Opinion Poll by Forsa, 11–15 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 26.8% 31.7% 30.3–33.1% 29.9–33.5% 29.6–33.8% 29.0–34.5%
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 16.0% 15.0–17.1% 14.6–17.5% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 20.5% 15.0% 14.0–16.1% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.7% 13.0–17.2%
Alternative für Deutschland 12.6% 9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.4% 7.4–10.8%
Die Linke 9.2% 8.0% 7.3–8.9% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.8%
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 6.2% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Freie Demokratische Partei 10.7% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands 200 241 232–255 228–256 225–262 220–266
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 67 122 114–131 112–133 110–135 106–141
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 153 114 107–122 104–125 102–128 99–132
Alternative für Deutschland 94 69 62–75 61–76 60–79 57–83
Die Linke 69 61 56–67 53–69 52–71 50–74
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 46 56 50–63 49–64 47–65 45–69
Freie Demokratische Partei 80 46 40–52 39–53 0–54 0–57

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100% Last Result
201 0% 100%  
202 0% 100%  
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0.1% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.8%  
219 0.2% 99.8%  
220 0.2% 99.6%  
221 0.1% 99.4%  
222 0.1% 99.3%  
223 0.2% 99.2%  
224 0.9% 99.0%  
225 1.2% 98%  
226 0.7% 97%  
227 0.4% 96%  
228 1.5% 96%  
229 0.3% 94%  
230 2% 94%  
231 2% 93%  
232 6% 91%  
233 0.9% 84%  
234 5% 84%  
235 4% 78%  
236 0.9% 74%  
237 1.2% 73%  
238 7% 72%  
239 6% 65%  
240 2% 59%  
241 13% 57% Median
242 2% 45%  
243 0.6% 42%  
244 3% 42%  
245 4% 38%  
246 4% 35%  
247 6% 31%  
248 8% 25%  
249 2% 17%  
250 0.5% 15%  
251 0.8% 14%  
252 0.6% 14%  
253 0.6% 13%  
254 2% 12%  
255 5% 11%  
256 0.8% 5%  
257 0.2% 4%  
258 0.5% 4%  
259 0.3% 3%  
260 0.1% 3%  
261 0.4% 3%  
262 0.3% 3%  
263 1.4% 2%  
264 0.3% 0.9%  
265 0.1% 0.6%  
266 0.3% 0.6%  
267 0% 0.3%  
268 0% 0.3%  
269 0.1% 0.2%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0.1% 0.1%  
272 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bündnis 90/Die Grünen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100% Last Result
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.8%  
106 0.4% 99.6%  
107 0.3% 99.2%  
108 0.3% 98.9%  
109 0.8% 98.6%  
110 1.1% 98%  
111 0.9% 97%  
112 2% 96%  
113 2% 93%  
114 2% 91%  
115 4% 90%  
116 2% 85%  
117 3% 83%  
118 11% 80%  
119 4% 69%  
120 5% 65%  
121 5% 61%  
122 11% 56% Median
123 5% 45%  
124 4% 40%  
125 3% 36%  
126 4% 33%  
127 4% 29%  
128 5% 25%  
129 5% 19%  
130 4% 15%  
131 2% 11%  
132 2% 9%  
133 3% 7%  
134 2% 5%  
135 0.4% 3%  
136 0.5% 2%  
137 0.7% 2%  
138 0.5% 1.3%  
139 0.1% 0.8%  
140 0.1% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.2%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.6%  
99 0.5% 99.5%  
100 0.4% 99.0%  
101 0.6% 98.6%  
102 1.2% 98%  
103 0.7% 97%  
104 2% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 0.7% 92%  
107 7% 91%  
108 2% 85%  
109 5% 83%  
110 6% 78%  
111 6% 72%  
112 4% 66%  
113 6% 63%  
114 10% 56% Median
115 2% 46%  
116 11% 44%  
117 6% 32%  
118 7% 26%  
119 3% 19%  
120 2% 16%  
121 3% 14%  
122 2% 11%  
123 2% 9%  
124 1.0% 7%  
125 1.4% 6%  
126 1.4% 5%  
127 0.4% 3%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.9% 2%  
131 0.2% 1.0%  
132 0.5% 0.8%  
133 0.1% 0.4%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0.1% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0% Last Result

Alternative für Deutschland

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternative für Deutschland page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.6% 99.5%  
58 0.5% 98.9%  
59 0.3% 98%  
60 2% 98%  
61 6% 96%  
62 5% 90%  
63 1.4% 85%  
64 4% 84%  
65 9% 80%  
66 13% 71%  
67 4% 59%  
68 3% 55%  
69 13% 52% Median
70 9% 38%  
71 6% 29%  
72 2% 23%  
73 5% 21%  
74 4% 16%  
75 7% 13%  
76 1.1% 6%  
77 0.6% 5%  
78 0.8% 4%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 0.2% 1.3%  
82 0.2% 1.1%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0% Last Result

Die Linke

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Linke page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 0.6% 99.5%  
51 1.2% 98.9%  
52 1.0% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 2% 94%  
55 1.4% 93%  
56 9% 91%  
57 5% 82%  
58 9% 78%  
59 7% 69%  
60 7% 61%  
61 8% 55% Median
62 10% 47%  
63 6% 37%  
64 3% 31%  
65 8% 28%  
66 2% 20%  
67 8% 18%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 6% Last Result
70 1.5% 4%  
71 0.8% 3%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.8%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.3% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.6%  
46 0.5% 99.3% Last Result
47 2% 98.9%  
48 1.0% 97%  
49 5% 96%  
50 5% 91%  
51 5% 87%  
52 8% 81%  
53 4% 73%  
54 6% 69%  
55 5% 63%  
56 12% 59% Median
57 7% 46%  
58 3% 39%  
59 5% 36%  
60 10% 30%  
61 6% 20%  
62 3% 14%  
63 6% 11%  
64 1.4% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.9% 2%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.5% 1.2%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Freie Demokratische Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freie Demokratische Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0% 96%  
16 0% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0% 96%  
19 0% 96%  
20 0% 96%  
21 0% 96%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0% 96%  
24 0% 96%  
25 0% 96%  
26 0% 96%  
27 0% 96%  
28 0% 96%  
29 0% 96%  
30 0% 96%  
31 0% 96%  
32 0% 96%  
33 0% 96%  
34 0% 96%  
35 0% 96%  
36 0% 96%  
37 0% 96%  
38 0.3% 96%  
39 3% 96%  
40 4% 93%  
41 6% 89%  
42 5% 83%  
43 9% 78%  
44 8% 68%  
45 8% 61%  
46 5% 52% Median
47 7% 47%  
48 12% 40%  
49 7% 29%  
50 3% 22%  
51 6% 19%  
52 6% 13%  
53 3% 7%  
54 2% 4%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.7% 1.5%  
57 0.4% 0.8%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 466 535 100% 523–544 522–550 518–568 513–575
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 393 467 100% 454–475 450–478 447–479 440–485
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 479 457 100% 446–467 442–469 438–473 431–479
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 313 421 100% 409–432 405–437 402–448 397–456
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 399 411 100% 401–423 397–429 394–435 390–449
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 420 412 100% 399–423 395–425 391–427 385–433
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 340 366 91% 356–380 351–383 347–390 345–399
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei 326 345 5% 331–354 328–355 318–360 315–365
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 289 297 0% 286–310 284–314 282–318 276–324
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 300 281 0% 271–293 265–296 257–299 243–304
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 220 236 0% 228–248 223–252 221–253 215–259
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke 222 175 0% 167–185 163–188 161–191 158–197
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei 233 160 0% 150–169 146–172 126–174 115–179

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
466 0% 100% Last Result
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 100%  
469 0% 100%  
470 0% 100%  
471 0% 100%  
472 0% 100%  
473 0% 100%  
474 0% 100%  
475 0% 100%  
476 0% 100%  
477 0% 100%  
478 0% 100%  
479 0% 100%  
480 0% 100%  
481 0% 100%  
482 0% 100%  
483 0% 100%  
484 0% 100%  
485 0% 100%  
486 0% 100%  
487 0% 100%  
488 0% 100%  
489 0% 100%  
490 0% 100%  
491 0% 100%  
492 0% 100%  
493 0% 100%  
494 0% 100%  
495 0% 100%  
496 0% 100%  
497 0% 100%  
498 0% 100%  
499 0% 100%  
500 0% 100%  
501 0% 100%  
502 0% 100%  
503 0% 100%  
504 0% 100%  
505 0% 100%  
506 0% 100%  
507 0% 100%  
508 0% 100%  
509 0.1% 99.9%  
510 0% 99.9%  
511 0% 99.8%  
512 0.2% 99.8%  
513 0.1% 99.6%  
514 0.1% 99.4%  
515 0.4% 99.4%  
516 0.7% 98.9%  
517 0.3% 98%  
518 0.8% 98%  
519 1.1% 97%  
520 0.4% 96%  
521 0.3% 96%  
522 5% 95%  
523 1.2% 90%  
524 1.2% 89%  
525 4% 88%  
526 2% 83%  
527 2% 82%  
528 4% 80%  
529 4% 76%  
530 5% 72%  
531 1.4% 67%  
532 6% 66%  
533 3% 60% Median
534 1.1% 57%  
535 7% 56%  
536 13% 49%  
537 6% 37%  
538 2% 31%  
539 7% 28%  
540 1.5% 21%  
541 6% 19%  
542 0.4% 14%  
543 2% 13%  
544 3% 12%  
545 2% 9%  
546 0.3% 7%  
547 1.3% 7%  
548 0.2% 5%  
549 0.1% 5%  
550 0.6% 5%  
551 0.5% 4%  
552 0% 4%  
553 0.2% 4%  
554 0.1% 4%  
555 0% 4%  
556 0% 4%  
557 0% 4%  
558 0% 4%  
559 0.3% 3%  
560 0% 3%  
561 0% 3%  
562 0% 3%  
563 0.1% 3%  
564 0% 3%  
565 0% 3%  
566 0% 3%  
567 0.2% 3%  
568 1.1% 3%  
569 0% 2%  
570 0.1% 2%  
571 0.2% 1.5%  
572 0.3% 1.3%  
573 0% 1.0%  
574 0.5% 1.0%  
575 0% 0.5%  
576 0% 0.5%  
577 0% 0.4%  
578 0% 0.4%  
579 0.2% 0.4%  
580 0.1% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
393 0% 100% Last Result
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0.1% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.6%  
440 0.2% 99.6%  
441 0.1% 99.3%  
442 0.1% 99.3%  
443 0.2% 99.2%  
444 0.5% 99.0%  
445 0.7% 98%  
446 0.1% 98%  
447 0.9% 98%  
448 0.9% 97%  
449 0.4% 96%  
450 1.2% 95%  
451 2% 94%  
452 1.3% 93%  
453 0.9% 91%  
454 2% 90%  
455 1.2% 88%  
456 2% 87%  
457 3% 85%  
458 2% 82%  
459 2% 80%  
460 4% 79%  
461 4% 74%  
462 0.8% 70%  
463 6% 70%  
464 5% 63%  
465 2% 58% Median
466 2% 55%  
467 6% 53%  
468 6% 46%  
469 5% 41%  
470 12% 35%  
471 0.9% 23%  
472 8% 22%  
473 0.9% 14%  
474 1.2% 13%  
475 5% 12%  
476 0.6% 7%  
477 0.7% 7%  
478 2% 6%  
479 2% 4%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.7% 2%  
483 0.3% 1.0%  
484 0.1% 0.7%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0.1% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
419 0.1% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.7%  
431 0.3% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.3%  
433 0% 99.3%  
434 0.2% 99.2%  
435 1.1% 99.0%  
436 0.1% 98%  
437 0.1% 98%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.3% 97%  
440 0.5% 97%  
441 0.5% 96%  
442 1.0% 96%  
443 2% 95%  
444 0.3% 93%  
445 2% 93%  
446 0.9% 91%  
447 3% 90%  
448 3% 87%  
449 3% 84%  
450 6% 81%  
451 2% 75%  
452 7% 73%  
453 6% 66%  
454 2% 60%  
455 2% 58%  
456 4% 56%  
457 2% 52% Median
458 3% 50%  
459 1.1% 47%  
460 3% 46%  
461 4% 43%  
462 8% 38%  
463 3% 30%  
464 6% 28%  
465 3% 21%  
466 6% 18%  
467 2% 12%  
468 4% 10%  
469 3% 6%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.7% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.5% 3%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.1% 1.3%  
478 0.5% 1.1%  
479 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
480 0.1% 0.4%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0.1% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
313 0% 100% Last Result
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100%  
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100% Majority
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0.1% 99.9%  
394 0.2% 99.9%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.1% 99.6%  
398 0.3% 99.5%  
399 0.7% 99.2%  
400 0.5% 98%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.3% 98%  
403 0.4% 97%  
404 1.1% 97%  
405 3% 96%  
406 1.2% 93%  
407 0.7% 92%  
408 0.3% 91%  
409 1.0% 91%  
410 2% 90%  
411 4% 88%  
412 3% 84%  
413 1.1% 81%  
414 1.4% 79%  
415 5% 78%  
416 6% 73%  
417 4% 66%  
418 1.0% 62%  
419 1.1% 61% Median
420 5% 60%  
421 11% 56%  
422 9% 45%  
423 6% 36%  
424 3% 29%  
425 0.9% 27%  
426 4% 26%  
427 3% 21%  
428 2% 19%  
429 5% 16%  
430 0.4% 11%  
431 0.8% 11%  
432 1.0% 10%  
433 3% 9%  
434 0.1% 6%  
435 0.2% 6%  
436 0.3% 6%  
437 0.8% 5%  
438 0.3% 4%  
439 0.4% 4%  
440 0.5% 4%  
441 0.1% 3%  
442 0% 3%  
443 0% 3%  
444 0.4% 3%  
445 0.1% 3%  
446 0% 3%  
447 0% 3%  
448 0.5% 3%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0% 2%  
451 1.1% 2%  
452 0.1% 0.8%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0% 0.5%  
457 0.2% 0.5%  
458 0% 0.3%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0.1% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
383 0% 100%  
384 0.1% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.7%  
390 0.4% 99.6%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.3% 99.0%  
393 0.3% 98.8%  
394 1.1% 98%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 2% 97%  
397 0.4% 95%  
398 1.1% 95%  
399 2% 94% Last Result
400 1.2% 91%  
401 2% 90%  
402 2% 89%  
403 0.9% 86%  
404 4% 86%  
405 7% 82%  
406 5% 74%  
407 3% 70%  
408 6% 66%  
409 1.1% 60%  
410 6% 59%  
411 4% 53% Median
412 1.0% 50%  
413 4% 49%  
414 7% 45%  
415 5% 38%  
416 1.3% 33%  
417 5% 32%  
418 0.7% 26%  
419 3% 26%  
420 3% 23%  
421 5% 20%  
422 0.9% 15%  
423 4% 14%  
424 0.5% 9%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.7% 8%  
427 1.0% 7%  
428 1.3% 6%  
429 0.4% 5%  
430 0.4% 5%  
431 0.7% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.1% 3%  
434 0.3% 3%  
435 1.0% 3%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0% 1.5%  
441 0.2% 1.5%  
442 0.6% 1.3%  
443 0% 0.6%  
444 0% 0.6%  
445 0% 0.6%  
446 0% 0.6%  
447 0% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.5%  
449 0.2% 0.5%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.3%  
452 0% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0.1% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0.1% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.7%  
383 0% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.6%  
385 0.5% 99.5%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0% 98.9%  
388 0.2% 98.9%  
389 0.1% 98.7%  
390 0.3% 98.6%  
391 1.2% 98%  
392 1.3% 97%  
393 0.3% 96%  
394 0.2% 95%  
395 0.3% 95%  
396 1.1% 95%  
397 2% 94%  
398 1.0% 92%  
399 1.2% 91%  
400 1.2% 90%  
401 2% 89%  
402 4% 87%  
403 2% 83%  
404 5% 81%  
405 3% 76%  
406 4% 73%  
407 3% 69%  
408 2% 66%  
409 3% 64%  
410 2% 61%  
411 6% 59%  
412 6% 53% Median
413 6% 47%  
414 2% 41%  
415 2% 39%  
416 7% 37%  
417 7% 30%  
418 3% 22%  
419 2% 20%  
420 4% 17% Last Result
421 0.8% 14%  
422 1.3% 13%  
423 5% 11%  
424 0.8% 7%  
425 1.4% 6%  
426 0.7% 5%  
427 1.4% 4%  
428 0.5% 2%  
429 0.5% 2%  
430 0.3% 1.5%  
431 0.3% 1.2%  
432 0.2% 0.8%  
433 0.1% 0.6%  
434 0.2% 0.5%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.3%  
437 0.1% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Alternative für Deutschland – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
338 0.1% 100%  
339 0.1% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9% Last Result
341 0% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.8%  
343 0.1% 99.7%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.2% 99.6%  
346 1.2% 99.4%  
347 1.4% 98%  
348 0.3% 97%  
349 0.2% 97%  
350 0.7% 96%  
351 1.4% 96%  
352 1.5% 94%  
353 0.5% 93%  
354 1.0% 92%  
355 1.1% 91% Majority
356 3% 90%  
357 2% 87%  
358 5% 84%  
359 4% 80%  
360 5% 76%  
361 1.4% 71%  
362 2% 70%  
363 4% 68%  
364 6% 64%  
365 3% 58%  
366 6% 55% Median
367 4% 49%  
368 8% 45%  
369 7% 37%  
370 3% 30%  
371 2% 26%  
372 0.8% 24%  
373 2% 23%  
374 4% 21%  
375 2% 17%  
376 1.4% 15%  
377 0.4% 13%  
378 0.5% 13%  
379 0.9% 12%  
380 6% 12%  
381 0.3% 6%  
382 0.2% 6%  
383 0.4% 5%  
384 0.3% 5%  
385 0.7% 5%  
386 0.4% 4%  
387 0.5% 4%  
388 0.3% 3%  
389 0.2% 3%  
390 0.2% 3%  
391 1.1% 2%  
392 0.3% 1.4%  
393 0% 1.0%  
394 0% 1.0%  
395 0.1% 1.0%  
396 0.1% 0.9%  
397 0.1% 0.9%  
398 0% 0.8%  
399 0.3% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.4%  
401 0% 0.4%  
402 0% 0.4%  
403 0.1% 0.3%  
404 0.2% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0%  

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0% 99.7%  
310 0% 99.7%  
311 0% 99.6%  
312 0% 99.6%  
313 0% 99.6%  
314 0.1% 99.6%  
315 0.1% 99.5%  
316 0.7% 99.5%  
317 0.5% 98.7%  
318 1.0% 98%  
319 0.2% 97%  
320 0.2% 97%  
321 0.3% 97%  
322 0.1% 96%  
323 0.1% 96%  
324 0.2% 96%  
325 0.1% 96%  
326 0.3% 96% Last Result
327 0.2% 96%  
328 0.9% 95%  
329 1.2% 95%  
330 2% 93%  
331 4% 92%  
332 1.3% 88%  
333 3% 87%  
334 3% 83%  
335 5% 80%  
336 5% 75%  
337 1.3% 70%  
338 3% 69%  
339 2% 66%  
340 0.7% 64%  
341 3% 63%  
342 1.1% 60%  
343 1.1% 59% Median
344 0.8% 58%  
345 10% 57%  
346 4% 47%  
347 4% 43%  
348 10% 38%  
349 4% 29%  
350 8% 25%  
351 2% 17%  
352 3% 15%  
353 1.3% 12%  
354 6% 11%  
355 0.3% 5% Majority
356 0.4% 5%  
357 0.3% 4%  
358 0.2% 4%  
359 0.4% 4%  
360 1.2% 3%  
361 0.4% 2%  
362 0.3% 2%  
363 0.4% 2%  
364 0.2% 1.1%  
365 0.4% 0.9%  
366 0.1% 0.5%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0.1% 0.1%  
370 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0.2% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.5%  
277 0.2% 99.4%  
278 0.3% 99.2%  
279 0.3% 98.8%  
280 0.5% 98.5%  
281 0.5% 98%  
282 1.4% 98%  
283 0.7% 96%  
284 1.4% 95%  
285 0.8% 94%  
286 5% 93%  
287 1.3% 89%  
288 0.8% 87%  
289 4% 86% Last Result
290 2% 83%  
291 3% 80%  
292 7% 78%  
293 7% 70%  
294 2% 63%  
295 2% 61%  
296 6% 59%  
297 6% 53% Median
298 6% 47%  
299 2% 41%  
300 3% 39%  
301 2% 36%  
302 3% 34%  
303 4% 31%  
304 3% 27%  
305 5% 24%  
306 2% 19%  
307 4% 17%  
308 2% 13%  
309 1.2% 11%  
310 1.2% 10%  
311 1.0% 9%  
312 2% 8%  
313 1.1% 6%  
314 0.3% 5%  
315 0.2% 5%  
316 0.3% 5%  
317 1.3% 4%  
318 1.2% 3%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.1% 1.4%  
321 0.2% 1.3%  
322 0% 1.1%  
323 0.1% 1.1%  
324 0.5% 1.0%  
325 0.1% 0.5%  
326 0% 0.4%  
327 0% 0.4%  
328 0.1% 0.3%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0.2% 100%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.7%  
243 0.3% 99.6%  
244 0% 99.3%  
245 0% 99.3%  
246 0% 99.3%  
247 0% 99.3%  
248 0.1% 99.3%  
249 0.1% 99.2%  
250 1.0% 99.1%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.1% 98%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0% 98%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0.2% 98%  
258 0.5% 97%  
259 0.3% 97%  
260 0.2% 96%  
261 0.2% 96%  
262 0.1% 96%  
263 0.1% 96%  
264 0.7% 96%  
265 0.7% 95%  
266 0.3% 94%  
267 0.5% 94%  
268 0.4% 94%  
269 1.2% 93%  
270 1.2% 92%  
271 5% 91%  
272 0.8% 86%  
273 4% 85%  
274 2% 82%  
275 1.2% 80%  
276 6% 79%  
277 4% 73%  
278 5% 69%  
279 2% 64%  
280 4% 62%  
281 8% 58%  
282 1.0% 50% Median
283 3% 49%  
284 8% 46%  
285 7% 38%  
286 1.1% 31%  
287 2% 30%  
288 10% 28%  
289 1.4% 18%  
290 2% 17%  
291 1.1% 15%  
292 3% 14%  
293 2% 11%  
294 2% 9%  
295 0.8% 7%  
296 2% 6%  
297 0.5% 4%  
298 1.5% 4%  
299 0.2% 3%  
300 0.6% 2% Last Result
301 0.4% 2%  
302 0.7% 1.3%  
303 0% 0.6%  
304 0.3% 0.6%  
305 0.2% 0.4%  
306 0% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.2%  
308 0.1% 0.2%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0%  

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen – Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0.1% 99.9%  
214 0.3% 99.9%  
215 0.2% 99.6%  
216 0.1% 99.3%  
217 0.2% 99.2%  
218 0.2% 99.0%  
219 0.1% 98.8%  
220 0.5% 98.7% Last Result
221 0.8% 98%  
222 2% 97%  
223 1.0% 95%  
224 0.4% 94%  
225 0.9% 94%  
226 0.5% 93%  
227 1.4% 92%  
228 9% 91%  
229 5% 82%  
230 4% 77%  
231 4% 72%  
232 2% 68%  
233 0.6% 66%  
234 2% 65%  
235 7% 64%  
236 13% 57% Median
237 3% 44%  
238 8% 41%  
239 0.8% 33%  
240 0.7% 32%  
241 0.8% 32%  
242 2% 31%  
243 4% 28%  
244 7% 25%  
245 6% 17%  
246 1.4% 12%  
247 0.3% 10%  
248 0.3% 10%  
249 2% 10%  
250 3% 8%  
251 0.3% 6%  
252 2% 5%  
253 0.8% 3%  
254 0.1% 2%  
255 0.3% 2%  
256 0.3% 2%  
257 0.3% 2%  
258 0.6% 1.4%  
259 0.4% 0.9%  
260 0.1% 0.5%  
261 0.1% 0.4%  
262 0% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.3%  
264 0.1% 0.3%  
265 0.1% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Die Linke

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0.2% 99.7%  
158 0.4% 99.5%  
159 0.5% 99.2%  
160 0.4% 98.7%  
161 2% 98%  
162 0.9% 97%  
163 0.9% 96%  
164 0.6% 95%  
165 1.3% 94%  
166 1.2% 93%  
167 3% 92%  
168 7% 89%  
169 3% 82%  
170 8% 78%  
171 4% 70%  
172 1.2% 66%  
173 5% 65%  
174 8% 60%  
175 4% 52% Median
176 4% 47%  
177 4% 43%  
178 6% 40%  
179 6% 34%  
180 7% 28%  
181 3% 21%  
182 1.0% 18%  
183 2% 17%  
184 3% 15%  
185 2% 12%  
186 2% 10%  
187 2% 8%  
188 2% 6%  
189 0.3% 4%  
190 1.3% 4%  
191 0.4% 3%  
192 0.9% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.2%  
195 0.2% 1.0%  
196 0.3% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – Freie Demokratische Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0.2% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0.3% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.4%  
117 1.1% 99.3%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0% 98%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0% 98%  
123 0% 98%  
124 0% 98%  
125 0.3% 98%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.1% 97%  
128 0% 97%  
129 0% 97%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0% 97%  
132 0.3% 97%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0% 97%  
135 0% 97%  
136 0.1% 96%  
137 0% 96%  
138 0% 96%  
139 0% 96%  
140 0.1% 96%  
141 0% 96%  
142 0% 96%  
143 0.3% 96%  
144 0.3% 96%  
145 0.2% 96%  
146 1.1% 95%  
147 1.1% 94%  
148 0.7% 93%  
149 0.8% 93%  
150 3% 92%  
151 2% 89%  
152 0.9% 87%  
153 7% 86%  
154 2% 80%  
155 5% 77%  
156 4% 72%  
157 4% 68%  
158 4% 64%  
159 8% 60%  
160 4% 52% Median
161 7% 48%  
162 7% 42%  
163 8% 34%  
164 3% 26%  
165 4% 23%  
166 4% 19%  
167 1.1% 15%  
168 3% 14%  
169 1.0% 11%  
170 1.2% 10%  
171 0.8% 9%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 5%  
174 0.3% 3%  
175 0.6% 2%  
176 0.7% 2%  
177 0.3% 1.2%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0% Last Result

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