Opinion Poll by Infratest dimap, 12–13 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.3% 28.2–33.7% 27.4–34.6%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.1–21.2%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.3% 12.4–18.0%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.6–11.6% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.3%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.3–8.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 233 219–248 216–253 212–257 206–267
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 136 125–148 122–151 119–155 114–161
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 113 103–124 100–128 98–131 93–137
Alternative für Deutschland 94 76 67–85 64–88 63–90 59–95
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 53 47–63 45–65 42–66 40–70
Die Linke 69 53 46–61 44–63 42–66 39–70
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 45 39–53 0–55 0–57 0–60

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
199 0% 100%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0.1% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.6%  
207 0.2% 99.5%  
208 0.2% 99.3%  
209 0.2% 99.1%  
210 0.4% 98.9%  
211 0.4% 98%  
212 0.5% 98%  
213 0.7% 97%  
214 0.7% 97%  
215 0.8% 96%  
216 1.3% 95%  
217 1.0% 94%  
218 1.4% 93%  
219 2% 92%  
220 2% 90%  
221 2% 88%  
222 2% 86%  
223 2% 84%  
224 3% 81%  
225 2% 79%  
226 3% 76%  
227 3% 73%  
228 3% 70%  
229 4% 67%  
230 4% 63%  
231 3% 59%  
232 5% 56%  
233 3% 52% Median
234 4% 48%  
235 3% 44%  
236 3% 42%  
237 4% 38%  
238 3% 35%  
239 4% 32%  
240 3% 28%  
241 3% 25%  
242 2% 22%  
243 2% 20%  
244 2% 18%  
245 2% 16%  
246 1.1% 14%  
247 2% 13%  
248 2% 11%  
249 2% 9%  
250 0.8% 8%  
251 1.1% 7%  
252 0.8% 6%  
253 0.5% 5%  
254 0.6% 5%  
255 0.6% 4%  
256 0.4% 3%  
257 0.5% 3%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.3% 2%  
260 0.4% 2%  
261 0.2% 1.3%  
262 0.2% 1.1%  
263 0.1% 1.0%  
264 0.1% 0.8%  
265 0.1% 0.7%  
266 0.1% 0.6%  
267 0.1% 0.5%  
268 0.1% 0.4%  
269 0% 0.3%  
270 0.1% 0.3%  
271 0% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.2% 99.6%  
115 0.2% 99.4%  
116 0.3% 99.2%  
117 0.4% 98.8%  
118 0.5% 98%  
119 0.8% 98%  
120 0.8% 97%  
121 1.1% 96%  
122 2% 95%  
123 2% 94%  
124 2% 92%  
125 3% 91%  
126 2% 88%  
127 3% 85%  
128 3% 82%  
129 3% 79%  
130 4% 76%  
131 5% 73%  
132 3% 67%  
133 5% 64%  
134 3% 60%  
135 4% 56%  
136 5% 52% Median
137 4% 47%  
138 4% 42%  
139 4% 38%  
140 3% 34%  
141 4% 31%  
142 4% 27%  
143 2% 23%  
144 4% 21%  
145 3% 17%  
146 2% 14%  
147 3% 13%  
148 1.4% 10%  
149 2% 9%  
150 2% 7%  
151 0.8% 6%  
152 0.7% 5%  
153 0.8% 4%  
154 0.5% 3%  
155 0.7% 3%  
156 0.4% 2%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.4% 1.4%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.2% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.4% 99.5%  
95 0.3% 99.1%  
96 0.5% 98.8%  
97 0.5% 98%  
98 0.8% 98%  
99 1.3% 97%  
100 1.1% 96%  
101 1.5% 95%  
102 2% 93%  
103 2% 91%  
104 3% 89%  
105 3% 86%  
106 3% 83%  
107 4% 80%  
108 3% 77%  
109 5% 74%  
110 5% 68%  
111 4% 64%  
112 5% 60%  
113 5% 55% Median
114 6% 49%  
115 4% 43%  
116 4% 40%  
117 5% 36%  
118 4% 31%  
119 4% 27%  
120 2% 23%  
121 2% 21%  
122 4% 18%  
123 3% 15%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.2% 10%  
126 1.1% 8%  
127 2% 7%  
128 1.3% 5%  
129 0.8% 4%  
130 0.5% 3%  
131 0.7% 3%  
132 0.5% 2%  
133 0.4% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.3%  
135 0.2% 1.0%  
136 0.2% 0.8%  
137 0.2% 0.6%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0% 0.2%  
141 0.1% 0.2%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.3% 99.6%  
60 0.3% 99.3%  
61 0.5% 99.0%  
62 0.7% 98.5%  
63 1.1% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 2% 95%  
66 2% 93%  
67 3% 91%  
68 4% 89%  
69 3% 85%  
70 4% 82%  
71 5% 77%  
72 5% 73%  
73 5% 67%  
74 7% 62%  
75 5% 56%  
76 7% 50% Median
77 5% 44%  
78 6% 39%  
79 4% 33%  
80 4% 29%  
81 4% 24%  
82 4% 20%  
83 3% 17%  
84 3% 13%  
85 2% 10%  
86 2% 8%  
87 1.3% 7%  
88 1.2% 5%  
89 1.1% 4%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 0.5% 2%  
92 0.4% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.2%  
94 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.5%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.7%  
40 0.6% 99.5%  
41 0.4% 98.9%  
42 1.2% 98%  
43 1.3% 97%  
44 0.9% 96%  
45 2% 95%  
46 1.2% 93% Last Result
47 2% 92%  
48 3% 90%  
49 6% 87%  
50 5% 81%  
51 11% 76%  
52 9% 65%  
53 8% 56% Median
54 11% 48%  
55 4% 37%  
56 7% 33%  
57 3% 27%  
58 3% 24%  
59 3% 21%  
60 2% 19%  
61 3% 16%  
62 3% 14%  
63 3% 11%  
64 1.5% 7%  
65 2% 6%  
66 1.2% 3%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.6% 1.3%  
69 0.2% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0% 99.8%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0% 99.8%  
19 0% 99.8%  
20 0% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0% 99.8%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.8%  
29 0% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.8%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 0.3% 99.7%  
40 0.4% 99.4%  
41 0.7% 99.0%  
42 1.0% 98%  
43 1.3% 97%  
44 2% 96%  
45 3% 94%  
46 4% 91%  
47 4% 87%  
48 5% 82%  
49 6% 77%  
50 6% 72%  
51 6% 66%  
52 6% 60%  
53 7% 54% Median
54 6% 47%  
55 7% 41%  
56 7% 34%  
57 5% 27%  
58 4% 23%  
59 4% 19%  
60 3% 15%  
61 3% 12%  
62 2% 9%  
63 2% 7%  
64 1.4% 5%  
65 1.0% 4%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.2%  
69 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
70 0.2% 0.6%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 0% 93%  
15 0% 93%  
16 0% 93%  
17 0% 93%  
18 0% 93%  
19 0% 93%  
20 0% 93%  
21 0% 93%  
22 0% 93%  
23 0% 93%  
24 0% 93%  
25 0% 93%  
26 0% 93%  
27 0% 93%  
28 0% 93%  
29 0% 93%  
30 0% 93%  
31 0% 93%  
32 0% 93%  
33 0% 93%  
34 0% 93%  
35 0% 93%  
36 0% 93%  
37 0% 93%  
38 3% 93%  
39 4% 90%  
40 4% 86%  
41 5% 82%  
42 8% 77%  
43 7% 69%  
44 9% 62%  
45 6% 53% Median
46 6% 47%  
47 7% 41%  
48 8% 34%  
49 5% 26%  
50 4% 21%  
51 4% 17%  
52 3% 13%  
53 3% 10%  
54 2% 7%  
55 1.2% 5%  
56 1.0% 4%  
57 1.1% 3%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.5% 1.2%  
60 0.3% 0.7%  
61 0.2% 0.5%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 536 100% 523–551 519–567 516–576 510–586
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 467 100% 452–480 448–485 443–488 433–495
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 445 100% 429–458 425–462 419–466 410–473
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 422 100% 409–440 404–448 401–456 394–467
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 400 100% 385–417 381–425 378–433 371–444
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 407 100% 391–421 385–426 380–429 370–437
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 362 74% 348–380 343–386 340–393 333–405
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 331 2% 314–346 308–350 302–354 289–361
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 302 0% 288–318 283–324 280–329 272–339
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 293 0% 276–308 270–312 262–316 248–323
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 249 0% 235–263 232–270 229–275 221–283
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 167 0% 154–180 151–184 148–187 141–194
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 158 0% 143–170 127–174 118–177 109–183

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 99.9%  
504 0% 99.9%  
505 0% 99.9%  
506 0% 99.9%  
507 0.1% 99.8%  
508 0.1% 99.7%  
509 0.1% 99.7%  
510 0.2% 99.5%  
511 0.2% 99.4%  
512 0.2% 99.2%  
513 0.3% 99.0%  
514 0.4% 98.7%  
515 0.5% 98%  
516 0.5% 98%  
517 0.8% 97%  
518 0.8% 97%  
519 0.9% 96%  
520 1.3% 95%  
521 2% 94%  
522 2% 92%  
523 2% 90%  
524 2% 89%  
525 2% 87%  
526 2% 85%  
527 3% 83%  
528 4% 79%  
529 2% 76%  
530 4% 74%  
531 4% 70%  
532 4% 65%  
533 2% 62%  
534 4% 59%  
535 4% 55% Median
536 5% 51%  
537 4% 46%  
538 3% 43%  
539 4% 39%  
540 3% 35%  
541 3% 31%  
542 3% 28%  
543 3% 26%  
544 3% 23%  
545 2% 20%  
546 2% 17%  
547 1.4% 15%  
548 1.5% 14%  
549 1.2% 12%  
550 0.7% 11%  
551 1.0% 11%  
552 0.8% 9%  
553 0.5% 9%  
554 0.5% 8%  
555 0.3% 8%  
556 0.3% 7%  
557 0.3% 7%  
558 0.2% 7%  
559 0.2% 7%  
560 0.2% 6%  
561 0.2% 6%  
562 0.3% 6%  
563 0.1% 6%  
564 0.2% 6%  
565 0.2% 5%  
566 0.2% 5%  
567 0.2% 5%  
568 0.3% 5%  
569 0.3% 5%  
570 0.3% 4%  
571 0.2% 4%  
572 0.2% 4%  
573 0.3% 4%  
574 0.3% 3%  
575 0.3% 3%  
576 0.3% 3%  
577 0.3% 2%  
578 0.1% 2%  
579 0.3% 2%  
580 0.1% 2%  
581 0.3% 2%  
582 0.2% 1.3%  
583 0.2% 1.1%  
584 0.1% 0.9%  
585 0.2% 0.8%  
586 0.1% 0.6%  
587 0% 0.5%  
588 0.1% 0.4%  
589 0.1% 0.3%  
590 0.1% 0.2%  
591 0% 0.2%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.5%  
434 0.1% 99.4%  
435 0.1% 99.4%  
436 0.1% 99.2%  
437 0.1% 99.1%  
438 0.3% 99.0%  
439 0.2% 98.7%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.3% 98%  
443 0.2% 98%  
444 0.7% 97%  
445 0.4% 97%  
446 0.7% 96%  
447 0.7% 96%  
448 0.8% 95%  
449 1.0% 94%  
450 1.0% 93%  
451 1.3% 92%  
452 1.3% 91%  
453 2% 90%  
454 1.4% 88%  
455 2% 86%  
456 2% 84%  
457 3% 82%  
458 4% 79%  
459 3% 76%  
460 2% 73%  
461 3% 71%  
462 2% 68%  
463 3% 66%  
464 4% 63%  
465 3% 58%  
466 4% 56%  
467 6% 52% Median
468 3% 46%  
469 3% 43%  
470 2% 40%  
471 4% 37%  
472 4% 33%  
473 3% 29%  
474 3% 26%  
475 2% 23%  
476 3% 21%  
477 2% 18%  
478 1.5% 17%  
479 3% 15%  
480 2% 12%  
481 1.4% 10%  
482 1.4% 8%  
483 0.9% 7%  
484 0.9% 6%  
485 1.1% 5%  
486 0.7% 4%  
487 0.8% 4%  
488 0.4% 3%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.3% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.2%  
493 0.3% 1.0%  
494 0.1% 0.7%  
495 0.2% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.2%  
414 0.2% 99.1%  
415 0.3% 98.9%  
416 0.2% 98.6%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.3% 98%  
419 0.4% 98%  
420 0.4% 97%  
421 0.4% 97%  
422 0.4% 97%  
423 0.6% 96%  
424 0.6% 96%  
425 1.0% 95%  
426 1.0% 94%  
427 1.2% 93%  
428 1.3% 92%  
429 1.2% 91%  
430 2% 89%  
431 1.3% 88%  
432 2% 86%  
433 2% 84%  
434 2% 83%  
435 4% 81%  
436 2% 77%  
437 4% 75%  
438 2% 71%  
439 2% 69%  
440 3% 67%  
441 4% 64%  
442 3% 59%  
443 3% 57%  
444 3% 54% Median
445 4% 51%  
446 4% 47%  
447 4% 43%  
448 3% 39%  
449 3% 36%  
450 4% 33%  
451 3% 29%  
452 3% 26%  
453 2% 23%  
454 2% 22%  
455 3% 19%  
456 2% 16%  
457 2% 14%  
458 2% 12%  
459 2% 10%  
460 0.9% 8%  
461 1.3% 7%  
462 1.2% 6%  
463 0.8% 5%  
464 0.8% 4%  
465 0.4% 3%  
466 0.3% 3%  
467 0.6% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.3% 1.4%  
470 0.2% 1.1%  
471 0.2% 1.0%  
472 0.1% 0.8%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.2% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.2% 99.2%  
397 0.4% 99.0%  
398 0.3% 98.6%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.5% 98%  
401 0.6% 98%  
402 0.7% 97%  
403 0.6% 96%  
404 0.8% 96%  
405 1.2% 95%  
406 1.1% 94%  
407 1.3% 93%  
408 1.1% 91%  
409 2% 90%  
410 2% 88%  
411 2% 86%  
412 2% 84%  
413 2% 82%  
414 3% 79%  
415 2% 77%  
416 3% 74%  
417 4% 71%  
418 4% 67%  
419 4% 63%  
420 4% 60%  
421 2% 55%  
422 4% 53% Median
423 5% 49%  
424 2% 44%  
425 3% 42%  
426 2% 38%  
427 2% 36%  
428 3% 34%  
429 2% 30%  
430 2% 28%  
431 3% 26%  
432 2% 23%  
433 2% 22%  
434 2% 19%  
435 1.2% 17%  
436 2% 16%  
437 2% 14%  
438 1.4% 13%  
439 0.9% 11%  
440 1.0% 10%  
441 1.2% 9%  
442 0.6% 8%  
443 0.6% 8%  
444 0.7% 7%  
445 0.4% 6%  
446 0.4% 6%  
447 0.4% 6%  
448 0.5% 5%  
449 0.3% 5%  
450 0.4% 4%  
451 0.3% 4%  
452 0.3% 4%  
453 0.4% 3%  
454 0.2% 3%  
455 0.3% 3%  
456 0.3% 3%  
457 0.3% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.2% 1.5%  
461 0.2% 1.3%  
462 0.1% 1.1%  
463 0.3% 1.1%  
464 0.1% 0.8%  
465 0% 0.7%  
466 0.2% 0.7%  
467 0.1% 0.5%  
468 0% 0.4%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0.1% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0.2% 99.5%  
373 0.2% 99.3%  
374 0.3% 99.1%  
375 0.3% 98.9%  
376 0.4% 98.6%  
377 0.6% 98%  
378 0.3% 98%  
379 0.9% 97%  
380 0.6% 96%  
381 1.1% 96%  
382 0.9% 95%  
383 1.0% 94%  
384 2% 93%  
385 1.3% 91%  
386 2% 90%  
387 2% 88%  
388 2% 87%  
389 3% 84%  
390 2% 82%  
391 3% 80%  
392 2% 77%  
393 2% 74%  
394 4% 72%  
395 2% 68%  
396 3% 66%  
397 3% 63%  
398 4% 60%  
399 2% 56% Last Result, Median
400 5% 54%  
401 3% 49%  
402 3% 46%  
403 4% 43%  
404 3% 39%  
405 2% 36%  
406 4% 33%  
407 3% 30%  
408 2% 27%  
409 2% 24%  
410 2% 22%  
411 2% 21%  
412 1.0% 18%  
413 3% 17%  
414 1.1% 14%  
415 2% 13%  
416 1.4% 11%  
417 0.8% 10%  
418 0.8% 9%  
419 0.7% 8%  
420 0.6% 8%  
421 0.5% 7%  
422 0.6% 7%  
423 0.4% 6%  
424 0.3% 6%  
425 0.4% 5%  
426 0.5% 5%  
427 0.4% 4%  
428 0.4% 4%  
429 0.2% 4%  
430 0.5% 4%  
431 0.2% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.2% 3%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 1.4%  
440 0.1% 1.2%  
441 0.2% 1.1%  
442 0.2% 0.9%  
443 0.1% 0.7%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0% 0.4%  
446 0% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0.1% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0% 99.6%  
368 0% 99.6%  
369 0% 99.5%  
370 0% 99.5%  
371 0.1% 99.5%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.1% 99.3%  
374 0.2% 99.1%  
375 0.4% 98.9%  
376 0.4% 98.6%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.1% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.5% 97%  
383 0.5% 97%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 0.9% 95%  
386 0.9% 95%  
387 1.2% 94%  
388 0.9% 92%  
389 0.8% 92%  
390 0.7% 91%  
391 0.7% 90%  
392 1.2% 89%  
393 1.5% 88%  
394 2% 87%  
395 2% 84%  
396 3% 82%  
397 3% 79%  
398 2% 76%  
399 3% 74%  
400 2% 71%  
401 2% 69%  
402 2% 67%  
403 4% 65%  
404 4% 62%  
405 3% 58%  
406 4% 55%  
407 3% 51% Median
408 4% 47%  
409 4% 43%  
410 3% 39%  
411 3% 36%  
412 2% 34%  
413 2% 32%  
414 3% 29%  
415 4% 26%  
416 2% 22%  
417 4% 20%  
418 2% 16%  
419 2% 15%  
420 2% 13% Last Result
421 1.4% 11%  
422 0.9% 9%  
423 1.1% 8%  
424 0.9% 7%  
425 1.1% 6%  
426 1.0% 5%  
427 0.8% 4%  
428 0.8% 3%  
429 0.4% 3%  
430 0.4% 2%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.3% 1.4%  
433 0.2% 1.2%  
434 0.2% 1.0%  
435 0.1% 0.8%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9%  
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.9%  
330 0.1% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0.1% 99.7%  
333 0.1% 99.5%  
334 0.2% 99.4%  
335 0.1% 99.3%  
336 0.2% 99.1%  
337 0.2% 98.9%  
338 0.3% 98.7%  
339 0.6% 98%  
340 0.8% 98% Last Result
341 0.6% 97%  
342 0.9% 96%  
343 0.9% 96%  
344 0.8% 95%  
345 0.8% 94%  
346 0.8% 93%  
347 0.9% 92%  
348 2% 91%  
349 2% 90%  
350 2% 88%  
351 3% 85%  
352 3% 82%  
353 2% 79%  
354 2% 76%  
355 2% 74% Majority
356 2% 72%  
357 2% 70%  
358 3% 68%  
359 3% 66%  
360 6% 63%  
361 5% 57%  
362 4% 52% Median
363 3% 48%  
364 3% 45%  
365 2% 41%  
366 2% 40%  
367 2% 38%  
368 3% 36%  
369 2% 33%  
370 3% 31%  
371 4% 27%  
372 2% 23%  
373 3% 21%  
374 2% 18%  
375 1.3% 16%  
376 0.9% 15%  
377 1.3% 14%  
378 1.0% 12%  
379 0.8% 11%  
380 1.2% 11%  
381 1.2% 9%  
382 1.0% 8%  
383 1.0% 7%  
384 0.5% 6%  
385 0.6% 6%  
386 0.6% 5%  
387 0.6% 4%  
388 0.3% 4%  
389 0.3% 3%  
390 0.2% 3%  
391 0.2% 3%  
392 0.2% 3%  
393 0.3% 3%  
394 0.4% 2%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.4% 2%  
397 0.2% 1.2%  
398 0.2% 1.0%  
399 0.1% 0.9%  
400 0% 0.8%  
401 0.1% 0.8%  
402 0% 0.7%  
403 0.1% 0.7%  
404 0.1% 0.6%  
405 0.1% 0.5%  
406 0.1% 0.4%  
407 0.1% 0.3%  
408 0.1% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.2%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0.1% 99.7%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0.1% 99.5%  
290 0.1% 99.5%  
291 0.1% 99.4%  
292 0.1% 99.3%  
293 0.2% 99.2%  
294 0.1% 99.1%  
295 0.1% 98.9%  
296 0.2% 98.8%  
297 0.1% 98.6%  
298 0.2% 98%  
299 0.2% 98%  
300 0.2% 98%  
301 0.3% 98%  
302 0.4% 98%  
303 0.3% 97%  
304 0.4% 97%  
305 0.4% 96%  
306 0.4% 96%  
307 0.5% 96%  
308 0.6% 95%  
309 0.5% 95%  
310 0.7% 94%  
311 0.8% 93%  
312 0.7% 93%  
313 1.3% 92%  
314 0.9% 91%  
315 1.0% 90%  
316 1.4% 89%  
317 1.0% 87%  
318 2% 86%  
319 2% 84%  
320 2% 82%  
321 2% 80%  
322 2% 78%  
323 3% 76%  
324 2% 73%  
325 3% 71%  
326 3% 68% Last Result
327 3% 65%  
328 3% 62%  
329 3% 59%  
330 3% 56%  
331 4% 52% Median
332 3% 49%  
333 4% 46%  
334 4% 42%  
335 3% 38%  
336 3% 35%  
337 3% 32%  
338 3% 29%  
339 3% 26%  
340 3% 24%  
341 3% 21%  
342 2% 18%  
343 2% 16%  
344 2% 14%  
345 2% 12%  
346 1.3% 11%  
347 1.3% 9%  
348 1.4% 8%  
349 1.0% 7%  
350 0.7% 6%  
351 0.8% 5%  
352 1.0% 4%  
353 0.4% 3%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0.5% 2% Majority
356 0.3% 2%  
357 0.3% 1.4%  
358 0.3% 1.1%  
359 0.2% 0.9%  
360 0.1% 0.7%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0.1% 0.4%  
363 0.1% 0.4%  
364 0.1% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.7%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.5%  
274 0.1% 99.4%  
275 0.2% 99.2%  
276 0.2% 99.0%  
277 0.3% 98.8%  
278 0.3% 98.6%  
279 0.4% 98%  
280 0.4% 98%  
281 0.8% 97%  
282 0.8% 97%  
283 1.0% 96%  
284 1.1% 95%  
285 0.9% 94%  
286 1.1% 93%  
287 0.9% 92%  
288 1.4% 91%  
289 2% 89% Last Result
290 2% 87%  
291 2% 85%  
292 4% 84%  
293 2% 80%  
294 4% 78%  
295 3% 74%  
296 2% 71%  
297 2% 68%  
298 3% 66%  
299 3% 64%  
300 4% 61%  
301 4% 57%  
302 3% 53% Median
303 4% 49%  
304 3% 45%  
305 4% 42%  
306 4% 38%  
307 2% 35%  
308 2% 33%  
309 2% 31%  
310 3% 29%  
311 2% 26%  
312 3% 24%  
313 3% 21%  
314 2% 18%  
315 2% 16%  
316 1.5% 13%  
317 1.2% 12%  
318 0.7% 11%  
319 0.7% 10%  
320 0.8% 9%  
321 0.9% 8%  
322 1.2% 8%  
323 0.9% 6%  
324 0.9% 5%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.5% 4%  
327 0.5% 3%  
328 0.3% 3%  
329 0.2% 3%  
330 0.1% 2%  
331 0.2% 2%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.4% 2%  
334 0.4% 1.4%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.6%  
339 0% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.5%  
341 0% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.1% 99.8%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0% 99.6%  
248 0.1% 99.6%  
249 0.1% 99.5%  
250 0.1% 99.3%  
251 0.1% 99.2%  
252 0.1% 99.2%  
253 0.1% 99.0%  
254 0.1% 98.9%  
255 0.1% 98.8%  
256 0.1% 98.7%  
257 0.1% 98.6%  
258 0.2% 98%  
259 0.3% 98%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.3% 98%  
262 0.4% 98%  
263 0.4% 97%  
264 0.3% 97%  
265 0.1% 96%  
266 0.3% 96%  
267 0.4% 96%  
268 0.3% 96%  
269 0.2% 95%  
270 0.4% 95%  
271 0.6% 95%  
272 0.7% 94%  
273 0.7% 93%  
274 0.7% 93%  
275 1.0% 92%  
276 1.1% 91%  
277 1.1% 90%  
278 1.4% 89%  
279 1.2% 87%  
280 2% 86%  
281 2% 84%  
282 2% 82%  
283 2% 81%  
284 2% 79%  
285 2% 77%  
286 2% 75%  
287 3% 73%  
288 3% 70%  
289 3% 67%  
290 4% 64%  
291 3% 60%  
292 4% 57%  
293 4% 53%  
294 3% 49% Median
295 4% 46%  
296 2% 42%  
297 4% 40%  
298 2% 36%  
299 3% 34%  
300 2% 31% Last Result
301 3% 29%  
302 3% 26%  
303 3% 23%  
304 2% 20%  
305 3% 17%  
306 2% 15%  
307 2% 12%  
308 1.1% 10%  
309 1.4% 9%  
310 1.2% 8%  
311 1.1% 6%  
312 0.6% 5%  
313 0.8% 5%  
314 0.5% 4%  
315 0.6% 3%  
316 0.5% 3%  
317 0.6% 2%  
318 0.3% 2%  
319 0.2% 1.4%  
320 0.3% 1.2%  
321 0.2% 0.9%  
322 0.1% 0.7%  
323 0.1% 0.6%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
221 0.1% 99.6%  
222 0.1% 99.5%  
223 0.2% 99.4%  
224 0.3% 99.2%  
225 0.2% 98.9%  
226 0.1% 98.6%  
227 0.2% 98.5%  
228 0.7% 98%  
229 0.9% 98%  
230 0.4% 97%  
231 0.8% 96%  
232 2% 95%  
233 2% 94%  
234 1.4% 92%  
235 0.5% 90%  
236 1.4% 90%  
237 4% 88%  
238 2% 84%  
239 0.6% 83%  
240 1.1% 82%  
241 3% 81%  
242 4% 78%  
243 2% 74%  
244 2% 72%  
245 7% 70%  
246 6% 63%  
247 3% 58%  
248 2% 54%  
249 4% 53% Median
250 6% 49%  
251 3% 43%  
252 0.8% 39%  
253 2% 39%  
254 4% 37%  
255 3% 33%  
256 1.2% 29%  
257 1.4% 28%  
258 5% 27%  
259 4% 22%  
260 2% 18%  
261 0.6% 16%  
262 3% 15%  
263 3% 13%  
264 1.0% 10%  
265 0.4% 9%  
266 0.5% 8%  
267 1.3% 8%  
268 0.7% 6%  
269 0.2% 6%  
270 0.3% 5%  
271 1.0% 5%  
272 0.9% 4%  
273 0.4% 3%  
274 0.1% 3%  
275 0.4% 3%  
276 0.6% 2%  
277 0.4% 2%  
278 0.1% 1.1%  
279 0.1% 1.0%  
280 0.2% 0.9%  
281 0.1% 0.7%  
282 0.1% 0.6%  
283 0% 0.5%  
284 0.1% 0.5%  
285 0.1% 0.4%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0.1% 0.3%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0.1% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.2% 99.5%  
143 0.2% 99.3%  
144 0.2% 99.1%  
145 0.3% 99.0%  
146 0.5% 98.7%  
147 0.4% 98%  
148 0.7% 98%  
149 0.7% 97%  
150 1.1% 96%  
151 0.7% 95%  
152 1.2% 95%  
153 2% 93%  
154 2% 92%  
155 2% 90%  
156 2% 88%  
157 3% 85%  
158 2% 82%  
159 3% 80%  
160 3% 77%  
161 4% 73%  
162 3% 70%  
163 5% 67%  
164 5% 62%  
165 3% 57%  
166 3% 54% Median
167 4% 51%  
168 6% 47%  
169 3% 41%  
170 5% 38%  
171 3% 33%  
172 2% 31%  
173 4% 29%  
174 4% 25%  
175 3% 22%  
176 2% 18%  
177 2% 16%  
178 2% 14%  
179 2% 12%  
180 2% 11%  
181 1.5% 9%  
182 1.3% 7%  
183 0.9% 6%  
184 1.0% 5%  
185 0.4% 4%  
186 0.9% 4%  
187 0.4% 3%  
188 0.5% 2%  
189 0.2% 2%  
190 0.5% 2%  
191 0.2% 1.2%  
192 0.3% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.8%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.7%  
108 0.1% 99.6%  
109 0.2% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.4%  
111 0.1% 99.3%  
112 0.2% 99.2%  
113 0.3% 99.0%  
114 0.4% 98.8%  
115 0.1% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.3% 98%  
118 0.5% 98%  
119 0.3% 97%  
120 0.1% 97%  
121 0.1% 97%  
122 0.4% 97%  
123 0.5% 96%  
124 0.5% 96%  
125 0.1% 95%  
126 0.1% 95%  
127 0.3% 95%  
128 0.3% 95%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 0.1% 94%  
131 0.3% 94%  
132 0.1% 94%  
133 0.2% 94%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 0.1% 93%  
136 0.3% 93%  
137 0.2% 93%  
138 0.3% 93%  
139 0.3% 93%  
140 0.4% 92%  
141 0.8% 92%  
142 0.5% 91%  
143 1.2% 91%  
144 0.9% 89%  
145 1.4% 88%  
146 1.3% 87%  
147 0.9% 86%  
148 3% 85%  
149 2% 82%  
150 3% 80%  
151 3% 77%  
152 2% 74%  
153 5% 72%  
154 2% 66%  
155 3% 65%  
156 5% 62%  
157 4% 57%  
158 4% 53% Median
159 3% 49%  
160 6% 46%  
161 4% 40%  
162 3% 36%  
163 3% 33%  
164 3% 29%  
165 4% 26%  
166 2% 22%  
167 3% 20%  
168 3% 17%  
169 2% 14%  
170 2% 12%  
171 1.0% 10%  
172 2% 9%  
173 1.3% 7%  
174 1.0% 6%  
175 1.0% 5%  
176 0.8% 4%  
177 0.6% 3%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.4% 1.4%  
181 0.2% 1.1%  
182 0.2% 0.8%  
183 0.2% 0.6%  
184 0.1% 0.5%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations