Opinion Poll by Allensbach, 6–14 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.3% 28.1–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 19.0% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.1% 16.7–21.5% 16.0–22.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.8–18.6%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Die Linke 9.2% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 237 222–254 217–259 214–262 206–270
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 145 132–158 128–162 126–165 120–173
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 118 105–128 102–133 101–136 96–142
Alternative für Deutschland 94 70 61–79 59–82 57–84 53–89
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 52 46–61 44–64 43–67 40–73
Die Linke 69 55 46–64 45–66 44–68 39–71
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 41 0–48 0–50 0–52 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9% Last Result
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.8%  
203 0.1% 99.8%  
204 0.1% 99.7%  
205 0.1% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.6%  
207 0.2% 99.4%  
208 0.2% 99.3%  
209 0.2% 99.1%  
210 0.3% 98.8%  
211 0.3% 98.5%  
212 0.3% 98%  
213 0.3% 98%  
214 0.5% 98%  
215 0.6% 97%  
216 0.6% 96%  
217 0.8% 96%  
218 1.1% 95%  
219 1.3% 94%  
220 1.1% 93%  
221 1.1% 91%  
222 1.0% 90%  
223 2% 89%  
224 2% 87%  
225 2% 85%  
226 2% 83%  
227 3% 81%  
228 2% 78%  
229 3% 76%  
230 3% 73%  
231 2% 71%  
232 3% 69%  
233 4% 66%  
234 3% 62%  
235 4% 59%  
236 4% 55%  
237 3% 52% Median
238 3% 48%  
239 3% 45%  
240 4% 43%  
241 3% 39%  
242 2% 36%  
243 3% 34%  
244 3% 31%  
245 3% 28%  
246 2% 25%  
247 3% 23%  
248 2% 20%  
249 2% 19%  
250 1.2% 17%  
251 2% 15%  
252 1.5% 14%  
253 1.4% 12%  
254 1.0% 11%  
255 0.8% 10%  
256 2% 9%  
257 0.8% 7%  
258 1.1% 6%  
259 0.9% 5%  
260 0.9% 4%  
261 0.7% 3%  
262 0.5% 3%  
263 0.3% 2%  
264 0.4% 2%  
265 0.2% 2%  
266 0.2% 1.4%  
267 0.3% 1.2%  
268 0.2% 0.9%  
269 0.1% 0.7%  
270 0.2% 0.6%  
271 0.1% 0.4%  
272 0.1% 0.3%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0.1% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.3% 99.5%  
122 0.3% 99.2%  
123 0.3% 98.9%  
124 0.3% 98.6%  
125 0.4% 98%  
126 1.0% 98%  
127 1.3% 97%  
128 1.2% 96%  
129 1.2% 95%  
130 0.9% 93%  
131 1.2% 92%  
132 1.4% 91%  
133 3% 90%  
134 3% 87%  
135 3% 83%  
136 2% 81%  
137 2% 79%  
138 4% 77%  
139 6% 73%  
140 5% 67%  
141 3% 62%  
142 2% 59%  
143 2% 57%  
144 3% 55%  
145 6% 51% Median
146 6% 45%  
147 3% 39%  
148 2% 36%  
149 2% 33%  
150 2% 32%  
151 4% 30%  
152 5% 25%  
153 2% 20%  
154 2% 17%  
155 1.2% 16%  
156 1.3% 14%  
157 2% 13%  
158 3% 11%  
159 2% 9%  
160 0.7% 7%  
161 0.5% 6%  
162 0.5% 5%  
163 0.6% 5%  
164 1.1% 4%  
165 1.0% 3%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.2% 2%  
168 0.1% 2%  
169 0.2% 1.4%  
170 0.3% 1.2%  
171 0.2% 0.8%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0% 0.4%  
175 0% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.7%  
96 0.2% 99.6%  
97 0.2% 99.4%  
98 0.3% 99.2%  
99 0.4% 98.9%  
100 0.8% 98.5%  
101 1.2% 98%  
102 2% 96%  
103 2% 95%  
104 3% 93%  
105 2% 90%  
106 3% 88%  
107 2% 85%  
108 3% 83%  
109 3% 80%  
110 3% 78%  
111 3% 75%  
112 4% 72%  
113 3% 68%  
114 3% 65%  
115 4% 62%  
116 4% 59%  
117 4% 55%  
118 6% 51% Median
119 6% 46%  
120 5% 39%  
121 5% 34%  
122 4% 30%  
123 5% 26%  
124 4% 21%  
125 2% 17%  
126 2% 15%  
127 2% 13%  
128 2% 11%  
129 2% 10%  
130 1.3% 8%  
131 0.9% 7%  
132 0.5% 6%  
133 1.1% 5%  
134 1.0% 4%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.4% 3%  
137 0.3% 2%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.3% 2%  
140 0.3% 1.3%  
141 0.2% 0.9%  
142 0.2% 0.7%  
143 0.1% 0.5%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.3%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 0.3% 99.3%  
55 0.5% 98.9%  
56 0.9% 98%  
57 1.0% 98%  
58 1.4% 97%  
59 1.5% 95%  
60 2% 94%  
61 2% 91%  
62 4% 89%  
63 4% 86%  
64 4% 82%  
65 5% 78%  
66 4% 73%  
67 5% 69%  
68 5% 64%  
69 7% 59%  
70 5% 52% Median
71 5% 47%  
72 7% 42%  
73 6% 36%  
74 4% 30%  
75 5% 26%  
76 4% 21%  
77 3% 17%  
78 3% 14%  
79 2% 11%  
80 2% 9%  
81 1.5% 7%  
82 1.2% 5%  
83 0.9% 4%  
84 0.7% 3%  
85 0.6% 2%  
86 0.5% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1% Last Result
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.3% 99.6%  
41 0.4% 99.3%  
42 1.1% 98.8%  
43 1.5% 98%  
44 3% 96%  
45 4% 94%  
46 4% 90% Last Result
47 5% 86%  
48 6% 81%  
49 9% 75%  
50 6% 67%  
51 7% 61%  
52 6% 54% Median
53 9% 48%  
54 5% 39%  
55 6% 34%  
56 5% 28%  
57 3% 23%  
58 3% 20%  
59 3% 17%  
60 3% 13%  
61 2% 11%  
62 2% 9%  
63 1.5% 7%  
64 1.2% 6%  
65 0.7% 5%  
66 1.0% 4%  
67 0.8% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.4% 2%  
70 0.4% 1.4%  
71 0.2% 1.0%  
72 0.2% 0.8%  
73 0.1% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0% 99.7%  
16 0% 99.7%  
17 0% 99.7%  
18 0% 99.7%  
19 0% 99.7%  
20 0% 99.7%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0% 99.7%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0% 99.7%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.7%  
27 0% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0% 99.7%  
30 0% 99.7%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0% 99.7%  
36 0% 99.7%  
37 0% 99.7%  
38 0.1% 99.7%  
39 0.1% 99.6%  
40 0.1% 99.5%  
41 0.1% 99.4%  
42 0.4% 99.3%  
43 1.1% 98.9%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 95%  
46 3% 92%  
47 4% 89%  
48 3% 85%  
49 2% 82%  
50 0.9% 80%  
51 2% 79%  
52 3% 78%  
53 10% 75%  
54 12% 65%  
55 9% 52% Median
56 9% 43%  
57 6% 33%  
58 5% 27%  
59 4% 23%  
60 2% 19%  
61 1.0% 17%  
62 2% 16%  
63 3% 14%  
64 3% 11%  
65 3% 8%  
66 1.5% 5%  
67 1.3% 4%  
68 0.8% 3%  
69 0.6% 2% Last Result
70 0.5% 1.1%  
71 0.1% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 0% 74%  
5 0% 74%  
6 0% 74%  
7 0% 74%  
8 0% 74%  
9 0% 74%  
10 0% 74%  
11 0% 74%  
12 0% 74%  
13 0% 74%  
14 0% 74%  
15 0% 74%  
16 0% 74%  
17 0% 74%  
18 0% 74%  
