
146 0.5% 92%  
147 0.6% 91%  
148 0.5% 91%  
149 0.6% 90%  
150 1.1% 90%  
151 1.0% 89%  
152 1.5% 88%  
153 1.3% 86%  
154 1.1% 85%  
155 2% 84%  
156 2% 82%  
157 1.4% 80%  
158 2% 79%  
159 4% 77%  
160 3% 72%  
161 4% 69%  
162 3% 65%  
163 6% 62%  
164 3% 55%  
165 3% 52%  
166 3% 49% Median
167 3% 46%  
168 3% 43%  
169 4% 41%  
170 4% 37%  
171 4% 33%  
172 3% 29%  
173 4% 25%  
174 2% 22%  
175 2% 19%  
176 3% 17%  
177 2% 14%  
178 2% 12%  
179 2% 10%  
180 2% 8%  
181 1.4% 7%  
182 0.9% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.6% 4%  
185 0.5% 3%  
186 0.4% 3%  
187 0.6% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.3% 1.3%  
190 0.3% 1.0%  
191 0.2% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations