Opinion Poll by Kantar, 7–13 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.7% 30.2–33.2% 29.8–33.7% 29.4–34.0% 28.7–34.8%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 16.0% 14.8–17.2% 14.5–17.6% 14.2–17.9% 13.7–18.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.6% 9.1–13.2%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.2%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.6–7.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 239 228–250 224–254 221–257 216–266
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 120 111–128 108–133 108–136 102–143
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 107 97–116 95–117 95–119 88–123
Alternative für Deutschland 94 82 75–91 73–93 72–96 69–99
Die Linke 69 61 53–68 53–70 51–71 48–75
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 57 49–63 47–65 46–66 44–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 42–51 38–52 0–53 0–59

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.8%  
215 0.2% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.6%  
217 0.1% 99.5%  
218 0.5% 99.4%  
219 0.7% 98.9%  
220 0.4% 98%  
221 0.8% 98%  
222 1.4% 97%  
223 0.6% 96%  
224 1.3% 95%  
225 0.9% 94%  
226 1.3% 93%  
227 1.1% 91%  
228 4% 90%  
229 5% 87%  
230 1.5% 82%  
231 9% 80%  
232 0.6% 71%  
233 4% 71%  
234 4% 67%  
235 3% 63%  
236 3% 60%  
237 4% 57%  
238 3% 54%  
239 8% 51% Median
240 2% 43%  
241 4% 41%  
242 4% 38%  
243 5% 33%  
244 6% 29%  
245 4% 23%  
246 1.2% 19%  
247 5% 18%  
248 0.9% 13%  
249 1.3% 12%  
250 2% 11%  
251 1.0% 9%  
252 2% 8%  
253 0.7% 6%  
254 0.4% 5%  
255 2% 5%  
256 0.6% 3%  
257 0.3% 3%  
258 0.4% 2%  
259 0.6% 2%  
260 0.2% 1.4%  
261 0.2% 1.2%  
262 0% 1.0%  
263 0.2% 0.9%  
264 0% 0.8%  
265 0.1% 0.7%  
266 0.1% 0.6%  
267 0% 0.5%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0.1% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.3%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0.1% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.3% 99.9%  
102 0.2% 99.7%  
103 0.2% 99.4%  
104 0.3% 99.2%  
105 0.3% 98.9%  
106 0.3% 98.6%  
107 0.4% 98%  
108 4% 98%  
109 1.3% 94%  
110 3% 93%  
111 2% 90%  
112 2% 88%  
113 3% 86%  
114 6% 83%  
115 8% 77%  
116 6% 69%  
117 5% 63%  
118 2% 59%  
119 4% 56%  
120 7% 52% Median
121 11% 44%  
122 3% 34%  
123 5% 31%  
124 1.4% 26%  
125 2% 24%  
126 5% 23%  
127 3% 18%  
128 5% 15%  
129 2% 10%  
130 2% 8%  
131 0.4% 6%  
132 0.7% 6%  
133 1.2% 5%  
134 0.4% 4%  
135 1.2% 4%  
136 0.3% 3%  
137 0.5% 2%  
138 0.1% 2%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.4% 1.4%  
141 0.1% 1.0%  
142 0.2% 0.9%  
143 0.5% 0.7%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0.1% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.6%  
89 0.1% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.4%  
91 0.1% 99.3%  
92 0.2% 99.2%  
93 0.5% 99.0%  
94 0.6% 98%  
95 3% 98%  
96 4% 94%  
97 5% 90%  
98 2% 85%  
99 7% 83%  
100 2% 77%  
101 2% 74%  
102 0.3% 72%  
103 2% 72%  
104 7% 70%  
105 9% 63%  
106 2% 53%  
107 12% 51% Median
108 16% 39%  
109 5% 23%  
110 1.2% 18%  
111 1.1% 17%  
112 1.3% 15%  
113 0.9% 14%  
114 1.2% 13%  
115 0.9% 12%  
116 4% 11%  
117 4% 7%  
118 0.5% 4%  
119 0.7% 3%  
120 1.1% 2%  
121 0.4% 1.3%  
122 0.4% 0.9%  
123 0.1% 0.6%  
124 0.1% 0.5%  
125 0.1% 0.4%  
126 0% 0.3%  
127 0% 0.2%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.2% 99.5%  
70 0.7% 99.4%  
71 1.1% 98.7%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 2% 93%  
75 2% 91%  
76 2% 89%  
77 4% 87%  
78 3% 83%  
79 14% 80%  
80 4% 66%  
81 6% 62%  
82 6% 56% Median
83 4% 49%  
84 5% 45%  
85 4% 41%  
86 9% 36%  
87 3% 27%  
88 5% 24%  
89 2% 19%  
90 5% 17%  
91 2% 11%  
92 0.8% 10%  
93 5% 9%  
94 0.8% 4% Last Result
95 0.5% 3%  
96 0.6% 3%  
97 0.7% 2%  
98 0.3% 1.4%  
99 0.8% 1.1%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.2% 99.7%  
49 0.5% 99.4%  
50 1.2% 99.0%  
51 1.0% 98%  
52 0.6% 97%  
53 8% 96%  
54 2% 88%  
55 2% 86%  
56 7% 85%  
57 3% 78%  
58 8% 74%  
59 4% 66%  
60 12% 63%  
61 9% 50% Median
62 3% 42%  
63 3% 39%  
64 16% 36%  
65 2% 20%  
66 5% 18%  
67 2% 13%  
68 5% 12%  
69 1.1% 7% Last Result
70 1.0% 6%  
71 2% 5%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.2% 2%  
74 0.7% 1.3%  
75 0.2% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.8%  
44 0.9% 99.6%  
45 1.0% 98.7%  
46 1.3% 98% Last Result
47 2% 96%  
48 3% 94%  
49 5% 91%  
50 6% 86%  
51 4% 81%  
52 5% 77%  
53 2% 72%  
54 6% 69%  
55 6% 63%  
56 5% 58%  
57 4% 52% Median
58 4% 49%  
59 15% 44%  
60 5% 29%  
61 4% 24%  
62 5% 20%  
63 7% 15%  
64 1.1% 8%  
65 4% 7%  
66 1.0% 3%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.9%  
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 0% 97%  
16 0% 97%  
17 0% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0% 97%  
20 0% 97%  
21 0% 97%  
22 0% 97%  
23 0% 97%  
24 0% 97%  
25 0% 97%  
26 0% 97%  
27 0% 97%  
28 0% 97%  
29 0% 97%  
30 0% 97%  
31 0% 97%  
32 0% 97%  
33 0% 97%  
34 0% 97%  
35 0% 97%  
36 0% 97%  
37 0% 97%  
38 2% 97%  
39 0.7% 95%  
40 1.4% 94%  
41 2% 93%  
42 2% 91%  
43 2% 89%  
44 7% 86%  
45 18% 79%  
46 12% 61% Median
47 15% 49%  
48 9% 35%  
49 7% 26%  
50 8% 19%  
51 5% 11%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.4% 2%  
55 0.4% 1.5%  
56 0.1% 1.1%  
57 0.2% 0.9%  
58 0.1% 0.8%  
59 0.3% 0.7%  
60 0.2% 0.4%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 519 100% 509–529 507–533 504–551 499–564
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 460 100% 448–471 444–474 440–477 432–482
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 446 100% 433–457 429–461 424–463 415–468
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 423 100% 411–434 407–437 400–439 388–445
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 413 100% 402–425 400–431 395–439 392–458
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 401 100% 388–413 384–417 380–421 376–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 377 99.2% 365–390 361–393 357–397 354–406
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 341 6% 328–352 322–355 314–358 301–365
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke 289 286 0% 275–298 272–302 270–309 264–321
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 271 0% 259–284 255–287 250–289 238–295
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 220 225 0% 215–236 212–241 210–247 204–254
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 180 0% 170–191 168–195 165–199 161–208
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 166 0% 155–176 150–179 140–182 128–187

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 99.9%  
495 0.1% 99.9%  
496 0% 99.9%  
497 0.1% 99.8%  
498 0.1% 99.7%  
499 0.2% 99.7%  
500 0.2% 99.4%  
501 0.6% 99.2%  
502 0.7% 98.6%  
503 0.3% 98%  
504 0.5% 98%  
505 0.7% 97%  
506 0.6% 96%  
507 1.5% 96%  
508 1.2% 94%  
509 4% 93%  
510 3% 89%  
511 3% 86%  
512 2% 83%  
513 4% 81%  
514 5% 77%  
515 2% 72%  
516 8% 70%  
517 5% 63%  
518 2% 57%  
519 6% 55%  
520 6% 50%  
521 8% 44%  
522 5% 35%  
523 7% 31% Median
524 0.9% 24%  
525 2% 23%  
526 4% 21%  
527 3% 17%  
528 0.5% 14%  
529 5% 14%  
530 0.5% 9%  
531 1.0% 8%  
532 2% 7%  
533 0.3% 5%  
534 0.2% 5%  
535 0.2% 5%  
536 0.4% 5%  
537 0.3% 4%  
538 0.1% 4%  
539 0.3% 4%  
540 0% 3%  
541 0.1% 3%  
542 0% 3%  
543 0% 3%  
544 0% 3%  
545 0% 3%  
546 0% 3%  
547 0% 3%  
548 0.3% 3%  
549 0.2% 3%  
550 0% 3%  
551 0.2% 3%  
552 0.2% 2%  
553 0% 2%  
554 0% 2%  
555 0% 2%  
556 0.2% 2%  
557 0.1% 2%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0% 2%  
560 0.7% 2%  
561 0.3% 1.1%  
562 0.1% 0.8%  
563 0.2% 0.7%  
564 0% 0.5%  
565 0% 0.5%  
566 0% 0.5%  
567 0% 0.5%  
568 0.1% 0.4%  
569 0.1% 0.4%  
570 0% 0.3%  
571 0% 0.3%  
572 0.2% 0.3%  
573 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.9%  
430 0.3% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.2% 99.5%  
433 0.1% 99.4%  
434 0% 99.3%  
435 0.1% 99.3%  
436 0.3% 99.2%  
437 0.2% 98.9%  
438 0.3% 98.7%  
439 0.7% 98%  
440 0.4% 98%  
441 0.9% 97%  
442 1.1% 96%  
443 0.4% 95%  
444 0.6% 95%  
445 0.7% 94%  
446 1.2% 94%  
447 2% 93%  
448 1.1% 90%  
449 2% 89%  
450 4% 87%  
451 5% 83%  
452 4% 78%  
453 1.5% 74%  
454 2% 73%  
455 2% 71%  
456 0.8% 68%  
457 4% 67%  
458 10% 63%  
459 1.5% 53%  
460 5% 52%  
461 4% 47%  
462 7% 43% Median
463 4% 36%  
464 2% 32%  
465 2% 31%  
466 5% 29%  
467 2% 24%  
468 3% 22%  
469 2% 19%  
470 4% 16%  
471 5% 12%  
472 0.8% 7%  
473 0.7% 6%  
474 0.9% 6%  
475 0.6% 5%  
476 1.0% 4%  
477 1.2% 3%  
478 0.6% 2%  
479 0.6% 2% Last Result
480 0.2% 1.0%  
481 0.2% 0.8%  
482 0.3% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0.1% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.7%  
414 0% 99.6%  
415 0.2% 99.6%  
416 0.3% 99.4%  
417 0.5% 99.2%  
418 0.1% 98.7%  
419 0.1% 98.6%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.6% 98%  
425 0.1% 97%  
426 0.9% 97%  
427 0.6% 96%  
428 0.2% 95%  
429 0.9% 95%  
430 1.2% 94%  
431 0.8% 93%  
432 2% 92%  
433 1.0% 90%  
434 1.2% 89%  
435 4% 88%  
436 0.6% 84%  
437 3% 83%  
438 3% 80%  
439 2% 76%  
440 3% 74%  
441 2% 71%  
442 2% 70%  
443 7% 68%  
444 4% 61%  
445 5% 57%  
446 7% 52%  
447 3% 45%  
448 2% 43%  
449 5% 41% Median
450 1.0% 36%  
451 9% 35%  
452 4% 26%  
453 3% 22%  
454 4% 19%  
455 1.1% 16%  
456 4% 14%  
457 2% 11%  
458 0.4% 9%  
459 2% 9%  
460 1.2% 7%  
461 2% 6%  
462 1.1% 4%  
463 0.6% 3%  
464 0.5% 2%  
465 0.5% 2%  
466 0.1% 1.2%  
467 0.3% 1.1%  
468 0.3% 0.8%  
469 0% 0.5%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.2% 0.4%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0.1% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
379 0% 100%  
380 0.1% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0.2% 99.6%  
389 0% 99.4%  
390 0% 99.4%  
391 0.3% 99.4%  
392 0.3% 99.1%  
393 0% 98.8%  
394 0% 98.7%  
395 0% 98.7%  
396 0.7% 98.7%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.1% 98%  
399 0.1% 98%  
400 0.2% 98%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.3% 97%  
403 0.5% 97%  
404 0.4% 96%  
405 0.2% 96%  
406 0.4% 96%  
407 1.0% 95%  
408 2% 94%  
409 0.5% 92%  
410 0.6% 92%  
411 2% 91%  
412 2% 90%  
413 1.3% 88%  
414 2% 87%  
415 1.3% 85%  
416 1.4% 83%  
417 3% 82%  
418 7% 79%  
419 7% 72%  
420 1.3% 65% Last Result
421 4% 64%  
422 9% 60%  
423 4% 51%  
424 3% 47% Median
425 4% 44%  
426 6% 40%  
427 2% 34%  
428 6% 32%  
429 2% 26%  
430 1.3% 24%  
431 4% 22%  
432 4% 18%  
433 1.3% 14%  
434 4% 13%  
435 3% 9%  
436 0.7% 7%  
437 2% 6%  
438 0.7% 4%  
439 1.2% 3%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.6% 2%  
443 0.5% 1.2%  
444 0.2% 0.7%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0.1% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.7%  
390 0% 99.7%  
391 0.2% 99.7%  
392 0.2% 99.5%  
393 0.4% 99.3%  
394 0.5% 98.9%  
395 1.0% 98%  
396 0.2% 97%  
397 0.4% 97%  
398 0.8% 97%  
399 0.4% 96% Last Result
400 2% 95%  
401 2% 93%  
402 2% 91%  
403 0.8% 89%  
404 4% 88%  
405 2% 84%  
406 5% 82%  
407 4% 77%  
408 0.4% 73%  
409 2% 72%  
410 0.7% 70%  
411 7% 70%  
412 5% 63%  
413 14% 58%  
414 2% 44%  
415 3% 42%  
416 2% 39% Median
417 3% 37%  
418 3% 34%  
419 4% 31%  
420 1.3% 27%  
421 3% 26%  
422 3% 23%  
423 3% 20%  
424 6% 17%  
425 2% 11%  
426 0.7% 9%  
427 0.3% 8%  
428 0.6% 8%  
429 0.3% 7%  
430 1.3% 7%  
431 2% 6%  
432 0.7% 4%  
433 0.2% 4%  
434 0.1% 3%  
435 0% 3%  
436 0.4% 3%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0.1% 3%  
439 0.3% 3%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0% 2%  
445 0% 2%  
446 0.1% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.1% 1.4%  
449 0% 1.3%  
450 0.5% 1.3%  
451 0% 0.8%  
452 0% 0.7%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0% 0.6%  
455 0% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.6%  
457 0% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.5%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0.2% 99.5%  
377 0.3% 99.3%  
378 0.8% 99.0%  
379 0.1% 98%  
380 1.0% 98%  
381 0.2% 97%  
382 0.3% 97%  
383 1.4% 97%  
384 2% 95%  
385 1.1% 93%  
386 1.0% 92%  
387 1.2% 91%  
388 1.5% 90%  
389 2% 89%  
390 4% 87%  
391 2% 83%  
392 4% 81%  
393 2% 76%  
394 2% 75%  
395 4% 73%  
396 3% 69%  
397 5% 66%  
398 5% 61%  
399 4% 56%  
400 2% 53%  
401 6% 50%  
402 6% 44%  
403 2% 39% Median
404 3% 37%  
405 3% 34%  
406 7% 31%  
407 5% 24%  
408 1.0% 19%  
409 1.2% 18%  
410 2% 17%  
411 2% 15%  
412 2% 12%  
413 3% 10%  
414 0.7% 8%  
415 1.1% 7%  
416 0.6% 6%  
417 0.9% 5%  
418 0.7% 4%  
419 0.2% 4%  
420 0.6% 3%  
421 0.5% 3%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.1% 2%  
426 0.4% 2%  
427 0.3% 1.3%  
428 0.1% 1.0%  
429 0% 0.9%  
430 0.1% 0.9%  
431 0% 0.8%  
432 0.3% 0.8%  
433 0% 0.5%  
434 0% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0% 0.4%  
437 0% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0.1% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
340 0% 100% Last Result
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0.1% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.3% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.2% Majority
356 0.2% 99.2%  
357 2% 99.0%  
358 0.2% 97%  
359 0.1% 97%  
360 1.3% 97%  
361 1.3% 96%  
362 0.9% 94%  
363 0.7% 94%  
364 0.9% 93%  
365 3% 92%  
366 2% 89%  
367 1.0% 87%  
368 3% 86%  
369 5% 84%  
370 1.5% 79%  
371 1.5% 77%  
372 2% 76%  
373 8% 74%  
374 1.4% 66%  
375 3% 64%  
376 4% 61%  
377 12% 57%  
378 2% 45% Median
379 2% 44%  
380 3% 42%  
381 9% 39%  
382 2% 30%  
383 0.3% 28%  
384 7% 28%  
385 2% 21%  
386 2% 18%  
387 0.5% 16%  
388 2% 16%  
389 2% 13%  
390 3% 12%  
391 0.4% 9%  
392 1.0% 8%  
393 2% 7%  
394 0.4% 5%  
395 0.2% 5%  
396 1.2% 4%  
397 1.1% 3%  
398 0.1% 2%  
399 0.1% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.5% 2%  
402 0.1% 1.1%  
403 0.1% 1.0%  
404 0.2% 0.9%  
405 0.1% 0.7%  
406 0.1% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0.1% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0.1% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0% 99.8%  
298 0.2% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.6%  
300 0% 99.5%  
301 0% 99.5%  
302 0.1% 99.5%  
303 0% 99.4%  
304 0.1% 99.4%  
305 0.2% 99.3%  
306 0.3% 99.1%  
307 0.5% 98.8%  
308 0% 98%  
309 0% 98%  
310 0.3% 98%  
311 0.1% 98%  
312 0% 98%  
313 0.2% 98%  
314 0% 98%  
315 0.1% 97%  
316 0.2% 97%  
317 0.2% 97%  
318 0.3% 97%  
319 0.2% 97%  
320 0.6% 96%  
321 0.3% 96%  
322 0.6% 96%  
323 0.5% 95%  
324 0.7% 94%  
325 0.5% 94%  
326 1.4% 93% Last Result
327 1.1% 92%  
328 4% 91%  
329 0.9% 86%  
330 2% 85%  
331 1.3% 83%  
332 3% 82%  
333 3% 79%  
334 2% 76%  
335 2% 74%  
336 6% 72%  
337 6% 66%  
338 2% 60%  
339 2% 58%  
340 4% 55%  
341 4% 51%  
342 4% 47% Median
343 8% 44%  
344 2% 36%  
345 5% 34%  
346 4% 29%  
347 2% 26%  
348 5% 24%  
349 5% 19%  
350 0.8% 15%  
351 2% 14%  
352 4% 12%  
353 2% 9%  
354 0.7% 7%  
355 1.1% 6% Majority
356 0.9% 5%  
357 0.7% 4%  
358 1.0% 3%  
359 0.1% 2%  
360 0.9% 2%  
361 0.1% 1.3%  
362 0.2% 1.1%  
363 0.2% 0.9%  
364 0.2% 0.8%  
365 0.4% 0.5%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.1% 99.6%  
265 0.2% 99.4%  
266 0.5% 99.3%  
267 0.6% 98.8%  
268 0.2% 98%  
269 0.2% 98%  
270 1.2% 98%  
271 0.7% 97%  
272 2% 96%  
273 0.7% 94%  
274 3% 93%  
275 4% 91%  
276 1.3% 87%  
277 4% 86%  
278 4% 82%  
279 1.3% 78%  
280 2% 76%  
281 6% 74%  
282 2% 68%  
283 6% 66%  
284 4% 60%  
285 3% 56%  
286 4% 53%  
287 9% 49%  
288 4% 40% Median
289 1.3% 36% Last Result
290 7% 35%  
291 7% 28%  
292 3% 21%  
293 1.4% 18%  
294 1.3% 17%  
295 2% 15%  
296 1.3% 13%  
297 2% 12%  
298 2% 10%  
299 0.6% 9%  
300 0.5% 8%  
301 2% 8%  
302 1.0% 6%  
303 0.4% 5%  
304 0.2% 4%  
305 0.4% 4%  
306 0.5% 4%  
307 0.3% 3%  
308 0.3% 3%  
309 0.2% 3%  
310 0.1% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0.3% 2%  
313 0.7% 2%  
314 0% 1.3%  
315 0% 1.3%  
316 0% 1.3%  
317 0.3% 1.2%  
318 0.3% 0.9%  
319 0% 0.6%  
320 0% 0.6%  
321 0.2% 0.6%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.2%  
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0.1% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.7%  
238 0.2% 99.6%  
239 0.1% 99.5%  
240 0% 99.3%  
241 0.2% 99.3%  
242 0.1% 99.1%  
243 0% 99.0%  
244 0.1% 98.9%  
245 0.1% 98.9%  
246 0.2% 98.8%  
247 0.3% 98.5%  
248 0.5% 98%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 0.5% 98%  
251 0.4% 97%  
252 0.5% 97%  
253 0.6% 96%  
254 0.3% 96%  
255 2% 95%  
256 2% 93%  
257 0.8% 91%  
258 0.6% 91%  
259 3% 90%  
260 2% 87%  
261 1.1% 86%  
262 2% 85%  
263 2% 82%  
264 4% 81%  
265 2% 76%  
266 2% 74%  
267 2% 72%  
268 15% 70%  
269 3% 55%  
270 2% 53%  
271 3% 50%  
272 7% 48%  
273 2% 41% Median
274 0.9% 39%  
275 10% 38%  
276 7% 29%  
277 2% 22%  
278 0.9% 20%  
279 3% 19%  
280 1.2% 16%  
281 2% 15%  
282 0.6% 13%  
283 1.5% 12%  
284 3% 11%  
285 2% 7%  
286 0.4% 6%  
287 0.5% 5%  
288 2% 5%  
289 1.0% 3%  
290 0.2% 2%  
291 0.1% 1.5%  
292 0.5% 1.3%  
293 0.2% 0.8%  
294 0.1% 0.6%  
295 0.2% 0.5%  
296 0.1% 0.4%  
297 0.1% 0.3%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1% Last Result
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0.3% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.5%  
205 0.2% 99.4%  
206 0.3% 99.3%  
207 0.5% 99.0%  
208 0.3% 98%  
209 0.5% 98%  
210 0.6% 98%  
211 2% 97%  
212 2% 95%  
213 1.0% 93%  
214 1.5% 92%  
215 3% 91%  
216 3% 88%  
217 3% 85%  
218 5% 81%  
219 3% 77%  
220 0.8% 74% Last Result
221 3% 73%  
222 5% 70%  
223 11% 65%  
224 3% 54%  
225 5% 51%  
226 7% 46%  
227 4% 39% Median
228 4% 35%  
229 2% 32%  
230 7% 30%  
231 2% 23%  
232 3% 21%  
233 2% 18%  
234 3% 16%  
235 1.2% 13%  
236 2% 12%  
237 1.5% 10%  
238 2% 9%  
239 0.9% 7%  
240 0.7% 6%  
241 0.7% 5%  
242 0.8% 5%  
243 0.3% 4%  
244 0.3% 4%  
245 0.4% 3%  
246 0.2% 3%  
247 0.4% 3%  
248 0.1% 2%  
249 0.1% 2%  
250 0.6% 2%  
251 0.3% 1.5%  
252 0% 1.2%  
253 0.5% 1.1%  
254 0.1% 0.6%  
255 0% 0.5%  
256 0% 0.5%  
257 0% 0.4%  
258 0.2% 0.4%  
259 0.1% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.6%  
162 0.2% 99.5%  
163 0.7% 99.3%  
164 0.3% 98.6%  
165 0.8% 98%  
166 0.6% 97%  
167 1.3% 97%  
168 3% 96%  
169 2% 93%  
170 2% 91%  
171 1.5% 88%  
172 3% 87%  
173 3% 84%  
174 4% 82%  
175 2% 78%  
176 6% 76%  
177 2% 70%  
178 3% 67%  
179 12% 64%  
180 5% 53%  
181 4% 48% Median
182 8% 43%  
183 3% 35%  
184 4% 32%  
185 6% 28%  
186 3% 22%  
187 2% 19%  
188 3% 16%  
189 2% 14%  
190 2% 12%  
191 1.2% 11%  
192 0.7% 9%  
193 1.2% 9%  
194 2% 7%  
195 0.8% 6%  
196 0.7% 5%  
197 0.7% 4%  
198 0.6% 4%  
199 0.5% 3%  
200 0.2% 2%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.7% 2%  
204 0.1% 1.0%  
205 0.3% 1.0%  
206 0% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.2% 0.5%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0.1% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.7%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0.3% 99.5%  
130 0.3% 99.1%  
131 0% 98.8%  
132 0.2% 98.8%  
133 0.2% 98.5%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.3% 98%  
138 0% 98%  
139 0.1% 98%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.1% 97%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.5% 97%  
144 0.2% 97%  
145 0.1% 97%  
146 0.2% 96%  
147 0.2% 96%  
148 0.6% 96%  
149 0.4% 95%  
150 0.3% 95%  
151 0.7% 95%  
152 2% 94%  
153 0.4% 92%  
154 1.3% 91%  
155 2% 90%  
156 3% 88%  
157 1.3% 85%  
158 3% 84%  
159 2% 81%  
160 8% 79%  
161 6% 71%  
162 2% 66%  
163 4% 63%  
164 5% 59%  
165 2% 54%  
166 8% 52% Median
167 6% 45%  
168 5% 39%  
169 3% 34%  
170 2% 31%  
171 6% 29%  
172 3% 23%  
173 4% 21%  
174 3% 17%  
175 3% 14%  
176 2% 11%  
177 1.3% 9%  
178 1.4% 8%  
179 2% 6%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 1.4% 4%  
182 0.5% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0.5% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 0.8%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.2% 0.5%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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