19 0% 74%  
20 0% 74%  
21 0% 74%  
22 0% 74%  
23 0% 74%  
24 0% 74%  
25 0% 74%  
26 0% 74%  
27 0% 74%  
28 0% 74%  
29 0% 74%  
30 0% 74%  
31 0% 74%  
32 0% 74%  
33 0% 74%  
34 0% 74%  
35 0% 74%  
36 0% 74%  
37 0.6% 74%  
38 5% 74%  
39 8% 69%  
40 7% 61%  
41 8% 54% Median
42 8% 47%  
43 7% 39%  
44 6% 32%  
45 6% 26%  
46 5% 20%  
47 4% 16%  
48 3% 12%  
49 2% 9%  
50 2% 7%  
51 1.3% 5%  
52 1.1% 3%  
53 0.7% 2%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 0.3% 1.1%  
56 0.3% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 546 100% 532–582 529–586 525–590 519–597
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 467 100% 451–483 446–488 441–491 432–499
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 432 100% 416–460 411–466 407–470 400–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 440 100% 422–456 418–461 412–465 404–474
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 405 100% 388–431 383–438 380–443 373–451
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 393 99.3% 372–411 366–415 362–419 353–426
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 359 62% 342–382 338–387 334–392 326–401
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 324 0.9% 302–341 294–346 289–350 280–358
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 316 0.7% 298–337 294–343 290–347 283–356
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 295 0% 271–312 266–317 261–321 253–331
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 261 0% 245–280 241–285 237–289 231–298
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 172 0% 158–186 154–190 150–194 144–202
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 154 0% 121–168 116–172 112–176 107–185

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0% 100%  
510 0% 100%  
511 0% 100%  
512 0% 100%  
513 0% 99.9%  
514 0% 99.9%  
515 0% 99.9%  
516 0.1% 99.9%  
517 0.1% 99.8%  
518 0.1% 99.7%  
519 0.1% 99.6%  
520 0.2% 99.5%  
521 0.2% 99.3%  
522 0.2% 99.1%  
523 0.3% 98.9%  
524 0.6% 98.6%  
525 0.6% 98%  
526 0.6% 97%  
527 0.7% 97%  
528 0.9% 96%  
529 0.7% 95%  
530 1.1% 94%  
531 2% 93%  
532 2% 91%  
533 1.4% 89%  
534 2% 88%  
535 2% 86%  
536 2% 84%  
537 3% 82%  
538 3% 78%  
539 4% 75%  
540 3% 71%  
541 3% 68%  
542 3% 65%  
543 3% 62%  
544 4% 59%  
545 2% 55%  
546 4% 53%  
547 3% 49%  
548 3% 46%  
549 2% 43%  
550 2% 41%  
551 2% 40%  
552 2% 38% Median
553 2% 35%  
554 1.3% 34%  
555 1.0% 32%  
556 0.8% 31%  
557 1.0% 30%  
558 0.9% 29%  
559 0.9% 28%  
560 0.5% 28%  
561 0.6% 27%  
562 0.5% 27%  
563 0.4% 26%  
564 0.2% 26%  
565 0.5% 25%  
566 0.6% 25%  
567 0.3% 24%  
568 0.5% 24%  
569 0.5% 23%  
570 0.5% 23%  
571 1.1% 22%  
572 0.8% 21%  
573 0.6% 21%  
574 0.9% 20%  
575 2% 19%  
576 0.8% 17%  
577 2% 16%  
578 1.0% 15%  
579 0.9% 14%  
580 1.0% 13%  
581 2% 12%  
582 1.4% 10%  
583 1.4% 9%  
584 1.1% 7%  
585 0.6% 6%  
586 0.7% 6%  
587 1.0% 5%  
588 0.9% 4%  
589 0.3% 3%  
590 0.3% 3%  
591 0.6% 2%  
592 0.3% 2%  
593 0.4% 1.5%  
594 0.1% 1.1%  
595 0.2% 1.0%  
596 0.2% 0.8%  
597 0.2% 0.6%  
598 0.1% 0.4%  
599 0.1% 0.3%  
600 0% 0.2%  
601 0% 0.2%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0.1%  
609 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0% 99.4%  
434 0.2% 99.4%  
435 0.2% 99.2%  
436 0.2% 99.0%  
437 0.2% 98.8%  
438 0.3% 98.6%  
439 0.2% 98%  
440 0.4% 98%  
441 0.5% 98%  
442 0.6% 97%  
443 0.5% 97%  
444 0.5% 96%  
445 0.6% 96%  
446 0.5% 95%  
447 1.3% 95%  
448 0.7% 93%  
449 1.1% 93%  
450 1.1% 91%  
451 1.0% 90%  
452 1.2% 89%  
453 2% 88%  
454 2% 86%  
455 2% 84%  
456 2% 82%  
457 2% 80%  
458 3% 79%  
459 3% 76%  
460 2% 73%  
461 3% 71%  
462 3% 68%  
463 3% 65%  
464 3% 62%  
465 2% 59%  
466 3% 56%  
467 3% 53%  
468 4% 50%  
469 2% 45%  
470 4% 43%  
471 2% 40%  
472 3% 38%  
473 3% 35%  
474 3% 32%  
475 2% 29% Median
476 3% 27%  
477 2% 23%  
478 2% 21%  
479 2% 19%  
480 2% 17%  
481 2% 15%  
482 2% 13%  
483 1.5% 11%  
484 1.2% 10%  
485 2% 9%  
486 0.8% 7%  
487 1.0% 6%  
488 0.9% 5%  
489 0.6% 4%  
490 0.7% 4%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.5% 2%  
493 0.4% 2%  
494 0.4% 2%  
495 0.2% 1.2%  
496 0.2% 1.0%  
497 0.1% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.1% 99.6%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.2% 99.2%  
404 0.3% 99.0%  
405 0.4% 98.7%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.5% 98%  
408 0.4% 97%  
409 0.6% 97%  
410 1.0% 96%  
411 0.7% 95%  
412 1.1% 95%  
413 1.0% 94%  
414 0.8% 93%  
415 2% 92%  
416 2% 90%  
417 2% 88%  
418 1.3% 86%  
419 1.4% 85%  
420 2% 83%  
421 2% 81%  
422 3% 79%  
423 3% 76%  
424 2% 73%  
425 2% 71%  
426 4% 69%  
427 3% 65%  
428 3% 62%  
429 3% 58%  
430 2% 56%  
431 2% 54%  
432 2% 52%  
433 4% 50%  
434 2% 46% Median
435 3% 44%  
436 2% 41%  
437 2% 40%  
438 2% 38%  
439 1.5% 36%  
440 2% 35%  
441 2% 32%  
442 2% 31%  
443 1.0% 29%  
444 1.1% 28%  
445 2% 27%  
446 1.3% 25%  
447 2% 24%  
448 0.6% 22%  
449 1.1% 22%  
450 1.1% 21%  
451 0.9% 20%  
452 0.9% 19%  
453 2% 18%  
454 1.4% 16%  
455 1.2% 15%  
456 0.8% 14%  
457 0.8% 13%  
458 1.1% 12%  
459 0.9% 11%  
460 1.1% 10%  
461 1.0% 9%  
462 1.0% 8%  
463 0.9% 7%  
464 0.6% 6%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.7% 5%  
467 0.6% 4%  
468 0.4% 4%  
469 0.4% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.4% 2%  
474 0.3% 1.5%  
475 0.2% 1.2%  
476 0.2% 1.0%  
477 0.1% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.6%  
479 0.1% 0.6%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0% 0.3%  
482 0.1% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0.1% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0% 99.5%  
406 0.1% 99.4%  
407 0.3% 99.3%  
408 0.1% 99.0%  
409 0.1% 98.9%  
410 0.4% 98.7%  
411 0.7% 98%  
412 0.2% 98%  
413 0.3% 97%  
414 0.6% 97%  
415 0.6% 97%  
416 0.6% 96%  
417 0.3% 95%  
418 0.9% 95%  
419 1.5% 94%  
420 0.9% 93%  
421 0.8% 92%  
422 1.1% 91%  
423 3% 90%  
424 1.3% 87%  
425 1.2% 86%  
426 1.4% 85%  
427 1.1% 83%  
428 2% 82%  
429 2% 81%  
430 2% 79%  
431 4% 77%  
432 2% 73%  
433 2% 71%  
434 2% 69%  
435 4% 67%  
436 2% 63%  
437 3% 61%  
438 3% 58%  
439 2% 55%  
440 4% 53%  
441 3% 49%  
442 5% 46%  
443 4% 42%  
444 3% 38%  
445 2% 34%  
446 3% 32%  
447 3% 30%  
448 2% 27% Median
449 3% 25%  
450 3% 22%  
451 2% 19%  
452 2% 17%  
453 1.2% 15%  
454 2% 14%  
455 2% 12%  
456 1.0% 10%  
457 1.0% 9%  
458 1.3% 8%  
459 0.9% 7%  
460 0.9% 6%  
461 0.9% 5%  
462 0.7% 4%  
463 0.5% 4%  
464 0.5% 3%  
465 0.4% 3%  
466 0.4% 2%  
467 0.3% 2%  
468 0.2% 2%  
469 0.2% 1.3%  
470 0.2% 1.1%  
471 0.2% 0.9%  
472 0.1% 0.8%  
473 0.1% 0.7%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3% Last Result
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.2% 99.4%  
375 0.2% 99.2%  
376 0.3% 99.0%  
377 0.3% 98.8%  
378 0.4% 98%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 0.5% 97%  
382 0.8% 97%  
383 1.0% 96%  
384 0.7% 95%  
385 1.5% 94%  
386 0.7% 93%  
387 1.3% 92%  
388 1.2% 91%  
389 1.5% 90%  
390 2% 88%  
391 2% 86%  
392 1.4% 84%  
393 2% 82%  
394 4% 81%  
395 3% 77%  
396 3% 75%  
397 3% 72%  
398 2% 69%  
399 2% 67% Last Result
400 3% 65%  
401 3% 61%  
402 2% 58%  
403 3% 56%  
404 3% 53%  
405 3% 50%  
406 3% 48%  
407 2% 45% Median
408 2% 43%  
409 2% 41%  
410 2% 39%  
411 3% 37%  
412 1.4% 34%  
413 2% 33%  
414 2% 32%  
415 2% 30%  
416 1.2% 28%  
417 1.2% 27%  
418 1.5% 26%  
419 2% 24%  
420 0.9% 22%  
421 1.0% 21%  
422 1.1% 20%  
423 2% 19%  
424 1.1% 17%  
425 0.8% 16%  
426 0.8% 15%  
427 0.8% 14%  
428 0.8% 13%  
429 0.4% 13%  
430 0.7% 12%  
431 2% 11%  
432 0.3% 9%  
433 0.7% 9%  
434 0.4% 8%  
435 1.3% 8%  
436 0.7% 7%  
437 0.3% 6%  
438 0.9% 6%  
439 0.3% 5%  
440 0.9% 4%  
441 0.3% 3%  
442 0.2% 3%  
443 1.1% 3%  
444 0.3% 2%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.2% 1.3%  
447 0.2% 1.2%  
448 0.2% 0.9%  
449 0.1% 0.7%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0.1% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.3% Majority
356 0.1% 99.2%  
357 0.2% 99.1%  
358 0.3% 98.9%  
359 0.3% 98.6%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.5% 98%  
363 0.8% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.6% 96%  
366 0.9% 96%  
367 0.5% 95%  
368 1.0% 94%  
369 0.6% 93%  
370 0.4% 93%  
371 1.2% 92%  
372 1.2% 91%  
373 0.7% 90%  
374 1.1% 89%  
375 0.8% 88%  
376 1.0% 87%  
377 2% 86%  
378 1.0% 84%  
379 0.8% 83%  
380 1.3% 82%  
381 2% 81%  
382 1.4% 79%  
383 2% 78%  
384 2% 76%  
385 2% 73%  
386 2% 71%  
387 4% 69%  
388 1.4% 65%  
389 2% 64%  
390 4% 62%  
391 1.5% 58%  
392 3% 56%  
393 3% 53%  
394 2% 50%  
395 3% 48%  
396 4% 45%  
397 2% 41%  
398 4% 39%  
399 3% 35%  
400 3% 33% Median
401 2% 30%  
402 2% 27%  
403 2% 25%  
404 2% 24%  
405 3% 21%  
406 2% 18%  
407 2% 17%  
408 2% 15%  
409 1.4% 13%  
410 1.3% 11%  
411 2% 10%  
412 1.0% 9%  
413 1.3% 8%  
414 1.0% 6%  
415 0.7% 5%  
416 0.9% 5%  
417 0.7% 4%  
418 0.3% 3%  
419 0.6% 3%  
420 0.3% 2% Last Result
421 0.4% 2%  
422 0.3% 1.5%  
423 0.2% 1.1%  
424 0.1% 0.9%  
425 0.2% 0.8%  
426 0.1% 0.6%  
427 0.1% 0.5%  
428 0.1% 0.4%  
429 0.1% 0.3%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 99.9%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6%  
327 0.1% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.4%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.2% 99.0%  
331 0.2% 98.8%  
332 0.4% 98.5%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 0.5% 98%  
335 0.6% 97%  
336 0.6% 97%  
337 0.4% 96%  
338 1.1% 96%  
339 1.2% 94%  
340 0.9% 93% Last Result
341 1.3% 92%  
342 2% 91%  
343 1.3% 89%  
344 2% 88%  
345 2% 86%  
346 1.1% 84%  
347 3% 83%  
348 2% 80%  
349 1.5% 77%  
350 2% 76%  
351 3% 73%  
352 2% 70%  
353 3% 68%  
354 3% 65%  
355 4% 62% Majority
356 2% 58%  
357 2% 56%  
358 3% 54%  
359 3% 51% Median
360 1.3% 48%  
361 5% 46%  
362 2% 42%  
363 2% 40%  
364 2% 37%  
365 2% 35%  
366 3% 33%  
367 2% 31%  
368 2% 29%  
369 1.3% 27%  
370 2% 26%  
371 2% 24%  
372 2% 22%  
373 1.2% 20%  
374 2% 19%  
375 0.8% 18%  
376 1.3% 17%  
377 2% 15%  
378 0.8% 14%  
379 0.8% 13%  
380 0.7% 12%  
381 0.7% 11%  
382 0.9% 11%  
383 1.2% 10%  
384 1.2% 9%  
385 1.0% 8%  
386 1.0% 6%  
387 0.8% 6%  
388 0.4% 5%  
389 0.5% 4%  
390 0.8% 4%  
391 0.4% 3%  
392 0.3% 3%  
393 0.3% 2%  
394 0.3% 2%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.3% 1.4%  
397 0.2% 1.1%  
398 0.2% 0.9%  
399 0.1% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.5%  
402 0.1% 0.4%  
403 0% 0.4%  
404 0.1% 0.3%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0.1% 99.8%  
278 0.1% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.6%  
280 0.2% 99.5%  
281 0.1% 99.3%  
282 0.1% 99.2%  
283 0% 99.2%  
284 0.3% 99.1%  
285 0.2% 98.9%  
286 0.1% 98.6%  
287 0.1% 98.6%  
288 0.8% 98%  
289 0.3% 98%  
290 0.3% 97%  
291 1.5% 97%  
292 0.4% 96%  
293 0.2% 95%  
294 0.1% 95%  
295 1.2% 95%  
296 0.4% 94%  
297 0.3% 93%  
298 0.9% 93%  
299 0.9% 92%  
300 0.6% 91%  
301 0.4% 91%  
302 3% 90%  
303 1.5% 88%  
304 0.6% 86%  
305 0.7% 86%  
306 1.3% 85%  
307 1.1% 84%  
308 0.7% 83%  
309 1.1% 82%  
310 2% 81%  
311 1.1% 79%  
312 1.1% 78%  
313 3% 77%  
314 3% 74%  
315 2% 72%  
316 2% 69%  
317 2% 67%  
318 1.5% 65%  
319 2% 63%  
320 2% 62%  
321 3% 60%  
322 2% 57%  
323 3% 55%  
324 3% 52%  
325 2% 49%  
326 4% 46% Last Result
327 4% 43%  
328 3% 39%  
329 2% 36%  
330 2% 34% Median
331 3% 33%  
332 2% 30%  
333 2% 28%  
334 2% 26%  
335 2% 24%  
336 2% 22%  
337 3% 19%  
338 2% 17%  
339 2% 14%  
340 2% 13%  
341 2% 11%  
342 1.2% 9%  
343 0.7% 8%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.8% 7%  
346 1.0% 6%  
347 0.7% 5%  
348 0.5% 4%  
349 0.6% 4%  
350 0.7% 3%  
351 0.6% 2%  
352 0.5% 2%  
353 0.2% 1.3%  
354 0.2% 1.1%  
355 0.2% 0.9% Majority
356 0.1% 0.8%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0.1% 0.6%  
359 0.1% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0.1% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0.1% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.5%  
284 0.2% 99.4%  
285 0.1% 99.2%  
286 0.2% 99.1%  
287 0.3% 98.9%  
288 0.4% 98.5%  
289 0.3% 98% Last Result
290 0.6% 98%  
291 0.3% 97%  
292 0.7% 97%  
293 0.9% 96%  
294 0.7% 95%  
295 1.0% 95%  
296 1.3% 94%  
297 1.0% 92%  
298 2% 91%  
299 1.3% 90%  
300 1.4% 89%  
301 2% 87%  
302 2% 85%  
303 2% 83%  
304 3% 82%  
305 2% 79%  
306 2% 76%  
307 2% 75%  
308 2% 73%  
309 3% 70%  
310 3% 67%  
311 4% 65%  
312 2% 61%  
313 4% 59%  
314 3% 55%  
315 2% 52%  
316 3% 50%  
317 3% 47%  
318 1.5% 44% Median
319 4% 42%  
320 2% 38%  
321 1.4% 36%  
322 4% 35%  
323 2% 31%  
324 2% 29%  
325 2% 27%  
326 2% 24%  
327 1.4% 22%  
328 2% 21%  
329 1.3% 19%  
330 0.8% 18%  
331 1.0% 17%  
332 2% 16%  
333 1.0% 14%  
334 0.8% 13%  
335 1.1% 12%  
336 0.7% 11%  
337 1.2% 10%  
338 1.2% 9%  
339 0.4% 8%  
340 0.6% 7%  
341 1.0% 7%  
342 0.5% 6%  
343 0.9% 5%  
344 0.6% 4%  
345 0.4% 4%  
346 0.8% 3%  
347 0.5% 3%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.3% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.3% 1.4%  
352 0.2% 1.1%  
353 0.1% 0.9%  
354 0.1% 0.8%  
355 0.1% 0.7% Majority
356 0.1% 0.5%  
357 0% 0.4%  
358 0.1% 0.3%  
359 0.1% 0.3%  
360 0% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0.1% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.7%  
252 0.1% 99.6%  
253 0.1% 99.5%  
254 0.1% 99.4%  
255 0.1% 99.3%  
256 0.2% 99.2%  
257 0.2% 99.0%  
258 0.2% 98.8%  
259 0.2% 98.5%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.6% 98%  
262 0.5% 97%  
263 0.5% 97%  
264 0.6% 96%  
265 0.4% 96%  
266 1.0% 95%  
267 2% 94%  
268 1.0% 93%  
269 1.0% 92%  
270 0.6% 91%  
271 0.7% 90%  
272 0.4% 90%  
273 2% 89%  
274 0.9% 87%  
275 1.1% 87%  
276 1.0% 85%  
277 0.7% 84%  
278 0.9% 84%  
279 1.4% 83%  
280 2% 81%  
281 1.3% 80%  
282 1.0% 78%  
283 1.3% 77%  
284 2% 76%  
285 1.3% 74%  
286 1.4% 73%  
287 2% 71%  
288 2% 69%  
289 3% 68%  
290 2% 65%  
291 1.4% 62%  
292 2% 61%  
293 2% 59%  
294 3% 57%  
295 4% 54%  
296 2% 49%  
297 2% 47%  
298 2% 45%  
299 3% 43%  
300 4% 39% Last Result
301 3% 36%  
302 2% 33%  
303 2% 31%  
304 2% 29% Median
305 4% 27%  
306 3% 23%  
307 1.2% 20%  
308 2% 19%  
309 2% 17%  
310 2% 15%  
311 3% 13%  
312 0.8% 11%  
313 0.9% 10%  
314 0.9% 9%  
315 1.4% 8%  
316 1.4% 7%  
317 0.6% 5%  
318 0.4% 5%  
319 0.4% 4%  
320 0.6% 4%  
321 0.6% 3%  
322 0.4% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.3% 1.3%  
327 0.2% 1.0%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0.1% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.4%  
333 0.1% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0% 0.3%  
336 0% 0.2%  
337 0% 0.2%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100% Last Result
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.9%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.1% 99.8%  
230 0.1% 99.7%  
231 0.1% 99.6%  
232 0.2% 99.5%  
233 0.2% 99.2%  
234 0.2% 99.0%  
235 0.4% 98.8%  
236 0.4% 98%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.5% 97%  
239 0.7% 97%  
240 0.7% 96%  
241 1.1% 96%  
242 1.1% 95%  
243 1.0% 93%  
244 2% 92%  
245 2% 91%  
246 2% 89%  
247 2% 87%  
248 2% 86%  
249 2% 83%  
250 2% 82%  
251 4% 79%  
252 2% 76%  
253 2% 74%  
254 3% 72%  
255 3% 69%  
256 3% 66%  
257 3% 63%  
258 3% 60%  
259 3% 57%  
260 3% 54%  
261 3% 51%  
262 3% 48%  
263 3% 46% Median
264 3% 42%  
265 2% 39%  
266 4% 37%  
267 3% 34%  
268 2% 31%  
269 3% 29%  
270 2% 26%  
271 2% 24%  
272 2% 22%  
273 2% 20%  
274 1.4% 18%  
275 2% 17%  
276 1.4% 15%  
277 1.1% 14%  
278 0.9% 12%  
279 1.2% 12%  
280 2% 10%  
281 1.2% 9%  
282 0.6% 8%  
283 0.7% 7%  
284 0.8% 6%  
285 0.6% 5%  
286 0.7% 5%  
287 0.7% 4%  
288 0.5% 3%  
289 0.5% 3%  
290 0.4% 2%  
291 0.3% 2%  
292 0.3% 2%  
293 0.2% 1.3%  
294 0.1% 1.1%  
295 0.2% 0.9%  
296 0.1% 0.8%  
297 0.1% 0.6%  
298 0.1% 0.5%  
299 0.1% 0.4%  
300 0% 0.3%  
301 0.1% 0.3%  
302 0% 0.2%  
303 0% 0.2%  
304 0% 0.1%  
305 0% 0.1%  
306 0% 0.1%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.1% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.4%  
147 0.3% 99.2%  
148 0.4% 98.9%  
149 0.5% 98.5%  
150 0.5% 98%  
151 0.6% 97%  
152 0.8% 97%  
153 0.7% 96%  
154 0.7% 95%  
155 1.4% 95%  
156 1.1% 93%  
157 1.4% 92%  
158 2% 91%  
159 2% 89%  
160 2% 86%  
161 2% 84%  
162 3% 82%  
163 3% 79%  
164 2% 77%  
165 3% 75%  
166 4% 72%  
167 3% 68%  
168 2% 66%  
169 3% 63%  
170 4% 60%  
171 4% 56%  
172 5% 52%  
173 5% 46% Median
174 3% 42%  
175 4% 39%  
176 3% 35%  
177 2% 32%  
178 2% 30%  
179 3% 28%  
180 3% 25%  
181 2% 21%  
182 3% 19%  
183 3% 16%  
184 1.4% 14%  
185 2% 12%  
186 2% 11%  
187 0.9% 9%  
188 0.6% 8%  
189 1.0% 7%  
190 2% 6%  
191 0.7% 5%  
192 0.4% 4%  
193 0.6% 4%  
194 0.5% 3%  
195 0.3% 2%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.2% 1.2%  
199 0.1% 1.0%  
200 0.1% 0.9%  
201 0.3% 0.8%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.5%  
204 0.1% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.3% 99.4%  
109 0.4% 99.1%  
110 0.6% 98.7%  
111 0.3% 98%  
112 0.4% 98%  
113 0.5% 97%  
114 0.5% 97%  
115 0.8% 96%  
116 1.1% 96%  
117 1.0% 95%  
118 0.4% 94%  
119 0.5% 93%  
120 0.8% 93%  
121 2% 92%  
122 1.4% 90%  
123 2% 88%  
124 2% 86%  
125 0.9% 85%  
126 0.9% 84%  
127 2% 83%  
128 1.0% 81%  
129 1.2% 80%  
130 0.7% 79%  
131 0.5% 78%  
132 0.3% 78%  
133 0.8% 78%  
134 0.8% 77%  
135 0.3% 76%  
136 0.3% 76%  
137 0.2% 76%  
138 0.3% 75%  
139 0.3% 75%  
140 0.6% 75%  
141 0.6% 74%  
142 1.3% 73%  
143 1.2% 72%  
144 1.1% 71%  
145 0.8% 70%  
146 1.1% 69%  
147 1.5% 68%  
148 3% 67%  
149 2% 64%  
150 2% 62%  
151 2% 60%  
152 2% 58%  
153 2% 55%  
154 3% 53%  
155 3% 50%  
156 2% 46%  
157 4% 44%  
158 3% 40%  
159 3% 36% Median
160 6% 33%  
161 3% 27%  
162 2% 24%  
163 3% 22%  
164 2% 19%  
165 2% 17%  
166 2% 14%  
167 2% 12%  
168 1.3% 10%  
169 2% 9%  
170 1.0% 7%  
171 0.9% 6%  
172 1.0% 6%  
173 0.6% 5%  
174 0.6% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 0.5% 3%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.2% 1.4%  
181 0.2% 1.2%  
182 0.2% 1.0%  
183 0.1% 0.8%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations